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Full text of "BetDSI 2011 NFL and NCAA Football Guide"

The 81 Rated Football Handicapping Guide! 



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2011 STATFOX.COM EDGE FOOTBALL PREVIEW GUIDE 



FEATURES 

THE POWER OF THE BYE 4 

Boost your bankroll with trends pertaining to the NFL's open dates 

PRO FOOTBALL PREVIEW AND PREDICTIONS 8 

Analysis of all 32 teams and, of course, our Super Bowl XLVI prediction 

MONTHLY BREAKDOWN 56 

How college teams have recently fared at various points in the season 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL STABILITY HANDICAPPING CHART 60 

An analysis of changes teams have made in key areas since 2010 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL TOP 25 62 

Alabama, Oklahoma, Oregon and Stanford all battle for top honors 

TOP WEEKLY NFL HEAD-TO-HEAD TRENDS 144 

Breaking down potent patterns that have developed between opponents 

NFL DIVISION-BY-DIVISION PREVIEWS 

AFC EAST: 1) New England, 2) NY jets, 3) Buffalo, 4) Miami 10 

AFC NORTH: 1) Baltimore, 2) Pittsburgh, 3) Cleveland, 4) Cincinnati 15 

AFC SOUTH: 1) Indianapolis, 2) Jacksonville, 3) Houston, 4) Tennessee... 20 

AFC WEST: 1) Oakland, 2) San Diego, 3) Kansas City, 4) Denver 25 

NFC EAST: 1) Philadelphia, 2) NY Giants, 3) Dallas, 4) Washington 30 

NFC NORTH: 1) Green Bay, 2) Detroit, 3) Chicago, 4) Minnesota 35 

NFC SOUTH: 1) Tampa Bay, 2) New Orleans, 3) Atlanta, 4) Carolina. ...40 
NFC WEST: 1) St. Louis, 2) San Francisco, 3) Seattle, 4) Arizona 45 

STATS AND SCHEDULES 

Week-By-Week 2011 NFL Schedule 7 

2010 Offensive NFL Team Stats 50 

2010 Defensive NFL Team Stats 52 

Team-By-Team 2011 NFL Schedule 54 




FBS CONFERENCE-BY-CONFERENCE 
PREVIEWS AND PREDICTIONS 



Atlantic Coast Conference 64 

Big 12 Conference 72 

Big East Conference 79 

Big Ten Conference 84 

Conference USA 92 

Mid-American Conference ... 100 



Mountain West Conference.. 109 

Pac-12 Conference 114 

Southeastern Conference.... 122 

Sun Belt Conference 130 

Western Athletic Conference.. 136 
Independents 141 



1 
■ 



NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM HANDICAPPING ANALYSIS 




Buffalo Bills 11 

Miami Dolphins 12 

New England Patriots 13 

New York ]ets 14 

Baltimore Ravens 16 

Cincinnati Bengals 17 

Cleveland Browns 18 

Pittsburgh Steelers 19 

Houston Texans 21 

Indianapolis Colts 22 

Jacksonville jaguars 23 

Tennessee Titans 24 

Denver Broncos 26 

Kansas City Chiefs 27 

Oakland Raiders 28 

San Diego Chargers 29 



Dallas Cowboys 31 

New York Giants 32 

Philadelphia Eagles 33 

Washington Redskins 34 

Chicago Bears 36 

Detroit Lions 37 

Green Bay Packers 38 

Minnesota Vikings 39 

Atlanta Falcons 41 

Carolina Panthers 42 

New Orleans Saints 43 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 44 

Arizona Cardinals 46 

St. Louis Rams 47 

San Francisco 49ers 48 

Seattle Seahawks 49 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 1 



LETTER FROM THE EDITOR 




his is one football annual that 
will get plenty of use during the 
season and is something every 
football handicapper should 
own. Easy for me to say, right? 
Although I obviously agree 100 
percent with that sentiment, 
they're not my words; they're 
words taken from a review of this annual 
publicationatAbout.com. 

If you've been with us in the past, you may 
have already noticed that we've revamped the 
look of this year's edition in an effort to make it 
more reader-friendly. In short, we've designed 
the publication to be a handy resource to 
which you can constantly refer throughout the 
2011 college and pro football seasons. What 
hasn't changed is the substance, as we're back 
again this year with all of the popular insight, 
information, analysis and statistics to which 
readers have become accustomed. Our capsules 
for all 152 teams-32 pro and 120 college- 
include everything from past years' game 
logs and situational records to the upcoming 
season's Outplay Factor and Power Ratings, 
both of which are generated by proprietary 
StatFox.com formulas and have proven to be 
great long-term handicapping tools. 

Also back by popular demand is our College 
Football Stability Handicapping Chart (page 
60), something that began as a simple research 
article in 2005 and has since grown into a yearly 
phenomenon, letting readers dissect which 
teams are most and least "stable" heading into 
the new season. And for the fourth straight 
season, we've put together a week-by-week 
breakdown of the most potent head-to-head 
patterns that have developed over the years 
between NFL opponents (page 144). 

Among the additions we've made to 
this year's edition is a three-page article that 
breaks down the most powerful trends as they 
pertain to NFL bye weeks (page 4). If you've 
never studied teams' performances in and out 
of the bye week, what you'll see here should 
open your eyes. Hopefully, it will expand your 
bankroll as well, as all 30 of these different 
powerful ATS or Over/Under trends boast 
winning percentages of at least 67 percent or 
at most 33 percent. Then there's the write-up 
and chart we provide starting on page 56 that 
breaks down how all 120 FBS teams have fared 
in each month of the college football season 
dating back to 2007. It'll have you lamenting - 
like we do-the loss of former Michigan head 
coach Rich Rodriguez from the coaching ranks. 
("Captain Fade" as we not-so-affectionately 
referred to him.) 

While we're confident that this publication 



will provide you with a solid head-start to your 
2011 football handicapping season, our efforts 
certainly don't stop here. Our team of writers 
spends countless hours during the fall and 
winter breaking down stats, trends and inside 
information to offer up keen betting insight 
all season long at StatFox.com. Our world- 
renowned FoxSheets take the analysis another 
few steps further, offering up remarkably 
valuable information for every college and pro 
game. Two FoxSheets features you'll want to 
be sure you check out are Situational Team 
Power Trends, which uncover situations where 
a team outperforms or underperforms their 
normal level of play; and Super Situations, 
which uncover conditions and patterns where 
teams have consistently outperformed or 
underperformed their normal levels. The Super 
Situations are not team specific-the principle 
is that teams fall into patterns regardless of 
personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams 
seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing 
streak, etc.)-and their remarkable success 
rate over the years speaks for itself. Another 
way to get access to this valuable information 
is by ordering our weekly Platinum Sheet 
publication. You can do so by calling 1-877-514- 
4220 or logging on to www.StatFox.com/store. 

As you go through this issue and check out 
our offerings at StatFox.com, you'll notice that 
almost every bit of information in this magazine 
and at StatFox.com is dedicated to handicapping 
football. We always urge our readers to avoid 
confusing themselves by handicapping football 
with other publications or Web sites that focus 
on fantasy sports or take a more mainstream 
view of the sport. They simply won't have what 
it takes to help you succeed as a football bettor. 
With that in mind, we'll proudly put the StatFox 
Edge print products and StatFox.com head-to- 
head against any competition when it comes 
to making you a more knowledgeable and 
profitable handicapper. 

Getting back to the About.com review I 
reference at the top of this page, it concluded 
by stating: "As one who recommends the 
StatFox.com Web site to plenty of bettors on 
a regular basis, I'll admit to having some high 
expectations for this annual. But after reading 
through the annual for a few days it's safe to say 
that StatFox not only met my expectations, but 
exceeded them quite well." 

I could not have said it any better myself. 

Have a profitable season, 




Scott Gramling 
Managing Editor 



i^statfox 

2011 EDGE 

FOOTBALL 

PREVIEW GUIDE 

Managing Editor Scott Gramling 

Creative Director Ian Knowles 

Executive Editor Jeff Makinen 

Senior Editors Vic Denicola 
Jared Tropp 

Art Director Anthony Scerri 

Systems Analyst John Mitchell 

Contributing Writers Gary Bennett 
Brian Graham 
Tim Stephens 

Editorial Direction lOTen Media 

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The 2011 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide is published annually 
by Daily Racing Form LLC, located at 708 Third Avenue, 12th Floor, 
New York, NY 10017. © 2011 by Daily Racing Form, LLC. All rights 
reserved. Printed in USA. Printed by Expedi Printing, Inc., 1300 
Metropolitan Avenue, Brooklyn, NY 11237- Daily Racing Form, LLC 
reserves the right to accept or deny any paid advertisements and is 
not responsible for any contracts entered in with such advertisers. 

THIS PUBLICATION IS NOT SPONSORED OR AUTHORIZED BY 

ANY ATHLETIC CONFERENCE NOR HOLDER OF ANY TRADEMARK 

OR SERVICE MARK. ALL TEAM NAMES AND LOGOS ARE TRADEMARKS 

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PRINTED IN U.S.A. 



2 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 











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30 ways to boost your bankroll 
by using historical trends that 
pertain to the NFL's open dates 




The NFL "open dates" start in Week 5 this season, and if you've been 
a regular visitor to StatFox.com in recent seasons, you probably count 
the days until we run our annual articles highlighting the top team 
trends for pre- and post-bye week games. Well, wait no more. 

In what will undoubtedly be one of the most popular and widely 
read articles in this issue you hold in your hands, we have highlight- 
ed the 30 most powerful bye week angles for games between Weeks 
4 and 10 on the NFL schedule. If you haven't ever studied teams' per- 
formances in and out of the bye week, what you'll see here should 
open your eyes. Hopefully it will expand your bankroll as well, as all of 
these powerful ATS or Over-Under trends boast winning percentages of 
at least 65 percent or at most 35 percent. 

OCT. 2 - TENNESSEE at CLEWELAND 

CLEVELAND has been a solid bet over its last 11 pre-bye week games, 
going 7-3-1 ATS. The Browns turned in one of their most impres- 
sive performances in recent history going into last year's bye, win- 
ning outright and doing so handily against the defending Super Bowl 
Champions in New Orleans, 30-17, despite being an underdog by 
nearly two touchdowns. 

unam Cleveland ats 

OCT. 2 - DETROIT at DALLAS 

DALLAS is on a run of 10-3 ATS over its last 13 pre-bye week games. 
The Cowboys stayed true to form last season with a convincing 27-13 
win on the road against Houston despite being a slight underdog. It 
would turn out to be the team's only win over a dreadful first half of 
the 2010 season in which they went 1-7 both straight-up and against 
the spread. 

DALLAS ATS 



oct. 2 - am: at san dieoo 

UNDERDOGS were 9-1 ATS in Miami's previous 10 pre-bye week games 
heading into last season. The Dolphins' 2010 pre-bye week game came 
against the Patriots in a Monday night matchup where the line was 
pick 'em, so the trend ended up not applying last season. For whatev- 
er it's worth, Miami got absolutely drubbed at home by their division 
rival in that Monday nighter, falling to the Patriots by a score of 41-14. 
UNDERDOG ATS 



OCT. 2 - i» 70RK JETS at BALTIMORE 

UNDERDOGS have gone a perfect 6-0 against the spread in Baltimore's 
past half-dozen pre-bye week games. The game that made it six straight 
last season was the Ravens' narrow 37-34 overtime win over a Buffalo 
team that was still winless at the time and an underdog by nearly two 
touchdowns. 

UNDERDOG ATS 



OCT. 9 - ARIZONA at MINNESOTA 

OVER the total is 6-1-1 in Arizona's last eight games heading into the 
team's bye week. That high-scoring train kept rolling last year in the 
Cardinals' 30-20 home victory over the defending Super Bowl Champion 
Saints in a game where the total was 45 1 / 2 - 
OVER THE TOTAL 



OCT. S - SEATTLE at NEW MM iANTS 

HOME TEAMS have managed to win nine of the last 10 Seattle pre-bye 
week games, and those teams are 7-3 ATS over that span. The Seahawks' 
pre-bye week game last season was in St. Louis. The Rams were a slight 
underdog at home yet came away with a convincing 20-3 victory over 
their NFC West rival. 

NEW YORK GIANTS SU & ATS 



4 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



OCT. S - SAN DIEGO at deiiei 

OVER the total is 14-2 in San Diego's last 16 games heading into the 
team's bye week. Keeping that streak going last season was quite a 
challenge, being that the over/under was a whopping 50 points in the 
Chargers' pre-bye week game at Houston. The 29-23 San Diego victory 
was just enough to eclipse the number. 
OVER THE TOTAL 



OCT. 16 - INDIANAPOLIS at CINCINNATI 

ROAD TEAMS are 7-3 ATS in Cincinnati's pre-bye week games since 2001. 
The trend held true last year, as the Bengals lost at home to Tampa Bay, 
24-21, despite being 6/2-point favorite over the Buccaneers. Bettors who 
rode the wave last year have Carson Palmer to thank-the Bengals were 
ahead 21-14 and in position to close it out with 2:28 to go when Palmer 
tried to get the ball to Terrell Owens on a third-and-13 play from mid- 
field. Aqib Talib picked off the pass to set up the Bucs' tying touchdown 
about a minute later, then on the next drive Palmer was picked by Tampa 
Bay's Sabby Piscitelli, who returned it to the 34-yard line with 14 seconds 
to go. A 21-yard completion and 31-yard field goal sealed the deal. 
INDIANAPOLIS ATS 



OCT. 16 - PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON 

PHILADELPHIA has not done well in the game before the bye week, going 
3-8-1 ATS in such situations since 1999- One of the Eagles' worst perfor- 
mances of the 2010 season came in the game prior to their bye, a 37-19 
loss to the Titans. Philadelphia led 19-10 early in the fourth quarter 
before giving up 27 unanswered points to the Titans, who were sparked 
by Kenny Britt's 225 receiving yards, the most receiving yards ever given 
up by the Eagles. 

WASHINGTON ATS 



OCT. 16 - BUFFALO at NEW VORH GIANTS 

BUFFALO is still Looking for its first pre-bye week win of the 21st cen- 
tury-the Bills haven't won a game heading into their bye week since 
1999, and they're 2-9-1 ATS over that span. Oddsmakers expected Buffalo 
to buck that trend last season, making the Bills a 3-point home favorite 
over the Jaguars the week prior to their bye. Jacksonville, however, left 
Western New York with a 36-26 victory. 
NEW YORK GIANTS SU & ATS 



OCT. 16 - HOUSTON at BALTIMORE 

BALTIMORE is on a run of 8-1 ATS over its last nine post-bye week games. 
They stayed true to form last season with a convincing 26-10 win at 
home against a Miami team that won and covered all of its other 2010 
road games except for the season finale in New England. 
BALTIMORE ATS 



OCT. 16 - CLE! ELANO at OAKLAND 

OVER the total is 8-3 in Cleveland's last 11 games after the team's bye. 
The Browns kept their high-scoring post-bye ways going last year with a 
34-14 win at home over the Patriots when the over/under was 43/2. 
OVER THE TOTAL 



OCT. 23 - SEATTLE at CLE! ELAND 

SEATTLE has won only three of its last 13 games when coming off a 
bye week, and the team is 2-11 against the spread over that span. The 
Seahawks did manage to buck that trend last season, beating the Bears 
23-20 despite being a 6-point road underdog. One streak that did stay 
alive was the game going over the total for the 10th straight time in a 
Seattle post-bye week game. 

CLEVELAND SU & ATS, & OVER THE TOTAL 



OCT. 23 - ATLANTA at DETROIT 

ATLANTA is on a run of 10-2 ATS over its last 12 pre-bye week games. 
They stayed true to form last season with a 39-32 win at home against 
Cincinnati in a game in which they were a 3-point favorite. Falcons All- 
Pro receiver Roddy White had one of the best games of his career, rack- 
ing up 201 yards on 11 receptions, which included a one-handed recep- 
tion and a juggling grab while falling into the end zone. 
ATLANTA ATS 



OCT. 23 - CHICAGO at TAMPA BAT 

CHICAGO has struggled in the team's games prior to its bye week in 
recent seasons, going 2-8 ATS in such situations since 2001. Last year's 
pre-bye week performance was particularly abysmal, as the Bears were 
upset at home by Washington. Chicago turned the ball over six times, 
four of which were Jay Cutler passes picked off by DeAngelo Hall, who 
tied an NFL single-game record with the four interceptions. 
TAMPA BAY ATS 



OCT. 23 - PITTSBURGH at ARIZONA 

UNDER the total is 13-3 in Arizona's last 16 post-bye week games. The 
Cardinals put up only 10 points coming off their bye last season in a 
22-10 loss to Seattle. The over/under in that game was 40/2. 
UNDER THE TOTAL 



OCT. 23 - KANSAS CIT¥ at OAKLAND 

OAKLAND is 8-3 ATS in its past 11 games prior to a bye week, and for 
the second straight season the Raiders will host the division rival Chiefs 
prior their bye. Entering last year's matchup having won and covered 
seven straight games against the Raiders in Oakland, the Chiefs were a 
slight favorite on the road. It was the Raiders who prevailed, however, 
23-20 in overtime. 

OAKLAND ATS 



OCT. 30 - MINNESOTA at CAROLINA 

UNDERDOGS have covered all but one of the past 14 Carolina pre-bye 
week games. That includes last season, when the favored Panthers lost 
23-6 at home to the Bears. It's kind of hard to believe that the lowly 
Panthers could've been favored over a team that would go on to host 
a conference championship game, but the Bears sent Todd Collins out 
under center with Jay Cutler having suffered a concussion. Chicago 
instead rode its ground game to victory, racking up 218 rushing yards, 
the most the Bears had since their 223 against Phoenix on Oct. 28, 1990. 
UNDERDOG ATS 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 5 



OCT. 30 - DETROIT at DENVER 

DETROIT could conceivably be a road favorite for the first time in eons 
when the Lions try to break a seven-game pre-bye week losing streak. 
Detroit had failed to cover the spread in six straight pre-bye contests 
before |ason Hanson booted a 50-yard field goal with less than three 
minutes to play in what ended up being a 28-20 loss last season to the 
Giants, who were a 10-point favorite. 
DENVER SUA ATS 



OCT. 30 - NEK? ENOLAND at PITTSBURGH 

ROAD TEAMS are lO-l-l ATS in New England's last 12 post-bye week 
games. That number looked as if it was going to go to 11-1 last 
season when the Ravens took a 10-point fourth quarter lead over the 
Patriots in Foxboro the week after New England's bye. But the Pats, 
who were a 3-point favorite, battled back to tie the score 20-20 on 
Stephen Gostkowski's 24-yard field goal with 1:51 left in the fourth 
quarter, then won the game with just 1:56 remaining in overtime. 
Umm NEW ENGLAND ATS 



OCT. 30 - CINCINNATI at SEATTLE 

HOME TEAMS boast a 12-2 ATS record in Cincinnati's last 14 post-bye 
week games. The Bengals looked as if they were going to buck that 
trend last season when they scored 22 unanswered third-quarter points 
against the favored Falcons in Atlanta to take a lead going into the 
final quarter. The home team would once again prevail, however, as the 
3-point favorites came away with a 39-32 victory. 
SEATTLE ATS 



OCT. 30 - DALLAS at PHILADELPHIA 

PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 ATS in its past 10 games coming off a bye, and 
UNDER the total has come in nine times in the Eagles' past 11 post-bye 
week games. Bettors who sided with those trends last season were left 
disappointed, however, as a touchdown run by the Colts' Javarris |ames 
with less than two minutes to go cut the final margin of Philadelphia's 
victory to 26-24. The Eagles had been a 3-point favorite in the game, and 
the touchdown also pushed the total over the game's 46/2 number. 

nmm Philadelphia ats & under the total 



NOW. 6 - HE - m *SEIS 1? BUFFALO 

NY |ETS are 7-2 ATS in their last nine post-bye week games, and all but 
two of the lets' last 15 post-bye week games have gone UNDER the total. 
Last year's matchup between the lets and Packers went against the sides 
trend, but the total came in way under the 41/2 number in Green Bay's 
9-0 road victory. It was the lowest-scoring contest involving Gang Green 
since the lets' 6-0 win over Pittsburgh on December 14, 2003. 
Umm NEW YORK JETS ATS & UNDER THE TOTAL 



. 6 - ATLANTA at 



UNDER the total is 10-2 in Atlanta's last 12 games after the team's bye, 
although the Falcons' post-bye week game last year did go over the 
44/2-point total in the team's 27-21 win over Tampa Bay. 
Umm UNDER THE TOTAL 



'. 1 - CHICAGO at PHILADELPHIA 

CHICAGO is 2-6-1 in its past nine games after a bye. The one push 
among those contests came last year in Toronto, when as a three-point 
favorite the Bears beat the Bills, 22-19. It wasn't exactly an impressive 
performance, as Chicago trailed 19-14 before Earl Bennett's touchdown 
reception with 6:45 left in the fourth quarter. A two-point conversion 
pass to Matt Forte finished the scoring and allowed Chicago to match 
the point spread. 
□Him PHILADELPHIA ATS 



i - PITTSBUR0H at CINCINNATI 

ROAD TEAMS are 7-2 ATS in the last nine Pittsburgh pre-bye week games. 
The trend continued last year in Baltimore's 17-14 win in Pittsburgh with 
the then-undefeated Steelers having entered the game as a slight favor- 
ite. The Steelers defense stopped the Ravens on the ground, limiting 
them to a total of 70 yards, but |oe Flacco completed 24 of 37 passes for 
256 yards and a touchdown. They also came up with two big turnovers, 
but weren't able to turn them into points as kicker Jeff Reed missed two 
field goals. 
DESHm PITTSBURGH ATS 



1 13 - JACKS0NM ILLE at INDIANAPOLIS 

INDIANAPOLIS is lO-l-l in its last 12 pre-bye week games, with the lone 
push among those coming in the Colts' 27-24 win at Washington as a 
three-point favorite last season. Indianapolis had looked as if it may 
run away in the Sunday night game, racking up 294 yards by halftime. 
They led only 17-7, however, in part because the usually reliable Adam 
Vinatieri missed two field goal attempts after an 8-for-8 start to the sea- 
son. Washington never led and ultimately forced the back-door push 
with a touchdown with less than three minutes remaining. 
[K» INDIANAPOLIS ATS 

N0f . 13 - HOUSTON at TAMPA BAV 

HOUSTON is 6-3 ATS in its last nine pre-bye week games. The Texans 
failed to cover by the slimmest of margins going into their bye last 
season, beating the Chiefs, 35-31, in a game in which they were favored 
by 4/2 points. 

HOUSTON ATS 



NOW. 13 - TENNESSEE at CAROLINA 

FAVORITES are 7-2 straight up and 6-3 against the spread in Carolina's 
last nine post-bye week games, and UNDER the total is 6-2 in the 
Panthers' last eight games after their bye. Those trends failed to hold 
up last season when the 49ers, as a 134-point favorite, blew a 20-13 lead 
they held inside of two minutes left in the game, and ended up losing to 
then-winless Carolina, 23-20. The game's over/under was 35/2 ■ 
Umm OAKLAND ATS 



1 14 - MINNESOTA at 0REEN BAT 

MINNESOTA is on a 6-2-1 ATS run over its last nine post-bye week games, 
and OVER the total is 11-2 in the Vikings' last 13 games coming off a bye. 
MINNESOTA ATS & OVER THE TOTAL 



6 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2011 WEEK-BY-WEEK NFL SCHEDULE 



WEEK1 



WEEK 5 (CONTINUED) 



WEEK 10 



WEEK 14 



THURSDAY, SEPT. 8 




NY Jets at New England 


4:15 p.m. 


THURSDAY, NOV. 10 




THURSDAY, DEC. 8 




New Orleans at Green Bay 


8:30 p.m. 


San Diego at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Oakland at San Diego 


8:20 p.m. 


Cleveland at Pittsburgh 


8:20 p.m. 


SUNDAY, SEPT. 11 




Green Bay at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


SUNDAY, NOV. 13 




SUNDAY, DEC. 11 




Atlanta at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, OCT. 10 




New Orleans at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Houston at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Cincinnati at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Chicago at Detroit 


8:30 p.m. 


Detroit at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Minnesota at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Buffalo at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 






Pittsburgh at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Oakland at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Philadelphia at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: CLEVELAND, DALLAS, ST. LOUIS, 


St. Louis at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


New Orleans at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Tennessee at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


MIAMI, WASHINGTON, BALTIMORE 


Buffalo at Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Philadelphia at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Pittsburgh at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 






Jacksonville at Indianapolis 
Denver at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Kansas City at NY Jets 
New England at Washington 
Atlanta at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Indianapolis at Houston 
Detroit at Tampa Bay 


WEEK 6 




1:00 p.m. 






Washington at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


1:00 p.m. 


NY Giants at Washington 
Carolina at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 


SUNDAY, OCT. 16 

Carolina at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Arizona at Philadelphia 
Houston at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Tampa Bay at Jacksonville 
Indianapolis at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Minnesota at San Diego 
Seattle at San Francisco 


4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 


Indianapolis at Cincinnati 
San Francisco at Detroit 


Tennessee at Carolina 
Baltimore at Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 


San Francisco at Arizona 
Chicago at Denver 


4:05 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 


Dallas at NY Jets 

MONDAY, SEPT. 12 

New England at Miami 
Oakland at Denver 


8:20 p.m. 

7:00 p.m. 
10:15 p.m. 


St. Louis at Green Bay 
Philadelphia at Washington 
Buffalo at NY Giants 
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh 


NY Giants at San Francisco 
New England at NY Jets 

MONDAY, NOV. 14 
Minnesota at Green Bay 


4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 

8:30 p.m. 


Buffalo at San Diego 
NY Giants at Dallas 

MONDAY, DEC. 12 
St. Louis at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 

8:30 p.m. 






Houston at Baltimore 
Cleveland at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 










WEEK 2 


WEEK 11 




WEEK 15 








Dallas at New England 


4:15 p.m. 










SUNDAY, SEPT. 18 

Kansas City at Detroit 
Baltimore at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


New Orleans at Tampa Bay 
Minnesota at Chicago 


4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 


THURSDAY, NOV. 17 

NY Jets at Denver 


8:20 p.m. 


THURSDAY, DEC. 15 

Jacksonville at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


Cleveland at Indianapolis 
Oakland at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, OCT. 17 

Miami at NY Jets 


8:30 p.m. 


SUNDAY, NOV. 20 

Tennessee at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


SATURDAY, DEC. 17 

Dallas at Tampa Bay 


8:20 p.m. 


Tampa Bay at Minnesota 
Chicago at New Orleans 
Jacksonville at NY Jets 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: DENVER, TENNESSEE, SEATTLE, 
KANSAS CITY, ARIZONA, SAN DIEGO 


Jacksonville at Cleveland 
Carolina at Detroit 
Tampa Bay at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


SUNDAY, DEC. 18 

Miami at Buffalo 
Seattle at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Seattle at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 






Buffalo at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Tennessee at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 






Arizona at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


WEEK 7 




Oakland at Minnesota 
Dallas at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Green Bay at Kansas City 
Cincinnati at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Green Bay at Carolina 






1:00 p.m. 


Dallas at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


SUNDAY, OCT. 23 




Cincinnati at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


New Orleans at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


San Diego at New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Seattle at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Arizona at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


Washington at NY Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Cincinnati at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Atlanta at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Seattle at St. Louis 


4:05 p.m. 


Carolina at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Houston at Miami 


4:15 p.m. 


Houston at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


San Diego at Chicago 


4:15 p.m. 


Detroit at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Philadelphia at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


Denver at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Philadelphia at NY Giants 


8:20 p.m. 


New England at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


MONDAY, SEPT. 19 




San Diego at NY Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, NOV. 21 




NY Jets at Philadelphia 


4:15 p.m. 


St. Louis at NY Giants 


8:30 p.m. 


Chicago at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Kansas City at New England 


8:30 p.m. 


Cleveland at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 






Washington at Carolina 
Pittsburgh at Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: INDIANAPOLIS, NEW ORLEANS, 


Baltimore at San Diego 

MONDAY, DEC. 19 


8:20 p.m. 


WEEK 3 








Kansas City at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


PITTSBURGH, HOUSTON 


Pittsburgh at San Francisco 


8:30 p.m. 






SUNDAY, SEPT. 25 

New England at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Green Bay at Minnesota 
St. Louis at Dallas 
Indianapolis at New Orleans 


4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 










WEEK 12 




WEEK 16 




San Francisco at Cincinnati 










Miami at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, OCT. 24 




THURSDAY, NOV. 24 




THURSDAY, DEC. 22 




Denver at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Baltimore at Jacksonville 


8:30 p.m. 


Green Bay at Detroit 


12:30 p.m. 


Houston at Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Detroit at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 






Miami at Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


SATURDAY, DEC. 24 




Houston at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: BUFFALO, CINCINNATI, 


San Francisco at Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Denver at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


NY Giants at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


NEW ENGLAND, NY GIANTS, 


SUNDAY, NOV. 27 




Arizona at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Jacksonville at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


PHILADELPHIA, SAN FRANCISCO 


Minnesota at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Minnesota at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Kansas City at San Diego 
NY Jets at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 






Cleveland at Cincinnati 
Tampa Bay at Tennessee 
Carolina at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Tampa Bay at Carolina 
Cleveland at Baltimore 
Jacksonville at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


WEEK 8 




Baltimore at St. Louis 






1:00 p.m. 


Arizona at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


SUNDAY, OCT. 30 




Arizona at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oakland at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Atlanta at Tampa Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


Indianapolis at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Buffalo at NY Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Miami at New England 


1:00 p.m. 


Green Bay at Chicago 


4:15 p.m. 


New Orleans at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Houston at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


NY Giants at NY Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Pittsburgh at Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Miami at NY Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Chicago at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


St. Louis at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, SEPT. 26 




Minnesota at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Washington at Seattle 


4:05 p.m. 


San Diego at Detroit 


4:05 p.m. 


Washington at Dallas 


8:30 p.m. 


Arizona at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


New England at Philadelphia 


4:15 p.m. 


San Francisco at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 






Jacksonville at Houston 
Washington at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 


Denver at San Diego 
Pittsburgh at Kansas City 


4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 


Philadelphia at Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


WEEK 4 




SUNDAY, DEC. 25 








Detroit at Denver 


4:05 p.m. 


MONDAY, NOV. 28 




Chicago at Green Bay 


8:20 p.m. 


SUNDAY, OCT. 2 




New England at Pittsburgh 


4:15 p.m. 


NY Giants at New Orleans 


8:30 p.m. 


MONDAY, DEC. 26 




Carolina at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Cleveland at San Francisco 
Cincinnati at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 






Atlanta at New Orleans 


8:30 p.m. 


Buffalo at Cincinnati 


WEEK 13 






Dallas at Philadelphia 

MONDAY, OCT. 31 


8:20 p.m. 




WEEK 17 




Tennessee at Cleveland 


THURSDAY, DEC. 1 

Philadelphia at Seattle 


8:20 p.m. 




Detroit at Dallas 






Washington at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


San Diego at Kansas City 


8:30 p.m. 


SUNDAY, DEC. 4 




SUNDAY, JAN. 1 




San Francisco at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 






Tennessee at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Tampa Bay at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Minnesota at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: ATLANTA, CHICAGO, OAKLAND, 


Kansas City at Chicago 
Baltimore at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Baltimore at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


New Orleans at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


GREEN BAY, NY JETS, TAMPA BAY 


Pittsburgh at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Pittsburgh at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 






Oakland at Miami 
Detroit at New Orleans 
Carolina at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


Detroit at Green Bay 
San Francisco at St. Louis 
NY Jets at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


NY Giants at Arizona 


4:05 p.m. 
4:05 p.m. 


WEEK 9 




Atlanta at Seattle 






1:00 p.m. 


Miami at San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


SUNDAY, NOV. 6 




NY Jets at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Chicago at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Denver at Green Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


NY Jets at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Atlanta at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Buffalo at New England 


1:00 p.m. 


New England at Oakland 


4:15 p.m. 


Seattle at Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Cincinnati at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Carolina at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


NY Jets at Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Atlanta at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Denver at Minnesota 


4:05 p.m. 


Dallas at NY Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


MONDAY, OCT. 3 




Miami at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Green Bay at NY Giants 


4:15 p.m. 


Washington at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Indianapolis at Tampa Bay 


8:30 p.m. 


San Francisco at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Dallas at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 


Indianapolis at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 






Cleveland at Houston 
Tampa Bay at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


St. Louis at San Francisco 
Indianapolis at New England 


4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 


Tennessee at Houston 
Seattle at Arizona 
San Diego at Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


WEEK 5 




4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 






Denver at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


MONDAY, DEC. 5 




SUNDAY, OCT. 9 




Cincinnati at Tennessee 


4:05 p.m. 


San Diego at Jacksonville 


8:30 p.m. 


Kansas City at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Philadelphia at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


NY Giants at New England 
St. Louis at Arizona 
Green Bay at San Diego 
Baltimore at Pittsburgh 


4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 
4:15 p.m. 
8:20 p.m. 










Kansas City at Indianapolis 




POSTSEASON 




Arizona at Minnesota 
Seattle at NY Giants 


1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 
1:00 p.m. 


AFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs (NBC) 


Saturday, January 7 


Tennessee at Pittsburgh 
New Orleans at Carolina 


MONDAY, NOV. 7 

Chicago at Philadelphia 


8:30 p.m. 


AFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs (CBS and FOX) 
AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs (CBS and FOX) 


Sunday, January 8 
Saturday, January 14 


Cincinnati at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 






AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs (CBS and FOX) 


Sunday, January 15 


Oakland at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


OPEN DATE: DETROIT, MINNESOTA, 


Conference Championship Games [3:00 p.m. on 


CBS (AFC); 6:30 p.m. on FOX (NFC)] Sunday, Jan. 22 


Tampa Bay at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


CAROLINA, JACKSONVILLE 


Super Bowl XLVI at Indianapolis, Indiana (NBC) 


Sunday, Februarys 







StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 7 





AFC EAST 

Tom Brady's MVP season and a +28 turnover differential led the Patriots 
to the NFL's best regular-season record in 2010. Questions remain on the 
defensive side of the ball, particularly with New England's shaky pass 
defense, which led the league in INTs but gave up the third-most passing 
yards last year. It's been 11 seasons since another AFC East team finished 
with a better record than the Pats, and there's little reason to think it won't 

become 12 The lets rode their elite defense to a second-straight AFC 

Championship Game despite losing three of four December games. Gang 
Green needs RB Shonn Greene to step in as a reliable workhorse, and it'll 
take continued improvement from QB Mark Sanchez for them to take the 
next step. ... The Bills kept it close in several games against AFC play- 
off teams— they lost in overtime to the Ravens, Steelers and Chiefs— and 
their offense improved as the season went on. The hope is that third-over- 
all pick Marcell Dareus will help improve what was a terrible run defense 

last season Question marks surround the Dolphins' offense in 2011. 

Incumbent QB Chad Henne has yet to show himself worthy of an NFL start- 
ing gig, and rookie RB Daniel Thomas is going to be relied upon heavily. 
Miami's front seven is stout and their secondary is improving, but another 
tough schedule will keep the Dolphins from making the playoffs. 

AFC NORTH 

With S Ed Reed and LB Ray Lewis looking ageless as the leaders of a formi- 
dable defense, the Ravens have to be considered a legitimate Super Bowl 
contender. This could end up being that year that QB |oe Flacco, now in 

his fourth season, finally gets the team over the proverbial hump The 

Steelers missed the playoffs during their two recent Super Bowl hang- 
overs, but this season they face their easiest schedule in years. Pittsburgh 
has plenty of talent at the offensive skill positions; it's the offensive line 
that could be the team's Achilles Heel. Behind an always stellar linebacker 
corps, Defensive Player of the Year Troy Polamalu's health is key to keeping 

Pittsburgh's secondary from collapsing Pat Shurmur's first year at the 

helm of the Browns could be a long one. Cleveland simply doesn't have 
above-average talent anywhere aside from OT |oe Thomas and returner Josh 
Cribbs. The West Coast scheme will help QB Colt McCoy, but he doesn't have 

play-making receivers to throw to After winning the division in 2009, 

the Bengals again look like a total mess. Andy Dalton, a questionable early 
second-round pick, is the team's likely Week 1 starter. Cincy's receivers are 
young and unproven, while RB Cedric Benson is far from a game-breaker. 
The defense doesn't offer much more by way of proven talent. 



AFC SOUTH 



The Colts should again be the best team in the AFC South, due mostly to 
Peyton Manning. A healthier receiving corps should eliminate some of 
Manning's INTs, and an improved o-line will be asked to bolster what was 
an abysmal running game last season. Their defense is still vulnerable to 



powerful running backs and needs to create more sacks and turnovers if 

Peyton's going to get a shot at a second Super Bowl title The Jaguars 

will face a tougher schedule this season than they did in 2010. QB David 
Garrard has work to do to hold off promising first-rounder Blaine Gabbert, 
while star RB Maurice |ones-Drew's knee issues could linger into this sea- 
son. The |ags defense ranked in the lower third of the league in every impor- 
tant statistical measure last season The Texans offense is surely good 

enough to fuel Houston's first-ever trip to the playoffs. WR Andre |ohnson 
and RB Arian Foster were as good as anyone at their respective positions 
last season, while QB Matt Schaub and TE Owen Daniels are underrated 
producers when healthy. Wade Phillips was brought in to try to fix the 
Texans' dreadful defense. A shakeup in scheme and positioning may help, 

but talent in the secondary is still severely lacking Life after Jeff Fisher 

isn't looking promising for the Titans. Their QB situation is up in the air 
while top WR Kenny Britt can't get his off-the-field life in order. Defenses 
will surely key in on elite RB Chris |ohnson, and Tennessee may have to get 
creative to get him into space to use his blazing speed. 



AFC WEST 



The Raiders hope to keep the momentum going on what was their best 
season in eight years. RB Darren McFadden finally emerged as an elite 
playmaker, and QB jason Campbell led the offense to at least 26 points in 
each of the team's final five games. Overcoming the departure of elite CB 

Nnamdi Asomugha will be the team's biggest challenge The Chargers 

special teams woes were comical last year, serving largely to keep QB Philip 
Rivers out of the playoffs for the first time. If TE Antonio Gates stays healthy 
and RB Ryan Mathews recovers from a lackluster rookie season, San Diego's 
offense will be as good as any in the league. The biggest question marks are 
on a defense that lost a slew of players to free agency, particularly among 
the linebacking corps. . . . After going up against a very easy schedule 
a year ago, the Chiefs are set to face the league's toughest schedule in 
2011. RB |amaal Charles and WR Dwayne Bowe are stellar playmakers, 
but K.C.'s front seven may not be up to the task of this year's slate of oppo- 
nents Off a long-awaited breakout season for the Broncos, WR Brandon 

Lloyd's talent may go to waste if Tim Tebow is given the reins of the offense. 
DE Elvis Dumervil (returning from injury) and LB Von Miller (second-overall 
pick) could be great, but it'll take a lot more than that to return last year's 
294-points-allowed-per-game defense to respectability. 



HFC EAST 



The Eagles' electrifying offense alone makes them the team to beat in this 
division. If QB Michael Vick can avoid big hits and nagging pains this sea- 
son, he'll continue to benefit from throwing to a pair of talented young 
WRs in DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin. RB LeSean McCoy has game- 
breaking ability, and his versatility may lead the Eagles to ask him to do 
more this season. Philly has a defense capable of racking up sacks and turn- 
overs, but their LB corps once again has a number of question marks 



8 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



Coming off another late-season disappointment, the Giants will again put 
their faith in an inconsistent core of players. QB Eli Manning has the receiv- 
ers to thrive, but he throws too many interceptions. Defensively, the Giants 
have talented players on the line and in the secondary who can't seem 

to stay productive from game to game |ason Garrett went 5-3 as the 

Cowboys' head coach last season, and gets QB Tony Romo back under 
center. Offense shouldn't be a problem in Dallas, especially if former first- 
round RB Felix Jones can handle a full workload. The Cowboys defense gave 
up 30+ in half of their games last season, even with LB DeMarcus Ware's 

15.5 sacks The Redskins' Albert Haynesworth signing is looking more 

and more like a microcosm of the team as a whole. Offseason rumblings 
of a Rex Grossman-vs.-|ohn Beck QB battle had D.C.-area fans rooting for 
the lockout to continue. Meanwhile, the defense in Washington is devoid 
of stars and full of holes. 



nfc mm 



Fresh off a title, the Packers offense will have even more weapons this year. 
Aaron Rodgers' supporting cast will be bolstered by the healthy returns 
of RB Ryan Grant and potential All-Pro TE JermichaeL Finley. Green Bay's 
defense is occasionally flimsy against the run, but it turns into a playmak- 
ing, disruptive, lockdown unit on passing downs. . . If QB Matthew Stafford 
can stay healthy for 16 games, the Lions have the offensive firepower to 
make waves this season. WR Calvin |ohnson is arguably the league's best at 
his position. The defense has a ways to go, but the DT combo of Ndamukong 
Suh (2010 Defensive Rookie of the Year) and Nick Fairley (first-round draft 

pick) just may be dominant by season's end The Bears outperformed 

expectations last year, riding a strong defense and timely special teams 
play to many close wins. The defense will again be above-average in every 
category, but Chicago's offense lacks a go-to player. ... The Vikings' QB 
situation is up in the air and dominant RB Adrian Peterson will have to carry 
the team more so than usual. WRs Percy Harvin and Sidney Rice have game- 
breaking abilities, but may not get enough chances to use their talents. An 
aging and depleted d-line could make the Vikings much more susceptible 
defensively than they've been in a while. 



HFC SOUTH 



The Buccaneers should continue to get better offensively. Their core 
of young players — led by QB Josh Freeman, WR Mike Williams and RB 
LaGarrette Blount— make Tampa's present and future look very bright. The 
Bucs defense is in a state of flux, as a lot will be asked of aging (CB Ronde 
Barber), troubled (CB Aqib Talib) and injured (DT Gerald McCoy and second- 
round DE Da'Quan Bowers) talents QB Drew Brees continues to put up 

big numbers regardless of which receivers are healthy, and the addition of 
former Heisman-winning RB Mark Ingram will allow the Saints to balance 
their vertical passing attack with more effective between-the-tackles run- 
ning. New Orleans' middling defensive talent needs to create more turn- 
overs; they managed just 25 last season after 39 in their championship 

year The Falcons weren't as good as their record indicates last year, 

and they showed just that by getting drubbed at home in the playoffs. The 
passing game is solid, thanks mostly to All-Pro WR Roddy White. At age 29, 
RB Michael Turner looks to be fading. The entire Atlanta defense looks like 
more of a patchwork than a solid unit, lacking athleticism at some positions 

and depth at others The Panthers are starting from scratch this season 

and will be left behind in an otherwise strong division. QB Cam Newton's 
athleticism and upside are intriguing, but probably not good enough to 
win many games as a rookie on an offense devoid of talent. Defensively, 
Carolina should begin to improve under new head coach Ron Rivera. 



NFC WEST 



After missing the playoffs by one game, the Rams should again be in the 
hunt to win the weak NFC West in QB Sam Bradford's second year. Bradford 
has the makeup of a great passer, but very little talent around him. On 
defense, St. Louis has a potentially dangerous pass rush. ... For the 
49ers, their decision at QB could make all the difference. RB Frank Gore 
and TE Vernon Davis are both top talents at their position, and WR Michael 
Crabtree could become an elite playmaker with the right chemistry with 
his passer and coaches. Despite weaknesses in the secondary, San Fran has 
a potentially stalwart defense with unheralded DE Justin Smith and All-Pro 

LB Patrick Willis Questions under center linger in Seattle, where the 

Seahawks lack firepower on offense. Their secondary weakness may not 
be a huge problem in a division so lacking in passing/catching talent, and 

Seattle's front seven has some intriguing young talent The Cardinals 

are a mess without Kurt Warner. WR Larry Fitzgerald's talents are going to 
waste with a stable of useless QBs under center, although the anemic run- 
ning game hopes to get a shot in the arm from high-talent, low-production 
second-rounder Ryan Williams. There's not much reason for optimism on 
defense, either, as fifth-overall pick CB Patrick Peterson joins a secondary 
that often struggled behind a mediocre front seven. 



PREDICTED 
AFC STANDINGS 

EAST W L 

New England 12 4 

New York Jets* 11 5 

Buffalo 7 9 

Miami 6 10 

NORTH W L 

Baltimore 12 4 

Pittsburgh* 10 6 

Cleveland 6 10 

Cincinnati 4 12 

SOUTH W L 

Indianapolis 10 6 

Jacksonville 8 8 

Houston 7 9 

Tennessee 6 10 

WEST W L 

Oakland 10 6 

San Diego 9 7 

Kansas City 7 9 

Denver 3 13 

* wildcard 

AFC PLAYOFF 
PREDICTIONS 

WILDCARD WEEKEND: 

Jets over Colts 
Raiders over Steelers 

DIVISIONAL ROUND: 

Ravens over Jets 
Patriots over Raiders 

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP: 

Ravens over Patriots 



PREDICTED 
NFC STANDINGS 

EAST W L 

Philadelphia 11 5 

New York Giants*... 10 6 

Dallas 9 7 

Washington 5 11 

NORTH W L 

Green Bay 11 5 

Detroit 9 7 

Chicago 8 8 

Minnesota 7 9 

SOUTH W L 

Tampa Bay 11 5 

New Orleans* 10 6 

Atlanta 9 7 

Carolina 3 13 

WEST W L 

St. Louis 9 7 

San Francisco 7 9 

Seattle 5 11 

Arizona 4 12 

* wildcard 

NFC PLAYOFF 
PREDICTIONS 

WILDCARD WEEKEND: 

Saints over Rams 
Buccaneers over Giants 

DIVISIONAL ROUND: 

Packers over Saints 
Eagles over Buccaneers 

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: 

Eagles over Packers 



! 



1 
1 



3» 

s 



SUPER BOWL XLVI PREDICTION: 
RAVENS 24, EAGLES 20 



■ 

i 

I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 9 



m\ . 



Head coach Chan Gailey brought an aggressive spread passing game to 
Buffalo in his first season as head coach in 2010, going four-wide early 
and often. Flanker Stevie Johnson should again be the clear-cut No. 1 
receiver for quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick. On the ground, Buffalo made 
more of a commitment to zone blocking in their first year under Gailey. 
It's a running scheme that's more about finesse and deception, and 
Fred Jackson figures to lead their running back committee again. C.J. 
Spiller was asked to run only outside as a rookie-they don't trust him 
between the tackles yet. Defensively, the team is looking to first-round 
pick Marcell Dareus to vastly improve what was the NFL's worst run 
defense a year ago. The plan is to have Dareus slide inside next to Kyle 
Williams in the Bills' 4-3 defense, which will theoretically make it diffi- 
cult for opposing teams to run the ball up the gut as effectively as they 
were able to in 2010. 

mm DOLPKSNS 

The Dolphins offense will have a different look this year, with former 
Cleveland Browns offensive coordinator Brian Daboll taking that posi- 
tion in Miami. He'll try to get some production out of a lousy passing 
game, which could once again be led by scattershot QB Chad Henne. 
The off-field problems of top receiver Brandon Marshall this offsea- 
son, and the likely ascension of rookie RB Daniel Thomas to the top 
of the depth chart only add more questions around this unit. With a 
short offseason to install the new offense, there could be issues. The 
defense remains very strong though, especially with OLB Cameron 
Wake emerging as a pass-rushing superstar. The secondary was shaky 
early last year, but came on strong later in the year and could take 
another step forward with cornerbacks Vontae Davis and Sean Smith 
entering their third seasons. They're also strong up the middle, with 
ILB Karlos Dansby anchoring the run defense behind underrated nose 
tackle Paul SoLiai. 

H ENGLAND PATRIOTS 

Obviously, everything the Patriots do on offense is based on and off of 
Tom Brady, but they won't hesitate to give a heavy dose of their power 
running game. They have an underrated run-blocking line and added 
another slashing runner in second-round pick Shane Vereen and a pure 
power runner in third-rounder Stevan Ridley. New England ran it on 
46% of their offensive snaps last year, the eighth-highest percentage 
in the NFL. It's all set up by Brady and their spread passing game. They 
went underneath more because of the departure of Randy Moss, using 
Wes Welker and their stable of tight ends on short and intermediate 



PREDICTED STANDINGS 


AFC EAST 




TEAM 


w 


L 


New England Patriots 


12 


....4 


New York Jets 


11 


....5 


Buffalo Bills 


7 


....Q 




Miami Dolphins 


6 


..10 





CA2m 



With Tom Brady leading the way for a high-powered offense, Patriots games 
went over the total a league-high 82.4% of the time last season. 



routes, and behind Brady they're one of the few teams capable of consis- 
tently sustaining long drives. Their overall run defense is strong, but the 
Patriots are still in search of a consistent pass rusher. Aside from star CB 
Devin McCourty, their secondary is weak, and they're especially vulner- 
able because of the lack of a pass rush. 



:.v^j-;p- 



The |ets have been all about ball control offense and strong defense since 
Rex Ryan came in, and this year should be no different. The theme of 
the offseason has been a heavy workload for RB Shonn Greene, who was 
relegated to a part-time role in his first two seasons because of fumble 
problems. He's a power runner behind an elite run-blocking line, with 
LaDainian Tomlinson set to take third-down duties. QB Mark Sanchez has 
been more of a game-manager to this point in his career, working off a lot 
of play-action. With so much changeover among his receiving corps, the 
lets will surely keep it conservative on offense. Defensively, the ability of 
CB Darrelle Revistotake away one half of the field is a huge advantage, 
and makes up for their lack of a consistent pass rush. Despite Rex Ryan's 
exotic blitz schemes, they're unable to generate any pressure on oppos- 
ing quarterbacks. They haven't missed a beat since losing nose tackle Kris 
Jenkins the last two seasons, thanks to the emergence of NT Sione Pouha 
and DE Mike DeVito. 



10 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 150-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 75-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 22.25 (2nd toughest) 
2010 Record: 4-12 (7.2 ML units), 7-7-2 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-9 
2010 Schedule Strength: 23.81 (tied for toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 13 (#27 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -5.38 (#27 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Kansas City 


Week 2 


Oakland 


Week 3 


New England 


Week 4 


at Cincinnati 


Weeks 


Philadelphia 


Week 6 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


Washington at Toronto 


Week 9 


N.Y. )ets 


Week 10 


at Dallas 


Week 11 


at Miami 


Week 12 


at N.Y. )ets 


Week 13 


Tennessee 


Week 14 


at San Diego 


Week 15 


Miami 


Week 16 


Denver 


Week 17 


at New England 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

BUFFALO is 5-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 2001 

OAKLAND is 7-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at BUFFALO since 2004 

BUFFALO is 7-1 against the spread and 8-0 straight-up against CINCINNATI since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in BUF-PHI series since 1992 

NY GIANTS are 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 

BUFFALO is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against WASHINGTON since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 11-3 against the spread and 9-5 straight-up in BUF-NY) series since 2004 

Last six games are 4-2 UNDER the total in BUF-DAL series since 1992 

BUFFALO is 10-4 against the spread versus MIAMI since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 6-1 against the spread when BUFFALO plays at NY JETS since 2004 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in BUF-TEN series 

HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up in BUF-SD series since 1992 

BUFFALO is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against MIAMI since 2004 

Last eight games are 5-2 OVER the total in BUF-DEN series since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 9-4 ATS, 14-O straight-up against BUFFALO since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


5-11 


7-9 


7-9 


7-9 


6-10 


4-12 


36-60 


37.5% 


7-9 


10-6 


10-6 


7-9 


8-7 


7-7 


49-44 


52.7% 


2-2 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


1-3 


2-2 


12-12 


50.0% 


4-4 


5-3 


6-2 


2-5 


3-3 


2-4 


22-21 


51.2% 


3-5 


5-3 


4-4 


5-4 


5-4 


5-3 


27-23 


54.0% 


4-2 


4-2 


4-2 


1-5 


3-2 


2-4 


18-17 


514% 


7-5 


8-4 


7-5 


5-7 


6-5 


7-5 


40-31 


56.3% 


4-2 


3-3 


2-0 


3-5 


3-1 


0-1 


15-12 


55-6% 


3-7 


7-3 


8-6 


4-4 


5-6 


7-6 


34-32 


51.5% 


9-7 


7-9 


7-9 


8-8 


6-10 


7-9 


44-52 


45.8% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pet. 40% to 49%) the last five seasons 

BUFFALO is 7-2 ATS off a road loss the last two seasons 

BUFFALO is 3-9 ATS off a home loss the last three seasons 

BUFFALO is 0-5 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game the last two seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-8.9 


30 


Yardage 


-57.1 


27 


Yds Per Play 


-O.29 


21 


Yds Per Point 


3.60 


30 


Turnovers 


-17 


32 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


17-7 


28 


First Downs 


16.4 


26 


Yards/Game 


304.5 


25 


Yds Per Play 


5.11 


21 


Yds Per Point 


17.22 


28 


RushYds/Gm 


107.6 


18 


Yards Per Rush 


4.28 


13 


PassAtt/Game 


32.4 


19 


Comp/Game 


18.5 


22 


Completion % 


57-0 


27 


PassYds/Gm 


196.9 


24 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.07 


28 


1 NTs Thrown 


21 


26 


Sacks Allowed 


33 


14 


Att/Sack 


16.7 


14 


Sack Yards 


213 


12 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


26.6 


28 


First Downs 


20.9 


28 


Yards/Game 


361.6 


24 


Yds Per Play 


540 


20 


Yds Per Point 


13.61 


27 


RushYds/Gm 


169.6 


32 


Yards Per Rush 


4-75 


31 


PassAtt/Game 


29.6 


2 


Comp/Game 


18.4 


5 


Comp % 


62.2 


19 


PassYds/Gm 


192.0 


3 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.49 


19 


Interceptions 


11 


28 


Sacks 


27 


27 


Att/Sack 


18.5 


19 


Sack Yards 


181 


26 



p 



I 



2007 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


n 
«/> 

M 

O 
M 
O 

ts> 

ST 
5" 


9/9 vs DEN 

9/16 at PIT 

9/23 at 

9/30 vs NY] 
10/8 vs 


L 14-15 

L3-26 

L7-38 

w 17-14 

L 24-25 


W(+3) 

LM'r 

L (+16/2) 

W(+3)"' 

W (+10%) 


U(38) 
U (40) 
0(41) 

u (37/2) 

0(45) 


9/7 
9/14™ 

9/28 
10/5 


vsSEA 

"vsOAK 
atSTL 

vsSDG 


W 34-10 
W2046 

w 24-23 

W3144 
L 17-41 
W 23-14 


W (-2/2) 
"W'(' + 4J" 
L('-10) 
W(-9) 
L(+2J 
W(+l) 


0(37/) 
U(37) 
0(37) 
6 (44) 

6 (44/2) 
U(45) 


9/14 
9/20 
9/27 
10/4 


atNWE 

vsTAM" 

vsNOR" 

atMIA" 

vsCLE 

atNYJ 


L24-25 
W 33-20 

Ikzill 

L 10-38 

L3-6 

W 16-13 


W(+13) 

W(-4) 

L(+5J4J 
L(+2J 
L(-5/) 
W(+9) 


0(47) 
6(41/2) 
U(5l/2) 

0(37) 
U (41/2) 
U (35/) 


9/12 
g/i'g"" 

10/3 


vsMIA 
"atGNB" 
"atNWE 
"vsNYJ" 
vsJAC" 


L 10-15 

"i'zii"' 

L 30-38 

L14-38 

L 26-36 


L(+3) 
L (+12)4) 
W (+14) 

L(+5) 

L(-3) 


U(39) 
U (42)4) 
6(42/2) 
6(36/2) 
6(41/2) 


10/21 vs 


W 19-14 


W(+3) 


U (33%) 




at BAL 


L 34-37 


W (+12/2) 


(39/) 


10/28 at NY) 


W13-3 


W(+3) 


U (38/2) 


II/9 


at MIA 
vsNYJ"" 

"atNWE 
_.„...... 

"atKAN" 


L 16-25 
........„„..„.„..... 

L 10-20 
L 27-29 
W 54-31 


L(+l) 
L(-5) 
L (+334) 

L(-5) 
W(-3) 


U (41/2) 
U (43/2) 
U (40/2) 

0(41)" 

6(43%) 


11 / 1 " 
11/15 


at CAR 
"vsHOU" 

atTEN 

"atJAC 

vsMIA" 


W20-9 
L 10-31 
L17-41 
L 15-18 

w 31-14 


W(+7) 
L(+3) 

L(+7/) 
W (+8/2) 
W"(+4J"" 


U(37) 
0(42) 
6 (4034) 
U(4l) 
0(38) 


^/L. 


atKAN 
vsCHI 
vsDET 
at CIN 


LlO-13 
L 19-22 
W 14-12 

W 49-31 


W(+7) 
P(+3) 
P(-2) 
W"(+4J 


U (45/) 

U (41/2) 

U (4434) 

0(41) 


11/4 vs 
11/11 at 
11/18 vs 


W 33-21 

w 13-10 

L IO-56 


W (+1/2) 
'W( : 2>2)' 

__ 


0(44) 
__ 

(46/2) 


11/25 al 


L 14-36 


L(+8/ 2 ) 


0(37) 




vsPIT 


L 16-19 


W (+6/2) 


U (43/) 


^^^^ 


12/2 al 


W 17-16 


W (+6/2) 


U(37) 


11/30 


vsSFO 


L3-10 


K-6/2) 


U(43) 


12/3 


vsNYJ 

atKAN" 
"vsNWE" 

atATL 

vsIND 


L 13-19 
"w'16-io" 

L 10-17 
L'3-31 

w 30-7 


L(+3%) 
W(-3) 
P(+7J 
L (-H8) 

W (-7/2) 


U(37) 
U (38)4) 
U (41/2) 
U (40)4) 

0(32) 


12/5 


atMIN 


L 14-38 


L(+5/) 


(43/) 


$ 


12/9 v 
12/16 atCLE 


w 38-17 

LO-8 


W (-6/2) 

n+4) 


0(34) 
U (36) 


12/7 vs MIA 
12/14 atNYJ 
12/21 at DEN 
12/28'vsNWE 


L3-I6 
L 27-31 

w 30-23 

LO-13 


L(-2/ 2 ) 

W(+8J 
— — ■■ 


U(43) 

0(41) 

6 (46/2) 

U (3434) 


1/2 


vsCLE 
atMIA 
"vsNWE 
at NYJ 


W13-6 
W 17-14 

L 3-34 
L7-38 


W(0) 
W(+6) 

n+7) 

L(0) 


U (39/) 
U(40) 
U (46) 
0(38) 


I 


12/23 vs 
12/30 at PHI 


L 21-38 
L9-17 


L(+2) 
W(+9J 


0(31/2) 
U (38/2) 


1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 11 



AFC EAST 



&. I SI1PI 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 40-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 20-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.63 (6th toughest) 
2010 Record: 7-9 (-4.1 ML units), 8-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-9 
2010 Schedule Strength: 23.81 (tied for toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#19 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +0.13 (#16 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


New England 


Week 2 


Houston 


Week 3 


at Cleveland 


Week 4 


at San Diego 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


at N.Y. Jets 


Week 7 


Denver 


Week 8 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 9 


at Kansas City 


Week 10 


Washington 


Week 11 


Buffalo 


Week 12 


at Dallas 


Week 13 


Oakland 


Week 14 


Philadelphia 


Week 15 


at Buffalo 


Week 16 


at New England 


Week 17 


N.Y. jets 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread in MIA-NE series since 2007 
UNDERDOG is 5-0 against the spread in HOU-MIA series since 2001 
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up against MIAMI since 2001 
Last 11 games are 10-1 UNDER the total in MIA-SD series since 1992 

NY J ETS are 24-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 

MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against DENVER since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in MIA-NYG series since 1992 

MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread and 7-2 straight-up against KANSAS CITY since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 4-0 straight-up in MIA-WAS series since 1992 

BUFFALO is 10-4 against the spread versus MIAMI since 2004 

ROAD TEAM is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-MIA series since 1992 

Last six games in MIAMI are 5-1 UNDER the total in MIA-OAK series since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 

BUFFALO is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against MIAMI since 2004 

MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread at NEW ENGLAND since 2007 

NY J ETS are 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at MIAMI since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


9-7 


6-10 


1-15 


11-6 


7-9 


7-9 


41-56 


42.3% 


7-9 


6-10 


5-9 


8-9 


8-8 


8-8 


42-53 


44-2% 


0-4 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


3-0 


1-3 


11-12 


47.8% 


3-5 


3-5 


1-6 


2-7 


3-5 


2-6 


14-34 


29.2% 


4-4 


3-5 


4-3 


6-2 


5-3 


6-2 


28-19 


59-6% 


1-5 


1-5 


1-4 


4-2 


5-1 


2-4 


14-21 


40.0% 


5-7 


3-9 


4-7 


8-5 


7-5 


6-6 


33-39 


45-8% 


1-3 


3-6 


0-2 


2-5 


1-3 


3-5 


10-24 


294% 


6-6 


3-4 


5-7 


6-4 


7-5 


5-3 


32-29 


52.5% 


8-8 


6-10 


9-7 


6-11 


9-6 


7-9 


45-51 


46.9% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



MIAMI is 9-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game the last two seasons 
MIAMI is 10-3 ATS in Weeks 5 through 9 the last three seasons 

MIAMI is 5-17 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game the last five seasons 
MIAMI is O-ll ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=285 yards/game the last five seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


-3-7 


22 


Yardage 


13-8 


11 


Yds Per Play 


-O.04 


18 


Yds Per Point 


4.08 


31 


Turnovers 


-11 


29 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


17.1 


30 


First Downs 


18.8 


19 


Yards/Game 


323.1 


21 


Yds Per Play 


4-97 


27 


Yds Per Point 


18.94 


31 


RushYds/Gm 


102.9 


21 


Yards Per Rush 


3-71 


29 


PassAtt/Game 


34-9 


13 


Comp/Game 


21.0 


14 


Completion % 


60.2 


19 


PassYds/Gm 


220.3 


16 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.32 


21 


1 NTs Thrown 


20 


23 


Sacks Allowed 


38 


20 


Att/Sack 


15.7 


17 


Sack Yards 


228 


18 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


20.8 


14 


First Downs 


16.5 


3 


Yards/Game 


309.3 


6 


Yds Per Play 


5.01 


4 


Yds Per Point 


14.86 


17 


RushYds/Gm 


100.1 


7 


Yards Per Rush 


3-58 


4 


PassAtt/Game 


31.4 


5 


Comp/Game 


18.0 
57-4 


4 


1 Comp% 


6 


1 PassYds/Gm 


209.3 


8 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.67 


20 


1 Interceptions 


11 


28 


1 Sacks 


39 


10 


1 Att/Sack 


13-9 


7 


1 Sack Yards 


225 


18 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2009 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/9 at WAS 
9/16 vsDAL 

9/23 at NY) 

9/30 vs 
l0/7]jtH0lT 
10/14 at CLE 
l0/2l'vs 
10/28 "vsNYG"" 
11/11 vsBUF 

11/18 atPHI 

11/26 "at PIT 

12/2 vsNY) 

12/9 at BU'f" 

l'2/16'vsBAL 

12/30 vsCIN 



L 13-16 



L 20-37 
L 28-31 



P(+3) 
L(+3) 



U(34) 



.. L ... 1 Z:35... 

L 19-22 



P(+3) 

L(-3/ 2 ) 
W (+4/2) 



(36/2) 



L3141 
L 28-49 



L(+3)4) 



L 10-13 
L 10-13 



L {+15/2) 
W (+10) 



0(45) 



L7-17 
L 0-3 



L (+234) 

L(+9/) 
W(+15) 



11(41) 
U(37) 



L 13-40 
..„._.... 



W 22-16 

L7-28 

.._.„_... 



L(-2) 
L(+6/ 2 ) 
W(+3) 



W (+22/2) 
L(+3) 



0(37) 
0(37) 



9/7 vs NY) 
9/14 at ARI 

9/2'i at 

10/5 vs 
ib/12 ""atHOU" 

Li !6 vsBUF 

11/2 at DEN 

11/9 vsSEA 

11/16 vs 

li/23'vs 

11/30 "at STL 

12/7 vsBUF" 

12/14 vsSFO 
■—— 

12/28'at NYJ 



L 14-20 



L 10-31 
w'38-13 



L(+3) 
L <+6) 



U(37) 

(40/2) 



w 17-10 
L28-29 



W (+12) 

"w"(+5%j' 
__ 



0(37) 

U (44/2) 

6 (44/2) 



L 13-27 
w'25-16" 



W 26-17 
W 21-19 



L(-3) 

W(-l) 



(35/2) 

U (41/2) 
U(50) 



W 17-15 

"['2848" 



L {-7/2) 
L(-10) 
L (+2) 



U (41/2) 

U (37%) 

0(42) 



W 16-12 
W16-3 



W14-9 
w'3'8-31 
W 24-17 



L(7) 
W (+2/2) 

H54) 



W(-3) 



U (44/2) 
U(43) 
U(41) 
0(37) 



9/13 at ATL 
9/21 vs 
9/27 atSDG 
10/4 vs 
10/12 vsNY] 
10/25 \ 

ll/l atNYJ 

11/8 at 

11/15 vs 
11/19 at 
li/29 "at BUF' 
12/6'^vs 
12/13 at (AC 

12/20'atTEN 

12/27 vsHOU' 
1/3 vs Pit 



L7-19 



I 2 .3: 2 Z... 

L 13-23 



L(+4) 
L (+3) 



U(44) 



W 38-10 
— — ■ 



L(+5) 

W(-2) 
W(+3) 



U(45) 

0(37) 



L34 : 46 

W 30-25 



L 17-27 
^'25^3' 



L(+6) 
W"(+3J 
W (+11) 



0(47%) 
6(40) 
U(47) 



W 24-17 
L 14-31 



L(-10) 
W(+3) 
L(-4) 



0(43) 

U (41/2) 
0(38) 



W22-21 

w 14-10 



I 2 ± 2 Z..., 

L 20-27 
L 24-30 



W(+5) 
W(+2) 



L (-1/2) 

L(+3) 



U(46) 
U (43) 

P(47) 
0(45) 



2010 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 at BUF 


w 15-10 


W(-3) 


U(39) 


9/19 at 


W 14-10 


W (+5/2) 


U(41) 


9/26 vs NY) 


L 23-31 


L(-2) 


0(35/) 


10/4 vs 


L 14-41 


L(pk) 


(48%) 


10/17 a 


W 23-20 


W(+3) 


U(44) 


vsPIT 


L 22-23 


W(+3) 


0(40) 


10/31 atCIN 


W 22-14 


W(-l) 


U(44) 


11/7 at 


L 10-26 


L(+5) 


U(41) 


11/14 vs 


w 29-17 


W (-1/2) 


0(43) 


11/18 vsCHI 


LO-16 


L(-3) 


U(40) 


11/28 a 


w 33-17 


W(+3) 


0(38) 


12/5 vs CLE 


L 10-13 


L(6) 


U (43/) 


12/12 at NY) 


WlO-6 


W (+4/2) 


11(38) 


12/19 V: 


L 14-17 


L(6) 


U(40) 




L 27-34 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


(41/2) 


1/2 at 


L7-38 


L(+4) 


0(44) 



12 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: n-to-4 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.50 (14th toughest) 
2010 Record: 14-3 (+7-6 ML units), 10-6-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 14-3 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.53 (8th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 35 (#1 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +14.82 (82 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Miami 


Week 2 


San Diego 


Week 3 


at Buffalo 


Week 4 


at Oakland 


Weeks 


N.Y.jets 


Week 6 


Dallas 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 9 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 10 


at N.Y.jets 


Week 11 


Kansas City 


Week 12 


at Philadelphia 


Week 13 


Indianapolis 


Week 14 


at Washington 


Week 15 


at Denver 


Week 16 


Miami 



Week 17 Buffalo 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread in MIA-NE series since 2007 
UNDERDOG is 8-3 against the spread and 7-4 straight-up in NE-SD series since 1992 
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at BUFFALO since 2004 
FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in NE-OAK series since 2001 
ROAD TEAM is 14-7 against the spread and 13-9 straight-up in NE-NYJ series since 2001 
FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-NE series since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at PITTSBURGH since 2001 

NY GIANTS are 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 against the spread and straight-up at NY JETS since 2001 

FAVORITE is 9-0 straight-up in the KC-NE series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in NE-PHI series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 5-1 against the spread in IND-NE series since 2006 

NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 2001 

DENVER is 6-2 against the spread and straight-up against NEW ENGLAND since 2001 

MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread at NEW ENGLAND since 2007 

NEW ENGLAND is 9-4 ATS, 14-O straight-up against BUFFALO since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


11-7 


14-5 


18-1 


11-5 


10-7 


14-3 


78-28 


73.6% 


9-9 


11-8 


10-9 


9-7 


8-8 


10-6 


57-47 


54.8% 


2-2 


2-1 


2-2 


0-4 


2-2 


2-1 


10-12 


45-5% 


4-5 


3-6 


5-5 


3-5 


5-4 


4-4 


24-29 


45-3% 


5-4 


8-2 


5-4 


6-2 


3-4 


6-2 


33-18 


647% 


4-2 


4-3 


4-2 


4-2 


1-4 


4-3 


21-16 


56.8% 


7-7 


9-6 


8-6 


7-5 


6-6 


7-5 


44-35 


55-7% 


8-5 


7-7 


10-9 


8-6 


6-7 


7-6 


46-40 


53-5% 


1-4 


4-1 


0-0 


1-1 


2-1 


3-0 


11-7 


61.1% 


9-8 


8-11 


11-7 


9-7 


6-10 


14-3 


57-46 


553% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



NEW ENGLAND is 6-1 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite the last three seasons 

NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 ATS in October games the last five seasons 

NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pet. of 61% or worse the last two seasons 

NEW ENGLAND is 2-10 ATS after 8 or more consecutive wins the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


at NY) 


W 38-14 


W(-6) 


(41/2) 


9/16 


vsSDG 


W 38-14 


W (-3/2) 


0(46) 


9/23 


vsBUF 


W38-7 


W (-16/2) 


0(41) 


10/1 


atCIN 


w 34-13 


W(-8) 


U(54) 


10/7 


vsCLE 


w 34-17 


W (-15/2) 


0(48) 




at DAL 


W 48-27 


W(-4/ 2 ) 


0(52) 




at MIA 


W 49-28 


W (-15/2) 


0(50) 




vsWAS 


W52-7 


W(-15) 




11/4 


atlND 


W 24-20 


LU/2) 


U(56) 




at BUF 


W 56-10 


W(-15/ 2 ) 






vsPHI 


w 31-28 


L {-23/2) 


0(51) 


12/3 


atBAL 


w 27-24 


LM9/2) 






vsPIT 


W 34-13 


W (-11) 


u (49/2) 


12/16 


vsNYj 


W 20-10 


L (-20) 


U(42) 




vsMIA 


W28-7 


L(-22/ 2 ) 


U(46) 




atNYG 


W 38-35 


L (-13) 


(46/2) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 vs KAN 


w 17-10 


L(-l6/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 


9/14 at NY) 


w 19-10 


W(-l) 


U(37) 


9/21 v< 


L 13-38 


L (-12) 


0(37) 


10/5 at SF0 


w 30-21 


W(-3) 


0(41) 


10/12 ai 


L 10-30 


L(+6) 


U(45) 


10/20 vsDEN 


W41-7 


W(-3) 


(47/2) 


10/26 vsSTL 


W 23-16 


L(-9) 


U(4l) 


11/2 atlND 


L 15-18 


W (+6/2) 


U(44) 


11/9 vs BUF 


W 20-10 


W (-3/2) 


U (40/2) 


11/13 vsNY) 


L 31-34 


L(-3) 


0(41) 


11/23 at MIA 


W 48-28 


W(-2) 


0(42) 


11/30 vsPIT 


L 10-33 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(40) 


12/7 at SEA 


W 24-21 


L(7/ 2 ) 


0(43) 


12/14 at OAK 


W 49-26 


W(-7) 


0(38) 


12/21 vsARI 


W47-7 


W(-8) 


0(41) 


12/28 at BUF 


W13-0 


W(-5J4) 


U (34/2) 









2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/14 


vsBUF 


w 25-24 


LM3) 


0(47) 


9/20 


at NY) 


L9-16 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


9/27 


vsATL 


W 26-10 


W(-4) 


u (45/2) 


10/4 


vsBAL 


w 27-21 


W(-2) 


0(45) 




at DEN 


L 17-20 


L(-3) 


U(41) 




vsTEN 


W59-0 


W(-9) 


0(39) 




vsTAM 


W35-7 


W (-15/2) 


U (44/2) 


11/8 


vsMIA 


w 27-17 


L (-11) 


U(47) 


11/15 


atlND 


L 34-35 


W(+3) 


(48/2) 




vs NYj 


w 31-14 


W (-11) 


P(45) 






L 17-38 


L(+2) 


U(57) 


12/6 


at MIA 


L 21-22 


L(-5) 


U(46) 




vsCAR 


W 20-10 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 




at BUF 


w 17-10 


P(-7) 


U (41/2) 




vsJAC 


W35-7 


W(-9) 


U (44/2) 


1/3 


atHOU 


L 27-34 


W(+8) 


0(47) 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


RANK 


Scoring 


12.8 


1 


Yardage 


-2.8 


19 


Yds Per Play 


0.35 


8 


Yds Per Point 


-7.50 


1 


Turnovers 


+28 


1 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Scored 


32.4 


1 


First Downs 


20.9 


6 


Yards/Game 


363-8 


8 


Yds Per Play 


5.90 


4 


Yds Per Point 


11.24 


1 


RushYds/Gm 


1233 


9 


Yards Per Rush 


4-35 


10 


PassAtt/Game 


31.7 


20 


Comp/Game 


20.7 


16 


Completion % 


65-3 


5 


PassYds/Gm 


240.4 


11 


PassYds/Att 


7-59 


3 


1 NTs Thrown 


5 


1 


Sacks Allowed 


25 


4 


Att/Sack 


21.3 


7 


Sack Yards 


175 


6 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Allowec 


19.6 


8 


First Downs 


21.8 


30 


Yards/Game 


366.5 


25 


Yds Per Play 


5-55 


26 


Yds Per Point 


18.73 


4 


RushYds/Gm 


108.2 


11 


Yards Per Rush 


4-23 


16 


PassAtt/Game 


38.3 


31 


Comp/Game 


24-3 


31 


Comp % 


63.6 


24 


PassYds/Gm 


258.3 


30 


PassYds/Att 


6.75 


24 


Interceptions 


25 


1 


Sacks 


35 


16 


Att/Sack 


18.5 


21 


Sack Yards 


212 


22 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsCIN 


W 38-24 


W(-5) 


0(45) 


9/19 


at NYJ 


L 14-28 


L(-3) 


(39/2) 




vsBUF 


w 38-30 


L (-14) 


(42/2) 


10/4 


at MIA 


W 41-14 


W(pk) 


(48/2) 




vsBAL 


w 23-20 


P(-3) 


U (44/2) 




atSDG 


w 23-20 


W(+3) 


U(49) 




vsMIN 


W 28-18 


W(5) 


0(45) 


11/7 


at CLE 


L 14-34 


L(-4) 


0(43/2) 




at PIT 


W 39-26 


W(+4) 


0(45) 




vsIND 


W 31-28 


L(-4) 


0(49) 




at DET 


W 45-24 


W(-6) 


0(50) 


12/6 


vsNYJ 


W45-3 


W(-4) 


0(44) 




at CHI 


W36-7 


W(-3) 


0(37/) 




vsGNB 


w 31-27 


LM4) 


(43/) 




at BUF 


W34-3 


W(-7) 


U(46) 


1/2 


vsMIA 


W38-7 


W(-4) 


0(44) 



p 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 13 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 5-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.94 (loth toughest) 
2010 Record: 13-6 (+7.2 ML units), 11-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 14-5 
2010 Schedule Strength: 23.16 (3rd toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 28 (#5 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.23 (#8 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Dallas 


Week 2 


Jacksonville 


Week 3 


at Oakland 


Week 4 


at Baltimore 


Weeks 


at New England 


Week 6 


Miami 


Week 7 


San Diego 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


at Buffalo 


Week 10 


New England 


Week 11 


at Denver 


Week 12 


Buffalo 


Week 13 


at Washington 


Week 14 


Kansas City 


Week 15 


at Philadelphia 


Week 16 


Giants 


Week 17 


at Miami 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

JACKSONVILLE is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NY JETS since 2001 

HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread in NYJ-OAK series since 2001 

BALTIMORE is 6-1 against the spread and straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 14-7 against the spread and 13-9 straight-up in NE-NYJ series since 2001 

NY JETS are 24-11 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up in NYJ-SD series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 11-3 against the spread and 9-5 straight-up in BUF-NYJ series since 2004 

NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 against the spread and straight-up at NY JETS since 2001 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up at DENVER in DEN-NYJ series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 6-1 against the spread when BUFFALO plays at NY JETS since 2004 

FAVORITE is 5-0 straight-up in NYJ-WAS series since 1992 

KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus NY JETS since 2001 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

NY GIANTS are 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

NY JETS are 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at MIAMI since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


4-12 


10-7 


4-12 


9-7 


11-8 


13-6 


51-52 


49-5% 


6-10 


11-6 


6-9 


7-9 


11-8 


11-8 


52-50 


51.0% 


3-1 


1-3 


3-1 


2-1 


3-1 


2-2 


14-9 


60.9% 


5-3 


5-3 


2-5 


3-5 


4-4 


4-4 


23-24 


48.9% 


1-7 


6-3 


4-4 


4-4 


7-4 


7-4 


29-26 


52.7% 


3-3 


4-3 


2-3 


3-3 


2-4 


5-2 


19-18 


514% 


5-7 


8-5 


5-6 


5-7 


9-6 


10-5 


42-36 


53-8% 


1-2 


4-1 


0-3 


4-7 


6-5 


5-5 


20-23 


46.5% 


5-8 


7-5 


6-6 


3-2 


5-3 


6-3 


32-27 


54.2% 


9-7 


10-7 


7-9 


8-8 


9-9 


14-5 


57-45 


55-9% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



NY JETS is 10-2 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games the last three seasons 
NY JETS is 11-3 ATS revenging a loss against opponent the last three seasons 
NY JETS is 2-8 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4-5 rushing yards/carry the last five seasons 
NY JETS is 1-10 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=375 yards/game the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


3-9 


8 


Yardage 


59-5 


6 


Yds Per Play 


O.41 


7 


Yds Per Point 


-O.04 


13 


Turnovers 


+9 


5 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


22.9 


14 


First Downs 


19.2 


15 


Yards/Game 


351.0 


11 


Yds Per Play 


5-17 


19 


Yds Per Point 


15.30 


16 


RushYds/Gm 


148.4 


4 


Yards Per Rush 


4-45 


8 


PassAtt/Game 


32.8 


18 


Comp/Game 


18.0 


25 


Completion % 


54-9 


30 


PassYds/Gm 


202.6 


22 


PassYds/Att 


6.18 


25 


1 NTs Thrown 


14 


12 


Sacks Allowed 


28 


8 


Att/Sack 


19.8 


8 


Sack Yards 


178 


7 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


19.0 


6 


First Downs 


17.0 


5 


Yards/Game 


291.5 


3 


Yds Per Play 


476 


3 


Yds Per Point 


15.34 


14 


RushYds/Gm 


90.9 


3 


Yards Per Rush 


3-57 


3 


PassAtt/Game 


33-2 


15 


Comp/Game 


16.8 
50.7 


2 


1 Comp% 


1 


1 PassYds/Gm 


200.6 


6 


1 PassYds/Att 


6.04 


5 


1 Interceptions 


12 


25 


1 Sacks 


40 


8 


1 Att/Sack 


14-3 


8 


1 Sack Yards 


245 


14 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsNWE 


L 14-38 


L(+6) 


(41/2) 


9/16 


atBAL 


L 13-20 


W(+9) 


(32/2) 


9/23 


vsMIA 


W 31-28 


P(-3) 


(36/2) 


9/30 


at BUT 


L 14-17 


L(-3) 


u (37/2) 


10/7 


atNYG 


L 24-35 


L (+334) 


(40/2) 




vsPHI 


L9-16 


L(+4) 


u (43/2) 




atCIN 


L 31-38 


L (+534) 


(48/2) 




vsBUF 


L3-13 


L(-3) 


U (38/2) 


11/4 


vsWAS 


L 20-23 


W (+3/2) 


0(36) 


II/1.8 


vsPIT 


W 19-16 


W(+9) 


U (40/2) 




at DAL 


L3-34 


L(+14) 


U(48) 


12/2 


at MIA 


w 40-13 


W(+2) 


0(37) 




vsCLE 


L 18-24 


L(+3) 


U(47) 


12/16 


atNWE 


L 10-20 


W (+20) 


U(42) 




at TEN 


L6-10 


W(+8) 


u (37/2) 




vsKAN 


w 13-10 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


u (35/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


at MIA 


w 20-14 


W(-3) 


U(37) 


9/14 


vsNWE 


L 10-19 


L(+l) 


U(37) 




atSDG 


L 29-48 


L(+8) 


(46/2) 


9/28 


vsARI 


W 56-35 


W (-1/2) 


(43/2) 




vsCIN 


W 26-14 


W (-9/2) 


U(44) 




at OAK 


L 13-16 


L(-3) 


U(4l) 




vsKAN 


W 28-24 


L (-14) 


(40/2) 


11/2 


at BUT 


W 26-17 


W(+5) 


u (43/2) 


11/9 


vsSTL 


W47-3 


W (-9/2) 


(43/2) 




atNWE 


W 34-31 


W(+3) 


0(41) 




at TEN 


W 34-13 


W(+5/ 2 ) 


0(41) 




vsDEN 


L 17-34 


L(-8) 


0(48) 


12/7 


atSFO 


L 14-24 


L(-5) 


u (45/2) 




vsBUF 


w 31-27 


L(-8) 


0(41) 




at SEA 


L3-13 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


U (41/2) 


12/28 


vsMIA 


L 17-24 


L(-3) 


U(43) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


atHOU 


W24-7 


W (+4/2) 


U (44/2) 


9/20 


vsNWE 


W16-9 


W (+3/2) 


U (44/2) 


9/27 


vsTEN 


w 24-17 


W(-l) 


0(36) 


10/4 


at NOR 


L 10-24 


L (+7/2) 


U(47) 




at MIA 


L 27-31 


L(-3) 


0(35/2) 




vsBUF 


L 13-16 


L(-9) 


u (35/2) 




at OAK 


W38-O 


W(-6) 


0(34) 


11/1 


vsMIA 


L 25-30 


L(-3) 


0(40) 


11/15 


vsjAC 


L 22-24 


K-6/2) 


(40/2) 






L 14-31 


L (+11) 


P(45) 




vsCAR 


W17-6 


W(-3) 


U(4l) 


12/3 


vsBUF 


w 19-13 


W (-3/2) 


U(37) 




atTAM 


W26-3 


W (-3/2) 


U (36/2) 




vsATL 


L7-10 


L(-5) 


U (36/2) 




atlND 


w 29-15 


W(+3) 


(40/2) 


1/3 


vsCIN 


W37-0 


W (-9/2) 


(33/2) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsBAL 


L9-10 


LM/2) 


U(36) 


9/19 


vsNWE 


W 28-14 


W(+3) 


(39/2) 




at MIA 


w 31-23 


W(+2) 


(35/2) 


10/3 


atBUF 


W 38-14 


W(-5) 


(36/2) 




vsMIN 


w 29-20 


W(-4) 


0(38) 




at DEN 


W 24-20 


W(-3) 


(42/2) 


10/31 


vsGNB 


LO-9 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (41/2) 


11/7 


at DET 


w 23-20 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 


11/14 at CLE 


W 26-20 


W(-3) 


0(37) 


11/21 


vsHOU 


w 30-27 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(46) 




vsCIN 


W 26-10 


W ( 9/2) 


U(43) 


12/6 


atNWE 


L3-45 


L(+4) 


0(44) 




vsMIA 


L6-10 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


U(38) 




at PIT 


W 22-17 


W(+3) 


0(36) 




at CHI 


L 34-38 


L(+3) 


(35/2) 


1/2 


vsBUF 


W38-7 


W(pk) 


0(38) 



14 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




IE II I 

The Ravens are still searching for an identity offensively. Despite 
bringing in big-money possession receiver Anquan Boldin for QB |oe 
Flacco last offseason, they lack a perimeter threat who can stretch the 
defense. Rookie Torrey Smith could potentially fill that role but is likely 
a year away from being a major contributor. The struggles of Michael 
Oher after switching from right to left tackle last season doesn't bode 
well for Flacco either. Ray Rice and the running game could get back 
on track against a weaker slate of defenses this year. Baltimore is still 
a good defensive team thanks to their ability to stuff the run. NT Haloti 
Ngata is arguably the NFL's best interior lineman and LB Ray Lewis has 
been ageless. They're still searching for a second pass rusher to go 
along with Terrell Suggs. Ball-hawking safety Ed Reed needs to stay 
healthy for this unit to be elite; he's 32, but is relatively healthy for the 
first time in years. The rest of their secondary is weak; their defensive 
numbers were skewed by 2010's early season schedule of putrid oppos- 
ing QBs. They're rolling the dice that first-round pick |immy Smith, a 
talented CB with character concerns, can be a major contributor. 

Cnnif B BENGAL 

Whether franchise QB Carson Palmer is traded or forced into retire- 
ment, he has sworn he'll never play another game for the Bengals. 
He'll likely be replaced by second-round pick Andy Dalton, a heady 
pocket passer with questionable arm strength. He'll be operating a 
new offense, as the team fired long-time offensive coordinator Bob 
Bratkowski and will replace his aggressive vertical passing game with 
new OC jay Gruden's West Coast attack. Cincinnati will also be break- 
ing in a young, new group of receivers, including No. 4 overall pick A.|. 
Green and fourth-year WR Jerome Simpson on the outside and second- 
year slot receiver Jordan Shipley. It's a lot of youth and West Coast sys- 
tem's tend to require a steeper learning curve, so there could be major 
growing pains for this unit. Defensively, they have some decent young 
talent, including second-year DE Carlos Dunlap, and a good coordina- 
tor in Mike Zimmer, but this unit isn't good enough to carry the load. 

CUVEUUH BROWNS 

The Browns will transition to a full-fledged West Coast under new head 
coach Pat Shurmur. He had success with rookie QB Sam Bradford in St. 
Louis last season, and QB Colt McCoy has the mobility and accuracy to 
fit a West Coast scheme. But this offense will still be heavily based on 
the run. Peyton Hillis wore down as last year went on, but the return 
of Montario Hardesty (who Cleveland traded up to draft in the sec- 
ond round of the 2010 Draft) will allow the Browns to get Hillis some 



PREDICTED STANDINGS AFC NORTH 

sns 

elers 

vns 

gals 

.'JUL. 



TEAM 


w 


L 


Baltimore Ravens 


12.... 


4 


Pittsburgh Steelers 


10.... 


6 


Cleveland Browns 


6.... 


...10 


Cincinnati Bengals 


JL... 


...12 





m 



4ii«Aft! 



I 



The Steelers have missed the playoffs the season after each of their last two 
Super Bowl appearances. They'll rely heavily on Ben Roethlisberger, Hines 
Ward and the passing game to break that trend in 2011. 



needed rest. After playing a 3-4 defense under former head coach Eric 
Mangini, they'll switch to a 4-3 front with more of a Cover-2 feel under 
new defensive coordinator Dick jauron. They added DT Phil Taylor and DE 
|abaal Sheard in the first and second rounds, respectively, on Draft day, 
but they still don't have ideal personnel for their front seven. The second- 
ary is also a weakness; they need a huge leap forward from second-year 
CB |oe Haden, their only starting-caliber corner. Josh Cribbs' ability in the 
return game will be one of their biggest advantages. 

PSTTSBllOIS STEELERS 

Offensive coordinator Bruce Arians and QB Ben Roethlisberger are ready 
to air it out this season. Even with WR Hines Ward entering the twilight of 
his career, they have plenty of talent in the receiving corps. Mike Wallace 
is an emerging star, second-year talents Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio 
Brown are solid, and Heath Miller is still one of the league's best two- 
way tight ends. The offense could go as far as their offensive line allows 
them to go. It's a big question mark after a season of injuries and ineffec- 
tiveness. Whether the defense is very good or great will depend on the 
health of S Troy Polamalu, who has been hampered by injuries in recent 
years. The front seven is outstanding. They added depth to an aging D-Line 
with first-round pick Cameron Heyward, and still have the best pass-rush- 
ing tandem in the NFL in James Harrison and LaMarr Woodley. 



i 



3- 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 15 



AFC NORTH 



A I % 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: n-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.38 (26th toughest) 
2010 Record: 13-5 (+7.3 ML units), 9-81 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-10 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.72 (14th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (83 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +6.40 (#4 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Pittsburgh 


Week 2 


at Tennessee 


Week 3 


at St. Louis 


Week 4 


N.Y. jets 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


Houston 


Week 7 


at Jacksonville 


Week 8 


Arizona 


Week 9 


at Pittsburgh 



Week 10 at Seattle 

Week 11 Cincinnati 

Week 12 San Francisco 

Week 13 at Cleveland 

Week 14 Indianapolis 

Week 15 at San Diego 

Week 16 Cleveland 

Week 17 at Cincinnati 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread at BALTIMORE since 2008 

UNDERDOG is 14-5 against the spread in BAL-TEN series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in BAL-STL series since 1992 

BALTIMORE is 6-1 against the spread and straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up in BAL-HOU series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 8-4 against the spread in BAL-JAC series since 1992 

ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus Baltimore since 1992 

Last seven games in PITTSBURGH are 5-1 OVER the total in BAL-PIT series since 2006 

HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and 3-0 straight-up in BAL-SEA series since 1992 

CINCINNATI is 10-4 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 2004 

HOME TEAM is 3-0 against the spread in BAL-SF series since 1992 

Last seven games in CLEVELAND are 5-1 UNDER the total in BAL-CLE series since 2004 

FAVORITE is 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 straight-up in BAL-IND series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and straight-up in BAL-SD series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-2 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at BALTIMORE in BAL-CLE series since 2004 

CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YM0 


6-10 


13-4 


5-11 


13-6 


10-8 


13-5 


60-44 


57-7% 


7-9 


10-7 


3-13 


14-5 


9-8 


9-8 


52-50 


51.0% 


2-2 


2-2 


1-3 


1-3 


3-1 


3-1 


12-12 


50.0% 


5-3 


6-3 


3-5 


6-2 


5-3 


3-5 


28-21 


57-1% 


2-6 


4-4 


0-8 


8-3 


4-5 


6-3 


24-29 


45-3% 


3-3 


3-3 


1-5 


5-2 


2-3 


2-5 


16-21 


43-2% 


5-7 


7-6 


2-10 


11-4 


6-7 


7-6 


38-40 


48.7% 


4-3 


5-5 


1-7 


7-1 


6-4 


7-6 


30-26 


53-6% 


3-6 


5-2 


2-6 


7-4 


3-4 


2-2 


22-24 


47.8% 


5-11 


6-10 


10-5 


11-8 


7-10 


8-10 


47-54 


46.5% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



BALTIMORE is 9-2 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored the last three seasons 
BALTIMORE is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last three seasons 
BALTIMORE is 10-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games the last three seasons 
BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS vs. good rush def. - allowing <=90 rush yds/game in second half of season, last three seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


54 


6 


Yardage 


4-5 


15 


Yds Per Play 


0.01 


16 


Yds Per Point 


-4.40 


4 


Turnovers 


+7 


9 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


22.3 


16 


First Downs 


18.9 


18 


Yards/Game 


322.9 


22 


Yds Per Play 


5-07 


23 


Yds Per Point 


1447 


9 


RushYds/Gm 


114.4 


14 


Yards Per Rush 


3-76 


28 


PassAtt/Game 


30.7 


25 


Comp/Game 


19-3 


18 


Completion % 


62.7 


9 


PassYds/Gm 


208.4 


20 


PassYds/Att 


6.79 


11 


1 NTs Thrown 


10 


6 


Sacks Allowed 


40 


23 


Att/Sack 


13-3 


25 


Sack Yards 


294 


27 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


16.9 


3 


First Downs 


17.8 


11 


Yards/Game 


318.4 


10 


Yds Per Play 


5.06 


6 


Yds Per Point 


18.87 


3 


RushYds/Gm 


93-9 


5 


Yards Per Rush 


3-91 


7 


PassAtt/Game 


37-3 


30 


Comp/Game 


21.8 
58.6 


23 


1 Comp% 


11 


1 PassYds/Gm 


224.4 


21 


1 PassYds/Att 


6.03 


4 


1 Interceptions 


19 


8 


1 Sacks 


27 


27 


1 Att/Sack 


23.1 


32 


1 Sack Yards 


190 


24 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/10 


atCIN 


L 20-27 


L(+2J4) 


(39/2) 


9/16 


vsNY) 


W 20-13 


L(-9) 


(32/2) 


9/23 


vsARI 


W 26-23 


L(-7) 


0(36) 


9/30 


at CLE 


L 13-27 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


P(40) 


10/7 


atSFO 


W9-7 


L(-4) 


u (34/2) 




vsSTL 
at BUT 


W22-3 


W(-9) 


U (36/2) 




L 14-19 


L(-3) 


u (33/2) 


11/5 


at PIT 


L7-38 


L(+9) 


0(36) 


11/11 


vsCIN 


L7-21 


L(-3) 


U(44) 


11/18 


vsCLE 


L 30-33 


L(+l) 


(43/2) 




atSDG 


L 14-32 


L(+9 1 / 2 ) 


0(39) 


12/3 


vsNWE 


L 24-27 


W (+19/2) 


(46/2) 




vsIND 


L 20-44 


L(+9) 


0(42) 


12/16 


at MIA 


L 16-22 


L(-3) 


0(37) 




at SEA 


L6-27 


L(+13) 


U (38/2) 




vsPIT 


w 27-21 


W(+3) 


(34/2) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 vs CIN 


w 17-10 


W(+2) 


11(38) 


9/21 vs CLE 


W 28-10 


W(-3) 


(36/2) 


9/29 at PIT 


L 20-23 


W(+6) 


(34/2) 


10/5 vs TEN 


L 10-13 


L(+l) 


u (33/2) 


10/12 atlND 


L3-31 


L(+4) 


U(39) 


10/19 at MIA 


w 27-13 


W(+3) 


(35/2) 


10/26 vsOAK 


W 29-10 


W(-8) 


(34/2) 


11/2 at CLE 


w 37-27 


W(+3) 


(36/2) 


11/9 at 


w 41-13 


W(+3) 


0(44) 


11/16 at 


L 10-30 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


0(39) 


11/23 vsPHI 


W36-7 


W(-2) 


0(39) 


11/30 at CIN 


W34-3 


W(-7) 


0(36) 


12/7 vs 


W 24-10 


W(-6) 


U(35) 


12/14 vsPIT 


L9-13 


L(-3) 


U(34) 


12/20 a^ 


W 33-24 


W (+5/2) 


0(39) 




W27-7 


W (-10/2) 


u (37/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsKAN 


W 38-24 


W(-13) 


0(37) 


9/20 


atSDG 


w 31-26 


W(+l) 


0(41) 


9/27 


vsCLE 


W34-3 


W (-13/2) 


U (38/2) 


10/4 


atNWE 


L 21-27 


L(+2) 


0(45) 




vsCIN 


L 14-17 


L(-9) 


U(42) 




atMIN 


L 31-33 


W(+3) 


(45/2) 


11/1 


vsDEN 


W30-7 


W (-4/2) 


U (42/2) 


11/8 


at CIN 


L7-17 


L(-3) 


U(45) 


11/16 


at CLE 


W16-0 


W (-11) 


u (39/2) 




vsIND 


L 15-17 


L(+l) 


U (44/2) 




vsPIT 


w 20-17 


L(-7fc) 


(34/2) 


12/7 


atGNB 


L 14-27 


U+4) 


U(43) 




vsDET 


W48-3 


W (-14) 


(40/2) 




vsCHI 


W31-7 


W (-10/2) 


u (39/2) 




at PIT 


L 20-23 


P(+3) 


P(43) 


1/3 


at OAK 


W 21-13 


LMO) 





2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


at NY) 


WlO-9 


W (+1/2) 


11(36) 


9/19 


at CIN 


L 10-15 


L(-3) 


U(39) 




vsCLE 


w 24-17 


LM2/2) 


0(36) 


10/3 


at PIT 


W 17-14 


W (+2/2) 


U(34) 




vsDEN 


w 31-17 


W(-8) 


(39/2) 




atNWE 


L 20-23 


P(+3) 


U (44/2) 




vsBUF 


W 37-34 


L(-l2/ 2 ) 


(39/2) 


11/7 


vsMIA 


W 26-10 


W(-5) 


U(41) 


11/11 


atATL 


L 21-26 


L(+2) 


0(44) 




at CAR 


w 37-13 


w (-13) 


(36/2) 




vsTAM 


w 17-10 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


U (41/2) 


12/5 


vsPIT 


L 10-13 


L(-3) 


U (38/2) 




atHOU 


W 34-28 


W(-3) 


0(47) 




vsNOR 


w 30-24 


W(-2) 


0(45) 




at CLE 


W 20-10 


W(-3) 


u (39/2) 


1/2 


vsCIN 


W13-7 


LI-9H) 


U(43) 



16 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



AFC NORTH 



M eii mi 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: loo-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 50-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 17.94 (29th toughest) 
2010 Record: 4-12 (-8.9 ML units), 7-9 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-8 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.94 (4th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#19 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -3-96 (#26 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Cleveland 


Week 2 


at Denver 


Week 3 


San Francisco 


Week 4 


Buffalo 


Weeks 


at Jacksonville 


Week 6 


Indianapolis 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


at Seattle 


Week 9 


at Tennessee 


Week 10 


Pittsburgh 


Week 11 


at Baltimore 


Week 12 


Cleveland 


Week 13 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 14 


Houston 


Week 15 


at St. Louis 


Week 16 


Arizona 


Week 17 


Baltimore 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread at CLEVELAND in CIN-CLE series since 2006 

UNDERDOG is 3-0 against the spread in CIN-DEN series since 2004 

HOME TEAM is 5-0 straight-up in CIN-SF series since 1992 

BUFFALO is 7-1 against the spread and 8-0 straight-up against CINCINNATI since 1992 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and 8-0 straight-up at JACKSONVILLE in CIN-JAC series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 10-3 against the spread and 12-1 straight-up in CIN-IND series since 1992 

CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread at SEATTLE since 1992 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and straight-up in CIN-TEN series since 2001 

PITTSBURGH is 15-5 against the spread and 16-4 straight-up at CINCINNATI since 1992 

CINCINNATI is 10-4 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 7-1 against the spread in CIN-CLE series since 2007 

PITTSBURGH is 11-4 against the spread and straight-up against CINCINNATI since 2004 

HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 2004 

ST. LOUIS is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 

ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 

CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


11-6 


8-8 


7-9 


4-11 


10-7 


4-12 


44-53 


454% 


8-8 


8-7 


6-9 


7-9 


7-10 


7-9 


43-52 


453% 


2-2 


4-0 


2-2 


2-2 


2-2 


2-3 


14-11 


56.0% 


2-7 


3-4 


4-4 


4-4 


3-6 


4-4 


20-29 


40.8% 


6-1 


5-3 


2-5 


3-5 


4-4 


3-5 


23-23 


50.0% 


4-3 


4-2 


3-3 


1-5 


4-2 


3-3 


19-18 


514% 


5-7 


7-5 


6-6 


3-9 


5-8 


5-7 


31-42 


42.5% 


7-5 


5-4 


4-6 


1-2 


0-8 


1-3 


18-28 


39.1% 


1-3 


3-3 


2-3 


6-7 


7-2 


6-6 


25-24 


51.0% 


8-9 


7-9 


7-9 


5-10 


8-9 


8-8 


43-54 


44-3% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



CINCINNATI is 9-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game the last three seasons 
CINCINNATI is 8-3 ATS off a upset win as an underdog the last three seasons 
CINCINNATI is 4-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last three seasons 
CINCINNATI is 1-15 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-4.6 


26 


Yardage 


-1.4 


18 


Yds Per Play 


-0.49 


25 


Yds Per Point 


2.98 


28 


Turnovers 


-8 


25 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


20.1 


22 


First Downs 


19.8 


12 


Yards/Game 


330.6 


20 


Yds Per Play 


5-06 


24 


Yds Per Point 


16.43 


24 


RushYds/Gm 


95.1 


27 


Yards Per Rush 


3-56 


32 


PassAtt/Game 


36.9 


5 


Comp/Game 


22.8 


5 


Completion % 


61.9 


16 


PassYds/Gm 


2354 


13 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.38 


20 


1 NTs Thrown 


20 


23 


Sacks Allowed 


28 


8 


Att/Sack 


22.1 


6 


Sack Yards 


221 


14 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


247 


24 


First Downs 


18.1 


12 


Yards/Game 


332.0 


15 


Yds Per Play 


5-55 


25 


Yds Per Point 


1345 


29 


RushYds/Gm 


115.2 


19 


Yards Per Rush 


4-43 


21 


PassAtt/Game 


32.1 


9 


Comp/Game 


20.4 


16 


Comp% 


634 


22 


PassYds/Gm 


216.8 


14 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.75 


22 


Interceptions 


16 


14 


Sacks 


27 


27 


Att/Sack 


20.0 


27 


Sack Yards 


179 


27 



2007 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/10 vs BAL 


w 27-20 


W (-2/2) 


(39/2) 


9/7 


at BAL 


L 10-17 


L(-2) 


11(38) 


9/13 


vsDEN 


L7-12 


L(-5) 


11(41) 


9/12 


atNWE 


L 24-38 


L(+5) 


0(45) 


9/16 at CLE 


L 45-51 


L(7) 


(41/2) 


9/14 


vsTEN 


L7-24 


L(+l) 


U(37) 


9/20 


atGNB 


w 31-24 


W(+9) 


(41/2) 


9/19 


vsBAL 


w 15-10 


W(+3) 


U(39) 


9/23 at SEA 


L 21-24 


P(+3) 


U(49) 




atNYG 


L 23-26 


W (+12/2) 


(42/2) 


9/27 


vsPIT 


w 23-20 


W(+3) 


(36/2) 




at CAR 


W20-7 


W(-3) 


U(37) 


10/1 vsNWE 


L 13-34 


L( + 8) 


U(54) 


9/28 


vsCLE 


L 12-20 


LID 


U(42) 


10/4 


at CLE 


W 23-20 


L(6) 


(37/) 


10/3 


at CLE 


L 20-23 


L(-2) 


(36%) 


10/14 at KAN 


L 20-27 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/5 


at DAL 
at NY) 


L 22-31 
L 14-26 


W (+16) 
L(+9K) 


0(46) 
U(44) 




at BAL 


W 17-14 


W(+9) 


U(42) 




vsTAM 
atATL 


L 21-24 
L 32-39 


L(-6/ 2 ) 
L(+3) 


0(38':) 


10/21 vsNYJ 


w 38-31 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


0(48/2) 




vsHOU 


L 17-28 


L(-3Z) 


U(46) 


0(43) 


10/28 vsPIT 


L 13-24 


L(+4) 


U(48) 




vsPIT 
"atHOU 


L 10-38 
L6-35 


L(+7Z) 
U+9J 


(36/2) 
U (46) 


11/8 


vsCHI 
vsBAL" 


W 45-10 
■"W177"" 


W (+1/2) 
w"(+3)"" 


(42/2) 
0(45) 


11/8"" 


vsMIA 

vs pif 


L 14-22 
L 21-27 


L(+l) 

L(+5J 


U(44) 


11/4 at BUF 


L 21-33 


LM 1 / 2 ) 


0(44) 


(41/2) 


11/11 at BAL 


W21-7 


W(+3) 


U(44) 


11/2 


vsJAC 


W 21-19 


W(+7) 


P(40) 


11/15 


at PIT 


W 18-12 


W(+7) 


U (41/2) 




atlND 


L 17-23 


W(+7) 


U(47) 


11/18 vsARI 


L 27-35 


L(-3) 


0(48/2) 


11/16 


vsPHI 


T 13-13 


W (+8/2) 


11(41) 




at OAK 
_„...... 


L 17-20 


L(-8Z) 
L (-1234) 


0(36) 
U(39) 




vsBUF 


L 31-49 


L(-4) 


0(41) 


11/25 vsTEN 


W35-6 


W(-l) 


U(47) 




at PIT 


L 10-27 


L (+12) 


0(34':) 




at NY) 


L 10-26 


L(+9Z) 


U(43) 


12/2 at PIT 


L 10-24 


L (+6/2) 


U (39/) 




vsBAL 


L3-34 


L(+7) 


0(36) 


12/6 


vsDET 
at MI'n" 


W23-13 
L 10-30 


L (-1334) 

L(+6J 


U(42) 
U(42) 


12/5 


vsNOR 


L 30-34 


W (+6/2) 


0(45) 


12/9 vs STL 


w 19-10 


LMO) 


U (45/) 


12/7 


atlND 


L3-35 


L (+13/2) 


U (41/2) 




at PIT 


L7-23 


L(+8) 


U(40) 


12/15 atSFO 


L 13-20 


L(-8) 


U(43) 




vsWAS 


W 20-13 


W (+6/2) 


U (35/) 




atSDG 


L 24-27 


W (+6/2) 


0(44) 




vsCLE 


w 19-17 


W(pk) 


U(41) 


12/23 vsCLE 


W 19-14 


W(+2) 


U(43) 




at CLE 


W14-O 


W(+2) 


U(3D 




vsKAN 


w 17-10 


L (-13) 


U (39/) 




vsSDG 


W 34-20 


W (+7/2) 


(43/) 


12/30 at MIA 


w 38-25 


W(-3) 


0(45) 




vsKAN 


W16-6 


W(-l) 


U(40) 


1/3 


at NY) 


LO-37 


L(+9fc) 


0(33/) 


1/2 


at BAL 


L7-13 


W (+9/2) 


U(43) 



I 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 17 



AFC NORTH 



A co 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 19.31 (19th toughest) 
2010 Record: 5-11 (-1.5 ML units), 5-10-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-7 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.19 (9th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 15 (824 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.85 (#22 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 



Weeki 


Cincinnati 


Week 2 


at Indianapolis 


Week 3 


Miami 


Week 4 


Tennessee 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


at Oakland 


Week 7 


Seattle 


Week 8 


at San Francisco 


Week 9 


at Houston 


Week 10 


St. Louis 


Week 11 


Jacksonville 


Week 12 


at Cincinnati 


Week 13 


Baltimore 


Week 14 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 15 


at Arizona 


Week 16 


at Baltimore 


Week 17 


Pittsburgh 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread at CLEVELAND in CIN-CLE series since 2006 
Last four games at INDIANAPOLIS are 4-0 UNDER the total in CLE-IND series since 1992 
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up against MIAMI since 2001 
FAVORITE is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up at CLEVELAND in CLE-TEN series since 1992 

CLEVELAND is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 straight-up against OAKLAND since 1992 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and 5-0 straight-up in CLE-SEA series since 1992 

CLEVELAND is 3-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992 

Last six games are 5-1 UNDER the total in CLE-HOU series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in CLE-STL series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and straight-up in CLE-JAC series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 7-1 against the spread in CIN-CLE series since 2007 

Last seven games in CLEVELAND are 5-1 UNDER the total in BAL-CLE series since 2004 

PITTSBURGH is 12-6 against the spread and 16-2 straight-up at home against CLEVELAND since 1992 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread in the ARI-CLE series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-2 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at BALTIMORE in BAL-CLE series since 2004 

Last 14 games are 10-4 OVER the total in CLE-PIT series since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


6-10 


4-12 


10-6 


4-12 


5-11 


5-11 


34-62 


354% 


8-8 


8-7 


12-4 


6-9 


10-6 


5-10 


49-44 


52.7% 


4-0 


2-2 


3-1 


0-4 


2-2 


2-2 


13-11 


54-2% 


4-4 


4-4 


7-1 


2-5 


5-3 


2-6 


24-23 


51.1% 


4-4 


4-3 


5-3 


4-4 


5-3 


3-4 


25-21 


54-3% 


2-4 


3-3 


4-2 


2-4 


4-2 


2-4 


17-19 


47-2% 


6-6 


7-5 


9-3 


4-7 


9-3 


4-8 


39-32 


54-9% 


3-1 


2-2 


8-1 


0-4 


2-0 


0-2 


15-10 


60.0% 


5-7 


6-5 


4-3 


6-5 


8-6 


5-8 


34-34 


50.0% 


4-12 


7-9 


9-6 


6-9 


7-9 


9-7 


42-52 


447% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



CLEVELAND is 9-2 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game the last five seasons 

CLEVELAND is 12-5 ATS in October games the last five seasons 

CLEVELAND is 3-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season the last three seasons 

CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3-5 rushing yards/carry the last three seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


-3-9 


23 


Yardage 


-60.3 


28 


Yds Per Play 


-O.38 


23 


Yds Per Point 


O.24 


15 


Turnovers 


-l 


15 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


16.9 


31 


First Downs 


16.6 


25 


Yards/Game 


289.8 


29 


Yds Per Play 


5.00 


25 


Yds Per Point 


17.11 


27 


RushYds/Gm 


102.9 


20 


Yards Per Rush 


3-98 


21 


PassAtt/Game 


29.9 


28 


Comp/Game 


18.5 


22 


Completion % 


61.9 


15 


PassYds/Gm 


186.8 


29 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.25 


22 


1 NTs Thrown 


18 


19 


Sacks Allowed 


35 


16 


Att/Sack 


14-7 


22 


Sack Yards 


214 


13 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


20.8 


13 


First Downs 


19.8 


23 


Yards/Game 


350.1 


22 


Yds Per Play 


5-38 


19 


Yds Per Point 


16.87 


8 


RushYds/Gm 


1294 


27 


Yards Per Rush 


4.10 


12 


PassAtt/Game 


31.7 


8 


Comp/Game 


19-3 
61.0 


11 


1 Comp% 


15 


1 PassYds/Gm 


220.7 


18 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.96 


27 


1 Interceptions 


19 


8 


1 Sacks 


29 


25 


1 Att/Sack 


18.5 


20 


1 Sack Yards 


178 


28 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2009 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/9 vs PIT 
9/l6^ysCJN''' 

9/23 at 

9/30 vs 
iO/7'"lt 

16/28 ""atSTL 

11/4 vs 
11/11 at Pit 
11/18" at BAL 
11/25 'vsHOU' 

12/2 atARI 

12/9 at NY) 

12/16 "vsBUF" 

12/23'atCIN 

12/30 vsSFO 



L7-34 



L 24-26 



L( + 4/ 2 ) 
W(+7J 



(36/2) 



W27-13 
L17-37" 



W(+3) 
W (+3/2) 



(41/2) 
P (40) 
6(48) 



w 41-31 
w 27-20 



W(-3J4) 



W33 : 30 
L28-31 



W(-3) 



0(45) 

0(46>2)' 



W 33-30 
— — 



W(+9) 
W(-l) 
W(-3) 



(46/2) 
U(52) 



L 21-27 
W'2448'" 



W8-0 
L 14-19 
W20-7 



L(+l) 
W(-3) 

W (-4) 



L(-2) 
W (-II/2J 



U(52) 

U(47) 

U(43) 



9/7 vs DAL 
9/14 vs Pit 
9/21 at BAL 
9/28^atCIN[ 
10/13 
10/19 ai 

lb/26'at JAC 

11/2 VS 

ll/6]vsDEN] 
11/17 at BUF "" 
ll/23'vs 

12/7 atTEN 

12/15 at PHI 
12/21 vsCIN 
12/28 at PIT 



L 10-28 



L6-10 
L 10-28 



U+6) 
W(+6J 



U(48) 



W 20-12 
W3544] 
L 11-14 
W 23-17 



L(+3) 
W(+lj 



W (+7/2) 



.L 27-37 . 



W(+7) 
L(-3) 
L(-3) 



(36/2) 
U(42) 

U (41/2) 



w 29-27 

L6-16 



L6-10 
..-.— .... 



W(+5) 
L(-3) 
P(+4J 



(36/2) 

6 (46) 

0(41) 



L 10-30 
LO-14 
LO-31 



L (+13/2) 
L (+15/2) 

L(-2) 
L (+H/2) 



U (49/2) 

U(44J" 

6(36/2) 



P(40) 
U(3D 



9/13 vs MIN 

9/20 at DEN 

9/27 atBAL 
10/4 vs CIN 
10/11 at BUF 

10/18 at PIT 

10/25 v 

11/1 atCHI 

11/16 "vs BAL 
ll/22'atDET 

11/29 at CIN 

12/6 vs 

vs Pit 
12/20 'at 
12/27 vs 
1/3 vs'JAC 



L 20-34 



L6-27 
L3-34 



L(+4) 
L (+3) 



0(39) 



L 20-23 
_...„..... 



L (+13/2) 

W (+6) 
— — •■ 



U (38/2) 



Ll4 : 27 
L3-31 



L6-30 



W (+13/2) 
["(+8%) 

n+11) 



0(37/2) 



L 37-38 
L 7-16 



L (+11) 

W(+3J 

W (+12/2) 



u (39/2) 



L 23-30 
W13-6" 



W 41-34 

W23-9 
— — 



W (+13/2) 

■"w]+ib'r 

W(+2J 



W(-3) 
W(-2) 



0(42/) 
U(34) 
0(39) 
U(37) 



2010 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 at TAM 


L 14-17 


P(+3) 


U(37) 


9/19 vs 


L 14-16 


L(-3) 


U(38) 


9/26 at 


L 17-24 


W (+12/2) 


0(36) 


10/3 vs 


W 23-20 


W(+2) 


(36/2) 


1 11 ) vs ATL 


L 10-20 


L(+3) 


U (41/2) 


10/17 at PIT 


L 10-28 


L (+14) 


0(37) 




w 30-17 


W (+12/2) 


0(44) 


11/7 vs 


W 34-14 


W(+4) 


(43/) 


11/14 vsNYJ 


L 20-26 


L(+3) 


0(37) 


11/21 at 


L 20-24 


L(+3) 


0(43) 




w 24-23 


L(-8) 


0(37) 


12/5 at 


w 13-10 


W(+6) 


U (43/) 


12/12 at 


L6-13 


L(pk) 


U (39/) 


12/19 at CIN 


L 17-19 


L(pk) 


U(41) 


12/26 V 


L 10-20 


L(+3) 


U (39/) 


1/2 VS PIT 


L9-41 


L(+6) 


0(37/) 



18 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



AFC NORTH 



: M. POTT- IS 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 5-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.13 (28th toughest) 
2010 Record: 14-5 (+8.6 ML units), 12-7 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-9 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.58 (7th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (#3 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 9.08 (83 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Baltimore 


Week 2 


Seattle 


Week 3 


at Indianapolis 


Week 4 


at Houston 


Weeks 


Tennessee 


Week 6 


Jacksonville 


Week 7 


at Arizona 


Week 8 


New England 


Week 9 


Baltimore 


Week 10 


at Cincinnati 


Week 11 


BYE 


Week 12 


at Kansas City 


Week 13 


Cincinnati 


Week 14 


Cleveland 


Week 15 


at San Francisco 


Week 16 


St. Louis 


Week 17 


at Cleveland 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread at BALTIMORE since 2008 

SEATTLE is 5-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992 

Last four games are 3-1 UNDER the total in IND-PIT series since 2001 

PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against HOUSTON since 2004 

Last 13 games at PITTSBURGH are 10-3 OVER the total in PIT-TEN series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 15-6 against the spread in JAC-PIT series since 1992 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in the ARI-PIT series since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at PITTSBURGH since 2001 

Last seven games in PITTSBURGH are 5-1 OVER the total in BAL-PIT series since 2006 

PITTSBURGH is 15-5 against the spread and 16-4 straight-up at CINCINNATI since 1992 

Last four games are 4-0 OVER the total in KC-PIT series since 2001 

PITTSBURGH is 11-4 against the spread and straight-up against CINCINNATI since 2004 

PITTSBURGH is 12-6 against the spread and 16-2 straight-up at home against CLEVELAND since 1992 

FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in PIT-SF series since 1992 

Last four games are 3-1 OVER the total in PIT-STL series since 1992 

Last 14 games are 10-4 OVER the total in CLE-PIT series since 2004 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


15-5 


8-8 


10-7 


15-4 


9-7 


14-5 


71-36 


66.4% 


13-7 


7-9 


9-8 


11-8 


5-10 


12-7 


57-49 


53-8% 


3-1 


1-3 


3-2 


1-3 


3-1 


3-1 


14-11 


56.0% 


3-5 


5-3 


6-3 


6-4 


2-5 


7-3 


29-23 


55-8% 


10-2 


2-6 


3-5 


5-4 


3-5 


5-4 


28-26 


51.9% 


4-3 


2-4 


4-2 


5-2 


1-4 


6-1 


22-16 


57-9% 


9-6 


4-8 


6-7 


9-5 


4-7 


9-5 


41-38 


51-9% 


9-6 


6-7 


8-7 


7-7 


4-10 


9-5 


43-42 


50.6% 


4-1 


1-2 


1-1 


4-1 


1-0 


3-2 


14-7 


66.7% 


10-9 


10-6 


9-8 


11-8 


9-6 


10-9 


59-46 


56.2% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



PITTSBURGH is 7-1 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points the last five seasons 

PITTSBURGH is 5-1 ATS revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent the last two seasons 

PITTSBURGH is 2-12 ATS after scoring 35 points or more last game the last five seasons 

PITTSBURGH is 0-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game the last two seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


8.9 


3 


Yardage 


68.4 


3 


Yds Per Play 


1.01 


2 


Yds Per Point 


-4.36 


5 


Turnovers 


+16 


2 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


23-4 


12 


First Downs 


18.4 


20 


Yards/Game 


345-3 


14 


Yds Per Play 


5-56 


11 


Yds Per Point 


14.73 


10 


RushYds/Gm 


120.3 


11 


Yards Per Rush 


4-09 


18 


PassAtt/Game 


29-9 


27 


Comp/Game 


18.6 


21 


Completion % 


62.2 


11 


PassYds/Gm 


225.0 


14 


PassYds/Att 


7-52 


4 


1 NTs Thrown 


9 


4 


Sacks Allowed 


43 


25 


Att/Sack 


12.1 


30 


Sack Yards 


290 


25 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


14.5 


1 


First Downs 


17.0 


5 


Yards/Game 


276.9 


2 


Yds Per Play 


4-55 


1 


Yds Per Point 


19.09 


2 


RushYds/Gm 


62.8 


1 


Yards Per Rush 


3.01 


1 


PassAtt/Game 


37.1 


29 


Comp/Game 


22.7 


28 


Comp % 


61.2 


16 


PassYds/Gm 


214.1 


12 


PassYds/Att 


5-78 


1 


Interceptions 


20 


6 


Sacks 


47 


1 


Att/Sack 


13.6 


6 


Sack Yards 


319 


3 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 
9/I6"" 


at CLE 
vsBUF" 


W34-7 
""W26-3 


W(-4/ 2 ) 

■■'"wi-ioj" 


(36/2) 
U (40) 


9/7 vs HOU 

9/14 atCLE 

9/21 at PHI 

9/29 vs 

10/5 atJAC"" 

10/19 atCIN 


w 38-17 

"WlO-6 

L6-15 

w 23-20 

—— 
W 38-10 


W(-6) 
L(6) 
L (+3/2) 
L(-6) 
W (+5/2) 
W(-7%) 


0(44) 

u'W 

U (44/2) 

0(34/2) 

0(38) 

(36/2) 


9/10 
9/20 
9/27 
10/4 


vsTEN 

atCHI 

at CIN 

vsSDG 
..„_.. 

vsCLE 


w 13-10 
IS17' 

L 20-23 
W 27-14 


L(-6) 
L(-3) 
L(-3) 

w (-5/2) 

L(-llj 

L(-13/ 2 ) 


11(36) 
U(38) 

6 (36/2) 
0(43) 
6 (44) 

0(37/) 


9/12 
9/19" 

10/3 


vsATL 

"atTEN" 

"atTAM 

vsBAL" 
vsCLE 


W15-9 

w 19-11 
w'38-13 
L14-17" 
w'28-io 


W(+l) 

■-— •-■j." 
__ 

L(-2/) 
WJ-14) 


U(39) 
U (37) 


9/23 


vsSFO 


W 37-16 


w (-10) 


(37/2) 


(33/) 


9/30... 
10/7 


atARI 
vsSEA" 


L 14-21 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 

W(-5) 


U (42/2) 
U'filj 


U(34) 
0(37) 




at DEN 


L 28-31 


L(-4) 


0(38) 




atMIA 


w 23-22 


L(-3) 


0(40) 




atCIN 


W 24-13 


W(-4) 


U(48) 


10/26 vsNYG 

11/3" at 

11/9 vs 

11/16 v< 
11/20 V 


L 14-21 
""w'23-6 

L 20-24 
W 11-10 

w 27-10 


L(-3) 

W"(+3J 
... _ .. 

L(-4) 
W (-12) 


U(4l) 

U (37/) 
0(39) 
U (40) 

(34/) 


11/9 
11/15 


vsMIN 
at DEN" 
vsCIN" 
atKAN" 
at BAL ' 


w 27-17 

"w'284'0" 

L12-18 

L24-27 

L 17-20 


W(-6) 

""W"(-3J 

L(7) 

L(-H) 

W(+7/2) 


U (46/2) 
U(41) 
U (41/2) 
6(39/2) 
6(34/2) 


11/8 


at NOR 
at CIN 

"vsNWE 
"vsOAK 


L 10-20 

'w'27-21''' 
"["26-39"" 

W35-3 


L(+l) 

W(-5) 
L(-4) 
W(-7) 


U (44/) 


11/ 5... 
11/11 

11/18 


vsBAL 
vsCLE 
at NYJ 


W38-7 
W31J28™ 
L 16-19 


W(-9) 
L(9) ' 
L(-9) 


0(36) 

(46/2) 

■"U"(40i4)" 


0(41/) 
6(45) 
U(41) 




vsMIA 


W3-0 


L (-15) 


U(37) 




at BUF 


W 19-16 


L(-6/) 


U (43/) 


12/2 


vsCIN 


W 24-10 


W (-6/2) 


u (39/2) 


11/30 at 


W 33-10 


W (+2/2) 


0(40) 


12/6 
VIZ. 


vsOAK 
atCLE 

"vsGNB" 
vsBAL" 
atMIA" 


L 24-27 

L6-13 

W37 36 

w 23-20 
w 30-24 


L (-15) 

L('-10) 
L(-3) 
P(-3) 
W(-3) 


0(37) 
U(34) 
0(42) 
P (43) 
0(45) 


12/5 


at BAL 


w 13-10 


W(+3) 


U (38/2) 


12/16 


"vsJAC"" 
atSTL 
at BAL 


Ll3 : 34 
L22-29 
W 41-24 
L 21-27 


L (+11) 

L(-3) 
W (-8) 

Ilill 


u (49/2) 

0(35)' 

0(43) 
'6(34/2) 


12/7 vs 
12/14 ai 
12/21 "at TEN" 
12/28 "vs CLE 


w 20-13 

W13? 
L 14-31 


W(-4) 

W"(+3J"" 

L(-3) 

w (-11/2) 


U(38) 
U (34) 

0(34) 
U (33/) 


1/2 


vsCIN 

"vsNYJ"" 
"vsCAR." 

atCLE 


..1.31.... 
L 17-22 

w 41-9 


W(-8) 

L"(-3) 

W (-14) 
W(-6) 


U(40) 

0(36)" 

U (37) 

0(37/2) 



I 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 19 



IBIN! 



The Texans finally have a complete offense with their offensive line 
evolving into an elite zone-blocking unit and Arian Foster stepping 
up as a perfect one-cut back behind them. Their passing game is still 
one of the best, built around the Matt Schaub-Andre |ohnson connec- 
tion. Owen Daniels is potentially 100 percent again after struggling 
in his first year back from a torn ACL. There will be wholesale chang- 
es to their struggling defense, though. They brought in former Dallas 
Cowboys head coach Wade Phillips to rebuild the defense, which will 
include a switch to a 3-4 front. They drafted DE |.|. Watt nth overall 
to step onto the defensive line, with All-Pro Mario Williams becoming 
a supersized (6' 6", 290-pound) outside linebacker. The real upgrade 
is needed in the secondary, which was the NFL's worst last season. 
Their best hope might be a combination of an upgraded pass rush in 
Phillips' blitz-heavy scheme, as well as improved play from second-year 
CB Kareem Jackson. 

SNDSANAPOISS COLTS 

The entire organization lives and dies with QB Peyton Manning. The 
good news is that he'll get All-Pro TE Dallas Clark back in the lineup 
after missing most of 2010 with a neck injury. The injuries, and result- 
ing rotating door of personnel at wide receiver and tight end, were a 
big reason for Manning's erratic play last season. Though the fact that 
he's 35 and had minor offseason neck surgery is a reminder that he 
can't play at an elite level forever. They added offensive linemen with 
their first two picks (Anthony Castonzo in the first, Ben Ijalana in the 
second) to try and upgrade an O-Line that can't run block. The defense 
has the same strengths and weaknesses it's had for seemingly the past 
decade. They have an elite pass rush with Dwight Freeney and Robert 
Mathis on the edges, helping compensate for a mediocre secondary. 
But their emphasis on speed over size leaves them vulnerable against 
the run, especially against bigger backs. 

JACKSONVILLE JIOUARS 

The jags have a quarterback controversy brewing after drafting Blaine 
Gabbert to eventually unseat veteran David Garrard. Regardless of 
who's under center, this offense will be built around the running 
game. RB Maurice |ones-Drew is the centerpiece of the offense, even 
though he started to break down physically last year, and they have 
quality depth in Rashad Jennings. If Garrard hangs onto the starting 
job, they'll continue to get creative with him in the running game, 
including some classic option plays. Defensively, there are plenty of 
question marks. They're undersized in the front seven, leading to prob- 



PREDICTED STANDINGS 


AFC SOUTH 


TEAM 


W L 


Indianapolis Colts 


10 6 


Jacksonville Jaguars 


8 8 


Houston Texans 


7 9 


Tennessee Titans 


6 10 





Stl» 



Peyton Manning looks to lead Indianapolis to double-digit wins and a playoff 
berth for a 10th straight season in 2011. 



lems against the run. And they have issues against the pass. Their second- 
ary is weak, and they need a healthy return of star DE Aaron Kampman, 
whose coming off a second torn ACL, to energize a pass rush that has few 
other threats. 

TENNESSEE TITANS 

For the first time since lack Pardee was leading the Houston Oilers in 
1994, this franchise will not have Jeff Fisher on the sidelines. Former 
offensive line coach Mike Munchak takes over, and he'll have a new 
quarterback under center (possibly raw rookie lake Locker, the No. 8 
pick of the Draft) and a new offensive coordinator in Chris Palmer (who 
has a shaky track record with his last two rookie QBs: Tim Couch and 
David Carr). They'll have a short offseason to get the new passing game 
installed, so the offense will rely heavily on Chris |ohnson again. Munchak 
has said he'll make it a point to get |ohnson the ball in space more often, 
something Tennessee didn't do often in the past. The defensive staff is 
also undergoing changes, with former Seahawks secondary coach Jerry 
Gray taking over as defensive coordinator. Perhaps the biggest loss on 
the coaching staff was defensive line coach |im Washburn, now with the 
Eagles, who generated an outstanding pass rush despite middling person- 
nel on the defensive line. 



20 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



AFC SOUTH 



mi. is 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 40-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 20-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.25 (15th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-5.3 ML units), 5-10-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 11-5 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.56 (16th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 21 (#15 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.87 (#23 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Indianapolis 


Week 2 


at Miami 


Week 3 


at New Orleans 


Week 4 


Pittsburgh 


Weeks 


Oakland 


Week 6 


at Baltimore 


Week 7 


at Tennessee 


Week 8 


Jacksonville 


Week 9 


Cleveland 


Week 10 


at Tarn pa Bay 


Week 11 


BYE 


Week 12 


at Jacksonville 


Week 13 


Atlanta 


Week 14 


at Cincinnati 


Week 15 


Carolina 


Week 16 


at Indianapolis 


Week 17 


Tennessee 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-IND series since 2006 

UNDERDOG is 5-0 against the spread in HOU-MIA series since 2002 

FAVORITE is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in HOU-NO series since 2002 

PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against HOUSTON since 2004 

HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up against OAKLAND since 2002 

ROAD TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up in BAL-HOU series since 2002 

Last five games at TENNESSEE are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-TEN series since 2006 

HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against JACKSONVILLE since 2006 

Last six games are 5-1 UNDER the total in CLE-HOU series since 2002 

HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in HOU-TB series since 2002 

HOME TEAM is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in HOU-JAC series since 2007 

HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in ATL-HOU series since 2002 

HOUSTON is 3-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 2004 

HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 2002 

INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 straight-up at home against HOUSTON since 2002 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at HOUSTON in HOU-TEN series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


2-14 


6-10 


8-8 


8-8 


9-7 


6-10 


39-57 


40.6% 


7-9 


7-9 


8-8 


9-7 


7-8 


5-10 


43-51 


457% 


1-3 


3-0 


2-2 


2-1 


2-2 


1-3 


11-11 


50.0% 


2-6 


4-4 


6-2 


5-3 


2-5 


3-5 


22-25 


46.8% 


5-3 


3-5 


2-6 


4-4 


5-3 


2-5 


21-26 


44-7% 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


5-1 


2-4 


3-3 


18-18 


50.0% 


6-6 


6-6 


5-7 


7-5 


6-6 


5-7 


35-37 


48.6% 


1-1 


1-2 


3-3 


3-4 


3-6 


3-4 


14-20 


41.2% 


6-8 


6-7 


5-5 


6-3 


4-2 


2-6 


29-31 


48.3% 


9-7 


8-8 


9-6 


10-6 


5-10 


11-5 


52-42 


55-3% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



HOUSTON is 6-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points the last five seasons 
HOUSTON is 7-2 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite the last three seasons 

HOUSTON is 3-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pet. of 61% or better the last two seasons 
HOUSTON is 1-10 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=go rushing yards/game the last five seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-2.3 


18 


Yardage 


9.6 


13 


Yds Per Play 


O.04 


15 


Yds Per Point 


1.73 


25 


Turnovers 


+0 


13 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


24-4 


9 


First Downs 


22.5 


2 


Yards/Game 


386.6 


3 


Yds Per Play 


6.01 


2 


Yds Per Point 


15.86 


22 


RushYds/Gm 


127.6 


7 


Yards Per Rush 


4.83 


3 


PassAtt/Game 


35-9 


10 


Comp/Game 


22.8 


5 


Completion % 


63.6 


7 


PassYds/Gm 


258.9 


4 


PassYds/Att 


7-22 


5 


1 NTs Thrown 


12 


7 


Sacks Allowed 


32 


11 


Att/Sack 


18.9 


10 


Sack Yards 


226 


16 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowed 26.7 


29 


First Downs 


22.0 


31 


Yards/Game 


376.9 


30 


Yds Per Play 


5-97 


31 


Yds Per Point 


14.12 


22 


RushYds/Gm 


1094 


13 


Yards Per Rush 


4.04 


11 


PassAtt/Game 


34-2 


21 


Comp/Game 


22.1 


24 


Comp% 


647 


27 


PassYds/Gm 


267.5 


32 


PassYds/Att 


7.82 


31 


Interceptions 


13 


23 


Sacks 


30 


22 


Att/Sack 


19.2 


26 


Sack Yards 


219 


21 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



2008 OPP SCORE 



2009 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2010 OPP SCORE 



9/9 
9/16"" 


vsKAN 
"atCAR" 


W20-3 
W 34-21 


W(-3) 
W (+6/2) 


u (37/2) 

0(38) 


9/7 

9/21 

10/5 


at PIT 

"atJAC" 
vsIND 
"vsMIA" 
vsDET 


L17-38 

.1.1.2-3.1..... 

L27-30 
L27-31 
w '29-28 

W 28-21 


L(+6) 

L (+4/2) 
W (+6/2) 

■"w"(+4^y" 

L(-3) 
L MD 


0(44) 

0(40)" 

0(43) 

6 (48) 

6 (44/2) 

0(48) 


9/13 

9/20 
9/27 
10/4 


vs NYj 

"atTEN*" 
vsJAC"" 
vsOAK" 
"atARl" 
atCIN 


L7-24 
W34ll 
L 24-31 
W2^6 
L21-28 
W 28-17 


L(-4/ 2 ) 
W(+7) 
L(-4) 
W (-8) 

L(+6) 

W (+3/2) 


U (44/2) 
0(40%) 
6 (47J4) 

U (4234) 

U (5034) 

U(46) 


9/12 vs IND 
9/19 at WAS 
9/26 vs DAL 
10/3'jtOA^ 
10/10 vsNYG 
10/17 vsKAN 


W 34-24 
.W30-27 

Ll3 : 27 
W31 : 24 

Lio-34 

w 35-31 


W(+l) 

P( : 3) 

L(-234J 
W(-3) 
L(-3) 
L (-4/2) 


0(48) 
0(43)" 


9/23 


vsIND 


L 24-30 


W (+6/2) 


0(46) 


u (47/2) 


9/30... 
10/7 


atATL 
"vs'mIA" 


L16-26 
W 22-19 


L(-2%) 

L(-4/ 2 ) 


(39/2) 

U (4334) 


0(43) 
U (48) 




atJAC 


L 17-37 


L(+6) 


0(37) 


(4534) 




vsTEN 


L 36-38 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


(37/2) 


11/9 

11/16' 


vsCIN 
"atMIN" 

"vs'bal" 
at IND 
atCLE 


W35-6 
......._„..... 

1*3:41" 

L 27-33 

""Wl6-6 


W(-9) 
L (+5/2) 
L(-3) 
W (+7/2) 
W'(+3J 


U(46) 
6 (46/2) 

6(44) 
6 (50%) 
U (49/2) 


11 / 1 " 
11/8" 


vsSFO 
atBUF 
atlND 

vsTEN" 
vs'Tnd" 


W 24-21 

w 31-10 

L 17-20 
L 17-20 
L 27-35 


P(3) 

W(-3) 
W (+7/2) 

Cm" 

L (+3) 


(44/2) 
0(42) 

U (50/2) 
U (48) 

0(4834) 


11/1 at IND 
11/7 vs SDG 
11/14 atJAC 
11/21 at NYJ 


L23 : 29 
I?4:31 
L 27-30 


L(+5) 
L(+3) 

L(pkj 
W (+6/2) 


u (50/2) 


11/4 


atSDG 
"atOAK 
vsNOR 


LlO-35 
W 24-17 
W 23-10 


L (+10) 
W(+3J 

W(-2) 


u (45/2) 

P(41) 

U (49/2) 


0(50) 

6 (48) 
6(46) 




at CLE 


L 17-27 


L(+3) 


U(52) 


11/28 vsTEN 
12/2 at PHI 


W20-0 
L 24-34 


W(-4/ 2 ) 
L(+8) 


U (46/2) 


12/2 


at TEN 


L 20-28 


L(+3) 


0(39) 


12/1 


vsjAC 


w 30-17 


W(-3) 


U (48/2) 


12/6 
1/3""" 


atJAC 
vsSEA" 

atMIA 

"v'sNWE 


L 18-23 
— — 

W1643" 

w 27-20 

W34 : 27 


L(-D 
W(-7) 
L (-14) 
W (+1/2) 
L(-8) 


U(48) 

U(45) 

U (4334) 

P (47) 

0(47) 


0(51) 


12/13 


vsTAM 
"vsDEN" 


W 28-14 
W 31-13 


W(+3) 
W"(+3J"" 


(39/2) 

U (47/2) 


12 /Z... 


atGNB 
"vs'ten" 
"at'OAK" 

vs CHI 


W 24-21 

w 13-12 
w 31-24 


W(+7) 

W"(+3J"" 

L(-6/ 2 ) 
W(-3) 


u (47/2) 

U(45) 

U (43/2) 

6(46) 


12/13 vsBAL 

12/i'g" "at f en 
12/26'atDEN 

1/2 vsJAC" 


L28-34 

L23 : 24 
W34 : 17 


L(+3) 

L( + 2) 
LM34J 
W(-434) 


0(47) 
0(47) 




at IND 


L 15-38 


L(+6)4) 


0(45) 


U(49) 




vsJAC 


W 42-28 


W(-7) 


0(42) 


0(48) 



I 



I 



s 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 21 



AFC SOUTH 



Ql B 



at: 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 5-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.56 (13th toughest) 
2010 Record: 10-7 (-0.5 ML units), 8-8-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-6-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.53 (17th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 23 (#10 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 1.18 (#15 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Houston 


Week 2 


Cleveland 


Week 3 


Pittsburgh 


Week 4 


at Tampa Bay 


Weeks 


Kansas City 


Week 6 


at Cincinnati 


Week 7 


at New Orleans 


Week 8 


at Tennessee 


Week 9 


Atlanta 


Week 10 


Jacksonville 


Week 11 


BYE 


Week 12 


Carolina 


Week 13 


at New England 


Week 14 


at Baltimore 


Week 15 


Tennessee 


Week 16 


Houston 


Week 17 


at Jacksonville 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-IND series since 2006 

Last four games at INDIANAPOLIS are 4-0 UNDER the total in CLE-IND series since 1992 

Last four games are 3-1 UNDER the total in IND-PIT series since 2001 

INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992 

INDIANAPOLIS is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up against KANSAS CITY since 1992 

FAVORITE is 10-3 against the spread and 12-1 straight-up in CIN-IND series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up in IND-NO series since 1992 

TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread at home against INDIANAPOLIS since 2006 

INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1992 

Last six games are 5-1 OVER the total in IND-JAC series since 2008 

CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against INDIANAPOLIS since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 5-1 against the spread in IND-NE series since 2006 

FAVORITE is 8-3 against the spread and 10-1 straight-up in BAL-IND series since 1992 

Last nine games at INDIANAPOLIS are 8-1 UNDER the total in IND-TEN series since 2001 

INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 straight-up at home against HOUSTON since 2001 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread in IND-JAC series since 2007 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR°/o 


14-3 


16-4 


13-4 


12-5 


16-3 


10-7 


81-26 


75-7% 


9-7 


12-8 


9-8 


7-9 


12-7 


8-8 


57-47 


54.8% 


0-5 


2-2 


1-2 


2-3 


1-3 


1-3 


7-18 


28.0% 


3-6 


7-3 


5-4 


3-5 


5-5 


4-5 


27-28 


49-1% 


6-1 


5-5 


4-4 


4-4 


7-2 


4-3 


30-19 


61.2% 


3-2 


2-4 


2-4 


2-4 


4-2 


2-4 


15-20 


42.9% 


7-5 


8-7 


5-8 


6-6 


9-5 


6-7 


41-38 


51.9% 


9-6 


9-7 


8-7 


3-8 


11-6 


6-8 


46-42 


52.3% 


0-1 


3-1 


1-1 


4-1 


1-1 


2-0 


11-5 


68.8% 


6-11 


9-11 


8-9 


8-9 


10-9 


10-6 


51-55 


48.1% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4-5 rushing yards/carry the last two seasons 
INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pet. > 75%) the last five seasons 
INDIANAPOLIS is 16-4 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the last five seasons 
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-9 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points the last five seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


2.9 


12 


Yardage 


39-2 


8 


Yds Per Play 


O.18 


12 


Yds Per Point 


-0.08 


11 


Turnovers 


-4 


19 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


27-2 


4 


First Downs 


22.8 


1 


Yards/Game 


380.8 


4 


Yds Per Play 


5-59 


9 


Yds Per Point 


14.00 


6 


RushYds/Gm 


92.7 


29 


Yards Per Rush 


3-77 


27 


PassAtt/Game 


42.5 


1 


Comp/Game 


28.1 


1 


Completion % 


66.2 


2 


PassYds/Gm 


288.1 


1 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.78 


12 


1 NTs Thrown 


17 


18 


Sacks Allowed 


16 


1 


Att/Sack 


43-5 


1 


Sack Yards 


91 


1 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


243 


22 


First Downs 


19.6 


21 


Yards/Game 


341.6 


20 


Yds Per Play 


5-41 


21 


Yds Per Point 


14.09 


23 


RushYds/Gm 


127.0 


25 


Yards Per Rush 


4-57 


25 


PassAtt/Game 


334 


17 


Comp/Game 


22.3 
66.5 


25 


1 Comp% 


32 


1 PassYds/Gm 


214.6 


13 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.42 


13 


1 Interceptions 


10 


30 


1 Sacks 


30 


22 


1 Att/Sack 


18.8 


24 


1 Sack Yards 


194 


23 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2009 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/6 vs NOR 

9/16 atTEN 

9/23 atHOU 

9/30 vs 
10/7 vs 
10/22 at JAC 
10/28 

11/4 vs 

ll/ll" atSDG 
11/18" vs 
11/22 "atATL 

12/2 VS JAC 

12/9 atBAL 

12/16 at 
12/23" vsHOU 
12/30 vsTEN 



W 41-10 



W 22-20 
W 30-24 



W(-5/ 2 ) 
L(-6/ 2 ) 



U (52/2) 
U(45) 



W38 : 20 
W33-14" 



L(-6/ 2 ) 

W (-10) 
— — 



0(46) 
0(44)2)' 



W29-7 



L 20-24 
L 21-23 



W(-3) 
W(-7) 



U (44/2) 

"U"(43>2)' 

U(56) 



W 13-10 

W31-13" 



L(-3/ 2 ) 

LM4/2) 
W(-13J 



U(47) 



W28-25 
W 44-20 



W 21-14 
W38-15" 
L 10-16 



L(7) 
W(-9) 

Tm 

W (-6/2) 

TW) 



0(45) 



9/7 vs CHI 
9/14 "at 
9/21 vs JAC 
10/5ljtH0U] 
10/12 v 
10/19 at 
10/27 atTEN 

11/2 vs 

11/9 at PIT 

ll/l6"'vs"H0U 
11/23 a 
11/30 at CLE 

12/7 vsCIN 

12/14 vsDET 
12/18 at JAC 
12/28" vsTEN 



L 13-29 



W18-15 
L 21-23 



L(-10/ 2 ) 
W(pkj 



U (42/2) 



w 31-27 
"w'31-3 



L(-4) 
L (-4)4) 



(41/2) 
6 (48) 
U (39) 



9/13 vs JAC 

9/2T at 

9/27 atARI 
10/4 vs 



W 14-12 



W27-23 

W 31-10 



L(-6) 



U(45) 



W 34-17 



W(+3) 
W (-10) 



U (48/2) 
0(43) 



Ll4 : 34 
L 21-31 



W 18-15 
W 24-20 



L(-2J4) 
LJ+3J4J 

L(-6/ 2 ) 



(46/2) 

0(41)" 

U (44) 



W33;27 

W 23-20 



W(+3) 
L(7/ 2 ) 
W (+3) 



0(39) 



WlO-6 
_„„.... 



W 31-21 

W23-0" 



P(-4) 

W (-13/2) 
....„..._... 

W(-5) 
W"(+3J 



U(44) 
0(45) 



10/11 atTEN 

10/25 atSTL 

11/1 vsSFO 

11/8 vsHOU" 

11/15JS 
11/22 at 
li/ig'at 
12/6^ysTEN] 
12/13 vs 
l'2/17'atJAC 

12/27'vsNYJ 

1/3 at BUF " 



W31-9 W(-3) U(44) 



W42-6 
— — ■ 



W(-14) 0(45) 



W 20-17 
W'3534 



L(-12/ 2 ) 



U(45) 



W 17-15 

— — 



L(-3) 

W(-l) 
W(-3) 



(48/2) 
"U"(44i4)" 
6 (48/2) 



W 27-17 

w'28-16" 



W35;31 
Ll5 : 29 
L7-30 



W (-6) 
W(-6>2')" 

W(-3) 

L(-3) 



U(47) 
0(43) 
0(32) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


atHOU 


L 24-34 


L(-l) 


0(48) 


9/19 


vsNYG 


W 38-14 


W (-4/2) 


0(48) 




at DEN 


w 27-13 


W(-6) 


U(47) 


10/3 


at JAC 


L 28-31 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(45/2) 




vsKAN 


W19-9 


W(-7) 


U(46) 




at WAS 


w 27-24 


P(-3) 


0(44) 


11/1 


vsHOU 


w 30-17 


W(-5) 


u (50/2) 


11/7 


at PHI 


L 24-26 


W(+3) 


(46/2) 




vsCIN 


w 23-17 


L(7) 


U(47) 




atNWE 


L 28-31 


W(+4) 


0(49) 




vsSDG 


L 14-36 


LMJ4) 


P(50) 


12/5 


vsDAL 


L 35-38 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


0(48) 




atTEN 


W 30-28 


L(-3) 


0(44) 




vsJAC 


W 34-24 


W(-4) 


0(48) 




at OAK 


w 31-26 


W(-2) 


0(46) 


1/2 


vsTEN 


w 23-20 


LI-8J4) 


U(48) 



22 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.69 (4th toughest) 
2010 Record: 8-8 (+1.2 ML units), 9-7 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 11-5 
2010 Schedule Strength: 19.38 (23rd toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 16 (#23 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -3.09 (#24 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Tennessee 


Week 2 


at N.Y. )ets 


Week 3 


at Carolina 


Week 4 


New Orleans 


Weeks 


Cincinnati 


Week 6 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 7 


Baltimore 


Week 8 


at Houston 


Week 9 


BYE 


Week 10 


at Indianapolis 


Week 11 


at Cleveland 


Week 12 


Houston 


Week 13 


San Diego 


Week 14 


Tampa Bay 


Week 15 


at Atlanta 


Week 16 


at Tennessee 


Week 17 


Indianapolis 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

FAVORITE is 7-3 against the spread and straight-up at JACKSONVILLE in JAC-TEN series since 2001 

JACKSONVILLE is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NY JETS since 2001 

JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 1995 

FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in JAC-NO series since 1995 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and 8-0 straight-up at JACKSONVILLE in CIN-JAC series since 1995 

HOME TEAM is 15-6 against the spread in JAC-PIT series since 1995 

UNDERDOG is 8-4 against the spread in BAL-JAC series since 1995 

HOUSTON is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against JACKSONVILLE since 2006 

Last six games are 5-1 OVER the total in IND-JAC series since 2008 

ROAD TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and straight-up in CLE-JAC series since 2001 

HOME TEAM is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in HOU-JAC series since 2007 

HOME TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in JAC-SD series since 1995 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in JAC-TB series since 1995 

Last four games are 4-0 UNDER in ATL-JAC series 

UNDERDOG is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at TENNESSEE in JAC-TEN series since 2004 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread in IND-JAC series since 2007 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


12-5 


8-8 


12-6 


5-11 


7-9 


8-8 


52-47 


52.5% 


9-6 


8-8 


12-6 


4-12 


5-11 


9-7 


47-50 


48.5% 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


2-2 


2-1 


3-1 


15-8 


65.2% 


3-3 


6-2 


5-3 


1-7 


2-6 


5-3 


22-24 


47.8% 


6-3 


2-6 


7-3 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


25-26 


49-0% 


3-2 


2-4 


3-3 


1-5 


4-2 


3-3 


16-19 


45-7% 


7-4 


5-7 


10-4 


2-10 


5-7 


7-5 


36-37 


49-3% 


6-5 


3-6 


6-3 


1-7 


0-5 


3-1 


19-27 


41-3% 


3-1 


5-2 


6-3 


3-5 


5-6 


6-6 


28-23 


54.9% 


10-7 


9-7 


13-4 


6-9 


8-8 


11-5 


57-40 


58.8% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



JACKSONVILLE is 10-1 ATS after a 2 game road trip the last five seasons 

JACKSONVILLE is 3-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game the last three seasons 

JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game the last three seasons 

JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS in the last 2 weeks of the regular season the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-4.1 


24 


Yardage 


-31.0 


23 


Yds Per Play 


-0.93 


32 


Yds Per Point 


1.25 


22 


Turnovers 


-15 


31 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


22.1 


18 


First Downs 


20.6 


8 


Yards/Game 


340.8 


16 


Yds Per Play 


5-35 


15 


Yds Per Point 


1545 


19 


RushYds/Gm 


149-1 


3 


Yards Per Rush 


4.65 


5 


PassAtt/Game 


29-3 


31 


Comp/Game 


18.2 


24 


Completion % 


62.1 


12 


PassYds/Gm 


191.7 


27 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.54 


16 


1 NTs Thrown 


21 


26 


Sacks Allowed 


37 


19 


Att/Sack 


13-7 


24 


Sack Yards 


289 


24 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


26.2 


27 


First Downs 


19.8 


22 


Yards/Game 


371.8 


28 


Yds Per Play 


6.28 


32 


Yds Per Point 


14.20 


21 


RushYds/Gm 


121.6 


22 


Yards Per Rush 


4.68 


30 


PassAtt/Game 


31-6 


7 


Comp/Game 


20.6 


18 


Comp % 


65.0 


29 


PassYds/Gm 


250.3 


28 


Pass Yds/Att 


7-91 


32 


Interceptions 


13 


23 


Sacks 


26 


30 


Att/Sack 


20.5 


28 


Sack Yards 


189 


25 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsTEN 


L 10-13 


L(7/ 2 ) 


u (39/2) 


9/16 


vsATL 


W13-7 


LMO) 


u (34/2) 


9/23 


at DEN 


w 23-14 


W (+3/2) 


0(36) 


10/7 


at KAN 


W17-7 


W(-2) 


U(35) 




vsHOU 


w 37-17 


W(-6) 


0(37) 




vsIND 


L7-29 


L(+3) 


U (44/2) 




atTAM 


w 24-23 


W (+3/2) 


(32/2) 


11/4 


at NOR 


L 24-41 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


(39/2) 


11/11 


at TEN 


W 28-13 


W(+5) 


0(36) 


11/18 


vsSDG 


w 24-17 


W(-3) 


(40/2) 




vsBUF 


W 36-14 


W (-8/2) 


0(37) 


12/2 


atlND 


L 25-28 


W(+7) 


0(45) 




vsCAR 


W37-6 


W (-11) 


(38/2) 


12/16 


at PIT 


W 29-22 


W(+3) 


0(35) 




vsOAK 


W 49-H 


W(-14) 


(40/2) 




atHOU 


L 28-42 


L(+7) 


0(42) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


at TEN 


L 10-17 


L(-3) 


U(37) 


9/14 


vsBUF 


L 16-20 


L(-4) 


U(37) 




atlND 


w 23-21 


W(+4) 


(41/2) 


9/28 


vsHOU 


w 30-27 


K-6/2) 


0(43) 


10/5 


vsPIT 


L 21-26 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


0(38) 




at DEN 


w 24-17 


W(+3) 


U(48) 




vsCLE 


L 17-23 


L(7) 


U (41/2) 


11/2 


atCIN 


L 19-21 


L(7) 


P(40) 


11/9 


atDET 


W 38-14 


W(-6) 


0(43) 


11/16 


vsTEN 


L 14-24 


L(+2J4) 


u (39/2) 




vsMIN 


L 12-30 


L(-2) 


0(41/2) 


12/1 


atHOU 


L 17-30 


L(+3) 


U (48/2) 


12/7 


at CHI 


L 10-23 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


U(40) 




vsGNB 


W 20-16 


W(+3) 


U (45/) 




vsIND 


L 24-31 


L(+5) 


(43/) 


12/28 


at BAL 


L7-27 


L (+10/2) 


u (37/2) 



2009 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 atlND 


L 12-14 


W(+6) 


U(45) 


9/20 VS 


L 17-31 


L(-3) 


0(44) 


9/27 at 


w 31-24 


W(+4) 


(47/) 


10/4 vs 


w 37-17 


W(+3) 


0(42) 


10/11 at SEA 


LO-41 


L(+2) 


U(44) 


vsSTL 


w 23-20 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


0(42) 


11/1 at TEN 


L 13-30 


L(+3) 


U(44) 


11/8 vs 


W 24-21 


L(-7) 


(41/2) 


11/15 at NY) 


W 24-22 


W (+6/2) 


(40/2) 


11/22 vs 


W 18-15 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(41) 


11/29 at 


L3-20 


L(+3) 


U(42) 


12/6 vs 


W 23-18 


W(+l) 


U(48) 


12/13 vs 


L 10-14 


L(-2) 


U(43) 


12/17 vs 


L 31-35 


L(+3) 


0(43) 


12/27 at 


L7-35 


L(+9) 


U (44/2) 


1/3 at CLE 


L 17-23 


L(+2) 


0(35) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsDEN 


w 24-17 


W(-3) 


U (41/2) 


9/19 


atSDG 


L 13-38 


L(+7) 


0(45) 




vsPHI 


L3-28 


L(+3) 


U (44/2) 


10/3 


vsIND 


W 31-28 


W (+6/2) 


(45/2) 




atBUF 


W 36-26 


W(+3) 


(41/2) 




vsTEN 


L3-30 


L(+3) 


U (43/) 




at KAN 


L 20-42 


L(+9) 


(39/2) 




at DAL 


w 35-17 


W (+6/2) 


(43/) 




vsHOU 


w 31-24 


W(pk) 


0(48) 




vsCLE 


W 24-20 


W(-3) 


0(43) 




atNYG 


L 20-24 


W(+7/ 2 ) 


0(43) 


12/5 


at TEN 


W17-6 


W(+3) 


U (43/) 




vsOAK 


w 38-31 


W(-3) 


(41/2) 




atlND 


L 24-34 


L(+4) 


0(48) 




vsWAS 


L 17-20 


L(-7) 


U (45/) 


1/2 


atHOU 


L 17-34 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


0(48) 



I 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 23 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 19.63 (18th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-74 ML units), 8-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-7 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.31 (18th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#19 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.67 (#18 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Jacksonville 


Week 2 


Baltimore 


Week 3 


Denver 


Week 4 


at Cleveland 


Weeks 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


Houston 


Week 8 


Indianapolis 


Week 9 


Cincinnati 


Week 10 


at Carolina 


Week 11 


at Atlanta 


Week 12 


Tampa Bay 


Week 13 


at Buffalo 



Week 14 New Orleans 

Week 15 at Indianapolis 

Week 16 Jacksonville 

Week 17 at Houston 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

FAVORITE is 7-3 against the spread and straight-up at JACKSONVILLE in JAC-TEN series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 14-5 against the spread in BAL-TEN series since 1992 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in DEN-TEN series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up at CLEVELAND in CLE-TEN series since 1992 

Last 13 games at PITTSBURGH are 10-3 OVER the total in PIT-TEN series since 1992 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-TEN series since 2006 

TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread at home against INDIANAPOLIS since 2006 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and straight-up in CIN-TEN series since 2001 

TENNESSEE is 2-1 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 1992 

TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1992 

FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in TB-TEN series since 1992 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in BUF-TEN series 

TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992 

Last nine games at INDIANAPOLIS are 8-1 UNDER the total in IND-TEN series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at TENNESSEE in JAC-TEN series since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at HOUSTON in HOU-TEN series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


4-12 


8-8 


10-7 


13-4 


8-8 


6-10 


49-49 


50.0% 


6-10 


11-5 


8-8 


12-4 


6-9 


8-8 


51-44 


53-7% 


1-3 


1-3 


3-1 


1-3 


2-2 


2-2 


10-14 


41.7% 


4-4 


5-3 


3-4 


6-2 


3-4 


4-4 


25-21 


54-3% 


2-6 


6-2 


5-4 


6-2 


3-5 


4-4 


26-23 


53-1% 


2-4 


5-1 


5-1 


4-2 


2-4 


4-2 


22-14 


61.1% 


3-9 


8-4 


6-7 


9-4 


4-8 


5-7 


35-39 


47-3% 


1-1 


1-2 


4-3 


10-4 


3-5 


4-4 


23-19 


54.8% 


5-9 


10-3 


4-5 


2-0 


3-4 


4-4 


28-25 


52.8% 


9-7 


11-4 


5-11 


8-9 


9-7 


9-7 


51-45 


53-1% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



TENNESSEE is 8-0 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game the last three seasons 
TENNESSEE is 7-1 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game the last three seasons 
TENNESSEE is 13-4 ATS in non-conference games the last five seasons 
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game the last three seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


1.1 


16 


Yardage 


-65.6 


29 


Yds Per Play 


O.16 


13 


Yds Per Point 


-3-78 


6 


Turnovers 


-4 


19 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


22.3 


17 


First Downs 


15-8 


29 


Yards/Game 


302.1 


27 


Yds Per Play 


5-33 


16 


Yds Per Point 


13.58 


3 


RushYds/Gm 


107-9 


17 


Yards Per Rush 


4-25 


14 


PassAtt/Game 


29.6 


30 


Comp/Game 


17.1 


31 


Completion % 


57.6 


26 


PassYds/Gm 


194.2 


25 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.55 


15 


1 NTs Thrown 


15 


13 


Sacks Allowed 


27 


6 


Att/Sack 


18.6 


11 


Sack Yards 


171 


5 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


21.2 


15 


First Downs 


22.3 


32 


Yards/Game 


3677 


26 


Yds Per Play 


5-17 


14 


Yds Per Point 


17-35 


7 


RushYds/Gm 


115.6 


20 


Yards Per Rush 


3-91 


9 


PassAtt/Game 


39-1 


32 


Comp/Game 


25-7 
65-7 


32 


1 Comp% 


31 


1 PassYds/Gm 


252.1 


29 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.44 


15 


1 Interceptions 


17 


11 


1 Sacks 


40 


8 


1 Att/Sack 


16.7 


15 


1 Sack Yards 


272 


9 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/9 at J AC 

9/16 vsIND 

9/24 at 

10/7 vs ATL 

10/14 ai 
10/21'at 

10/28 
11/4 vs 
11/11 vsjAC 
11/19 at DEN 

l'l/25'at'cTN 

12/2^ysH0U[ 
12/9 vs 
12/16 'at KAN ' 

12/23 vs NY) 

12/30'atlND 



W 13-10 



L 20-22 
W 31-14 



W(+7fc) 

W(+6J4)'" 



u (39/2) 

U(45) 



W 



w 20-13 

L 10-13 



4/2) 
P(-7) 
L(+2) 



U (46/2) 

U (41/2) 

U (37) 



W 38-36 

'wiS"'' 



W (+2/2) 



W20-7 



LW) 



0(37/2) 
U(39) 
U(35) 



L 20-34 
T&35 



L(-5) 
L (-hi) 

L(+lj 



0(36) 



W28-20 
L 17-23 



W 26-17 

WlO-6 

W16-10" 



W(-3) 
L( + 2) 

W (-3)4) 
L(-8) 



0(39) 
P (40) 

U(41) 



9/7 vs |AC 

9/14 atCIN 

9/21 vsHO'u 

9/28[vsMIN] 
10/5 at BAL 
10/19 "a" 
10/27 v 
11/2 vs 
ii/?I""at"CH["" 
11/16 at JAC 

11/23 vs NY) 

11/27 at DET 

12/7 vsCLE 

12/14'at 
12/21 vsPIT 
12/28" atlND 



W 17-10 



W24-7 
W31-12"" 



W(+3) 

w'(-i) 



U(37) 



W3047 
W 13-10 



W(-4/ 2 ) 
W(-3) 
W(-l) 



0(40) 



W 34-10 

W 31-21 



W 19-16 
W 21-14 



W (-8/2) 
P(-3) 



0(35) 



W 24-14 
L 13-34 



W(-3) 
W (-2/2) 

T(54j 



U(37) 

0(41) 



W 47-10 
"W28-9 



L12-13 
LO-23 



W(-l0 1 / 2 ) 

W "(43>2J" 

L'(-3) 

W"(+3J 
L(-3) 



0(44) 

U(45) 
0(34) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/10 


at PIT 


L 10-13 


W(+6) 


U(36) 


9/20 


vsHOU 


L 31-34 


L(7) 


(40/2) 


9/27 


at NY) 


L 17-24 


L(+l) 


0(36) 


10/4 


at JAC 


L 17-37 


L(-3) 


0(42) 




vsIND 


L9-31 


L(+3) 


U(44) 




atNWE 


LO-59 


L(+9) 


0(39) 


11/1 


vsJAC 


w 30-13 


W(-3) 


U(44) 


11/8 


atSFO 


W 34-27 


W(+4) 


(40/2) 


11/15 


vsBUF 


w 41-17 


W(-7/ 2 ) 


(40/2) 




atHOU 


w 20-17 


W(+3/ 2 ) 


U(48) 




vsARI 


w 20-17 


P(-3) 


U(44) 


12/6 


atlND 


L 17-27 


L(+6) 


U(47) 




vsSTL 


W47-7 


W(-14) 


0(40) 




vsMIA 


w 27-24 


L(-5) 


(42/2) 




vsSDG 


L 17-42 


L(-2) 


(47/) 


1/3 


at SEA 


w 17-13 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


U(46) 



2010 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/12 
g'/l'g"" 

10/3 

12/5 
1/2 



VSOAK W 38-13 



vsPIT 
atNYG" 



Lll-19 
W 29-10 



W (-6/2) 
L"(-6) 



(39/2) 

U(37) 



vsDEN 
"atDAL"' 
atJAC 



L 20-26 

w'34-27" 

"w'30-3" 



W(+3) 
""['(-6)""" 

W (+6/2) 
'"W(-3) 



U(43) 



vsPHI 
■•»»••—■ 



.W.37;l?... 
L 25-33 



at MIA 
vsWAS" 



.. L ... 1 Z:?9... 

L 16-19 



W(-3) 
L(+6) 

L (+1/2) 



0(41) 

(45) 



atHOU 
vsJAC 



Lo-20 
..„._. 



L(-7) 

L (+4/2) 
L(-3) 



U(44) 

U (46/2) 
■»j-j— j- 



vsIND 
vsHOU'" 



L 28-30 
w'31-17' 



at KAN 
"atlND 



Ll4 : 34 
L 20-23 



W(+3) 

W(-2) 

L(+4) 
W (+8/2) 



0(44) 
0(47)" 

U (48) 



24 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




DEE 1 

Denver brings in another new head coach, with former Panthers head 
man John Fox taking over. Unlike Josh McDaniels, Fox typically runs a 
conservative, ball-control offense complimented by a strong defense. 
Tim Tebow is likely to get his shot to be Fox's franchise QB. He showed 
the ability to make plays with his feet last year, but the jury is still 
very much out on his ability in the passing game. They're still trying 
to figure out how heavily they can lean on injury-prone RB Knowshon 
Moreno. Denver was a trainwreck defensively last season, especially 
because of their weak pass rush. The return of Elvis Dumervil, who will 
play defensive end in Fox's 4-3 defense, and the arrival of No. 2 overall 
pick Von Miller at outside linebacker should improve on that. 

KJU9SAS MTV CUB? 

The Chiefs took some steps forward last year, making the playoffs for 
the first time since 2006. But they also took advantage of one of the 
weakest schedules in recent memory. During the regular season, they 
played only three games against teams who finished with winning 
records (a split with the Chargers and a loss to the Colts) before get- 
ting trounced by Baltimore at home in the playoffs. They'll continue 
to ride the ground game in 2011, and head coach Todd Haley has hint- 
ed towards a much bigger load for star RB jamaal Charles. Even with 
drop-prone WR Dwayne Bowe now one of the league's best big-play 
threats, the jury is still out on QB Matt Cassel. K.C. drafted a physi- 
cal compliment to Bowe in first-rounder |on Baldwin, and hope to get 
more production out of second-year weapons like slot receiver Dexter 
McCluster and TE Tony Moeaki. Defensively, their front seven is shaky 
aside from stud pass-rusher Tamba Hali. Their defensive line will be 
tested against a slate of better running games this fall. 

IMLAND RASDERS 

just when the Raiders were starting to make some progress, Al Davis 
shakes everything up again. Out is head coach Tom Cable, replaced by 
offensive coordinator Hue Jackson, who proved to be an outstanding 
play-caller. But along with Cable, the Raiders are losing the zone block- 
ing scheme that established their running game as one of the best. 
They'll switch to Davis's preferred power-blocking scheme in front of 
injury-prone backs Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. Veteran QB 
jason Campbell should continue to benefit from Jackson's play-calling. 
Defensively, the Raiders are losing their best player on either side of 
the ball as elite CB Nnamdi Asomugha leaves via free agency. Their 
front seven has shown promise, and could improve with second-year 
LB Rolando McClain taking on a bigger role. Oakland's biggest advan- 



PREDICTED STANDINGS 


AFC WEST 




TEAM 


w 


L 


Oakland Raiders 


10 


...6 


San Diego Chargers 


Q 


...7 




Kansas City Chiefs 


7 


...Q 




Denver Broncos 


* 


.1* 





* 



RB Jamaal Charles and K.C. ran roughshod over a weak schedule in 2010, 
but they were just 2-5 (ATS and SU) vs. teams that finished .500 or better. 



tage will likely be in special teams. Shane Lechler is still the NFL's best 
punter, perhaps of all time, and speedy WR jacoby Ford is emerging as 
an elite return man. 

SAN DOEOO CH1RC I 

Weak special teams and sloppy mistakes at the worst times kept the 
Chargers out of the playoffs in 2010, but this is still the most talent- 
ed team in the division. QB Philip Rivers is on the verge of joining the 
Manning-Brady-Brees-Rodgers class of quarterbacks after keeping the 
Chargers offense near the top of the NFL despite a series of injuries and 
holdouts. This year he could have top WR Vincent Jackson and a healthy 
TE Antonio Gates, as well as LT Marcus McNeill for an entire season. 
They're also expecting bigger things out of RB Ryan Mathews after the 
2010 first-rounder struggled through injuries. Defensive coordinator Ron 
Rivera took the head coaching job in Carolina, but the D is in good hands 
under former San Francisco coordinator Greg Manusky. The front seven 
should be strong against the run. journeyman Antonio Garay emerged as 
one of the NFL's elite nose tackles in 2010, and they added depth to their 
injury-plagued defensive end rotation with first-round pick Corey Liuget. 
Their pass rush is a bit lacking aside from OLB Shaun Phillips and Garay. 
The special teams will be rebuilt, as they replaced long-time ST coordina- 
tor Steve Crosby with former Tampa coordinator Rich Bisaccia. 



i 



1 



* 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 25 



AFC WEST 



& DEI 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 22.19 (3rd toughest) 
2010 Record: 4-12 (-10.1 ML units), 6-10 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-6 
2010 Schedule Strength: 19.50 (22nd toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 12 (#29 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -949 (#30 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Oakland 


Week 2 


Cincinnati 


Week 3 


at Tennessee 


Week 4 


at Green Bay 


Weeks 


San Diego 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


at Miami 


Week 8 


Detroit 


Week 9 


at Oakland 


Week 10 


at Kansas City 


Week 11 


N.Y. jets 


Week 12 


at San Diego 


Week 13 


at Minnesota 


Week 14 


Chicago 


Week 15 


New England 


Week 16 


at Buffalo 


Week 17 


Kansas City 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

OAKLAND is 5-0 against the spread at DENVER since 2006 

UNDERDOG is 3-0 against the spread in CIN-DEN series since 2004 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in DEN-TEN series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up in DEN-GB series since 1992 

SAN DIEGO is 8-2 against the spread and straight-up against DENVER since 2006 

MIAMI is 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against DENVER since 2001 

DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER since 2001 

FAVORITE is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at OAKLAND in DEN-OAK since 2001 

Last 10 games at KANSAS CITY are 8-2 OVER the total in DEN-KC series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up at DENVER in DEN-NYJ series since 1992 

SAN DIEGO is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against DENVER since 2006 

MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992 

CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992 

DENVER is 6-2 against the spread and straight-up against NEW ENGLAND since 2001 

Last eight games are 5-2 OVER the total in BUF-DEN series since 1992 

DENVER is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at home against KANSAS CITY since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


14-4 


9-7 


7-9 


8-8 


8-8 


4-12 


50-48 


51.0% 


12-5 


5-11 


5-11 


4-12 


9-7 


6-10 


41-56 


42.3% 


3-1 


2-2 


2-2 


2-1 


2-2 


1-3 


12-11 


52.2% 


6-3 


1-7 


4-4 


0-8 


4-4 


4-4 


19-30 


38.8% 


6-2 


4-4 


1-7 


4-4 


5-3 


2-6 


22-26 


45-8% 


4-1 


0-6 


2-4 


1-5 


3-3 


3-3 


13-22 


37-1% 


9-4 


4-8 


4-8 


3-9 


6-6 


5-7 


31-42 


42.5% 


9-4 


3-9 


2-6 


1-9 


3-3 


1-3 


19-34 


35-8% 


3-1 


2-2 


3-5 


3-3 


6-4 


5-7 


22-22 


50.0% 


10-8 


8-8 


12-4 


9-7 


7-9 


10-6 


56-42 


57-1% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



DENVER is 8-2 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game the last two seasons 

DENVER is 11-4 ATS after a game that went under the total the last two seasons 

DENVER is 11-27 ATS after playing their last game on the road the last five seasons 

DENVER is 0-10 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pet. 40% to 49%) the last five seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


-7-9 


29 


Yardage 


-42.0 


25 


Yds Per Play 


-0.44 


24 


Yds Per Point 


2.95 


27 


Turnovers 


-9 


27 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


21.5 


19 


First Downs 


19-3 


14 


Yards/Game 


348.8 


13 


Yds Per Play 


548 


12 


Yds Per Point 


16.22 


23 


RushYds/Gm 


96.5 


26 


Yards Per Rush 


3.88 


24 


PassAtt/Game 


36.3 


7 


Comp/Game 


20.9 


15 


Completion % 


57.6 


25 


PassYds/Gm 


252.3 


7 


PassYds/Att 


6.96 


8 


1 NTs Thrown 


12 


7 


Sacks Allowed 


40 


23 


Att/Sack 


15-5 


18 


Sack Yards 


269 


23 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


294 


32 


First Downs 


20.9 


27 


Yards/Game 


390.8 


32 


Yds Per Play 


5-92 


29 


Yds Per Point 


13.28 


30 


RushYds/Gm 


154.6 


31 


Yards Per Rush 


4.66 


29 


PassAtt/Game 


31.4 


6 


Comp/Game 


18.6 
59-2 


7 


1 Comp% 


13 


1 PassYds/Gm 


23b.3 


25 


1 PassYds/Att 


7.53 


30 


1 Interceptions 


10 


30 


1 Sacks 


23 


32 


1 Att/Sack 


22.8 


31 


1 Sack Yards 


156 


31 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


at BUF 


w 15-14 


L(-3) 


U(38) 


9/16 


vsOAK 


w 23-20 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


0(37) 


9/23 


vsJAC 


L 14-23 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(36) 


9/30 


atlND 


L 20-38 


L (+10) 


(46/2) 


10/7 


vsSDG 


L3-41 


L (+1)4) 


(43/2) 




vsPIT 


W 31-28 


W(+4) 


0(38) 




vsGNB 


L 13-19 


L(-3) 


u (43/2) 


11/4 


at DET 


L7-44 


L(+3) 


0(47) 


11/11 


at KAN 


w 27-11 


W(+3) 


0(37) 




vsTEN 


W 34-20 


W(-l) 


0(38) 




at CHI 


L 34-37 


L(+D 


(42/2) 


12/2 


at OAK 


L 20-34 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(41) 




vsKAN 


W41-7 


W(-7%) 


0(37) 


12/13 


atHOU 


L 13-31 


L(-3) 


u (47/2) 




atSDG 


L3-23 


L(+9) 


U(47) 




vsMIN 


w 22-19 


W (+2/2) 


(40/2) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/8 at OAK 


w 41-14 


W(-3) 


0(40) 


9/14 vs 


W 39-38 


LM/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 


9/21 vs 


W 34-32 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


(51/2) 


9/28 at 


L 19-33 


L(-8) 


0(47) 


10/5 vs 


W 16-13 


LI-3J4) 


U(47) 




L 17-24 


L(-3) 


U(48) 


10/20 at 


L7-41 


L(+3) 


(47/2) 


11/2 vs 


L 17-26 


L(-4) 


U(50) 


11/6 at CLE 


W 34-30 


W(+3) 


0(46) 


11/16 at ATL 


W 24-20 


W (+6/2) 


U(5D 


11/23 v 


L 10-31 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(44) 


11/30 at NY] 


W 34-17 


W(+8) 


0(48) 


12/7 vs 


W 24-17 


L(-9) 


u (49/2) 


12/14 a 


L 10-30 


L(+7) 


U (46/2) 


12/21 vs 


L 23-30 


L(-6) 


(46/2) 


12/28 at 


L 21-52 


L(+7) 


0(50) 



2009 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2010 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/13 atCIN 
9/20 vs CLE 
9/27 at 
10/4 vs 
10/ll'vs 
10/19 

11/1 'atBAL 

11/9 vs PIT 
ll/15jt 

11/22 VS 

ll/26""vsNYG 
l2/6^atkAN] 

12/13"atTND 

12/20 vs 

12/27""at PHI 

1/3 vsKAN" 



W12-7 



W27-6 
W23-3 



W(+5) 
"W(-3) 



11(41) 



W 17-10 

w 20-17 



W (-2/2) 

"W(+3J 

W(+3J 



U(38) 



W 34-23 W(+3) 0(44/2) 



L7-30 



L 10-28 
L17-27' 



L(+4%) 
L (+3) 



U (42/2) 
11(41) 



L3-32 
W 26-6 



L(-3) 
L (+6) 

W (+4/2) 



(35/2) 



W 44-13 

[16-28 



L 19-20 
.L.27-30.. 
L 24-44 



W(-5) 
L( + 6/ 2 j 
LM3/2) 
W(+7) 

L(-9) 



(38/2) 
0(37) 
0(38) 



9/12 
g/'i'g"" 

10/3 

12/5 
1/2 



atJAC L 17-24 L(+3) U (41/2) 



vsSEA 
vsIND 



W3144 
L 13-27 



W(-3) 0(41) 



at TEN 
atBAL" 

vsNYJ 

vsOAK 



W26-20 
L 20-24 



vsSFO 
vsKAN' 



L14-59 
L 16-24 



L(+6) 
W(+6) 

L(+8) 

L (+3) 

L(-7) 



U(47) 
6 (42/2) 



atSDG 
.._„... 



W49 : 29 
L 14-35 



L(+2) 
W(+lj 



0(43) 
U(41) 



at KAN 
at ARJ 



L 33-36 
"L6-10 



L 13-43 



L(-3) 
L"(-4)'" 



U(50) 
U(48) 



(44/2) 



at OAK 
vsHOU 
vsSDG' 



L 23-39 



W 24-23 

L28-33 



L(+8) 

W (+1/2) 
W(+5/)" 



(41/2) 
U (49) 



26 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 30-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 15-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 22.81 (toughest) 
2010 Record: 10-7 (+33 ML units), 9-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-10 
2010 Schedule Strength: 18.00 (24th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 15 (#24 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.68 (#21 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Buffalo 


Week 2 


at Detroit 


Week 3 


at San Diego 


Week 4 


Minnesota 


Weeks 


at Indianapolis 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


at Oakland 


Week 8 


San Diego 


Week 9 


Miami 


Week 10 


Denver 


Week 11 


at New England 


Week 12 


Pittsburgh 


Week 13 


at Chicago 


Week 14 


at N.Y. )ets 


Week 15 


Green Bay 


Week 16 


Oakland 


Week 17 


at Denver 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

BUFFALO is 5-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 2001 

KANSAS CITY is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

SAN DIEGO is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up at home against KANSAS CITY since 2004 

HOME TEAM is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up in KC-MIN series since 1992 

INDIANAPOLIS is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up against KANSAS CITY since 1992 

KANSAS CITY is 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 straight-up at OAKLAND since 2001 

HOME TEAM is 9-5 against the spread and straight-up in KC-SD series since 2004 

MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread and 7-2 straight-up against KANSAS CITY since 1992 

Last 10 games at KANSAS CITY are 8-2 OVER the total in DEN-KC series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 9-0 straight-up in the KC-NE series since 1992 

Last four games are 4-0 OVER the total in KC-PIT series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in CHI-KC series since 1992 

KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus NYJETS since 2001 

Last four games are 4-0 OVER the total in GB-KC series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 12-2 against the spread and 10-4 straight-up in KC-OAK series since 2004 

DENVER is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at home against KANSAS CITY since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


10-6 


9-8 


4-12 


2-14 


4-12 


10-7 


39-59 


39.8% 


10-5 


8-9 


7-8 


8-8 


7-9 


9-8 


49-47 


51.0% 


0-4 


2-2 


0-4 


1-3 


0-4 


0-3 


3-20 


13.0% 


7-1 


5-3 


1-6 


3-5 


2-6 


5-4 


23-25 


47-9% 


3-4 


3-6 


6-2 


5-3 


5-3 


4-4 


26-22 


54-2% 


4-2 


4-2 


2-4 


5-1 


2-4 


1-5 


18-18 


50.0% 


9-3 


5-8 


5-7 


7-5 


5-7 


5-8 


36-38 


48.6% 


8-1 


5-4 


0-3 


0-1 


0-2 


4-5 


17-16 


51-5% 


2-4 


3-5 


7-5 


8-7 


7-7 


5-3 


32-31 


50.8% 


6-10 


7-9 


8-8 


8-8 


9-5 


7-10 


45-50 


474% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



KANSAS CITY is 10-1 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pet. of 64% or worse the last three seasons 
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS revenging a loss where team scored less than 14 points the last five seasons 
KANSAS CITY is 5-13 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread the last five seasons 
KANSAS CITY is 0-6 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


2.5 


13 


Yardage 


19-5 


10 


Yds Per Play 


0.12 


14 


Yds Per Point 


-0.92 


9 


Turnovers 


+9 


5 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


22.9 


13 


First Downs 


19-9 


11 


Yards/Game 


349-7 


12 


Yds Per Play 


5-26 


18 


Yds Per Point 


15.29 


15 


RushYds/Gm 


164.2 


1 


Yards Per Rush 


4-72 


4 


PassAtt/Game 


29-7 


29 


Comp/Game 


17.1 


30 


Completion % 


57-7 


24 


PassYds/Gm 


185.5 


30 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.25 


23 


1 NTs Thrown 


8 


3 


Sacks Allowed 


32 


11 


Att/Sack 


15.8 


16 


Sack Yards 


221 


14 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


20.4 


11 


First Downs 


18.3 


14 


Yards/Game 


330.2 


14 


Yds Per Play 


5-14 


12 


Yds Per Point 


16.21 


12 


RushYds/Gm 


110.3 


15 


Yards Per Rush 


4-32 


18 


PassAtt/Game 


36.3 


26 


Comp/Game 


19-9 


13 


Comp % 


54-9 


3 


PassYds/Gm 


219.9 


17 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.06 


6 


Interceptions 


14 


19 


Sacks 


39 


10 


Att/Sack 


15-9 


11 


Sack Yards 


258 


11 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 

9/16"' 
9/23 


atHOU 
"atCHl"' 
"v'sMIN" 


L3-20 
L 10-20 

w 13-10 


L(+3) 
W (+11%) 
P'fi'j 


u (37/2) 

U (35)4) 
U (34/2) 


9/7 
9/14" 

9/28 
10/5 


atNWE 

vsOAK" 

atATL 

vsDEN" 
...._„... 

vsTEN 


L 10-17 

L 14-38 
W33;l?"" 
L 0-34 
L 10-34 


W (+16/2) 

L(3) 

M+6J 

W(+8J 
— — 

L(+8/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 

U(36) 

(37/2) 

0(47) 
U (38) 

0(35) 


9/13 

9/20 
9/27 
10/4 


atBAL 
vsOAK' 
at PHI 

"vsNYG" 
vsDAL" 

at WAS 


L24-38 
LlO-13 
L 14-34 
L16J27 
'"['20-26'" 
W14-6 


L (+13) 

L(-lj 
L (+7/2) 
L (+9) 

W"(+7J 

W (+6/2) 


0(37) 
U (40) 
0(39) 
P(43) 
6(43)4) 
U (36/2) 


9/13 
9/19" 


vsSDG 
atCLE 

"vsSFO" 

atHOU 
vsJAC 


W 21-14 
W1644 

w 31-10 

L 31-35 
w 42-20 


W(+4) 

W(+3J 

L(+7J 
W (+4/2) 
W(-9) 


U (45)4) 
U(38) 
0(38) 


9/3.0.... 
10/7 


atSDG 
vsJAC" 


W 30-16 

L7-17 


W (+12/2) 
L(+2) 


0(39) 
U(35) 


U(46) 
6 (45)4) 




vsCIN 


w 27-20 


W (+2/2) 


0(44) 


(39/2) 




at OAK 


W 12-10 


W(+2) 


u (37/2) 


ii/2"" 

11/9 

11/16 


at NY) 

vsTAM 

"atSDG" 

vsNOR 

vsBUF" 


L 24-28 
L27-30 
L 19-20 
L 20-30 
L 31-54 


W (+14) 
— — 

L (+6) 
L (+3) 


(40/2) 
0(37)' 

U (46)4) 
.__ 

6 (43)4) 


11/8 

11/15 


vsSDG 
at JAC 

atOAK 

vsp'if" 

"atSDG" 


L7-37 

L 21-24 
W1640 

w 27-24 

L 14-43 


L(+6) 
W"(+7J 

"w"( + 3J ' 

W (+11) 

L(+13)"" 


P(44) 
6(41)4) 
U (3634) 

6(39)4) 
6(44)4) 


VSll 


vsBUF 
"atOAK" 
atDEN 
vsARl" 


w 13-10 

L 20-23 
— — •-■ 

w 31-13 


L(7) 

L(-D 
W(-7) 


u (45/2) 


11/4 
11/11 

11/18 


vsGNB 
..„_.. 

"atlND" 


L22-33 
L 11-27 
L 10-13 


L(-2/ 2 ) 

L(-3) 

W (+14/2) 


0(37%) 

0(37) 

U (41/2) 


0(41) 

6 (44/2) 

U(45) 




vsOAK 


L 17-20 


L(-4) 


(34/2) 




at SEA 


w 42-24 


W (-1/2) 


0(45)4) 


12/2 


vsSDG 


L 10-24 


L(+5/ 2 ) 


u (37/2) 




at OAK 


W 20-13 


W(+3) 


U(41) 


12/6 


vsDEN 
vsBUF" 

at CIN 
at DEN 


L 13-44 

L 10-16 

L 10-17 

W 44-24 


L(+5) 
L (+3) 

L(-2) 
W (+13) 
W'('+9J 


(38/2) 
U (38)4) 

0(39) 
U (39)4) 

0(38) 


12/5 


vsDEN 


WlO-6 


L(-8) 


U(48) 


12/16 


at DEN 
vsTe'n" 


L7-41 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 
L(+3 1 / 2 j 


0(37) 
(34)4) 


12 . / Z... 


at DEN 
vsSDG" 
"vsMIA" 
at CIN 


Ll7 : 24 

L 21-22 
..._„.... 

L 6-16 


W(+9) 

W"(+6J"" 

L(+3J 

L(+lj 


u (49/2) 

0(41)4)' 
0(37) 
U (40) 


1/2 


atSDG 
atSTL 

"vsTEN 
"vsOAK 


LO-31 
W2743 
w 34-14 
L 10-31 


L (+10) 
W(+3) 

W(-4) 
L(-4) 


U (45/) 
U(43) 




at DET 


L 20-25 


W(+6) 


(43/) 


(42/2) 




at NY) 


L 10-13 


W (+4/2) 


U (35)4) 


U (42)4) 



i 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 27 



AFC WEST 



■• :a 9 M 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 50-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: 25-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.81 (11th toughest) 
2010 Record: 8-8 (+6.7 ML units), 8-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-6 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.50 (28th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 23 (#10 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 4.58 (#6 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Denver 


Week 2 


at Buffalo 


Week 3 


N.Y. jets 


Week 4 


New England 


Weeks 


at Houston 


Week 6 


Cleveland 


Week 7 


Kansas City 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


Denver 


Week 10 


at San Diego 


Week 11 


at Minnesota 


Week 12 


Chicago 


Week 13 


at Miami 


Week 14 


at Green Bay 


Week 15 


Detroit 


Week 16 


at Kansas City 


Week 17 


San Diego 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

OAKLAND is 5-0 against the spread at DENVER since 2006 

OAKLAND is 7-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread in NY)-OAK series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in NE-OAK series since 2001 

HOUSTON is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up against OAKLAND since 2001 

CLEVELAND is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 straight-up against OAKLAND since 1992 

KANSAS CITY is 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 straight-up at OAKLAND since 2001 

FAVORITE is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at OAKLAND in DEN-OAK since 2001 
Last 18 games at SAN DIEGO are 14-4 UNDER the total in OAK-SD series since 1992 
UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in MIN-OAK series since 1992 
CHICAGO is 4-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992 
Last six games in MIAMI are 5-1 UNDER the total in MIA-OAK series since 1992 
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up against OAKLAND since 1992 
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against OAKLAND since 2001 
ROAD TEAM is 12-2 against the spread and 10-4 straight-up in KC-OAK series since 2004 
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 against the spread at OAKLAND since 1992 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


4-12 


2-14 


4-12 


5-11 


5-11 


8-8 


28-68 


29.2% 


5-11 


6-10 


6-10 


7-9 


8-8 


8-8 


40-56 


41.7% 


1-3 


4-1 


2-2 


2-2 


2-2 


2-1 


13-11 


54-2% 


2-6 


3-5 


2-6 


2-6 


4-4 


4-4 


17-31 


354% 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


5-3 


4-4 


4-4 


23-25 


47-9% 


0-6 


4-2 


3-3 


2-4 


4-2 


6-0 


19-17 


52.8% 


2-10 


5-7 


6-6 


6-6 


7-5 


6-6 


32-40 


444% 


3-3 


0-2 


0-4 


0-1 


0-1 


2-2 


5-13 


27.8% 


2-8 


6-8 


6-6 


7-8 


8-7 


6-6 


35-43 


44-9% 


7-9 


3-12 


10-5 


5-9 


7-9 


10-6 


42-50 


457% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



OAKLAND is 10-2 ATS versus division opponents the last two seasons 

OAKLAND is 10-3 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game the last three seasons 

OAKLAND is 3-14 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game the last five seasons 

OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS off a upset win as an underdog the last two seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


2.4 


14 


Yardage 


31-9 


9 


Yds Per Play 


O.25 


9 


Yds Per Point 


-0.08 


12 


Turnovers 


-2 


17 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


25-6 


6 


First Downs 


19.1 


16 


Yards/Game 


354.6 


10 


Yds Per Play 


546 


13 


Yds Per Point 


13.84 


4 


RushYds/Gm 


155.8 


2 


Yards Per Rush 


4-96 


2 


PassAtt/Game 


30.8 


24 


Comp/Game 


17-5 


28 


Completion % 


56.8 


28 


PassYds/Gm 


198.8 


23 


PassYds/Att 


6.45 


19 


1 NTs Thrown 


16 


16 


Sacks Allowed 


44 


26 


Att/Sack 


12.2 


28 


Sack Yards 


291 


26 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


23.2 


20 


First Downs 


18.3 


13 


Yards/Game 


322.7 


11 


Yds Per Play 


5-21 


15 


Yds Per Point 


13.92 


24 


RushYds/Gm 


133-6 


29 


Yards Per Rush 


4-51 


23 


PassAtt/Game 


29-4 


1 


Comp/Game 


15.6 
53-0 


1 


1 Comp% 


2 


1 PassYds/Gm 


189.I 


2 


1 PassYds/Att 


6.44 


14 


1 Interceptions 


12 


25 


1 Sacks 


47 


1 


1 Att/Sack 


11.0 


1 


1 Sack Yards 


291 


5 



2007 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 vs DET 


L 21-36 


L(-3) 


(39/2) 


9/16 at DEN 


L 20-23 


W (+9/2) 


0(37) 


9/23 vs CLE 


W 26-24 


L(-3) 


(41/2) 


9/30 at 


w 35-17 


W (+3/2) 


(39/2) 




L 14-28 


L (+9/2) 


U(44) 


atTEN 


L 10-12 


L(-2) 


u (37/2) 


L9-13 


W (+6/2) 


U(39) 


11/4 vs 


L 17-24 


L(-3) 


P(41) 


11/11 vsCHI 


L6-17 


L (+334) 


U(38) 


11/18 at 


L 22-29 


L( + 4/ 2 ) 


(35/2) 


11/25 at 


w 20-17 


W(+4) 


(34%) 


12/2 vs 


W 34-20 


W (+3/2) 


0(41) 


12/9 at 


L7-38 


L( + 10) 


0(40) 


12/16 vsIND 


L 14-21 


W (+9/2) 


U(45) 


12/23 atJAC 


L 11-49 


L( + 14) 


(40/2) 




L 17-30 


L(+9) 


(41/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/8 


vsDEN 


L 14-41 


L(+3) 


0(40) 


9/14 


at KAN 


W23-8 


W(+3) 


U(36) 




at BUF 


L 23-24 


W (+10) 


0(37) 


9/28 


vsSDG 


L 18-28 


U+8) 


P(46) 




at NOR 


L3-34 


L(+7) 


U(47) 




vsNY) 


W 16-13 


W(+3) 


U(41) 




atBAL 


L 10-29 


U+8) 


(34/2) 


11/2 


vsATL 


LO-24 


L(+3) 


U(4l) 


11/9 


vsCAR 


L6-17 


L (+10) 


u (37/2) 


11/16 


at MIA 


L 15-17 


W (+10) 


u (37/2) 




at DEN 


w 31-10 


W (+8/2) 


U(44) 




vsKAN 


L 13-20 


L(3) 


U(41) 


12/4 


atSDG 


L7-34 


L(+9) 


P(41) 




vsNWE 


L 26-49 


L(+7) 


0(38) 




vsHOU 


W 27-16 


W (+6/2) 


u (43/2) 


12/28 


atTAM 


w 31-24 


W (+11) 


(39/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/14 


vsSDG 


L 20-24 


W (+10) 


0(42/2) 


9/20 


at KAN 


w 13-10 


W(+l) 


U(40) 


9/27 


vsDEN 


L3-23 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


11(38) 


10/4 


atHOU 


L6-29 


U+8) 


U (42/2) 




atNYG 


L7-44 


L (+15) 


0(38) 




vsPHI 


W13-9 


W (+14) 


U (40/2) 




vsNYJ 


LO-38 


L(+6) 


0(34) 


11/1 


atSDG 


L 16-24 


W (+15/2) 


U (41/2) 


11/15 


vsKAN 


L 10-16 


L(-3) 


U (36/2) 




vsCIN 


w 20-17 


W (+8/2) 


0(36) 




at DAL 


L7-24 


L(+13/ 2 ) 


U (40/ 2 ) 


12/6 


at PIT 


w 27-24 


W(+15) 


0(37) 




vsWAS 


L 13-34 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


0(37) 




at DEN 


W 20-19 


W (+13/2) 


0(37) 




at CLE 


L9-23 


L(+3) 


U(37) 


1/3 


vsBAL 


L 13-21 


W (+10) 





2010 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 atTEN 


L 13-38 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


(39/2) 


9/19 vs STL 


W 16-14 


L(-3) 


u (37/2) 


9/26 at ARI 


L 23-24 


W (+5/2) 


0(39) 


10/3 vs 


L 24-31 


L(+3) 


0(43) 


10/10 vsSDG 


w 35-27 


W(+7) 


0(44) 


10/17 at 


L9-17 


L(+7K) 


U(41) 




w 59-14 


W(+7) 


0(43) 




W33-3 


W(-2) 


U(40) 


11/7 vs 


W 23-20 


W (+1/2) 


0(41) 


11/21 at PIT 


L3-35 


L(+7) 


U(41) 


11/28 vsMIA 


L 17-33 


L(-3) 


0(38) 


12/5 at SDG 


W 28-13 


W(+13) 


U(45) 


12/12 at JAC 


L 31-38 


L(+3) 


(41/2) 


12/19 vsDEN 


w 39-23 


W(-8) 


(41/2) 


12/26 vsIND 


L 26-31 


L(+2) 


0(46) 


1/2 at KAN 


w 31-10 


W(+4) 


U (42/2) 



28 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



AFC WEST 



£1 sii mm en as 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win AFC Title: n-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.00 (8th toughest) 
2010 Record: 9-7 (-13-2 ML units), 8-8 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-7-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.50 (28th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (H6 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +5.42 (85 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Minnesota 


Week 2 


at New England 


Week 3 


Kansas City 


Week 4 


Miami 


Weeks 


at Denver 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


at N.Y. Jets 


Week 8 


at Kansas City 


Week 9 


Green Bay 


Week 10 


Oakland 


Week 11 


at Chicago 


Week 12 


Denver 


Week 13 


at Jacksonville 


Week 14 


Buffalo 


Week 15 


Baltimore 


Week 16 


at Detroit 


Week 17 


at Oakland 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up in MIN-SD series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 8-3 against the spread and 7-4 straight-up in NE-SD series since 1992 

SAN DIEGO is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up at home against KANSAS CITY since 2004 

Last 11 games are 10-1 UNDER the total in MIA-SD series since 1992 

SAN DIEGO is 8-2 against the spread and straight-up against DENVER since 2006 

ROAD TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up in NYJ-SD series since 1992 
HOME TEAM is 9-5 against the spread and straight-up in KC-SD series since 2004 
GREEN BAY is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN DIEGO since 1992 
Last 18 games at SAN DIEGO are 14-4 UNDER the total in OAK-SD series since 1992 
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against SAN DIEGO since 1992 
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up at home against DENVER since 2006 
HOME TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in JAC-SD series since 1992 
HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up in BUF-SD series since 1992 
HOME TEAM is 5-2 against the spread and straight-up in BAL-SD series since 1992 
SAN DIEGO is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 against the spread at OAKLAND since 1992 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


9-7 


14-3 


13-6 


9-9 


13-4 


9-7 


67-36 


65.0% 


9-6 


9-8 


14-5 


9-9 


8-8 


8-8 


57-44 


56.4% 


2-2 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


2-1 


1-2 


12-10 


54-5% 


4-4 


5-4 


8-1 


5-4 


3-5 


6-2 


31-20 


60.8% 


5-2 


4-4 


6-4 


4-5 


5-3 


2-6 


26-24 


52.0% 


3-2 


4-2 


5-1 


4-2 


3-3 


2-4 


21-14 


60.0% 


6-5 


7-6 


12-3 


8-6 


5-8 


6-6 


44-34 


56.4% 


6-5 


7-7 


11-3 


5-8 


5-7 


7-8 


41-38 


51.9% 


3-1 


2-1 


3-2 


4-1 


3-1 


1-0 


16-6 


72.7% 


5-11 


10-7 


10-8 


8-8 


10-6 


8-7 


51-47 


52.0% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pet. 60% to 75%) the last two seasons 

SAN DIEGO is 7-1 ATS off a home loss the last five seasons 

SAN DIEGO is 3-10 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game the last three seasons 

SAN DIEGO is 1-6 ATS versus terrible rushing defenses - allowing >=150 rushing yards/game the last three seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


7-5 


5 


Yardage 


124.7 


1 


Yds Per Play 


1.47 


1 


Yds Per Point 


O.89 


19 


Turnovers 


-6 


23 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


27-6 


2 


First Downs 


22.3 


3 


Yards/Game 


395-6 


1 


Yds Per Play 


6.09 


1 


Yds Per Point 


14.35 


8 


RushYds/Gm 


113.1 


15 


Yards Per Rush 


3.96 


22 


PassAtt/Game 


34.0 


14 


Comp/Game 


22.4 


8 


Completion % 


66.0 


3 


PassYds/Gm 


282.4 


2 


PassYds/Att 


8.31 


1 


1 NTs Thrown 


13 


9 


Sacks Allowed 


38 


20 


Att/Sack 


15-3 


20 


Sack Yards 


227 


17 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


20.1 


10 


First Downs 


15-4 


1 


Yards/Game 


270.9 


1 


Yds Per Play 


4.62 


2 


Yds Per Point 


13.46 


28 


RushYds/Gm 


93-8 


4 


Yards Per Rush 


3-71 


5 


PassAtt/Game 


30.5 


3 


Comp/Game 


17.8 


3 


Comp% 


58.4 


10 


PassYds/Gm 


177.1 


1 


PassYds/Att 


5.81 


2 


Interceptions 


16 


14 


Sacks 


47 


1 


Att/Sack 


11.4 


2 


Sack Yards 


300 


4 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsCHI 


W14-3 


W(-7) 


U(43) 


9/16 


atNWE 


L 14-38 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


0(46) 


9/23 


atGNB 


L 24-31 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


(42/2) 


9/30 


vsKAN 


L 16-30 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


0(39) 


10/7 


at DEN 


W41-3 


W (-1/2) 


(43/2) 




vsOAK 


W 28-14 


W(-9/ 2 ) 


U(44) 




vsHOU 


W 35-10 


W (-10) 


u (45/2) 


11/4 


at MIN 


L 17-35 


L(-7) 


0(42) 


11/11 


vsIND 


w 23-21 


W (+3/2) 


U(47) 


11/18 


atJAC 


L 17-24 


L(+3) 


(40/2) 




vsBAL 


w 32-14 


W (-9/2) 


0(39) 


12/2 


at KAN 


W 24-10 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


u (37/2) 




at TEN 


w 23-17 


W(-2) 


P(40) 


12/16 


vsDET 


W 51-14 


W (-9/2) 


(45/2) 




vsDEN 


W23-3 


W(-9) 


U(47) 




at OAK 


w 30-17 


W(-9) 


(41/2) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 vs CAR 


L 24-26 


L(«4) 


(40/2) 


9/14 at 


L 38-39 


W (+1/2) 


(46/2) 


9/22 vs NY) 


W 48-29 


W(-8) 


(46/2) 


9/28 at 


W 28-18 


W(-8) 


P(46) 


10/5 at 


L 10-17 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


10/12 vs 


w 30-10 


W(-6) 


U(45) 


10/19 


L 14-23 


L(-D 


U(45) 




L 32-37 


L(-3) 


0(46) 


11/9 vs 


W 20-19 


L (-15) 


U (46/2) 


11/16 at PIT 


L 10-11 


W(+4) 


U(40) 


11/23 v 


L 20-23 


L(-3) 


u (49/2) 


11/30 vs 


L 16-22 


K-6/2) 


U(48) 


12/4 vs 


W34-7 


W(-9) 


P(41) 


12/14 at 


W 22-21 


L(-6) 


(41/2) 


12/21 at 


w 41-24 


W(+4) 


0(42) 




w 52-21 


W(-7) 


0(50) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/14 


at OAK 


W 24-20 


LMO) 


(42/2) 


9/20 


vsBAL 


L 26-31 


L(-l) 


0(41) 


9/27 


vsMIA 


w 23-13 


W(-5) 


U(45) 


10/4 


at PIT 


L 28-38 


L (+534) 


0(43) 




vsDEN 


L 23-34 


L(3) 


(44/2) 




at KAN 


W37-7 


W(-6) 


P(44) 


11/1 


vsOAK 


W 24-16 


L(-15/ 2 ) 


U (41/2) 


11/8 


atNYG 


W 21-20 


W(+5) 


U (48/2) 


11/15 


vsPHI 


w 31-23 


W(-l) 


0(47) 




at DEN 


W32-3 


W(-6) 


U (41/2) 




vsKAN 


W 43-14 


W(-13) 


(44/2) 


12/6 


at CLE 


w 30-23 


L(-13/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 




at DAL 


w 20-17 


W (+3/2) 


U(49) 




vsCIN 


w 27-24 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(44) 




at TEN 


w 42-17 


W(+2) 


(47/2) 


1/3 


vsWAS 


w 23-20 


P(-3) 


0(39) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


at KAN 


L 14-21 


L(-4) 


u (45/2) 


9/19 


vsJAC 


w 38-13 


W(-7) 


0(45) 




at SEA 


L 20-27 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/3 


vsARI 


w 41-10 


W (-10) 


0(47) 




at OAK 


L 27-35 


L(7) 


0(44) 




at STL 


L 17-20 


L (-8/2) 


U(45) 




vsNWE 


L 20-23 


L(-3) 


U(49) 




vsTEN 


w 33-25 


W(-6) 


0(45) 


11/7 


atHOU 


w 29-23 


W(-3) 


0(50) 




vsDEN 


w 35-14 


W (-8/2) 


11(50) 




atlND 


W 36-14 


W (+1/2) 


P(50) 


12/5 


vsOAK 


L 13-28 


L (-13) 


U(45) 




vsKAN 


W31-0 


W (-10) 


u (45/2) 


12/16 


vsSFO 


W34-7 


W (-10) 


U (44/2) 




atCIN 


L 20-34 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


(43/2) 


1/2 


at DEN 


W 33-28 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


(47/2) 



i 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 29 




DALLis conbots 

|ason Garrett enters his first full season as head coach after piloting 
the Cowboys to a respectable 5-3 finish, and he'll get QB Tony Romo 
back in the lineup. They'd like to make more of a commitment to the 
run, especially with a bigger role for RB Felix |ones, but Garrett has 
run the offense since 2007 and they're primarily a pass-first team. One 
thing to watch will be how supremely talented but high maintenance 
WR Dez Bryant works with new receivers coach |immy Robinson, who 
came over from Green Bay. Former receivers coach Ray Sherman had 
been accused of coddling Bryant. Defensively, Dallas has a potentially 
great front seven, led by pass rushing stud LB DeMarcus Ware. The sec- 
ondary is a major Achilles heel though. Their collection of cornerbacks 
struggles in pass coverage and run support, and they have some of the 
worst safety play in the NFL. 

n 1 ■ iANTS 

The Giants once again made few changes after a disappointing season, 
keeping their offensive coaching staff intact. Eli Manning is still mad- 
deningly inconsistent, but does have the raw talent and the weapons 
to light it up when things are clicking. Hakeem Nicks is now one of the 
NFL's elite receivers, and new starting RB Ahmad Bradshaw has provid- 
ed a little more versatility than long-time starter Brandon Jacobs, now 
a second stringer. The defense has recovered from a nightmarish 2009, 
with DEs Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora playing at an All-Pro level to 
highlight a deep and talented defensive line. The secondary is still a 
weakness though, especially after a shaky year from big-money free 
agent S Antrel Rolle. He and injury-prone S Kenny Phillips are a risky 
but awfully talented combo. They added another cover man in first- 
round CB Prince Amukamara. 

HADEIPIM EAGLES 

Unlike a year ago, Michael Vick enters 2011 as the starter in Andy 
Reid's West Coast offense. Vick will continue to take a lot of deep 
shots, especially with field-stretchers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy 
Maclin giving him a couple of elite targets downfield. Vick started to 
break down late last season, as the Eagles fizzled out at the end of the 
year. They added a powerful run blocker in first-round G Danny Watkins 
and could rely more on versatile RB LeSean McCoy and the running 
game to keep Vick out of harm's way. The defense has a chance to 
be very good again, especially up front. The Eagles pulled off a mini 
coup when they lured defensive line coach Jim Washburn away from 
Tennessee. Washburn was responsible for turning a mediocre Titans 
group into one of the league's best pass rushes. DE Trent Cole is far 



PREDICTED STANDINGS NFC EAST 




TEAM W 


L 


Philadelphia Eagles 11 


....5 


New York Giants 10 


....6 


Dallas Cowboys 9 


....7 


Washington Redskins 5 


..11 






A rejuvenated Michael Vick led the Eagles to an NFC-best 26.8 points per 
game in 2010, but he was slowed by an ankle injury late in the year. 



more talented than anyone Washburn had in Tennessee. He'll have far 
more talent to work with in Philly. A lack of athleticism in the linebacking 
corps is a concern though. 

WASBilM REDSKSNS 

The 'Skins look directionless as they head into the second year of the 
Mike Shanahan era. After the confused benching of Donovan McNabb last 
season, Washington spent this offseason debating between John Beck 
and Rex Grossman for the starting QB job. Considering their underwhelm- 
ing receiving corps, this will most certainly be one of the NFL's worst 
passing offenses again. And despite their train wreck of a passing game, 
Washington threw it on 65.0% of their plays last year, the second-highest 
percentage in the league. One thing that did work out last season was 
the running game, behind Shanahan's vaunted zone blocking scheme. 
RB Ryan Torain will have to carry a heavy load, though he'll almost surely 
break down physically again. Defensively, they seem to have given up on 
DT Albert Haynesworth, who will go down as the worst free agent signing 
of all time. They added first-round pick Ryan Kerrigan to the front seven 
in an attempt to generate more of a pass rush, especially in light of OLB 
Brian Orakpo's disappointing second season. Defensive coordinator Jim 
Haslett has made S LaRon Landry more of an in-the-box player, which 
leaves his already thin secondary susceptible to the pass. 



30 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 20-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 9-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.56 (24th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-7.3 ML units), 6-10 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 13-3 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.63 (15th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 20 (#16 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.51 (#17 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at N.Y. Jets 


Week 2 


at San Francisco 


Week 3 


Washington 


Week 4 


Detroit 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


at New England 


Week 7 


St. Louis 


Week 8 


at Philadelphia 


Week 9 


Seattle 


Week 10 


Buffalo 


Week 11 


at Washington 


Week 12 


Miami 


Week 13 


at Arizona 


Week 14 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 15 


at Tarn pa Bay 


Week 16 


Philadelphia 


Week 17 


at N.Y. Giants 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 
Last 12 games are 9-3 OVER the total in DAL-SF series since 1992 
UNDERDOG is 8-2 against the spread at DALLAS in DAL-WAS series since 2001 
HOME TEAM is 4-1 against the spread in DAL-DET series since 2004 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-NE series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-STL series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 4-1 against the spread in DAL-PHI series since 2009 

DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE since 1992 

Last six games are 4-2 UNDER the total in BUF-DAL series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 10-4 against the spread in DAL-WAS series since 2004 

ROAD TEAM is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-MIA series since 1992 

HOME team is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in the ARI-DAL series since 2001 

NY GIANTS are 9-4 against the spread versus DALLAS since 2004 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in DAL-TB series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 10-5 against the spread in DAL-PHI series since 2004 

Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 OVER the total in DAL-NYG series since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


9-7 


9-8 


13-4 


9-7 


12-6 


6-10 


58-42 


58.0% 


7-7 


8-7 


9-8 


7-9 


10-8 


6-10 


47-49 


49-0% 


3-1 


3-1 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


3-2 


14-11 


56.0% 


3-3 


4-4 


5-4 


4-4 


6-3 


3-5 


25-23 


52.1% 


4-4 


4-3 


4-4 


3-5 


4-5 


3-5 


22-26 


45.8% 


2-3 


1-4 


3-4 


2-4 


4-3 


2-4 


14-22 


38.9% 


6-5 


5-6 


7-6 


6-6 


9-5 


4-8 


37-36 


50.7% 


2-4 


6-6 


8-6 


7-6 


9-7 


1-8 


33-37 


47-1% 


5-3 


2-1 


1-2 


0-3 


2-1 


5-2 


15-12 


55.6% 


8-7 


10-6 


10-7 


9-7 


7-11 


13-3 


57-41 


58.2% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



DALLAS is 10-0 ATS after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game the last five seasons 

DALLAS is 14-4 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 the last five seasons 

DALLAS is 6-14 ATS in December games the last five seasons 

DALLAS is 2-9 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5-7 or less passing yards/att. the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-2.7 


21 


Yardage 


12.5 


12 


Yds Per Play 


-O.13 


20 


Yds Per Point 


1.88 


26 


Turnovers 


+0 


13 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


24.6 


7 


First Downs 


20.4 


9 


Yards/Game 


364.3 


7 


Yds Per Play 


5-63 


7 


Yds Per Point 


14.79 


12 


RushYds/Gm 


111.8 


16 


Yards Per Rush 


4-19 


15 


PassAtt/Game 


36.O 


9 


Comp/Game 


23-7 


4 


Completion % 


65.8 


4 


PassYds/Gm 


252.4 


6 


PassYds/Att 


7.01 


7 


1 NTs Thrown 


19 


20 


Sacks Allowed 


32 


11 


Att/Sack 


19.O 


9 


Sack Yards 


169 


4 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


273 


31 


First Downs 


19-3 


19 


Yards/Game 


351.8 


23 


Yds Per Play 


576 


28 


Yds Per Point 


12.91 


32 


RushYds/Gm 


108.6 


12 


Yards Per Rush 


4-33 


19 


PassAtt/Game 


33.8 


20 


Comp/Game 


21.8 


22 


Comp% 


644 


26 


PassYds/Gm 


243-2 


26 


PassYds/Att 


7-21 


28 


Interceptions 


20 


6 


Sacks 


36 


14 


Att/Sack 


16.0 


12 


Sack Yards 


260 


10 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 
9/I6"" 


vsNYG 
"atMIA" 


W45 : 35 
W 37-20 


W(-6) 
"W(-3) 


0(44) 
0(39)" 


9/7 
9/15" 

9/2l 
10/5 


at CLE 

vs'phT" 

"atGNB 

vsWAS 

vsCIN" 


W 28-10 

W41-37''' 

"w'27-16"' 

L24-26 


W(-6) 

l"(W 

W(-3) 
L(-10) 
L (-16) 


U(48) 

0(46) 

U (5034) 

6 (46/2) 
0(46)" 


9/13 
9/20 

10/4 


atTAM 

vsNYG" 

vsCAR" 

atDEN" 
..„_.. 


W 34-21 
.__ 

"W21-7 

L 10-17 
"W" 2 '6 : 20"" 


W(-4/) 

L(3) 

W (-8) 

L(-3) 

L(7) 


(39/) 
0(45) 
(48) 
U (44) 

6(4334) 


9/12 
g/'l'g" 


at WAS 
vs'c'hT" 
"atHOU 
vsTEN"' 
"atMIN" 
vsNYG 


L7-13 

L 20-27 

"w'27-13" 

JJiMl 

L 21-24 
L 35-41 


L(-3/) 

L(7) 

W (+2/2) 

L('-634) " 

L (+1/2) 
L (-3/2) 


U(40) 

0(4134")" 


9/2.3... 
9/30 


at CHI 
"vsST'l" 
at BUF 


W 34-10 

w 25-24 


W(+3) 

W(-13) 

L(-ibJ4) 


(41/2) 
0(47) 
0(45) 


U (47/) 
(4334) 
6 (4334) 




vsNWE 


L 27-48 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


0(52) 




atARI 


L 24-30 


LU/2) 


0(53/2) 


11/1 
11/8 

11/15 

11/26 


vsATL 
vsSEA 
at PHI 

atGNB" 
vsWAS 
"vsOAK" 


W 37-21 

w 38-17 

"W"20 : 16" 

L7-17 

W>6 
— — - 


W (-5/2) 
W (-10) 

W"(+3J"" 

L (-3) ' 
L (1034) 

w (-133/2) 


0(48) 

(46/2) 

0(49)" 

. _. 

U (4134) 
U (4034) 


0(45) 




vsMIN 


W 24-14 


W (-9/2) 


u (45/2) 


11/2 

11/16 


at STL 

"vsTAM 
..„_.. 

"a'tWAS 
"vsSFO" 


L 14-34 

""w'13-9 

1M:35 

W 14-10 
"W35-22" 


L(-8) 

W (-1/2) 

W(-2) 
Wi-9/2) 


0(45/) 
U (4054) 
6 (4234) 

u (423/2) 

'0(4534) 


VSll 


vsJAC 

"atGNB" 
"atNYG 
vsDET 


Ll7 35 

L7-45 

W33 20 

w 35-19 


L(-634) 

L (+7/2) 

W (+1234) 
■— — 


(43/) 


11/4 
11/11 

11/18 


at PHI 
..„_.. 

"vsWAS 


w 38-17 
w 31-20 

w'28-23" 


W(-3) 
W(-2) 
L(-10J4) 


0(46) 

6 (47J4J 

0(47) 


0(46) 

""6"(46j 

0(47) 




vsNY) 


W34-3 


W(-14) 


U(48) 




vsNOR 


L 27-30 


W (+4/2) 


0(48) 




vsGNB 


w 37-27 


W(-7) 


(51/2) 




vsSEA 


W34-9 


W (-11/2) 


U(46) 


12/6 

12/19 
1/3""' 


atNYG 
vsSDG" 
"atNOR 
atWAS 
"vs'phT" 


...k 2 ±3l... 

L 17-20 
W 24-17 

""w 17 . "" 

W 24-0 


L(-D 
L (-334) 

w'(+7) 
W(-7) 
W(-3) 


(45/) 

U (49) 

'0(5334)' 

U (4134) 
0(47) 


12/5 


atlND 


W 38-35 


W (+5/2) 


0(48) 


12/16 


at DET 
ys PHI 

atCAR 


W 28-27 

w 20-13 

11-27 


L (-10/ 2 ) 
L(-10) 

L('-1034) 
L(+9J 


0(50) 

U (48/2) 
— — 

U (38%) 


12 /Z... 


at PIT 

"vsNYG" 
••—■»■• 

at PHI 


L 13-20 

™W20¥™ 

L24-33 

L644 


L(+4) 
W(-3) 
L (-5/2) 
L(+2/ 2 j 


U(38) 

(46) 

0(39) 

6 (40/2) 


1/2 


vsPHI 
"vs'WAS" 
"atARl" 
at PHI 


L 27-30 
W33I30" 
L 26-27' 

w 14-13 


W(+4) 

l'M" 

L(7) 
L (-234) 


(50/2) 

6(44) 
"6 (44/2) 
U (4334) 



i 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 31 



NFC EAST 



& m 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 15-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 7-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 19.25 (20th toughest) 
2010 Record: 10-6 (-2.6 ML units), 7-9 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-7 
2010 Schedule Strength: 19.69 (21st toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 23 (#10 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.01. (#10 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Washington 


Week 2 


St. Louis 


Week 3 


at Philadelphia 


Week 4 


at Arizona 


Weeks 


Seattle 


Week 6 


Buffalo 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


Miami 


Week 9 


at New England 


Week 10 


at San Francisco 


Week 11 


Philadelphia 


Week 12 


at New Orleans 


Week 13 


Green Bay 


Week 14 


at Dallas 


Week 15 


Washington 


Week 16 


at N.Y. Jets 


Week 17 


Dallas 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

NY GIANTS are 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up against WASHINGTON since 2006 
NY GIANTS are 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against ST. LOUIS since 2001 
UNDERDOG is 10-2 against the spread and 9-3 straight-up in NYG-PHI series since 2006 
Last seven games are 5-2 UNDER the total in ARI-NYG series since 2001 
FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and straight-up in NYG-SEA series since 2006 
NY GIANTS are 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in MIA-NYG series since 1992 
NY GIANTS are 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992 
NY GIANTS are 5-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 2001 
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up at NY GIANTS since 2008 
Last four games at NEW ORLEANS are 4-0 OVER the total in NO-NYG series since 1992 
ROAD TEAM is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in GB-NYG series since 2001 
NY GIANTS are 9-4 against the spread versus DALLAS since 2004 
Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 UNDER the total in NYG-WAS series since 2001 
NY GIANTS are 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 
Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 OVER the total in DAL-NYG series since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


11-6 


8-9 


14-6 


12-5 


8-8 


10-6 


63-40 


61.2% 


10-6 


8-8 


14-6 


12-5 


7-9 


7-9 


58-43 


574% 


3-1 


4-0 


1-3 


2-0 


1-3 


1-2 


12-9 


57.1% 


7-3 


2-5 


4-4 


6-3 


3-5 


3-5 


25-25 


50.0% 


3-3 


6-3 


10-2 


6-2 


4-4 


4-4 


33-18 


64.7% 


3-2 


5-1 


4-3 


4-3 


4-2 


2-4 


22-15 


59-5% 


8-4 


8-4 


10-5 


10-3 


5-7 


6-6 


47-29 


61.8% 


9-4 


4-5 


5-4 


9-4 


5-6 


5-6 


37-29 


56.1% 


1-2 


4-3 


9-2 


3-1 


2-3 


2-3 


21-14 


60.0% 


8-9 


7-9 


9-11 


9-8 


11-4 


9-7 


53-48 


52.5% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



NY GIANTS is 6-1 ATS off a home win against a division rival the last five seasons 

NY GIANTS is 9-2 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=go rushing yards/game the last three seasons 
NY GIANTS is 4-10 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game the last five seasons 
NY GIANTS is 0-7 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game the last two seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


2.9 


11 


Yardage 


69.6 


2 


Yds Per Play 


O.78 


3 


Yds Per Point 


1.12 


21 


Turnovers 


-3 


18 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


24.6 


8 


First Downs 


20.7 


7 


Yards/Game 


380.3 


5 


Yds Per Play 


5.88 


5 


Yds Per Point 


1544 


18 


RushYds/Gm 


137-5 


6 


Yards Per Rush 


4.58 


7 


PassAtt/Game 


33-7 


17 


Comp/Game 


21.2 


13 


Completion % 


62.9 


8 


PassYds/Gm 


242.8 


10 


Pass Yds/Att 


7-21 


6 


1 NTs Thrown 


25 


31 


Sacks Allowed 


16 


1 


Att/Sack 


34-7 


2 


Sack Yards 


117 


2 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


21.7 


17 


First Downs 


16.4 


2 


Yards/Game 


310.8 


7 


Yds Per Play 


5.10 


10 


Yds Per Point 


14.33 


20 


RushYds/Gm 


101.4 


8 


Yards Per Rush 


4.18 


14 


PassAtt/Game 


337 


19 


Comp/Game 


19-3 
57-1 


10 


1 Comp% 


5 


1 PassYds/Gm 


209.3 


9 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.21 


9 


1 Interceptions 


16 


14 


1 Sacks 


47 


1 


1 Att/Sack 


12.5 


5 


1 Sack Yards 


319 


2 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


at DAL 


L 35-45 


L(+6) 


0(44) 


9/16 


vsGNB 


L 13-35 


L(-3) 


(39/2) 


9/23 


at WAS 


w 24-17 


W (+3/2) 


U(42) 


9/30 


vsPHI 


W16-3 


W(+2) 


u (47/2) 


10/7 


vsNYJ 


W 35-24 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


(40/2) 




atATL 


w 31-10 


W(-5) 


U (43/2) 




vsSFO 


w 33-15 


W (-9/2) 


0(39) 




vsMIA 


w 13-10 


LMO) 


U(48) 


11/11 


vsDAL 


L 20-31 


L(+2) 


(47/2) 


11/18 


atDET 


W 16-10 


W (-2/2) 


U(48) 




vsMIN 


L 17-41 


L(-7) 


0(40) 


12/2 


at CHI 


W 21-16 


W(pk) 


u (39/2) 




at PHI 


W 16-13 


W(+3) 


U(42) 


12/16 


vsWAS 


L 10-22 


L(-6) 


U (36/2) 




at BUF 


W 38-21 


W(-2) 


(31/2) 




vsNWE 


L 35-38 


W(+13) 


(46/2) 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/4 vs WAS 

9/14 at STL "'" 

9/21 vs CIN 

10/5 vsSEA 

10/13 at CLE 

Li > at PIT 

11/2 VS 

11/9 at PHI 
11/16 vs 
11/23 a; 
l'l/30'at 

12/7 vs PHI 

12/14 at 

12/21 VS 

12/28' at Ml n'' 



W16-7 



W 41-13 
w'26-23 



W(-4/ 2 ) 
-— — 



11(41) 



W44-6 
..„...._ 



L(-12/ 2 ) 

W (-6) 

T(7)4j 



(42/2) 



w 29-17 

W 21-14 



w 35-14 
— — ■■ 



W (-10) 

W(+3) 

W (-8/2) 



U(47) 
U(4l) 



W 30-10 

w 37-29 



W(+3) 

W (-6/2) 
""W(-3) 



(42/2) 
0(39) 
6 (48) 



W237... 
L 14-20 



L8-20 
W34-28 
L 19-20 



W (-3/2) 
L(-6) 
U+3J 



W(-4) 
W"(+7J 



11(41) 
11(41) 
U (46) 

U(41) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsWAS 


w 23-17 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


0(37) 


9/20 


at DAL 


w 33-31 


W(+3) 


0(45) 


9/27 


atTAM 


W24-0 


W(-6) 


U(46) 


10/4 


at KAN 


W 27-16 


W(-9) 


P(43) 




vsOAK 


W44-7 


W(-15) 


0(38) 




at NOR 


L 27-48 


L(+3) 


0(47) 




vsARI 


L 17-24 


L(7/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


11/1 


at PHI 


L 17-40 


L(-3) 


(43/2) 


11/8 


vsSDG 


L 20-21 


L(-5) 


U (48/2) 




vsATL 


W 34-31 


L(7) 


(46/2) 




at DEN 


L6-26 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 


12/6 


vsDAL 


w 31-24 


W(+l) 


(45/2) 




vsPHI 


L 38-45 


L(+D 


0(42) 




at WAS 


W 45-12 


W(-3) 


(43/2) 




vsCAR 


L9-41 


L(-8) 


0(43) 


1/3 


atMIN 


L7-44 


L(+8) 


(47/2) 



2010 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/12 
g/'i'g"" 

10/3 
11/7] 

1/2 



vsCAR W 31-18 



atlND 
vsTen" 



.1-14:38 

L 10-29 



W(-5/ 2 ) 
L( + 4/ 2 ) 



(40/2) 
0(48)' 



vsCHI 
atHOU" 



Wl7 : 3 

W 34-10 



L(-3) 

W (-4) 



U(43) 

U (43)4) 

U (48) 



vsDET 
atDAL"" 



W 28-20 
W41-35" 



L(-10) 0(45/2) 



at SEA 
vsDAL 



W41-7 
L20-33 



W (+3/2) 
'"W(-7) 



0(45) 



at PHI 
vs'JAC 



Ll7 : 27 
W 24-20 



L(-12/ 2 ) 
L (+3) 

L(7/ 2 ) 



0(46) 
0(43) 



vsWAS 
vsMIN" 



W31-7 
W 21-3 



W (-7/2) 
W(-5) 



U(43) 



vsPHI 

atWAS' 



L31-38 

Ll7 : 45 
W 17-14 



L(-3) 



L(+3) 



0(47) 
0(43) 



32 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



NFC EAST 



& PIIA EIILES 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: n-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.50 (25th toughest) 
2010 Record: 10-7 (-7-2 ML units), 8-9 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-7 
2010 Schedule Strength: 21.59 (12th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 24 (#7 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.60 (#11 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at St. Louis 


Week 2 


at Atlanta 


Week 3 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 4 


San Francisco 


Weeks 


at Buffalo 


Week 6 


at Washington 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


Dallas 


Week 9 


Chicago 


Week 10 


Arizona 


Week 11 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 12 


New England 


Week 13 


at Seattle 


Week 14 


at Miami 


Week 15 


N.Y. )ets 


Week 16 


at Dallas 



Week 17 Washington 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread versus ST. LOUIS since 1992 
PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up against ATLANTA since 2001 
UNDERDOG is 10-2 against the spread and 9-3 straight-up in NYG-PHI series since 2006 
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN FRANCISCO since 2004 
UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in BUF-PHI series since 1992 
PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 against the spread at WASHINGTON since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 4-1 against the spread in DAL-PHI series since 2009 

UNDERDOG is 5-2 against the spread in CHI-PHI series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 4-2 against the spread in the ARI-PHI series since 2001 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up at NY GIANTS since 2008 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in NE-PHI series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in PHI-SEA series since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up against NY JETS since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 10-5 against the spread in DAL-PHI series since 2004 

ROAD TEAM is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 straight-up in PHI-WAS series since 2007 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


6-10 


11-7 


8-8 


11-7 


11-6 


10-7 


57-45 


55.9% 


5-11 


10-7 


8-8 


12-7 


9-8 


8-9 


52-50 


51.0% 


2-2 


3-2 


1-3 


2-2 


0-4 


1-3 


9-16 


36.0% 


3-5 


5-4 


2-6 


6-2 


4-4 


4-5 


24-26 


48.0% 


2-6 


5-3 


6-2 


6-5 


5-4 


4-4 


28-24 


53-8% 


1-5 


4-2 


2-4 


4-3 


3-4 


4-2 


18-20 


474% 


4-8 


9-4 


5-7 


10-5 


8-5 


6-7 


42-36 


53-8% 


2-5 


5-6 


3-7 


9-6 


8-4 


5-7 


32-35 


47.8% 


3-6 


5-1 


5-1 


3-1 


1-4 


3-2 


20-15 


57.1% 


9-6 


9-8 


7-9 


8-10 


11-6 


10-7 


54-46 


54.0% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points the last three seasons 

PHILADELPHIA is 6-1 ATS against NFC West division opponents the last three seasons 

PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS off a road win against a division rival the last five seasons 

PHILADELPHIA is 1-6 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7-5 or more passing yards/att. the last two seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 3.8 


9 


Yardage 62.6 


5 


Yds Per Play 0.77 


4 


Yds Per Point 0.32 


16 


Turnovers +9 


5 


OFFENSE NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 27.4 


3 


First Downs 20.1 


10 


Yards/Game 3894 


2 


Yds Per Play 6.00 


3 


Yds Per Point 14.19 


7 


RushYds/Gm 145-5 


5 


Yards Per Rush 545 


1 


PassAtt/Game 35-1 


12 


Comp/Game 21.8 


12 


Completion % 62.0 


13 


PassYds/Gm 243-9 


9 


PassYds/Att 6.96 


9 


1 NTs Thrown 13 


9 


Sacks Allowed 50 


29 


Att/Sack 12.2 


29 


Sack Yards 313 


28 


DEFENSE NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowed 23.6 


21 


First Downs 19.3 


18 


Yards/Game 326.8 


12 


Yds Per Play 5-23 


16 


Yds Per Point 13.87 


25 


RushYds/Gm 109.8 


14 


Yards Per Rush 4.14 


13 


PassAtt/Game 33-6 


18 


Comp/Game 19.3 


12 


Comp % 57-5 


8 


PassYds/Gm 216.9 


15 


PassYds/Att 646 


17 


Interceptions 23 


3 


Sacks 38 


12 


Att/Sack 15.1 


10 


Sack Yards 290 


7 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


atGNB 


L 13-16 


L(-3) 


U (41/2) 


9/17 


vsWAS 


L 12-20 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(39) 


9/23 


vsDET 


w 56-21 


W(-5) 


(44/2) 


9/30 


atNYG 


L3-16 


L(-2) 


u (47/2) 


10/14 at NY) 


W16-9 


W(-4) 


u (43/2) 


10/21 


vsCHI 


L 16-19 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


11(42) 




atMIN 


W 23-16 


W(pk) 


0(37/2) 


11/4 


vsDAL 


L 17-38 


L(+3) 


0(46) 


11/11 


at WAS 


w 33-25 


W (+2/2) 


0(37/) 


11/18 


vsMIA 


W17-7 


W(-9/ 2 ) 


U (40/2) 




atNWE 


L 28-31 


W (+23/2) 


0(51) 


12/2 


vsSEA 


L 24-28 


L(-3) 


(40/2) 




vsNYG 


L 13-16 


L(-3) 


U(42) 


12/16 


at DAL 


WlO-6 


W (+10) 


U (48/2) 




at NOR 


w 38-23 


W(+3) 


(47/) 




vsBUF 


W17-9 


L(-9) 


U (38/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


vsSTL 


W38-3 


W(-9) 


U (43/) 


9/15 


at DAL 


L 37-41 


W (+6/2) 


0(46) 




vsPIT 


W15-6 


W (-3/2) 


U (44/) 


9/28 


at CHI 


L 20-24 


L(-3) 


0(39) 


10/5 


vsWAS 


L 17-23 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (41/2) 




atSFO 


W 40-26 


W(-5) 


0(41) 




vsATL 


W 27-14 


W(-9) 


U (44/) 


11/2 


at SEA 


W26-7 


W(-7) 


U(44) 


11/9 


vsNYG 


L 31-36 


L(-3) 


(42/2) 


11/16 


atCIN 


T 13-13 


L(-8Z) 


U(4l) 




at BAL 


L7-36 


L(+2) 


0(39) 




vsARI 


W 48-20 


W(-3) 


0(49) 


12/7 


atNYG 


W 20-14 


W(+6) 


11(41) 


12/15 


vsCLE 


w 30-10 


W (-15/2) 


P(40) 




at WAS 


L3-10 


L(-6) 


U (37/) 


12/28 


vsDAL 


W44-6 


W (-2/2) 


(40/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


at CAR 


W 38-10 


W (-2/2) 


(43/) 


9/20 


vsNOR 


L 22-48 


L (+234) 


0(46) 


9/27 


vsKAN 


W 34-14 


W (-7/2) 


0(39) 




vsTAM 


W 33-14 


W (-16) 


0(42) 




at OAK 


L9-13 


L (-14) 


U (40/2) 






w 27-17 


W (-8/2) 


0(38) 


11/1 


vsNYG 


w 40-17 


W(+3) 


(43/) 


11/8 


vsDAL 


L 16-20 


L(-3) 


U(49) 


11/15 


atSDG 


L 23-31 


L(+l) 


0(47) 




at CHI 


W 24-20 


W(-3) 


U (46/2) 






w 27-24 


LMO) 


(40/2) 


12/6 


atATL 


W34-7 


W(-4) 


U (43/) 




atNYG 


W 45-38 


W(-l) 


0(42) 




vsSFO 


w 27-13 


W(-7) 


U (41/2) 




vsDEN 


w 30-27 


L(-7) 


(43/) 


1/3 


at DAL 


L0-24 


L(+3) 


U(47) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsGNB 


L 20-27 


L(+3) 


U(48) 


9/19 


atDET 


w 35-32 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(41) 




atJAC 


W28-3 


W(-3) 


U (44/) 


10/3 


vsWAS 


L 12-17 


L(-5) 


U(44) 




atSFO 


w 27-24 


W(+3) 


(39/) 




vsATL 


w 31-17 


W(-2) 


0(43) 




at TEN 


L 19-37 


L(+3) 


0(41) 


11/7 


vsIND 


W 26-24 


L(-3) 


(46/2) 


11/15 


at WAS 


W 59-28 


W(-3) 


0(44) 




vsNYG 


w 27-17 


W(-3) 


U (47/) 




at CHI 


L 26-31 


L(-3) 


0(42) 


12/2 


vsHOU 


W 34-24 


W(-8) 


0(51) 




at DAL 


w 30-27 


L(-4) 


(50/) 




atNYG 


w 38-31 


W(+3) 


0(47) 




vsMIN 


L 14-24 


L(-14/) 


U(44) 


1/2 


vsDAL 


L 13-14 


W (+2/2) 


U (43/) 



i 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 33 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.38 (26th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-0.8 ML units), 8-5-3 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-10 
2010 Schedule Strength: 21.38 (13th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 15 (#24 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -3.82 (#25 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 2 


Arizona 


Week 3 


at Dallas 


Week 4 


at St. Louis 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


Philadelphia 


Week 7 


at Carolina 


Week 8 


Buffalo at Toronto 


Week 9 


San Francisco 


Week 10 


at Miami 


Week 11 


Dallas 


Week 12 


at Seattle 


Week 13 


N.Y. jets 


Week 14 


New England 


Week 15 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 16 


Minnesota 


Week 17 


at Philadelphia 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

NY GIANTS are 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up against WASHINGTON since 2006 
ARIZONA is 6-0 straight-up and 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 2001 
UNDERDOG is 8-2 against the spread at DALLAS in DAL-WAS series since 2001 
UNDERDOG is 9-3 against the spread and 8-4 straight-up in STL-WAS series since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 against the spread at WASHINGTON since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 9-0 against the spread in CAR-WAS series since 1992 

BUFFALO is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against WASHINGTON since 1992 

FAVORITE is 9-0 straight-up in SF-WAS series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 4-0 straight-up in MIA-WAS series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 10-4 against the spread in DAL-WAS series since 2004 

FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and 5-1 straight-up at SEATTLE in SEA-WAS series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-0 straight-up in NY)-WAS series since 1992 

NEW ENGLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 2001 

Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 UNDER the total in NYG-WAS series since 2001 

Last four games at WASHINGTON are 4-0 UNDER the total in MIN-WAS series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 7-1 against the spread and 6-2 straight-up in PHI-WAS series since 2007 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
vs DIVISION ATS 
vs CONFERENCE ATS 
as FAVORITE ATS 
as UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


11-7 


5-11 


9-8 


8-8 


4-12 


6-10 


43-56 


434% 


11-7 


5-9 


7-8 


6-8 


6-9 


8-5 


43-46 


48.3% 


1-3 


0-4 


3-1 


2-3 


2-2 


2-2 


10-15 


40.0% 


5-3 


3-4 


3-4 


3-5 


2-6 


3-2 


19-24 


44-2% 


6-4 


2-5 


4-4 


3-3 


4-3 


5-3 


24-22 


52.2% 


5-1 


1-4 


4-2 


3-3 


2-4 


4-2 


19-16 


54-3% 


10-4 


3-7 


7-5 


6-4 


4-8 


6-5 


36-33 


52.2% 


7-3 


1-2 


3-5 


2-4 


1-4 


0-1 


14-19 


42.4% 


4-4 


4-7 


4-3 


4-4 


5-5 


8-4 


29-27 


51.8% 


8-10 


8-7 


8-9 


3-12 


9-7 


6-10 


42-55 


43-3% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



WASHINGTON is 6-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season the last two seasons 
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the last five seasons 
WASHINGTON is 1-6 ATS against NFC West division opponents the last five seasons 
WASHINGTON is 0-10 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-4-7 


27 


Yardage 


-534 


26 


Yds Per Play 


-0.57 


27 


Yds Per Point 


1.27 


23 


Turnovers 


-4 


19 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


18.9 


25 


First Downs 


18.4 


20 


Yards/Game 


335-9 


18 


Yds Per Play 


5-36 


14 


Yds Per Point 


17-79 


29 


RushYds/Gm 


91-3 


30 


Yards Per Rush 


4.16 


16 


PassAtt/Game 


37.8 


4 


Comp/Game 


21.8 


11 


Completion % 


57-7 


23 


PassYds/Gm 


244.6 


8 


PassYds/Att 


6.47 


18 


1 NTs Thrown 


19 


20 


Sacks Allowed 


46 


28 


Att/Sack 


14.2 


23 


Sack Yards 


348 


30 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


23-6 


22 


First Downs 


20.4 


25 


Yards/Game 


389.3 


31 


Yds Per Play 


5-93 


30 


Yds Per Point 


16.52 


10 


RushYds/Gm 


127.6 


26 


Yards Per Rush 


4.60 


26 


PassAtt/Game 


36.1 


25 


Comp/Game 


22.9 
63-5 


30 


1 Comp% 


23 


1 PassYds/Gm 


261.7 


31 


1 PassYds/Att 


7-24 


29 


1 Interceptions 


14 


19 


1 Sacks 


29 


25 


1 Att/Sack 


20.9 


29 


1 Sack Yards 


176 


30 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsMIA 


W 16-13 


P(-3) 


U(34) 


9/17 


at PHI 


W 20-12 


W (+6/2) 


U(39) 


9/23 


vsNYG 


L 17-24 


L(-3K) 


U(42) 


10/7 


vsDET 


W34-3 


W (-3/2) 


U (44/2) 


10/14 atGNB 


L 14-17 


P(+3) 


U (40/2) 


10/21 


vsARI 


w 21-19 


L(-8) 
L (+15) 


0(35/2) 




atNWE 


L7-52 


(46/2) 


11/4 


at NY) 


w 23-20 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(36) 


11/11 


vsPHI 


L 25-33 


L(-2 1 / 2 ) 


(37/2) 




at DAL 


L 23-28 


W (+10/2) 


0(47) 




atTAM 


L 13-19 


L(+3K) 


U(38) 


12/2 


vsBUF 


L 16-17 


K-6/2) 


U(37) 


12/6 


vsCHI 


W 24-16 


W(-3) 


(39/2) 


12/16 


atNYG 


W 22-10 


W(+6) 


U (36/2) 




atMIN 


w 32-21 


W(+6) 


(40/2) 




vsDAL 


W27-6 


W(-9) 


U (38/2) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 at NYG 


L7-16 


LN/2) 


11(41) 


9/14 vs 


w 29-24 


W(pk) 


(43/) 


9/21 vs 


w 24-17 


W(-3) 


u (43/2) 


9/28 at DAL 


W 26-24 


W (+10) 


(46/2) 


10/5 at PHI 


w 23-17 


W (+6/2) 


U (41/2) 


10/12 vsSTL 


L 17-19 


LM1/2) 


U(44) 


10/19 vsCLE 


W 14-11 


L(-7) 


U (41/2) 


10/26 at DET 


w 25-17 


W(-7) 


P(42) 


11/3 vs PIT 


L6-23 


L(-3) 


u (37/2) 


11/16 vs 


L 10-14 


L(+2) 


U (42/2) 


11/23 at SEA 


w 20-17 


P(-3) 


U(40) 




L7-23 


L (+334) 


U(41) 


12/7 at 


L 10-24 


L(+6) 


U(35) 


12/14 atCIN 


L 13-20 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (35/2) 


12/21 vsPHI 


WlO-3 


W(+6) 


u (37/2) 


12/28 at 


L 24-27 


P(+3) 


0(37) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


atNYG 


L 17-23 


L(+5/2) 


0(37) 


9/20 


vsSTL 


W9-7 


LMO) 


U(37) 


9/27 


at DET 


L 14-19 


L(-6) 


u (39/2) 


10/4 


vsTAM 


W 16-13 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


u (35/2) 




at CAR 


L 17-20 


W(+5) 


u (37/2) 




vsKAN 


L6-14 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (36/2) 




vsPHI 


L 17-27 


L (+8/2) 


0(38) 


11/8 


atATL 


L 17-31 


L(+8/ 2 ) 


(40/2) 


11/15 


vsDEN 


w 27-17 


W(+3) 


(35/2) 




at DAL 


L6-7 


W (+10/2) 


U (41/2) 




at PHI 


L 24-27 


W (+10) 


(40/2) 


12/6 


vsNOR 


L 30-33 


W(+8) 


(46/2) 




at OAK 


W 34-13 


W (-2/2) 


0(37) 




vsNYG 


L 12-45 


L(+3) 


(43/) 




vsDAL 


LO-17 


L(+7) 


U (41/2) 


1/3 


atSDG 


L 20-23 


P(+3) 


0(39) 



2010 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 vs DAL 


W13-7 


W(+3/ 2 ) 


U(40) 


9/19 vs 


L 27-30 


P(+3) 


0(43) 


9/26 at STL 


L 16-30 


L(-5) 


0(39) 


10/3 at PHI 


w 17-12 


W(+5) 


U(44) 


10/10 


W 16-13 


W(+3) 


U(45) 


10/17 vs 


L 24-27 


P(+3) 


0(44) 


10/24 at CHI 


W 17-14 


W(+3) 


u (39/2) 


10/31 a 


L 25-37 


L(+3) 


0(45) 


11/15 vsPHI 


L 28-59 


L(+3) 


0(44) 


11/21 at TEN 


W 19-16 


W(+7) 


U(44) 


11/28 vs 


L 13-17 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 


12/5 al 


L7-31 


L (+7/2) 


U(43) 


12/12 VS 


L 16-17 


P(+D 


U(4D 


12/19 a 


L 30-33 


W (+9/2) 


0(44) 


12/26 atJAC 


w 20-17 


W(+7) 


U (45/) 


1/2 vs 


L 14-17 


W (+4/2) 


U(44) 



34 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



CHICAGO BEARS 



Chicago seemed to be more of a smoke and mirrors team last year, 
but they did make it to within a win of the Super Bowl. Offensive 
coordinator Mike Martz, long a pass-happy mad bomber, has turned 
to the ground game, mostly because the erratic |ay Cutler isn't a 
good fit for his system, which requires the kind of anticipatory 
throws that Cutler doesn't do well. Offensive line coach Mike Tice 
worked wonders last season, and the addition of first-round pick Gabe 
Carimi, the best run-blocking tackle in the draft, indicates that they 
plan on relying on the ground game again. The arrival of DE Julius 
Peppers made a huge difference on the defensive side of the ball, 
and Chicago's bend-don't-break philosophy led to a number of tight 
wins. Devin Hester's prowess in the return game also tips the scales in 
their favor. Opposing teams had a net punting average of 32.6 against 
Chicago, lowest in the NFL. 



M ; 



Detroit continues to assemble an impressive collection of young tal- 
ent, and it's starting to pay off. They won six games last season despite 
being without their quarterback for most of the season. QB Matthew 
Stafford was reportedly 100 percent healthy during offseason work- 
outs, and he has some dangerous weapons led by WR Calvin |ohnson. 
The Lions want to utilize big-play RB |ahvid Best as much as they can, 
but he was unable to stay healthy as a rookie (he entered the league 
with a reputation for being injury-prone). They drafted bruising big 
back Mikel LeShoure with a second-round pick to spell Best, and also 
grabbed a deep threat in WR Titus Young in that round to draw atten- 
tion away from |ohnson. The defense is still a work in progress, but 
they landed first-round DT Nick Fairley, the draft's most disruptive line- 
man, to go alongside 2010 Defensive Rookie of the Year Ndamukong 
Suh. The defensive backfield is a major issue though, as they're severe- 
ly undermanned. They were the most penalized team in the NFC last 
season, and the addition of Fairley, who picked up many personal fouls 
at Auburn, will only add to that. 

GRiEl IW PACKERS 

The Super Bowl champs hit their stride in last year's playoffs, thanks 
to QB Aaron Rodgers' ascension to the elite class of quarterbacks. It's 
a passing game with West Coast principles, but they have the ability 
to stretch the field. Behind Rodgers and the passing game, they have 
the ability to score a ton of points even without a running game. Of 
course, with Ryan Grant coming back and James Starks emerging as 
a solid option during last year's postseason, the Packers might have 



PREDICTED STANDINGS 


NFC NORTH 


TEAM 


W L 


Green Bay Packers 


11 5 


Detroit Lions 


9 7 


Chicago Bears 


8 8 


Minnesota Vikings 


7 9 



Despite Jay Cutler's erratic play, Chicago managed to end a three-year play- 
off drought and came within one possession of the Super Bowl last season. 



another dimension on offense. They also have All-Pro caliber TE |ermichael 
Finley returning to the lineup. Their 3-4 front is a little soft against the 
run, but elite against the pass, even though OLB Clay Matthews is their 
only great pass rushing threat. And even with CB Charles Woodson start- 
ing to show his age, their physical secondary is still one of the best 
because of the emergence of CBsTramon Williams and Sam Shields. 

lien mm 

The post-Favre Vikings will have a much different look in 2011. Leslie 
Frazier was kept on as the head coach after going 3-3 as an interim coach 
last year. He's brought in a new offensive coordinator in Bill Musgrave, 
who plans on going with a heavily run-based offense this year. All-Pro RB 
Adrian Peterson is the favorite to lead the NFL in carries. Musgrave's pass- 
ing game will be rooted in the West Coast offense, so the scheme won't 
be drastically different to last season's. But they'll likely be very con- 
servative with a new quarterback under center, specifically if it's rookie 
Christian Ponder. Frazier had been Minnesota's defensive coordinator, so 
the defense will continue to be a Cover-2 base. They might have a cou- 
ple of holes to fill on the defensive line, as DT Pat Williams and DE Ray 
Edwards could be leaving a defensive line that has been elite against the 
run in recent years. 




1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 35 



NFC NORTH 



M CI US 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 30-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 15-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.06 (7th toughest) 
2010 Record: 12-6 (+6.7 ML units), 10-7-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-10 
2010 Schedule Strength: 21.78 (11th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 24 (#7 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.58.(812 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Atlanta 


Week 2 


at New Orleans 


Week 3 


Green Bay 


Week 4 


Carolina 


Weeks 


at Detroit 


Week 6 


Minnesota 


Week 7 


Tampa Bay at London 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


at Philadelphia 


Week 10 


Detroit 


Week 11 


San Diego 


Week 12 


at Oakland 


Week 13 


Kansas City 


Week 14 


at Denver 


Week 15 


Seattle 


Week 16 


at Green Bay 


Week 17 


at Minnesota 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last eight games are 7-1 UNDER the total in ATL-CHI series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-0 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in CHI-NO series since 2001 

GREEN BAY is 14-6 against the spread and 15-5 straight-up at CHICAGO since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in CAR-CHI series since 1992 

Last 10 games are 7-3 OVER the total in CHI-DET series since 2006 

CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at home against MINNESOTA since 2001 

TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 5-2 against the spread in CHI-PHI series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 9-4 against the spread in CHI-DET series since 2004 

CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against SAN DIEGO since 1992 

CHICAGO is 4-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in CHI-KC series since 1992 

CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992 

Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CHI-SEA series since 2001 

Last nine games are 7-2 UNDER the total in CHI-GB series since 2007 

HOME TEAM is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up in CHI-MIN series since 2008 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-W/o 


11-6 


15-4 


7-9 


9-7 


7-9 


12-6 


61-41 


59.8% 


9-6 


11-8 


7-9 


7-8 


6-10 


10-7 


50-48 


51.0% 


2-2 


2-2 


1-2 


1-3 


3-1 


0-4 


9-14 


39-1% 


6-3 


6-4 


3-5 


4-4 


4-4 


5-5 


28-25 


52.8% 


3-3 


5-4 


4-4 


3-4 


2-6 


5-2 


22-23 


48.9% 


4-1 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


3-3 


4-3 


19-17 


52.8% 


8-3 


8-6 


5-7 


5-6 


4-8 


8-6 


38-36 


514% 


4-2 


9-7 


3-5 


5-4 


4-3 


3-4 


28-25 


52.8% 


5-4 


2-1 


4-4 


2-4 


2-7 


7-3 


22-23 


48.9% 


5-11 


13-5 


9-7 


7-9 


6-10 


8-10 


48-52 


48.0% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS revenging a home loss against opponent the last five seasons 
CHICAGO is 7-1 ATS off a non-conference game the last two seasons 
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992 
CHICAGO is 1-6 ATS after a 2 game home stand the last three seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


3-0 


10 


Yardage 


-24-9 


22 


Yds Per Play 


-0.07 


19 


Yds Per Point 


-3-72 


7 


Turnovers 


+4 


11 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


20.9 


21 


First Downs 


16.4 


27 


Yards/Game 


2894 


30 


Yds Per Play 


4-95 


28 


Yds Per Point 


13.87 


5 


RushYds/Gm 


101.0 


22 


Yards Per Rush 


3.89 


23 


PassAtt/Game 


29.1 


32 


Comp/Game 


17.3 


29 


Completion % 


59.2 


22 


PassYds/Gm 


188.4 


28 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.47 


17 


1 NTs Thrown 


21 


26 


Sacks Allowed 


55 


32 


Att/Sack 


9-5 


32 


Sack Yards 


382 


32 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


17-9 


4 


First Downs 


17.6 


9 


Yards/Game 


314.3 


9 


Yds Per Play 


5.02 


5 


Yds Per Point 


17.58 


6 


RushYds/Gm 


90.1 


2 


Yards Per Rush 


3-72 


6 


PassAtt/Game 


36.4 


27 


Comp/Game 


22.7 
62.4 


27 


1 Comp% 


20 


1 PassYds/Gm 


224.3 


20 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.16 


7 


1 Interceptions 


21 


5 


1 Sacks 


33 


17 


1 Att/Sack 


18.6 


22 


1 Sack Yards 


232 


16 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


atSDG 


L3-14 


L(+7) 


U(43) 


9/16 


vsKAN 


W 20-10 


L (-H/2) 


u (35/2) 


9/23 


vsDAL 


L 10-34 


L(-3) 


(41/2) 


9/30 


atDET 


L 27-37 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(46) 


10/7 


atGNB 


w 27-20 


W>3) 


(40/2) 




vsMIN 


L 31-34 


L(-5) 


0(35/2) 




at PHI 


W 19-16 


W (+5/2) 


U(42) 




vsDET 


L7-I6 


L(-6) 


U (45/) 


11/11 


at OAK 


W17-6 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(38) 




at SEA 


L 23-30 


L(+6) 


0(37/) 




vsDEN 


W 37-34 


W(-l) 


(42/2) 


12/2 


vsNYG 


L 16-21 


L(0) 


u (39/) 


12/6 


at WAS 


L 16-24 


L(+3) 


(39/2) 


12/17 atMIN 


L 13-20 


W (+10/2) 


U (43/) 


12/23 


vsGNB 


W35-7 


W (+7/2) 


(31/) 




vsNOR 


w 33-25 


W(-l) 


0(42) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


atlND 


w 29-13 


W (+10/2) 


U (42/2) 


9/14 


at CAR 


1 17-20 


P(+3) 


u (37/) 




vsTAM 


1 24-27 


L(-3) 


(34/) 


9/28 


vsPHI 


w 24-20 


W(+3) 


0(39) 


10/5 


atDET 


W34-7 


W(-3) 


U (45/) 




atATL 


t 20-22 


L(-3) 


U(43) 




vsMIN 


w 48-41 


W(-3) 


0(38) 


11/2 


vsDET 


w 27-23 


L (-13) 


(43/2) 


11/9 


vsTEN 


1 14-21 


L(+3) 


U(37) 


11/16 


atGNB 


L3-37 


L(+3/) 


U(43) 


11/23 


atSTL 


W27-3 


W(-7) 


U (44/2) 


11/30 atMIN 


1 14-34 


L(+5Z) 


0(42) 


12/7 


vsJAC 


w 23-10 


W (-6/2) 


U(40) 


12/11 


vsNOR 


w 27-24 


W (-2/2) 


0(46) 




vsGNB 


w 20-17 


L(-4) 


U(41) 


12/28 


atHOU 


1 24-31 


L(+3) 


0(46) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


atGNB 


L 15-21 


L(+5) 


U (46/2) 


9/20 


vsPIT 


W 17-14 


W(+3) 


U(38) 


9/27 


at SEA 


w 25-19 


W(-3) 


0(37/) 


10/4 


vsDET 


W 48-24 


W (-10) 


0(43) 




atATL 


L 14-21 


L(+4) 


U(46) 




atCIN 


L 10-45 


LUZ) 


(42/2) 


11/1 


vsCLE 


W30-6 


W (-11) 


U (39/) 


11/8 


vsARI 


L 21-41 


M-2/2) 


(44/) 


11/12 


atSFO 


L6-10 


L(+3) 


U(43) 




vsPHI 


L 20-24 


L(+3) 


U (46/2) 




atMIN 


L 10-36 


L (+10) 


U(47) 


12/6 


vsSTL 


W17-9 


L(-9) 


U(41) 




vsGNB 


L 14-21 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


U(42) 




atBAL 


L7-31 


L (+10/2) 


U (39/) 




vsMIN 


w 36-30 


W(+8) 


(40/2) 


1/3 


atDET 


w 37-23 


W(-5) 


0(44) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsDET 


w 19-14 


L(-6Z) 


U (44/) 


9/19 


at DAL 


w 27-20 


W(+7) 


(41/2) 


9/27 


vsGNB 


w 20-17 


W(+3) 


U(45) 


10/3 


atNYG 


L3-17 


L(+4) 


U (43/) 




at CAR 


W23-6 


W(+3) 


U(33) 




vsSEA 


L 20-23 


L(-6) 


0(37/) 




vsWAS 


L 14-17 


L(-3) 


U (39/) 


11/7 


at BUT 


w 22-19 


P(-3) 


U (41/2) 




vsMIN 


w 27-13 


W(0) 


U(4l) 


11/18 


at MIA 


W16-0 


W(+3) 


U(40) 




vsPHI 


w 31-26 


W(+3) 


0(42) 


12/5 


atDET 


W 24-20 


L(-5) 


(43/) 




vsNWE 


L7-36 


L(+3) 


0(37/) 




atMIN 


W 40-14 


W(-5/) 


(34/) 




vsNY) 


W 38-34 


W(-3) 


(35/) 


1/2 


atGNB 


L3-10 


W (+11) 


U(43) 



36 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 30-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 15-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.69 (4th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-1.9 ML units), 12-3-1 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-5-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.81 (5th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 19 (#17 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +1.93 (#13 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Tarn pa Bay 


Week 2 


Kansas City 


Week 3 


at Minnesota 


Week 4 


at Dallas 


Weeks 


Chicago 


Week 6 


San Francisco 


Week 7 


Atlanta 


Week 8 


at Denver 


Week 9 


BYE 


Week 10 


at Chicago 


Week 11 


Carolina 


Week 12 


Green Bay 


Week 13 


at New Orleans 


Week 14 


Minnesota 


Week 15 


at Oakland 


Week 16 


San Diego 


Week 17 


at Green Bay 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 2001 

KANSAS CITY is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

Last six games are 6-0 UNDER the total in DET-MIN series since 2008 

HOME TEAM is 4-1 against the spread in DAL-DET series since 2004 

Last 10 games are 7-3 OVER the total in CHI-DET series since 2006 

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-2 against the spread and 10-1 straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

FAVORITE is 7-1 straight-up in ATL-DET series since 1992 

DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 9-4 against the spread in CHI-DET series since 2004 

DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 25-13 against the spread and 30-10 straight-up in DET-GB series since 1992 

NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread and straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in DET-MIN series since 2009 

DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against OAKLAND since 2001 

SAN DIEGO is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

GREEN BAY is 13-5 against the spread and 20-0 straight-up at home against DETROIT since 1992 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


5-11 


3-13 


7-9 


0-16 


2-14 


6-10 


23-73 


24.0% 


9-7 


6-10 


6-9 


7-9 


4-10 


12-3 


44-48 


47-8% 


1-3 


1-3 


1-3 


3-0 


2-2 


3-1 


11-12 


47-8% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-3 


1-7 


3-5 


7-1 


23-24 


48.9% 


5-3 


2-6 


2-6 


6-2 


1-5 


5-2 


21-24 


46.7% 


2-4 


1-5 


2-3 


4-2 


0-5 


5-1 


14-20 


41.2% 


6-6 


4-8 


4-7 


5-7 


2-8 


10-2 


31-38 


44-9% 


3-2 


0-3 


2-1 


0-1 


0-2 


3-0 


8-9 


47-1% 


6-5 


6-7 


4-8 


7-8 


4-8 


9-3 


36-39 


48.0% 


7-9 


9-7 


11-5 


10-5 


8-8 


10-5 


55-39 


58.5% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



DETROIT is 6-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the last two seasons 
DETROIT is 9-2 ATS in December games the last three seasons 

DETROIT is 8-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pet. 60% to 75%) the last two seasons 
DETROIT is 2-9 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-0.5 


17 


Yardage 


-4-7 


20 


Yds Per Play 


-0.37 


22 


Yds Per Point 


0.08 


14 


Turnovers 


+4 


11 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


22.6 


15 


First Downs 


19.0 


17 


Yards/Game 


338.9 


17 


Yds Per Play 


5.10 


22 


Yds Per Point 


14.98 


14 


RushYds/Gm 


100.8 


23 


Yards Per Rush 


3-99 


20 


PassAtt/Game 


39-6 


3 


Comp/Game 


23-9 


3 


Completion % 


6O.5 


17 


PassYds/Gm 


238.1 


12 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.02 


29 


1 NTs Thrown 


16 


16 


Sacks Allowed 


27 


6 


Att/Sack 


244 


5 


Sack Yards 


191 


8 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


23-1 


19 


First Downs 


20.0 


24 


Yards/Game 


343-6 


21 


Yds Per Play 


547 


23 


Yds Per Point 


14.90 


16 


RushYds/Gm 


125.1 


24 


Yards Per Rush 


4-53 


24 


PassAtt/Game 


32.4 


10 


Comp/Game 


20.6 


19 


Comp % 


63-7 


25 


PassYds/Gm 


218.6 


16 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.75 


23 


Interceptions 


14 


19 


Sacks 


45 


6 


Att/Sack 


12.5 


3 


Sack Yards 


289 


8 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 

9/16"' 

9/23 


at OAK 
"vs'mTn" 
at PHI 


W 36-21 

w 20-17 

L 21-56 


W(+3) 

P( : 3) 

L(+5J 


(39/2) 

U (43%) 
6(44/2) 


9/7 
9/14„. 

10/5 


atATL 

vsGNB 

"atSFO" 

"vsCm 

atMIN" 


L 21-34 

.... L . 2 .5.:4. 8 .... 

Ll3 : 31 
L 10-12 


L(-3) 
L(+3) 
L (+434) 

L(+3J 
W (+13) 


0(41) 
(46/2) 

0(47)' 

U (4534) 
U (4434) 


9/13 

9/20 
9/27 
10/4 


at NOR 

"vs'mi'n" 

"vsWAS' 

atCHI 

vs Pit 

atGNB 


L27-45 

L 13-27 

W 19-14 

L24-48 
■•••— ™g" 

LO-26 


L(+14) 
L (+10) 

W(+6) 

L(+10)" 

W (+11) 
L(+14) 


(49/2) 

U(45J" 

U (3934) 

0(43) 

6(44) 

U (48/2) 


9/12 
9/19"" 

10/3 


at CHI 
vs'PHl"" 

"atMIN" 
"atGNB 
vsSTL" 


Ll4 : 19 

L 10-24 
L26-28 

'''w'44-6'"' 


W (+6/2) 
"w'(+634)' 

L(+13)"" 

W (+1434) 
W(-3) 


U (4434) 

0(41)" 

U (42/2) 


9/3.0.... 
10/7 


vsCHI 

"atWAS 


W37;27 
L 3-34 


W (+2/2) 
__ 


0(46) 
U (44/2) 


(45/2) 

6 (4334) 




vsTAM 


W 23-16 


W (-2/2) 


U(45) 




atHOU 


L 21-28 


W (+11) 


0(48) 




atNYG 


L 20-28 


W (+10) 


(45/2) 




at CHI 


W16-7 


W(+6) 


u (45/) 


ii/2"" 

11/9 

11/16 


vsWAS 
atCHI 

ysjAC 
atCAR 
"vsTAIvi" 


.... L . 1 .Z: 2 .5... 

L 23-27 
L 14-38 
L 22-31 
L 20-38 


L(+7) 
W (+13) 

L(+6) 

W (+14) 

L"f+8j 


P(42) 
6 (4334) 

0(43) 
(4034) 

0(42) 


11/1 
11/8 

11/15 


vsSTL 
atSEA 

atMIN" 
vsCLE" 
vsGNB" 


L 10-17 
L 20-32 
L 10-27 

L 12-34 


L(-3) 
L (+11) 

P(+17) 
L(-3) 
L(+llj 


U (43/2) 
6(4134) 
U (4734) 
0(3734) 
U (48) 


VSll 


vsWAS 
vsNYJ"" 
at BUF 

"atDAL" 


W37 25 

L 20-23 
L 12-14 
L 19-35 


W(-3) 
W(+534) 

P(+2) 

L (+534) 


0(45) 


11/4 
11/11 

11/18 


vsDEN 
"vsNYG" 


W44-7 
L21-31 
L 10-16 


W(-3) 
L(+234) 
L (+234) 


0(47) 
0(45) 
U (48) 


(42/2) 

U (4434) 

0(47) 




vsGNB 


L 26-37 


L(+3) 


0(47) 




vsNWE 


L 24-45 


L(+6) 


0(50) 


12/2 


atMIN 


L 10-42 


L(+5/ 2 ) 


(44/2) 




vsTEN 


L 10-47 


L (+10/2) 


0(44) 


12/6 


atCIN 
■■-«■■—■ 

vsARl'" 
"atSFO" 
"vsCHI 


L 13-23 

L2431 

L6-20 

L23 : 37 


W (+13/2) 

L(+14)"" 

W (+14) 
■ 'p' (+14 j- 

L(+5) ' 


U(42) 

6 (4034) 
■■••-•—■■ 

0(41)" 

6 (44) 


12/5 


vsCHI 


L 20-24 


W(+5) 


(43/2) 


12/16 


vsDAL 
"atSDG" 


L 27-28 
L 14-51 


W (+10/2) 


0(50) 
6 (45%) 


12 . / Z... 


vsMIN 
at IND 

"vs'n'or" 
atGNB 


L 16-20 
L21-31 
L7-42 
L 21-31 


W (+11) 
' W '(+16/2) 

W 

W (+11) 


U(44) 

6(45)" 

U (5034) 
6(4134) 


1/2 


vsGNB 
atTAM 
"atMIA" 
"vsMIN" 


W7-3 

w 23-20 

W 34-27 

w 20-13 


W(+7) 

W (+3/2) 

"W'(+334")" 

wT-334) 


u (45/2) 

P(43) 




vsKAN 
'atGNB 


w 25-20 

Ll3 : 34 


L(-6) 
L(+3J 


(43/) 
6 (3834) 


(41/2) 
U (4334) 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 37 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 5-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 18.81 (23rd toughest) 
2010 Record: 14-6 (+6.0 ML units), 137 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-12 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.10 (10th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 35 (#1 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +16.50 (#1 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


New Orleans 


Week 2 


at Carolina 


Week 3 


at Chicago 


Week 4 


Denver 


Weeks 


at Atlanta 


Week 6 


St. Louis 


Week 7 


at Minnesota 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


at San Diego 



Week 10 Minnesota 

Week 11 Tampa Bay 

Week 12 at Detroit 

Week 13 at N.Y. Giants 

Week 14 Oakland 

Week 15 at Kansas City 

Week 16 Chicago 

Week 17 Detroit 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last 4 games are 4-0 OVER the total in GB-NO series since 2001 

ROAD TEAM is 5-1 against the spread in CAR-GB series since 2001 

GREEN BAY is 14-6 against the spread and 15-5 straight-up at CHICAGO since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up in DEN-GB series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up in ATL-GB series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 9-3 against the spread and 11-1 straight-up in GB-STL series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 14-5 against the spread and 10-9 straight-up at MINNESOTA in GB-MIN series since 1992 

GREEN BAY is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN DIEGO since 1992 

FAVORITE is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in GB-MIN series since 2007 

FAVORITE is 12-0 straight-up at GREEN BAY in GB-TB series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 25-13 against the spread and 30-10 straight-up in DET-GB series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in GB-NYG series since 2001 

GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up against OAKLAND since 1992 

Last four games are 4-0 OVER the total in GB-KC series since 1992 

Last nine games are 7-2 UNDER the total in CHI-GB series since 2007 

GREEN BAY is 13-5 against the spread and 20-0 straight-up at home against DETROIT since 1992 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
vs DIVISION ATS 
vs CONFERENCE ATS 
as FAVORITE ATS 
as UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


4-12 


8-8 


14-4 


6-10 


11-6 


14-6 


57-46 


55-3% 


5-9 


8-8 


13-4 


7-8 


11-5 


13-7 


57-41 


58.2% 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


2-1 


12-11 


52.2% 


2-4 


2-6 


7-2 


3-5 


5-2 


5-3 


24-22 


52.2% 


3-5 


6-2 


6-2 


4-3 


6-3 


8-4 


33-19 


63-5% 


0-5 


4-2 


4-2 


5-1 


4-2 


3-4 


20-16 


55-6% 


4-6 


7-5 


9-4 


6-6 


8-4 


9-6 


43-31 


58.1% 


1-3 


2-2 


7-3 


4-5 


8-4 


9-6 


31-23 


574% 


4-6 


6-6 


6-1 


3-3 


3-1 


4-1 


26-18 


59-1% 


6-10 


6-8 


13-4 


9-6 


9-8 


8-12 


51-48 


51-5% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=go rushing yards/game the last three seasons 
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game the last two seasons 
GREEN BAY is 12-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins the last five seasons 
GREEN BAY is 2-7 ATS against NFC South division opponents the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


9-3 


2 


Yardage 


49-0 


7 


Yds Per Play 


O.63 


5 


Yds Per Point 


-5-84 


2 


Turnovers 


+10 


4 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


24-3 


10 


First Downs 


19-5 


13 


Yards/Game 


358.1 


9 


Yds Per Play 


5-73 


6 


Yds Per Point 


14.77 


11 


RushYds/Gm 


100.4 


24 


Yards Per Rush 


3.81 


25 


PassAtt/Game 


33-8 


16 


Comp/Game 


22.0 


10 


Completion % 


65-1 


6 


PassYds/Gm 


257.8 


5 


Pass Yds/Att 


7.62 


2 


1 NTs Thrown 


13 


9 


Sacks Allowed 


38 


20 


Att/Sack 


15-2 


21 


Sack Yards 


231 


20 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


15.0 


2 


First Downs 


16.9 


4 


Yards/Game 


309.1 


5 


Yds Per Play 


5.10 


9 


Yds Per Point 


20.61 


1 


RushYds/Gm 


114.9 


18 


Yards Per Rush 


4.64 


28 


PassAtt/Game 


32.9 


13 


Comp/Game 


18.5 
56.2 


6 


1 Comp% 


4 


1 PassYds/Gm 


194.2 


5 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


5-9 


3 


1 Interceptions 


24 


2 


1 Sacks 


46 


5 


1 Att/Sack 


12.5 


4 


1 Sack Yards 


333 


1 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsPHI 


W 16-13 


W(+3) 


U (41/2) 


9/16 


atNYG 


w 35-13 


W(+3) 


(39/2) 


9/23 


vsSDG 


w 31-24 


W(+5/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 


9/30 


atMIN 


W 23-16 


W(pk) 


0(38) 


10/7 


vsCHI 


L 20-27 


L(-3) 


(40/2) 




vsWAS 


W 17-14 


P(-3) 


U (40/2) 




at DEN 


w 19-13 


W(+3) 


u (43/2) 


11/4 


at KAN 


W 33-22 


W (+2/2) 


(37/2) 


11/11 


vsMIN 


W34-0 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


U (40/2) 




vsCAR 


w 31-17 


W (-10) 


0(37) 




atDET 


W 37-26 


W(-3) 


0(47) 




at DAL 


L 27-37 


L(+7) 


(51/2) 




vsOAK 


W38-7 


W (-10) 


0(40) 


12/16 


at STL 


W 33-14 


W(-7) 


P(47) 




at CHI 


L7-35 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


(31/2) 




vsDET 


W 34-13 


W(-3) 


(38/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/8 


vsMIN 


w 24-19 


W(-2) 


0(37) 


9/14 


atDET 


W 48-25 


W(-3) 


(46/2) 




vsDAL 


L 16-27 


L(+3) 


u (50/2) 


9/28 


atTAM 


L 21-30 


L(+2) 


0(43) 


10/5 


vsATL 


L 24-27 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 




at SEA 


w 27-17 


W(-l) 


P(44) 




vsIND 


W 34-14 


W (+2/2) 


(46/2) 


11/2 


at TEN 


L 16-19 


P(+3) 


U(41) 


11/9 


atMIN 


L 27-28 


W(+2) 


(44/2) 


11/16 


vsCHI 


W37-3 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(43) 




at NOR 


L 29-51 


L(pk) 


(51/2) 




vsCAR 


L 31-35 


L(-3) 


(41/2) 


12/7 


vsHOU 


L 21-24 


L(-7) 


u (47/2) 


12/14 atJAC 


L 16-20 


L(-3) 


u (45/2) 


12/22 


at CHI 


L 17-20 


W(+4) 


U(41) 


12/28 


vsDET 


w 31-21 


L Ml) 


(41/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsCHI 


w 21-15 


W(-5) 


U (46/2) 


9/20 


vsCIN 


L 24-31 


L(-9) 


0(41/2) 


9/27 


at STL 


w 36-17 


W (-6/2) 


(42/2) 


10/5 


atMIN 


L 23-30 


L(+4/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 




vsDET 


W26-0 


W(-14) 


U (48/2) 




at CLE 


W31-3 


W (-8/2) 


U (41/2) 


11/1 


vsMIN 


L 26-38 


L(-3) 


(46/2) 


11/8 


atTAM 


L 28-38 


L (-9/2) 


0(43) 


11/15 


vsDAL 


W17-7 


W(+3) 


U(48) 




vsSFO 


w 30-24 


P(-6) 


(41/2) 




atDET 


W 34-12 


W (-11) 


U(48) 


12/7 


vsBAL 


W 27-14 


W(-4) 


U(43) 




at CHI 


W 21-14 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(42) 




at PIT 


L 36-37 


W(+3) 


0(42) 




vsSEA 


W 48-IO 


w (-13) 


(43/) 


1/3 


at ARI 


W33-7 


W(+3) 


U(42) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


at PHI 


w 27-20 


W(-3) 


U(48) 


9/19 


vsBUF 


W34-7 


W (-12/2) 


U (42/2) 


9/27 


at CHI 


L 17-20 


L(-3) 


U(45) 


10/3 


vsDET 


W 28-26 


LM4/2) 


(45/2) 




at WAS 


L 13-16 


L(-3) 


U(45) 




vsMIA 


L 20-23 


L(-3) 


U(44) 




vsMIN 


W 28-24 


W(-3) 


0(44) 




at NY) 


W9-0 


W (+6/2) 


U (41/2) 


11/7 


vsDAL 


W45-7 


W (-7/2) 


0(46) 




atMIN 


W31-3 


W(-3) 


U (44/2) 




atATL 


L 17-20 


L(+254) 


u (47/) 


12/5 


vsSFO 


W 34-16 


W (-8/2) 


0(41) 




atDET 


L3-7 


L(-7) 


u (45/2) 




atNWE 


L 27-31 


W (+14) 


0(43/) 




vsNYG 


W 45-17 


W(-3) 


0(43) 


1/2 


vsCHI 


WlO-3 


L Ml) 


U(43) 



38 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



NFC NORTH 



M I li IS 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 40-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 20-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.81 (11th toughest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-0.3 ML units), 5-11 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-9 
2010 Schedule Strength: 22.69 (6th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 19 (817 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.37 (#20 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at San Diego 


Week 2 


Tampa Bay 


Week 3 


Detroit 


Week 4 


at Kansas City 


Weeks 


Arizona 


Week 6 


at Chicago 


Week 7 


Green Bay 


Week 8 


at Carolina 


Week 9 


BYE 


Week 10 


at Green Bay 


Week 11 


Oakland 


Week 12 


at Atlanta 


Week 13 


Denver 


Week 14 


at Detroit 


Week 15 


New Orleans 


Week 16 


at Washington 


Week 17 


Chicago 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread and 3-1 straight-up in MIN-SD series since 1992 

TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against MINNESOTA since 2001 

Last six games are 6-0 UNDER the total in DET-MIN series since 2008 

HOME TEAM is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up in KC-MIN series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 5-0 against the spread in the ARI-MIN series since 2001 

CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 straight-up at home against MINNESOTA since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 14-5 against the spread and 10-9 straight-up at MINNESOTA in GB-MIN series since 1992 

Last six games are 5-1 UNDER the total in CAR-MIN series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in GB-MIN series since 2007 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in MIN-OAK series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 straight-up in ATL-MIN series since 1992 

MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992 

FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in DET-MIN series since 2009 

Last 12 games are 9-3 OVER the total in MIN-NO series since 1992 

Last four games at WASHINGTON are 4-0 UNDER the total in MIN-WAS series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up in CHI-MIN series since 2008 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


9-7 


6-10 


8-8 


10-7 


13-5 


6-10 


52-47 


52.5% 


9-7 


7-9 


7-7 


6-11 


11-6 


5-11 


45-51 


46.9% 


2-2 


3-1 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


15-9 


62.5% 


6-2 


3-5 


4-4 


3-6 


6-2 


3-4 


25-23 


52.1% 


3-5 


4-4 


3-3 


3-5 


5-4 


2-7 


20-28 


41.7% 


5-1 


4-2 


2-3 


1-5 


4-1 


1-5 


17-17 


50.0% 


8-4 


7-5 


5-6 


4-9 


9-4 


4-8 


37-36 


50.7% 


7-1 


2-4 


4-3 


3-5 


9-5 


4-2 


29-20 


59-2% 


2-6 


5-5 


3-4 


3-6 


2-1 


1-9 


16-31 


34-0% 


5-11 


7-7 


9-7 


9-8 


9-9 


7-9 


46-51 


474% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



MINNESOTA is 6-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game the last three seasons 
MINNESOTA is 8-3 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game the last three seasons 
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game the last three seasons 
MINNESOTA is 0-5 ATS revenging a road loss against opponent the last two seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-4-2 


25 


Yardage 


2.3 


17 


Yds Per Play 


0.01 


17 


Yds Per Point 


3.56 


29 


Turnovers 


-11 


29 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


17-6 


29 


First Downs 


18.1 


23 


Yards/Game 


314.9 


23 


Yds Per Play 


5.13 


20 


Yds Per Point 


17.93 


30 


RushYds/Gm 


121.4 


10 


Yards Per Rush 


4-39 


9 


PassAtt/Game 


31.6 


21 


Comp/Game 


19.1 


20 


Completion % 


60.4 


18 


PassYds/Gm 


193.6 


26 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.13 


27 


1 NTs Thrown 


26 


32 


Sacks Allowed 


35 


16 


Att/Sack 


15-4 


19 


Sack Yards 


230 


19 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


21.8 


18 


First Downs 


17-3 


8 


Yards/Game 


312.6 


8 


Yds Per Play 


5-12 


11 


Yds Per Point 


14.37 


19 


RushYds/Gm 


102.2 


9 


Yards Per Rush 


3-91 


8 


PassAtt/Game 


33.1 


14 


Comp/Game 


20.8 


20 


Comp% 


63.0 


21 


PassYds/Gm 


210.4 


10 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.36 


12 


Interceptions 


15 


17 


Sacks 


30 


22 


Att/Sack 


18.6 


23 


Sack Yards 


177 


29 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 



9/9 vs ATL 

9/16 atDET' 

9/23 at 

9/30 vs 

10/14 atCHi 

10/21 at DAL 
10/28 vsPHI 
11/4 vs 
11/lf'at 
11/18 vs 
ll725""atMYG"" 
12/2 VS 

12/9 atSFO 

12/17js'CH['" 

12/30 "at 



W24-3 
L 17-20 
L 10-13 
L 16-23 
W34;31^ 
L 14-24 

'["'16-23 

W3547I 
LO-34 
W 29-22 
W 41-17 
W 42-10 
W27-7 
W 20-13 
L 21-32 
L 19-22 



W(-3) 
P(+3J 
P(+3) 
L (pk) 

W"( + 5J 
L(+9%) 
L(pkj 
W"(+7J 

l(W 

W(-4%) 
w"(+7) 

W(-7J4) 
L (-1034) 

L"(-6) 

L(-2/ 2 ) 



U (34/2) 

U (43%) 

U (34%) 

0(38) 

U (45%) 

(37%) 

0(42) 

0(35%)" 
6(40) 

U (39) 

(40%) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/8 


atGNB 


L 19-24 


L(+2) 


0(37) 


9/14 


vsIND 


L 15-18 


L(pk) 


U (43%) 




vsCAR 


W 20-10 


W(-3) 


U (37%) 


9/28 


at TEN 


L 17-30 


L(+3) 


(34%) 


10/6 


at NOR 


w 30-27 


W(+3) 


(46%) 




vsDET 


W 12-10 


L (-13) 


U (44%) 




at CHI 


L 41-48 


L(+3) 


0(38) 


11/2 


vsHOU 


W 28-21 


W (-5%) 


(46%) 


11/9 


vsGNB 


W 28-27 


L(-2) 


(44%) 


11/16 


atTAM 


L 13-19 


L(+5%) 


U(39) 




atJAC 


w 30-12 


W(+2) 


(41%) 




vsCHI 


W 34-14 


W (-5%) 


0(42) 


12/7 


atDET 


W 20-16 


L (-11) 


U(44) 




atARI 


W 35-14 


W (+4%) 


(46%) 




vsATL 


L 17-24 


L(3) 


U(43) 


12/28 


vsNYG 


w 20-19 


L(-7) 


U(41) 



2009 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2010 OPP SCORE 



9/13 at CLE 

9/20 atDET 

9/27 vs 

10/5 vs 

lb/ii "atSTL 

10/25 at PIT 

li/i at 

11/15 vsDET 
11/22 v 
11/29 vsCHI 

12/6 atARI 

12/13 vsCIN 
12/20 at 
12/28 atCHI 
1/3 vsNYG"' 



W 34-20 
W2743'' 
W 27-24 

w 30-23 
w'38-10""' 

L'1'7-27 
w'38-26" 
w 27-10 

"w'35-9 

w 36-10 

JJwZ 

w 30-10 

ItZiCI 
L30-36 

W 44-7 



W(-4) 

"w"(-io)"' 

nw 

W (-4%) 

W (-10) 

L(-3) 

L( + 6) 

W"(+3J 
__ . 

W (-10%) 
"'W'j-io)'" 

L(3) 

W (-6) 

nw 

L(-8) 

W (-8) 



0(39) 

U(45) 

0(39) 

(45%) 

"0'(40%[ 

■'0(45%)' 



U (46%) 

U (47%) 
U(47) 
U(47) 
U (48) 
U(42) 

0(47%) 



9/9 
9/19 

12/5 
1/2 



at NOR L9-14 L(+4%) U (49) 



vsMIA 
vsDET 



L 10-14 
W 24-10 



L(-5%) U(41) 



at NY) 

'vs'dal" 
atGNB'' 



L20-29 
W 24-21 
L 24-28 



W(-13) 
L(+4) 

W (-1%) 

LT+3) 



U (42%) 
0(38) 

0(44) 



atNWE 
vsARI 



L18-28 

W 27-24 



at CHI 
'vsGNB' 



L 13-27 
L3-31 



L(+5) 
L(7) 



0(45) 

(42%) 

U(41) 



at WAS 
vsBUF"" 



W 17-13 

W3844"' 



L(+3) 

W (-2% 2 ) 
w"(-5%)"' 



U (44%) 



vsNYG 
vsCHI 



..L_3-2l m 

L 14-40 



at PHI 
atDET 



W 24-14 
L 13-20 



L(+5) 

L(+5%) 
W (+14/2) 
L(+3%j 



U (43%) 
U (44) 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 39 



ATI 1 FALCONS 

The Falcons caught some breaks during the 2010 regular season, as 
opponents had the lowest FG percentage against them (65.2%) and 
the fourth-most penalty yards (62.7 per game). Atlanta wasn't compet- 
itive in their playoff game against Green Bay. But they did get anoth- 
er weapon for QB Matt Ryan by trading up to draft big possession 
receiver Julio Jones to compliment All-Pro WR Roddy White. They've 
been a run-first offense in Ryan's first three seasons, but should go 
more aggressive with the passing game, especially with RB Michael 
Turner fading fast. Defensively is where they could struggle, espe- 
cially because of mediocre personnel up the middle. They had trouble 
stopping the run at times last year, and they're still relying heavily on 
aging vet John Abraham to carry the pass rush. They'll be asking a lot 
out of a good-not-great cornerback tandem of Dunta Robinson and 
Brent Grimes, and their sub package personnel is weak in the defen- 
sive backfield. 

OIHOOHA PANTHERS 

After a nightmare year, the Panthers cleaned house. They have a new 
head coach in former San Diego Chargers defensive coordinator Ron 
Rivera, and a new franchise quarterback under center in No. 1 over- 
all pick Cam Newton. Newton has the physical gifts to cover up for a 
lot of shortcomings, but he's not known as a cerebral quarterback, 
will have a short offseason to learn an NFL system and doesn't have a 
lot of weapons around him. The Panthers will almost surely use some 
non-traditional plays (options, and various quarterback runs) to take 
advantage of Newton's rare skill set. The Carolina defense was solid 
a year ago and should improve under Rivera, one of football's best 
defensive minds. Their secondary is their strength, and they spent both 
their third-round picks on defensive tackles (Terrell McClain and Sione 
Fua) in an attempt to upgrade their run defense. They are still search- 
ing for a consistent pass rush since losing Julius Peppers to Chicago 
last offseason. 

WH ORLEANS SM9TS 

The Saints were shaky on both sides of the ball a year ago, but they 
were aggressive in upgrading on draft day. Pierre Thomas, who was 
signed to a significant contract extension in March, is the most com- 
fortable in their offense but hasn't been able to stay healthy, which 
is why New Orleans traded for a second first-round pick to take Mark 
Ingram. The Saints use a series of different blocking systems up front, 
and can tailor them to their backs. The passing game should keep 
clicking with Drew Brees, though they may not be elite any more with 



TEAM 


w 


L 


Tampa Bay Buccaneers 


11.... 


5 


New Orleans Saints 


10.... 


6 


Atlanta Falcons 


9.... 


7 


Carolina Panthers 


3.... 


...13 



PREDICTED STANDINGS NFC SOUTH 

ineers , 

nts , 

s , 



RB Michael Turner has carried a heavy load since joining the Falcons in 2008, 
but at age 29 he's showing signs of wearing down. 



No. l WR Marques Colston slowed by another knee injury. The defense 
struggled to create much of a pass rush last year, and added DE Cameron 
Jordan with their original first-round pick; he's less of an edge rusher but 
can slide inside. He'll fit well in Gregg Williams' blitz-happy scheme. Their 
secondary is elite when S Malcolm Jenkins is healthy. 

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 

The Bucs gutted out 10 wins thanks to the quick maturation of QB Josh 
Freeman, who has become one of the top 10 or so quarterbacks in the 
NFL. He and the young Tampa receivers (WRs Mike Williams and Arrelious 
Benn are both entering their second seasons) should only get better. 
The passing game is complimented by a power running game, with RB 
LeGarrette Blount wearing down defenses between the tackles. Blount 
does have to sit on passing downs. Defensively, the Bucs still run a Cover- 
2 base with a smallish front four. They struggled to stop the run all year, 
especially after DT Gerald McCoy got hurt. They also struggled to gener- 
ate a consistent pass rush, and spent their first two draft picks on DEs 
this April (Adrian Clayborn and Da'Quan Bowers). The secondary was their 
strength, especially at cornerback. But they are relying on an aging Ronde 
Barber on one side, and the off-the-field troubles of Aqib Talib (an arrest 
for his alleged involvement in a shooting) has made him a question mark 
entering the season. 



40 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



NFC SOUTH 



A 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: n-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.00 (17th toughest) 
2010 Record: 13-4 (+8.7- ML units), 11-6 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-6-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.12 (20th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 24 (#7 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 4.09 (#9 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Chicago 


Week 2 


Philadelphia 


Week 3 


at Tarn pa Bay 


Week 4 


at Seattle 


Weeks 


Green Bay 


Week 6 


Carolina 


Week 7 


at Detroit 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


at Indianapolis 


Week 10 


New Orleans 


Week 11 


Tennessee 


Week 12 


Minnesota 


Week 13 


at Houston 


Week 14 


at Carolina 


Week 15 


Jacksonville 


Week 16 


at New Orleans 


Week 17 


Tampa Bay 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last eight games are 7-1 UNDER the total in ATL-CHI series since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up against ATLANTA since 2001 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at TAMPA BAY in ATL-TB series since 2004 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in ATL-SEA series since 2001 

ROAD TEAM is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up in ATL-GB series since 2001 

ATLANTA is 10-5 against the spread and 12-4 straight-up at home against CAROLINA since 1992 

FAVORITE is 7-1 straight-up in ATL-DET series since 1992 

INDIANAPOLIS is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in ATL-NO series since 2009 

TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 straight-up in ATL-MIN series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in ATL-HOU series since 2001 

Last 16 games are 13-3 UNDER the total in ATL-CAR series at CAROLINA since 1992 

Last four games are 4-0 UNDER in ATL-JAC series 

UNDERDOG is 15-4 against the spread at NEW ORLEANS in ATL-NO series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 straight-up in ATL-TB series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


8-8 


7-9 


4-12 


11-6 


9-7 


13-4 


52-46 


53.1% 


8-8 


7-9 


7-8 


9-8 


11-5 


11-6 


53-44 


54-6% 


4-1 


1-2 


3-1 


3-1 


2-1 


2-2 


15-8 


65.2% 


4-4 


3-5 


3-5 


5-3 


6-2 


5-4 


26-23 


53-1% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-3 


4-5 


5-3 


6-2 


27-21 


56.3% 


2-4 


3-3 


2-4 


2-4 


4-2 


4-2 


17-19 


47-2% 


5-7 


5-7 


5-7 


6-7 


8-4 


8-5 


37-37 


50.0% 


5-3 


4-6 


1-0 


3-3 


6-2 


10-5 


29-19 


60.4% 


3-5 


3-3 


6-8 


6-5 


5-3 


1-1 


24-25 


49-0% 


9-7 


4-11 


9-7 


8-9 


7-9 


10-6 


47-49 


49-0% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



ATLANTA is 13-2 ATS after a loss the last three seasons 

ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pet. 25% to 40%) the last five seasons 

ATLANTA is 18-7 ATS after the first month of the season the last two seasons 

ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5-65 yards/play the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


7-9 


4 


Yardage 


8.7 


14 


Yds Per Play 


-O.58 


28 


Yds Per Point 


-5.29 


3 


Turnovers 


+14 


3 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


25-9 


5 


First Downs 


22.1 


4 


Yards/Game 


341.1 


15 


Yds Per Play 


4.98 


26 


Yds Per Point 


13.18 


2 


RushYds/Gm 


118.2 


12 


Yards Per Rush 


3.80 


26 


PassAtt/Game 


36.1 


8 


Comp/Game 


22.6 


7 


Completion % 


62.6 


10 


PassYds/Gm 


222.9 


15 


PassYds/Att 


6.18 


24 


1 NTs Thrown 


9 


4 


Sacks Allowed 


23 


3 


Att/Sack 


26.1 


4 


Sack Yards 


158 


3 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


18.0 


5 


First Downs 


17.8 


10 


Yards/Game 


332.4 


16 


Yds Per Play 


5-56 


27 


Yds Per Point 


18.47 


5 


RushYds/Gm 


105-9 


10 


Yards Per Rush 


4-63 


27 


PassAtt/Game 


35-0 


23 


Comp/Game 


22.8 


29 


Comp % 


65.0 


28 


PassYds/Gm 


226.6 


22 


PassYds/Att 


6.47 


18 


Interceptions 


22 


4 


Sacks 


31 


20 


Att/Sack 


19.1 


25 


Sack Yards 


221 


20 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


atMIN 


L3-24 


L(+3) 


u (34/2) 


9/16 


atJAC 


L7-13 


W (+10) 


u (34/2) 


9/23 


vsCAR 


L 20-27 


L(+4) 


0(38) 


9/30 


vsHOU 


W 26-16 


W (+2/2) 


(39/2) 


10/7 


at TEN 


L 13-20 


P(+7) 


U (41/2) 




vsNYG 


L 10-31 


L(+5) 


u (43/2) 




at NOR 


L 16-22 


W (+7/2) 


U (42/2) 


11/4 


vsSFO 


W 20-16 


W (-3/2) 


U(37) 


11/11 


at CAR 


W 20-13 


W(+3) 


U(35) 


11/18 


vsTAM 


L7-31 


L(+3) 


(35/2) 




vsIND 


L 13-31 


L(+13) 


(42/2) 


12/2 


at STL 


L 16-28 


L(+3) 


0(40) 




vsNOR 


L 14-34 


L(+4) 


0(44) 


12/16 


atTAM 


L3-37 


L (+13) 


(37/2) 




at ARI 


L 27-30 


W (+11) 


0(44) 




vsSEA 


W 44-41 


W(+2) 


(38/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


vsDET 


W 34-21 


W(+3) 


0(41) 


9/14 


atTAM 


L9-24 


L(+7) 


u (37/2) 




vsKAN 


W 38-14 


W(-6) 


(37/2) 


9/28 


at CAR 


L9-24 


L(+7) 


U (38/2) 


10/5 


atGNB 


w 27-24 


W (+5/2) 


(42/2) 




vsCHI 


W 22-20 


W(+3) 


U(43) 




at PHI 


L 14-27 


L(+9) 


U (44/2) 


11/2 


at OAK 


W24-0 


W(-3) 


U(4l) 


11/9 


vsNOR 


W 34-20 


W (-1/2) 


(50/2) 


11/16 


vsDEN 


L 20-24 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(5D 




vsCAR 


W 45-28 


W(+l) 


0(41) 




atSDG 


W 22-16 


W (+6/2) 


U(48) 


12/7 


at NOR 


L 25-29 


L(+3) 


0(52) 




vsTAM 


w 13-10 


L(-5) 


U(43) 




atMIN 


w 24-17 


W(+3) 


U(43) 


12/28 


vsSTL 


w 31-27 


L (-14) 


0(44/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsMIA 


W19-7 


W(-4) 


U(44) 


9/20 


vsCAR 


W 28-20 


W(-6) 


(43/) 


9/27 


atNWE 


L 10-26 


L(+4) 


u (45/) 




atSFO 


W 45-10 


W(0) 


(39/2) 




vsCHI 


W 21-14 


W(-4) 


U(46) 




at DAL 
at NOR 


L 21-37 


U+5/2) 


0(48) 


11/2 


L 27-35 


W (+11) 


0(56) 


11/8 


vsWAS 


w 31-17 


W (-8/2) 


(40/2) 


11/15 


at CAR 


L 19-28 


L(-U 


(43/2) 




atNYG 


L 31-34 


W(+7) 


(46/2) 




vsTAM 


w 20-17 


L (-13) 


U(46) 


12/6 


vsPHI 


L7-34 


L(+4) 


U (43/) 




vsNOR 


L 23-26 


W (+10) 


u (49/2) 




at NY) 


WlO-7 


W(+5) 


U (36/2) 




vsBUF 


W31-3 


W(-8) 


U (40/2) 


1/3 


atTAM 


W 20-10 


W(-3) 


U (41/2) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


at PIT 


L9-15 


L(-D 


U(39) 


9/19 


vsARI 


W41-7 


W (-6/2) 


0(43) 




at NOR 


w 27-24 


W(+3) 


0(49) 


10/3 


vsSFO 


W 16-14 


L(7) 


U(42) 




at CLE 


W 20-10 


W(-3) 


U (41/2) 




at PHI 


L 17-31 


L(+2) 


0(43) 




vsCIN 


w 39-32 


W(-3) 


0(43) 


11/7 


vsTAM 


w 27-21 


LMO) 


(44/2) 


11/11 


vsBAL 


W 26-21 


W(-2) 


0(44) 




at STL 


W 34-17 


W(-3) 


0(43) 




vsGNB 


w 20-17 


W (-2/2) 


U (47/) 


12/5 


atTAM 


W 28-24 


W(-3) 


0(43) 




at CAR 


w 31-10 


W(-7) 


U (41/2) 




at SEA 


W 34-18 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 




vsNOR 


L 14-17 


L(-2) 


U(50) 


1/2 


vsCAR 


w 31-10 


W(-14) 


P(41) 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 41 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 150-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 75-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 21.00 (8th toughest) 
2010 Record: 2-14 (-13.2 ML units), 4-12 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-9-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 20.31 (18th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 9 (#31 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -13.46 (832 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Arizona 


Week 2 


Green Bay 


Week 3 


Jacksonville 


Week 4 


at Chicago 


Weeks 


New Orleans 


Week 6 


at Atlanta 


Week 7 


Washington 


Week 8 


Minnesota 


Week 9 


BYE 



Week 10 Tennessee 

Week 11 at Detroit 

Week 12 at Indianapolis 

Week 13 at Tampa Bay 

Week 14 Atlanta 

Week 15 at Houston 

Week 16 Tampa Bay 

Week 17 at New Orleans 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

CAROLINA is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up against ARIZONA since 2004 

ROAD TEAM is 5-1 against the spread in CAR-GB series since 2001 

JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 1995 

UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread in CAR-CHI series since 1995 

ROAD TEAM is 16-3 against the spread in CAR-NO series since 2001 

ATLANTA is 10-5 against the spread and 12-4 straight-up at home against CAROLINA since 1995 

UNDERDOGS are 9-0 against the spread in CAR-WAS series since 1995 

Last six games are 5-1 UNDER the total in CAR-MIN series since 2001 

TENNESSEE is 2-1 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 1995 

DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA since 1995 

CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up against INDIANAPOLIS since 1995 

Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CAR-TB series since 2004 

Last 16 games are 13-3 UNDER the total in ATL-CAR series at CAROLINA since 1995 

HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up against CAROLINA since 2001 

Last nine games at CAROLINA are 7-2 UNDER the total in CAR-TB series since 2001 

CAROLINA is 9-0 against the spread on the road against NEW ORLEANS since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


13-6 


8-8 


7-9 


12-5 


8-8 


2-14 


50-50 


50.0% 


11-8 


5-9 


8-8 


8-7 


9-7 


4-12 


45-51 


46.9% 


1-3 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


0-4 


1-3 


7-17 


29.2% 


4-4 


2-5 


3-5 


5-3 


4-4 


2-6 


20-27 


42.6% 


7-4 


3-4 


5-3 


3-4 


5-3 


2-6 


25-24 


51.0% 


4-2 


3-3 


3-3 


3-2 


5-1 


1-5 


19-16 


54-3% 


8-7 


4-8 


8-4 


4-7 


8-4 


3-9 


35-39 


47-3% 


7-7 


3-6 


3-3 


6-4 


3-3 


1-2 


23-25 


47-9% 


4-1 


2-3 


5-5 


2-3 


6-5 


3-10 


22-27 


44-9% 


10-8 


7-9 


6-10 


8-9 


6-10 


6-9 


43-55 


43-9% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game the last three seasons 
CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored the last three seasons 
CAROLINA is 5-14 ATS in the first month of the season the last five seasons 
CAROLINA is 1-7 ATS against AFC South division opponents the last 10 seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 OPP SCORE 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


RANK 


Scoring 


-13.2 


32 


Yardage 


-774 


31 


Yds Per Play 


-0.77 


30 


Yds Per Point 


7-93 


32 


Turnovers 


-8 


25 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Scored 


12.3 


32 


First Downs 


14.1 


32 


Yards/Game 


258.4 


32 


Yds Per Play 


4-30 


32 


Yds Per Point 


21.10 


32 


RushYds/Gm 


1154 


13 


Yards Per Rush 


4-31 


12 


PassAtt/Game 


30.3 


26 


Comp/Game 


16.0 


32 


Completion % 


52.9 


31 


PassYds/Gm 


143-1 


32 


Pass Yds/Att 


4-73 


32 


1 NTs Thrown 


21 


26 


Sacks Allowed 


50 


29 


Att/Sack 


10.7 


31 


Sack Yards 


346 


29 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Allowec 


25-5 


26 


First Downs 


20.5 


26 


Yards/Game 


335-9 


18 


Yds Per Play 


5.07 


7 


Yds Per Point 


13.17 


31 


RushYds/Gm 


123.8 


23 


Yards Per Rush 


3-94 


10 


PassAtt/Game 


32.9 


12 


Comp/Game 


20.4 
62.0 


15 


1 Comp% 


18 


1 PassYds/Gm 


212.1 


11 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.45 


16 


1 Interceptions 


17 


11 


1 Sacks 


31 


20 


1 Att/Sack 


18.0 


18 


1 Sack Yards 


224 


19 



9/9 


at STL 


w 27-13 


W (+1/2) 


U(43) 


9/16 


vsHOU 


L 21-34 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(38) 


9/23 


atATL 


w 27-20 


W(-4) 


0(38) 


9/30 


vsTAM 


L7-20 


L(-3) 


U (38%) 


10/7 


at NOR 


W 16-13 


W (+3/2) 


u (43/2) 




at ARI 

vsIND 


w 25-10 
L7-31 


W(+6) 
L(+7) 


U (38/2) 

u (43/2) 


11/4 


at TEN 


L7-20 


L(+5fc) 


U(35) 


11/11 


vsATL 


L 13-20 


L(-3) 


U(35) 




atGNB 


L 17-31 


L (+10) 


0(37) 




vsNOR 


L6-31 


L(+3) 


11(42) 


12/2 


vsSFO 


W 31-14 


W(-3) 


0(35) 




at JAC 


L6-37 


L (+11) 




12/16 


vsSEA 


w 13-10 


W(+7) 


U(37) 




vsDAL 


L 13-20 


W (+10/2) 


U (42/2) 




atTAM 


w 31-23 


W(-3) 


(35/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


atSDG 


W 26-24 


W (+8/2) 


(40/2) 


9/14 


vsCHI 


w 20-17 


P(-3) 


u (37/2) 




at MIN 


L 10-20 


L(+3) 


u (37/2) 


9/28 


vsATL 


W24-9 


W(-7) 


U (38/2) 


10/5 


vsKAN 


W34-0 


W (-9/2) 


11(38) 




atTAM 


L3-27 


L(+2J4) 


U(37) 




vsNOR 


W30-7 


W(-3) 


U (44/2) 




vsARI 


w 27-23 


L(-5) 


(43/2) 


11/9 


at OAK 


W17-6 


W (-10) 


u (37/2) 


11/16 


vsDET 


w 31-22 


L (-14) 


(40/2) 


11/23 


atATL 


L 28-45 


L(-D 


0(41) 


11/30 atGNB 


w 35-31 


W(+3) 


(41/2) 


12/8 


vsTAM 


w 38-23 


W(-3) 


0(40) 




vsDEN 


w 30-10 


W(-7) 


U (46/2) 




atNYG 


L 28-34 


L(+4) 


(37/2) 


12/28 


at NOR 


w 33-31 


P(-2) 


0(51%) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsPHI 


L 10-38 


L(+2J4) 


0(43/) 


9/20 


atATL 


L 20-28 


U+6) 


0(43/) 




at DAL 


L7-21 


U+8) 


U(48) 




vsWAS 


W 20-17 


L(-5) 


U (37/) 




atTAM 


W 28-21 


W(-3) 


(40/2) 




vsBUF 


L9-20 


L(-7) 


U(37) 


11/1 


at ARI 


W 34-21 


W (+9/2) 


(43/2) 


11/8 


at NOR 


L 20-30 


W (+12) 


U(5D 


11/15 


vsATL 


W 28-19 


W(+l) 


(43/) 




vsMIA 


L 17-24 


L(-3) 


U (41/2) 




at NY) 


L6-17 


L(+3) 


U(41) 


12/6 


vsTAM 


W16-6 


W(-3) 


U(40) 




atNWE 


L 10-20 


W (+12/2) 


U (43/) 




vsMIN 


W26-7 


W (+8/2) 


U (42/2) 




atNYG 


W41-9 


W(+8) 


0(43) 


1/3 


vsNOR 


w 23-10 


W (-10) 


U (40/2) 



2010 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 at NYG 


L 18-31 


L(+5/) 


(40/2) 


9/19 vs 


L7-20 


L(4) 


11(38) 


9/26 vs CIN 


L7-20 


L(+3) 


U(37) 


10/3 at 


L 14-16 


W (+12/2) 


u (43/2) 


ii' 11 ■ vsCHI 


L6-23 


L(3) 


U(33) 






W (+1/2) 


0(35/) 


10/31 at STL 


L 10-20 


L(+3) 


U (37/) 


11/7 vs 


L3-34 


U+5K) 


U(40) 


11/14 at 


L 16-31 


L(+7) 


0(37) 


11/21 vs 


L 13-37 


L (+13) 


(36/2) 


11/28 at CLE 


L 23-24 


W(+8) 


0(37) 


12/5 at SEA 


L 14-31 


L(+5) 


(40/2) 


12/12 VS 


L 10-31 


L(+7) 


U (41/2) 


12/19 V: 


W 19-12 


W (-2/2) 


u (37/) 


12/23 at PIT 


L3-27 


L (+14) 


U(37) 


1/2 atATL 


L 10-31 


L (+14) 


P(4l) 



42 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 12-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: n-to-2 
2011 Schedule Strength: 19.25 (20th toughest) 
2010 Record: 11-6 (-8.8 ML units), 7-10 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-8 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.76 (27th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 23 (#10 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.36 (#7 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at Green Bay 


Week 2 


Chicago 


Week 3 


Houston 


Week 4 


at Jacksonville 


Weeks 


at Carolina 


Week 6 


at Tampa Bay 


Week 7 


Indianapolis 


Week 8 


at St. Louis 


Week 9 


Tampa Bay 


Week 10 


at Atlanta 


Week 11 


BYE 


Week 12 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 13 


Detroit 


Week 14 


at Tennessee 


Week 15 


at Minnesota 


Week 16 


Atlanta 


Week 17 


Carolina 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

Last 4 games are 4-0 OVER the spread in GB-NO series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 5-0 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in CHI-NO series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in HOU-NO series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in JAC-NO series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 16-3 against the spread in CAR-NO series since 2001 

UNDERDOG is 16-7 against the spread and 13-11 straight-up in NO-TB series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and straight-up in IND-NO series since 1992 

Last 13 games at ST. LOUIS are 10-3 OVER the total in NO-STL series since 1992 

TAMPA BAY is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at NEW ORLEANS since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in ATL-NO series since 2009 

Last four games at NEW ORLEANS are 4-0 OVER the total in NO-NYG series since 1992 
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread and straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 
TENNESSEE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992 
Last 12 games are 9-3 OVER the total in MIN-NO series since 1992 
UNDERDOG is 15-4 against the spread at NEW ORLEANS in ATL-NO series since 1992 
CAROLINA is 9-0 against the spread on the road against NEW ORLEANS since 2001 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


3-13 


11-7 


7-9 


8-8 


16-3 


11-6 


56-46 


54.9% 


5-10 


10-8 


6-10 


10-5 


10-9 


7-10 


48-52 


48.0% 


1-3 


1-3 


3-2 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


13-12 


52.0% 


2-4 


3-6 


2-6 


5-1 


5-5 


4-4 


21-26 


44-7% 


3-6 


7-2 


4-4 


5-4 


5-4 


3-6 


27-26 


50.9% 


2-4 


4-2 


2-4 


3-2 


1-5 


3-3 


15-20 


42.9% 


2-9 


9-5 


5-7 


6-5 


5-9 


6-7 


33-42 


44-0% 


1-2 


2-5 


5-7 


6-1 


9-8 


6-9 


29-32 


47-5% 


4-8 


8-3 


1-3 


4-4 


1-1 


1-1 


19-20 


48.7% 


7-9 


10-8 


10-6 


10-5 


9-10 


9-8 


55-46 


54.5% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS off a road loss the last three seasons 

NEW ORLEANS is 6-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pet. > 75%) the last two seasons 
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game the last three seasons 
NEW ORLEANS is 0-5 ATS offan extremely close road win by 3 points or less the last three seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


4.8 


7 


Yardage 


66.3 


4 


Yds Per Play 


O.42 


6 


Yds Per Point 


-0.44 


10 


Turnovers 


-6 


23 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


24 


11 


First Downs 


21.9 


5 


Yards/Game 


372.5 


6 


Yds Per Play 


5-59 


10 


Yds Per Point 


15.52 


20 


RushYds/Gm 


94-9 


28 


Yards Per Rush 


4.00 


19 


PassAtt/Game 


41-3 


2 


Comp/Game 


28.1 


1 


Completion % 


68.1 


1 


PassYds/Gm 


277.6 


3 


PassYds/Att 


6.72 


13 


1 NTs Thrown 


22 


30 


Sacks Allowed 


26 


5 


Att/Sack 


26.4 


3 


Sack Yards 


195 


10 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


19.2 


7 


First Downs 


17.1 


7 


Yards/Game 


306.3 


4 


Yds Per Play 


5.17 


13 


Yds Per Point 


15.96 


13 


RushYds/Gm 


112.3 


16 


Yards Per Rush 


4-27 


17 


PassAtt/Game 


30.9 


4 


Comp/Game 


19.1 


8 


Comp % 


61.9 


17 


PassYds/Gm 


193.9 


4 


PassYds/Att 


6.28 


11 


Interceptions 


9 


32 


Sacks 


33 


17 


Att/Sack 


16.0 


13 


Sack Yards 


250 


12 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/6 


atlND 


L 10-41 


L(+5K) 


u (52/2) 


9/16 


atTAM 


L 14-31 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


0(41) 


9/24 


vsTEN 


L 14-31 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


U (46/2) 


10/7 


vsCAR 


L 13-16 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 




at SEA 


W 28-17 


W (+5/2) 


0(43) 




vsATL 


W 22-16 


L(7/ 2 ) 


U (42/2) 




atSFO 


w 31-10 


W(-2) 


0(39/2) 


11/4 


vsJAC 


w 41-24 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


(39/2) 


11/11 


vsSTL 


L 29-37 


LMO) 


0(47) 


11/18 


atHOU 


L 10-23 


L(+2) 


U (49/) 




at CAR 


W31-6 


W(-3) 


U(42) 


12/2 


vsTAM 


L 23-27 


L(6) 


0(41) 




atATL 


W 34-14 


W(-4) 


0(44) 


12/16 


vsARI 


w 31-24 


W(-4) 


(49/) 




vsPHI 


L 23-38 


L(-3) 


(47/) 




at CHI 


L 25-33 


L(+D 


0(42) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


vsTAM 


w 24-20 


W(-3) 


0(43) 


9/14 


at WAS 


L 24-29 


L(pk) 


(43/2) 




at DEN 


L 32-34 


W (+5/2) 


0(51/) 


9/28 


vsSFO 


w 31-17 


W(-4) 


P(48) 


10/6 


vsMIN 


L 27-30 


L(-3) 


(46/2) 




vsOAK 


W34-3 


W(-7) 


U(47) 




at CAR 


L7-30 


L(+3) 


U (44/) 




vsSDG 


w 37-32 


W(+3) 


0(46) 


11/9 


atATL 


L 20-34 


L (+1/2) 


(50/) 


11/16 


at KAN 


w 30-20 


W(-6) 


u (50/) 




vsGNB 


w 51-29 


W(pk) 


0(51/) 




atTAM 


L 20-23 


W (+3/2) 


U(44) 


12/7 


vsATL 


w 29-25 


W(-3) 


0(52) 


12/11 


at CHI 


L 24-27 


L (+2)4) 


0(46) 




at DET 


W42-7 


W (-6/2) 


u (50/) 


12/28 


vsCAR 


L 31-33 


P(+2) 


0(51/) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsDET 


w 45-27 


W(-14) 


(49/) 


9/20 


at PHI 


W 48-22 


W (-2/2) 


0(46) 


9/27 


atBUF 


W27-7 


W (-5/2) 


u (51/) 


10/4 


vsNYj 


W 24-10 


W (-7/2) 


U(47) 




vsNYG 


W 48-27 


W(-3) 


0(47) 




at MIA 


W 46-34 


W(-6) 


(47/) 


11/2 


vsATL 


w 35-27 


L (-11) 


0(56) 


11/8 


vsCAR 


w 30-20 


L (-12) 


U(5D 


11/15 


at STL 


W 28-23 


L (-14) 


(50/) 




atTAM 


W38-7 


W (-10) 


u (50/) 






w 38-17 


W(-2) 


U(57) 


12/6 


at WAS 


w 33-30 


L(-8) 


(46/2) 




atATL 


W 26-23 


LMO) 


U (49/) 




vsDAL 


L 17-24 


L(7) 


u (53/) 




vsTAM 


L 17-20 


LM3/2) 


U (48/2) 


1/3 


at CAR 


L 10-23 


L (+10) 


U (40/2) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsMIN 


W14-9 


W (-4/2) 


U(49) 


9/20 


atSFO 


w 25-22 


L(-4Z) 


0(44) 


9/26 


vsATL 


L 24-27 


L(-3) 


0(49) 


10/3 


vsCAR 


W 16-14 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U (43/) 




atARI 


L 20-30 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(45/) 




atTAM 


W31-6 


W(-5) 


U(43) 




vsCLE 


L 17-30 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


0(44) 




vsPIT 


W 20-10 


W(-l) 


U (44/) 


11/7 


at CAR 


W34-3 


W(-5Z) 


U(40) 




vsSEA 


W 34-19 


W (-11) 


(44/) 




at DAL 


w 30-27 


L(-4Z) 


0(48) 


12/5 


atCIN 


w 34-30 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(45) 




vsSTL 


w 31-13 


W (-9/2) 


U (47/) 




atBAL 


L 24-30 


L(+2) 


0(45) 




atATL 


W 17-14 


W(+2) 


U(50) 


1/2 


vsTAM 


L 13-23 


L(7) 


U (46/2) 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 43 



NFC SOUTH 



A I 1UCCAI M 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 30-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 15-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 20.25 (15th toughest) 
2010 Record: 10-6 (+7.1. ML units), 9-5-2 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-8-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.88 (25th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 22 (814 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 1.46 (#14 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Detroit 


Week 2 


at Minnesota 


Week 3 


Atlanta 


Week 4 


Indianapolis 


Weeks 


at San Francisco 


Week 6 


New Orleans 


Week 7 


Chicago at London 


Week 8 


BYE 


Week 9 


at New Orleans 


Week 10 


Houston 


Week 11 


at Green Bay 


Week 12 


at Tennessee 


Week 13 


Carolina 


Week 14 


at Jacksonville 


Week 15 


Dallas 


Week 16 


at Carolina 


Week 17 


at Atlanta 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 2001 

TAMPA BAY is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up against MINNESOTA since 2001 

FAVORITE is 6-1 against the spread and 7-0 straight-up at TAMPA BAY in ATL-TB series since 2004 

INDIANAPOLIS is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 straight-up at SAN FRANCISCO in SF-TB series since 1992 

UNDERDOG is 16-7 against the spread and 13-11 straight-up in NO-TB series since 1992 

TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 2004 

TAMPA BAY is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 straight-up at NEW ORLEANS since 2004 
HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and straight-up in HOU-TB series since 2001 
FAVORITE is 12-0 straight-up at GREEN BAY in GB-TB series since 1992 
FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in TB-TEN series since 1992 
Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CAR-TB series since 2004 
UNDERDOG is 4-0 against the spread in JAC-TB series since 1992 
FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in DAL-TB series since 1992 
Last nine games at CAROLINA are 7-2 UNDER the total in CAR-TB series since 2001 
FAVORITE is 7-3 against the spread and 10-0 straight-up in ATL-TB series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


11-6 


4-12 


9-8 


9-7 


3-13 


10-6 


46-52 


46.9% 


8-9 


6-9 


9-8 


8-8 


6-10 


9-5 


46-49 


48.4% 


3-1 


1-2 


3-1 


3-1 


1-3 


3-1 


14-9 


60.9% 


4-5 


3-4 


6-3 


4-4 


1-6 


2-5 


20-27 


42.6% 


4-4 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


5-4 


7-0 


26-22 


54-2% 


4-2 


2-4 


5-1 


3-3 


2-4 


4-2 


20-16 


55-6% 


6-7 


4-7 


8-5 


7-5 


5-7 


7-4 


37-35 


514% 


4-7 


0-3 


6-4 


5-5 


0-0 


2-2 


17-21 


44-7% 


4-2 


6-6 


3-4 


3-3 


6-10 


7-3 


29-28 


50.9% 


6-11 


7-9 


9-8 


8-8 


6-10 


7-8 


43-54 


443% 




TAMPA BAY is 5-0 ATS off a home win the last two seasons 

TAMPA BAY is 7-1 ATS in November games the last two seasons 

TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS revenging a same season loss against opponent the last five seasons 

TAMPA BAY is 1-7 ATS off a road loss the last two seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


1.4 


15 


Yardage 


2.4 


16 


Yds Per Play 


O.24 


10 


Yds Per Point 


-1.01 


8 


Turnovers 


+9 


5 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


21.3 


20 


First Downs 


18.0 


24 


Yards/Game 


335-1 


19 


Yds Per Play 


5.61 


8 


Yds Per Point 


15.72 


21 


RushYds/Gm 


125.1 


8 


Yards Per Rush 


4.64 


6 


PassAtt/Game 


30.9 


23 


Comp/Game 


19.1 


19 


Completion % 


61.9 


14 


PassYds/Gm 


210.1 


17 


PassYds/Att 


6.8 


10 


1 NTs Thrown 


6 


2 


Sacks Allowed 


30 


10 


Att/Sack 


17-5 


13 


Sack Yards 


203 


11 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


19-9 


9 


First Downs 


19-2 


17 


Yards/Game 


332.7 


17 


Yds Per Play 


5-37 


18 


Yds Per Point 


16.74 


9 


RushYds/Gm 


131.7 


28 


Yards Per Rush 


4-75 


32 


PassAtt/Game 


32.6 


11 


Comp/Game 


19-2 
58.9 


9 


1 Comp% 


12 


1 PassYds/Gm 


201.0 


7 


1 PassYds/Att 


6.17 


8 


1 Interceptions 


19 


8 


1 Sacks 


26 


30 


1 Att/Sack 


21.0 


30 


1 Sack Yards 


143 


32 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


at SEA 


L6-20 


L(+6) 


U (40/2) 


9/16 


vsNOR 


w 31-14 


W (+5/2) 


0(41) 


9/23 


vsSTL 


W24-3 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(39) 


9/30 


at CAR 


W20-7 


W(+3) 


U (38/2) 


10/7 


atlND 


L 14-33 


L (+8/2) 


(44/2) 




vsTEN 
atDET 


w 13-10 

L 16-23 


W(-2) 
L (+234) 


U(37) 
U(45) 




vsJAC 


L 23-24 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(32/2) 


11/4 


vsARI 


w 17-10 


W(-3) 


U(39) 




atATL 


W31-7 


W(-3) 


(35/2) 




vsWAS 


w 19-13 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(38) 


12/2 


at NOR 


w 27-23 


W(+6) 


0(41) 




atHOU 


L 14-28 


L(-3) 


(39/2) 


12/16 


vsATL 


W37-3 


W(-13) 


(37/2) 




atSFO 


L 19-21 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(36/2) 




vsCAR 


L 23-31 


L(+3) 


0(35/) 



2008 OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 at NOR 


L 20-24 


L(+3) 


0(43) 


9/14 vs ATL 


W24-9 


W(-7) 


U (37/) 


9/21 at CHI 


w 27-24 


W(+3) 


(34/) 


9/28 vs 


w 30-21 


W(-2) 


0(43) 


10/5 at 


L 13-16 


W (+3/2) 


U(47) 


10/12 , 


W27-3 


W (-2/2) 


U(37) 




W 20-10 


L (-11) 


U(40) 




L9-13 


L(+l/2) 


U (40/2) 


11/2 at 


w 30-27 


L(-9Z) 


0(37) 


11/16 vs 


w 19-13 


W(-5/) 


U(39) 


11/23 atDET 


W 38-20 


W(-8) 


0(42) 




w 23-20 


L(-3Z) 


U(44) 


12/8 at 


L 23-38 


L(+3) 


0(40) 


12/14 atATL 


L 10-13 


W(+5) 


U(43) 


12/21 vs 


L 24-41 


L(-4) 


0(42) 




L 24-31 


L (-11) 


(39/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsDAL 


L 21-34 


LN/2) 


0(39/) 


9/20 


atBUF 


L 20-33 


L(+4) 


0(41/) 


9/27 


vsNYG 


LO-24 


M+6) 


U(46) 


10/4 


at WAS 


L 13-16 


W (+9/2) 


U (35/) 




at PHI 


L 14-33 


L (+16) 


0(42) 




vsCAR 


L 21-28 


L(+3) 


(40/2) 




vsNWE 


L7-35 


L (+1534) 


U (44/) 


11/8 


vsGNB 


W 38-28 


W (+9/2) 


0(43) 


11/15 


at MIA 


L 23-25 


W (+10) 


0(43) 




vsNOR 


L7-38 


L (+10) 


u (50/) 




atATL 


L 17-20 


W(+13) 


U(46) 


12/6 


at CAR 


L6-16 


L(+3) 


U(40) 




vsNY) 


L3-26 


L(+3/) 


U (36/2) 




at SEA 


W24-7 


W (+6/2) 


U(39) 




at NOR 


w 20-17 


W (+13/2) 


IH48/2) 


1/3 


vsATL 


L 10-20 


L(+3) 


U (41/2) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsCLE 


w 17-14 


P(-3) 


U(37) 


9/19 


at CAR 


W20-7 


W(+4) 


U(38) 




vsPIT 


L 13-38 


L(+3) 


(33/) 




atCIN 


W 24-21 


W (+6/2) 


(38/2) 




vsNOR 


L6-31 


L(+5) 


U(43) 




vsSTL 


W 18-17 


L(-3) 


U(39) 


10/31 


at ARI 


W 38-35 


W(+3) 


0(38) 


11/7 


atATL 


L 21-27 


W (+10) 


(44/2) 


11/14 


vsCAR 


w 31-16 


W(-7) 


0(37) 




atSFO 


W21-0 


W(+3/) 


U(4D 




at BAL 


L 10-17 


W(+7/) 


U (41/2) 


12/5 


vsATL 


L 24-28 


L(+3) 


0(43) 






W 17-16 


P(-l) 


U(41) 




vsDET 


L 20-23 


L(-3Z) 


P(43) 




vsSEA 


w 38-15 


W (-5/2) 


(43/) 


1/2 


at NOR 


w 23-13 


W(+7) 


U (46/2) 



44 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



II ft GftE ,S 

The Cards are still reeling in the post-Kurt Warner Era. They have little 
threat of a passing game, even with superstar WR Larry Fitzgerald. 
And with teams focusing in on the run, they couldn't get their power 
running game going with an interior offensive line that has been 
underwhelming. They'd like to pound it between the tackles, but RB 
Tim Hightower is too fumble prone and Beanie Wells has been injured 
and ineffective. They drafted RB Ryan Williams in the second round 
to add more of a big-play dimension. Defensively, the Cards use a 
3-4 front but still lack a perimeter pass rusher in their linebacking 
corps. What little pass rush they get usually comes on the interior. 
CB Patrick Peterson, the Draft's No. 5 pick, should upgrade a secondary 
that struggled badly last season. 

ST. SJ1S HAMS 

The Rams offense will have a much different look this year, with for- 
mer Denver Broncos head coach (and New England Patriots play-caller 
during their record-setting 2007 season) Josh McDaniels taking over 
as offensive coordinator. Whereas the Rams used an ultra-conserva- 
tive West Coast passing game last year, McDaniels has always run 
an aggressive spread attack. However, he'll have a short offseason to 
install it with second-year QB Sam Bradford. He also has a definite lack 
of weapons in the receiving corps. They'll continue to use RB Steven 
Jackson heavily as they have few options behind him, but Jackson has 
shown signs of wear in the last two seasons. Defensively, head coach 
Steve Spagnuolo has been able to generate a pass rush with DE Chris 
Long and journeymen like James Hall, and they added an athletic pass 
rusher with their first-round pick in DE Robert Quinn. The pass rush 
should help make up for a weak secondary once again. 

SAN FlilCSSCO 49ERS 

The Niners went local with their head coaching search, bringing for- 
mer NFL quarterback Jim Harbaugh over from Stanford University. 
Harbaugh will bring the same offense he ran with the Cardinal: a West 
Coast offense built around the power running game (and an emphasis 
on the running game will be a necessity with the Niners' shaky quar- 
terback situation). They have the necessary size on the offensive line, 
and a bell cow running back in Frank Gore. Harbaugh brought defen- 
sive coordinator Vic Fangio with him and they'll retain the 3-4 scheme 
the Niners used under Mike Singletary. They drafted Aldon Smith sev- 
enth overall to try and generate an outside pass rush. Smith is making 
the switch from defensive end to outside linebacker, so he'll have to 
learn to play in space before he can see significant playing time. They 



PREDICTED STANDINGS NFC WEST 




TEAM W 


L 


St. Louis Rams 9 


...7 




San Francisco 49ers 7 


...9 


Seattle Seahawks 5 


..11 


Arizona Cardinals 4 


..12 





^ /^A 



\sfe 



QB Sam Bradford, the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year, will operate a 
more aggressive offense under new play-caller Josh McDaniels. 



have a good defensive line led by the NFL's best 3-4 lineman, DE Justin 
Smith, who creates pressure and plays the run well, and they'll continue 
to funnel opposing ballcarriers to All-Pro ILB Patrick Willis. The secondary 
is their biggest weakness. 

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 

Despite an NFC West title and a first-round playoff win, the Seahawks are 
making some major changes to their offense. In a surprise move, they 
fired offensive coordinator |eremy Bates and brought in former Minnesota 
Vikings play-caller Darrell Bevell. Bevell's offense won't be drastical- 
ly different, as he's also a West Coast disciple, and with their quarter- 
back situation unsettled they'll likely rely on the running game anyway. 
RB Marshawn Lynch proved to be a capable workhorse late last season 
and in the playoffs, and Leon Washington should be more effective as a 
change-of-pace runner and return specialist in his second year back from 
a broken leg. Defensively, they'll continue to go with Pete Carroll's versa- 
tile, hybrid scheme. They're excellent against the run when both Brandon 
Mebane and Colin Cole are in the lineup, and they have versatile playmak- 
ers in the linebacking corps, led by Aaron Curry and David Hawthorne. 
They have issues covering though, especially on the perimeter. Their col- 
lection of cornerbacks is one of the weakest in the NFL. 



1 
1 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 45 




Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 16.31 (31st toughest) 
2010 Record: 511 (-4.0 ML units), 511 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-6 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.19 (31st toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 8 (#32 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -11.50 (831 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Carolina 


Week 2 


at Washington 


Week 3 


at Seattle 


Week 4 


N.Y. Giants 


Weeks 


at Minnesota 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


Pittsburgh 


Week 8 


at Baltimore 


Week 9 


St. Louis 


Week 10 


at Philadelphia 


Week 11 


at San Francisco 


Week 12 


at St. Louis 


Week 13 


Dallas 


Week 14 


San Francisco 


Week 15 


Cleveland 


Week 16 


at Cincinnati 


Week 17 


Seattle 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

CAROLINA is 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 straight-up against ARIZONA since 2004 
ARIZONA is 6-0 straight-up and 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 2001 
HOME TEAM is 7-3 against the spread in the ARI-SEA series since 2006 
Last seven games are 5-2 UNDER the total in ARI-NYG series since 2001 
UNDERDOG is 5-0 against the spread in the ARI-MIN series since 2001 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in the ARI-PIT series since 1992 

ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus Baltimore since 1992 

Last seven games at ARIZONA are 6-1 UNDER the total in ARI-STL series since 2004 

FAVORITE is 4-2 against the spread in the ARI-PHI series since 2001 

SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA since 2008 

FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in ARI-STL series since 2008 

HOME TEAM is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in the ARI-DAL series since 2001 

SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 against the spread in games at ARIZONA since 2004 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread in the ARI-CLE series since 1992 

ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 

Last seven games at ARIZONA are 7-0 OVER the total in ARI-SEA series 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
vs DIVISION ATS 
vs CONFERENCE ATS 
as FAVORITE ATS 
as UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


5-11 


5-11 


8-8 


12-8 


11-7 


5-11 


46-56 


45-1% 


6-10 


8-8 


9-7 


13-7 


9-8 


5-11 


50-51 


49-5% 


3-1 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


0-4 


3-1 


11-13 


45.8% 


2-5 


4-4 


5-3 


7-3 


5-4 


3-5 


26-24 


52.0% 


4-5 


4-4 


4-4 


6-4 


4-4 


2-6 


24-27 


47.1% 


3-3 


3-3 


3-3 


5-1 


3-3 


1-5 


18-18 


50.0% 


4-8 


6-6 


5-7 


10-5 


7-7 


4-8 


36-41 


46.8% 


4-2 


1-3 


3-4 


8-2 


3-7 


1-3 


20-21 


48.8% 


2-8 


7-5 


6-3 


5-5 


6-1 


4-8 


30-30 


50.0% 


10-6 


10-5 


11-5 


14-6 


7-11 


10-6 


62-39 


61.4% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



ARIZONA is 7-1 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points the last three seasons 
ARIZONA is 11-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pet. > 75%) the last five seasons 
ARIZONA is 17-4 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. the last five seasons 
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread the last two seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


-9.0 


31 


Yardage 


-104.9 


32 


Yds Per Play 


-O.85 


31 


Yds Per Point 


1.10 


20 


Turnovers 


-5 


22 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


18.1 


26 


First Downs 


15.1 


31 


Yards/Game 


268.7 


31 


Yds Per Play 


4.62 


30 


Yds Per Point 


14.88 


13 


RushYds/Game 86.8 


32 


Yards Per Rush 


4-34 


11 


PassAtt/Game 


35-1 


11 


Comp/Game 


17.8 


26 


Completion % 


50.8 


32 


PassYds/Gm 


181.9 


31 


Pass Yds/Att 


5-19 


31 


1 NTs Thrown 


19 


20 


Sacks Allowed 


50 


29 


Att/Sack 


12.2 


27 


Sack Yards 


353 


31 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


27-1 


30 


First Downs 


21.2 


29 


Yards/Game 


373-6 


29 


Yds Per Play 


547 


22 


Yds Per Point 


1377 


26 


RushYds/Gm 


145-2 


30 


Yards Per Rush 


4-42 


20 


PassAtt/Game 


33-3 


16 


Comp/Game 


20.3 
60.8 


14 


1 Comp% 


14 


1 PassYds/Gm 


228.4 


23 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.86 


26 


1 Interceptions 


17 


11 


1 Sacks 


33 


17 


1 Att/Sack 


17-2 


17 


1 Sack Yards 


227 


17 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/10 


atSFO 


L 17-20 


W(+3/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


9/16 


vsSEA 


w 23-20 


W (+2/2) 


(42/2) 


9/23 


at BAL 


L 23-26 


W(+7) 


0(36) 


9/30 


vsPIT 


W 21-14 


W (+5/2) 


U (42/2) 


10/7 


at STL 


W 34-31 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(40) 




vsCAR 


L 10-25 


L(-6) 


U (38/2) 




at WAS 


L 19-21 


W(+8) 


(35/2) 


11/4 


atTAM 


L 10-17 


L(+3) 


U(39) 


11/11 


vsDET 


w 31-21 


W (-2/2) 


0(45) 


11/18 


atCIN 


w 35-27 


W(+3) 


(48/2) 




vsSFO 


L 31-37 


LMO) 


0(37/2) 


12/2 


vsCLE 


w 27-21 


W(-l) 


U(52) 




at SEA 


L 21-42 


L(+8) 


0(44) 


12/16 


at NOR 


L 24-31 


L(+4) 


(49/) 




vsATL 


w 30-27 


L Ml) 


0(44) 




vsSTL 


W 48-19 


W(-6) 


(49/) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


atSFO 


w 23-13 


W (-2/2) 


U (42/2) 


9/14 


vsMIA 


w 31-10 


W(-6) 


(40/2) 




at WAS 


L 17-24 


L(+3) 


u (43/2) 


9/28 


at NY) 


L 35-56 


L (+134) 


(43/2) 


10/5 


vsBUF 


w 41-17 


W(-2) 


(44/2) 




vsDAL 


w 30-24 


W (+4/2) 


(53/2) 




at CAR 


L 23-27 


W(+5) 


(43/2) 


11/2 


at STL 


W 34-13 


W(-3) 


U(49) 




vsSFO 


w 29-24 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


(47/2) 


11/16 


at SEA 


W 26-20 


W(-3) 


U (47/) 


11/23 


vsNYG 


L 29-37 


L(+3) 


0(48) 


11/27 at PHI 


L 20-48 


L(+3) 


0(49) 


12/7 


vsSTL 


W 34-10 


W (-14/2) 


U(48) 




vsMIN 


L 14-35 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 






L7-47 


L(+8) 


0(41) 


12/28 


vsSEA 


W 34-21 


W(-7) 


0(47) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsSFO 


L 16-20 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


9/20 


atJAC 


w 31-17 


W(+3) 


0(44) 


9/27 


vsIND 


L 10-31 


L(-3) 


U (48/2) 




vsHOU 


W 28-21 


W(-6) 


u (50/2) 




at SEA 


W27-3 


W(+3) 


U (45/) 


._....„.„.... 


atNYG 
vsCAR 


w 24-17 

L 21-34 


W (+7/2) 
L(-9/ 2 ) 


U(47) 

(43/2) 


11/8 


at CHI 


w 41-21 


W (+2/2) 


(44/2) 


11/15 


vsSEA 


w 31-20 


W(-8) 


(46/2) 




at STL 


W 21-13 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U (46/2) 




at TEN 


L 17-20 


P(+3) 


U(44) 


12/6 


vsMIN 


w 30-17 


W(+3) 


U(48) 




atSFO 


L9-24 


L(-4) 


U (44/2) 




atDET 


w 31-24 


L (-14) 


(46/2) 




vsSTL 


w 31-10 


W (-16/2) 


U(44) 


1/3 


vsGNB 


L7-33 


L(-3) 


U(42) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


at STL 


w 17-13 


W(-3) 


u (39/2) 


9/19 


atATL 


L741 


L (+6/2) 


0(43) 




vsOAK 


w 24-23 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


0(39) 


10/3 


atSDG 


L 10-41 


L (+10) 


0(47) 




vsNOR 


w 30-20 


W (+6/2) 


(45/2) 




at SEA 


L 10-22 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


U (40/2) 


10/31 


vsTAM 


L 35-38 


L(-3) 


0(38) 


11/7 


atMIN 


L 24-27 


W(+7) 


(42/2) 




vsSEA 


L 18-36 


L(-3) 


0(41) 




at KAN 


L 13-31 


L(+7) 


U(45) 




vsSFO 


L6-27 


U+154) 


U (41/2) 


12/5 


vsSTL 


L6-19 


L(+3) 


U(44) 




vsDEN 


W 43-13 


W(+4) 


(44/2) 




at CAR 


L 12-19 


L (+2)4) 


u (37/2) 




vsDAL 


W 27-26 


W(+7) 


(44/2) 


1/2 


atSFO 


L7-38 


L(+5>4) 


0(39) 



46 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



NFC WEST 



M IKS I 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 6o-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 30-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 19.19 (22nd toughest) 
2010 Record: 7-9 (-0.2 ML units), 10-6 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-10 
2010 Schedule Strength: 16.50 (easiest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 11 (#30 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.62 (#28 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Philadelphia 


Week 2 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 3 


Baltimore 


Week 4 


Washington 


Weeks 


BYE 


Week 6 


at Green Bay 


Week 7 


at Dallas 


Week 8 


New Orleans 


Week 9 


at Arizona 


Week 10 


at Cleveland 


Week 11 


Seattle 


Week 12 


Arizona 


Week 13 


at San Francisco 


Week 14 


at Seattle 


Week 15 


Cincinnati 


Week 16 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 17 


San Francisco 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 against the spread versus ST. LOUIS since 1992 
NY GIANTS are 5-0 against the spread and 4-1 straight-up against ST. LOUIS since 2001 
FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and 4-0 straight-up in BAL-STL series since 1992 
UNDERDOG is 9-3 against the spread and 8-4 straight-up in STL-WAS series since 1992 

FAVORITE is 9-3 against the spread and ll-i straight-up in GB-STL series since 1992 
UNDERDOG is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in DAL-STL series since 1992 
Last 13 games at ST. LOUIS are 10-3 OVER the total in NO-STL series since 1992 
Last seven games at ARIZONA are 6-1 UNDER the total in ARI-STL series since 2004 
FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in CLE-STL series since 1992 
SEATTLE is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up against ST. LOUIS since 2007 
FAVORITE is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 straight-up in ARI-STL series since 2008 
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-12 against the spread versus ST. LOUIS since 1992 
SEATTLE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up at home against ST. LOUIS since 2007 
ST. LOUIS is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992 
Last four games are 3-1 OVER the total in PIT-STL series since 1992 
Last five games at ST. LOUIS are 4-1 UNDER the total in STL-SF series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


6-10 


8-8 


3-13 


2-14 


1-15 


7-9 


27-69 


28.1% 


5-11 


9-7 


5-11 


6-10 


7-9 


10-6 


42-54 


43.8% 


3-1 


0-4 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


13-11 


54-2% 


2-6 


4-4 


2-6 


3-5 


3-5 


5-3 


19-29 


39.6% 


3-5 


5-3 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


5-3 


23-25 


47-9% 


1-5 


3-3 


2-4 


1-5 


1-5 


4-2 


12-24 


33-3% 


3-9 


7-5 


4-8 


4-8 


5-7 


7-5 


30-42 


417% 


2-6 


4-4 


2-2 


0-0 


0-0 


3-2 


11-14 


44-0% 


3-5 


5-3 


3-9 


6-10 


7-9 


7-4 


31-40 


437% 


9-7 


8-7 


6-8 


7-8 


7-9 


6-10 


43-49 


46.7% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



ST. LOUIS is 13-2 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pet. 25% to 40%) the last five seasons 
ST. LOUIS is 9-2 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game the last five seasons 
ST. LOUIS is 1-7 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games the last three seasons 
ST. LOUIS is 0-7 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-2.4 


19 


Yardage 


-33-9 


24 


Yds Per Play 


-O.69 


29 


Yds Per Point 


0.34 


17 


Turnovers 


+5 


10 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


18.1 


27 


First Downs 


18.3 


22 


Yards/Game 


302.9 


26 


Yds Per Play 


4.60 


31 


Yds Per Point 


16.77 


26 


RushYds/Gm 


98.6 


25 


Yards Per Rush 


3.68 


31 


PassAtt/Game 


36.9 


6 


Comp/Game 


22.1 


9 


Completion % 


60.0 


20 


PassYds/Gm 


204.3 


21 


Pass Yds/Att 


5-54 


30 


1 NTs Thrown 


15 


13 


Sacks Allowed 


34 


15 


Att/Sack 


18.4 


12 


Sack Yards 


244 


21 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


20.5 


12 


First Downs 


19.0 


16 


Yards/Game 


336.8 


19 


Yds Per Play 


5-29 


17 


Yds Per Point 


16.43 


11 


RushYds/Gm 


113.1 


17 


Yards Per Rush 


448 


22 


PassAtt/Game 


35-7 


24 


Comp/Game 


20.5 


17 


Comp % 


57-4 


7 


PassYds/Gm 


223.6 


19 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.27 


10 


Interceptions 


14 


19 


Sacks 


43 


7 


Att/Sack 


14-3 


9 


Sack Yards 


290 


6 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsCAR 


L 13-27 


L(-lfc) 


U(43) 


9/16 


vsSFO 


L 16-17 


L(-3) 


U(44) 


9/23 


atTAM 


L3-24 


L(+3K) 


U(39) 


9/30 


at DAL 


L7-35 


L (+13) 


U(47) 


10/7 


vsARI 


L 31-34 


W (+3/2) 


0(40) 




at BAL 


L3-22 


L(+9) 


U (36/2) 




at SEA 


L6-33 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


P(39) 




vsCLE 


L 20-27 


L(+3) 


(46/2) 


11/11 


at NOR 


w 37-29 


W (+10) 


0(47) 


11/18 


atSFO 


W13-9 


W(-3) 


U(39) 




vsSEA 


L 19-24 


L(+3) 


U(46) 


12/2 


vsATL 


W 28-16 


W(-3) 


0(40) 




atCIN 


L 10-19 


W (+10) 


u (45/2) 


12/16 


vsGNB 


L 14-33 


L(+7) 


P(47) 




vsPIT 


L 24-41 


L(+8) 


0(43) 




at ARI 


L 19-48 


L(+6) 


(49/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


at PHI 


L3-38 


L(+9) 


u (43/2) 


9/14 


vsNYG 


L 13-41 


M+7/2) 


(43/2) 




at SEA 


L 13-37 


L(+8) 


0(45) 


9/28 


vsBUF 


L 14-31 


L(+9) 


0(44) 




at WAS 


w 19-17 


W (+11/2) 


U(44) 




vsDAL 


W 34-14 


W(+8) 


(45/2) 




atNWE 


L 16-23 


W(+9) 


11(41) 


11/2 


vsARI 


L 13-34 


L(+3) 


U(49) 


11/9 


at NY) 


L3-47 


L (+9/2) 


(43/2) 


11/16 


atSFO 


L 16-35 


L(+7) 


(43/2) 




vsCHI 


L3-27 


L(+7) 


U (44/2) 




vsMIA 


L 12-16 


W(+7) 


U (44/2) 


12/7 


at ARI 


L 10-34 


L (+14/2) 


U(48) 




vsSEA 


L 20-23 


K+1/2) 


P(43) 




vsSFO 


L 16-17 


W(+3) 


U(42) 


12/28 


atATL 


L 27-31 


W (+14) 


(44/2) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


at SEA 


LO-28 


L(+7) 


11(41) 


9/20 


at WAS 


L7-9 


W (+10) 


U(37) 


9/27 


vsGNB 


L 17-36 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 


10/4 


atSFO 


LO-35 


L(+9) 


11(36) 




vsMIN 


L 10-38 


L(+10) 


(40/2) 




atJAC 


L 20-23 


W (+9/2) 


0(42) 




vsIND 


L6-42 


L(+14) 


0(45) 


11/1 


atDET 


w 17-10 


W(+3) 


u (43/2) 


11/15 


vsNOR 


L 23-28 


W (+14) 


(50/2) 




vsARI 


L 13-21 


W (+8/2) 


U (46/2) 




vsSEA 


L 17-27 


L(+3) 


(42/2) 


12/6 


at CHI 


L9-17 


W(+9) 


U(41) 




at TEN 


L7-47 


L(+14) 


0(40) 




vsHOU 


L 13-16 


W (+14) 


u (43/2) 




at ARI 


L 10-31 


L (+-1634) 


U(44) 


1/3 


vsSFO 


L6-28 


L(+7) 


U(39) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsARI 


L 13-17 


L(+3) 


u (39/2) 


9/19 


at OAK 


L 14-16 


W(+3) 


u (37/2) 




vsWAS 


W 30-16 


W(+5) 


0(39) 


10/3 


vsSEA 


W20-3 


W(+2) 


u (39/2) 




atDET 


L6-44 


L(+3) 


(43/2) 




vsSDG 


w 20-17 


W (+8/2) 


U(45) 




atTAM 


L 17-18 


W(+3) 


U(39) 




vsCAR 


W 20-10 


W(-3) 


u (37/2) 




atSFO 


L 20-23 


W(+5) 


0(38) 




vsATL 


L 17-34 


L(+3) 


0(43) 




at DEN 


W 36-33 


W(+3) 


(46/2) 


12/5 


at ARI 


W19-6 


W(-3) 


U(44) 




at NOR 


L 13-31 


L (+9)4) 


u (47/2) 




vsKAN 


L 13-27 


L(-3) 


U(43) 




vsSFO 


w 25-17 


W (-2/2) 


0(40) 


1/2 


at SEA 


L6-16 


L(-3) 


U(43) 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 47 



NFC WEST 



r* 



SaJ 



'-■ 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: 40-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 20-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 16.00 (easiest) 
2010 Record: 6-10 (-6.4 ML units), 7-9 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-6-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.31 (30th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 17 (#22 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.81 (#19 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


Seattle 


Week 2 


Dallas 


Week 3 


at Cincinnati 


Week 4 


at Philadelphia 


Weeks 


Tampa Bay 


Week 6 


at Detroit 


Week 7 


BYE 


Week 8 


Cleveland 


Week 9 


at Washington 


Week 10 


N.Y. Giants 


Week 11 


Arizona 


Week 12 


at Baltimore 


Week 13 


St. Louis 


Week 14 


at Arizona 


Week 15 


Pittsburgh 


Week 16 


at Seattle 


Week 17 


at St. Louis 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up at SAN FRANCISCO in SF-SEA series since 2007 

Last 12 games are 9-3 OVER the total in DAL-SF series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 5-0 straight-up in CIN-SF series since 1992 

PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN FRANCISCO since 2004 

UNDERDOG is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 straight-up at SAN FRANCISCO in SF-TB series since 1992 

SAN FRANCISCO is 7-2 against the spread and 10-1 straight-up against DETROIT since 1992 

CLEVELAND is 3-0 against the spread and straight-up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992 

FAVORITE is 9-0 straight-up in SF-WAS series since 1992 

NY GIANTS are 5-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 2001 

SAN FRANCISCO is 5-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA since 2008 

HOME TEAM is 3-0 against the spread in BAL-SF series since 1992 

SAN FRANCISCO is 24-12 against the spread versus ST. LOUIS since 1992 

SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 against the spread in games at ARIZONA since 2004 

FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and straight-up in PIT-SF series since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in SF-SEA series since 2009 

Last five games at ST. LOUIS are 4-1 UNDER the total in STL-SF series since 2006 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR»/o 


4-12 


7-9 


5-11 


7-9 


8-8 


6-10 


37-59 


38.5% 


8-8 


9-7 


5-11 


7-8 


9-4 


7-9 


45-47 


48.9% 


4-0 


2-2 


2-2 


2-2 


1-3 


3-0 


14-9 


60.9% 


5-3 


4-4 


3-5 


3-4 


5-2 


4-3 


24-21 


53-3% 


3-5 


5-3 


2-6 


4-4 


4-2 


3-6 


21-26 


44.7% 


3-3 


5-1 


2-4 


3-3 


5-1 


3-3 


21-15 


58.3% 


6-6 


7-5 


3-9 


4-7 


7-3 


5-7 


32-37 


46.4% 


1-0 


1-2 


0-1 


2-2 


5-1 


5-6 


14-12 


53-8% 


7-8 


8-5 


5-10 


5-6 


4-3 


2-3 


31-35 


47-0% 


10-6 


9-7 


6-10 


8-7 


5-11 


9-6 


47-47 


50.0% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. the last two seasons 
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS off a loss against a division rival the last five seasons 
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points the last five seasons 
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS against NFC East division opponents the last five seasons 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 


SANK 


Scoring 


-2.5 


20 


Yardage 


-14.4 


21 


Yds Per Play 


0.22 


11 


Yds Per Point 


1.28 


24 


Turnovers 


-1 


15 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Scored 


19.1 


24 


First Downs 


15-7 


30 


Yards/Game 


313.3 


24 


Yds Per Play 


5-30 


17 


Yds Per Point 


16.44 


25 


RushYds/Gm 


103.6 


19 


Yards Per Rush 


4-13 


17 


PassAtt/Game 


31.3 


22 


Comp/Game 


17.6 


27 


Completion % 


56.4 


29 


PassYds/Gm 


209.8 


18 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.71 


14 


1 NTs Thrown 


15 


13 


Sacks Allowed 


44 


26 


Att/Sack 


12.4 


26 


Sack Yards 


257 


22 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


SANK 


Points Allowec 


21.6 


16 


First Downs 


18.7 


15 


Yards/Game 


327.7 


13 


Yds Per Play 


5.08 


8 


Yds Per Point 


15.15 


15 


RushYds/Gm 


96.7 


6 


Yards Per Rush 


346 


2 


PassAtt/Game 


34-4 


22 


Comp/Game 


22.4 
651 


26 


1 Comp% 


30 


1 PassYds/Gm 


231.O 


24 


1 Pass Yds/Att 


6.72 


21 


1 Interceptions 


15 


17 


1 Sacks 


36 


14 


1 Att/Sack 


16.3 


14 


1 Sack Yards 


244 


15 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/10 


vsARI 


w 20-17 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


9/16 


at STL 


W 17-16 


W(+3) 


U(44) 


9/23 


at PIT 


L 16-37 


L (+10) 


0(37/2) 


9/30 


vsSEA 


L3-23 


L (+134) 


U(40) 


10/7 


vsBAL 


L7-9 


W(+4) 


U (34/) 




atNYG 


L 15-33 


L(+9)4) 
L(+2) 


0(39) 




vsNOR 


L 10-31 


(39/2) 


11/4 


atATL 


L 16-20 


L(+3fc) 


U(37) 


11/12 


at SEA 


LO-24 


L (+8/2) 


u (37/2) 




vsSTL 


L9-13 


L(+3) 


U(39) 




atARI 


w 37-31 


W (+10) 


(37/2) 


12/2 


at CAR 


L 14-31 


L(+3) 


0(35) 




vsMIN 


L7-27 


L(+7K) 


U(39) 


12/15 


vsCIN 


W 20-13 


W(+8) 


U(43) 




vsTAM 


w 21-19 


W (+6/2) 


(36/2) 




at CLE 


L7-20 


L (+H/2) 


U(41) 



2008 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



2009 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2010 OPP SCORE 



ATS TOTAL 



9/7 vs ARI 

9/14 atSEA 

9/21 vs DET 

9/28 at 

10/5'^vs 
10/12 vs PHI 
10/19'atNYG" 

11/10 atARI 

11/16 "vs STL 

11/23 a- 
11/30 ' at BUf" " 

12/7 vs NY) 

12/14 at 
12/21 at STL 
12/28 "vs WAS 



L 13-23 



W 33-30 

w 31-13 



L(+2/ 2 ) 
W(+6J 



U (42/2) 
0(38) 



L17-31 

L 21-30 



W(-4/ 2 ) 
L(+4) 
L(+3) 



U(47) 



L 26-40 



L 17-29 



Ll3 : 34 
L24-29' 



L(+5) 
L (+10) 

L(-5/ 2 ) 



0(41) 
U (47) 



9/13 at ARI 
9/20 vs 

9/27 at 

10/4 vsSTL 
10/11 vsATL 
10/25 at HOU 



W 20-16 



W 23-10 
L 24-27 



W (+4/2) 

"w(-i) 



U(45) 



W35-0 

[10-45' 



W (+6/2) 

W(-9) 

L(pkj 



0(39) 
U(36) 



L 21-24 P (+3) (44/2) 



W 35-16 
L 22-35 



W (+9/2) 

"w'(-7) 

L(+954J 



(47/2) 



WlO-3 
W 24-14 



L9-14 
W17-I6 
W 27-24 



W (+6/2) 

""w"(+5J 

"w"(+5%j' 



L(-3) 
P(-3) 



U(43) 

U(41) 
0(42) 



11/1 atlND 

11/8 vsTEN 

11/12 vs CHI 
11/22 at 

!2/6^™atSEA™ 
12/14 vs 

12/20 at PHI 

12/27 vsDET 
1/3 atSTL 



L 14-18 



L 27-34 
WiO-6" 



W(+l2 1 / 2 ) 
L(-4) 



U(45) 



L 24-30 
w'20-3" 



W(-3) 
P (+6) 

W(-3) 



U(43) 
U(42) 



9/12 at SEA 
9/20 vs 

9/26 at 

10/3^atATL] 

1 11 : vs PHI 
10/17 vs 

li/14 vsSTL 

11/21 VS 

11/29 at ARI 



L6-31 



L22-25 
L 10-31 



L(-3) 

W (+4/2) 



P(37) 



L 14-16 
..„._... 

W17-9" 



L(-3) 
W(+7J 
L(-3) 



0(38) 
U(42) 

139%) 
U(41) 



L 20-23 

W'2446" 



W 23-20 
LO-21 



LM/2) 

W(-2) 
L(-5) 



(35/2) 

11(41) 
0(38) 



W27-6 



L(-3/ 2 ) 



11(41) 
U (41/2) 



L 17-20 
W 24-9 



L 13-27 

W20-6 

w'28-6' 



L(+l) 

W"(+4J 
'L(+7) 



P(-14) 
W(-7) 



U(4l) 

ufii) 

U(39) 



12/5 atGNB 
12/12 vsSEA 



L 16-34 L(+8/ 2 ) 0(41) 



W 40-21 W (-4/2) (42) 



12/16 atSDG 

12/26 atSTL 

1/2 vs ARI 



L7-34 



L 17-25 
W38-7 



L(+10) 

L(+2/ 2 ) 
W (-5/2) 



U (44/2) 
(40) 
0(39) 



48 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



NFC WEST 



IS 



Sportsbook.com odds to win SB XLVI: loo-to-i 
Sportsbook.com odds to win NFC Title: 50-to-i 
2011 Schedule Strength: 16.94 (30th toughest) 
2010 Record: 8-10 (+2.2 ML units), 8-10 ATS 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 13-4-1 
2010 Schedule Strength: 17.78 (26th toughest) 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 13 (#27 of 32) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -9.04 (#29 of 32) 



2011 SCHEDULE 


Weeki 


at San Francisco 


Week 2 


at Pittsburgh 


Week 3 


Arizona 


Week 4 


Atlanta 


Weeks 


at N.Y. Giants 


Week 6 


BYE 


Week 7 


at Cleveland 


Week 8 


Cincinnati 


Week 9 


at Dallas 


Week 10 


Baltimore 


Week 11 


at St. Louis 


Week 12 


Washington 


Week 13 


Philadelphia 


Week 14 


St. Louis 


Week 15 


at Chicago 


Week 16 


San Francisco 


Week 17 


at Arizona 



SERIES TRENDS / NOTES 

FAVORITE is 3-1 against the spread and straight-up at SAN FRANCISCO in SF-SEA series since 2007 

SEATTLE is 5-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 7-3 against the spread in the ARI-SEA series since 2006 

Last five games are 4-1 OVER the total in ATL-SEA series since 2001 

FAVORITE is 3-0 against the spread and straight-up in NYG-SEA series since 2006 

FAVORITE is 4-0 against the spread and 5-0 straight-up in CLE-SEA series since 1992 

CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread at SEATTLE since 1992 

DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE since 1992 

HOME TEAM is 2-0 against the spread and 3-0 straight-up in BAL-SEA series since 1992 

SEATTLE is 7-1 against the spread and straight-up against ST. LOUIS since 2007 

FAVORITE is 4-1 against the spread and 5-1 straight-up at SEATTLE in SEA-WAS series since 1992 

ROAD TEAM is 6-2 against the spread and 7-1 straight-up in PHI-SEA series since 1992 

SEATTLE is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up at home against ST. LOUIS since 2007 

Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CHI-SEA series since 2001 

HOME TEAM is 4-0 against the spread and straight-up in SF-SEA series since 2009 

Last seven games at ARIZONA are 7-0 OVER the total in ARI-SEA series 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS (INCLUDES POST-SEASON RESULTS) 


SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
PRESEASON ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 
VS DIVISION ATS 
VS CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 


200S 


2006 


2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


6-YR TOTAL 


6-YR /o 


15-4 


10-8 


11-7 


4-12 


5-11 


8-10 


53-52 


50.5% 


11-7 


7-10 


10-7 


7-8 


6-10 


8-10 


49-52 


48.5% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


4-0 


4-0 


0-3 


15-8 


65.2% 


8-2 


4-4 


7-1 


3-4 


5-3 


6-3 


33-17 


66.0% 


3-5 


3-6 


3-6 


4-4 


1-7 


2-7 


16-35 


314% 


5-1 


1-5 


5-1 


3-3 


3-3 


4-2 


21-15 


58.3% 


9-4 


4-9 


9-5 


4-7 


4-8 


7-7 


37-40 


48.1% 


10-4 


3-8 


9-4 


2-1 


5-2 


2-1 


31-20 


60.8% 


1-3 


4-2 


1-3 


5-7 


1-8 


6-9 


18-32 


36.0% 


11-8 


10-8 


9-8 


7-7 


7-9 


13-4 


57-44 


56.4% 



STATF0X.COM POWER TRENDS 



SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games the last five seasons 
SEATTLE is 11-2 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=285 yards/game the last five seasons 
SEATTLE is 3-15 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game the last three seasons 
SEATTLE is 1-15 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. the last five seasons 



2007-2010 GAME LOGS 





2010 STATS/RANK 


DIFFERENTIALS 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Scoring 


-6.0 


28 


Yardage 


-70.9 


30 


Yds Per Play 


-0.55 


26 


Yds Per Point 


0.88 


18 


Turnovers 


-9 


27 


OFFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Scored 


194 


23 


First Downs 


16.3 


28 


Yards/Game 


2977 


28 


Yds Per Play 


4-94 


29 


Yds Per Point 


15.36 


17 


RushYds/Gm 


89.O 


31 


Yards Per Rush 


3-70 


30 


PassAtt/Game 


34-0 


15 


Comp/Game 


20.3 


17 


Completion % 


59-6 


21 


PassYds/Gm 


208.7 


19 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.14 


26 


1 NTs Thrown 


20 


23 


Sacks Allowed 


35 


16 


Att/Sack 


16.5 


15 


Sack Yards 


194 


9 


DEFENSE 


NO. 1 


IANK 


Points Allowec 


25-4 


25 


First Downs 


19.6 


20 


Yards/Game 


368.6 


27 


Yds Per Play 


549 


24 


Yds Per Point 


14.49 


18 


RushYds/Gm 


118.9 


21 


Yards Per Rush 


4.21 


15 


PassAtt/Game 


36.6 


28 


Comp/Game 


21.2 


21 


Comp % 


58.0 


9 


PassYds/Gm 


249-6 


27 


Pass Yds/Att 


6.83 


25 


Interceptions 


12 


25 


Sacks 


37 


13 


Att/Sack 


16.8 


16 


Sack Yards 


246 


13 



2007 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/9 


vsTAM 


W20-6 


W(-6) 


U (40/2) 


9/16 


at ARI 


L 20-23 


L(-2%) 


(42/2) 


9/23 


vsCIN 


W 24-21 


P(-3) 


U(49) 


9/30 


atSFO 


W23-3 


W (-1/2) 


U(40) 


10/7 


at PIT 


LO-21 


L(+5) 


U(41) 




vsNOR 


L 17-28 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


0(43) 




vsSTL 


W33-6 


W(-7/ 2 ) 


P(39) 


11/4 


at CLE 


L 30-33 


LK/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 


11/12 


vsSFO 


W24-O 


W (-8/2) 


u (37/2) 


11/18 


vsCHI 


w 30-23 


W(-6) 


0(37/2) 




at STL 


w 24-19 


W(-3) 


U (46) 


12/2 


at PHI 


W 28-24 


W(+3) 


(40/2) 




vsARI 


W 42-21 


W(-8) 


0(44) 


12/16 


at CAR 


L 10-13 


L(7) 


U(37) 




vsBAL 


W27-6 


w (-13) 


U (38/2) 




at ATL 


L 41-44 


L(-2) 


(38/2) 



2008 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/7 


at BUF 


L 10-34 


L (+2K) 


0(37/) 


9/14 


vsSFO 


L 30-33 


L(6) 


0(38) 




vsSTL 


w 37-13 


W(-8) 


0(45) 


10/5 


atNYG 


L6-44 


L(+6) 


(43/2) 




vsGNB 


L 17-27 


L(+l) 


P(44) 




atTAM 


L 10-20 


W (+11) 


U(40) 




atSFO 


W 34-13 


W (+5/2) 


(41/2) 


11/2 


vsPHI 


L7-26 


L(+7) 


U(44) 


11/9 


at MIA 


L 19-21 


W (+7/2) 


U (41/2) 


11/16 


vsARI 


L 20-26 


L(+3) 


U (47/) 




vsWAS 


L 17-20 


P(+3) 


U(40) 




at DAL 


L9-34 


L (+11/2) 


U(46) 


12/7 


vsNWE 


L 21-24 


W (+7/2) 


0(43) 




at STL 


w 23-20 


W (-1/2) 


P(43) 




vs NY) 


W13-3 


W (+3/2) 


U (41/2) 


12/28 


at ARI 


L 21-34 


L(+7) 


0(47) 



2009 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/13 


vsSTL 


W28-0 


W(-7) 


11(41) 


9/20 


atSFO 


L 10-23 


L(+l) 


U (38/2) 


9/27 


vsCHI 


L 19-25 


L(+3) 


0(37/) 


10/4 


atlND 


L 17-34 


L (+10) 


0(43) 




vsJAC 


W41-O 


W(-2) 


U(44) 




vsARI 


L3-27 


L(-3) 


U (45/) 


11/1 


at DAL 


L 17-38 


L (+10) 


(46/2) 


11/8 


vsDET 


w 32-20 


W (-11) 


(41/2) 


11/15 


at ARI 


L 20-31 


L(+8) 


(46/2) 




at MIN 


L9-35 


L (+10/2) 


U(47) 




at STL 


w 27-17 


W(-3) 


(42/2) 


12/6 


vsSFO 


W 20-17 


W(-l) 


U(41) 




atHOU 


L7-34 


L(+7) 


U(45) 




vsTAM 


L7-24 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(39) 




atGNB 


L IO-48 


L(+13) 


(43/) 


1/3 


vsTEN 


L 13-17 


W (+5/2) 


U(46) 



2010 


OPP 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


vsSFO 


W31-6 


W(+3) 


P(37) 


9/19 


at DEN 


L 14-31 


L(+3) 


0(41) 




vsSDG 


w 27-20 


W (+3/2) 


0(44) 


10/3 


at STL 


L3-20 


L(-2) 


U (39/) 




at CHI 


w 23-20 


W(+6) 


(37/) 




vsARI 


W 22-10 


W (-6/2) 


U (40/2) 




at OAK 


L3-33 


L(+2) 


U(40) 


11/7 


vsNYG 


L7-41 


L(+7) 


(40/2) 




at ARI 


W 36-18 


W(+3) 


0(41) 




at NOR 


L 19-34 


L (+11) 


(44/) 




vsKAN 


L 24-42 


L(+154) 


(45/) 


12/5 


vsCAR 


W 31-14 


W(-5) 


(40/2) 




atSFO 


L 21-40 


L (+4/2) 


0(42) 




vsATL 


L 18-34 


L(+5Z) 


(46/2) 




atTAM 


L 15-38 


L (+5/2) 


(43/) 


1/2 


vsSTL 


W16-6 


W(+3) 


U(43) 



I 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 49 



2010 NFL OFFENSIVE TEAM STATS 



TOTAL YARDS PER GAME 

l San_Djego_Chargers 395.6 

2.....PMadelp.hia [.Eagles 3894 

3 JdP_y-?tpjiT?A3i]s 386.6 

4 J n dj a n a p q lis Co It s 380,8 

5..... New York ; Giants 3803 

_______ New .Orleans .Saints 372.5 

Z„.„Pa]ias__Cowboys 3643 

8.....New_England [.Patriots 363,8 

9 GxeejT_Bay_^ckere 358.1 

iP_.__OaWand_Rajder_s 354.6 

l 1 .... New _YorkJets 351.0 

i2.„Kan_MS_aty_Ch[efs 3497 

13... Denver Broncos ...348.8 

14 _ _ _ Pjtt s b u rg h Ste e le rs 3453 

i5___Atlanta Fal ? Qp5 3^ 

.^....Jacksonville Jaguars 340.8 

1 7_ _ _ _ P _? X C q it Lions 338,9 

i8...Washingtq_n.Re^ 335.9 
i9____Tarnpa Bay .Buccaneers 335.1 

20 Cjncinati .Bengals 3305 

2. 1 -.-.MiaMP.p]phjns 323,1 

_??____ Baltimore Ray^ ...3.22,9 

23...Mi.nnesota i_Vikj_ngs 314,9 

24.-.San_Frands_cp_49er_s_ 313,3 

25...B.ufFalg Bills 354,5 

26___St. Louis Rams 302,9 

27...TennesseeJit_a_ns 302,1 

28... Seattle Seahayyks 297,7 

29... .Cleveland I B.rpvyns ... ...289,8 

3 _ _ _ Chicago Bears 289,4 

_3 1 _ _ . A rizq n a .Cardinals 268,7 

32 Carolina Panthers 258.4 




i_____N_ew .England Patriots 32,4 

2 San Diegc ".Chargers 27,6 

3_____Phj_l_ad_elphia i_Eaflle_s 27,4 

4 Jndjanapqlis Colts 27,2 

5 Atlanta Falcons 25,9 
6......QaWand.Rajdere 25,6 

Z.....M.l.3.s.Coyy^ 24,6 

Nevy. York Giants 24,6 

9.....Houstgn_Texa_ns_ 24,4 

ip-..-G.reen .Bay .Packers 24,3 

l. 1 ....New..0r leans .Saints ...24,0 

1 _ 2 _ _ _ _ PJ tt s b u r g h Steele r s 23,4 
.i3...NewYqrkJets 22,9 

.i4.._.Kan.sas.CjtyChlefe 22,9 

15 ... Detroit Lions 22,6 

i5___ Baltimore Ravens .22,3 

.iZ...Tennessee Titans 22,3 

.^...Jacksonville Jaguars 22,1 

i9...P.enyeL.Broncos 21,5 

2P....Tampa.B.ay_B.u_ccanee 21,3 

.2i....C.h.icag_o. Bears 20,9 

22... Cjncinati .Bengals ...20,1 

23...Se_attle .S.eahavyks 194 

24...San.Franci_s_cp_49ers 19,1 

25....Washingto_n.Redsk^ ...18.9 

26...Arizpn_a_C_ardj_nals 18,1 

St, Louis Rams 18.1 

28 Buffalo Mis 1.7,7 

2 9 _ _ _ Minn e s qt a V [kings 17.6 
3P-..-MLaM.P.o]phjns 17,1 
_3 1 _ _ _ C jey e la n d B rqvy n s 16.9 
32 Carolina Panthers 123 



I San Diego Chargers 6.09 
2.....Houstpn _Texans_ 6.01 
3.....Ph.i.la.d.e_lp_hia i_Eagles 6.00 
4.....New_E_ngland [Patriots 5.90 
5_____ N_ew York ; Giants 5,88 

^.....A^.^^y..?.^^. 5,73 

Z_____ Dallas Coyybqys 5.63 

8......Ta!IlPllay_Bu_ccane_e_r_s_ 5,61 

9 Jndjanapqlis Colts 5,59 

lP.....N.ew Orleans Saints 5,59 

I I _ _ _ PJ tt s b u r g h Steele r s 5.56 
.i2...Denyer Broncos 5,48 
.y.....QaklaM!?ajders 5,46 
i4___Wash/[ngtpn_Redskins 5,36 
I5__jacksqnyille Jaguars 5,35 
.i6__.Tennessee^ Titans 5,33 
i7_.__S.3n Franciscq 49ers 5.30 
.i8...K.ansas City Chiefs 5,26 
i9....New.Yprk_|ets 5,17 
2p....MLnnespta [Vikings ___5,_i_3_ 
21 ....Buffalo Bills 5.11 
22... Detroit. Lions 5.10 
23... Baltimore Ravens 5.07 

24 Cjncinati .Bengals 5.06 

25...C_leyeland _ Browns 5,00 

2_6.__Atlanta£alcons 4,98 

2Z___MiamJ Dolphins ...4,97 

28...Ch.icago Bears 4.95 

29...Seattle .S.eahavyks 4.94 

3.P....Ari.z_ona Cardinals 4,62 

3i.._St-_JLoui_s .Rams 4.60 

32 Carolina Panthers 430 



50 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2010 NFL OFFENSIVE TEAM STATS 



SACKS ALLOWED 

l Jndjanapolis Colts 16 

_._ New York ;G_iants___ 16 

3..... Atlanta Falcons 23 

4. ....New England [.Patriots 25 

5.....New .Orleans .Saints 26 

6 Detcpit Lions 27 

Tennessee Titans 27 

8 Cjnc[nati Bengals 28 

New York Jets 28 

l9..jA^^3.^y3.\\^.I]^3. 30 

-U....P3ll3 s .Cpwbpys 32 

HpustonTexans ^ 

Kansas City Chiefs 32 

14... Buffalo Bills 33 

i5...St, Louis Rams 34 

1 6 _ _ _ Cjeye la n d B ro vy n s 35 

Mmnespta [Vikings 35 

Seattle .Seahavyks 35 

i9__Jacksonyille Jaguars 37 

^9....^L^j}3^y..??^ji 38 

MLaMPPJphjns 3.8 

San Diego Chargers 38 

23... .Baltimore [Ravens 40 

Denver .Broncos 40 

_? 5 _ _ _ Pj tt s b u r g h Steele r s 43 

26___0akland Raiders 44 

San .Francisco 49ers 44 

.^....Washington [.Redskins 46 

29___Anzona Cardinals 50 

Carolina Panthers 50 

Philadelphia [.Eagles 50 

32_..C.hj_cago Bears 55 




1 San Diego Chargers 33:02 

2......Atla_nta [.Falcons 32:47 

3.....N.ew.Yprk lets 32:37 

4......New.Yprk.Giants 32:32 

5 Pj tt s b u r g h Steele r s 32:24 

.6......New.P_rleans .Saints 32:05 

7„...Gxe^..?ay-Pa?Ke!5. 32:01 

8 Oakland .Raiders 31:57 

9 Jacksonyille Jaguars 31:48 

1P____ Kansas Cit> [Chiefs 3.1:3.8 

i. 1 ....P.al.la.sCqw^ 31:24 

1 2 _ _ _ B a It i mo re Rave n s 31:20 

13... Phjjadelphia Eagles 31:14 

i4...Cincinati Bengals 31:13 

i5....St_, Louis Rams 31:01 

1 6 _ _ _ M j 3_n?j_ _P_ lp h j n s ...3.0:53 
i7.....Ta.[Ilpa.Bay .Bu.ccane.ers__..__3p:48 

i?„_ML!l!l?sP-t a -M!yM?-.-. 30:24 

l^ Jndjanapolis -Colts 29:54 

20... Detroit. Lions 29:47 

2_i____Hpu^ 29:32 

22...Ch.icagp Bears 29:30 

23....New..E_ngland [.Patriots 29:24 

.24...Washingtpn [.Redskins 28:50 

25_..__San Francisco 49ers 28:46 

26... Buffalo J Bills 28:35 

2Z...C.ley.elandM 28:21 
28....Denyer Broncos 28:09 

29...Seattle Seahavyks 27:32 

3Q___CarpJjna_Panthers 27:24 

3L..A.[i.?Pn.a.Cardinals 26:22 

32 Tennessee Titans 26:01 



l.....N.ew..Qlleans .Saints 48.9% 

2.....New.En.glanlPatripts^ 

3 Atlanta [.Falcons 467% 

4 San Diego Chargers 44,9% 

5 jndjanapolis Colts 44,6% 

6 _ _ _ _ _ Pj tt s b u r g In Steele r s 43.1% 

7 Jarnp.a Bay J Buccaneers 42,2% 
8......G.r.eenBayPack^ 41.5% 

9...„H9.y?tonI?A31]. s _ 41.2% 

1 P_ _ _ _ _P ajja s _Co w b oy s 40.8% 

l 1 ....M[pitLipns 40.1% 

i2...M_iamj .Dolphins 4p,p% 

i3__Ja_cksonyille Jaguars 39,9% 

i4___PJ?jJa_delph|a Eagles 397% 

15... New .Yprkjets 39,6% 

l6...MM9re.MY- e .ns 39,1% 

i7___Cjncinati Bengals 38,8% 

l8...Malo.Bj.l.ls 37,9% 

1 9 _ _ _ _C ley elan d B r w_n s 37,1% 

2Q___ Kansas City Chiefs 36.7% 

21... New .York Giants 35,9% 

22___Seattje S.eahaw^ 35.5% 

23...Tennessee Titans 34,8% 

24 _ _ . Mj .0 n e sqt_a .Vikings 34,6% 

25...0akland Raiders 34.1% 

26... St.. Louis Rams 33,2% 

27...C.hjcagp Bears 32,8% 

28... Denver .Broncos 32.4% 

29... San .Francisco 4gers_ 31,9% 

3P_ Carolina .Panthers 304% 

3.1... Washington [.Redskins 29,3% 

32 Arizona Cardinals 27.8% 



n 
n' 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 51 



2010 NFL DEFENSIVE TEAM STATS 



YARDS ALLOWED PER GAME 

l San_Djego_Chargers 271.6 

2_____ Pittsburg. 1 ?. Steelers 276.8 

3..... New.Yqrkiets 291.5 

4 N_evy Orleans .Saints 306.2 

5.....G.reen Bay .Packers 309.1 

6.....Ml?MMP.bJ.0. s .... ...3.Q93 

Z..„. New York Giants 310.8 

8 MLO_0_?sp_ta Vikings 312.6 

9..... Chicago Bears 314.3 

iQ....Baltimore Ravens 318.9 

_U____0_akl_ap_d .Raiders 322.8 

1 ?_ _ _ _ P hj.lad e Ip h [a Ea^ le s 327,2 
13... San .Francisco. 49ers 327.8 
i4.__Kansis_Cjty_Ch[efs 330.2 
15... Cincinnati Bengals 332,0 
16... Atlanta [Falcons 3324 
^....Jarnpa Bay .Buccanee rs 3327 
i8...Carolina Panthers 335.9 
i9...St,Lpuis Rams .33.6.8 
2Q...J.ndjanapqlis -Colts 341,6 
2l___Petrqit_Uons 343,6 

2 2 _ _ _ C I e ye I an d B r vy n s ___3_5p,i 

23___PaUas Cowboys 351.8 

24... Buffalo Bills 361,6 

25...NewEngland [.Patriots 366,5 

26...Tennessee Titans 367,7. 

27_„Sea^ 368,6 

28..Ja_cksonyille Jaguars 371,8 

29....M?P.na Cardinals 373,6 

3P-.-.HoyitoO.I?Aan. s _ 376,9 

31... Washington i.Redskins 389,2 

32 Denver Broncos 390.8 




!_____ PJ tt s b u r g h St e e le rs 14.5 

^.....^L^j}3^y..??^ji 15,0 

3.....Mtj™.re..R_ayens 16.9 

4 Chicago Bears 17,9 

5_____ Atlanta [.Falcons 18.0 

6..... Nevy.YprkMs 19,0 

7.....N?.W.P/J.?A0S.S.a.i.nts 19.2 

8_____ New .England .Patriots 19,6 

9 Jarnp.a Bay .Bu.ccaneers 19.9 

iQ...San Diego Chargers 20.1 

y„._Kansis_Cj_^Ch[efe 20.4 

l2_...St,Lpuis Rams 20,5 

i3...C.leyeland _ Browns 20.8 

M...MLaMMj?bjn. s . 20.8 

i5.„Tennes_see .Titans 21.2 

i6_..San .Francisco _49ers_ 21,6 

i7...New. York. .Giants 21.7 

i8...MLnnesptaVik^ 21.8 

i9...P.etrpit Lions 23,1 

2P...0akland Raiders 23,2 

2L..Made.lp.hia.Eagles 23,6 
....Washington !_Redskins___ ...23,6 

23...J.n.di.anapolis Colts 24,2 

24 Cincinnati .Bengals 24,7 

25....Se_attle .Seahavyks 25.4 

26... Carolina Pa inthers 25,5 

27..J.acksqnyi_lle Jaguars 26,2 

28 Buffalo I Bills 26,6 

-^....Hoystoj] 1 .!?-^^ 5 . 26.7 

3Q___M?P_na_Ca^ 27,1 

3_ 1 _ _ _ Da lias _Coyy b oy s 27,2 

32 Denver Broncos 29.4 



1 San Diego Chargers 15,4 

.2......N.?w.Yprk_Giants 164 

3_____ML3_iTij_Pplj3hins 155 

4.....Green Bay .Packers 16.9 

5......NeyyYorkJets 170 

Pittsburgh Steelers 17,0 

Z„„.NewJ P.r.ls.a.n.s .Saints 17.1 

8 Minnesota vikings 17,3 

9..... Chicago. Bears 17,6 

ip____Atlanta Falcgn5 ^3 

...Baltimore Rave ...17,8 

12 Cjncinati .Bengals 18.1 

y.„.PlkMd.Rajders 18,3 

M...Kan.sas_CityChMs 18,3 

i5.._San Francisco_49ers 18.7 

i.6...St,Lpuis Rams 19,0 
.i7.....Tarp.pa.B.ay.B.u.ccaneers 19.2 

i8„.MLade|P.hia|afl!?s 19,3 

1 9 _ _ _ Dallas .Cowboys 19.3 

2P...S_eattle Seahavyks 19.6 

21 Jndjanapplis -Colts 19.6 

22„Jac!»pny[l]eJaguars 19.8 

23...C_leyeland _ Browns .1.9,8 

24___ Detroit Lions 20.0 

25___Wash[ngton Redskins ...20,4 

26....Carolina Panthers 20.5 

27____Denyer Broncos ...20,9 

28 .....Buffalo BjLLs 20,9 

29___Arizqna Cardi inals ...21,2 

3P.„.New England [.Patriots 21,8 

3..i...Hpustpn Texans 22,0 

32 Tennessee Titans 22.3 



52 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2010 NFL DEFENSIVE TEAM STATS 



QUARTERBACK SACKS 

L....PJttsMgASteders 48 

2_____G_reen Bay .Packers 47 

Oakland Racers 47 

San Diego Chargers 47 

5„... New York Giants 46 

6 Detroit Lions 44 

7 St._ Louis Rams 43 

8_____ New_Yqrk Jets 40 

Tennessee Titans 40 

ip„.-K3!l. s AS.C/[ty.Ch[eft 39 

...Mi^MMP.b.ins... ...39 

PMad.e.lphia Eagles 39 

13... Seattle Seahayyks 37 

i4..-New_England [.Patriots 36 

San Francisco 49ers 36 

i6„„DaUa_s_Cowbpys 35 

1 Z . _ _ C hj ca g Bears 34 

i8._.Arizona .Cardinals 33 

.Nevy.Orleans.Sai.nts 33 

2p____Atlanta Falcons 31 

Carolina Panthers 31 

___MLO^_?spJa_y[kings 31 

23... Houston Jexans 30 

.Indianapolis Colts 30 

25___CJ.eyelajri(d 29 

Washington i.Redskins 29 

_? Z _ _ _ B a It i mo re Rave n s _ _ _ 27 

.......MMQ. Bjjls 27 

...Cincinnati Bengals 27 

3P JacksonyiUe Jaguars 26 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 

32 Denver Broncos 23 




.i......N.?.Vy.Yor.k_Giants 23 

.2.....NewYqrkJets ^g 

4..... Detroit Lions 15 

5 Chicago Bears 14 

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 

.7......M?P.na.Cardinals 13 

New. England. Patriots 13 

....Washington .Redskins 13 

iP_.__Ca_rolina Panthers 12 

...Plkland.Raiders 12 

St. Louis Rams 12 

i3...Mal.o.B.i.l.ls 11 

.Indianapolis Colts 11 

Philadelphia [.Eagles 11 

16 Cincinnati .Bengals ...10 

DaUa_s_Cqw_boys 10 

...MLnnespt 2 i.Vikinjgs 10 

Seattle Seahavyks 10 

20 Atlanta [.Falcons 9 

Cleveland Browns 9 

Kansas City Chiefs 9 

Tampa Bay .Buccaneers 9 

.24...B_a.lti_more [Ravens 8 

...Denver Broncos 8 

Green. Bay Packers 8 

___Ml3n?j_Pplphins 8 

Tennessee Titans 8 

29_.._S_an Francisco 49ers 7 

3_P. _San Diego Chargers 6 

3J....Hpuston_Texans 5 

..J3cksp_nyille Jaguars _ 5 



i......New.England_Patr^ 25. 

2..--bwen3dy_Pa&e[s 24 

3..... Philadelphia [.Eagles 23 

4 Atlanta Falcons 22 

5..... .Chicago [Bears 21 

Pittsburgh Steelers 21 

7 Dallas .Cowboys 20 

8 Baltimore i Rayens 19 
...Cjeyeland Broyyns 19 

Tarn pa. Bay. Buccaneers 19 

i. 1 .... Arizona [.Cardinals 17 

Carp I j n a Pa n t h e r s 17 

Tennessee Titans 17 

i4___Cincjnnati_Bengals 16 

New. .York Giants 16 

San Diego Chargers 16 

i7...MinnesotaVikings 15 

San Francisco 49ers 15 

1 9 _ _ _ _P e t r it Lions 14 

Kansas City Chiefs 14 

St. Louis Rams 14 

....Washington Redskins 14 

23... Houston Jexan.s 13 

Jacksonville Jaguars 13 

.25...New__York Jets 12 

Oakland Raiders 12 

Seattle Seahayyks 12 

28___Buffa]oBj]]s 11 

...Miam.i.Ppljphins , n 

3Q... Denver Broncos 10 

Indianapolis Cote 10 

32 New Orleans Saints 9 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 53 



2011 AFC TEAM-BY-TEAM SCHEDULES 



BUFFALO BILLS 



BALTIMORE RAVENS 



HOUSTON TEXANS 



DENVER BRONCOS 



DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. 11 


at Kansas City 


i:oo p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 12 


Oakland 


1015 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Oakland 


i:oo p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Miami 


415 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Cincinnati 


415 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


New England 


i:oo p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at St. Louis 


4:05 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Cincinnati 


i:oo p.m. 


Oct. 2 


N.Y. Jets 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Green Bay 


415 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Philadelphia 


i:oo p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 9 


Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at N.Y. Giants 


i:oo p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Houston 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Baltimore 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 24 


at Jacksonville 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Washington at Toronto 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Detroit 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Pittsburgh 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Seattle 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


BYE 




Nov. 17 


N.Y. Jets 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


San Francisco 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at San Diego 


415 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Minnesota 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Chicago 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at San Diego 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Denver 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 22 


at Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan. l 


at New England 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Kansas City 


4:15 p.m. 




MIAMI DOLPHINS 


CINCINNATI BENGALS 


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 


KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. 12 


New England 


7:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Houston 


415 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


San Francisco 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Pittsburgh 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at San Diego 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 3 


at Tampa Bay 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 9 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 17 


at N.Y. Jets 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


Denver 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


at New Orleans 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at N.Y. Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 31 


San Diego 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Tennessee 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Denver 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


BYE 




Nov. 21 


at New England 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


at Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Pittsburgh 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at New England 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at New England 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 22 


Houston 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 


CI 

DATE 




JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 


c 

DATE 




DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. 12 


at Miami 


7:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 12 


at Denver 


1015 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


N.Y. Jets 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Oakland 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


N.Y. Jets 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 9 


Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Cleveland 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 24 


Baltimore 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Kansas City 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Pittsburgh 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at San Francisco 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


BYE 




Nov. 6 


N.Y. Giants 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


BYE 




Nov. 6 


Denver 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at N.Y. Jets 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 10 


at San Diego 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 21 


Kansas City 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Philadelphia 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Chicago 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 5 


San Diego 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 8 


at Pittsburgh 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 15 


at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Detroit 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 



NEW YORK JETS 



PITTSBURGH STEELERS 



TENNESSEE TITANS 



SAN DIEGO CHARGERS 



DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. 11 


Dallas 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Minnesota 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at New England 


415 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Denver 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Kansas City 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Miami 


415 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 17 


Miami 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


San Diego 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Arizona 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 31 


at Kansas City 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Cincinnati 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Green Bay 


415 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


New England 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 10 


Oakland 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 17 


at Denver 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


BYE 




Nov. 20 


at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Chicago 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Kansas City 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Denver 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 5 


at Jacksonville 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 8 


Cleveland 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Buffalo 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Philadelphia 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 19 


at San Francisco 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Detroit 


4:05 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan. l 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Oakland 


4:15 p.m. 



54 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2011 NFC TEAM-BY-TEAM SCHEDULES 



DALLAS COWBOYS 



CHICAGO BEARS 



ATLANTA FALCONS 



ARIZONA CARDINALS 



DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. 11 


at N.Y. Jets 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Carolina 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Philadelphia 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 26 


Washington 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Green Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Tampa Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Seattle 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


N.Y. Giants 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 10 


at Detroit 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Green Bay 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at New England 


415 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Minnesota 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


St. Louis 


415 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Tampa Bay at London 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Pittsburgh 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Philadelphia 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


at Baltimore 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 7 


at Philadelphia 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


St. Louis 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


Miami 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Arizona 


415 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


N.Y. Giants 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Denver 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 17 


at Tampa Bay 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 15 


Jacksonville 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Cleveland 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Philadelphia 


415 p.m. 


Dec. 25 


at Green Bay 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 26 


at New Orleans 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan. l 


at N.Y. Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


NEW YORK GIANTS 




DETROIT LIONS 


CAROLINA PANTHERS 


SAINT LOUIS RAMS 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. n 


at Washington 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 19 


St. Louis 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 19 


at N.Y. Giants 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Baltimore 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Arizona 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Seattle 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 10 


Chicago 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 16 


Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


San Francisco 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Denver 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


BYE 




Nov. 6 


BYE 




Nov. 6 


at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at San Francisco 


415 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Philadelphia 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Seattle 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 28 


at New Orleans 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


Green Bay 


12:30 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Indianapolis 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Green Bay 


415 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at San Francisco 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Dallas 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 12 


at Seattle 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Oakland 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


San Diego 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


San Francisco 


1:00 p.m. 


PHILADELPHIA 


EAGLES 


DATE 




NE 

DATE 




SA 

DATE 




DATE 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


OPPONENT 


TIME 


Sept. n 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 8 


New Orleans 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 8 


at Green Bay 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Dallas 


4:05 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


N.Y. Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Chicago 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


at Cincinnati 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


San Francisco 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Denver 


415 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Buffalo 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Atlanta 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


Tampa Bay 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Tampa Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


at Minnesota 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Indianapolis 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


Dallas 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Cleveland 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 7 


Chicago 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at San Diego 


415 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 14 


Minnesota 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


N.Y. Giants 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at N.Y. Giants 


8:20 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


BYE 




Nov. 20 


Arizona 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


New England 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


at Detroit 


12:30 p.m. 


Nov. 28 


N.Y. Giants 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 24 


at Baltimore 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 1 


at Seattle 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


at N.Y. Giants 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


St. Louis 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Arizona 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


N.Y. Jets 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 19 


Pittsburgh 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Dallas 


4:15 p.m. 


Dec. 25 


Chicago 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 26 


Atlanta 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Seattle 


4:15 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 



WASHINGTON REDSKINS 



MINNESOTA VIKINGS 



TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 



SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 



Sept. 11 


N.Y. Giants 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at San Diego 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 11 


at San Francisco 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


Tampa Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 18 


at Pittsburgh 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 26 


at Dallas 


8:30 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Atlanta 


4:15 p.m. 


Sept. 25 


Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at St. Louis 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


at Kansas City 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 3 


Indianapolis 


8:30 p.m. 


Oct. 2 


Atlanta 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


BYE 




Oct. 9 


Arizona 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at San Francisco 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 9 


at N.Y. Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


at Chicago 


8:20 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


New Orleans 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 16 


BYE 




Oct. 23 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Green Bay 


4:15 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


Chicago at London 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 23 


at Cleveland 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


Buffalo at Toronto 


4:05 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Oct. 30 


BYE 




Oct. 30 


Cincinnati 


4:15 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


San Francisco 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


BYE 




Nov. 6 


at New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 6 


at Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


at Miami 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 14 


at Green Bay 


8:30 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Houston 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 13 


Baltimore 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Dallas 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


Oakland 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at Green Bay 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 20 


at St. Louis 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Seattle 


4:05 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


at Tennessee 


1:00 p.m. 


Nov. 27 


Washington 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


N.Y. Jets 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Denver 


4:05 p.m. 


Dec. 4 


Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 1 


Philadelphia 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


New England 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Detroit 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 11 


at Jacksonville 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 12 


St. Louis 


8:30 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at N.Y. Giants 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


New Orleans 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 17 


Dallas 


8:20 p.m. 


Dec. 18 


at Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


Minnesota 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Washington 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


at Carolina 


1:00 p.m. 


Dec. 24 


San Francisco 


4:15 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Philadelphia 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


Chicago 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Atlanta 


1:00 p.m. 


Jan.l 


at Arizona 


4:15 p.m. 











StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 55 



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An analysis of how college 
teams have recently fared at 
different points in the season 




Tracking monthly records has proven to be a valuable tool for us at 
StatFox.com. On the following four pages, we provide results from 
our game-log compilation of all 120 FBS schools dating back to 2007. 
This gives us a healthy four-year span of SU and ATS records broken 
down by month. Although we did add a handful of August season 
openers to our September statistics, we did not think it was justified 
to lump in the small sample of December regular-season games to 
the November statistics. 



AUGUST/SEPTEMBER 



The best ATS teams in the first month of the season were somewhat 
surprising as Central Michigan, Temple and Vanderbilt— not exact- 
ly your traditional powerhouses-all check in at 75% ATS. Central 
Michigan is 7-1 ATS as a favorite in this stretch, but the Chippewas 
will only be favored once this September (vs. S. Carolina St) with road 
games at Kentucky, Western Michigan and Michigan State. Temple 
is 9-2 ATS as an underdog despite a 1-10 SU mark in these contests. 
Vanderbilt is 9-3 ATS in September, but 10-23 ATS (30%) in October 
and November. The Commodores are a perfect 5-0 ATS in September 
non-conference games. 

The bottom ATS schools in September were not shocking. Rutgers 
is actually 9-6 SU in the season's first month, but the Scarlet Knights 
are 0-9 ATS as a favorite in their past nine September tilts. New Mexico 
State and New Mexico are a combined 4-20 ATS (17%) when you don't 
count head-to-head meetings (UNM is 2-1 ATS vs. NMSU). Washington 
State is just 4-13 ATS in September, but all those big losses have led 
to over-inflated spreads in October/November where the Cougars are 
18-12 ATS (60%). 



OCTOBER 



The is for October as Oregon State, Oregon and Oklahoma State top 
the list of best October ATS records. The Beavers are an incredible 13-1 
ATS, going 7-0 ATS as an underdog. Since their lone SU October defeat 
on 10/4/08 at USC, the Ducks have scored 46.8 PPG in their eight 
games in the month (all vs. conference opponents), making the Over 
6-2 in these contests. The Cowboys are a perfect 8-0 ATS on the road 
in October, winning six of those games outright. Pittsburgh has an 
11-4 SU, 11-3 ATS mark and also matches Oklahoma State with a per- 
fect road ATS (6-0) in October. 

Only five FBS schools carry an October ATS record below 30 per- 
cent. FBS-worst Washington has allowed 38.2 PPG in October, prompt- 



ing the Over to occur in 10 of these 15 contests. Western Kentucky (3-11 
SU) and Akron (3-12 SU) both have terrible W-L records, but BYU has a 
strong 10-4 SU mark for the month. As bad as Michigan has been this 
month, wait until you see November. 



UMBER 



November is traditionally where the elite shine both SU and ATS, as the 
top nine on this list are a combined 112-22 SU (84%) and 100-30 ATS 
(77%) in November. Three schools are above 80% ATS. Ohio State has ben- 
efitted from four games versus Michigan in November, outscoring its rival 
114 to 27 in these four contests. Arkansas has played LSU, Mississippi 
State and South Carolina in all four Novembers of our study, and will do 
so again in 2011. The Razorbacks are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in these dozen 
meetings. Virginia Tech only has one SU defeat in the nth month, by 
not allowing more than 21 points to any November opponent (12.2 PPG 
allowed). The Under is 12-4 in these contests. 

The betting public is sure sad to see Rich Rodriguez get fired at 
Michigan due to all the easy money he provided astute bettors. The 
Wolverines were a comical 5-20 SU and 3-22 ATS (12%) in post-September 
games under Rodriguez. Three schools clock in at 25% ATS in November, 
including LSU who is 2-9-1 ATS against their three November SEC foes 
(Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss). Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS in their past 
nine during the month and Idaho is 1-12 SU in November, allowing 45+ 
points in seven of these defeats. 



56 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



ATS RECORDS IN AUGUST/SEPTEMBER GAMES: 2007-2010 



l Central Michigan 


12-4 (10-8 SU) 75% 


Temple 


12-4 (5-12 SU) 75% 


Vanderbilt 


9-3 (10-5 SU) 75% 


4 Arizona St 


10-4 (11-5 SU) 71% 


Central Florida 


10-4 (8-8 SU) 71% 


Kentucky 


10-4 (14-2 SU) 71% 


Missouri 


10-4 (16-0 SU) 71% 


8 California 


12-5 (13-4 SU) 71% 


9 Indiana 


9-4 (12-4 SU) 69% 


Kansas 


9-4 (13-3 SU) 69% 


ll Connecticut 


11-5 (15-3 SU) 69% 


UCLA 


11-5 (10-6 SU) 69% 


13 Boise St 


8-4 (13-1 SU) 67% 


Bowling Green 


10-5 (7-9 SU) 67% 


Oklahoma 


10-5 (14-2 SU) 67% 


Oklahoma St 


10-5 (14-3 SU) 67% 


Oregon 


12-6 (15-3 SU) 67% 


South Carolina 


10-5 (13-5 SU) 67% 


19 Alabama 


11-6 (16-2 SU) 65% 


20 Ball St 


10-6 (9-9 SU) 63% 


Iowa 


10-6 (12-6 SU) 63% 


Ohio Univ. 


10-6 (6-12 SU) 63% 


23 Air Force 


8-5 (12-5 SU) 62% 


24 Cincinnati 


9-6 (13-4 SU) 60% 


Duke 


9-6 (7-10 SU) 60% 


Florida 


9-6 (15-2 SU) 60% 


Florida International 9-6 (1-14 SU) 60% 


Northern Illinois 


9-6 (7-10 SU) 60% 


Tulsa 


9-6 (12-4 SU) 60% 


30 Stanford 


10-7 (11-6 SU) 59% 


31 Baylor 


8-6 (10-6 SU) 57% 


Colorado 


8-6 (9-6 SU) 57% 


Houston 


8-6 (10-6 SU) 57% 


Iowa St 


8-6 (8-9 SU) 57% 


Miami-FL 


8-6 (10-5 SU) 57% 


San Diego St 


8-6 (6-10 SU) 57% 


37 Idaho 


9-7 (7-11 SU) 56% 


Michigan 


9-7 (13-4 SU) 56% 


NC State 


9-7 (10-8 SU) 56% 


Ohio St 


9-7 (16-2 SU) 56% 



TCU 


9-7 (14-3 SU) 56% 


Troy 


9-7 (9-8 SU) 56% 


43 Akron 


10-8 (5-13 SU) 56% 


44 Texas Tech 


6-5 (12-4 SU) 55% 


45 Boston College 


7-6 (13-3 SU) 54% 


Hawaii 


7-6 (10-7 SU) 54% 


Louisiana Tech 


7-6 (6-9 SU) 54% 


North Carolina 


7-6 (8-8 SU) 54% 


South Florida 


7-6 (15-1 SU) 54% 


Virginia 


7-6 (7-8 SU) 54% 


51 Mississippi St 


8-7 (8-10 SU) 53% 


52 Michigan St 


9-8 (13-5 SU) 53% 


UNLV 


9-8 (8-10 SU) 53% 


54 Arizona 


8-8 (12-5 SU) 50% 


Arkansas St 


7-7 (7-9 SU) 50% 


BYU 


8-8 (11-6 SU) 50% 


Florida Atlantic 


8-8 (5-11 SU) 50% 


Florida St 


7-7 (11-5 SU) 50% 


Georgia Tech 


7-7 (11-6 SU) 50% 


LA Lafayette 


7-7 (4-12 SU) 50% 


San ]ose St 


8-8 (7-11 SU) 50% 


West Virginia 


7-7 (11-5 SU) 50% 


63 Middle Tennessee St 


8-9 (8-10 SU) 47% 


Nebraska 


8-9 (14-3 SU) 47% 


Syracuse 


8-9 (7-11 SU) 47% 


Texas 


8-9 (15-2 SU) 47% 


Toledo 


8-9 (7-10 SU) 47% 


68 Army 


7-8 (7-10 SU) 47% 


Georgia 


7-8 (12-6 SU) 47% 


LSU 


7-8 (17-0 SU) 47% 


Memphis 


7-8 (5-12 SU) 47% 


Minnesota 


7-8 (9-9 SU) 47% 


Ole Miss 


7-8 (8-9 SU) 47% 


Texas A&M 


7-8 (12-4 SU) 47% 


UAB 


7-8 (4-13 SU) 47% 


76 Fresno St 


6-7 (8-7 SU) 46% 


Illinois 


6-7 (9-6 SU) 46% 


Kansas St 


6-7 (12-4 SU) 46% 


Nevada 


6-7 (8-7 SU) 46% 


Purdue 


6-7 (10-7 SU) 46% 





Tulane 


6-7 (5-9 SU) 46% 


82 


Auburn 


8-10 (15-3 SU) 44% 




Buffalo 


8-10 (5-13 SU) 44% 


84 


Maryland 


7-9 (11-7 SU) 44% 




Utah 


7-9 (14-4 SU) 44% 




Utah St 


7-9 (3-13 SU) 44% 




Wake Forest 


7-9 (9-7 SU) 44% 




Washington 


7-9 (5-11 SU) 44% 


89 


Clemson 


6-8 (11-6 SU) 43% 




LA Monroe 


6-8 (4-11 SU) 43% 




SMU 


6-8 (6-11 SU) 43% 




Southern Miss 


6-8 (10-6 SU) 43% 




use 


6-8 (13-2 SU) 43% 


94 


Colorado St 


6-9 (6-10 SU) 40% 




Wyoming 


6-9 (8-9 SU) 40% 


96 


Kent St 


5-8 (7-10 SU) 38% 


97 


East Carolina 


6-10 (9-8 SU) 38% 




Miami Ohio 


6-10 (5-12 SU) 38% 




Navy 


6-10 (10-7 SU) 38% 




North Texas 


6-10 (2-14 SU) 38% 




Rice 


6-10 (4-13 SU) 38% 




Tennessee 


6-10 (7-9 SU) 38% 




UTEP 


6-10 (8-9 SU) 38% 




Virginia Tech 


6-10 (13-5 SU) 38% 




Wisconsin 


6-10 (16-1 SU) 38% 


106 


Western Kentucky 


4-7 (5-13 SU) 36% 


107 


Marshall 


5-9 (7-10 SU) 36% 




Oregon St 


5-9 (7-9 SU) 36% 


109 


Penn St 


6-11 (14-4 SU) 35% 


110 


Louisville 


4-8 (7-8 SU) 33% 




Northwestern 


5-10 (13-5 SU) 33% 


112 


Notre Dame 


5-11 (7-10 SU) 31% 


113 


Arkansas 


4-9 (8-7 SU) 31% 




Pittsburgh 


4-9 (9-7 SU) 31% 


115 


Eastern Michigan 


4-11 (3-14 SU) 27% 




Western Michigan 


4-11 (9-8 SU) 27% 


117 


New Mexico 


4-13 (5-13 SU) 24% 




Washington St 


4-13 (5-13 SU) 24% 


119 


New Mexico St 


3-10 (6-9 SU) 23% 




Rutgers 


3-10 (9-6 SU) 23% 



7> 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 57 



ATS RECORDS IN OCTOBER GAMES: 2007-2010 



1 Oregon St 

2 Oklahoma St 



13-1 (n-3 SU 



Oregon 
Pittsburgh 



11-3 (n-4 SU 
11-3 (13-1 SU 



5 PennSt 

6 Temple 



11-3 (n-4 SU 
12-4 (14-3 SU 



7 Central Florida 
Connecticut 



11-4 (14-2 SU 
10-4 (9-5 SU 



Georgia Tech 
10 Troy 



10-4 (6-8 SU 
10-4 (13-3 SU 



ll Arkansas 
Iowa 



9-4 (12-1 SU 
11-5 (10-7 SU 



13 East Carolina 
Hawaii 



11-5 (12-4 SU 
10-5 (10-5 SU 



Miami Ohio 
Ohio St 



.10-5 (ll-5.SU 
12-6 (7-11 SU 



Utah 
18 Kansas St 



12-6(15-3.SU 
10-5 (15-0 SU 



19 NC State 

20 Boise St 



11-6 (7-10 SU 
9-5 (4-10 SU 



Utah St 
22 Duke 



10-6 (16-0 SU 
10-6 (2-14 SU 



23 Washington St 

24 Air Force 



___?-5_(5-?_SU 

9-6 (1-14 SU 



LA Monroe 
Ohio Univ. 



10-7 (10-8 SU 
10-7 (9-8 SU 



27 Arizona 
Florida 



10-7 (12-6 SU 
8-6 (8-7 SU 



Middle Tennessee St 
Navy 



8-6 (9-5 SU 
8-6 (6-8 SU 



Tennessee 
UAB 



8-6 (10-6 SU 
8-6 (7-9 SU 



33 Boston College 
Houston 



8-6 (6-9 SU 
9-7 (9-7 SU 



Missouri 
North Carolina 



j-z.iy-s.su 

9-7 (9-7 SU 



Northern Illinois 
Ole Miss 



9-7(lO-6SU 
9-7 (n-6 SU 



TCU 
40 Michigan St 



9-7(6-l0SU 

...?-7( 1 .5;. 2 .SU 
10-8 (11-7 SU 



93% 



71% 
7_?_% 
7_?_% 
75% 

.73% 
71% 
71% 
71% 
69% 
69% 
69% 
67% 
67% 
67% 
67% 
67% 
65% 
64% 
63% 
63% 
62% 
60% 

5?% 
59% 
5?% 
57% 

57% 
57% 
57% 
57% 

57% 
56% 

56% 
56% 
56% 
56% 
56% 
56% 
56% 



Virginia 
42 Notre Dame 



10-8 (12-6 SU 



43 Buffalo 
Cincinnati 



LA Lafayette 
Louisiana Tech 



New Mexico 
Texas 



Tulsa 
50 Auburn 



Louisville 
Mississippi St 



53 Army 
Ball St 



Kent St 
Minnesota 



Rutgers 
Virginia Tech 



Wake Forest 
60 Central Michigan 



Illinois 

New Mexico St 



SMU 
Texas Tech 



Toledo 
66 Marshall 



Stanford 
UTEP 



69 Clemson 
Maryland 



Syracuse 
72 Baylor 



7-6(?-6SU 
8-7 (8-7 SU 



8-7 (10-5 SU 
8-7 (7-8 SU 



8-7 (6-10 SU 
8-7 (5-10 SU 



8-7 (12-4 SU 
8-7 (10-6 SU 



9-8 (10-7 SU 
9-8 (10-7 SU 



9-8 (11-6 SU 
7-7 (7-8 SU 



8-8(7-10SU 
8-8 (7-10 SU 



8-8(5-12SU 
8-8 (9-7 SU 



.7-7.(?-5SU 
8-8 (7-9 SU 



8-9(lO-7SU 
8-9 (8-10 SU 



8-9(6-12SU 
8-9 (5-12 SU 



8-9 (12-6 SU 
8-9 (9-9 SU 



7-8 (5-10 SU 
7-8 (8-7 SU 



7-8 (7-8 SU 
6-7 (7-7 SU 



±7_(7-7_SU 

6-7 (5-8 SU 



Colorado St 
Iowa St 



-10 (6-12 SU 
-10 (5-13 SU 



75 Kansas 
Nebraska 



-10(5-13SU 
7-9 (7-9 SU 



Texas A&M 

use 



„7-9_(7-9SU 
7-9 (7-10 SU 



Wisconsin 
80 Alabama 



7-9(lO-6SU 

7-9 (8-8 SU 

6-8 (13-1 SU 



56% 



54% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 

53% 
50% 

50% 

50% 

50% 

50% 

50% 

50% 

47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
47% 
46% 
46% 
46% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
44% 
43% 





Arkansas St 


6-8 (5-9 SU) 43% 




Florida Atlantic 


6-8 (6-8 SU) 43% 




Fresno St 


6-8 (12-3 SU) 43% 




Georgia 


6-8 (9-6 SU) 43% 




Rice 


6-8 (4-11 SU) 43% 




San Diego St 


6-8 (7-8 SU) 43% 




San )ose St 


6-8 (3-11 SU) 43% 




Wyoming 


6-8 (5-11 SU) 43% 


89 


Idaho 


7-10 (7-10 SU) 41% 




Miami-FL 


7-10 (11-6 SU) 41% 


91 


Arizona St 


6-9 (7-8 SU) 40% 


Florida International 6-9 (6-9 SU) 40% 




Florida St 


6-9 (10-5 SU) 40% 




Oklahoma 


6-9 (12-4 SU) 40% 




Purdue 


6-9 (6-11 SU) 40% 




South Carolina 


6-9 (10-6 SU) 40% 




West Virginia 


6-9 (12-3 SU) 40% 


98 


Eastern Michigan 


7-11 (3-15 SU) 39% 




Indiana 


7-11 (4-14 SU) 39% 




Kentucky 


7-11 (5-13 SU) 39% 


101 


North Texas 


6-10 (3-13 SU) 38% 




South Florida 


6-10 (7-9 SU) 38% 




UNLV 


6-10 (1-15 SU) 38% 


104 


California 


5-9 (7-7 SU) 36% 




LSU 


5-9 (9-5 SU) 36% 


106 


Bowling Green 


6-11 (5-12 SU) 35% 




Colorado 


6-11 (5-13 SU) 35% 




Nevada 


6-11 (12-5 SU) 35% 




Southern Miss 


6-11 (6-11 SU) 35% 




Tulane 


6-11 (4-13 SU) 35% 


ill 


Memphis 


5-10 (6-10 SU) 33% 




UCLA 


5-10 (4-12 SU) 33% 




Vanderbilt 


6-12 (4-14 SU) 33% 


Western Michigan 5-10 (7-10 SU) 33% 


115 


Northwestern 


5-11 (9-7 SU) 31% 


116 


Michigan 


5-12 (6-11 SU) 29% 


117 


Akron 


4-10 (3-12 SU) 29% 


118 


Western Kentucky 


3-8 (3-11 SU) 27% 


119 


BYU 


3-10 (10-4 SU) 23% 


120 


Washington 


3-12 (3-12 SU) 20% 



58 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



ATS RECORDS IN NOVEMBER GAMES: 2007-2010 



l Ohio St 


9-2 (ll-l SU) 82% 


2 Arkansas 


13-3 (12-4 SU) 81% 


Virginia Tech 


13-3 (15-1 SU) 81% 


4 Southern Miss 


12-3 (12-3 SU) 80% 


5 Florida 


12-4 (15-2 SU) 75% 


Ohio Univ. 


9-3 (9-3 SU) 75% 


7 Boise St 


11-4 (15-2 SU) 73% 


Bowling Green 


11-4 (H-4 SU) 73% 


9 TCU 


10-4 (12-2 SU) 71% 


10 Western Kentucky 


7-3 (4-10 SU) 70% 


ll Connecticut 


9-4 (8-5 SU) 69% 


12 NC State 


11-5 (10-6 SU) 69% 


Oklahoma 


11-5 (12-4 SU) 69% 


Rice 


11-5 (10-6 SU) 69% 


Tennessee 


11-5 (13-3 SU) 69% 


16 Nevada 


10-5 (H-4 SU) 67% 


West Virginia 


8-4 (10-3 SU) 67% 


Utah St 


9-5 (8-7 SU) 64% 


19 Air Force 


8-5 (10-3 SU) 62% 


Illinois 


8-5 (6-7 SU) 62% 


Northern Illinois 


8-5 (7-7 SU) 62% 


Purdue 


8-5 (4-10 SU) 62% 


Wisconsin 


8-5 (11-3 SU) 62% 


24 Central Florida 


11-7 (13-5 SU) 61% 


25 Oregon St 


9-6 (10-5 SU) 60% 


Texas A&M 


9-6 (7-8 SU) 60% 


Utah 


9-6 (10-5 SU) 60% 


Washington St 


9-6 (4-11 SU) 60% 


29 Clemson 


10-7 (12-5 SU) 59% 


30 Alabama 


8-6 (10-6 SU) 57% 


Arizona St 


8-6 (5-9 SU) 57% 


Hawaii 


8-6 (12-2 SU) 57% 


Louisiana Tech 


8-6 (8-6 SU) 57% 


Middle Tennessee S 


t 8-6 (10-4 SU) 57% 


North Texas 


8-6 (3-12 SU) 57% 


Northwestern 


8-6 (8-6 SU) 57% 


Ole Miss 


8-6 (9-6 SU) 57% 


South Carolina 


8-6 (6-8 SU) 57% 


Texas Tech 


8-6 (10-4 SU) 57% 


40BYU 


9-7 (14-2 SU) 56% 



41 Central Michigan 


6-5 (8-5 SU) 55% 


42 Ball St 


7-6 (9-4 SU) 54% 


Cincinnati 


7-6 (11-3 SU) 54% 


Colorado St 


7-6 (4-10 SU) 54% 


Iowa St 


7-6 (3-10 SU) 54% 


Minnesota 


7-6 (3-10 SU) 54% 


47 Boston College 


8-7 (12-4 SU) 53% 


Colorado 


8-7 (5-10 SU) 53% 


LA Monroe 


8-7 (8-8 SU) 53% 


Memphis 


8-7 (5-10 SU) 53% 


Stanford 


8-7 (8-7 SU) 53% 


52 Akron 


7-7 (5-10 SU) 50% 


Baylor 


7-7 (2-12 SU) 50% 


Georgia Tech 


7-7 (8-7 SU) 50% 


Indiana 


7-7 (3-H SU) 50% 


Kansas 


8-8 (6-10 SU) 50% 


LA Lafayette 


8-8 (6-10 SU) 50% 


Maryland 


8-8 (5-11 SU) 50% 


North Carolina 


8-8 (9-7 SU) 50% 


Pittsburgh 


6-6 (7-6 SU) 50% 


Rutgers 


7-7 (7-7 SU) 50% 


San Diego St 


8-8 (5-11 SU) 50% 


Troy 


7-7 (9-6 SU) 50% 


use 


7-7 (H-3 SU) 50% 


UTEP 


8-8 (4-12 SU) 50% 


Wake Forest 


8-8 (7-9 SU) 50% 


Washington 


7-7 (5-9 SU) 50% 


68 New Mexico 


7-8 (4-11 SU) 47% 


Notre Dame 


7-8 (6-10 SU) 47% 


Temple 


7-8 (7-8 SU) 47% 


Texas 


7-8 (10-5 SU) 47% 


72 Eastern Michigan 


6-7 (3-10 SU) 46% 


South Florida 


6-7 (8-5 SU) 46% 


Toledo 


6-7 (5-8 SU) 46% 


UCLA 


6-7 (6-7 SU) 46% 


Western Michigan 


6-7 (9-5 SU) 46% 


77 Auburn 


5-6 (7-6 SU) 45% 


Michigan St 


5-6 (9-3 SU) 45% 


79 Marshall 


7-9 (6-10 SU) 44% 


Missouri 


7-9 (13-3 SU) 44% 





New Mexico St 


7-9 (0-16 SU) 44% 




Oklahoma St 


7-9 (9-7 SU) 44% 




Tulsa 


7-9 (H-5 SU) 44% 




UAB 


7-9 (5-H SU) 44% 


85 


California 


6-8 (6-8 SU) 43% 


Florida International 6-8 (6-8 SU) 43% 




Kentucky 


6-8 (7-7 SU) 43% 


88 


Arizona 


5-7 (5-7 SU) 42% 




Navy 


5-7 (10-2 SU) 42% 


90 


Florida St 


7-10 (9-8 SU) 41% 




Syracuse 


7-10 (4-13 SU) 41% 


92 


Buffalo 


6-9 (6-9 SU) 40% 




Georgia 


6-9 (11-4 SU) 40% 




Louisville 


6-9 (4-H SU) 40% 




Nebraska 


6-9 (11-4 SU) 40% 


96 


Penn St 


5-8 (8-5 SU) 38% 


97 


Duke 


6-10 (1-16 SU) 38% 




East Carolina 


6-10 (10-6 SU) 38% 




Fresno St 


6-10 (9-7 SU) 38% 


100 


SMU 


5-9 (5-9 SU) 36% 




UNLV 


5-9 (5-9 SU) 36% 


102 


Tulane 


6-11 (4-13 SU) 35% 


103 


Army 


4-8 (3-9 SU) 33% 




Florida Atlantic 


5-10 (9-6 SU) 33% 




Kansas St 


5-10 (4-11 SU) 33% 




Miami Ohio 


4-8 (5-8 SU) 33% 




Virginia 


5-10 (2-13 SU) 33% 




Wyoming 


5-10 (5-10 SU) 33% 


109 


Iowa 


4-9 (7-7 SU) 31% 




Mississippi St 


4-9 (5-8 SU) 31% 




Oregon 


4-9 (9-4 SU) 31% 


112 


Kent St 


4-10 (3-11 SU) 29% 


113 


Houston 


4-11 (9-7 SU) 27% 




Miami-FL 


4-11 (7-9 SU) 27% 




San ]ose St 


4-11 (4-11 SU) 27% 




Vanderbilt 


4-11 (1-14 SU) 27% 


117 


Arkansas St 


4-12 (6-10 SU) 25% 




Idaho 


3-9 (1-12 SU) 25% 




LSU 


4-12 (10-7 SU) 25% 


120 


Michigan 


2-12 (4-10 SU) 14% 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 59 



TEAM 


2010 

su 


2010 NEW 
ATS COACH 


2010 
OFFENSE TYPE 


IS THE OFFENSE 
NEW FOR 2011? 


NEW 
QB? 


NEW 

oc? 


2010 
DEFENSE TYPE 


IS THE DEFENSE 
NEW FOR 2011? 


NEW 
DC? 


RET. STARTERS 
OFF. DEF. 


Air Force 


9-4 


5-7-1 


- 


Multiple Set Triple Optior 


Yes, Multiple 






Base 34 




- 


6 


7 


Akron 


1-11 


5-7 


- 


Pro Style 








Base 43 




- 


6 


7 


Alabama 


10-3 


8-5 


- 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 




Base 43 


Yes, 34 


- 


7 


9 


Arizona 


7-6 


5-7-1 


- 


Spread 


Yes, Multiple Spread 


- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


5 


5 


Arizona St 


6-6 


9-3 


- 


Single Back 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


9 


8 


Arkansas 


10-3 


9-4 


- 


Multiple 




Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


6 


7 


Arkansas St 


4-8 


7-5 


Yes 


Multiple 




- 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


6 


7 


Army 


7-6 


6-6 


- 


Spread Triple Option 


Yes, Triple Option 


- 


- 


Double-Eagle Flex 


- 


6 


5 


Auburn 


14-0 


10-4 


- 


Spread 




Yes 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


3 


3 


Ball St 


4-8 


4-8 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


8 


7 


Baylor 


7-6 


5-8 


- 


Spread 


- 


- 


- 


Base 43 




Yes 


8 


5 


Boise St 


12-1 


9-4 


- 


Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 






7 


7 


Boston College 


7-6 


6-7 


- 


Pro Style 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 






7 


7 


Bowling Green 


2-10 


5-7 


- 


Multiple 


- 


- 


- 


Base 42 


Yes, Multiple 




6 


7 


Buffalo 


2-10 


2-10 


- 


Multiple 


- 


- 


- 


Base 34 


Yes, 43 




8 


3 


BYU 


7-6 


8-5 


- 


Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


- 


- 


Base 34 






10 


7 


Central Michigan 


3-9 


6-6 




Multiple 


- 


- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




8 


6 


California 


5-7 


6-6 




Multiple 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 34 


Yes, 43 




7 


5 


Cincinnati 


4-8 


4-8 




Spread 


- 


- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




5 


11 


Clemson 


6-7 


5-8 




Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 




8 


5 


Colorado 


5-7 


5-6-1 


Yes 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 




Yes 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


8 


5 


Colorado St 


3-9 


6-6 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 






Base 43 


- 




7 


6 


Connecticut 


8-5 


8-5 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


6 


9 


Duke 


3-9 


6-5-1 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 






4-2-5 


Yes, 43 




8 


6 


East Carolina 


6-7 


6-7 




Spread 


- 






Base 43 


- 




5 


7 


Eastern Michigan 


2-10 


5-7 




Multiple 


- 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




7 


7 


Florida Atlantic 


4-8 


3-9 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


Yes 




Base 43 


- 


- 


7 


5 


Florida International 


7-6 


6-6-1 




Multiple Spread 


Yes, Multiple 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


7 


7 


Florida 


8-5 


7-6 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread 




Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Multiple 43 


Yes 


7 


4 


Florida St 


10-4 


8-6 




Multiple 




Yes 




Base 43 


- 


- 


8 


8 


Fresno St 


8-5 


5-7 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


Yes 




Base 43 


- 


- 


7 


5 


Georgia 


6-7 


5-8 


- 


Multiple Pro 


Yes, Pro 






Base 34 


Yes, Multiple 34 


- 


6 


7 


Georgia Tech 


6-7 


5-7-1 


- 


Spread Triple Option 




Yes 




Base 34 




- 


6 


5 


Hawaii 


10-4 


11-3 


- 


Run-and-Shoot 


Yes, Spread 






Base 43 




- 


3 


6 


Houston 


57 


5-7 


- 


Spread 


Yes, Multiple 






Base 34 




- 


6 


6 


Idaho 


6-7 


6-7 


- 


Multiple 




Yes 




Base 43 


Yes, 34 


- 


5 


8 


Illinois 


7-6 


9-4 


- 


Multiple 


Yes, Pro 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


7 


6 


Indiana 


5-7 


6-6 


Yes 


Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, 34 


Yes 


7 


6 


Iowa 


8-5 


6-6-1 


- 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


5 


5 


Iowa St 


5-7 


5-7 


- 


Spread 




Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


5 


7 


Kansas 


3-9 


5-7 


- 


Spread 




- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, 4-2-5 


- 


8 


6 


Kansas St 


7-6 


6-7 


- 


Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


Yes 


- 


Base 42 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


5 


6 


Kent St 


5-7 


5-7 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, 34 


Yes 


9 


5 


Kentucky 


6-7 


6-7 


- 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 




Yes 


6 


9 


LA Lafayette 


3-9 


7-5 


Yes 


Multiple Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


5 


5 


LA Monroe 


5-7 


6-6 


- 


Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


- 


3-3-5 






10 


8 


Louisiana Tech 


5-7 


5-7 


- 


Spread 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




6 


/ 


Louisville 


7-6 


7-6 


- 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 34 


Yes, 43 




4 


7 


LSU 


11-2 


6-6 


- 


Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 






8 


/ 


Marshall 


5-7 


4-8 


- 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






5 


9 


Maryland 


9-4 


9-4 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


7 


/ 


Memphis 


1-11 


5-7 




Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




7 


7 


Miami-FL 


7-6 


5-8 


Yes 


Pro Style 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, 34 Multiple 


Yes 


6 


7 


Miami Ohio 


10-4 


9-5 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


8 


9 


Michigan 


7-6 


3-10 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread Option 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, 3-3-5 


Yes 


9 


8 


Michigan St 


11-2 


7-6 




Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




6 


6 


Middle Tennessee St 


6-7 


4-9 




Multiple 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, 43 Multiple 


Yes 


7 


3 


Minnesota 


3-9 


6-5-1 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 43 


Yes 


6 


8 


Mississippi St 


9-4 


7-5 




Multiple Spread Option 


Yes, Spread 


- 


- 


Base 43 


- 




8 


7 


Missouri 


10-3 


7-6 




Multiple Spread 


Yes, Pro 


Yes 




Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




9 


6 



60 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



One of the ways to assess a team's status 
before the start of the season is to look not 
only at how many starters return, but what 
changes may have been made to coaches 
and schemes on both the offensive and 
defensive sides of the ball. This chart details 



all 120 FBS college football programs and 
any changes they may have made since the 
end of last season to those key areas. Any 
team with more than eight or fewer than five 
returning starters on a particular side of the 
ball is noted with that number in bold text. 






TEAM 


2010 

su 


2010 NEW 
ATS COACH 


2010 
OFFENSE TYPE 


IS THE OFFENSE 
NEW FOR 2011? 


NEW 
QB? 


NEW 

oc? 


2010 
DEFENSE TYPE 


IS THE DEFENSE 
NEW FOR 2011? 


NEW 
DC? 


RET. STARTERS 
OFF. DEF. 


■ 


North Carolina 


8-5 


7-5 


- 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 




Base 43 




- 


6 


6 


P 


Northern Illinois 


11-3 


10-3-1 


Yes 


Multiple 




- 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


9 


4 




Navy 


9-4 


7-6 


- 


Triple Option 


Yes, Spread 


Yes 


- 


Base 34 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


8 


3 


to 
m 
DJ 


NC State 


9-4 


10-3 


- 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


6 


8 


Nebraska 


10-4 


6-8 


- 


Multiple Spread Option 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


- 


Base 42 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


6 


7 


Nevada 


13-1 


7-7 


- 


Pistol 




Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


6 


7 


New Mexico 


1-11 


4-8 


- 


Spread 




- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


7 


9 


New Mexico St 


2-10 


4-8 


- 


Spread 


Yes, Pro 


- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


7 


7 




North Texas 


3-9 


6-6 


Yes 


Spread 


- 


Yes 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


6 


6 


^fe 


Northwestern 


7-6 


4-9 


- 


Multiple Spread 


Yes, Spread 


- 


- 


Base 43 






9 


7 


5 

to" 

3 


Notre Dame 


8-5 


6-4-3 


- 


Spread 


- 


- 


- 


Base 34 






8 


8 


Ohio St 


12-1 


10-2-1 


Yes 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






7 


4 


Ohio Univ. 


8-5 


8-5 


- 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






8 


4 


Oklahoma 


12-2 


8-6 




Multiple 


- 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




8 


6 


Oklahoma St 


11-2 


10-3 




Multiple Spread 


Yes, Spread 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 




9 


5 




Ole Miss 


4-8 


4-7 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


- 




9 


5 


r» 


3 

nT 

n 

3 


fD 

C 
t/» 


Oregon 


12-1 


7-6 




Spread Option 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


- 


Base 43 


- 




6 


5 


Oregon St 


57 


7-5 




Multiple 


- 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 




7 


5 


Penn St 


7-6 


5-8 




Multiple 


- 






Base 43 


- 




7 


7 


Pittsburgh 


8-5 


7-4-2 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Pro 




Yes 


Base 34 


Yes, 43 


Yes 


6 


8 


Purdue 


4-8 


4-7-1 




Spread 


- 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 43 




8 


9 


3> 


Rice 


4-8 


6-6 




Multiple Spread 


Yes, Spread 






4-2-5 


- 




7 


7 


^^ 


Rutgers 


4-8 


3-9 




Pro Style 








Base 43 


- 


- 


10 


5 




South Carolina 


9-5 


7-7 




Multiple 








Base 43 


Yes, 4-2-5 


- 


7 


6 


South Florida 


8-5 


6-7 




Spread 








Base 43 


- 


- 


4 


6 


San Diego St 


9-4 


8-4-1 


Yes 


Multiple 






Yes 


3-3-5 


- 


Yes 


7 


5 


San Jose St 


1-12 


5-7 




Pistol 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 




Base 43 


- 


- 


7 


9 


SMU 


7-7 


6-8 




Run-and-Shoot 








Base 34 


- 


- 


6 


7 




Southern Miss 


8-5 


6-7 




Spread 








Base 43 


- 


- 


6 


7 




c 
3 
•-* 

2f. 

3' 

fD 


Stanford 


12-1 


8-5 


Yes 


Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 




Yes 


Base 34 


Yes, 4-3-4 


Yes 


5 


6 


Syracuse 


8-5 


8-5 


- 


Multiple Pro 


Yes, Multiple 






Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


8 


5 


TCU 


13-0 


7-6 


- 


Multiple 




Yes 




4-2-5 




- 


5 


6 


Temple 


8-4 


7-5 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, East Coast 




Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


8 


5 


Tennessee 


6-7 


7-6 


- 


Multiple 








Base 43 


Yes, 34 


- 


7 


6 




Texas 


5-7 


3-9 


- 


Spread 






Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


8 


6 




Texas A&M 


9-4 


8-5 


- 


Multiple Pro 


Yes, Multiple 






Base 34 




- 


9 


8 


Al 
O 
M 
W 


Texas Tech 


8-5 


5-7-1 


- 


Single Back Spread 


Yes, Spread 


Yes 




Base 43 or 4-2-f 


> Yes, 34 


Yes 


5 


8 


Toledo 


8-5 


7-5-1 


- 


Spread 








Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


9 


8 


Troy 


8-5 


5-8 


- 


Multiple Spread 


Yes, Spread 


- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, 4-2-5 


- 


4 


8 


Tulane 


4-8 


4-8 


- 


Multiple 




- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


7 


7 


Tulsa 


10-3 


9-4 


Yes 


Spread 


Yes, Spread no-huddle 


- 


Yes 


3-3-5 




Yes 


8 


8 




UAB 


4-8 


5-7 


- 


Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


7 


8 


m 


Central Florida 


11-3 


11-3 


- 


Multiple 




- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


7 


4 


UCLA 


4-8 


3-8-1 


- 


Multiple 




- 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


7 


8 


UNLV 


2-11 


5-8 


- 


Multiple Spread 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 




- 


7 


5 


use 


8-5 


5-7-1 


- 


Multiple 




- 


- 


Base 43 




- 


6 


8 


Utah 


10-3 


7-5-1 


- 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 






6 


5 




Utah St 


4-8 


5-7 


- 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






8 


5 




UTEP 


6-7 


5-8 


- 


Spread 


Yes, One-Back 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






2 


9 


t/» 

c 
3 
00 


Vanderbilt 


2-10 


3-9 


Yes 


Multiple 


Yes, Spread 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 




Yes 


11 


8 


Virginia 


4-8 


6-6 


- 


Pro Style 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






8 


9 


Virginia Tech 


11-3 


10-4 


- 


Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 






6 


6 


Western Kentucky 


2-10 


7-5 




Pro Style 


Yes, West Coast 


- 


Yes 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


7 


8 


Western Michigan 


6-6 


5-5-2 




Multiple 


- 


- 


- 


Base 43 


- 




6 


8 




West Virginia 


9-4 


7-6 


Yes 


Spread 


Yes, Spread Option 


- 


Yes 


3-3-5 


- 




8 


4 




Wake Forest 


3-9 


4-8 




Multiple 


Yes, Pro 


- 


- 


Base 34 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


7 


9 


Washington 


7-6 


7-6 




Multiple 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


- 




6 


8 


Washington St 


2-10 


7-5 




Multiple Spread 


Yes, Spread 


- 


- 


Base 43 


Yes, 4-3-4 




8 


7 


Wisconsin 


11-2 


8-5 




Pro Style 


Yes, Multiple 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


- 


Yes 


5 


6 


Wyoming 


3-9 


5-6-1 




Spread 


- 


Yes 


- 


Base 43 


- 




8 


9 





StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 61 






> 



1. OKLAHOMA 



The Sooners should be able to run the table in the Big 12's first round-robin 
format with 10 teams. The tragic death of starting MLB Austin Box in the 
offseason provides extra motivation for this team. OU has two Heisman 
candidates in QB Landry Jones and WR Ryan Broyles. Jones threw for 4,718 
yards and 38 TD (2nd in nation for both), while Broyles led the nation with 
131 receptions and finished third in FBS with 1,622 receiving yards, catching 
14 TD passes from Jones. DeMarco Murray and his 15 rushing TD depart, but 
Roy Finch and incoming freshman Brandon Williams will keep the ground 
game moving. Despite the loss of Box, the big-play defense (32 turnovers, 
37 sacks) should still be great. The Sooners have an excellent secondary fea- 
turing CBs with great ball skills - JameLL Fleming and Demontre Hurst. 

2. ALABAMA 

Sure the Tide lost QB Greg McElroy, RB Mark Ingram and WR Julio Jones, but 
they are still capable of getting back to the BCS title game. They play their 
two toughest opponents at home (Arkansas and LSU). TB Trent Richardson 
(6.3 YPC, 11 total TD) is the strongest and fastest player on the team and 
he'll run behind an O-Line returning four starters. Six-foot-four sophomore 
A.J. McCarron will take over at QB after playing very well as a backup last 
year (30-48, 389 yds, 3 TD, INT). He has good senior wideouts to throw to 
in Marquis Maze and Darius Hanks. Nine starters return to the nation's 3rd- 
ranked scoring (13.5 PPG) and 5th-ranked total defense (286 YPG), including 
OLB Courtney Upshaw (14.5 TFL, 4 FF) and FS Robert Lester (8 INT). 



3. ORE! 



The high-flying Ducks certainly have the offense to get back to the FBS title 
game with both QB Darron Thomas and RB LaMichael James returning. 
Thomas threw 30 TD with only 9 INT, while James led the nation in both 
rushing yards (l,73l) and total touchdowns (24). The duo was a big reason 
Oregon led all FBS schools in points (47-0 PPG) and yards (531 YPG). The 
Ducks open the season versus LSU, but won't be tested again until Nov. 12 
at Stanford. The defense only returns five starters and the front seven took 
the brunt of the graduating losses. But the secondary is loaded, featuring 
CB Cliff Harris (6 INT, 17 PD) and FS John Boyett (5 INT, 9 PD). 



4. STANFORD 



OC David Shaw replaces head coach Jim Harbaugh for the Orange Bowl 
champs, but Heisman hopeful Andrew Luck (3,338 pass yds, 32 TD, 8 INT; 
453 rush yds, 8.2 YPC) returns to school to play for a national championship. 
The Cardinal have a tough early test at Arizona, then close out October at 
USC before hosting Oregon Nov. 12 in what should be the game of the year. 
Luck lost his top two receivers, but RB Stepfan Taylor (15 rush TD) provides 
a strong running game. The Stanford defense allowed only 9-3 PPG in the 
final six games last year and two stud LBs return as leaders - All-American 
candidate ILB Shayne Skov (84 tackles) and OLB Chase Thomas. 



i. LSU 

The Tigers fate in 2011 likely rests with QB Jordan Jefferson (7 TD, 10 INT). The 
senior looked great in the spring with new OC Steve Kragthorpe's offense, 
and will benefit from ultra-talented WR duo Reuben Randle and Russell 
Shepard. Sophomore TB Spencer Ware (10 rush, 102 yds in Cotton Bowl) 
will be the top RB, and get plenty of holes from a great 0-Line. CB Patrick 
Peterson is gone, but seven starters remain from a stellar defense. 

6. BOISE STATE 

The Broncos move from the WAC to the MWC, but their dominance should 
continue. OC Bryan Harsin left for Texas, but the offense is in good hands 
with QB Kellen Moore (99 pass TD, 19 INT in career) and TB Doug Martin 
(1,260 rush yds, 12 TD in 2010). The defense is also primed for a big year 
with DEs Shea McClellin and Tyrone Crawford (combined 16.5 sacks). 



7. TEXAS m 



Texas A&M finished the regular season with six straight wins. QB Ryan 
Tannehill orchestrated the win streak with 235 pass YPG, 11 TD and just 
3 INT in the six games. Christine Michael and Cyrus Gray return to form a 
potent rushing attack. The defense only lost three starters, but two of them 
will be difficult to replace in All-American OLB Von Miller and leading tack- 
ier LB Michael Hodges. The secondary remains intact after a subpar year. 



FLORIDA STATE 



FSU's conference schedule is easy, but the 'Noles play Oklahoma and visit 
Florida. QB E.J. Manuel (70% completion rate) looks capable of filling 
Christian Ponder's shoes and he has plenty of weapons with the top four 
receivers and top three RBs all coming back. DE Brandon Jenkins (13.5 sacks) 
and WLB Nigel Bradham (97 tackles) are the best defenders among eight 
returning starters on a defense that allowed only 4.9 yards per play. 



I. OiLfflMA STATE 



OC Dana Holgorsen left Stillwater, but the multiple spread offense that put 
up 44-2 PPG (3rd in nation) will look similar under new OC Todd Monken. 
Senior QB Brandon Weeden (4,277 pass yds, 34 TD, 13 INT) and junior WR 
Justin Blackmon (ill rec, 1,782 yds, 20 TD) form one of the best tandems in 
the country, and the 0-Line returns all five starters. The defense did improve 
(16.5 PPG allowed in last six wins), but lost some big-time players. 



1. rascor 



The Badgers had three 70-point games and an FBS-low nine offensive turn- 
overs last year. Stud RBs James White (1,052 rush yds, 14 TD) and Montee 
Ball (996 rush yds, 18 TD) returns to wreak havoc on the Big Ten. NC State 
transfer Russell Wilson (9,628 total yds, 76 pass TD in career) is the new QB. 
But the receivers are subpar and the 0-Line lost three starters. Wisconsin 
returns a solid nucleus to the nation's 20th-ranked defense (322 YPG). 



62 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



11 ICU 

The Horned Frogs are 36-3 in the past three seasons, and they should be 
very good again in 2011. Junior QB Casey Pachall has the tall task of re- 
placing Andy Dalton, but has loads of potential and is a good leader. RB 
Ed Wesley (1,078 rush yds, 11 TD) and WR |osh Boyce (646 rec yds, 6 TD) 
are already great players. The defense may not lead the nation again in 
both points (12.0 PPG) and yards (228 YPG), but six starters come back 
this year, including monster LBs Tank Carder (9.5 TFL) and Tanner Brock 
(106 tackles). 

12. IftfHl TECH 

The Hokies, who led the nation with a +19 turnover margin and had a 
scoring margin of +13.3 PPG, still have the talent to win the ACC again. 
Sophomore Logan Thomas takes over for Tyrod Taylor, and will benefit 
from four senior offensive linemen in addition to a strong skill players 
in RB David Wilson (11 total TD) and WRs jarrett Boykin (847 rec yds) and 
Danny Coale (732 rec yds, 18.8 avg). LB Bruce Taylor (15.5 TFL) is the stand- 
out of a strong defense. 



13. Ill 



Even without star wide receiver A.|. Green, the Dawgs are primed for a 
bounce-back season. Aaron Murray (3,049 pass yds, 24 TD, 8 INT) could 
be the SEC's best quarterback, and has weapons to use in WR Tavarres 
King, TE Orson Charles, RB Caleb King and freshman RB Isaiah Crowell. An 
improved pass rush (24 sacks in 2010), will enable the athletic back seven 
to make all kinds of plays. 



14. NOTRE DAME 



A 7-2 finish last year gives the Irish momentum for 2011. QB Dayne Crist (15 
TD, 7 INT) should be back from his ruptured patella tendon, and it appears 
suspended WR Michael Floyd (79 rec, 1,025 yds, 12 TD) will be reinstated 
by August. The D-Line needs work, but the LBs are excellent, especially ILB 
Manti Te'o (133 tackles, 9-5 TFL) and OLB Darius Fleming (5.5 sacks). 



15. BINSAS 



Many pieces remain for Arkansas to be very good, but QB Ryan Mallett is 
now in the NFL, leaving signal-calling duties to junior Tyler Wilson (34-51, 
453 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT). Wilson's best option is to hand off to RB Knile Davis 
who was the SEC's top rusher with 1,322 yards (6.5 YPC, 13 TD). Three solid 
receivers also return in |oe Adams, Jarius Wright and Greg Childs (com- 
bined 2,260 rec yds, 17 TD). Seven starters return to a quality defense. 



E, [■ 



Nebraska's inaugural Big Ten season should be a good one. When healthy, 
QB Taylor Martinez (965 rush yds, 6.0 YPC, 12 TD; 10 pass TD, 7 INT) runs 
this spread option to perfection. Other skill-position stars include RB Rex 
Burkhead (951 rush yds, 5-5 YPC, 7 TD), and receivers WR Brandon Kinnie 
and TE Kyler Reed (889 rec yds, 13 TD combined). Nebraska always has 
elite defensive fronts and this stacked unit should be no different. 



1?. SOUTH CAROLINA 



The Gamecocks are loaded for a repeat trip to the SEC title game. The three 
best offensive players all return in RB Marcus Lattimore (1,609 total yards, 
19 TD), WR Alshon Jeffery (88 rec, 1,517 yds, 9 TD) and QB Stephen Garcia 
(3,059 pass yds, 20 TD, 14 INT). Plenty of defensive starters come back too, 
including DEs Melvin Ingram (9 sacks) and Devin Taylor (7.5 sacks). Four DBs 
who started last year also return, led by CB Stephon Gilmore (79 tackles). 



18. Tl 



Once the Longhorns trim their turnovers (30 last year) and improve the QB 
play from Garrett Gilbert (6 TD, 16 INT in Big 12), they will be back to a major 
bowl. Co-offensive coordinators Major Applewhite and Bryan Harsin (Boise 
State) should infuse new life into the offense. The defensive unit is led by 
MLB Emmanuel Acho (79 tackles) and converted DE Alex Okafor. 

19. MOCHQGUa STATE 

After a share of the Big Ten title, QB Kirk Cousins (217 pass YPG, 20 TD, 10 
INT) will start for the third straight year. He has playmakers, most notably 
RB Edwin Baker (1,201 rush yds, 13 TD) and WR B.|. Cunningham (9 rec TD). 
The defense needs an improved pass rush after ranking 90th in sacks per 
game (1.5) and tied for 91st in TFL per game (5.1). 



20. f 



The Tigers return nine offensive starters, but not QB Blaine Gabbert. Dual- 
threat QB James Franklin will enter the fall as the starter with a loaded sup- 
porting cast including WR T.J. Moe (92 rec, 1,045 yds), TE Michael Egnew (90 
rec, 762 yds) and RB De'Vion Moore (517 rush yds, 8 TD). The Tigers had 37 
sacks and 18 INT last year, and allowed just 16.1 PPG (sixth in nation). 



21. FLORIDA 



Will Muschamp left his DC/coach-in-waiting position at Texas to try to get 
this Florida program back to respectability. His first move was hiring OC 
Charlie Weis to help QB John Brantley (9 TD, 10 INT) mature quickly. The 
defense lost seven starters, and the secondary is in disarray with two start- 
ing safeties gone and ALL-SEC CB janoris Jenkins kicked off the team. 



22. HATE 



The program is in turmoil with the spring departures of Jim Tressel and 
Terrelle Pryor, but OSU will likely be favored in all but one game this 
year (at Nebraska) as it plays MSU and Wisconsin at home. Senior QB joe 
Bauserman (16-22, 174 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT) is expected to replace Pryor, and 
will miss WR DeVier Posey and RB Dan Herron who are suspended five 
games. The defense lost seven starters, but will still be very good. 



23. 1 STATE 



After an 8-2 finish last year, the Bulldogs hope to make some noise in the 
powerful SEC West. QB Chris Relf has always been able to run (713 rush 
yds), and his passing ability improved greatly last year (569 pass yds, 6 TD 
in final two games). The downside is a defense that was weakened with 
the loss of its top three players from last season. 



24. MARYLAND 



Randy Edsall takes over a Maryland program that improved by seven wins 
(2 to 9) in 2010, scoring 38.2 PPG in its last six games. Sophomore QB Danny 
O'Brien (2,438 pass yards, 22 TD, 8 INT) had a great spring in new OC Gary 
Crowton's up-tempo system. New DC Todd Bradford inherits an underrated 
defense that allowed just 4-7 yards per play (3.4 YPC) last year. 



25. AUBURN 



Only three offensive starters return for Auburn this year, and Cam Newton 
isn't one of them, junior Barrett Trotter will likely win the No. 1 QB job, but 
he's no Newton. The strength of these Tigers is the ground game with the 
duo of Michael Dyer (1,093 rush yds, 5 TD, 6.0 YPC) and Onterio McCalebb 
(810 rush yds, 9 TD, 8.5 YPC). The defense also returns just three starters, 
and the secondary must improve immensely (259 YPG, 108th in FBS). 



« 
« 



■ 



■ 
» 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 

63 



PREDICTED FINISH 



LIEGE 

Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

B.C. has plenty of momentum heading into 2011 having won its final five 
games before losing to Nevada in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl. They Eagles 
return their top offensive players in RB Montel Harris (ACC-best 103.6 rush 
YPG) and WR Bobby Swigert (504 recyds). QB Chase Rettig also returns, but 
must improve greatly on his numbers during nine starts as a true freshman 
(6 TD, 9 INT, 138 pass YPG). The Eagles ranked 109th in both scoring (18.5 
PPG) and yardage (299 YPG) and have three starting O-Linemen to replace, 
including All-ACC LT Anthony Castonzo. New offensive coordinator Kevin 
Rogers is not expected to dramatically change the pro style offense. Most 
of the nation's top-ranked rushing defense (83 rush YPG) comes back, most 
notably the leading tackier in FBS, MLB Luke Kuechly (110 solo, 183 total, 
10.5 TFL). The secondary is also solid with CB Donnie Fletcher (5 INT) and 
SS Jim Noel (4 INT). The D-Line lost three major contributors, but DE Max 
Holloway (team-high 4 sacks) is poised for a huge year. 



■:.■■.;,:■'-:'>' i 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Tigers are coming off a 6-7 season, going 1-5 away from home. The 
offense averaged just 16.7 PPG in the final six games of the year, and 
ranked 88th in the country in yardage (335 YPG). To help fix these woes, 
Chad Morris was hired from Tulsa as the new offensive coordinator and will 
bring an up-tempo style of offense. QB Tajh Boyd (33-63, 329 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT) 
takes over for Kyle Parker, who left to pursue a baseball career. Top RB Jamie 
Harper bolted early for the NFL, but explosive tailback Andre Ellington is 
healthy and ready to build on his 5-8 YPC and 12 total TD. Leading receiver 
DeAndre Hopkins (52 rec, 637 yds, 4 TD) is expected to have a huge sopho- 
more season. The defense ranked 13th in the nation in points (18.8 PPG) 
and 19th in yardage (320 YPG), but they will sorely miss DE Da'Quan Bowers 
(nation-best 15.5 sacks) and FS DeAndre McDaniel (team-high 76 tackles). 
DE Andre Branch (5 sacks, 8.5 TFL) will try to fill the void, and the lineback- 
ers remain strong with Corico Hawkins leading the way. 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 

Defense: 4-2-5 - Starters Returning: 6 

Head coach David Cutcliffe loves junior QB Sean Renfree (3,131 pass yds, 

14 TD, 17 INT), consistently praising him throughout the spring. Renfree 

should benefit from most of the offense returning, including top WRs 

Conner Vernon (73 rec, 973 yds, 4 TD) and Donovan Varner (60 rec, 736 yds). 

Top RB Desmond Scott (530 rush yds, 3 TD) rushed for 122 yards in Week 



ATLANTIC DIVISION 


COASTAL DIVISION 




1. Florida State 


1. Virginia Tech 


2. Maryland 


2. Miami 


3. N.C. State 


3. North Carolina 


4. Clemson 


4. Georgia Tech 


5. Boston College 


5. Duke 


6. Wake Forest 


6. Virginia 











2 versus Wake Forest, but only reached 50 rushing yards once in his final 
10 games. Much of that was due to a young O-Line, which looked strong 
in the spring. If the Blue Devils are going to make any noise in the ACC, 
the defense has to improve dramatically. Duke allowed 35-4 PPG (109th in 
nation) and 450 YPG (108th in nation), while its 12 total sacks were better 
than just five FBS teams. The secondary is the strength of the unit, led by 
CB Ross Cockrell (7 PD, 3 INT) and SS Matt Daniels (93 tackles, 6 TFL, 3 FF). 
DT Charlie Hatcher (7.5 TFL) and LB Kelby Brown (63 tackles) are the best 
players in the front seven. 



FLO I STATE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

|imbo Fisher's first year in Tallahassee was a rousing success (10-4, 6-3 in 
ACC), and this year could be even better, assuming junior E.J. Manuel is 
ready to take over the QB spot for departed star Christian Ponder. Manuel 
(70% completion rate, 4 TD, 4 INT) has shown his ability while filling in for 
Ponder, but he needs to cut down on his mistakes. Manuel also benefits 
from the school's top four receivers returning. Bert Reed led the team in 
catches (58) and yards (614) while Willie Haulstead had a team-best six 
receiving TD. Three quality running backs remain in Chris Thompson, Ty 
Jones and jermaine Thomas who combined for 1,862 rushing yards and 17 
TD in 2010. Defensive coordinator Mark Stoops did a masterful job with his 
unit in his first year at FSU, allowing just 4-9 yards per play as compared 
to 6.7 in 2009. Eight starters return this year including DE Brandon Jenkins 
(13.5 sacks, 21.5 TFL), WLB Nigel Bradham (97 tackles) and all four start- 
ers in the secondary. 



GEQRGM TECH 



Offense: Spread Triple Option - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Yellow jackets ended a disappointing 2010 campaign with a losing 
record (6-7) and a sixth straight bowl defeat. Tech has holes to fill this year 
with QB josh Nesbitt and top RB Anthony Allen all done with eligibility. 
QB Tevin Washington started the final four games last year when Nesbitt 
was hurt, and rushed for 420 yards (4.5 YPC). He appears capable of keep- 
ing the Ramblin' Wreck atop the nation in rushing again (323 rush YPG), 
but his brutal passing numbers (41% completion rate, 2 TD, 3 INT) don't 
inspire confidence. Senior RB Roddy Jones (7.5 YPC for career) and junior 
RB Orwin Smith (9.3 YPC for career) should thrive behind a strong offensive 
line. Defensively, the jackets are desperate for a stud pass rusher after a 
17-sack season (101st in nation). They lose their top LB in Brad Jefferson, 
but OLB Steven Sylvester (10.5 TFL, 3 FF) leads a solid linebacker group. The 
secondary has to replace all four starters, but CB Rod Sweeting (7 PD) and 
safety Isaiah Johnson (46 tackles) are quality returning players. 



64 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



mm 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Randy Edsall takes over a Maryland program that improved by seven wins 
(2 to 9) in 2010. QB Danny O'Brien (2,438 pass yards, 22 TD, 8 INT) played 
very well as freshman and had a great spring in new OC Gary Crowton's 
up-tempo system. O'Brien loses WR Torrey Smith, but senior Ronnie Tyler 
(61 rec, 720 yds in career) and juniors Kerry Boykins and Kevin Dorsey form 
an adequate WR trio. Leading rusher Davin Meggett (720 rush yds, 5.6 
YPC) will be the key to this offense, which racked up 38.2 PPG in its last six 
games. New DC Todd Bradford is excited about his unit that allowed just 4.7 
yards per play (3.4 YPC) last year. The D-Line returns three starters, but lacks 
a monster pass-rushing DE. Despite the loss of leading tackier MLB Alex 
Wujciak, junior WLB Demetrius Hartsfield (88 tackles) returns. The second- 
ary is excellent, led by senior CBs Cameron Chism and Trenton Hughes. 



AMB-F 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 

Former Temple head coach Al Golden takes over the top spot for a talented 
Miami team. The biggest question for the Hurricanes is who the starting QB 
will be, jacory Harris (14 TD, 15 INT) or Stephen Morris (7 TD, 9 INT)? Golden 
and new OC jedd Fisch are expected to wait until mid-August to name a 
starter. Speedy RB Lamar Miller (6.0 YPC) should remain No. 1 on the depth 
chart, but slasher Mike James (5.7 YPC) and hard-nosed Storm Johnson will 
also figure prominently in the rushing attack. Leonard Hankerson departs, 
but senior WR Travis Benjamin (17.3 yds per catch) is a true playmaker. New 
DC Mark D'Onofrio left Temple with Golden, and is thrilled with his defense. 
Miami led the nation with 115 TFL and was third in pass defense (151 YPG). 
MLB Colin McCarthy (120 tackles) and OLB Sean Spence (16 TFL) lead a 
strong front seven, but both starting corners must be replaced. 

NORTH CAROLINA 

Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Uncertainty surrounds the 2011 Tar Heels. Sophomore QB Bryn Renner only 
has two career pass attempts, but will try to fill the shoes of T.|. Yates. The 
6-foot-3 Renner also has dynamic senior WR Dwight Jones (62 rec, 946 yds, 
4 TD) as his favorite target. But the two other players with 30+ catches last 
year, TEs Zack Pianalto and Ryan Taylor have both graduated. UNC ranked 
94th in rushing offense (126 YPG) and lost three RB that totaled 1,653 rush- 
ing yards last year. Senior RB Ryan Houston led the Heels with 713 rushing 
yards and 9 TD in 2009 before redshirting in 2010. He broke his shoulder 
blade in the spring game, but is expected back on the field in August. The 
D-Line remains intact and very good with Quinton Copies (10 sacks) and 
Donte Paige-Moss (7 sacks), but MLB Kevin Reddick (74 tackles) is one of 
two returning starters in the back seven. 

NORTH CAROLINA HATE 

Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Wolfpack lose QB Russell Wilson, the ACC's total offense leader, but 
head coach Tom O'Brien loves 6-foot-6 junior Mike Glennon, even com- 
paring him to former BC great Matt Ryan with his throwing motion and 



intangibles. Glennon will need to be a leader as NC State loses its top three 
receivers from last year. Senior WRsT.j. Graham (25 rec) and Steven Howard 
(12 rec) will likely be the starters. The rushing attack should improve its No. 
95 rank (123 YPG) with a healthy Mustafa Greene (869 total yds, 6 TD). The 
opportunistic defense, which tied for fourth in the nation in sacks (41) and 
forced 36 fumbles last year, returns eight starters. OLBs Audie Cole (86 tack- 
les, 10 TFL) and Terrell Manning (75 tackles, 10.5 TFL) lead this unit, which 
lost two starting linemen, but returns all four starters in the secondary. 



hi 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

Mike London's first year as head coach didn't turn out so well (4-8, 1-7 in 
ACC), and now he loses graduated leaders in QB Marc Verica, RB Keith 
Payne and WR Dontrelle Inman. Four QBs (two freshmen, two sophomores) 
will all compete to start. TB Perry Jones (870 total yds, 4-7 YPC) and WR Kris 
Burd (58 rec, 799 yds, 5 TD) will be the keys on offense. The defense had 
problems adjusting to the 4-3 last year, but most of the unit returns to hope- 
fully improve on 204 rushing YPG allowed and just five fumble turnovers. 
The strength of the defense will be its three leading tacklers - SLB LaRoy 
Reynolds (66 tackles), MLB Steve Greer (59 tackles) and WLB Ausar Walcott 
(56 tackles). Senior DE Cam Johnson (6.5 sacks, 14.5 TFL) needs a few of his 
linemates to help out, and take pressure off an improving secondary. 



m m 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Although many players are gone from this team that won 11 straight games 
(after losing to James Madison), the Hokies still have the talent to win the 
ACC. They led the nation with a +19 turnover margin and had a scoring mar- 
gin of +13.3 PPG. Sophomore Logan Thomas takes over for Tyrod Taylor, the 
winningest QB in school history. Thomas had a superb spring, and will ben- 
efit from four senior offensive linemen protecting him. He also has a strong 
supporting cast with RB David Wilson (11 total TD, 5-5 YPC) and senior WRs 
jarrett Boykin (53 rec, 847 yds, 6 TD) and Danny Coale (732 rec yds, 18.8 
avg). The defensive line will miss DE Steven Friday, but DEs |.R. Collins (5 
sacks) and James Gayle (4 sacks) are capable of bigger things. Bruce Taylor 
(91 tackles, 6 sacks, 15.5 TFL) leads a solid linebacker corps, and the sec- 
ondary is excellent with CB jayron Hosley (FBS-best 9 INT). 



WAKE FOREST 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 9 

The cupboard is pretty bare for Jim Grobe's Wake Forest team coming off a 
3-9 season. The offense ranked 108th in yards (302 YPG) and 91st in points 
(22.8 PPG), while the defense was 101st in yardage (431 YPG) and 110th 
in scoring (35.8 PPG). QB Tanner Price (7 TD, 8 INT) finished his freshman 
year with no TD tosses in his final four games, a span of 85 pass attempts. 
It doesn't help Price that his receiving corps is paper-thin behind Chris 
Givens (35 rec, 514 yds, 4 TD). But TB josh Harris (720 rush yds, 5-7 YPC, 7 TD) 
should be able to help sustain a decent ground game. The D-Line is still sus- 
pect, but undersized DT Nikita Whitlock is highly skilled, and Grobe thinks 
DE Zach Thompson can play at an All-ACC level. Wake lost its two ILBs, and 
will depend on OLB Kyle Wilber (6 sacks, 14.5 TFL) even more. The second- 
ary, which started three freshmen to close the season, is still subpar. 






I 



j> 



i 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 

65 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 38 (#58 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +0.6 (#68 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37.23 (42nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 39.33 (29th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.1 (#72 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 2-10 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


NORTHWESTERN 


9/10 


atUCF 


9/17 


DUKE 


9/24 


MASSACHUSETTS 


10/1 


WAKE FOREST 


10/8 


atClemson 


10/22 


at Virginia Tech 


10/29 


at Maryland 


11/3 


FLORIDA ST 


11/12 


NC STATE 


11/19 


at Notre Dame 


11/25 


at Miami 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Kent St 


W21-0 


W (-11) 


u (47/2) 


9/6 


1ATECH 


L 16-19 


L(-6K) 


U(38) 


9/20 


UCF 


W347 


W (-10) 


0(40) 


9/27 


RHODE ISLAND 


W42-O 






10/4 


at NC State 


W3ra 


LW" 


0(42] 


10/18 


VIRGINIA TECH 


w 28-23 


W(-3) 


(39K) 


10/25 


at N Carolina 


L 24-45 


n+3j 


0(4i 1 /2J 


11/1 


CLEMSON 


L 21-27 


L(2/ 2 ) 


(43/2) 


11/8 


NOTRE DAME 


W17-O 


W(-3) 


U (46) 


11/15 


at Florida St 


w 27-17 


W (+6/2) 


U(45) 


11/22 


at Wake Forest 


W 24-21 


■Wl-iViJ 


(40/2) 


11/29 


MARYLAND 


W 28-21 


W (-672] 


(4272) 


12/6 


vs Virginia Tech 


L 12-30 


L(-i) 


0(38) 


12/31 


vsVanderbilt 


L 14-16 


LB) 


0(40] 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-3 


9-5 


8-5 


7-6 


35-19 


64.8% 


6-6 


7-6 


6-6 


6-7 


25-25 


50.0% 


3-2 


4-2 


5-1 


1-6 


13-11 


54.2% 


3-4 


3-4 


1-5 


5-1 


12-14 


46.2% 


5-3 


4-5 


3-5 


4-4 


16-17 


48.5% 


1-3 


3-1 


3-1 


2-3 


9-8 


52.9% 


3-5 


6-5 


4-3 


2-3 


15-16 


48.4% 


3-1 


1-1 


2-3 


4-3 


10-8 


55-6% 


6-7 


8-5 


5-7 


2-10 


21-29 


42.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 18.5 109 




First Downs 15.0 116 




Yards/Game 299.1 109 




RushYds/Gm 127.9 90 




PassYds/Gm 171.15 97 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.5 19 




Yards/Game 309-7 13 




RushYds/Gm 82.8 l 




PassYds/Gm 226.9 76 




Takeaways 33 7 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


NORTHEASTERN 


W54-O 






9/4 


WEBER ST 


W 38-20 


L (-30/2) 




9/12 


KENT ST 


W34-7 


W (-21) 


0(45) 


9/11 
9/25 


KENT ST 

VIRGINIATECH 


W 26-13 
[649 


L(-17) 
"L"(+37)' 


U(47) 


9/19 


at Clemson 


L7-25 


L(+9) 


U (44/2) 


U (457) 


9/26 


WAKE FOREST 


w 27-24 


W(l) 


0(41) 


10/2 


NOTRE DAME 


L 13-31 


L(+3) 


U (46/2) 


10/3 


FLORIDA ST 


W 28-21 


W (+37 2 ) 


0(45) 


10/9 


at NC State 


L 17-44 


L(+9) 


0(48) 


10/10 


at Virginia Tech 


L 14-48 


L (+13/2) 


0(44/2) 


10/16 


at Florida St 


L 19-24 


W (+227 2 ) U (48/2) 


10/17 


NC STATE 


w 52-20 


W (-27 2 ) 


(487 2 ) 


10/23 


MARYLAND 


L 21-24 


L(-47 2 ) 


0(41) 


10/24 


at Notre Dame 


L 16-20 


W(+8) 


U (5372) 


10/30 


CLEMSON 


W 16-10 


W(+7) 


U(42) 


10/31 


C MICHIGAN 


w 31-10 


W (-572) 


U(48) 


11/6 


at Wake Forest 


w 23-13 


W(-4) 


U(48) 


11/14 


at Virginia 


W 14-10 


L(-47 2 ) 


U(44) 


11/13 


at Duke 


W 21-16 


W(-3) 


U(5l) 


11/21 


N CAROLINA 


L 13-31 


L(-3) 


(397) 


11/20 


VIRGINIA 


w 17-13 


L(-7) 


U (447 2 ) 


11/28 


at Maryland 


w 19-17 


L(-5) 


U (457) 


11/27 


at Syracuse 


W16-7 


W (+37 2 ) 


U(38) 


12/26 


vsUSC 


L 13-24 


L(+7fc) 


U(45) 


1/9 


vs Nevada 


L 13-20 


W (+77 2 ) 


U(54) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#40 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.2 (#41 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 3931 (23rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.42 (9th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +5.2 (#47 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 2-10 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


TROY 


9/10 


WOFFORD 


9/17 


AUBURN 


9/24 


FLORIDA ST 


10/1 


at Virginia Tech 


10/8 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


10/15 


at Maryland 


10/22 


N CAROLINA 


10/29 


at Georgia Tech 


11/12 


WAKE FOREST 


11/19 


at NC State 


11/26 


at S Carolina 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


7-6 


9-5 


6-7 


31-22 


58.5% 


6-6 


4-7 


8-5 


5-8 


23-26 


46.9% 


3-3 


2-3 


4-2 


2-5 


11-13 


45.8% 


3-3 


2-4 


4-3 


3-3 


12-13 


48.0% 


5-3 


3-5 


6-3 


4-4 


18-15 


54-5% 


1-3 


1-2 


2-2 


1-4 


5-11 


31-3% 


5-6 


2-4 


6-4 


3-5 


16-19 


45-7% 


1-0 


2-3 


2-1 


2-3 


7-7 


50.0% 


6-6 


3-8 


8-5 


2-10 


19-29 


39.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 24.0 86 




First Downs 18.0 88 




Yards/Game 334-6 88 




RushYds/Gm 139-0 79 




PassYds/Gm 195-62 78 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 18.8 13 




Yards/Game 320.3 19 




RushYds/Gm 128.5 28 




PassYds/Gm 191.9 22 




Takeaways 20 72 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


vs Alabama 


L 10-34 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


U(46) 


9/6 


THE CITADEL 


W 45-17 






9/13 


NC STATE 


W27-9 


L(-2l/ 2 ) 


U(46) 


9/20 


S CAROLINA ST 


W54-O 






9/27 


MARYLAND 


L 17-20 


L (-12) 


U (49/2) 


10/9 


at Wake Forest 


L7-12 


L(-l) 


U(42) 


10/18 


GEORGIA TECH 


L 17-21 


L(+2) 


U(41) 


11/1 


at Boston College 


W 27-21 


W (+2/2) 


(43/2) 


11/8 


at Florida St 


L 27-41 


L(+3) 


(44/2) 


11/15 


DUKE 


W31-7 


W (-10) 


U (46/2) 


11/22 


at Virginia 


W13-3 


W (-2/2) 


U(43) 


11/29 


S CAROLINA 


w 31-14 


W(pk) 


0(40) 


1/1 


vs Nebraska 


L 21-26 


L(pk) 


U (54/2) 



9/5 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


W 37-14 


W(-l8 1 / 2 ) 0(47/2) 




at Georgia Tech 


L 27-30 


W( + 5) 


0(43) 


9/19 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


W25-7 


W(-9) 


U (44/2) 


9/2b 


TCU 


L 10-14 


n : 2j 


(41) 


10/3 


at Maryland 


L 21-24 


T(-im 


U (48) 


10/17 


WAKE FOREST 


W38-3 


W (-8) 


u (47/2) 


10/24 


at Miami 


w 40-37 


W(+4) 


0(42) 


10/31 


COASTAL CARO UN/ 


i W49-3 






11/7 


FLORIDA ST 


W 40-24 


WfgK) 


0(57) 


11/14 


at NC State 


w 43-23 


W (-8) 


0(55) 


11/21 


VIRGINIA 


W 34-21 


TF26J5)" 


0(45) 


11/28 


at S Carolina 


L 17-34 


LB) 


0(44)' 


12/5 


vs Georgia Tech 


L 34-39 


L(+D 


(56/2) 


12/27 


vs Kentucky 


W 21-13 


W(-6':) 


UI52K) 



9/4 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 35-10 


L (-28) 


U (54/2) 


9/11 


PRESBYTERIAN 


W 58-21 


L (-48) 




9/18 


at Auburn 


L 24-27 


W(+8) 


U (54/2) 


10/2 


MIAMI 


L 21-30 


L(+4J 


0(48/2) 


10/9 


at N Carolina 


L 16-21 


L(+2) 


U(5D 


10/16 


MARYLAND 


W31-7 


W (-14/2) 


U(48) 


10/23 


GEORGIA TECH 


w 27-13 


W(-4) 


U(5D 


10/30 


at Boston College 


L 10-16 


L(7) 


U(42) 


11/6 


NC STATE 


w 14-13 


L(-4) 


U(54) 


11/13 


at Florida St 


L 13-16 


W(+6) 


U(46) 


11/20 


at Wake Forest 


w 30-10 


W (-14) 


U (48/2) 


11/27 


S CAROLINA 


L7-29 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


12/31 


vsS Florida 


L 26-31 


L(-5) 


0(40/) 



66 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




M 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 30 (#79 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.9 (#93 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37-67 (40th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 37-42 (44th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -10.2 (#98 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 6-5-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



9/3 


RICHMOND 


9/10 


STANFORD 


9/17 


at Boston College 


9/24 


TULANE 


10/1 


at FLA International 


10/15 


FLORIDA ST 


10/22 


WAKE FOREST 


10/29 


VIRGINIA TECH 


11/5 


at Miami 


11/12 


at Virginia 


11/19 


GEORGIA TECH 


11/26 


at N Carolina 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


|AMES MADISON 


W31-7 






9/6 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 20-24 


W (+5/2) 


P(44) 


9/13 


NAVY 


w 41-31 


W (-2/2) 


(57/2) 


9/27 


VIRGINIA 


W31-3 


W(-7) 


U(45) 


10/4 


at Georgia Tech 


LO-27 


L(+13) 


U(49) 




MIAMI 


L 31-49 


L(+3) 


(40/2) 




derbilt 


WlO-7 


W (+9/2) 


U(42) 


11/1 


at Wake Forest 


L 30-33 


W(+8) 


(41/2) 


11/8 


NC STATE 


L 17-27 


L(-4) 


U (48/2) 


11/15 


!mson 


L7-31 


L (+10) 


U (46/2) 


11/22 


at Virginia Tech 


L3-14 


W (+14/2) 


U(43) 


11/29 


N CAROLINA 


L 20-28 


L(+7) 


0(44) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-11 


4-8 


5-7 


3-9 


13-35 


27.1% 


6-6 


6-5 


5-5 


6-5 


23-21 


52.3% 


1-4 


3-3 


1-3 


4-3 


9-13 


40.9% 


5-2 


3-2 


4-2 


2-2 


14-8 


63.6% 


4-4 


3-5 


4-3 


4-3 


15-15 


50.0% 


2-2 


3-0 


1-2 


2-2 


8-6 


57-1% 


0-0 


2-1 


1-0 


0-1 


3-2 


60.0% 


6-6 


4-4 


4-4 


5-4 


19-18 


514% 


6-6 


4-6 


5-4 


5-6 


20-22 


47-6% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 25.3 


77 




First Downs 19.9 


58 




Yards/Game 381.3 


59 




RushYds/Gm 110.0 


104 




PassYds/Gm 271.33 


22 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 35.4 


109 




Yards/Game 450.1 


108 




RushYds/Gm 208.3 


113 




PassYds/Gm 241.8 


96 




Takeaways 17 


94 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 
9/12 

9/19 

9/26 

IP/33 
10/10 

10/31 

11/7I 

11/14 
11 / 21 " 

£/2g" 



RICHMOND 

at Army 



W 16-24 



at Kansas 
NCCENTRAL 



L 16-44 



W(-2) 

L (+2334) 

LJ-41) 



0(44) 



VIRGINIA TECH 
at'NCState 



L 26-34 
W 49-28 



MARYLAND 

ginia 
at N Carolina 



W 17-13 
L6-19 



W (+17) 
W (+15/2) 
P'S) 



0(48/2) 
0(54)' 



GEORGIATECH 
at Miami 
WAKEFORESf 



L 10-49 
"["16-34" 
[34-45 



W J+7/2) 

LJ+13/2J 
w j+19) 

T(7 3 "j?r 



U(48) 
U (45) 
P (59) 

0(53) 



9/4 


ELON 


w 41-27 


W(- 7 ) 




9/11 


at Wake Forest 


L 48-54 


L(+5fc) 


(52/2) 


9/18 


5AMA 


L 13-62 


L(+23 1 / 2 ) 


0(57) 


9/25 


ARMY 


L 21-35 


L(-6) 


(54/2) 


10/2 


ryland 


L 16-21 


W(+9) 


U(6l) 


10/16 


MIAMI 


L 13-28 


W (+15/2) 


U(57) 


10/23 


at Virginia Tech 


L7-44 


L (+27) 


U(64) 




at Navy 


W 34-31 


W (+12/2) (56/2) 


11/6 


VIRGINIA 


W 55-48 


W(pk) 


(55/2) 


11/13 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 16-21 


L(+3) 


U(5D 


11/20 


at Georgia Tech 


L 20-30 


P (+10) 


U(6l) 




N CAROLINA 


L 19-24 


W (+8/2) 


U(59) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 53 (#12 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +14.5 (#18 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 41.29 (10th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.83 (46th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +11.7 (#22 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-4 

2010 ATS Record: 8-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-9 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


LA MONROE 


9/10 


CHARLESTON SOUT 


9/17 


OKLAHOMA 


9/24 


atClemson 


10/8 


at Wake Forest 


10/15 


at Duke 


10/22 


MARYLAND 


10/29 


NC STATE 


11/3 


at Boston College 


11/12 


MIAMI 


11/19 


VIRGINIA 


11/26 


at Florida 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


9-4 


7-6 


10-4 


33-20 


62.3% 


5-7 


6-5 


4-9 


8-6 


23-27 


46.0% 


2-3 


3-3 


0-6 


4-3 


9-15 


37-5% 


3-4 


3-2 


4-3 


4-3 


14-12 


53-8% 


3-5 


4-4 


2-6 


4-5 


13-20 


39.4% 


2-2 


2-1 


2-3 


4-1 


10-7 


58.8% 


4-5 


5-3 


0-6 


5-4 


14-18 


43.8% 


1-2 


1-2 


4-2 


2-2 


8-8 


50.0% 


6-7 


7-4 


8-4 


4-9 


25-24 


51.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 31.4 33 




First Downs 19.6 62 




Yards/Game 381.3 60 




RushYds/Gm 171.4 39 




PassYds/Gm 209.86 68 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.6 20 




Yards/Game 353-7 42 




RushYds/Gm 128.7 29 




PassYds/Gm 225. 71 




Takeaways 27 26 



9/6 


W CAROLINA 


W69-0 






9/7 


MIAMI 


L 34-38 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 


9/13 


UT-CHATTANOOGA 


W46-7 






9/12 


JACKSONVILLE ST 


W19-9 


L (-34) 




9/20 


WAKE FOREST 


L 312 


L(4) 


U(45) 


9/19 


atBYU 


W 54-28 


W (+8/2) 


0(54) 


9/27 


COLORADO 
at Miami 


W 39-21 
W41-39 


W (-6/2) 
Wj'p'kj" 


0(42) 

0(40%) 


9/26 


S FLORIDA 


L7-17 


L (-1334) 


U(51) 


10/4 


10/3 


at Boston College 


L 21-28 


Lt-3'fc) 


0(45) 


10/16 


at NC State 


W 26-17 


L (-11) 


U(48) 


10/10 


GEORGIATECH 


L 44-49 


L(-3) 


0(56) 


10/25 


VIRGINIA TECH 

at Georgia Tech 


w 30-20 

L28-31 


W(-7) 
L(+2fc) 


(44/2) 
(41/2) 


10/22 


at N Carolina 


w 30-27 


W (+1/2) 


(47/2) 


11/1 


10/31 


NC STATE 


w 45-42 


L (-10/2) 


0(66) 


11/8 


CLEMSON 


w 41-27 


W(-3) 


(44/2) 


11/7 


at Clemson 


L 24-40 


L(+87 2 ) 


0(57) 


11/15 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 17-27 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


11/14 


at Wake Forest 


W 41-28 


W (+4/2) 


0(57) 


11/22 


at Maryland 


W37-3 


W (-1/2) 


U (48/2) 


11/21 


MARYLAND 


W 29-26 


L (-16/2) 


U(58) 


11/29 


FLORIDA 


L 15-45 


L (+16/2) 


0(53) 


11/28 


at Florida 


L 10-37 


L (+26) 


U(57) 


12/27 


vs Wisconsin 


w 42-13 


W(-7) 


(50/2)) 


1/1 


vs W Virginia 


W 33-21 


W(+3) 


U(56) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


SAMFORD 


W59-6 


W (-36/2) 




9/11 


at Oklahoma 


L 17-47 


Ti+Gj&r 


0(58) 


9/18 


BYU 


W 34-10 


w(-ioy 2 ) 0(59/2) 


9/25 


WAKE FOREST 


W31-O 


W (-20) 


ujeiVi) 


10/2 


at Virginia 


W 34-14 


W (-672) 


U (497) 


10/9 


at Miami 


W 45-17 


W (+5F2) 


(4972) 


10/16 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


w 24-19 


L ( 22K) 


U (48/2) 


10/28 


at NC State 


L 24-28 


L(-4) 


wkm) 


11/6 


N CAROLINA 


L 35-37 


L (-11) 


0(51) 


11/13 


CLEMSON 


W 16-13 


L(-6) 


U (46) 


11/20 


at Maryland 


w 36-16 


W (-4) 


0(53) 


11/27 


FLORIDA 


W31-7 


W (-27 2 ) 


U(5D 


12/4 


vs Virginia Tech 


L 33-44 


TT+435T 


0(51) 


12/31 


vs S Carolina 


W 26-17 


W |+2) 


u (53/2) 







3> 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 67 




j£L 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (**47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.5 (874 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 35-77 (56th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 37-17 (45th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +0.8 (#64 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



9/1 


W CAROLINA 


9/10 


at Middle Tenn st 


9/17 


KANSAS 


9/24 


N CAROLINA 


10/1 


at NC State 


10/8 


MARYLAND 


10/15 


at Virginia 


10/22 


at Miami 


10/29 


CLEMSON 


11/10 


VIRGINIA TECH 


11/19 


at Duke 


11/26 


GEORGIA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


9-4 


11-3 


6-7 


33-20 


62.3% 


4-7 


8-3 


8-5 


5-7 


25-22 


53-2% 


1-4 


4-1 


2-3 


2-3 


9-11 


45-0% 


3-3 


4-2 


6-2 


3-4 


16-11 


59.3% 


3-5 


6-2 


6-3 


3-4 


18-14 


56.3% 


1-2 


2-1 


2-2 


2-3 


7-8 


46.7% 


2-6 


5-2 


6-4 


2-3 


15-15 


50.0% 


2-1 


3-1 


2-1 


3-3 


10-6 


62.5% 


5-6 


4-7 


5-7 


5-7 


19-27 


41.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.0 71 




First Downs 20.4 50 




Yards/Game 407.2 36 




RushYds/Gm 323-3 1 




PassYds/Gm 83.92 119 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 25.2 57 




Yards/Game 371.6 64 




RushYds/Gm 169.7 78 




PassYds/Gm 201.9 34 




Takeaways 21 69 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


JACKSONVILLE ST 


W 41-14 






9/6 


at Boston College 


W 19-16 


W (+6/2) 


U(38) 


9/13 


at Virginia Tech 


L 17-20 


W (+6/2) 


U (40/2) 


9/20 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W38-7 


W(-7) 


0(38) 


10/4 


DUKE 


W27-0 


w (-13) 


U(49) 


10/11 


GARDNER WEBB 


WlO-O 






10/18 


at Clemson 


W 21-17 


W(-2) 


U(41) 


10/25 


VIRGINIA 


L 17-24 


L (-14) 


U (42/2) 


11/1 


FLORIDA ST 


w 31-28 


W (-2/2) 


(41/2) 


11/8 


at N Carolina 


L7-28 


L(+5) 


U(43) 


11/20 


MIAMI 


w 41-23 


W(-3) 


(42/2) 


11/29 


at Georgia 


w 45-42 


W(+8) 


0(50) 


12/31 


vsLSU 


L3-38 


L(-4) 


U(53) 



9/5 


JACKSONVILLE ST 


w 37-17 








CLEMSON 


w 30-27 


L(-5) 


0(43) 


9/17 


at Miami 


L 17-33 


L'R] 


U(54) 


9/26 


N CAROLINA 


W24-7 


W(-3) 


U(46) 


10/3 


at Mississippi St 


w 42-31 


WB55] 


0(48) 


10/10 


at Florida St 


W 49-44 


W(+3) 


0(56) 


10/17 


VIRGINIA TECH 


W 28-23 


W(+3%] 


U(54) 


10/24 


at Virginia 


W34-9 


■■■wiw" 


U (48) 


10/31 


atVahderbilt 


W 56-31 


w (-13K) 


0(48) 


11/7 


WAKE FOREST 


w 30-27 


[(1372) 


U(60) 


11/14 


at Duke 


W 49-10 


WF13K)" 


P(59) 


11/28 


GEORGIA 


L 24-30 


11-9)51 


U(57) 


12/5 


vs Clem son 


W 39-34 


W(-l) 


(56/2) 


1/5 


vs Iowa 


L 14-24 


L( : 6) 


U(5D 



9/4 


S CAROLINA ST 


w 41-10 


L (-34) 




9/11 


ansas 


L 25-28 


L (-14) 


0(51) 


9/18 


at N Carolina 


w 30-24 


W(+3) 


0(52) 


9/25 


NC STATE 


L 28-45 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


0(60) 


10/2 


at Wake Forest 


W 24-20 


L(-9) 


U (61/2) 


10/9 


VIRGINIA 


W 33-21 


W (-10) 


0(50) 


10/16 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


W 42-14 


W(-l8/ 2 ) U (58/2) 


10/23 


at Clemson 


L 13-27 


L(+4) 


U(5l) 


11/4 


at Virginia Tech 


L 21-28 


w (+13) 


U(56) 


11/13 


MIAMI 


L 10-35 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U(50) 


11/20 


DUKE 


w 30-20 


P(-10) 


U(6l) 


11/27 


at Georgia 


L 34-42 


W (+14) 


0(58) 


12/27 


vs Air Force 


L7-14 


L(+3) 


U(55) 




&li 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 44 (#35 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.0 (#31 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34-92 (61st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.25 (39th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +10.1 (#27 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 9-4 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-4-1 



9/5 


MIAMI 


9/17 


WVIRGINIA 


9/24 


TEMPLE 


10/1 


TOWSON 


10/8 


at Georgia Tech 


10/15 


CLEMSON 


10/22 


at Florida St 


10/29 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


11/5 


VIRGINIA 


11/12 


at Notre Dame 


11/19 


at Wake Forest 


11/26 


at NC State 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


DELAWARE 


W14-7 






9/6 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 14-24 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


9/13 


CALIFORNIA 


w 35-27 


W (+13/2) 


0(54) 


9/20 


E MICHIGAN 


w 51-24 


W (-21/2) 


0(52) 


9/27 


at Clemson 


w 20-17 


W (+12) 


u (49/2) 


10/4 


at Virginia 


L0-31 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


10/18 


WAKE FOREST 


W26-0 


W (+1/2) 


U (44/2) 


10/25 


NC STATE 


w 27-24 


L (-12) 


0(47) 


11/6 


at Virginia Tech 


L 13-23 


L(+3) 


U (41/2) 


11/15 


N CAROLINA 


w 17-15 


W(+3) 


U (44/2) 


11/22 


FLORIDA ST 


L3-37 


L (+134) 


U (48/2) 


11/29 


at Boston College 


L 21-28 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 


12/30 


vs Nevada 


w 42-35 


W(+2) 


0(61) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-7 


8-5 


2-10 


9-4 


25-26 


49-0% 


4-8 


6-6 


4-7 


9-4 


23-25 


47-9% 


2-3 


4-2 


2-5 


4-2 


12-12 


50.0% 


2-5 


2-4 


2-2 


5-2 


11-13 


45-8% 


3-5 


3-5 


4-3 


5-3 


15-16 


48.4% 


1-3 


3-1 


0-4 


4-1 


8-9 


47-1% 


0-2 


1-3 


0-2 


5-1 


6-8 


42.9% 


4-6 


5-3 


4-4 


4-3 


17-16 


51-5% 


4-8 


5-7 


4-7 


7-4 


20-26 


43-5% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.2 29 




First Downs 17.4 97 




Yards/Game 352.9 80 




RushYds/Gm 138.2 82 




PassYds/Gm 214.69 65 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.2 38 




Yards/Game 352.3 39 




RushYds/Gm 124.5 21 




PassYds/Gm 227.9 78 




Takeaways 29 18 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at California 


L 13-52 


L (+21) 


(50/2) 


9/12 


JAMES MADISON 


W 38-35 


LMO) 




9/19 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 31-32 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 


9/26 


RUTGERS 


L 13-34 


L(-l) 


U(49) 


10/3 


CLEMSON 


W 24-21 


W (+12/2) 


U(48) 


10/10 


at Wake Forest 


L 32-42 


W (+13/2) (52/2) 


10/17 


VIRGINIA 


L9-20 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


U(45) 


10/24 


at Duke 


L 13-17 


P(+4) 


U (54/2) 


11/7 


at NC State 


L 31-38 


L(+6fc) 


(55/2) 


11/14 


VIRGINIA TECH 


L9-36 


L (+20) 


U(47) 


11/21 


at Florida St 


L 26-29 


W (+16/2) 


U(58) 


11/28 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 17-19 


W(+5) 


u (45/2) 



9/6 


vs Navy 


W 17-14 


W(+6) 


U(49) 


9/11 


jAN ST 


W62-3 


W (-36) 




9/18 


at W Virginia 


L 17-31 


L (+10) 


0(45) 


9/25 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 42-28 


W (-10) 


0(44) 


10/2 


DUKE 


W 21-16 


L(-9) 


U(6l) 


10/16 


at Clemson 


L7-31 


L (+14/2) 


U(48) 


10/23 


at Boston College 


W 24-21 


W (+4/2) 


0(41) 


10/30 


WAKE FOREST 


W 62-14 


W(-5) 


(51/2) 


11/6 


at Miami 


L 20-26 


W (+10) 


P(46) 


11/13 


at Virginia 


w 42-23 


W(-3) 


(52/2) 


11/20 


FLORIDA ST 


L 16-30 


L(+4) 


U(53) 


11/27 


NC STATE 


w 38-31 


W (+1/2) 


0(54) 


12/29 


vs E Carolina 


w 51-20 


W(-8) 


(70/2) 



68 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 45 (#32 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.8 (#37 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40-77 (14th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.08 (22nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +5.6 (#44 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7-1 



2. 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/5 


at Maryland 


9/17 


OHIO ST 


9/24 


KANSAS ST 


10/1 


BETHUNE-COOKMAN 


10/8 


at Virginia Tech 


10/15 


at N Carolina 


10/22 


GEORGIA TECH 


10/27 


VIRGINIA 


11/5 


DUKE 


11/12 


at Florida St 


11/19 


at S Florida 


11/25 


BOSTON COLLEGE 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


7-6 


9-4 


7-6 


28-23 


54-9% 


3-8 


6-6 


6-7 


5-8 


20-29 


40.8% 


2-5 


1-4 


3-3 


2-4 


8-16 


33-3% 


1-3 


5-2 


3-4 


3-4 


12-13 


48.0% 


1-6 


3-5 


3-5 


3-5 


10-21 


32.3% 


2-2 


3-1 


3-2 


2-3 


10-8 


55-6% 


2-6 


3-4 


4-6 


5-6 


14-22 


38.9% 


1-2 


3-2 


2-0 


0-2 


6-6 


50.0% 


6-6 


6-6 


5-7 


4-7 


21-26 


447% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.3 67 




First Downs 22.2 26 




Yards/Game 421.3 31 




RushYds/Gm 182.5 30 




PassYds/Gm 238.85 43 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 20.7 27 




Yards/Game 323-3 22 




RushYds/Gm 172.8 84 




PassYds/Gm 150.5 3 




Takeaways 28 23 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


CHARLESTON S0U1 


W52-7 






9/7 
9/17 


at Florida St 
GEORGiATECH 


W 38-34 


W (+6/2) 

wW 


(46/2) 
U (54) 


9/2 


FLORIDA AM 


W45-0 


W (-40) 




9/6 


orida 


L3-26 


W (+24) 


0(53) 


9/11 


lio St 


L 24-36 


L{+9) 


0(47) 


9/20 


at Texas A&M 


w 41-23 


W (-2/2) 


0(40) 


9/26 


at Virginia Tech 


L7-31 


L(-2J 


u (45/2) 


9/23 


at Pittsburgh 


W31-3 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U (48/2) 


9/27 


N CAROLINA 


L 24-28 


L(7) 


(41/2) 


10/3 


OKLAHOMA 


W 21-20 


W (+7/2) 


U(5l) 


10/2 


at Clemson 


w 30-21 


W(-4) 


0(48/2) 


10/4 


FLORIDA ST 


L 39-41 


L(pk) 


(40/2) 


10/10 


FLORIDA AM 


W 48-I6 


L(-36/ 2 ) 




10/9 


FLORIDA ST 


L 17-45 


L (-5/2) 


(49/2) 


10/11 


UCF 


W 20-14 


L(-17) 


U (46/2) 


10/17 


at UCF 


W27-7 


W(-12/ 2 ) U(46/ 2 ) 


10/16 


at Duke 


W 28-13 


LM5/2) 


U{57) 


10/18 


at Duke 


W 49-31 


W(-3) 


(40/2) 


10/24 


CLEMSON 


L 37-40 


L(-4) 


0(42) 


10/23 


N CAROLINA 


W 33-10 


W(-6) 


U(48) 


10/25 


WAKE FOREST 


W 16-10 


W(-3) 


0(41) 


10/31 


at Wake Forest 


W 28-27 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 


10/30 


at Virginia 


L 19-24 


L (-14/2) 


u (51/2) 


11/1 


at Virginia 


w 24-17 


W (pk) 


U (42/2) 


11/7 


VIRGINIA 


w 52-17 


W (-14/2) 


0(44) 


11/6 


MARYLAND 


W 26-20 


L(-10) 


P(46) 


11/13 


VIRGINIA TECH 


W 16-14 


L(4) 


0(41) 


11/14 


at N Carolina 


L 24-33 


L(-3) 


0(43) 


11/13 


at Georgia Tech 


W 35-10 


W (-2/2) 


U(50) 


11/20 


at Georgia Tech 


L 23-41 


L(+3J 


(42/2) 


11/21 


DUKE 


W 34-16 


L (-19) 


U (56/2) 


11/20 


VIRGINIA TECH 


L 17-31 


L( + 2) 


U(50) 


11/29 


at NC State 


L 28-38 


L(-2) 


0(49) 


11/28 


at S Florida 


w 31-10 


W (-3/2) 


U(53) 


11/27 


S FLORIDA 


L 20-23 


L (-13) 


U (46/2) 


12/27 


vs California 


L 17-24 


W (+10) 


U(5D 


12/29 


vs Wisconsin 


L 14-20 


L (-334) 


u (55/2) 


12/31 


vs Notre Dame 


L 17-33 


L(-3) 


0(48) 



1 





2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


JAMES MADISON 


9/10 


RUTGERS 


9/17 


VIRGINIA 


9/24 


at Georgia Tech 


10/1 


at E Carolina 


10/8 


LOUISVILLE 


10/15 


MIAMI 


10/22 


at Clemson 


10/29 


WAKE FOREST 


11/5 


at NC State 


11/17 


at Virginia Tech 


11/26 


DUKE 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 44 (#35 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.8 (#54 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.08 (37th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35-58 (56th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +2.1 (#60 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


8-5 


8-5 


8-5 


28-23 


54.9% 


6-5 


7-5 


6-6 


7-5 


26-21 


55-3% 


3-2 


3-3 


4-2 


2-3 


12-10 


54.5% 


3-3 


4-2 


2-4 


5-2 


14-11 


56.0% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-4 


3-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


2-1 


3-1 


2-2 


4-0 


11-4 


73-3% 


1-2 


4-5 


2-4 


4-3 


11-14 


44-0% 


5-3 


3-0 


3-2 


3-2 


14-7 


66.7% 


4-6 


8-4 


5-6 


5-7 


22-23 


48.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 25.3 76 




First Downs 18.9 71 




Yards/Game 389.7 51 




RushYds/Gm 125.7 94 




PassYds/Gm 264 26 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.2 45 




Yards/Game 338.5 30 




RushYds/Gm 125.6 22 




PassYds/Gm 212.9 50 




Takeaways 24 45 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



8/30 


MCNEESEST 


w 35-27 






9/11 


rtgers 


W 44-12 


W(+6) 


0(49) 




VIRGINIA TECH 


L 17-20 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 




9/27 


at Miami 


W 28-24 


W(+7) 




10/4 


CONNECTICUT 


W 38-12 


W(-8) 




10/11 


NOTRE DAME 


w 29-24 


L(-7 1 / 2 ) 


0(47) 




ginia 


L 13-16 


L(-3/ 2 ) 






BOSTON COLLEGE 


W 45-24 


W(-3) 


(41/2) 


11/8 


GEORGIATECH 


W28-7 


W(-5) 


U(43) 


11/15 


ryland 


L 15-17 


L(-3) 






NC STATE 


L 10-41 


L (13) 


0(48) 




at Duke 


W 28-20 


W(-7) 


0(44) 




vs W Virginia 


L 30-31 


W (+2/2) 


(47/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


THE CITADEL 


W40-6 






9/12 


at Connecticut 


W 12-10 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


U (41/2) 




OLINA 


w 31-17 


W(-8) 






at Georgia Tech 


L7-24 


L(+3J 


U(46) 


10/3 


VIRGINIA 


L3-16 


L (12) 


U(43) 




GA SOUTHERN 


W 42-12 


W (-25/2) 






DA ST 


L 27-30 


L(-l 1 / 2 ) 


(47/2) 




at Virginia Tech 


W 20-17 


W (+14/2) 


U(43) 


11/7 


DUKE 


W19-6 


W (-9/2) 


U(45) 




MIAMI 


W 33-24 


W(+3) 


0(43) 


11/21 


at Boston College 


w 31-13 


W(+3) 






at NC State 


L 27-28 


L(-6) 


0(49) 




sburgh 


L 17-19 


L(+D 


U(46) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


vsLSU 


L 24-30 


W (+7/2) 


0(43) 




GEORGIATECH 


L 24-30 


L(-3) 


0(52) 


9/25 


itgers 


w 17-13 


W(-3) 


U(44) 


10/2 


OLINA 


w 42-17 


W (-14/2) 


U(6l) 


10/9 


/ISON 


W 21-16 


W(-2) 


U(5D 




rginia 


W 44-10 


W(-6) 


0(46) 




at Miami 


L 10-33 


L(+6) 


U(48) 




WILLIAM & MARY 


W 21-17 


L (-20) 




11/6 


rida St 


W 37-35 


W (+11) 


0(51) 


11/13 


IATECH 


L 10-26 


L(+3) 






NC STATE 


L 25-29 


L'f-2) 




11/27 


at Duke 


w 24-19 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(59) 




vs Tennessee 


w 30-27 


W(+l) 


0(50) 




StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 69 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 48 (#22 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.8 (#22 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.08 (37th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 33-42 (71st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +10.5 (#26 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 10-3 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


LIBERTY 


9/10 


at Wake Forest 


9/17 


S ALABAMA 


9/22 


at Cincinnati 


10/1 


GEORGIA TECH 


10/8 


C MICHIGAN 


10/22 


at Virginia 


10/29 


at Florida St 


11/5 


N CAROLINA 


11/12 


at Boston College 


11/19 


CLEMSON 


11/26 


MARYLAND 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


6-7 


5-7 


9-4 


25-25 


50.0% 


5-6 


9-2 


6-6 


10-3 


30-17 


63-8% 


2-4 


5-1 


5-3 


5-1 


17-9 


65.4% 


3-2 


4-1 


1-3 


5-2 


13-8 


61.9% 


4-4 


8-0 


3-5 


6-2 


21-11 


65.6% 


1-2 


1-2 


3-1 


4-1 


9-6 


60.0% 


1-2 


0-0 


1-2 


3-2 


5-6 


45.5% 


4-4 


9-2 


3-4 


6-1 


22-11 


66.7% 


5-5 


6-6 


8-2 


4-8 


23-21 


52.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 31-9 32 




First Downs 23.3 19 




Yards/Game 404-5 39 




RushYds/Gm 123.3 95 




PassYds/Gm 281.15 18 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.3 29 




Yards/Game 339-4 31 




RushYds/Gm 114.3 14 




PassYds/Gm 225.1 72 




Takeaways 29 18 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


at S Carolina 


LO-34 


L (+14) 


u (43/2) 


9/6 


WILLIAM & MARY 


W 34-24 






9/13 


at Clemson 


L9-27 


W (+21/2) 


U(46) 


9/20 


E CAROLINA 


w 30-24 


W(+7) 


(43/2) 


9/27 


S FLORIDA 


L 10-41 


L (+10) 


(45/2) 


10/4 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 31-38 


W (+7/2) 


0(42) 


10/16 


FLORIDA ST 


L 17-26 


W (+11) 


U(48) 


10/25 


at Maryland 


L 24-27 


W (+12) 


0(47) 


11/8 


at Duke 


w 27-17 


W(+4) 


U (48/2) 


11/15 


WAKE FOREST 


W 21-17 


W (+3/2) 


u (43/2) 


11/22 


at N Carolina 


w 41-10 


w (+13) 


0(48) 


11/29 


MIAMI 


W 38-28 


W(+2) 


0(49) 


12/29 


vs Rutgers 


L 23-29 


P(+6) 


u (57/2) 



9/3 


S CAROLINA 


L3-7 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


U(48) 


9/12 


MURRAY ST 


W65-7 


W (-41) 




9/19 


GARDNER WEBB 


W45-7 


w (-31) 




9/26 


PITTSBURGH 


w 38-31 


W(+l) 


0(48) 


10/3 


at Wake Forest 


L 24-30 


L(+3) 


0(50) 


10/10 


DUKE 


L 28-49 


LM5/2) 


0(54) 


10/17 


at Boston College 


L 20-52 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


(48/2) 


10/31 


at Florida St 


L 42-45 


W (+10/2) 


0(66) 


11/7 


MARYLAND 


w 38-31 


W (-6/2) 


(55/2) 


11/14 


CLEMSON 


L 23-43 


L(+8) 


0(55) 


11/21 


at Virginia Tech 


L 10-38 


L (+21) 


U (58/2) 


11/28 


N CAROLINA 


W 28-27 


W(+6) 


0(49) 



9/4 


W CAROLINA 


W48-7 


W (-33) 




9/11 


atUCF 


W 28-21 


W(+3) 


U(52) 


9/16 


CINCINNATI 


w 30-19 


W(-2) 


U(54) 


9/25 


at Georgia Tech 


W 45-28 


W (+8/2) 


0(60) 


10/2 


VIRGINIA TECH 


L 30-41 


L(+4) 


(53/2) 


10/9 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


W 44-17 


W(-9) 


0(48) 


10/16 


at E Carolina 


L 27-33 


L(7 1 /2) 


U (69/2) 


10/28 


FLORIDA ST 


W 28-24 


W(+4) 


U (58/2) 


11/6 


at Clemson 


L 13-14 


W(+4) 


U(54) 


11/13 


WAKE FOREST 


W38-3 


W (-20) 


U(6l) 


11/20 


at N Carolina 


w 29-25 


W(+2) 


u (55/2) 


11/27 


at Maryland 


L 31-38 


LUfc) 


0(54) 


12/28 


vs W Virginia 


W23-7 


W(+3) 


u (49/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 31 (#76 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.8 (#75 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.67 (76th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.00 (40th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -2.9 (#82 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


WILLIAM & MARY 


9/10 


at Indiana 


9/17 


at N Carolina 


9/24 


SOUTHERN MISS 


10/1 


IDAHO 


10/15 


GEORGIA TECH 


10/22 


NC STATE 


10/27 


at Miami 


11/5 


at Maryland 


11/12 


DUKE 


11/19 


at Florida St 


11/26 


VIRGINIA TECH 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


5-7 


3-9 


4-8 


21-28 


42.9% 


6-7 


5-6 


6-5 


6-6 


23-24 


48.9% 


2-4 


3-3 


2-4 


4-3 


11-14 


44-0% 


4-3 


2-3 


4-1 


2-3 


12-10 


54-5% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-4 


2-6 


14-18 


43.8% 


2-3 


1-2 


2-1 


4-0 


9-6 


60.0% 


1-6 


0-0 


2-1 


2-0 


5-7 


41-7% 


5-1 


5-6 


4-4 


3-6 


17-17 


50.0% 


6-5 


4-7 


6-5 


5-5 


21-22 


48.8% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 25.3 


75 




First Downs 21.3 


39 




Yards/Game 404.8 


37 




RushYds/Gm 139-3 


77 




PassYds/Gm 265.5 


25 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 28.3 


70 




Yards/Game 396.1 


78 




RushYds/Gm 2037 


106 




PassYds/Gm 192.4 


25 




Takeaways 16 


102 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



8/30 

9/6 

9/I3 

9/27 

10/4 
•-/--■ 

io7i8] 

i'l/i 

11/8"'' 
„_„.... 

1]L / 2 g- 



use 

RICHMOND 

at Connecticut 
atDuke 



L7-52 

W16-0 

""["10-45" 

L3-31 



L(+20/ 2 ) 0(43) 



MARYLAND 
^CAROLINA 

'^CAROLINA ]''■' 



W31-O 
■•■■—— 

'w'24-17 



L (+10/2) 

L(+7) 

W (+12/2) 



(40/2) 

U (45) 

0(45) 



W (+5/2) 
"W(+3>2J" 
W(+14J 



0(44) 

U (44/2) 
U (42/2) 



MIAMI 

at Wake Forest 



L 17-24 
L 17-28 



CLEMSON 



L3-13 
L 14-17 



L(pk) 

L(+5 1 / 2 j 
L(+2/ 2 j 
W (+7) 



U (42/2) 
6(40) 

U(43) 
0(39) 



70 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


WILLIAM & MARY 


W 14-26 






9/12 

9/19 
10/3 


TCU 

at Southern Miss 
at N Carolina 


L 14-30 
L 34-37 
W 16-3 


L (+11) 0(42) 
W (+13/2) (46/2) 
"W( + 12J U (43) 




INDIANA 


W47-7 


W(-7) 


0(47) 


10/17 


ryland 


W20-9 


W(-3 1 / 2 ) 


U(45) 




GEORGIA TECH 


L9-34 


L(+5 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 


10/31 


DUKE 


L 17-28 


L(7 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 


11/7 


at Miami 


L 17-52 


L (+14/2) 


0(44) 


11/14 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 10-14 


W (+4/2) 


U(44) 


11/21 


!mson 


L 21-34 


W (+20/2) 


0(45) 




VIRGINIA TECH 


L 13-42 


L (+14) 





2010 OPPONENT 



9/4 
9/11 
9/25'I 
10/2 

10/9 " 

10/23 
„.„.„.„..... 

11/13 

11/20 

1 ^27 



RICHMOND 
atUSC 
VMI 
FLORlbASf 



vy34:.i3. 

L 14-17 
W48-7 
L 14-34 



W(-7) 
W (+20/2) 

w'HbHJ" 
T(+W" 



U(53) 

U (49)4) 



at Georgia Tech 

N CAROLINA 

E MICHIGAN 



L.2133 

L 10-44 
■••■—•— 



L (+10) 

L(+6) 
WJ-24) 



0(50) 
0(56) 



MIAMI 
atDuke 

at Boston College 
Tia Tech 



W 24-19 
[48-55 



L 23-42 
L 13-17 
L 7-37 



W (+14/2) 
L(pkj 
L(+3) 
W (+7) 

L (+21/2) 



U (51/2) 

U (57) 




MM 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 53 (#12 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +16.1 (#13 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.64 (30th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.25 (75th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +13.3 (#17 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-3 

2010 ATS Record: 10-4 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-7 



9/3 


APPALACHIANS! 


9/10 


at E Carolina 


9/17 


ARKANSAS ST 


9/24 


at Marshall 


10/1 


CLEMSON 


10/8 


MIAMI 


10/15 


at Wake Forest 


10/22 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


10/29 


at Duke 


11/10 


at Georgia Tech 


11/17 


N CAROLINA 


11/26 


at Virginia 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


vs E Carolina 


L 22-27 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


9/fa 





W"24-7" 






9/13 


GEORGIA TECH 


w 20-17 


t"W 


■FfioKJ" 


9/20 


at N Carolina 


w 20-17 


W( + 3/ 2 ) 


u (43K) 


9/27 


at Nebraska 


w 35-30 


W (+7) 


0(48) 


10/4 


W KENTUCKY 


w 27-13 


TfaW 


0(47] 


10/18 


at Boston College 


L 23-28 


LT+3] 


(3972) 


10/25 


at Florida St 


L 20-30 


n+7] 


(44 1 /2) 


11/6 


MARYLAND 


w 23-13 


W(-3) 


U (41/2) 


11/13 


at Miami 


L 14-16 


W(+4) 


0(41) 


11/22 


DUKE 


W14-3 




0(43) 


11/29 


VIRGINIA 


W 17-14 


L(-7) 


U (39) 


12/6 


vs Boston College 


w 30-12 


W(+l) 


0(38) 


1/1 


vs Cincinnati 


W20-7 


W (+272) 


0(41) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-3 


10-4 


10-3 


11-3 


42-13 


76.4% 


7-6 


6-7 


8-5 


10-4 


31-22 


58.5% 


2-4 


1-4 


4-2 


5-2 


12-12 


50.0% 


5-2 


5-3 


4-3 


5-2 


19-10 


65-5% 


7-2 


4-5 


5-3 


8-1 


24-11 


68.6% 


0-4 


2-2 


3-2 


2-3 


7-11 


38.9% 


5-5 


1-5 


7-4 


10-3 


23-17 


57-5% 


2-1 


5-2 


1-1 


0-1 


8-5 


61.5% 


6-7 


5-8 


6-7 


6-7 


23-29 


44-2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 33-9 21 




First Downs 20.6 45 




Yards/Game 402.3 41 




RushYds/Gm 198.7 23 




PassYds/Gm 203.57 72 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 20.6 26 




Yards/Game 361.5 52 




RushYds/Gm 155-9 64 




PassYds/Gm 205.6 40 




Takeaways 32 8 



9/5 


vs Alabama 


L 24-34 


L (+6/2) 


0(37) 


9/12 


SHALL 


w 52-10 


W (-20) 


0(44) 


9/19 


NEBRASKA 


W 16-15 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


U(5D 


9/26 


MIAMI 


W31-7 


W(+2) 


u (45/2) 


10/3 


at Duke 


W 34-26 


L (-17) 


(48/2) 


10/10 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


W 48-14 


W(-13/ 2 ) 0(44/2) 


10/17 


at Georgia Tech 


L 23-28 


L(-3fc) 


U(54) 


10/29 


N CAROLINA 


L 17-20 


LM4/2) 


U(43) 


11/5 


at E Carolina 


W16-3 


W(-12/ 2 ) U(5l/ 2 ) 


11/14 


at Maryland 


W36-9 


W (-20) 


U(47) 


11/21 


NC STATE 


W 38-10 


W (-21) 


U (58/2) 


11/28 


at Virginia 


w 42-13 


W (-14) 


0(44) 


12/31 


vs Tennessee 


W 37-14 


W(-5) 


0(48) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/6 


vs Boise St 


L 30-33 


L (-134) 


(53) 


9/11 


jAMESMADiSON 


116-21 


L (-33) 




9/18 


E CAROLINA 


w 49-27 


W (-19J4) 0('59>2) 


9/25 


at Boston College 


W19-O 


W(-3 1 72J 


U (457) 


10/2 


at NC State 


w 41-30 


W(-4) 


0(537) 


10/9 


C MICHIGAN 


W 45-21 


w (-2172) 


0(55) 


10/16 


WAKE FOREST 


w 52-21 


W(-22':) 


0(54) 


10/23 


DUKE 


W44-7 


w (-27) 


U (64) 


11/4 


GEORGIA TECH 


W 28-21 


L (13) 


U(56) 


11/13 


at N Carolina 


W 26-10 


W(-3) 


U (517) 


11/20 


at Miami 


w 31-17 


W(-2) 


U (50) 


11/27 


VIRGINIA 


W37-7 


W (-21V2) 


U(57) 


12/4 


vs Florida St 


W 44-33 


w (-472) 


0(51) 


1/3 


vs Stanford 


L 12-40 


L (+3K) 


U (587) 




M 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -8.5 (#97 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 39-58 (22nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.83 (33rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -13.1 (#107 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



9/3 


at Syracuse 


9/10 


NC STATE 


9/17 


GARDNER WEBB 


10/1 


at Boston College 


10/8 


FLORIDA ST 


10/15 


VIRGINIA TECH 


10/22 


at Duke 


10/29 


at N Carolina 


11/5 


NOTRE DAME 


11/12 


atClemson 


11/19 


MARYLAND 


11/26 


VANDERBILT 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


8-5 


5-7 


3-9 


25-25 


50.0% 


9-4 


6-7 


6-6 


4-8 


25-25 


50.0% 


5-1 


3-4 


4-3 


3-3 


15-11 


57.7% 


4-3 


3-3 


2-3 


1-5 


10-14 


41-7% 


5-3 


3-5 


4-4 


2-6 


14-18 


43.8% 


4-1 


3-2 


2-2 


2-2 


11-7 


61.1% 


5-2 


4-5 


3-4 


1-1 


13-12 


52.0% 


4-2 


2-2 


2-2 


3-7 


11-13 


45-8% 


8-5 


6-7 


6-5 


5-6 


25-23 


52.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 22.8 


91 




First Downs 15.8 


109 




Yards/Game 302.3 


108 




RushYds/Gm 158.5 


54 




PassYds/Gm 143-83 


114 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 35-8 


110 




Yards/Game 430.7 


101 




RushYds/Gm 192.5 


99 




PassYds/Gm 238.2 


92 




Takeaways 17 


94 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


at Baylor 


w 41-13 


W(-ll 1 / 2 ) 0(50/2) 


9/6 


OLE MISS 


W 30-28 


L(7) 


0(45) 


9/20 


at Florida St 


W12-3 


W(+4) 


U(45) 


9/27 


NAVY 


L 17-24 


L (-17) 


U(53) 


10/9 


CLEMSON 


W12-7 


W(+l) 


U(42) 


10/18 


at Maryland 


LO-26 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


10/25 


at Miami 


L 10-16 


L(+3) 


U(4D 


11/1 


DUKE 


w 33-30 


L(-8) 


(41/2) 


11/8 


VIRGINIA 


W 28-17 


W (-5/2) 


0(40) 


11/15 


at N CState 


L 17-21 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


u (43/2) 


11/22 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 21-24 


L( + l/ 2 ) 


(40/2) 


11/29 


VANDERBILT 


w 23-10 


W(-4) 


u (37/2) 


12/20 


vs Navy 


w 29-19 


W(-3) 


(44/2) 



9/5 


BAYLOR 

STANFORD 


L 21-24 
••— — • 


L(-2/ 2 ) 
W(-3) 


u (53/2) 

U (4634) 


9/2 


PRESBYTERIAN 


w 53-13 


L (-44/2) 




9/12 


9/11 


DUKE 


W 54-48 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 


9/19 


ELON 


W35-7 


W (-20) 




9/18 


at Stanford 


L 24-68 


L(+17/ 2 ) 


0(56) 


9/26 


at Boston College 


L 24-27 


L(+l) 


0(41) 


9/25 


at Florida St 


LO-31 


L (+20) 


U (61/2) 


10/3 


NC STATE 


w 30-24 


W(-3) 


0(50) 


10/2 


GEORGIA TECH 


L 20-24 


W(+9) 


U (61/2) 


10/10 


MARYLAND 


w 42-32 


LM3/2) 


(52/2) 


10/9 


NAVY 


L 27-28 


W(+3) 


(47/) 


10/17 


atClemson 


L3-38 


L(+8) 


U (47/2) 


10/16 


at Virginia Tech 


L 21-52 


L (+22/2) 


0(54) 


10/24 


at Navy 


L 10-13 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U (47/2) 


10/30 


at Maryland 


L 14-62 


L(+5) 


(51/) 


10/31 


MIAMI 


L 27-28 


W (+6/2) 


0(52/2) 


11/6 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L 13-23 


L(+4) 


U(48) 


11/7 


at Georgia Tech 


L 27-30 


W (+13/2) 


U(60) 


11/13 


at NC State 


L3-38 


L (+20) 


U(6l) 


11/14 


FLORIDA ST 


L 28-41 


L(-4 1 /2) 


0(57) 


11/20 


CLEMSON 


L 10-30 


L (+14) 


U (48/2) 


11/28 


at Duke 


W 45-34 


W (-3/2) 


0(53) 


11/27 


at Vanderbilt 


W 34-13 


W (+4/2) 


U(48) 



1 




3> 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 71 



PREDICTED FINISH 







l. Oklahoma 


6. Baylor 




2. Texas A&M 


7. Kansas State 


3. Oklahoma State 


8. Texas Tech 


4. Texas 


9. Iowa State 


5. Missouri 


10. Kansas 









Bfl 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Baylor reached its first bowl game since 1994, but the Bears are still far 
behind the Big 12 elite. In four games versus Top 25 final poll participants 
(TCU, Okla. St, Texas A&M, Okla.) they had zero sacks and were outscored 
195 to 92. The offense is in great shape with ultra-talented QB Robert Griffin 
III (3,501 pass yds, 22 TD, 8 INT; 635 rush yds, 8 TD). Griffin's top two wide- 
outs also return in Kendall Wright (78 rec, 952 yds, 7 TD) and Josh Gordon 
(714 rec yds, 7 TD, 17.0 avg). TB jay Finley is gone, but Terrance Ganaway 
(6.4 YPC) and Jarred Salubi (8.3 YPC) are both capable runners behind a 
strong offensive line. Baylor lost six players from a defense that ranked 
104th in yardage (435 YPG). Three of the four starters in the secondary grad- 
uated, but new DC Phil Bennett has a couple of budding stars in sophomore 
DE Tevin Elliott (team-high 5 sacks and 9 TFL) and MLB Chris McAllister. 



FATE 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The ISU program appeared headed in right direction last year with wins 
at Texas and versus Texas Tech, and an overtime loss to Nebraska. But 
2011 could be a rebuilding season with many key skill-position starters to 
replace, including QB Austin Arnaud and RB Alexander Robinson. Junior 
|erome Tiller (47-6% completion rate) and JUCO transfer Steele Jantz will 
compete for signal-calling duty. Tiller has more experience, but Steele has 
more athleticism and speed. RB Shontrelle |ohnson (6.2 YPC) will likely 
receive the most carries, but he may not be able to handle a complete work- 
load at 5-foot-g and 182 pounds. Darius Reynolds (25 rec, 283 yds, 2 TD) is 
the best WR remaining on the roster, but JUCO transfer Aaron Home had 
a great spring. The Cyclones defense needs to generate a pass rush after a 
pitiful 11 sacks last year, but the linebacking corps is strong with returnees 
lake Knott (130 tackles, 4 INT) and A.|. Klein (ill tackles, 8 TFL). The second- 
ary remains the weak link of the team with its lack of playmakers. 



KAE 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Turner Gill's first season at Kansas was a nightmare as the |ayhawks went 
1-7 in Big 12 play, with the seven defeats by an average score of 41 to 9- 
They ranked 113th in offense (296 YPG), mostly due to poor quarterback 
play (11 TD, 14 INT, 5-5 YPA). Sophomore Jordan Webb (1,195 pass yds, 7 
TD, 8 INT) is the front-runner to start under center, while RB James Sims 
is a lock to start. The sophomore led the team with 742 rushing yards (4.4 
YPC) and 10 total TD. Sims has a decent 0-Line blocking for him with three 



starters returning. Daymond Patterson (60 rec, 487 yds) is the only return- 
ing WR with 250 receiving yards, as this unit lacks big-play receivers. The 
defense ranked 98th in yardage (428 YPG) and only forced 12 turnovers (tied 
for last in nation). KU lost its top two defensive players in DE Jake Laptad 
and LB Justin Springer, as senior WLB Steven Johnson (95 tackles, 4-5 TFL) 
will be tasked with leading this motley crew. The D-Line lacks a consistent 
pass rusher and the secondary is void of ball skills. 



mmm o 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 42 - Starters Returning: 6 

Bill Snyder's Wildcats lost a ton of firepower on offense, namely RB Daniel 
Thomas and QB Carson Coffman. Junior Collin Klein (11-18, 138 yds, 1 
TD), former Boston College player/JUCO transfer Justin Tuggle and senior 
Sammuel Lamur are all competing to start under center. Transfer Bryce 
Brown gained 460 yards on 4-6 YPC as a true freshman at Tennessee and 
will likely be the main ball carrier for KSU this year. Other replacements 
needed are three starting offensive linemen and a go-to receiver to replace 
Aubrey Quarles. No other player gained more than 330 receiving yards. The 
defense was atrocious last year, especially against the rush, where they 
surrendered 5-9 YPC, and a nation's-worst 3,008 rushing yards. This includ- 
ed 200+ rushing yards in eight of their final 10 games. Other than senior 
nickel back David Garrett (92 tackles, 15 TFL, 9 PD) and sophomore SS Ty 
Zimmerman, there are no other defenders enrolled at KSU that are huge 
playmakers. Junior DE Brandon Harold (7.5 TFL) and senior LB Alex Hrebec 
(77 tackles, 10 PD) are both solid, but unspectacular. 






Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The Tigers look to build on their 10-win season by returning nine offensive 
starters. The two players not coming back are QB Blaine Gabbert and All- 
Big 12 center Tim Barnes. Sophomore James Franklin will enter the fall as 
the starting QB. His numbers in limited action show he's a dual-threat quar- 
terback: 11-14, 106 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT; 116 rush yds, 5.0 YPC. Franklin's sup- 
porting cast is excellent with all of the team's receivers returning. The best 
two are WR T.J. Moe (92 rec, 1,045 yds, 6 TD) and TE Michael Egnew (90 rec, 
762 yds, 5 TD). Senior RB De'Vion Moore (517 rush yds, 8 TD, 5.2 YPC) will 
be expected to be the featured back again this year. Defensively, Missouri 
loses some key players (DE Aldon Smith and both starting corners), but the 
unit is still stacked. The Tigers had 37 sacks and 18 INT last year, while plac- 
ing sixth in the nation in scoring defense (16.1 PPG). The secondary has big 
shoes to fill, but DEs Brad Madison (7.5 sacks, 11 TFL) and Jacquies Smith 
(5.5 sacks), and WLB Zaviar Gooden (84 tackles, 7-5 TFL) will help take pres- 
sure off the back four, led by senior SS Kenji Jackson (66 tackles). 



72 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



out 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Many pundits expect the Sooners to win the BCS National Championship 
this year, but after the tragic death of starting MLB Austin Box in May, 
they'll be playing with heavy hearts this season. The offense is stacked 
with QB Landry |ones (4,718 pass yds, 38 TD, 12 INT) and WR Ryan Broyles 
(FBS-best 131 catches; 1,622 yds, 14 TD), who are both legitimate Heisman 
candidates. WR Kenny Stills improved greatly his freshman season, finish- 
ing with 61 grabs for 786 yards and five scores. The ground game will cer- 
tainly miss DeMarco Murray and his 15 rushing TD last year. Roy Finch (398 
rush yds, 4-7 YPC), Brennan Clay (127 rush yds, 3-5 YPC) and incoming fresh- 
man Brandon Williams are all expected to carry the football this season. 
Including Box, the ball-hungry defense lost five starters from a unit whose 
106 TFL was the third-most in the nation. OU also forced 32 turnovers (13 
fumbles, 19 INT) and had 37 sacks last year. The pass rush has weakened a 
bit with DE |eremy Beal and DT Pryce Macon leaving, but senior DE Frank 
Alexander (7 sacks, 13 TFL) remains. Senior LB Travis Lewis (team-high 109 
tackles) will try to pick up the slack for Box and lead an improving line- 
backer unit. The Sooners secondary is excellent with four of five starters 
returning, including CBs |amell Fleming (5 INT, 14 PD) and Demontre Hurst 
(3 FF, 11 PD), and nickel back Tony Jefferson (7 TFL, 7 PD). 

OKLAHOMA STATE 

Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Offensive genius Dana Holgorsen left the school, but the multiple spread 
offense will look pretty much the same under new OC Todd Monken. 
Senior QB Brandon Weeden (4,277 yds, 34 TD, 13 INT) and junior WR Justin 
Blackmon (ill rec, 1,782 yds, 20 TD) form one of the best tandems in 
the country, even if they're not the best in the state (OU's Landry Jones 
and Ryan Broyles). This dynamic duo was the biggest reason the Cowboys 
ranked second in the nation in passing offense (346 YPG) and third in points 
(44-2 PPG). They also did nice job rushing the football to protect their many 
leads, averaging 174 rush YPG on 5.0 yards per carry. All five starters on the 
offensive line are back, but gone is TB Kendall Hunter and his 1,548 rushing 
yards and 16 TD. Sophomore Joseph Randle is the top rusher enrolled at 
the school, as he gained 452 yards on 5-5 YPC as a freshman last year. The 
defense allowed just 16.5 PPG in their final six victories, but the secondary 
was lit up for 276 passing YPG on the year, ranking sixth-worst in the nation. 
Six defensive starters depart including CB Andrew McGee, whose 5 INT led 
the Big 12 last season, and the team's leading tackier MLB Orie Lemon. 
That leaves LB Shaun Lewis (8 TFL, 3 INT, 3 FF) and SS Markelle Martin (3 
INT, 10 PD) as the biggest playmakers on defense. 



TESSAS 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

A disastrous 2-7 finish to the 2010 season was followed by the departure 
of DC/coach-in-waiting Will Muschamp and ousting of OC Greg Davis. Most 
of the offense returns, but it's a unit that didn't score more than 22 points 
in any Big 12 game last year. The Longhorns turned the ball over 30 times 
and were one of five FBS teams with a minus-l TO margin per game, junior 
QB Garrett Gilbert should be able to hold off Case McCoy and keep his 
starting job, but Gilbert ranked 95th in the nation in passing efficiency. In 



Big 12 play, he only threw 6 TD with 16 INT. But QB isn't the only problem 
area, as leading WR James Kirkendoll and three 0-Line starters need to be 
replaced. The RB unit is led by seniors Cody Johnson (592 rush yds, 6 TD) 
and Fozzy Whittaker (351 rush yds, 2 TD), but neither has big-play potential 
like freshman Malcolm Brown. Co-offensive coordinators Major Applewhite 
and Bryan Harsin (Boise State) should infuse new life into the offense. New 
DC Manny Diaz left Mississippi State to fill the big void left by Muschamp. 
Diaz will bring an attacking mentality to a defensive unit that is led by MLB 
Emmanuel Acho (79 tackles, 8.5 TFL) and converted DE Alex Okafor who 
had five sacks in the spring game. DT Kheeston Randall and WLB Keenan 
Robinson (105 tackles) are also quality players. Texas only had eight inter- 
ceptions last year, and both starting corners have to be replaced. 



.,,,-.,,,.,,. 



Offense: Multiple Pro - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 8 

Expectations are high in College Station this year as Texas A&M returns 17 
starters to a team that finished the regular season with six straight wins. 
QB Ryan Tannehill orchestrated the win streak after replacing Preseason 
Big 12 Player of the Year jerrod Johnson. Tannehill threw for 1,409 yards 
(235 YPG) with 11 TD and just 3 INT in the six games. His top two receivers, 
Jeff Fuller (72 rec, 1,066 yds, 12 TD) and Ryan Swope (72 rec, 825 yds, 4 TD) 
will help Tannehill continue to improve. But the heart of the offense is the 
two-headed rushing attack of Christine Michael (631 rush yds, 5-0 YPC, 4 
TD), who suffered a broken leg in October, and Cyrus Gray, who filled in for 
Michael with seven straight 100-yard games and 10 TD to finish the season. 
With four starters returning to the offensive line, this will be quite an excit- 
ing duo to watch in 2011. The defense only lost three starters, but two of 
them will be difficult to replace in All-American OLB Von Miller and leading 
tackier LB Michael Hodges. Demontre Moore backed up Miller as a fresh- 
man last year and posted 5-5 sacks and 3 forced fumbles. He'll be joined by 
two other strong LBs in senior ILB Garrick Williams (112 tackles, 5 TFL) and 
junior OLB Sean Porter (7 TFL, 6 PD). The secondary returns all four starters, 
and is expected to improve on its No. 89 ranking in passing defense (234 
YPG). CBs Coryell judie and Dustin Harris both had 4 INT last year. 






Offense: Single Back Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 or 4-2-5 - Starters Returning: 8 

It was an up-and-down season for the Red Raiders, who started 4-4, but 
finished strong with four victories in the final five games. The high-octane 
offense ran pretty smoothly in Tommy Tuberville's first season as head 
coach, ranking seventh in the nation in passing yards (319 YPG) and 23rd 
in scoring (33.1 PPG). TTU scored 48.0 PPG in the final three games (all 
wins). QB Taylor Potts has departed, and junior Seth Doege (41-65, 427 yds, 
2 TD, INT in career) will likely replace Potts. Unfortunately for Doege, the 
team's top two receivers, Lyle Leong and Detron Lewis do not return with 
their combined 161 catches, 1,778 yards and 25 touchdowns. Alex Torres 
(39 rec, 481 yds, 3 TD) will see many more balls thrown his way this year. 
The young defense hopes to reap the rewards of its growing pains last 
year, when they allowed 294 passing YPG (third-worst in nation), and 30.9 
PPG (93rd in nation). New DC Chad Glasgow comes over from TCU and will 
implement his 4-2-5 defense, which is a big change from last year's 3-4 look. 
DE Scott Smith (3 sacks, 4 TFL in five games) will be tasked with replacing 
the team sack leader Brian Duncan, while sophomore Terrance Bullitt will 
occupy the third safety spot (nickel back) in the 4-2-5 set. 



i 

« 






1 

■ 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 

73 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +0.9 (#67 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37.46 (41st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40-58 (18th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +0.7 (#65 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/2 


TCU 


9/17 


SF AUSTIN 


9/24 


RICE 


10/1 


at Kansas St 


10/8 


IOWA ST 


10/15 


at Texas A&M 


10/29 


at Oklahoma St 


11/5 


MISSOURI 


11/12 


at Kansas 


11/19 


OKLAHOMA 


11/26 


TEXAS TECH 


12/3 


TEXAS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


4-8 


4-8 


7-6 


18-31 


36.7% 


4-7 


8-3 


6-6 


5-8 


23-24 


48.9% 


2-3 


4-2 


2-4 


2-4 


10-13 


43.5% 


2-4 


4-1 


4-2 


3-4 


13-11 


54-2% 


2-6 


6-2 


4-4 


3-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


2-1 


2-1 


2-2 


2-3 


8-7 


53-3% 


2-0 


3-0 


0-2 


4-1 


9-3 


75.0% 


2-7 


5-3 


5-4 


1-6 


13-20 


39.4% 


6-5 


6-5 


3-8 


7-5 


22-23 


48.9% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 31-2 


36 




First Downs 23.8 


15 




Yards/Game 475-3 


13 




RushYds/Gm 194.6 


24 




PassYds/Gm 280.69 


19 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 30.5 


89 




Yards/Game 435-4 


104 




RushYds/Gm 170.3 


79 




PassYds/Gm 265.1 


114 




Takeaways 20 


72 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


WAKE FOREST L13-41 

' northwestern' st" "w'51-6"" 


...LJ+ll/) 


0.fi03& 


9/5 
9/19 


at Wake Forest 
CONNECTICUT 


W 24-21 
L22-30 


W (+2/2) 
....„....„_. 


u (53/2) 

6 (4434) 


9/4 


SAM HOUSTON ST 


W34-3 


L(-39 1 / 2 ) 




9/6 


9/11 


BUFFALO 


W34-6 


W (-14/2) U (52/2) 


9/12 


WASHINGTON ST 


w 45-17 


W (-6/2) 


(51/2) 


9/26 


NORTHWESTERN ST W 68-13 


w (-37/2) 




9/18 


at TCU 


L 10-45 


L (+21/2) 


u (55/2) 


9/19 


at Connecticut 


L 28-31 


w (+13) 


0(52) 


10/3 


KENT ST 


w 31-15 


L(-22/ 2 ) 


U (48/2) 


9/25 


at Rice 


w 36-13 


W (-8) 


U (56) 


10/4 
10/11 


OKLAHOMA 
IOWA ST 


L 17-49 
W 38-10 


L (+24) 

W (-4/2) 


0(61) 

u (55/2) 


10/10 

10/17 


at Oklahoma 
at Iowa St 


L7-33 

L 10-24 


W (+28) 
L'(+2)4)"' 


U(52) 
U (53) 


10/2 

lO'/g"" 

10/16 


KANSAS 
vsTexasTech 
at Colorado 


W55-7 
L38-45 
W3125 


W (-9) 

L'(+2'j 

W'(-i)'" 


(51) 

6(62) 

0(53/2) 


10/18 


at Oklahoma St 


L 6-34 


L(+17) 


U (64/2) 


10/24 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L7-34 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


(52) 


10/23 


KANSAS ST 


W 47-42 


L(-6) 
W(+7/)' 


0(5634) 
U (55) 


10/25 


at Nebraska 


L 20-32 


W (+14) 


U (56/2) 


10/31 


NEBRASKA 


L 10-20 


W (+13/2) 


U(46) 


10/30 


atTexas 


.._._.. 


11/1 


MISSOURI 


L 28-31 


W (+21) 


U(65) 


11/7 


at Missouri 


w 40-32 


w (+15) 


(45/2) 


ll7 g 


at Oklahoma St 


L 28-55 


L"(+l6)"" 


'0(7234)' 


11/8 


at Texas 


L 21-45 


W (+25/2) 


0(62) 


11/14 


TEXAS 


L 14-47 


L (+22/2) 0(51/2) 


1;L y 13 


"TEXA'SA&M 


L 30-42 


L"(+3J 


0(64/) 


11/15 


TEXAS A&M 


w 41-21 


W(-8) 


(59/2) 


11/21 


at Texas A&M 


L3-38 


L(+6) 


U(6l) 


11/20 


OKLAHOMA 


L 24-53 


L(+8) 


0(64) 


11/29 


at Texas Tech 


L 28-35 


W (+22) 


U(70) 


11/28 


vs Texas Tech 


L 13-20 


W (+20/2) 


U(59) 


12/29 


vs Illinois 


L 14-38 


L(+2) 


U (64/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 35 (#67 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.9 (#78 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.08 (20th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.42 (9th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -7.2 (#90 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 3-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


NIOWA 


9/10 


IOWA 


9/16 


at Connecticut 


10/1 


TEXAS 


10/8 


at Baylor 


10/15 


at Missouri 


10/22 


TEXAS A&M 


10/29 


at Texas Tech 


11/5 


KANSAS 


11/18 


OKLAHOMA ST 


11/26 


at Oklahoma 


12/3 


at Kansas St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


S DAKOTA ST 


W 44-17 






9/6 


KENT ST 


W 48-28 


W (-10) 


0(45) 


9/13 


at Iowa 


L5-17 


W(+13) 


U(47) 


9/20 


atUNLV 


L 31-34 


L(+2) 


0(50) 


10/4 


KANSAS 


L 33-35 


W (+11/) (49/) 


10/11 


at Baylor 


L 10-38 


L(+4Z) 


U (55/) 


10/18 


NEBRASKA 


L7-35 


L(+7) 


U(54) 


10/25 


TEXAS A&M 


L 35-49 


U-2Z) 


0(52) 


11/1 


at Oklahoma St 


L 17-59 


L (+2934) 


0(61) 


11/8 


at Colorado 


L 24-28 


W (+10/) (46/2) 


11/15 


MISSOURI 


L 20-52 


L (+27) 


(63/2) 


11/22 


at Kansas St 


L 30-38 


W (+10/) 


0(67) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


2-10 


7-6 


5-7 


17-32 


34-7% 


6-5 


5-6 


8-4 


5-7 


24-22 


52.2% 


4-2 


2-3 


3-2 


4-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


2-3 


3-3 


5-2 


1-4 


11-12 


47-8% 


5-3 


3-5 


5-3 


3-5 


16-16 


50.0% 


1-2 


2-1 


3-1 


2-2 


8-6 


57-1% 


0-2 


1-1 


4-1 


2-2 


7-6 


53-8% 


6-3 


4-5 


4-3 


3-5 


17-16 


51.5% 


4-7 


8-3 


3-9 


3-8 


18-27 


40.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 21.7 97 




First Downs 18.3 84 




Yards/Game 3174 99 




RushYds/Gm 143-2 72 




PassYds/Gm 174.25 95 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.8 76 




Yards/Game 408.3 87 




RushYds/Gm 186.3 93 




PassYds/Gm 221.9 64 




Takeaways 23 49 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/3 


N DAKOTA ST 


W 34-17 






9/12 


IOWA 


L3-35 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


9/19 


at Kent St 


W 34-14 


W(-3) 


0(47) 


9/26 


ARMY 


w 31-10 


W(-10Z) U(46Z) 


10/3 


vs Kansas St 


L 23-24 


L(-3) 


U(49) 


10/10 


at Kansas 


L 36-41 


W (+19/2) (58/2) 


10/17 


BAYLOR 


W 24-10 


W (-2/) 


U(53) 


10/24 


at Nebraska 


W9-7 


W (+20) 


U(52) 


10/31 


at Texas A&M 


L 10-35 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


U(6l) 


11/7 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L8-34 


L(+7/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


11/14 


COLORADO 


w 17-10 


W (-4/2) 


U (48/2) 


11/21 


at Missouri 


L 24-34 


W (+15/2) (51/2) 


12/31 


vs Minnesota 


W 14-13 


W (+1/2) 


U(47) 



9/2 


N ILLINOIS 


w 27-10 


W(-4) 


U(5D 


9/11 


at Iowa 


L7-35 


L(+13) 


U (45/) 


9/18 


vs Kansas St 


L 20-27 


L(+3Z) 


U(54) 


9/25 


NIOWA 


W27-0 


W (-8/2) 




10/2 


TEXAS TECH 


w 52-38 


W (+6/2) 


(54/) 


10/9 


UTAH 


L 27-68 


L (+534) 


0(54) 


10/16 


at Oklahoma 


LO-52 


L (+23) 


U(60) 


10/23 


at Texas 


W 28-21 


W (+21) 


u (50/) 


10/30 


KANSAS 


W 28-16 


L(-17/) 


U (54/) 


11/6 


NEBRASKA 


L 30-31 


W (+15/2) (54/) 


11/13 


at Colorado 


L 14-34 


L(-l) 


U(55) 


11/20 


MISSOURI 


LO-14 


L(+ll/) 


U (53/) 



74 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (H93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -16.2 (#113 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.33 (48th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.83 (7th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -17.3 (** 112 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MCNEESEST 


9/10 


N ILLINOIS 


9/17 


at Georgia Tech 


10/1 


TEXAS TECH 


10/8 


at Oklahoma St 


10/15 


OKLAHOMA 


10/22 


KANSAS ST 


10/29 


at Texas 


11/5 


at Iowa St 


11/12 


BAYLOR 


11/19 


at Texas A&M 


11/26 


MISSOURI 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


12-1 


8-5 


5-7 


3-9 


28-22 


56.0% 


11-1 


7-5 


3-8 


5-7 


26-21 


55-3% 


6-0 


3-3 


1-4 


3-4 


13-11 


54-2% 


5-1 


4-2 


2-4 


2-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


7-1 


4-4 


1-7 


3-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


4-0 


3-1 


2-1 


2-1 


11-3 


78.6% 


9-1 


4-2 


2-4 


1-0 


16-7 


69.6% 


2-0 


3-3 


1-4 


4-6 


10-13 


43-5% 


5-7 


8-4 


7-4 


6-5 


26-20 


56.5% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 17.1 


111 




First Downs 18.3 


85 




Yards/Game 296.4 


113 




RushYds/Gm 134.6 


87 




PassYds/Gm 161.83 


103 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 34.4 


103 




Yards/Game 427-7 


98 




RushYds/Gm 205-2 


107 




PassYds/Gm 222.5 


65 




Takeaways 12 


119 



i 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 40-10 
fECH W29-0' 


L (-36) U(56H) 

W(-22) U(52 1 / 2 ) 


9/5 


N COLORADO 


W49-3 






9/4 


N DAKOTA ST 


L3-6 


L (-2734) 


9/b 


9/12 


at UTEP 


W34-7 


w (-13) 


U (62/2) 


9/11 


GEORGIA TECH 


W 28-25 


W (+14) (51) 


9/12 


at S Florida 


L 34-37 


W(+4 1 /2) 0(51/2) 


9/19 


DUKE 


W 44-16 


W(-23Z) 0(51/) 


9/17 


at Southern Miss 


L 16-31 


L(+5) U(52) 


9/26 


SAM HOUSTON ST 


W 38-14 




9/26 


SOUTHERN MISS 


W 35-28 


LM1/2) 


0(58) 


9/25 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 42-16 


W(-23/) 0(50/) 


10/4 
10/11 

10/18 


at Iowa St 
COLORADO 
at Oklahoma 


W 35-33 

w 3644 

'["31:45" 


L (-1134) 0(49/2) 
W (-13/2) U (51) 
W (+19/2) 0(60/2) 


10/10 
10/17 


IOWA ST 

at Colorado 


W41-36 
["30-34" 


L"(-19/ 2 j 

L(-7/2) 


(5834) 
(54/2) 


10 Z 2 I 

10/14 


at Baylor 

KANSASST 


L7 : 55 

L 7-59 


L(+9) 0(51) 
L(+3) 0(50) 


10/25 


TEXAS TECH 


[21-63 


L(+2) 0(69) 
"W'(-7/) 0(68/2) 


10/24 


OKLAHOMA 


L 13-35 


L (+8/2) 


(55) 


10/23 


TEXAS A&M 


L 10-45 


L (+14) b(5l/2J 


11/1 


KANSAS ST 


W52-21 


10/31 


at Texas Tech 


L 21-42 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


U (66) 


10/30 


at Iowa St 


L 16-28 


W (+17/2) U (54/2) 


li7 g ;■- 


at Nebraska 


L35 : 45 


L'T+2] 0(62) 


11/7 


at Kansas St 


L 10-17 


L(-l/) 


U (54/2) 


11/6 


COLORADO 


W 52-45 


W (+8/2) (47) 


11 y 15 


TEXAS 


L7-35 


L (+13/2) U(64Z) 


11/14 


NEBRASKA 


L 17-31 


L(+4) 


(45/2) 


11/13 


at Nebraska 


L3-20 


W (+33/2) U (6O/2) 


11/29 


vs Missouri 


w 40-37 


W (+16/2) (69/2) 


11/21 


at Texas 


L 20-51 


L (+28) 


0(57/2) 


11/20 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 14-48 


L (+24/2) U(65) 


12/31 


vs Minnesota 


W 42-21 


W (-9) (58/2) 


11/28 


vs Missouri 


L 39-41 


W(+3) 


(57/2) 


11/27 


vs Missouri 


L7-35 


L (+24) U(54) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 39 (#55 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +5.9 (#48 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 3546 (59th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 3933 (29th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +4.5 (#48 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


E KENTUCKY 


9/17 


KENT ST 


9/24 


at Miami 


10/1 


BAYLOR 


10/8 


MISSOURI 


10/15 


at Texas Tech 


10/22 


at Kansas 


10/29 


OKLAHOMA 


11/5 


at Oklahoma St 


11/12 


TEXAS A&M 


11/19 


at Texas 


12/3 


IOWA ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


5-7 


6-6 


7-6 


23-26 


46.9% 


5-6 


4-7 


7-4 


6-7 


22-24 


47-8% 


2-3 


1-5 


4-1 


2-4 


9-13 


40.9% 


3-3 


3-2 


3-3 


4-3 


13-11 


54-2% 


4-4 


3-5 


6-2 


5-3 


18-14 


56.3% 


1-2 


1-2 


1-2 


1-4 


4-10 


28.6% 


2-5 


2-3 


1-1 


3-4 


8-13 


38.1% 


3-1 


2-4 


5-3 


3-3 


13-11 


54-2% 


8-3 


8-3 


3-7 


9-3 


28-16 


63.6% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 33-6 


22 




First Downs 19.2 


65 




Yards/Game 378.8 


62 




RushYds/Gm 199.5 


22 




PassYds/Gm 179-31 


92 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 29.1 


78 




Yards/Game 445-7 


106 




RushYds/Gm 231.4 


119 




PassYds/Gm 214.3 


52 




Takeaways 22 


59 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


NORTH TEXAS 
'MONTANASt 


W45-6 
W69-IO 


...W(;29).. 


U(65) 


9/5 


MASSACHUSETTS 


W 21-17 






9/4 
'9/11 


UCLA 

MissouRist 


w 31-22 

W48-24" 


W(-l) 
L (-27) 


(44/2) 


9/6 


9/12 


at LA Lafayette 


L 15-17 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(54) 




9/17 


at Louisville 


L 29-38 


L(-6) 


0(56) 


9/19 


at UCLA 


L9-23 


L (+11) 


U (44/2) 


9/18 


vs Iowa St 


w 27-20 


W(-3/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


9/?7 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W 45-37 


L (-21/2) 


(63/2) 


9/26 


TENNESSEE TECH 


W49-7 


w (-35/2) 




9/25 


UCF 


w 17-13 


L(-6 1 / 2 ) 


U(46) 


IO/4 


texasTech 


["28-58" 


L"(+7J 


6(66) 


10 / 3 


vs Iowa St 


VV24-23 


W(+3)"" 


0(49) 


16/7 

10/14 
10/23 
10/30 


NEBRASKA 
at Kansas 
at Baylor 
OKLAHOMAST 


L 13-48 

W'59-7 

[42-47 
L 14-24 


L ( + l6 1 /2) 

W(-3) 

W"(+6)"" 

l'(+4) 


6(47) 

0(50) 

6(56/2) 
U (66) 


10/11 


at Texas A&M 


W 44-30 


W (-3/2) 


(58/2) 


10/10 


at Texas Tech 


L 14-66 


L (+16) 


(54/2) 


10/18 


at Colorado 


L 13-14 


W(+3) 


u (57/2) 


10/17 


TEXAS A&M 


W 62-14 


W (+5/2) 


0(59) 


10/25 


OKLAHOMA 


L 35-58 


L (+17/2) 


0(71) 


10/24 


COLORADO 


W20-6 


W (-4/2) 


u (49/2) 


ri/5 


TEXAS 


W39-14 


••W(+3/2)' 


0(46/2) 


11/1 


at Kansas 
at Missouri 


L 21-52 
['"24-41 ' 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 
W (+26) 


(68/2) 
0(72) 


10/31 

11/7" 


at Oklahoma 
KANSAS 


L.30-42 

w 17-10 


W (+28) 
''"W(+li4)" 


(47/2) 

u (54/2) 


11 / 1 3 


at Missouri 


L28-38 


W(+l3)" 


6(55) 


11/8 


11/20 


at Colorado 


L 36-44 


L(-2) 


(54/) 


11/15 


NEBRASKA 


L 28-56 


L(+6) 


(65/2) 


11/14 


MISSOURI 


L 12-38 


L(+2) 


U(5l) 


11/27 


at North Texas 


W 49-41 


L (-14) 


0(59) 


11/22 


IOWA ST 


w 38-30 


L (-10/2) 


0(67) 


11/21 


at Nebraska 


L3-17 


W (+15/2) 


U(44) 


12/30 


vs Syracuse 


L 34-36 


L(pk) 


(48/2) 









■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 75 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 49 (#19 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +16.1 (#12 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.15 (35th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 39.08 (32nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +13.8 (#15 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-3 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MIAMI OHIO 


9/9 


at Arizona St 


9/17 


W ILLINOIS 


9/24 


at Oklahoma 


10/8 


at Kansas St 


10/15 


IOWA ST 


10/22 


OKLAHOMA ST 


10/29 


at Texas A&M 


11/5 


at Baylor 


11/12 


TEXAS 


11/19 


TEXAS TECH 


11/26 


at Kansas 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


12-2 


10-4 


8-5 


10-3 


40-14 


74.1% 


10-3 


5-8 


5-8 


7-6 


27-25 


51-9% 


3-2 


2-3 


1-5 


4-2 


10-12 


45.5% 


7-1 


3-5 


4-3 


3-4 


17-13 


56.7% 


6-3 


3-6 


2-6 


5-3 


16-18 


47-1% 


4-0 


2-2 


3-2 


2-3 


11-7 


61.1% 


8-2 


5-6 


3-5 


5-5 


21-18 


53-8% 


2-1 


0-2 


1-3 


2-1 


5-7 


41.7% 


8-5 


7-6 


4-8 


4-8 


23-27 


46.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.9 43 




First Downs 22.1 27 




Yards/Game 409.6 35 




RushYds/Gm 156.4 57 




PassYds/Gm 253-23 33 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 16.1 6 




Yards/Game 356.4 47 




RushYds/Gm 152.9 62 




PassYds/Gm 203-5 37 




Takeaways 29 18 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


vs Illinois 

SOURIST 


W 52-42 


W (-9/2) 


(59/2) 


9/6 


W52-3 






9/13 


NEVADA 


W 69-17 


•W(-26j- 


0(69) 


9/20 


BUFFALO 


W 42-21 


"'H-3W 


U (68) 


10/4 


at Nebraska 


w 52-17 


W f-idK) 


(66) 


10/11 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 23-28 


L ( 13K) 


U (76/2) 


10/18 


at Texas 


L 31-56 


L'R] 


0(65) 


10/25 


COLORADO 


W58-O 


WI-24] 


u (597) 


11/1 


at Baylor 


w 31-28 


L (21) 


U(65) 


11/8 


KANSAS ST 


W 41-24 


L (26) 


U(72) 


11/15 


at Iowa St 


w 52-20 


w (-27) 


0C6372) 


11/29 


vs Kansas 


L 37-40 


L(i6K) 


(69 1 /2) 


12/6 


vs Oklahoma 


L 21-62 


L (+167 2 ) 0(7872) 


12/29 


vs Northwestern 


w 30-23 


LI14)" 


U (66/2) 



9/5 


vs Illinois 


W37-9 


W (+6/2) 


U (6O/2) 


9/4 


vs Illinois 


w 23-13 


L(-l3 1 / 2 ) 


U(53) 


9/12 


BOWLING GREEN 


w 27-20 


L (-20) 


U (56/2) 


9/11 


ESE ST 


W50-6 


W (-39) 




9/19 


FURMAN 


w 52-12 


w (-33/2) 




9/18 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 27-24 


L (-14) 


U(59) 


9/25 


at Nevada 


w 31-21 


W(-7) 


U(6l) 


9/25 


MIAMI OHIO 


w 51-13 


W (-20) 


(50/2) 


10/8 


NEBRASKA 


L 12-27 


L(+3K) 


u (49/2) 


10/9 


COLORADO 


W26-0 


W (-12) 


U(53) 


10/17 


at Oklahoma St 


L 17-33 


L( + 67) 


U(55) 


10/16 


at Texas A&M 


W30-9 


W(+4) 


U (56/2) 


10/24 


TEXAS 


L7-41 


L(+13) 


u (51/2) 


10/23 


OKLAHOMA 


W 36-27 


W(+3) 


0(53) 


10/31 


at Colorado 


w 36-17 


W(-3) 


0(46) 


10/30 


at Nebraska 


L 17-31 


L(+8) 


u (54/2) 


11/7 


BAYLOR 


L 32-40 


L (-15) 


(45/2) 


11/6 


at Texas Tech 


L 17-24 


L (-5/2) 


u (59/2) 


11/14 


at Kansas St 


W 38-12 


W(-2) 


U(5l) 


11/13 


KANSAS ST 


W 38-28 


L (-13) 


0(55) 


11/21 


IOWA ST 


W 34-24 


L (-15/2) 


(51/2) 


11/20 


at Iowa St 


W14-O 


W (-11/2) U (537) 


11/28 


vs Kansas 


W 41-39 


L(-3) 


(57/2) 


11/27 


vs Kansas 


W35-7 


W (-24) 


U(54) 


12/31 


vs Navy 


L 13-35 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (54/2) 


12/28 


vs Iowa 


L 24-27 


L(-3) 


0(46) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 60 (86 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +18.7 (#10 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 42.14 (7th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.58 (18th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +15.4 (#12 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 12-2 

2010 ATS Record: 8-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


TULSA 


9/17 


at Florida St 


9/24 


MISSOURI 


10/1 


BALL ST 


10/8 


at Texas 


10/15 


at Kansas 


10/22 


TEXAS TECH 


10/29 


at Kansas St 


11/5 


TEXAS A&M 


11/19 


at Baylor 


11/26 


IOWA ST 


12/3 


at Oklahoma St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-3 


12-2 


8-5 


12-2 


43-12 


78.2% 


7-7 


10-3 


5-7 


8-6 


30-23 


56.6% 


5-2 


4-1 


4-2 


4-2 


17-7 


70.8% 


2-5 


6-2 


1-5 


4-4 


13-16 


44-8% 


3-6 


7-2 


3-4 


6-3 


19-15 


55.9% 


4-1 


3-1 


2-3 


2-3 


11-8 


57-9% 


7-7 


10-2 


4-7 


7-6 


28-22 


56.0% 


0-0 


0-1 


0-0 


1-0 


1-1 


50.0% 


6-8 


11-2 


3-9 


7-7 


27-26 


50.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 37-2 14 




First Downs 26.5 2 




Yards/Game 481.4 10 




RushYds/Gm 138.O 83 




PassYds/Gm 343-36 3 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.8 33 




Yards/Game 361.9 53 




RushYds/Gm 148.9 58 




PassYds/Gm 212.9 51 




Takeaways 32 8 



8/30 


UT-CHATTANOOGA 


W57-2 






9/6 


CINCINNATI 


-■W52-2E" 


"WF2T 




9/13 


at Washington 


w 55-14 


W(-207) Of6i72) 


9/27 


TCU 


W 35-10 


W (-18) 


U (5372) 


10/4 


at Baylor 


W 49-17 


W(-24) 


0(61] 


10/11 


vs Texas 


L 35-45 


L(7) 


(5672) 


10/18 


KANSAS 


W 45-31 


L(-i9K) 


(6672) 


10/25 


at Kansas St 


w 58-35 


w (-1772) 


0(71) 


11/1 


NEBRASKA 


W 62-28 


W [-21] 


0(71) 


11/8 


at Texas A&M 


WB6-28 


W"(-27K) 


0(73) 


11/22 


TEXAS TECH 


w 65-21 


W(-7) 


C767) 


11/29 


at Oklahoma St 


W 61-41 


w (-10) 


0(75) 


12/6 


vs Missouri 


W 62-21 


W(-l67) 0(7872) 


1/8 


vs Florida 


L 14-24 


LR) 


U(69) 



9/5 vs BYU 



L 13-14 L (-22) U(65) 



9/12 


IDAHO ST 


W64-O 


W (-52) 




9/19 


TULSA 


W45-0 


W (-18) 


U(57) 


10/3 


at Miami 


L 20-21 


L (-7/2) 


U(5l) 


10/10 


BAYLOR 


W337 


L (-28) 


U(52) 


10/17 


vs Texas 


L 13-16 


P(+3) 


U(52) 


10/24 


at Kansas 


w 35-13 


W (-8/2) 


U(55) 


10/31 


KANSAS ST 


w 42-30 


L (-28) 


(477 2 ) 


11/7 


at Nebraska 


L3-10 


L(-47 2 ) 


U(41) 


11/14 


TEXAS A&M 


W 65-10 


W(-197) 0(5772) 


11/21 


at Texas Tech 


L 13-41 


L(-67 2 ) 


U (547 2 ) 


11/28 


OKLAHOMA ST 


W27-0 


W(-8) 


U(48) 


12/31 


vs Stanford 


w 31-27 


L (-107 2 ) 


(54/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


UTAH ST 


w 31-24 


L (-35) 
""WpBKJ" 


U(57) 


9/11 


FLORIDAST 


w 47-17 


(58) 


9/18 


AIR FORCE 


w 27-24 


TJ-1BV2J 


U[53'72) 


9/25 


at Cincinnati 


w 31-29 


L (14) 


(527) 


10/2 


vs Texas 


w 28-26 


W (-3) 


(4672) 


10/16 


IOWA ST 


W52-6 


W(-23) 


U (66) 


10/23 


at Missouri 


L 27-36 


L(3) 


0(53) 


10/30 


COLORADO 


W 43-10 


W(-25) 


U (56) 


11/6 


at Texas A&M 


L 19-33 


LRK) 


U (63) 


11/13 


TEXAS TECH 


W45-7 


W (-1672) 


U(65) 


11/20 


at Baylor 


W 53-24 


W (-8) 


0(64) 


11/27 


at Oklahoma St 


W 47-41 


W (+27) 


(68) 


12/4 


vs Nebraska 


w 23-20 


LRK)" 


U(52) 


1/1 


vs Connecticut 


W 48-20 


W (-16) 


0(537) 



76 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 56 (#10 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +16.8 (#11 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.77 (28th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40-00 (24th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +17.8 (#10 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-2 

2010 ATS Record: 10-3 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


LA LAFAYETTE 


9/10 


ARIZONA 


9/17 


at Tulsa 


9/24 


at Texas A&M 


10/8 


KANSAS 


10/15 


at Texas 


10/22 


at Missouri 


10/29 


BAYLOR 


11/5 


KANSAS ST 


11/12 


at Texas Tech 


11/18 


at Iowa St 


12/3 


OKLAHOMA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


9-4 


9-4 


11-2 


36-16 


69.2% 


6-6 


8-4 


6-6 


10-3 


30-19 


61.2% 


2-3 


5-1 


4-4 


4-3 


15-11 


57-7% 


4-3 


3-3 


2-2 


6-0 


15-8 


65.2% 


4-4 


5-3 


4-3 


6-2 


19-12 


61.3% 


2-2 


3-1 


2-3 


4-1 


11-7 


61.1% 


3-2 


6-1 


5-3 


9-2 


23-8 


74-2% 


3-4 


2-3 


0-3 


1-1 


6-11 


35-3% 


6-6 


6-6 


4-8 


8-5 


24-25 


49-0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 44-2 3 




First Downs 25.9 4 




Yards/Game 520.2 3 




RushYds/Gm 1744 36 




PassYds/Gm 345-85 2 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 26.4 61 




Yards/Game 409-5 88 




RushYds/Gm 133-7 37 




PassYds/Gm 275-9 115 




Takeaways 34 5 



i 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Washington St 


w 39-13 


W (-8) U (64) 


9/5 


GEORGIA 


W 24-10 


W(-5) 


U (6O/2) 


9/4 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 65-17 


W (-16/2) 


0(51) 


9/6 


STON 


W 56-37 


W(-l4 1 / 2 ) 0(61/2) 


9/12 


STON 


L 35-45 


L(-l6/ 2 ) 


0(71) 


9/11 


TROY 


W 41-38 


L(-13Z) 




9/13 


MISSOURI ST 


w 57-13 




9/19 


RICE 


w 41-24 


L(-32/ 2 ) 


U (66/2) 


9/18 


TULSA 


W 65-28 


W(-7) 


0(69) 


9/27 


TROY 


w 55-24 


W(-l7 1 /4) 0(61/2) 


9/26 


GRAMBUNG 


W56-6 


W (-40/2) 




9/30 


TEXAS A&M 


W 38-35 


W (-2/2) 


(65/2) 


10/4 


TEXAS A&M 


W 56-28 


W (-24/2) (62) 


10/10 


at Texas A&M 


w 36-31 


P(-5) 


(6O/2) 


10/8 


at LA Lafayette 


W 54-28 


W (-24) 


0(61) 


10/11 


at Missouri 


W 28-23 


W (+13/2) U (76/2) 


10/17 


MISSOURI 


w 33-17 


W (-6/2) 


U(55) 


10/16 


at Texas Tech 


W 34-17 


W(+3) 


U (68) 


10/18 


BAYLOR 


W34-6 


W(-17) 0(643?) 


10/24 


at Baylor 


W347 


W (-7/2) 


U(52) 


10/23 


NEBRASKA 


L 41-51 


L(+6) 


(57/2) 


10/25 


at Texas 


L 24-28 


W(+12) U (66/2) 


10/31 


TEXAS 


L 14-41 


L(+9) 


0(53) 


10/30 


at Kansas St 


W 24-14 


W(-4) 


U (66) 


11/1 


IOWA ST 


w 59-17 


W (-29/2) (61) 


11/7 


at Iowa St 


W34-8 


W (-7/2) 


U(54) 


11/6 


BAYLOR 


W 55-28 


W (-10) 


(72/2) 


11/8 


at Texas Tech 


L 20-56 


L(+4) 0(71/) 


11/14 


TEXAS TECH 


w 24-17 


W (-4/2) 


U(60':) 


11/13 


at Texas 


W 33-16 


W (-4/2) 


U(56) 


11/15 


at Colorado 


w 30-17 


L (-17) U (55/2) 


11/19 


COLORADO 


w 31-28 


L (-17) 


0(47) 


11/20 


at Kansas 


W 48-14 


W (-24/2) 


U(65) 


11/29 


OKLAHOMA 


L 41-61 


L (+10) 0(75) 


11/28 


at Oklahoma 


L0-27 


L(+8J 


U(48) 


11/27 


OKLAHOMA 


L 41-47 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(68) 


12/30 


vs Oregon 


L 31-42 


L(+l) 11(75/2) 


1/2 


vsOle Miss 


L7-21 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


U(5D 


12/29 


vs Arizona 


W 36-10 


W (-4/2) 


U (68/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 44 (#35 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -0.9 (#73 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.33 (33rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.00 (14th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +0.1 (#66 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 3-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


RICE 


9/10 


BYU 


9/17 


at UCLA 


10/1 


at Iowa St 


10/8 


OKLAHOMA 


10/15 


OKLAHOMA ST 


10/29 


KANSAS 


11/5 


TEXAS TECH 


11/12 


at Missouri 


11/19 


KANSAS ST 


11/24 


at Texas A&M 


12/3 


at Baylor 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-3 


12-1 


13-1 


5-7 


40-12 


76.9% 


7-6 


9-4 


5-8 


3-9 


24-27 


47.1% 


3-3 


5-2 


2-4 


1-6 


11-15 


42.3% 


4-3 


4-2 


3-4 


2-3 


13-12 


52.0% 


4-4 


5-3 


4-4 


2-6 


15-17 


46.9% 


3-2 


4-1 


1-4 


1-3 


9-10 


47-4% 


6-6 


8-4 


5-7 


2-6 


21-23 


47-7% 


1-0 


1-0 


0-1 


1-3 


3-4 


42.9% 


9-4 


6-7 


7-7 


4-8 


26-26 


50.0% 



2010 STATS/RANK 


OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 


Points Scored 


23.8 88 


First Downs 


20.2 53 


Yards/Game 


382.5 58 


RushYds/Gm 


150.5 66 


PassYds/Gm 


232 50 


DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 


Points Allowed 23.7 49 


Yards/Game 


300.2 6 


RushYds/Gm 


138.6 44 


PassYds/Gm 


161.6 6 


Takeaways 


18 86 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


FLA ATLANTIC 


w 52-10 


W(-23 1 / 2 ) U(62 1 / 2 ) 


9/6 


at UTEP 


w 42-13 


W (-26) 


U(6l) 


9/20 


RICE 


w 52-10 


w (-29) 


U (68) 


9/27 


ARKANSAS 


w 52-10 


w (-27) 


(60/2) 


10/4 


at Colorado 


W 38-14 


W (-11) 


(51/2) 


10/11 


vs Oklahoma 


W 45-35 


W(+7) 


(56/2) 


10/18 


MISSOURI 


w 56-31 


W(-4) 


0(65) 


10/25 


OKLAHOMA ST 


W 28-24 


L (-12) 


U (66/2) 


11/1 


at Texas Tech 


L 33-39 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(71) 


11/8 


BAYLOR 


W 45-21 


L(-25fc) 


0(62) 


11/15 


at Kansas 


W35-7 


W(-l3 1 / 2 ) U (64/2) 


11/27 


TEXAS A&M 


W49-9 


W (-35) 


U (66) 


1/5 


vs Ohio St 


W 24-21 


L(-9) 


u (51/2) 



9/5 


LA MONROE 


W 59-20 


L (-42/2) 


0(61) 


9/12 


at Wyoming 


w 41-10 


L (32) 


U(56) 


9/19 


TEXAS TECH 


W 34-24 


L (-19/2) 


U (66) 


9/26 


UTEP 


W64-7 


W(-37) 


0(6472) 


10/10 


COLORADO 


w 38-14 


L (33/2) 


U (59) 


10/17 


vs Oklahoma 


W 16-13 


P(3) 


U(52) 


10/24 


at Missouri 


W41-7 


W(-13) 


u (51/2) 


10/31 


at Oklahoma St 


W 41-14 


WW" 


0(53) 


11/7 


UCF 


W35-3 


L (-35/2) 


U (47) 


11/14 


at Baylor 


W 47-14 


w(-22jy (51K] 


11/21 


KANSAS 


w 51-20 


W (-28) 


(57/2) 


11/26 


at Texas A&M 


W 49-39 


L (20/2) 


(63/2) 


12/5 


vs Nebraska 


w 13-12 


L (-14) 


U (46/2) 


1/7 


vs Alabama 


L 21-37 


L (+3K) 


(44/2) 



9/4 


at Rice 


W 34-17 


L (-31/2) 


u (55/2) 


9/11 


WYOMING 


W34-7 


L (-27/2) 


U(5D 


9/18 


at Texas Tech 


W 24-14 


W(-3) 


U(5D 


9/25 


UCLA 


L 12-34 


LM5/2) 


(43/2) 


10/2 


vs Oklahoma 


L 20-28 


L(+3) 


0(46/2) 


10/16 


at Nebraska 


w 20-13 


W (+10) 


U (45/2) 


10/23 


IOWA ST 


L 21-28 


L (-21) 


U (50/2) 


10/30 


BAYLOR 


L 22-30 


L (-7/2) 


U(55) 


11/6 


at Kansas St 


L 14-39 


L (-3/2) 


(46/2) 


11/13 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 16-33 


L (+434) 


U(56) 


11/20 


FLA ATLANTIC 


w 51-17 


W (-22) 


0(44) 


11/25 


TEXAS A&M 


L 17-24 


L(+3) 


U(48) 



3> 

■ 






■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 77 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 48 (#22 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +10.7 (#34 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.31 (18th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.42 (9th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +9.3 (#30 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/4 


SMU 


9/17 


IDAHO 


9/24 


OKLAHOMA ST 


10/1 


ARKANSAS 


10/8 


at Texas Tech 


10/15 


BAYLOR 


10/22 


at Iowa St 


10/29 


MISSOURI 


11/5 


at Oklahoma 


11/12 


at Kansas St 


11/19 


KANSAS 


11/24 


TEXAS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


ARKANSAS ST 


L 14-18 


L (-18/2) 


u (50/2) 


9/6 


at New Mexico 


W 28-22 


W (-1/2) 


(39/2) 


9/20 


MIAMI 


L 23-41 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


0(40) 


9/27 


ARMY 


W 21-17 


L(-27) 


U (44/2) 


10/4 


at Oklahoma St 


L 28-56 


L (+24/2) 


0(62) 


10/11 


KANSAS ST 


L 30-44 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


(58/2) 


10/18 


TEXAS TECH 


L 25-43 


W (+20/2) (61/2) 


10/25 


at Iowa St 


W 49-35 


W (+2/2) 


0(52) 


11/1 


COLORADO 


w 24-17 


W(-4) 


U(5l) 


11/8 


OKLAHOMA 


L 28-66 


L (+27/2) 


0(73) 


11/15 


at Baylor 


L 21-41 


L(+8) 


(59/2) 


11/27 


at Texas 


L9-49 


L (+35) 


U (66) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


4-8 


6-7 


9-4 


26-25 


51.0% 


5-7 


4-8 


6-6 


8-5 


23-26 


46.9% 


3-3 


2-5 


5-1 


5-2 


15-11 


577% 


2-4 


2-3 


1-5 


3-3 


8-15 


34.8% 


4-4 


3-5 


4-3 


6-2 


17-14 


54-8% 


1-3 


1-3 


2-3 


1-3 


5-12 


294% 


2-2 


2-2 


4-3 


5-2 


13-9 


59-1% 


3-5 


2-6 


2-3 


2-3 


9-17 


34.6% 


5-7 


8-4 


8-5 


6-6 


27-22 


55-1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 31-2 34 




First Downs 23.8 15 




Yards/Game 441-9 23 




RushYds/Gm 165.O 46 




PassYds/Gm 276.85 20 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.9 34 




Yards/Game 364.3 55 




RushYds/Gm 130.2 30 




PassYds/Gm 234.2 89 




Takeaways 25 36 



SCORE 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 

9/26 
10 y 3 

10/10 

10/17 
10/24 
10/31 

11/7' 

11/14 
11/21 

11/26 
12728 



NEW MEXICO 

UTAH ST 

UAB 

vs Arkansas 
OKLAHOMAST 
at Kansas St 
at Texas Tech 
JOWST"""" 
at Colorado 
at Oklahoma 
BAYLOR 
TEXAS 
vs Georgia 



W41-6 

"wMo" 
W5649 
L'19-47" 
L31-36 

L 14-62 

"W35-16'' 
L 34-35 
L 10-65 
W38-3 
L 39-49 
L 20-44 



W (-14/2) 

Lj2lj 

"W'( : i5J 

Lf+2) 

R+5) 

[Tsg 

W(+22'£) 
W(-6J4) 

n : 3i 

rf+iW 

W (-6) 
W'[+20%]' 
L[+6) 



U(55) 

0(64K) 

U(67) 

0(60/2) 

0(59)' 

0(65%) 

U (61) 

0(56) 

0(57%) 

U (61) 

0(63%) 

U(65%) 



9/4 

9/11 

9/18 

9/30 

10/9 

10/16 

10/23 

10/30 

11 y 13 

11/20 
11/25 

1/7 



SF AUSTIN 
LOUiSiANATECH 
FLA INTERN ATI ON AL 
at Oklahoma St 
vs Arkansas 
MISSOURI 
at Kansas 
"TEXASTECH 
OKLAHOMA 
at Baylor 
NEBRASKA 
atTexas 
vsLSU 



W48-7 
W 48-16 
VV27-26 

L35-38 

L 17-24 

[9-30 
W 45-10 
W 45-27 

W 33-19 

W 42-36 

W9-6 

"W24-T7"' 

L24-41 



W (-33%) 

W(-17%)' 
L (-29) 

"WW 

L (+5/2) 

L(-4) 

W(44) 

W(-7) 

W(+4J4)" 
W(-3) 
W (+2) 

W"(-3) 

T(+W" 



0(59) 
U (6134) 

0(65%)' 
U (62) 

U(56%) 

(51/2) 

0(63) 

U (63) 

0(64/2) 

U"(55%)' 

U(48) 

0(48/) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +2.8 (#58 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.31 (50th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.50 (37th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +2.2 (#59 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


TEXAS ST UNIV 


9/17 


at New Mexico 


9/24 


NEVADA 


10/1 


at Kansas 


10/8 


TEXAS A&M 


10/15 


KANSAS ST 


10/22 


at Oklahoma 


10/29 


IOWA ST 


11/5 


at Texas 


11/12 


OKLAHOMAST 


11/19 


at Missouri 


11/26 


at Baylor 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


11-2 


9-4 


8-5 


37-15 


71.2% 


6-6 


5-5 


7-5 


5-7 


23-23 


50.0% 


3-2 


2-2 


4-2 


3-3 


12-9 


57.1% 


3-4 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


11-14 


44-0% 


4-4 


4-4 


5-3 


2-5 


15-16 


48.4% 


2-2 


1-1 


2-2 


3-2 


8-7 


53-3% 


5-4 


4-4 


4-4 


4-4 


17-16 


51-5% 


1-2 


1-1 


3-1 


1-3 


6-7 


46.2% 


5-7 


8-3 


5-7 


6-6 


24-23 


51.1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 33-1 23 




First Downs 24.9 9 




Yards/Game 460.2 15 




RushYds/Gm 141.3 75 




PassYds/Gm 318.92 7 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.9 93 




Yards/Game 456.3 114 




RushYds/Gm 162.5 69 




PassYds/Gm 293.8 118 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


E WASHINGTON 


W 49-24 






9/6 


vada 


w 35-19 


W (-10.5) 


U(71) 


9/13 


SMU 


W43-7 


P (-36) 


U (68.5) 




MASSACHUSETTS 


W 56-14 






10/4 


isas St 


W 58-28 


W(7) 


0(66) 


10/11 


^ASKA 


w 37-31 


L (19) 


0(67) 




at Texas A&M 


w 43-25 


L (-20.5) 


(61.5) 




insas 


W 63-21 


W(-2) 


0(69) 


11/1 


TEXAS 


W 39-33 


w (+3.5) 


0(71) 


11/8 


OKLAHOMAST 


W 56-20 


W(-4) 


0(71-5) 




ahoma 


L 21-65 


L(+7) 






BAYLOR 


W 35-28 


L (-22) 


U(70) 


1/2 


vs Ole M 


L 34-47 


L(-4) 


0(66) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


N DAKOTA 


w 38-13 






9/12 


RICE 


W 55-10 


W (-28) 


0(64) 




at Texas 


L 24-34 


w (+19.5) 


U (66) 




iuston 


L 28-29 


L(-2) 


U (75-5) 


10/3 


/1EXIC0 


W 48-28 


U-34.5) 


0(56) 




^ASST 


W 66-14 


W (-16) 


(54-5) 


10/17 


a ska 


w 31-10 


W (+10.5) U (58.5) 






L 30-52 


L 1-22.5] 


(65.5) 




KANSAS 


W 42-21 


W (-6.5) 


U (66) 


11/14 


ihoma St 


L 17-24 


L (+4.5) 


U (6O.5) 




HOMA 


w 41-13 


W (+6.5) 


U (54-5} 




vs Baylor 


w 20-13 


L (-20.5) 


U(59) 


1/2 


Vigan St 


w 41-31 


w (-9.5) 


0(60) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


SMU 


w 35-27 


L (-12.5) 


(57-5) 




at New Me - 


w 52-17 


W (-24.5) (55-5) 




TEXAS 


L 14-24 


L(+3) 


U(51) 


10/2 


wa St 


L 38-52 


L (-6.5) 




10/9 


vs Baylor 


W 45-38 


W(-2) 


0(62) 




OKLAHOMA ST 


L 17-34 


L(-3) 


U (68) 




orado 


w 27-24 


P(-3) 


U(57) 




at Texas A&M 


L 27-45 


L(+7) 


0(63) 


11/6 


iOURI 


w 24-17 


w (+5.5) 


U (59-5) 


11/13 


ahoma 


L7-45 


L (+16.5) 


U(65) 




ERST 


W 64-21 


w (-25) 




11/27 


STON 


W 35-20 


W (-10) 


u (70.5) 


1/1 


vs Northwestern 


W 45-38 


L(-8) 


0(63) 



78 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 







Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 11 

The Bearcats return three key offensive weapons last year in QB Zach 
Collaros (2,902 pass yds, 26 TD), RB Isaiah Pead (1,029 rush yds) and WR 
D.|. Woods (898 rec yds, 8 TD). The offense is explosive, but also inconsis- 
tent, as Cincy failed to score 20 points six times last year. They also return 
all 11 starters on defense, the same crew that surrendered 27+ points in 
every Big East game in 2010. All this experience should help Cincy improve 
on its minus-15 turnover ratio, which was second-to-last in the nation. 



CO! CUT 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

New head coach Paul Pasqualoni returns to the Big East where he coached 
Syracuse from 1991-2004. The Huskies have some big holes to fill on offense, 
most notably QB Zach Frazer and RB Jordan Todman. Four signal callers will 
vie for starting duty, and USC transfer D.|. Shoemate was the top RB in 
spring ball. The defense will have to replace two senior LBs, but the D-Line is 
excellent with Jesse Joseph (8.5 sacks) returning, and the secondary is also 
top-notch with stud CB Blidi Wreh-Wilson and safety |erome Junior. 



m he 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 4 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Cardinals lost five games by eight points or less last year. Junior 
Will Stein (two career starts) will likely beat out true freshman Teddy 
Bridgewater for the starting QB job. RB Victor Anderson (5.4 YPC, 14 TD 
in career) finally looks healthy after two injury-riddled seasons and will 
replace Bilal Powell as the featured back. Louisville's biggest weakness is 
a secondary that lost two starting cornerbacks. But most of the defense, 
which ranked in the nation's top 20 in yardage, points and sacks, returns. 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 8 

Todd Graham takes over head coaching duties for a team that won six of 
its final eight games in 2010. He'll install his no-huddle, spread attack 
that worked very well at Tulsa and arm returning QB Tino Sunseri (16 TD) 
with three and four-receiver sets out of the shotgun. RB Ray Graham (922 
rush yds, 10 total TD) will be the focal point of the offense and WR Mike 
Shanahan (43 rec, 589 yds) will see more targets with Jonathan Baldwin 
gone. D-I's eighth-best yardage defense (305 YPG) should be solid again. 



BOTHERS 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 10 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Scarlet Knights ranked 114th in total offense (295 YPG), but are strong 
in the skill positions. QB Chas Dodd has an exciting WR trio with Mark 
Harrison (9 rec. TD), Mohamed Sanu and redshirtfrosh Brandon Coleman. 
Jeremy Deering and stud recruit Savon Huggins can both run the football. 
But they still have major worries about an offensive line that allowed the 
most sacks in the nation last year (61). The defense, which gave up 377 PPG 
during its season-ending six-game losing skid, is most thin on the D-Line. 



-mp< : * i 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 4 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The Bulls are coming off an 8-5 season, but they were very fortunate with 
the final four wins by a total of 12 points. B.J. Daniels returns at QB, and 
needs to improve big time (11 TD, 13 INT) for Skip Holtz to throw the foot- 
ball more. USF will remain a run-first offense with RBs Demetris Murray (6 
total TD) and transfers Darrell Scott (Colorado) and Dontae Aycock (Auburn). 
The defense, which ranked 17th in Division I in yardage (318 YPG), has great 
depth in the secondary with a serviceable group of LBs and D-Linemen. 



iCUSE 



Offense: Multiple Pro - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Most of the Orange offense returns with QB Ryan Nassib (19 TD, 8 INT) and 
WR Van Chew (611 yds) trying to improve on Syracuse's 11.5 PPG in its last 
four regular-season games. RB Antwon Bailey (5.1 YPC career) must make 
the jump from a third-down back to the featured rusher replacing Delone 
Carter. The defense ranked seventh in the nation in yardage (301 YPG), but 
has significant question marks with six lost starters including both defen- 
sive tackles, both cornerbacks and leading tackier Derrell Smith. 



1 -;■ 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: 3-3-5 - Starters Returning: 4 

Offensive guru Dana Holgorsen replaces Bill Stewart as head coach. In the 
past five seasons as an OC at Texas Tech, Houston and Oklahoma State, 
Holgorsen's teams racked up 2,617 points. QB Geno Smith (24 TD, 7 INT) and 
WR Tavon Austin (787 rec. yds) should benefit from this pass-happy attack. 
Starting RB duties are up for grabs with Noel Devine having departed. The 
nation's No. 3 defense in points (13.5 PPG) and yards (261 YPG) lost a lot, 
but still has DE Bruce Irvin (14 sacks) and CB Keith Tandy (6 INT). 



i 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 79 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 36 (#63 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.0 (#57 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.08 (36th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35-75 (55th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -0.9 (#70 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


AUSTIN PEAY 


9/10 


at Tennessee 


9/17 


AKRON 


9/22 


NC STATE 


10/1 


at Miami Ohio 


10/15 


LOUISVILLE 


10/22 


at S Florida 


11/5 


at Pittsburgh 


11/12 


WVIRGINIA 


11/19 


at Rutgers 


11/26 


at Syracuse 


12/3 


CONNECTICUT 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


E KENTUCKY 


W40-7 






9/6 


ahoma 


L'"2"6-52 


LF22J" 


^ 


9/20 


MIAMI OHIO 


W 45-20 


w(-i2y 2 ) 0(4872) 


9/27 


at Akron 


w 17-15 


n-iiST 


U(56K) 


10/3 


at Marshall 


W 33-10 


W(-3) 


u (47/2) 


10/11 


RUTGERS 


w 13-10 


M-wy 


U (48/2) 


10/25 


at Connecticut 


L 16-40 


L(2/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/30 


S FLORIDA 


W 24-10 


W (+2) 


U (4872) 


11/8 


at W Virginia 


W 26-23 


W (+7) 


0(48) 


11/14 


at Louisville 


w 28-20 


W(-4) 


0(47) 


11/22 


PITTSBURGH 


w 28-21 


W(-6) 


(48) 


11/29 


SYRACUSE 


w 30-10 


T(-2l^ 


U(5i) 


12/6 


at Hawaii 


w 29-24 


L(9) 


(4872) 


1/1 


vs Virginia Tech 


L7-20 


L(-2K) 


U(4l) 


> BIG EAST 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-3 


11-3 


12-1 


4-8 


37-15 


71.2% 


8-3 


6-7 


7-6 


4-8 


25-24 


51.0% 


3-1 


3-2 


2-4 


3-4 


11-11 


50.0% 


5-2 


3-5 


5-2 


1-4 


14-13 


51-9% 


4-2 


4-3 


5-2 


2-5 


15-12 


55.6% 


4-1 


2-4 


2-4 


2-3 


10-12 


45-5% 


5-3 


4-6 


4-5 


3-3 


16-17 


48.5% 


3-0 


2-1 


2-1 


1-5 


8-7 


53-3% 


5-6 


7-6 


6-6 


4-7 


22-25 


46.8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 27.1 57 




First Downs 21.9 30 




Yards/Game 417-3 32 




RushYds/Gm 156.7 55 




PassYds/Gm 260.67 28 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.0 68 




Yards/Game 369.4 63 




RushYds/Gm 1354 39 




PassYds/Gm 234.0 88 




Takeaways 14 112 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/7 


at Rutgers 


w 47-15 


W(+5) 


0(47) 


9/12 


SE MISSOURI ST 


W70-3 


W (-47) 




9/19 


at Oregon St 


W 28-18 


W(-l) 


u (57/2) 


9/26 


FRESNO ST 


W 28-20 


L (-17) 


U (63/2) 


10/3 


at Miami Ohio 


w 37-13 


L (-29/2) 


U(59) 


10/15 


at S Florida 


W 34-17 


W(-l) 


(48/2) 


10/24 


LOUISVILLE 


w 41-10 


W(-l6/ 2 ) 11(54/2) 


10/31 


at Syracuse 


W28-7 


W (-15/2) 


U(52) 


11/7 


CONNECTICUT 


W 47-45 


L (-16) 


0(51) 


11/13 


WVIRGINIA 


W 24-21 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


U (56/2) 


11/27 


ILLINOIS 


W 49-36 


L (-19) 


0(59) 


12/5 


at Pittsburgh 


W 45-44 


W(+l) 


0(56) 


1/1 


vs Florida 


L 24-51 


L (+12) 


0(59) 



9/4 


at Fresno St 


L 14-28 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U(57) 


9/11 


INDIANA ST 


W40-7 


L (-45) 




9/16 


at NC State 


L 19-30 


L(+2) 


U(54) 


9/25 


OKLAHOMA 


L 29-31 


W (+14) 


(52/2) 


10/9 


MIAMI OHIO 


W45-3 


W (-17/2) u (53/2) 


10/15 


at Louisville 


w 35-27 


W (-2/2) 


(55/2) 


10/22 


S FLORIDA 


L 30-38 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


(47/2) 


10/30 


SYRACUSE 


L7-31 


L(-5 1 /2) 


U (46/2) 


11/13 


at W Virginia 


L 10-37 


L(+5) 


U(50) 


11/20 


RUTGERS 


W 69-38 


W (-10/2) 


0(49) 


11/27 


at Connecticut 


L 17-38 


L(+1K) 


u (55/2) 


12/4 


PITTSBURGH 


L 10-28 


L(+lfc) 


U(55) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#40 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.7 (#39 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34.00 (68th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 33.17 (72nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +4.4 (#50 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


FORDHAM 


9/10 


atVanderbilt 


9/16 


IOWA ST 


9/24 


at Buffalo 


10/1 


W MICHIGAN 


10/8 


at W Virginia 


10/15 


S FLORIDA 


10/26 


at Pittsburgh 


11/5 


SYRACUSE 


11/19 


LOUISVILLE 


11/26 


RUTGERS 


12/3 


at Cincinnati 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


8-5 


8-5 


8-5 


33-19 


63-5% 


8-4 


6-6 


11-2 


8-5 


33-17 


66.0% 


5-1 


2-3 


4-2 


6-0 


17-6 


73-9% 


3-3 


4-3 


7-0 


2-5 


16-11 


59-3% 


5-2 


4-3 


5-2 


5-2 


19-9 


67.9% 


3-2 


2-3 


6-0 


3-3 


14-8 


63.6% 


3-1 


3-3 


3-2 


4-2 


13-8 


61.9% 


5-3 


3-3 


7-0 


4-3 


19-9 


67.9% 


5-7 


7-5 


8-4 


5-7 


25-23 


52.1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.4 63 




First Downs 16.2 108 




Yards/Game 325.8 96 




RushYds/Gm 174-7 35 




PassYds/Gm 151.08 110 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.0 35 




Yards/Game 366.8 58 




RushYds/Gm 143-2 51 




PassYds/Gm 223.5 67 




Takeaways 31 11 



8/28 


HOFSTRA 


W35-3 






9/6 


triple 


W12-9 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (39/2) 


9/13 


VIRGINIA 


W 45-10 


W(-l0 1 /z) 0(40/2) 




BAYLOR 


w 31-28 


L (-13) 


0(52) 




lisville 


W 26-21 


W (+3/2) 


U(5D 


10/4 


at N Carolina 


L 12-38 


L(+8) 






jtgers 


L 10-12 


W(+3) 


U(44) 




NNATI 


W 40-16 


W (+2/2) 


0(44) 


11/1 


IGINIA 


L 13-35 


L(+3) 




11/15 


'acuse 


w 39-14 




0(47) 




lorida 


L 13-17 


L(+3) 




12/6 


PITTSBURGH 


L 10-34 


L(-2) 


U (44/2) 


1/3 


jffalo 


W 38-20 


W(-7) 


0(51) 



9/5 


at Ohio U 


W 23-16 


W(-3 1 / 2 ) U(44 1 / 2 ) 


9/12 


N CAROLINA 


L 10-12 


W(+5 1 / 2 ) U(4l 1 / 2 ) 




at Baylor 


w 30-22 


W (+10/2) (44/2) 




RHODE ISLAND 


w 52-10 


W (-34/2) 




at Pittsburgh 


L 21-24 


W(+6 1 / 2 ) U(47 1 / 2 ) 


10/17 


SVILLE 


w 38-25 


W (-12/2) (47) 




irginia 


L 24-28 


W (+8) (47) 




RUTGERS 


L 24-28 


L(-7 1 / 2 ) 0(44) 


11/7 


cinnati 


L 45-47 


W (+16) (51) 




re Dame 


w 33-30 


W (+6) (58) 




\CUSE 


w 56-31 


W(-l2 1 / 2 ) 0(44/2) 


12/5 


)RIDA 


w 29-27 


L(-7) 0(47/) 


1/2 


vsS Carolina 


W20-7 


W(+4) U(50/ 2 ) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Michigan 


L 10-30 


L(+3) 


u (51/) 




TEXAS SOUTHERN 


W62-3 


W (-43/) 






mple 


L 16-30 


L(-5Z) 


U (47/) 


9/25 


BUFFALO 


W 45-21 


W(-20/ 2 ) 0(48/) 




VANDERBILT 


W 40-21 


W(-9) 


0(45) 


10/8 


itgers 


L 24-27 


L(-5) 






isville 


LO-26 


L(+3) 


U(53) 




^GINIA 


W 16-13 


W (+4/2) 


U(44) 


11/11 


PITTSBURGH 


W 30-28 


W(+6) 


0(48) 


11/20 


acuse 


W23-6 


W(+4) 




11/27 


NNATI 


W 38-17 


W (-1/2) 




12/4 


lorida 


W 19-16 


W(+2) 


U(43) 


1/1 


vs Oklahoma 


L 20-48 


L (+16) 


(53/) 



80 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#40 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +8.4 (836 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34-08 (67th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35-50 (57th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.0 (840 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


MURRAY ST 


9/9 


FLA INTERNATIONAL 


9/17 


at Kentucky 


10/1 


MARSHALL 


10/8 


at N Carolina 


10/15 


at Cincinnati 


10/21 


RUTGERS 


10/29 


SYRACUSE 


11/5 


at W Virginia 


11/12 


PITTSBURGH 


11/19 


at Connecticut 


11/25 


at S Florida 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


5-7 


4-8 


7-6 


22-27 


44.9% 


4-7 


4-7 


5-6 


7-6 


20-26 


43-5% 


1-4 


3-4 


2-3 


2-5 


8-16 


33-3% 


3-3 


1-3 


3-3 


5-1 


12-10 


54-5% 


3-4 


1-6 


2-5 


3-4 


9-19 


32.1% 


1-3 


3-1 


3-1 


4-2 


11-7 


61.1% 


2-6 


2-3 


1-1 


5-2 


10-12 


45.5% 


2-1 


2-4 


4-5 


2-4 


10-14 


41-7% 


6-5 


6-5 


4-7 


6-6 


22-23 


48.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.4 63 




First Downs 18.8 73 




Yards/Game 369.0 71 




RushYds/Gm 175-0 34 




PassYds/Gm 194 79 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.4 18 




Yards/Game 311.7 14 




RushYds/Gm 144-3 52 




PassYds/Gm 167.4 9 




Takeaways 19 77 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/31 


KENTUCKY 


L2-27 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


u (55/2) 


9/5 


INDIANA ST 


w 30-10 






9/6 


TENNESSEE TECH 


w 51-10 






9/19 


itucky 


L 27-31 


W (+12/2) 


0(49) 


9/17 


KANSAS ST 


w 38-29 


W(+6) 


0(56) 


9/26 


at Utah 


L 14-30 


L (+14) 


u (52/2) 


9/26 


CONNECTICUT 


L 21-26 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


U(5l) 


10/2 


PITTSBURGH 


L 10-35 


L(+7) 


U (52/2) 


10/10 


at Memphis 


W 35-28 


W(-6) 


(56/2) 


10/10 


SOUTHERN MISS 


w 25-23 


W(+2) 


U(50) 


10/18 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


w 42-23 


W(-14/ 2 ) 0(48/2) 


10/17 


at Connecticut 


L 25-38 


L (+12/2) 


0(47) 


10/25 


S FLORIDA 


W 24-20 


W(+6) 


U(52) 


10/24 


at Cincinnati 


L 10-41 


L (+16/2) 


U (54/2) 


11/1 


at Syracuse 


L 21-28 


L (-11) 


u (51/2) 


10/31 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 21-13 


W (-1/2) 


U(50) 


11/8 


at Pittsburgh 


L7-41 


L (+6/2) 


u (53/2) 


11/7 


at W Virginia 


L9-17 


W (+17/2) 


U(55) 


11/14 


CINCINNATI 


L 20-28 


L(+4) 


0(47) 


11/14 


SYRACUSE 


WlO-9 


L (-7K) 


U (46/2) 


11/22 


W VIRGINIA 


L 21-35 


L(+7fc) 


0(49) 


11/21 


at S Florida 


L 22-34 


W (+12/2) 


0(45) 


12/4 


at Rutgers 


L 14-63 


L (+H/2) 


0(54) 


11/27 


RUTGERS 


L 14-34 


L(+3) 


(42/2) 



9/4 


KENTUCKY 


L 16-23 


L(+3) 


u (47/2) 


9/11 


E KENTUCKY 


w 23-13 


L (-30) 




9/18 


at Oregon St 


L 28-35 


W (+20/2) 


0(55) 


10/2 


at Arkansas St 


W 34-24 


W (-6/2) 


U(60) 


10/9 


MEMPHIS 


W56-O 


W (-16/2) 


0(51) 


10/15 


CINCINNATI 


L 27-35 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


(55/2) 


10/23 


CONNECTICUT 


W26-0 


W(-3) 


U(53) 


10/30 


at Pittsburgh 


L3-20 


L (+9/2) 


U(56) 


11/6 


at Syracuse 


W 28-20 


W(+7) 


0(44) 


11/13 


S FLORIDA 


L 21-24 


L(-2) 


U (46/2) 


11/20 


W VIRGINIA 


L 10-17 


L (+3/2) 


U(47) 


11/26 


at Rutgers 


w 40-13 


W(-3) 


(45/2) 


12/21 


vs Southern Miss 


w 31-28 


W(-2) 


(58/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +10.9 (#33 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37.00 (44th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.58 (49th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.3 (#36 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 7-4-2 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


BUFFALO 


9/10 


MAINE 


9/17 


at Iowa 


9/24 


NOTRE DAME 


9/29 


S FLORIDA 


10/8 


at Rutgers 


10/15 


UTAH 


10/26 


CONNECTICUT 


11/5 


CINCINNATI 


11/12 


at Louisville 


11/25 


at W Virginia 


12/3 


SYRACUSE 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


9-4 


10-3 


8-5 


32-19 


62.7% 


6-5 


6-7 


7-4 


7-4 


26-20 


56.5% 


2-4 


2-4 


3-2 


3-3 


10-13 


43-5% 


4-1 


4-3 


4-2 


4-1 


16-7 


69.6% 


4-3 


4-3 


4-3 


5-2 


17-11 


60.7% 


2-2 


2-4 


3-1 


2-2 


9-9 


50.0% 


1-3 


2-5 


7-3 


7-3 


17-14 


54-8% 


5-2 


4-2 


0-1 


0-1 


9-6 


60.0% 


4-7 


5-8 


4-8 


6-6 


19-29 


39.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.3 67 




First Downs 18.4 82 




Yards/Game 366.9 72 




RushYds/Gm 165.7 45 




PassYds/Gm 201.23 73 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.0 15 




Yards/Game 305-1 8 




RushYds/Gm 120.0 17 




PassYds/Gm 185.1 19 




Takeaways 22 59 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 17-27 


L (-14) 


U(54) 


9/6 


BUFFALO 


W 27-16 


L (-13/2) 




9/20 


IOWA 


W 21-20 


L(-2) 


U (41/2) 


9/27 


acuse 


W 34-24 


L (-14) 


0(48) 


10/2 


lorida 


W 26-21 


W (+13/2) 


U(50) 




at Navy 


W 42-21 


W(-3) 


0(51) 




RUTGERS 


L 34-54 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


0(41) 


11/1 


at Notre Dame 


W 36-33 


W(+4) 


0(48) 


11/8 


5VILLE 


W41-7 


W (-6/2) 


U (53K) 




cinnati 


L 21-28 


L(+6) 


0(48) 




^GINIA 


w 19-15 


W (+2/2) 




12/6 


at Connecticut 


W 34-10 


W(+2) 






vs Oregon St 


L0-3 


L(+lH) 


U(5D 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


YOUNGSTOWN ST 


W38-3 






9/12 


jffalo 


W 54-27 


W(-ll 1 / 2 ) 0(42/2) 




NAVY 


W 27-14 


W(-8) 


u (49/2) 




at NC State 


L 31-38 


L(-l) 


0(48) 


10/2 


nsville 


W 35-10 


W(-7) 


U (52/2) 




CONNECTICUT 


W 24-21 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (47/2) 




itgers 


w 24-17 


W(-6) 


U(46) 




)RIDA 


W 41-14 


W (-6/2) 


0(48) 


11/7 


; CUSE 


W 37-10 


W (-21) 






NOTRE DAME 


w 27-22 


P(-5) 


U(59) 




irginia 


L 16-19 


L(pk) 


U(48) 


12/5 


NNATI 


L 44-45 


L(-l) 


0(56) 




vs N Carolina 


w 19-17 


W(-l) 


U(46) 



I 



i 









2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/2 at Utah L 24-27 P(+3) 0(48/2) = 

9/11 N * 

9/23 MIAMI [3-31 L]+3/) U (48%) 2. 

10?2 FU 1 W"( : 17) 0(51)' 

10/9 at e L 17-23 P (+6) U (50) 

10/16 at Syracuse W "45-14 Vv 145/2) 

10723 RUTGERS W 41-21 V (46/2) 

10/30 LOUISVILLE W20-3 W(-9M U "(56) 

11/11 at L(-6) 0(48) ^ 

ii720 at "S Florida W"l7 : l0 W'j-3) U"(47%)' 

11/26 W VIRGINIA L 10-35 L (-3) 0(42) 

12/4 at Cincinnati W 28-10 W (-1/2) U (55) 

StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 81 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 31 (#76 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -33 (#83 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34.00 (68th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.42 (51st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -5-7 (#86 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 3-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


NC CENTRAL 


9/10 


at N Carolina 


9/24 


OHIOU 


10/1 


at Syracuse 


10/8 


PITTSBURGH 


10/15 


NAVY 


10/21 


at Louisville 


10/29 


WVIRGINIA 


11/5 


S FLORIDA 


11/12 


at Army 


11/19 


CINCINNATI 


11/26 


at Connecticut 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


8-5 


9-4 


4-8 


29-22 


56.9% 


6-6 


7-4 


6-7 


3-9 


22-26 


45.8% 


3-4 


3-3 


1-6 


1-5 


8-18 


30.8% 


3-2 


4-1 


5-1 


2-4 


14-8 


63.6% 


2-5 


6-1 


3-4 


3-4 


14-14 


50.0% 


4-1 


1-3 


3-2 


0-5 


8-11 


42.1% 


5-4 


3-4 


4-5 


0-4 


12-17 


41.4% 


1-2 


4-0 


2-1 


3-5 


10-8 


55.6% 


6-5 


5-7 


5-6 


7-4 


23-22 


51.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Scored 


20.8 101 




First Downs 


15.5 115 




Yards/Game 


294.9 114 




RushYds/Gm 


100.9 no 




PassYds/Gm 


194 79 




DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 26.5 62 




Yards/Game 


374-2 65 




RushYds/Gm 


156.4 65 




PassYds/Gm 


217-8 55 




Takeaways 


22 59 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/1 


FRESNO ST 


L7-24 


L(-3H) 


U(57) 


9/7 


CINCINNATI 


L 15-47 


L(-5) 


0(47) 


9/11 


JOLINA 


L 12-44 


L'f-6) 


0(49) 


9/12 


HOWARD 


W45-7 


L (-46) 




9/20 


at Navy 


L 21-23 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


U (59) 


9/19 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 23-15 


L (-16) 


u (51/2) 


9/27 


MORGAN ST 


W38-0 






9/26 


at Maryland 


W 34-13 


W(+l) 


U(49) 


10/4 


at W Virginia 
at Cincinnati 


L 17-24 
L 10-13 


W (+14) 
■WT+6/2J' 


u (49/2) 

11(48/2) 


10/10 


TEXAS SOUTHERN 


W42-O 


L (-52) 




10/11 


10/16 


PITTSBURGH 


L 17-24 


L(+6) 


U(46) 


10/18 


CONNECTICUT 


W 12-10 


L(-3) 


U(44) 


10/23 


at Army 


w 27-10 


W(-10/ 2 ) UG8/2) 


10/25 


at Pittsburgh 


W 54-34 


W (+9/2) 


0(41) 


10/31 


at Connecticut 


W 28-24 


W (+7/2) 


0(44) 


11/8 


SYRACUSE 


w 35-17 


W (-14) 


0(49) 


11/12 


S FLORIDA 


W31-O 


W (-1/2) 


U(43) 


11/15 


at S Florida 


W 49-16 


W (+8/2) 


(49/2) 


11/21 


at Syracuse 


L 13-31 


LMO) 


U(45) 


11/22 


ARMY 


W30-3 


W (-17/2) U (43/2) 


11/27 


at Louisville 


W 34-14 


W(-3) 


(42/2) 


12/4 


LOUISVILLE 


W 63-14 


W (-11/2) 


0(54) 


12/5 


WVIRGINIA 


L 21-24 


L(-l) 


(43/2) 


12/29 


vs NC State 


w 29-23 


P(-6) 


u (57/2) 


12/19 


vsUCF 


W 45-24 


W (-2/2) 


0(45) 



9/2 


NORFOLK ST 


W31-O 


L(-38/ 2 ) 


9/11 


at FLA In IW19-14 


L (-14%) U(47/ 2 ) 


9/25 


N CAROLINA 


L 13-17 


L(+3) U(44) 


10/2 


TULANE 


L 14-17 


L (-17) U(4l/ 2 ) 


10/8 


CONNECTICUT 


W 27-24 


W(+5) 0(42/) 


10/16 


vs Army 


w 23-20 


L(-6) 0(42/) 


10/23 


at Pittsburgh 


L 21-41 


L (+13) 0(46/2) 


11/3 


at S Florida 


L 27-28 


W (+10/2) (43/2) 


11/13 


SYRACUSE 


L 10-13 


L (+254) U(42) 


11/20 


at Cincinnati 


L 38-69 


L (+10/2) 0(49) 


11/26 


LOUISVILLE 


L 13-40 


L(+3) 0(45/) 


12/4 


at W Virginia 


L 14-35 


W (+21/2) (46/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#40 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +1.7 (#63 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34-38 (65th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 3533 (60th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +4.1 (#52 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Notre Dame 


9/10 


BALL ST 


9/17 


FLORIDA AM 


9/24 


UTEP 


9/29 


at Pittsburgh 


10/15 


at Connecticut 


10/22 


CINCINNATI 


11/5 


at Rutgers 


11/11 


at Syracuse 


11/19 


MIAMI 


11/25 


LOUISVILLE 


12/1 


WVIRGINIA 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


8-5 


8-5 


8-5 


33-19 


63-5% 


7-5 


5-7 


6-6 


6-7 


24-25 


49-0% 


4-1 


2-3 


2-3 


2-5 


10-12 


45-5% 


3-4 


3-4 


4-3 


4-2 


14-13 


51.9% 


4-3 


3-4 


3-4 


2-5 


12-16 


42.9% 


3-2 


2-3 


3-2 


4-2 


12-9 


57-1% 


5-5 


4-7 


2-2 


1-4 


12-18 


40.0% 


2-0 


1-0 


3-4 


4-3 


10-7 


58.8% 


8-3 


5-7 


6-5 


4-8 


23-23 


50.0% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 24.1 


85 




First Downs 16.5 


105 




Yards/Game 309-4 


105 




RushYds/Gm 144-9 


71 




PassYds/Gm 164-54 


101 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 20.0 


22 




Yards/Game 317-9 


17 




RushYds/Gm 125.6 


22 




PassYds/Gm 192.3 


24 




Takeaways 20 


72 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


TENN-MARTIN 


W56-7 






9/6 


atUCF 


w 31-24 


L (-14) 


(47/2) 


9/12 


KANSAS 


W 37-34 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


(5l 1 / 2 ) 




at FLA In , W17-9 


L(-29 1 / 2 ) 




9/27 


at NC State 


w 41-10 


W (-10) 




10/2 


5URGH 


L 21-26 


L(-l3 1 / 2 ) 


U(50) 




iCUSE 


W 45-13 


W (-24) 






lisville 


L 20-24 


L(-6) 


U(52) 




at Cincinnati 


L 10-24 


L(-2) 




11/15 


RUTGERS 


L 16-49 


L (-8/2) 






ECTICUT 


w 17-13 


W(-3) 




12/6 


11 \A Virginia 


L7-13 


W(+7) 


U (46/2) 




mphis 


W 41-14 


W(-l0 1 / 2 ) U (56/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


WOFFORD 


W40-7 






9/12 


at W Kentucky 


w 35-13 


L (-26) 


U(52) 




CHARLESTON SOUT 


W59-0 


W (-38) 






id a St 


W17-7 


W (+13/2) 


U(5l) 


10/3 


acuse 


W 34-20 


W(-7) 


0(47) 




NNATI 


L 17-34 


L(+l] 






at Pittsburgh 


L 14-41 


L (+6/2) 


0(48) 




1GINIA 


w 30-19 


W (+2/2) 




11/12 


jtgers 


LO-31 


L(+1K) 


U(43) 


11/21 


SVILLE 


W 34-22 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


0(45) 




MIAMI 


L 10-31 


L(+3fc) 


U(53) 


12/5 


at Connecticut 


L 27-29 


W(+7) 




1/2 


LLinois 


W27-3 


W (-6/2) 


U(50) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


STONY BROOK 


w 59-14 


W (-36) 




9/11 


orida 


L 14-38 


L (+1434) 


0(50) 


9/25 


ITUCKY 


W 24-12 


L(-27 1 / 2 ) 


U(56) 


10/2 


FLA ATLANTIC 


W31-3 


W(-2l 1 / 2 ) U(5l 1 / 2 ) 


10/9 


\CUSE 


L9-13 


L'(-8) 






-n W Virginia 


L6-20 


L (+10) 


U(44) 




cinnati 


w 38-30 


W (+9%) 




11/3 


RUTGERS 


W 28-27 


L (-10/2) 






lisville 


W 24-21 


W(+2) 






PITTSBURGH 


L 10-17 


L(+3) 


U(47':) 


11/27 


at Miami 


w 23-20 


w (+13) 




12/4 


CONNECTICUT 


L 16-19 


L(-2) 


U(43) 




em son 


w 31-26 


W(+5) 





82 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 36 (#63 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.3 (#55 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.62 (81st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 34-25 (67th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +2.8 (#56 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


WAKE FOREST 


9/10 


RHODE ISLAND 


9/17 


at USC 


9/24 


TOLEDO 


10/1 


RUTGERS 


10/8 


at Tu lane 


10/21 


WVIRGINIA 


10/29 


at Louisville 


11/5 


at Connecticut 


11/11 


S FLORIDA 


11/26 


CINCINNATI 


12/3 


at Pittsburgh 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


3-9 


4-8 


8-5 


17-32 


34-7% 


3-9 


5-6 


6-6 


8-5 


22-26 


45.8% 


1-6 


2-3 


4-4 


2-4 


9-17 


34.6% 


2-3 


3-3 


2-2 


6-1 


13-9 


59-1% 


2-5 


4-3 


2-5 


4-3 


12-16 


42.9% 


1-4 


1-3 


4-1 


4-2 


10-10 


50.0% 


1-0 


0-1 


1-0 


4-3 


6-4 


60.0% 


2-9 


5-5 


5-5 


4-2 


16-21 


43-2% 


5-6 


6-5 


3-8 


4-7 


18-26 


40.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 22.2 93 




First Downs 17.3 98 




Yards/Game 322.9 97 




RushYds/Gm 140.2 76 




PassYds/Gm 182.69 91 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.3 17 




Yards/Game 301.5 7 




RushYds/Gm 136.2 41 




PassYds/Gm 165.3 7 




Takeaways 17 94 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Northwestern 


L 10-30 


L (+12)4) U(54 1 / 2 ) 


9/5 


MINNESOTA 


L 20-23 


W (+7) U (47) 


9/6 


AKRON 


L 28-42 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


(43/2) 


9/12 


at Penn St 


L7-28 


W (+29/2) U (51) 


9/13 


PENN ST 


L 13-55 


L (+27/2) 


(50/2) 


9/19 


NORTHWESTERN 


W 37-34 


W(+l 1 / 2 ) 0(45/2) 


9/20 


NORTHEASTERN 


w 30-21 






9/26 


MAINE 


W 41-24 


L (-21) 


9/27 


PITTSBURGH 


L 24-34 


W (+14) 


0(48) 


10/3 


S FLORIDA 


L 20-34 


L(+7) 0(47) 


10/11 


at W Virginia 


L6-17 


w (+23) 


U(47) 


10/10 


WVIRGINIA 


L 13-34 


L (+10/2) U(54 1 /2) 


10/18 


at S Florida 


L 13-45 


L (+24) 


(51/2) 


10/24 


AKRON 


W 28-14 


W(-ll) U(47 1 / 2 ) 


11/1 


LOUISVILLE 


W 28-21 


W (+11) 


u (51/2) 


10/31 


CINCINNATI 


L7-28 


L (+1534) U(52) 


11/8 


at Rutgers 


L 17-35 


L (+14) 


0(49) 


11/7 


at Pittsburgh 


L 10-37 


L (+21) U(49 1 /2) 


11/15 


CONNECTICUT 


L 14-39 


L(+9 1 /2) 


0(47) 


11/14 


at Louisville 


L9-10 


W(+7 1 / 2 ) U(46 1 / 2 ) 


11/22 


at Notre Dame 


w 24-23 


W (+20) 


u (47/2) 


11/21 


RUTGERS 


w 31-13 


W (+10) U (45) 


11/29 


at Cincinnati 


L 10-30 


W (+21/2) 


U(5D 


11/28 


at Connecticut 


L 31-56 


L(+12/ 2 ) 0(44/2) 



9/4 


at Akron 


W29-3 


W(-9) 


U(42) 


9/11 


at Washington 


L 20-41 


L (+13) 


(51/) 


9/18 


MAINE 


W 38-14 


W (-20/) 




9/25 


COLGATE 


W42-7 


W (-29/2) 




10/9 


at S Florida 


W13-9 


W(+8) 


u (45/2) 


10/16 


PITTSBURGH 


L 14-45 


L(+2Z) 


0(45/2) 


10/23 


at W Virginia 


W 19-14 


W (+13/2) 


U(44) 


10/30 


at Cincinnati 


W31-7 


W (+5/2) 


U (46/2) 


11/6 


LOUISVILLE 


L 20-28 


L(7) 


0(44) 


11/13 


at Rutgers 


w 13-10 


W (-2/2) 


U(42) 


11/20 


CONNECTICUT 


L6-23 


L(-4) 


U (44/) 


11/27 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


L7-I6 


L (-3/2) 


U(38) 


12/30 


vs Kansas St 


W 36-34 


W(pk) 


0(48/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 47 (#25 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.1 (#29 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 35-62 (58th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35-42 (59th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +11.6 (#23 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MARSHALL 


9/10 


NORFOLK ST 


9/17 


at Maryland 


9/24 


LSU 


10/1 


BOWLING GREEN 


10/8 


CONNECTICUT 


10/21 


at Syracuse 


10/29 


at Rutgers 


11/5 


LOUISVILLE 


11/12 


at Cincinnati 


11/25 


PITTSBURGH 


12/1 


at S Florida 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-2 


9-4 


9-4 


9-4 


38-14 


73.1% 


7-5 


4-8 


5-7 


7-6 


23-26 


46.9% 


3-3 


2-4 


2-4 


4-3 


11-14 


44-0% 


4-2 


2-4 


3-3 


3-3 


12-12 


50.0% 


3-3 


2-5 


4-3 


4-3 


13-14 


48.1% 


4-2 


2-3 


1-4 


3-3 


10-12 


45-5% 


6-5 


4-8 


2-6 


5-5 


17-24 


41-5% 


1-0 


0-0 


3-1 


2-0 


6-1 


85-7% 


6-7 


5-7 


6-6 


4-8 


21-28 


42.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 25.2 78 




First Downs 20.0 56 




Yards/Game 372.7 67 




RushYds/Gm 159-7 50 




PassYds/Gm 213 67 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 13.5 3 




Yards/Game 261.1 3 




RushYds/Gm 86.5 2 




PassYds/Gm 174.6 11 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


VILLANOVA 


W 48-21 






9/6 


at E Carolina 


L3-24 


L(-7K) 


U (48/2) 




iorado 


L 14-17 


L(-3) 


U(57) 


9/27 


SHALL 


W27-3 


W (-16) 




10/4 


RUTGERS 


w 24-17 


L (-14) 




10/11 


iCUSE 


W17-6 


L (-23) 


U(47) 




AUBURN 


W 34-17 


W (-3/2) 


0(40) 


11/1 


at Connecticut 


w 35-13 


W(-3) 




11/8 


NNATI 


L 23-26 


L(-7) 


0(48) 




nsville 


W 35-21 


W (-7/2) 


0(49) 




at Pittsburgh 


L 15-19 


L(-2 1 / 2 ) 




12/6 


)RIDA 


W13-7 


L(7) 






vs N Carolina 


w 31-30 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


(47/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


LIBERTY 


W 33-20 






9/12 


E CAROLINA 


W 35-20 


W(-6) 


0(44) 


9/19 


j burn 


L 30-41 


L(+7) 




10/1 


)RADO 


W 35-24 


L (-17) 


(55/2) 




acuse 


W 34-13 


W(-l0 1 / 2 ) U (54/2) 


10/17 


SHALL 


W24-7 


L (-20) 


u (51/2) 




CONNECTICUT 


W 28-24 


L(-8) 


0(47) 




lorida 


L 19-30 


L(-2 1 / 2 ) 




11/7 


SVILLE 


W17-9 


L (-17/2) 


U(55) 




cinnati 


L 21-24 


W (+9/2) 






PITTSBURGH 


W 19-16 


W(pk) 


U(48) 


12/5 


itgers 


W 24-21 


W(+l) 




1/1 


rid a St 


L 21-33 


L(-3) 


U(56) 



i 






■ 



2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 COASTAL CAROLINA W31-O L (-41/2) c 

9/10 at Marshall W 24-21 L (-12) U(46':) * 

9/18 MARYLAND W 31-17 W (-10) 0(45) 2. 

9/25 at LSU L 14-20 WT+9/2] U"(44%y 

id/9 UNLV W'49-16 W 47/2)' 

W'20 : 6 W"f-ld) U(44) 

10/23 SYRACUSE L 14-19 L (-13/2) U (44) 

10/29 at L (-4%)' U (44) 

11/13 CINCINNATI W 37-10 W (-5) U (50) S 

11/20 at Louisville W 17-10 W (-3/2) U (47) 

11/26 at Pittsburgh W 35-10 W (+3) 0(42) 

12/4 RUTGERS W 35-14 L :46 1 / 2 ) 

12 Z28lviNc;s§F;;";;^ 
StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 83 



PREDICTED FINISH 



OSS 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The lllini offense was a bit one-dimensional last year, ranking 11th in the 
nation in rushing (246 YPG) and lllth in the country in passing (151 YPG). 
With monster TB Mikel Leshoure leaving for the NFL, they should be more 
balanced in 2011. Senior TB Jason Ford (480 rush yds, 7 TD) will replace 
Leshoure and has the luxury of three returning O-Linemen blocking for him. 
Sophomore QB Nathan Scheelhaase is still developing as a passer (58.7% 
completion rate), but he is a legitimate dual-threat QB (868 rush yds). No. 
1 WR, senior A.|. Jenkins (56 rec, 746 yds, 7 TD), returns, but the other wide- 
outs need work. The defense has big holes to fill with the losses of DLs Corey 
Liuget and Clay Nurse, and LBs Martez Wilson and Nate Bussey who com- 
bined for 13.5 sacks last year. Despite the lack of pass rushers up front, the 
back seven is still be pretty decent with junior LBs Ian Thomas (67 tackles, 
6.5 TFL) and Justin Staples (4.5 TFL), and an improving secondary with two 
heady seniors - FS Trulon Henry (3 INT) and SS Tavon Wilson (8 PD). 



:;y. ;;.':; 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Former Oklahoma OC Kevin Wilson takes over an Indiana team that went 
1-7 in Big Ten play and loses QB Ben Chappell, who accounted for 276 YPG 
of total offense. Sophomores Dusty Kiel and Edward Wright-Baker will com- 
pete for the starting QB job and are a combined g-of-29 for 151 yds, 1 TD 
and 3 INT. The ll2th-ranked running game (100 YPG) is also in sad shape 
as Darius Willis (4.3 YPC), Antonio Banks (3.5 YPC) and Xavier Whitaker are 
all coming offseason-ending knee injuries. Wide receiver is the team's one 
position of strength with Damarlo Belcher (78 rec, 832 yds) and Tandon 
Doss (63 rec, 706 yds). Indiana's defense will remain terrible. The Hoosiers, 
who only had 15 sacks and 13 turnovers (T3rd-fewest in FBS), will switch 
from a 3-4 to a 4-3 defense. Senior DE Darius Johnson (4.5 sacks) is the only 
DL left with more than two sacks last year. Senior LBs Jeff Thomas (82 tack- 
les, 7-5 TFL) and Leon Beckum (69 tackles) will have to lead this defense, 
which lost its best player and secondary leader, SS Mitchell Evans. 



own 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Hawkeyes encountered a huge roster turnover with only 10 total start- 
ers remaining. Productive QB Ricky Stanzi is gone, but the coaching staff 
is very high on his replacement, junior James Vandenberg (47-95, 515 yds, 
3 TD, 5 INT in career). With RB Adam Robinson transferring, the rushing 
workload falls on the capable shoulders of sophomore TB Marcus Coker 



LEGENDS DIVISION 


LEADERS DIVISION 




1. Nebraska 


1. Wisconsin 


2. Michigan State 


2. Ohio State 


3. Iowa 


3. Penn State 


4. Michigan 


4. Illinois 


5. Northwestern 


5. Purdue 


6. Minnesota 


6. Indiana 











(622 rush yds, 5-5 YPC). Coker rumbled for 219 yards and two scores in last 
year's Insight Bowl against Missouri. The WR corps is a little thin, but at 
least Iowa still has one great wideout in senior Marvin McNutt (53 rec, 
861 yds, 8 TD). This defense was excellent last season, ranking among the 
nation's top seven teams in rushing (102 YPG), scoring (17.0 PPG) and TO 
margin (+1.0 per game). But the D-Line loses two all-conference perform- 
ers in DE Adrian Clayborn and DT Karl Klug. Senior DT Mike Daniels (4 sacks, 
11 TFL) is the only returning lineman with more than 1 TFL last year. MLB 
James Morris (70 tackles) is left to control the middle of the field, while the 
secondary welcomes back two excellent corners in Micah Hyde (82 tackles, 
4 INT, 7 PD) and Shaun Prater (68 tackles, 4 INT, 6 PD). 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Brady Hoke, a former Michigan defensive coach, takes over for Rich 
Rodriguez after successful stints with Ball State and SDSL). Hoke inherits 
electric QB Denard Robinson (329 YPG of offense, 2nd in FBS; 131 rush YPG, 
4th in FBS). But he'll have to adjust to a multiple-set offense after thriving 
in the spread. Robinson benefits from four starters returning to an excellent 
O-Line that allowed just 11 sacks last year. He also has skill-position weap- 
ons in WR Roy Roundtree (72 rec, 935 yds, 7 TD) and TB Vincent Smith (601 
rush yds, 4-4 YPC). The defense was brutal last year in all facets, ranking 
110th in yardage (451 YPG), 108th in scoring (35-2 PPG), and amassing just 
18 sacks. New DC Greg Mattison is switching from a 3-3-5 to a 4-3 defense. 
DE Ryan Van Bergen (4 sacks) is the team's best pass rusher, but the line- 
backer unit is extremely weak without graduated WLB Jonas Mouton. The 
secondary remains intact, but this group allowed 262 passing YPG in '10. 



;:-,;;;::,,;;,;,: 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

On the heels of a shared Big Ten title and 11 wins, expectations are run- 
ning high for Spartans fans. QB Kirk Cousins (217 pass YPG, 20 TD, 10 INT) 
will start for the third straight season. He has plenty of playmakers remain- 
ing on offense, most notably RBs Edwin Baker (1,201 rush yds, 13 TD) and 
Le'Veon Bell (605 rush yds, 8 TD), and WR B.J. Cunningham (611 rec yds, 
9 TD). There is legitimate concern about blocking, as the revamped offen- 
sive line lost three starters. The defense needs to figure out how to put 
more pressure on opposing quarterbacks after ranking 90th in sacks per 
game (1.5) and T-gist in TFL per game (5.1). The unit is also seeking replace- 
ments for graduated stud LBs Greg Jones and Eric Gordon, who combined 
for 198 tackles, 16.5 TFL and four forced fumbles. The best defenders left 
in East Lansing are junior DT Jerel Worthy (4 sacks, 8 TFL), senior FS Trenton 
Robinson (4 INT, 8 PD) and junior CB Johnny Adams (3 INT, 7 PD). 



84 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



Ill 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Jerry Kill is the new head coach at Minnesota after three straight bowl sea- 
sons at Northern Illinois. QB Adam Weber, has graduated, but Kill likes what 
he sees from dual-threat QB MarQueis Gray who played receiver with Weber 
under center. WR Da'Jon McKnight (750 rec yds, 10 TD) and TE Eric Lair (39 
rec, 526 yds) provide reliable senior targets. Kill will use multiple RBs, but 
seniors DeLeon Eskridge (698 rush yds, 7 TD) and Duane Bennett (529 rush 
yds, 43 YPC) should get the most touches. The offensive line is suspect with 
four starters gone. Minnesota had the fewest sacks in the nation last year 
(nine), but will incorporate a more aggressive scheme under new DC Tracy 
Claeys. Senior MLB Gary Tinsley (90 tackles, 9-5 TFL) leads a serviceable 
LB unit. The secondary loses both safeties, but CB Kim Royston (76 tackles, 
6 PD in 2009) returns from a broken leg that cost him the 2010 season. 






Offense: Multiple Spread Option - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 42 - Starters Returning: 7 

Nebraska's inaugural Big Ten season should be a good one with talent 
all over the field. The offensive line lost three starters, but when healthy, 
QB Taylor Martinez (965 rush yds, 6.0 YPC, 12 TD; 10 pass TD, 7 INT) runs 
this spread option to perfection. The Huskers also have a strong l-back in 
Rex Burkhead (951 rush yds, 5-5 YPC, 7 TD) and two great receivers in WR 
Brandon Kinnie (494 rec yds, 5 TD) and TE Kyler Reed (395 rec yds, 8 TD). 
Nebraska always has elite defensive fronts and this year's front seven is also 
stacked. All-Big 12 first teamers DT |ared Crick (9.5 sacks, 14.5 TFL) and LB 
Lavonte David (152 tackles (85 solo), 12.5 TFL, 6 sacks) are simply outstand- 
ing, and DE Cameron Meredith (5.5 TFL) is also top notch. The Huskers say 
goodbye to stud CBs Prince Amukamara and Eric Hagg, as well as FS De)on 
Gomes, but senior CB Alfonzo Dennard (4 INT, 7 PD) remains. 



ERN 



Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Wildcats are eager to get back on the field after ending the 2010 season 
allowing 163 points over three straight losses. But Northwestern could be a 
sleeper team in the Big Ten with QB Dan Persa under center. Persa ranked 
among the nation's top 10 players in total offense (310 YPG) and passing 
efficiency (159-04). He'll be even better with a more experienced offensive 
line that will surely improve upon 40 sacks and 91 TFL allowed. Persa also 
has a sound supporting cast led by senior WR |eremy Ebert (62 rec, 953 yds, 
8 TD) and sophomore TB Mike Trumpy (530 rush yds, 4-6 YPC). Most of the 
problems on defense stemmed from a front four that failed to pressure the 
QB, amassing a paltry 16 sacks for the season. DE Vince Browne was the 
line's lone bright spot (7 sacks, 15.5 TFL). LB Bryce McNaul (62 tackles) and 
CB Jordan Mabin (63 tackles, 14 PD) will lead their respective units. 



Gi,;c, 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 4 

With the Memorial Day resignation of Jim Tressel, assistant Luke Fickell 
takes over as the Buckeyes head coach. He's not expected to change much 
with the schemes, but he no longer has Terrelle Pryor (31-4 in career) 



as his QB. Three star offensive players (WR DeVier Posey, RB Dan Herron 
and LT Mike Adams) are suspended for the first five games. Senior QB Joe 
Bauserman (16-22, 174 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT) is expected to start for an offense 
that should remain dominant, after ranking nth among FBS schools last 
year with 38.8 PPG. The defense ranked in the nation's top five in yardage 
(262 YPG) and points (14.3 PPG), but lost seven starters. DE Nathan Williams 
(4.5 sacks, 8.5 TFL) and DT John Simon (8.5 TFL) are strong returnees, but 
OSU's top two LBs and corners have departed. LB Andrew Sweat (41 tackles) 
and SS Orhian Johnson (50 tackles) are the other two starters remaining. 



PENH SI 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The QB battle will be one to watch this summer with junior Matt McGloin 
and sophomore Rob Bolden, who combined for a 53% completion rate, 13 
INT and just six TD in PSU's six defeats. Whoever wins the job will have a 
stout offensive line, which allowed only 11 sacks (Tioth in FBS). TB Evan 
Royster is gone, but sophomore Silas Redd is a strong replacement (437 
rush yds, 5-7 YPC). WR Derek Moye (53 rec, 885 yds, 8 TD) is the team's best 
offensive player. The defense had its weaknesses last year, mainly its lack 
of a pass rush (17 sacks, 71 TFL) and poor run defense (166 YPG, 74th in 
nation). DT Devon Still (10 TFL) has star potential, and Michael Mauti (66 
tackles) and Nate Stupar (73 tackles) lead a talented linebacker corps. The 
secondary returns all four starters, including two with top-notch ball skills, 
FS Nick Sukay (3 INT in 6 games) and CB D'Anton Lynn (3 INT). 






Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

RB Ralph Bolden (935 rush yds, 11 total TD in 2009) has recovered from tear- 
ing his ACL last year and will be a key to improving the 104th ranked offense 
(312 YPG). QB Robert Marve also tore his ACL, but probably will not regain 
his starting role over Rob Henry (1,543 total yds, 8 pass TD, 7 INT). WR Keith 
Smith, who had 1,100 receiving yards in '09, also suffered a season-ending 
knee injury, but was a denied a sixth year of eligibility by the NCAA. The 
good news is four starters return on the 0-Line. The defense only lost two 
starters, but one of those was All-American DE Ryan Kerrigan. The front 
seven will remain very good with DT Kawann Short (6 sacks, 12.5 TFL) and 
MLB Dwayne Beckford (84 tackles) up the middle. The secondary remains 
intact with CB Ricardo Allen (2 TD ret.) and S Logan Link (91 tackles). 



rat m 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Wisconsin had three 70-point games last year and returns the powerful 
two-headed rushing monster of James White (1,052 rush yds, 14 TD) and 
Montee Ball (996 rush yds, 18 TD). But the 0-Line lost three starters. Former 
NC State QB Russell Wilson (76 pass TD, 267 total YPG in career) is a huge 
addition, but he'll need some receivers to step up in a big way, namely 
senior WR Nick Toon (36 rec, 459 yds, 3 TD). DE J.J. Watt is now in the NFL, 
but the team expects bigger things from senior Louis Nzegwu (3 sacks, 7.5 
TFL). OLB Chris Borland (10.5 TFL, 5 FF in '09) missed most of last season 
with shoulder problems, but is poised for a huge year with fellow OLB Mike 
Taylor (58 tackles, 8 TFL). The top two pass defenders also return, in CB 
Antonio Fenelus (4 INT, 7 PD) and FS Aaron Henry (7 PD, 3 total TD). 



« 



i 



■ 



■ 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 85 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 44 (#35 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.5 (#27 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34.54 (64th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35.17 (63rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +9.1 (#32 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 9-4 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


ARKANSAS ST 


9/10 


S DAKOTA ST 


9/17 


ARIZONA ST 


9/24 


W MICHIGAN 


10/1 


NORTHWESTERN 


10/8 


at Indiana 


10/15 


OHIO ST 


10/22 


at Purdue 


10/29 


atPennSt 


11/12 


MICHIGAN 


11/19 


WISCONSIN 


11/26 


at Minnesota 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


5-7 


3-9 


7-6 


24-26 


48.0% 


7-5 


4-7 


3-8 


9-4 


23-24 


48.9% 


3-2 


2-3 


1-5 


4-2 


10-12 


45.5% 


4-3 


2-4 


2-3 


5-2 


13-12 


52.0% 


6-2 


4-4 


2-5 


6-2 


18-13 


58.1% 


1-3 


0-3 


1-3 


3-2 


5-11 


31-3% 


5-2 


2-5 


0-4 


5-3 


12-14 


46.2% 


2-3 


2-2 


3-3 


4-1 


11-9 


55-0% 


8-4 


6-5 


4-7 


7-5 


25-21 


54-3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.5 26 




First Downs 20.6 46 




Yards/Game 397-1 45 




RushYds/Gm 246.1 11 




PassYds/Gm 151 ill 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.5 48 




Yards/Game 351-3 38 




RushYds/Gm 130.8 32 




PassYds/Gm 220.5 61 




Takeaways 27 26 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


vs Missouri 


L 42-52 


L(+9 1 / 2 ) 


(59/2) 


9/5 


vs Missouri 


L9-37 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (6O/2) 


9/6 


E ILLINOIS 


W 47-21 






9/12 


ILLINOIS ST 


W 45-17 


L (-3334) 




9/13 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W 20-17 


L(-25 1 / 2 ) 


U(62) 


9/26 


at Ohio St 


L0-30 


L (+14) 


U(50) 


9/27 


at Penn St 


L 24-38 


W (+15/2) 


0(54) 


10/3 


PENN ST 


L 17-35 


L(+8) 


0(48) 


10/4 


at Michigan 


W 45-20 


W(+l) 


0(49) 


10/10 


MICHIGAN ST 


L 14-24 


L(+4) 


U(55) 


10/11 


MINNESOTA 


L 20-27 


L (-12) 


U (58/2) 


10/17 


at Indiana 


L 14-27 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


u (53/2) 


10/18 


INDIANA 


w 55-13 


w (-17) 


(54/2) 


10/24 


at Purdue 


L 14-24 


P (+10) 


U(55) 


10/25 


at Wisconsin 


L 17-27 


L(-2) 


U(52) 


10/31 


MICHIGAN 


w 38-13 


W(+7) 


u (53/2) 


11/1 


IOWA 


w 27-24 


W (-2/2) 


(50/2) 


11/7 


at Minnesota 


w 35-32 


W(+6) 


0(54) 


11/8 


vs W Michigan 


L 17-23 


L(-8) 


U(64) 


11/14 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 16-21 


L (-6/2) 


U (50/2) 


11/15 


OHIO ST 


L 20-30 


L(+8) 


0(43) 


11/27 


at Cincinnati 


L 36-49 


W (+19) 


0(59) 


11/22 


at Northwestern 


L 10-27 


L(3) 


u (54/2) 


12/5 


FRESNO ST 


L 52-53 


L(-2) 


(58/2) 



9/4 


vs Missouri 


L 13-23 


W (+13/2) 


U(53) 


9/11 


S ILLINOIS 


W35-3 


W (-11) 




9/18 


N ILLINOIS 


W 28-22 


L(7) 


0(45) 


10/2 


OHIO ST 


L 13-24 


W (+15/2) U (48/2) 


10/9 


at Penn St 


w 33-13 


W(+9) 


0(42) 


10/16 


at Michigan St 


L6-26 


L(+6>4) 


U (48/2) 


10/23 


INDIANA 


W 43-13 


W(-13) 


(53/2) 


10/30 


PURDUE 


W 44-10 


W (-16/2) 


0(42) 


11/6 


at Michigan 


L 65-67 


W (+2/2) 


0(58) 


11/13 


MINNESOTA 


L 34-38 


L (-21) 


(52/2) 


11/20 


vs Northwestern 


W 48-27 


W(-8) 


0(49) 


12/3 


at Fresno St 


L 23-25 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(60) 


12/29 


vs Baylor 


W 38-14 


W(-2) 


U (64/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (#93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -5.4 (#87 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.67 (76th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35.25 (61st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -6.8 (#89 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Ball St 


9/10 


VIRGINIA 


9/17 


S CAROLINA ST 


9/24 


at North Texas 


10/1 


PENN ST 


10/8 


ILLINOIS 


10/15 


at Wisconsin 


10/22 


at Iowa 


10/29 


NORTHWESTERN 


11/5 


at Ohio St 


11/19 


at Michigan St 


11/26 


PURDUE 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


3-9 


4-8 


5-7 


19-30 


38.8% 


7-5 


3-8 


7-4 


6-6 


23-23 


50.0% 


5-1 


2-5 


3-2 


4-2 


14-10 


58.3% 


2-4 


1-3 


4-2 


2-4 


9-13 


40.9% 


4-4 


2-6 


5-3 


4-4 


15-17 


46.9% 


3-1 


1-2 


2-1 


2-2 


8-6 


57-1% 


3-1 


1-2 


1-0 


2-2 


7-5 


58.3% 


4-4 


2-6 


6-4 


4-4 


16-18 


47.1% 


6-6 


7-4 


6-3 


6-5 


25-18 


58.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 27.2 


56 




First Downs 21.7 


35 




Yards/Game 387.5 


54 




RushYds/Gm 100.3 


112 




PassYds/Gm 287.17 


14 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 34-0 


102 




Yards/Game 410.2 


90 




RushYds/Gm 171.8 


80 




PassYds/Gm 238.3 


93 




Takeaways 13 


115 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


W KENTUCKY 


w 31-13 


w (-17) 


U(53) 


9/6 
9720 

9/27 


MURRAY ST 
BALLSf 

MICHIGAN ST 


...W.45;3... 
L 20-42 
L29-42 


lw 

L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


0(61) 

0(53) 


10/4 


at Minnesota 


L7-16 


L(+6 1 / 2 ) 


U(62) 


10/11 


IOWA 


L9-45 


L(+6) 


0(46) 




iinois 


L 13-55 


L{+17) 


(54/2) 




NORTHWESTERN 


W 21-19 


W(+7) 


U(54) 


11/1 


C MICHIGAN 


L 34-37 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


(6O/2) 


11/8 


WISCONSIN 


L 20-41 


L (+10) 


0(51) 


11/15 


at Penn St 


L7-34 


W (+35) 


u (57/2) 




irdue 


L 10-62 


L (+11) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/3 


E KENTUCKY 


w 19-13 






9/12 
9/19 

9/26 


WMICHIGAN 
at Akron 
:higan 


w 23-19 
w'38-21' 

L33-36 


W (-1) U (54) 
W(+3) 0(45) 

w (+18/2) 6 (53/2) 


10/3 


OHIO ST 


L 14-33 


L (+17/ 2 ) 


P(47) 


10/10 


rginia 


L7-47 


L(+7) 


0(47) 


10/17 


ILLINOIS 


W 27-14 


W (+3/2) 


u (53/2) 




at Northwestern 


L 28-29 


W (+4/2) 


0(53) 


10/31 


at Iowa 


L 24-42 


L (+17) 


0(47) 


11/7 


WISCONSIN 


L 28-31 


W (+13/2) 


0(54) 


11/14 


at Penn St 


L 20-31 


W (+24) 


u (55/2) 




PURDUE 


L 21-38 


L(+3) 


P(59) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/2 


TOWSON 


w 51-17 


w (-29) 




9/18 
9/25' 
10/2 


at W Kentucky 
AKRON 

MICHIGAN 


W 38-21 
W35-20 
L35-42 


W(-13/ 2 ) U(60 1 / 2 ) 

Tf-23%) U (56) 

W (+10) (65) 


10/9 


at Ohio St 


L 10-38 


L (+24/2) 


u (59/2) 




ARKANSAS ST 


W 36-34 


L(-9 1 /2) 


0(64) 


10/23 


iinois 


L 13-43 


L (+13) 


(53/2) 




NORTHWESTERN 


L 17-20 


W (+3/2) 


U (58/2) 


11/6 


IOWA 


L 13-18 


W (+18/2) u (53/2) 


11/13 


consin 


L 20-83 


L (+22/2) 


0(57) 


11/20 


•nn St 


L 24-41 


L (+10) 


0(58) 




jrdue 


W 34-31 


W(+4) 


0(54) 



86 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 48 (#22 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.7 (#24 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 35-31 (60th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.08 (77th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +11.9 (#21 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


TENNESSEE TECH 


9/10 


at Iowa St 


9/17 


PITTSBURGH 


9/24 


LA MONROE 


10/8 


atPennSt 


10/15 


NORTHWESTERN 


10/22 


INDIANA 


10/29 


at Minnesota 


11/5 


MICHIGAN 


11/12 


MICHIGAN ST 


11/19 


at Purdue 


11/25 


at Nebraska 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


9-4 


11-2 


8-5 


34-17 


66.7% 


6-6 


8-4 


8-4 


6-6 


28-20 


58.3% 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


4-2 


12-12 


50.0% 


3-3 


5-1 


6-0 


2-4 


16-8 


66.7% 


4-4 


5-3 


5-3 


3-4 


17-14 


54.8% 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


3-2 


11-6 


64.7% 


2-4 


5-3 


4-4 


5-4 


16-15 


51.6% 


4-2 


3-1 


5-0 


1-1 


13-4 


76.5% 


3-9 


5-7 


4-8 


4-8 


16-32 


33-3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 28.9 50 




First Downs 20.1 54 




Yards/Game 382.9 57 




RushYds/Gm 148.4 70 




PassYds/Gm 234-54 49 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 17.0 7 




Yards/Game 332.1 25 




RushYds/Gm 101.5 6 




PassYds/Gm 230.5 84 




Takeaways 24 45 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/3C 


MAINE 


W46-3 






9/5 


NIOWA 


W 17-16 






9/4 


E ILLINOIS 


W37-7 


L (-40) 




FLAlNTE 1 W42-0 


"W( : 27J" 


U'(44) 


9/12 


waSt 


W35 : 3" 


W{£W 


U(47) 


9/11 


'WKKIIIZ. 


W357 


"Wjl3j U (4534) 


9/13 


IOWA ST 


W17-5 


L (-13) 


U(47j 


9/19 


ARIZONA 


W'27-17 


WiM 


0(41) 


9/18 


at Arizona 


L27-34 


"T(+m 0(45)' 


9/2C 


at Pittsburgh 


L 20-21 


W(+2)" 


U(41J4) 


9/26 


at Penn St 


W'21-io' 


W'(+9]4)" 


U(40':) 


9/25 


BALLST 


W 45-6 


Wf-28) 0(4534)' 


9/27 


NORTHWESTERN 


Ll7 : 22 


L(-9) 


0(43)" 


10 y 3 


ARKANSAS ST 


W24-21 


L (-21) 


U(45%) 


10/2 


IBMHII 


W24-3 


''w'l-7/2) U (40) 


16/1 


at Michigan St 


L 13-16 


W"j+6)"" 


U (48) 


10/10 


MICHIGAN 


W36-28 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


0(47) 


10/16 


at Michigan 


W'38-2'8" 


"W(-m 0(53>2) 


10/11 at Indiana 


W'45-9" 


W"(-6)"" 


0(46) 


id/17 


at Wisconsin 


W26-16 


W'(+l]4)" 


U (46/2) 


10/23" 


WISCONSIN 


L30 : 31 


L(-6) 0(46) 


10/18 WISCONSIN 


W 38-16 


W(-5) 


0(41) 


10/24 


at Michigan St 


W'1'5-13" 


W(+2) 


U (43) 


10/30 


MICHIGANST 


W37-6 


W(-6 1 /2J U(49/2J 


11/1 


at Illinois 


L 24-27 


L(+2J4) 


0(50K) 


10731 


INDIANA 


W42 : 24 


""W'(-17)"" 


0(47)' 


„.„.„.„..... 


at Indiana 


W18-13 


"L"( : l'8/2) 0(53/2)' 


11/8 


PENNST 


W24-23 


Wf+7/2) 


0(42%) 


11/7 


NORTHWESTERN 


[16-17 


L (-15) 


U'(45) 


„.„.„.„.„.. 


at Northwestern 


Ll7 : 21 


L'f-io) U (4934) 


11/15IPURDUE'"' 


W22-17 


L (-17) 


U(43) 


11/14 


at Ohio St 


L24-27 


W (+16/2) 


0(38) 


11/20 


OHIO ST 


L17-20 


P(+3) U (47) 


ii/22 at Minnesota 


W'55-6" 


W(-7) 


0(45) 


11 / 21 


MINNESOTA 


W12-O 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U (43) 


11 / 2 - 7 - 


at Minnesota 


L24-27 


L'(-14) U"(51/2J 


l/l 


vs S Carolina 


W3140 


"wTar^y 


U(42) 


l/5";i 


vs Georgia Tech 


W24-14 


W"(+6)"" 


U(5l) 


12728 


vs Missouri W 2724 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 


III + 3)IIIO(46); 


N 


» 1 RIG TEN 


















(#70 Of 120) 


> 


1 D1U A fcJ 


ra 


















StatFox.com Outplay Factor: + 
2010 Schedule Strength: 38.2: 


0.0 (#71 Of 120) 






i^k B PI 


f§ 4$$h 1 


M fi&9 














{ (34th toughest) 


$ 




OES 


iii 


11 














2011 Schedule Strength: 38.33 (38th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -2.5 (#80 of 120) 
























2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 
2010 ATS Record: 3-10 




























^_ 




^^^^_ 


^^^^ 


^^^^_ 


^^^_ 




^^^^_ 


^^^^— 


^^^^— 


_ 


2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 





2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


W MICHIGAN 


9/10 


NOTRE DAME 


9/17 


E MICHIGAN 


9/24 


SAN DIEGO ST 


10/1 


MINNESOTA 


10/8 


at Northwestern 


10/15 


at Michigan St 


10/29 


PURDUE 


11/5 


at Iowa 


11/12 


at Illinois 


11/19 


NEBRASKA 


11/26 


OHIO ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


3-9 


5-7 


7-6 


24-26 


48.0% 


7-5 


2-10 


4-7 


3-10 


16-32 


33-3% 


4-3 


1-6 


3-4 


2-5 


10-18 


35-7% 


3-2 


1-4 


1-3 


1-5 


6-14 


30.0% 


5-3 


2-6 


1-7 


0-8 


8-24 


25.0% 


2-2 


0-4 


3-0 


3-2 


8-8 


50.0% 


5-4 


0-6 


2-3 


2-6 


9-19 


32.1% 


2-1 


2-4 


2-4 


1-4 


7-13 


35-0% 


5-7 


8-4 


6-5 


7-5 


26-21 


55.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.8 25 




First Downs 23.0 22 




Yards/Game 488.7 8 




RushYds/Gm 238.5 13 




PassYds/Gm 250.15 36 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 35-2 108 




Yards/Game 450.8 110 




RushYds/Gm 188.9 95 




PassYds/Gm 261.9 112 




Takeaways 19 77 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


UTAH 


L 23-25 


L(-3) 


0(43) 


9/5 


W MICHIGAN 


W31-7 


w (-13) 


u (53/2) 


9/6 


MIAMI OHIO 


W16-6 


L(-14/ 2 ) 


U(40) 


9/12 


NOTRE DAME 


W 38-34 


W(+3) 


(46/2) 


9/13 


at Notre Dame 


L 17-35 


L(-l 1 />) 


0(37) 


9/19 


E MICHIGAN 


W 45-17 


W(-24) 


(54/2) 


9/27 


WISCONSIN 


w 27-25 


W (+4/2) 


0(42) 


9/26 


INDIANA 


W 36-33 


L (-18/2) 


(53/2) 


10/4 


ILLINOIS 


L 20-45 


L(-D 


0(49) 


10/3 


at Michigan St 


L 20-26 


L(+4) 


U(54) 


10/11 


TOLEDO 


L 10-13 


L(-15) 


U(49) 


10/10 


at Iowa 


L 28-30 


W (+9/2) 


0(47) 


10/18 


at Penn St 


L 17-46 


L (+24) 


(47/2) 


10/17 


DELAWARE ST 


W63-6 


w (-39/2) 




10/25 


MICHIGAN ST 


L 21-35 


L(+3) 


0(44) 


10/24 


PENN ST 


L 10-35 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 


11/1 


at Purdue 


L 42-48 


L(+3) 


(47/2) 


10/31 


at Illinois 


L 13-38 


L(7) 


u (53/2) 


11/8 


at Minnesota 


W29-6 


W(+7) 


U (49/2) 


11/7 


PURDUE 


L 36-38 


L(7) 


(51/2) 


11/15 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 14-21 


L(-3) 


U (45/2) 


11/14 


at Wisconsin 


L 24-45 


L(+8) 


(54/2) 


11/22 


at Ohio St 


L7-42 


L (+20) 


0(45) 


11/21 


OHIO ST 


L 10-21 


L (+10/2) 


U(48) 



9/4 


CONNECTICUT 


w 30-10 


W(-3) 


u (51/2) 


9/11 


at Notre Dame 


W 28-24 


W (+3/2) 


u (53/2) 


9/18 


MASSACHUSETTS 


w 42-37 


L (-29) 




9/25 


BOWLING GREEN 


W 65-21 


W(-25/ 2 ) 


0(56) 


10/2 


at Indiana 


w 42-35 


LMO) 


0(65) 


10/9 


MICHIGAN ST 


L 17-34 


L(-5) 


U (65/2) 


10/16 


IOWA 


L 28-38 


L(+3fc) 


(53/2) 


10/30 


at Penn St 


L 31-41 


L(-3) 


0(54) 


11/6 


ILLINOIS 


W 67-65 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(58) 


11/13 


at Purdue 


W 27-16 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U(60) 


11/20 


WISCONSIN 


L 28-48 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


0(69) 


11/27 


at Ohio St 


L7-37 


L(+17) 


U (65/2) 


1/1 


vs Mississippi St 


L 14-52 


L(+3) 


(61/2) 



i 



3> 



■ 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 87 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 38 (#58 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.7 (#38 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.23 (52nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.00 (54th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.2 (#39 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-2 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/2 


YOUNGSTOWNST 


9/10 


FLA ATLANTIC 


9/17 


at Notre Dame 


9/24 


C MICHIGAN 


10/1 


at Ohio St 


10/15 


MICHIGAN 


10/22 


WISCONSIN 


10/29 


at Nebraska 


11/5 


MINNESOTA 


11/12 


at Iowa 


11/19 


INDIANA 


11/26 


at Northwestern 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


9-4 


6-7 


11-2 


33-19 


63-5% 


8-5 


6-7 


4-7 


7-6 


25-25 


50.0% 


3-4 


3-4 


2-4 


4-3 


12-15 


444% 


5-1 


3-3 


2-3 


3-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


5-3 


4-4 


2-5 


5-3 


16-15 


51.6% 


3-2 


2-3 


2-2 


2-3 


9-10 


474% 


3-4 


6-3 


3-4 


5-4 


17-15 


53-1% 


5-1 


0-4 


1-3 


2-2 


8-10 


444% 


9-4 


6-6 


8-4 


6-6 


29-20 


59-2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.5 47 




First Downs 19.4 63 




Yards/Game 388.5 53 




RushYds/Gm 152.2 64 




PassYds/Gm 236.38 46 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.3 39 




Yards/Game 353-8 43 




RushYds/Gm 133-7 37 




PassYds/Gm 220.1 60 




Takeaways 24 45 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at California 

E MICHIGAN 

FLA ATLANTIC 


L 31-38 

w 42-16 
WW" 


L(+6) 
W (-21) 

L(-l8/ 2 ) 


0(54) 
U(56) 
U(6l) 


9/5 


MONTANA ST 


W44-3 






9/4 
9/11 


W MICHIGAN 
vs FLA Atlantic 


W 38-14 
W'30 : 17 


W (-22/2) 


0(51) 


9/6 


9/12 
9/19 


C MICHIGAN 
at Notre Dame 


L 27-29 
[30-33 


Lt-15) 

w"t+ioj£| 


0(50) 
0(54) 


U(56) 


9/13 


9/18 


NOTRE DAME 


W 34-31 


L (-3/2) 


(53/2) 


9/20 


NOTRE DAME 


W23-7 


W(-9) 


U(48) 


9/26 


at Wisconsin 


L 30-38 


L (+134) 


(52/2) 


9/25 


N COLORADO 


W45-7 


W (-34) 




9/27 


at Indiana 


w 42-29 


W (-7/2) 


0(53) 


10/3 


MICHIGAN 


W 26-20 


W(-4) 


U(54) 


10/2 


WISCONSIN 


W 34-24 


W (+2/2) 


(54/2) 


10/4 


IOWA 


W 16-13 


L(-6) 


U(48) 


10/10 


at Illinois 


W 24-14 


W(-4) 


U(55) 


10/9 


at Michigan 


W 34-17 


W(+5) 


U (65/2) 


10/11 


at Northwestern 


W 37-20 


W (-2/2) 


0(49) 


10/17 


NORTHWESTERN 


W 24-14 


L (-14) 


U (48/2) 


10/16 


ILLINOIS 


W26-6 


W (-6/2) 


U (48/2) 


10/18 


OHIO ST 

at Michigan 


L7-45 
W"35-2l' 


L(+3/ 2 ) 
W(-3) 


0(42) 
0(44) 


10/24 


IOWA 


L 13-15 


L(-2) 


U(43) 


10/23 
10/30 


at Northwestern 
at Iowa 


w 35-27 

L6-37 


W (-4/2) 
T(+6%]" 


0(51) 


10/25 


10/31 


at Minnesota 


L 34-42 


L (-3/2) 


(45/) 


u (49/2) 


11/1 


WISCONSIN 


w 25-24 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


P(49) 


11/7 


W MICHIGAN 


w 49-14 


W(-20/ 2 ) 0(55/2) 


11/6 


MINNESOTA 


W31-8 


L (-24) 


U(59) 


11/8 


PURDUE 


W21-7 


W (-10) 


U(54) 


11/14 


at Purdue 


w 40-37 


P(-3) 


0(53) 


11/20 


PURDUE 


w 35-31 


L(-20J4) 


0(51) 


11/22 


at Penn St 


L 18-49 


L (+16/2) 


0(47) 


11/21 


PENN ST 


L 14-42 


L(+3J 


(50/2) 


11/27 


at Penn St 


W 28-22 


W(-l) 


U(5D 


1/1 


vs Georgia 


L 12-24 


L (+8/2) 


u (57/2) 


1/2 


vs Texas Tech 


L 31-41 


L (+9/2) 


0(60) 


1/1 


vs Alabama 


L7-49 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


(50/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 (#70 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -3.2 (#82 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.58 (31st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35.17 (63rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -9.8 (#96 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 6-5-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at USC 


9/10 


NEW MEXICO ST 


9/17 


MIAMI OHIO 


9/24 


N DAKOTA ST 


10/1 


at Michigan 


10/8 


at Purdue 


10/22 


NEBRASKA 


10/29 


IOWA 


11/5 


at Michigan St 


11/12 


WISCONSIN 


11/19 


at Northwestern 


11/26 


ILLINOIS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-11 


7-6 


6-7 


3-9 


17-33 


34-0% 


4-6 


7-5 


5-7 


6-5 


22-23 


48.9% 


2-3 


2-4 


3-3 


2-4 


9-14 


39.1% 


2-3 


5-1 


2-4 


4-1 


13-9 


59-1% 


4-3 


5-3 


4-4 


5-3 


18-13 


58.1% 


0-3 


2-2 


1-3 


1-2 


4-10 


28.6% 


0-3 


2-3 


3-4 


1-2 


6-12 


33-3% 


4-3 


5-2 


2-3 


5-3 


16-11 


59.3% 


7-4 


5-7 


7-5 


6-5 


25-21 


54-3% 



2010 STATS/RANK 


OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 


Points Scored 


23.2 89 


First Downs 


19.9 58 


Yards/Game 


361.3 77 


RushYds/Gm 


135-3 86 


PassYds/Gm 


226.08 57 


DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 


Points Allowed 33-0 98 


Yards/Game 


392.2 76 


RushYds/Gm 


191.4 98 


PassYds/Gm 


200.8 33 


Takeaways 


19 77 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


N ILLINOIS 


w 31-27 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


(56/2) 


9/5 


at Syracuse 


w 23-20 


L(-7) 


U(47) 


9/6 


at Bowling Green 


w 42-17 


W (+3/2) 


u (59/2) 


9/12 


ORCE 


w 20-13 


Wf-3] 


U (49%) 


9/13 


MONTANA ST 


w 35-23 






9/19 


CALIFORNIA 


L 21-35 


L (+13/2) 


(52/2) 


9/20 


FLA ATLANTIC 


W37-3 


W (-5/2) 


U(62) 


9/26 


at Northwestern 


W 35-24 


W(-l) 


(49/2) 


9/27 


at Ohio St 


L 21-34 


W (+20) 


(49/2) 


10/3 


WISCONSIN 


L 28-31 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


(51/2) 


10/4 


INDIANA 


W16-7 


W (-6/2) 


U(62) 


10/10 


PURDUE 


W 35-20 


W(-3) 


(51/2) 


10/11 


at Illinois 


w 27-20 


W (+12) 


U (58)4) 


10/17 


at Penn St 


LO-20 


L(+17) 


U(44) 


10/25 


at Purdue 


W17-6 


W(pk) 


u (52/2) 


10/24 


at Ohio St 


L7-38 


L(+17) 


(41/2) 


11/1 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 17-24 


L(7 1 /2) 


U(48) 


10/31 


MICHIGAN ST 


W 42-34 


W (+3/2) 


(45/2) 


11/8 


MICHIGAN 


L6-29 


L(7) 


U (49/2) 


11/7 

11/14 


ILLINOIS 
SDAKOTAST 


L 32-35 
W'l6-13" 


L(-6) 
L(-17)" 


0(54) 


11/15 


at Wisconsin 


L 32-35 


W (+13/2) (47/2) 




11/22 


IOWA 


LO-55 


L(+7J 


0(45) 


11/21 


at Iowa 


LO-12 


W (+12/2) 


U(43) 


12/31 


vs Kansas 


L 21-42 


L(+9) 


(58/2) 


12/31 


vs Iowa St 


L 13-14 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


U(47) 



9/2 


at Middle Tenn st 


w 24-17 


W(-l) 


U(49) 


9/11 


S DAKOTA 


L 38-41 


L (-29/2) 




9/18 


USC 


L 21-32 


P(+ll) 


U(55) 


9/25 


N ILLINOIS 


L 23-34 


L(-4) 


(49/2) 


10/2 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 28-29 


W (+4/2) 


0(54) 


10/9 


at Wisconsin 


L 23-41 


W (+21/2) 


0(58) 


10/16 


at Purdue 


L 17-28 


L(+6) 


U(50) 


10/23 


PENN ST 


L 21-33 


L(+8/ 2 ) 


(48/2) 


10/30 


OHIO ST 


L 10-52 


L(+25) 


0(55) 


11/6 


at Michigan St 


L8-31 


W (+24) 


U(59) 


11/13 


at Illinois 


W 38-34 


W (+21) 


(52/2) 


11/27 


IOWA 


w 27-24 


W (+14) 


u (51/2) 



88 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 50 (#15 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.7 (#25 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.64 (46th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.83 (46th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +13.5 (#16 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-4 

2010 ATS Record: 6-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


CHATTANOOGA 


9/10 


FRESNO ST 


9/17 


WASHINGTON 


9/24 


at Wyoming 


10/1 


at Wisconsin 


10/8 


OHIO ST 


10/22 


at Minnesota 


10/29 


MICHIGAN ST 


11/5 


NORTHWESTERN 


11/12 


at Penn St 


11/19 


at Michigan 


11/25 


IOWA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


9-4 


10-4 


10-4 


34-19 


64.2% 


3-9 


7-6 


9-5 


6-8 


25-28 


47-2% 


2-5 


3-5 


4-3 


2-5 


11-18 


37.9% 


1-4 


4-1 


5-2 


4-3 


14-10 


58.3% 


2-6 


4-4 


4-5 


5-4 


15-19 


44-1% 


1-3 


3-2 


5-0 


1-4 


10-9 


52.6% 


1-5 


5-4 


6-5 


5-8 


17-22 


43-6% 


2-4 


2-2 


3-0 


1-0 


8-6 


57-1% 


6-6 


8-5 


3-11 


7-6 


24-28 


46.2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 30.9 39 




First Downs 18.1 86 




Yards/Game 398.1 44 




RushYds/Gm 247.6 9 




PassYds/Gm 150.57 113 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 17.4 9 




Yards/Game 306.8 11 




RushYds/Gm 153.1 63 




PassYds/Gm 153.6 5 




Takeaways 23 49 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



TOTAL 



8/30 


W MICHIGAN 


W 47-24 


W (-13/2) 


0(55) 


9/6 


OSE ST 


W 35-12 


L (-26%) 


U (55%) 


9/13 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W38-7 


W (-26/2) 


U (66) 


9/27 


VIRGINIA TECH 


L 30-35 


L(7) 


0(48) 


10/4 


MISSOURI 


L 17-52 


L (+10/2) 


0(66) 


10/11 


at Texas Tech 


L 31-37 


W (+19) 


0(67) 


10/18 


at Iowa St 


W35-7 


W(-7) 


U(54) 


10/25 


BAYLOR 


w 32-20 


L (-14) 


U (56/2) 


11/1 


at Oklahoma 


L 28-62 


L (+21) 


0(71) 


11/8 


KANSAS 


W 45-35 


W(-2) 


0(62) 


11/15 


at Kansas St 


W 56-28 


W(-6) 


(65/2) 


11/28 


COLORADO 


w 40-31 


L (-18/2) 


(56/2) 


1/1 


vsClemson 


W 26-21 


W(pk) 


u (54/2) 



9/5 

9/12 
9/19 
9/26 

10/8 

10/17 
10/24 
10/31 

ii/7 

11/14 

12/5 
12/30 



FLA ATLANTIC 
SASST 

at Virginia Tech 
LA LAFAYETTE 
at Missouri 
TEXAS TECH 
IOWA ST 

at Baylor 

OKLAHOMA 

at Kansas 

KANSAS ST 
at Colorado 
vsTexas 
vs Arizona 



W49-3 

W3B-9 

LT5-16 

W'55 : b 

W2742 
Llb-31 
L7-9 
W 20-10 
W10-3 
W31-17 
Wl7 : 3 
W2B-26 
L12-13 
W33-O 



W (-23) 
W'(-2lK)' 
W(+5/ 2 ) 
W[-3bK)" 

TfiW" 

L(20) 

[•(1372) 
••W'C+472)" 

W(-4) 

LT157) 
L ( 10) 

W{-2) 



U (6O/2) 
U(52) 
U(51) 

0(54) 

U"(497)' 

U'(587 2 )- 
U(52) 
U(46) 
U(4l) 

0(457) 
U(44) 
0(41) 

U(46K) 

U (42) 



9/4 
9/II 
9/18 

9/25 

10/7 

10/16 

10/23 

10/30 
lW 

11/13 
11/20 
11/26 
I2/4' 
12/30" 



W KENTUCKY 
IDAHO 

at Washington 
S DAKOTA ST 

at KansasSt 

TEXAS 

at Oklahoma St 

MISSOURI 

at Iowa St 

KANSAS 

at Texas A&M 

COLORADO 

vs Oklahoma 

vs Washington 



W 49-10 
■W38-17" 
•••W5&2T 

Wl7 : 3 

W4843 

Li3 : 2b 

W5l : 4l 

W31-17 

•••W31-30" 

W20-3 

L6-9 

W45 : 17 

L 26-23 

L7 : 19 



L (-39)4) 

T(27W 
"WIW2T 
TWA) 
W(-ibK)' 
L(io) 

W{-6) 

W(-8) 

TWAT 
L(2) 

Wl+47)" 



0(52) 

Ol5l)- 

0(47) 
U (45/2) 
0[5772)- 
U (54/2) 

"0T5OT 
U (66K) 

U1557)- 

0[4872)- 

U(52) 

U (55) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 (#70 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.9 (877 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 33-08 (73rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 33-92 (69th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -2.6 (#81 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 4-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Boston College 


9/10 


E ILLINOIS 


9/17 


at Army 


10/1 


at Illinois 


10/8 


MICHIGAN 


10/15 


at Iowa 


10/22 


PENN ST 


10/29 


at Indiana 


11/5 


at Nebraska 


11/12 


RICE 


11/19 


MINNESOTA 


11/26 


MICHIGAN ST 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


9-4 


8-5 


7-6 


30-21 


58.8% 


4-7 


7-5 


6-6 


4-9 


21-27 


43.8% 


2-4 


3-3 


1-5 


2-3 


8-15 


34.8% 


2-3 


4-2 


5-1 


2-6 


13-12 


52.0% 


3-5 


5-3 


5-3 


1-7 


14-18 


43.8% 


1-2 


2-2 


1-3 


3-2 


7-9 


43-8% 


1-4 


2-3 


0-4 


2-5 


5-16 


23.8% 


3-3 


5-2 


6-2 


2-4 


16-11 


59.3% 


5-6 


3-8 


5-6 


8-4 


21-24 


46.7% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.4 63 




First Downs 21.9 31 




Yards/Game 391.1 48 




RushYds/Gm 155-9 58 




PassYds/Gm 235.15 48 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 29.0 77 




Yards/Game 426.2 97 




RushYds/Gm 185.O 92 




PassYds/Gm 241.2 95 




Takeaways 22 59 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


SYRACUSE 


w 30-10 


W(-l2 1 / 2 ) U(54 1 / 2 ) 


9/6 


at Duke 


w 24-20 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


P(44) 


9/13 


S ILLINOIS 


W33-7 








OHIOU 


W16-8 


L(-10/ 2 ) 


u (52/2) 


9/27 


at Iowa 


W 22-17 


W(+9) 


U(43) 




GANST 


L 20-37 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


0(49) 




PURDUE 


W 48-26 


W (-3/2) 


0(50) 




diana 


L 19-21 


L(-7) 


U(54) 


11/1 


mesota 


w 24-17 


W (+7/2) 


U(48) 


11/8 


OHIO ST 


L 10-45 


L (+12/2) 


0(39) 


11/15 


:higan 


W 21-14 


W(+3) 






ILLINOIS 


w 27-10 


W(+3) 






ssouri 


L 23-30 


W (+14) 


U (66/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


TOWSON 


w 47-14 






9/12 


E MICHIGAN 


w 27-24 


L (-22) 


U (51/2) 




acuse 


L 34-37 


L(-l/ 2 ) 






ESOTA 


L 24-35 


L(+l) 




10/3 


jrdue 


W 27-21 


W(+7) 






II OHIO 


W16-6 


L (-17) 


u (55/2) 


10/17 




L 14-24 


W (+14) 






INDIANA 


W 29-28 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


0(53) 




PENN ST 


L 13-34 


U+17) 


P(47) 


11/7 


at Iowa 


w 17-10 


w (+15) 


U(45) 




linois 


W 21-16 


W (+6/2) 




11/21 


ONSIN 


w 33-31 


W(+7) 


0(49) 


1/1 


j burn 


L 35-38 


W(+9) 


(54/2) 



i 



3> 

■ 



' 



2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 atVanderbilt W 23-21 L(-3) 0(41) = 

9/11 ILLINOIS ST W37-3 W(-24':) * 

9/18 at Rice W 36-13 W(£%) U"(54%)' 2. 

9/25 C MICHIGAN W 30-25 L (-6/2) 0(51) 

10/2 at 3 L (-434) 0(54) 

lb?9 PURDUE Li7 : 20 L'(-8) \)"($y 2 ] 

10/23 MICHIGAN ST L 27-35 L (+4/2) (51) 

W 20-17 L(-3%) U(58/ 2 j 

11/6 at Penn St L "21-35 L"(+6)4'j 0(50]' S 

li/13'lOWA W "21-17 W"(+T6) U"(49%)' 

L27 : 48 LJ+8] 0(49]' 

11/27 at Wisconsin L2370 [(+23%) 0(57%) 

StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 89 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 59 (#7 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +22.2 (#8 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 3577 (56th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.25 (52nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +24.5 (#4 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 12-1 

2010 ATS Record: 10-2-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


AKRON 


9/10 


TOLEDO 


9/17 


at Miami 


9/24 


COLORADO 


10/1 


MICHIGAN ST 


10/8 


at Nebraska 


10/15 


at Illinois 


10/29 


WISCONSIN 


11/5 


INDIANA 


11/12 


at Purdue 


11/19 


PENN ST 


11/26 


at Michigan 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-2 


10-3 


11-2 


12-1 


44-8 


84.6% 


7-5 


6-6 


10-3 


10-2 


33-16 


67-3% 


3-3 


1-5 


5-2 


8-0 


17-10 


63.0% 


4-2 


5-1 


5-1 


2-2 


16-6 


72.7% 


5-3 


5-3 


6-2 


5-2 


21-10 


677% 


2-2 


1-3 


4-1 


5-0 


12-6 


66.7% 


7-4 


5-4 


7-3 


10-2 


29-13 


69.0% 


0-1 


1-2 


3-0 


0-0 


4-3 


57-1% 


7-5 


5-7 


3-8 


8-5 


23-25 


47-9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 38.8 11 




First Downs 22.2 24 




Yards/Game 448.6 20 




RushYds/Gm 220.1 14 




PassYds/Gm 228.54 54 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 14.3 5 




Yards/Game 262.2 4 




RushYds/Gm 96.7 3 




PassYds/Gm 165.5 8 




Takeaways 30 12 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


YOUNGSTOWN ST 


W43-0 






9/5 
9/12 


NAVY 

use 


w 31-27 

Li'5-18' 


L (-22) 

wW" 


(46/2) 
"U(45W 


9/2 
9/11 


MARSHALL 
'MIAMI 


W45-7 
W 36-24 


W (-28) 
WW 


0(47) 


9/6 


OHIOU 


W 26-14 


L(-34 1 / 2 ) 


0(47) 


0(47) 


9/13 


at USC 


L3-35 


L (+11/2) 


U (44/2) 


9/19 


vs Toledo 


W38-O 


W(-22/ 2 ) U (58/2) 


9/18 


OHIOU 


W43-7 


W (-29/2) 


0(45) 


9/20 


TROY 


W 28-10 


L (-20/2) 


u (47/2) 


9/26 


ILLINOIS 


W30-0 


W (-14) 


U(50) 


9/25 


E MICHIGAN 


W 73-20 


W (-43/2) 


0(58) 


9/27 


MINNESOTA 


W 34-21 


L (-20) 


0(49/2) 


10/3 


at Indiana 


W 33-14 


W (-17/2) 


P(47) 


10/2 


at Illinois 


w 24-13 


L(-15/ 2 ) 


U (48/2) 


10/4 


at Wisconsin 


w 20-17 


W (-1/2) 


u (43/2) 


10/10 


WISCONSIN 


w 31-13 


W(-14) 


U(46) 


10/9 


INDIANA 


W 38-10 


W(-24/ 2 ) U (59/2) 


10/11 


PURDUE 


W16-3 


L (-20/2) 


u (49/2) 


10/17 


at Purdue 


L 18-26 


L (-13) 


P(44) 


10/16 


at Wisconsin 


L 18-31 


L(-4) 


(48/2) 


10/18 


at Michigan St 


W45-7 


W (-3/2) 


0(42) 


10/24 


MINNESOTA 


W38-7 


w (-17) 


(41/2) 


10/23 


PURDUE 


W49-0 


w (-23) 


0(47) 


10/25 


PENN ST 


L6-13 


L( + 2) 


U(44) 


10/31 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W45-0 


W (-44) 


U (48/2) 


10/30 


at Minnesota 


w 52-10 


w (-25) 


0(55) 


11/8 


at Northwestern 


W 45-10 


W (-12/2) 


0(39) 


11/7 


at Penn St 


W24-7 


W(+5) 


U (41/2) 


11/13 


PENN ST 


W 38-14 


W (-20) 


(49%) 


11/15 


at Illinois 


w 30-20 


W(-8) 


0(43) 


11/14 


IOWA 


w 27-24 


L(-l6/ 2 ) 


0(38) 


11/20 


at Iowa 


w 20-17 


P(-3) 


U(47) 


11/22 


MICHIGAN 


W42-7 


W (-20) 


0(45) 


11/21 


at Michigan 


W 21-10 


W (-10/2) 


U(48) 


11/27 


MICHIGAN 


W37-7 


w (-17) 


U (65/2) 


1/5 


vs Texas 


L 21-24 


W(+9) 


u (51/2) 


1/1 


vs Oregon 


W 26-17 


W (+4/2) 


U(5D 


1/4 


vs Arkansas 


w 31-26 


W(-3) 


u (57/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +2.3 (H6o of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.77 (45th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 37.58 (43rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +0.8 (#63 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


INDIANA ST 


9/10 


ALABAMA 


9/17 


at Temple 


9/24 


E MICHIGAN 


10/1 


at Indiana 


10/8 


IOWA 


10/15 


PURDUE 


10/22 


at Northwestern 


10/29 


ILLINOIS 


11/12 


NEBRASKA 


11/19 


at Ohio St 


11/26 


at Wisconsin 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


11-2 


11-2 


7-6 


38-14 


73.1% 


6-7 


7-4 


7-6 


5-8 


25-25 


50.0% 


4-3 


4-2 


2-6 


3-4 


13-15 


46.4% 


2-4 


3-2 


5-0 


2-4 


12-10 


54-5% 


2-6 


4-3 


5-3 


4-4 


15-16 


48.4% 


4-1 


3-1 


2-3 


1-4 


10-9 


52.6% 


6-6 


7-3 


5-6 


4-2 


22-17 


56.4% 


0-1 


0-1 


1-0 


1-5 


2-7 


22.2% 


6-7 


8-4 


2-9 


7-5 


23-25 


47-9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 24.5 81 




First Downs 19.2 65 




Yards/Game 372.2 68 




RushYds/Gm 142.5 74 




PassYds/Gm 229.69 52 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.7 50 




Yards/Game 346.9 35 




RushYds/Gm 165.6 74 




PassYds/Gm 181.2 16 




Takeaways 17 94 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


COASTAL CAROLINA W 66-10 






9/6 


OREGON ST 


w 45-14 


W(-15) 


0(49) 


9/13 


acuse 


w 55-13 


W(-27 1 / 2 ) 0(50/2) 




TEMPLE 


W45-3 


W (-28/2) 


U(54) 


9/27 


ILLINOIS 


W 38-24 


L(-15/ 2 ) 


0(54) 


10/4 


irdue 


W20-6 


P(-14) 


U(58) 




consin 


W48-7 


W(-5) 


0(47) 




1IGAN 


W 46-17 


W (-24) 






at Ohio St 


W13-6 


W(-2) 


U(44) 


11/8 


at Iowa 


L 23-24 


L(7/ 2 ) 




11/15 


INDIANA 


W34-7 


L (-35) 






GANST 


W 49-18 


W (-16/2) 


0(47) 


1/1 


vsUSC 


L 24-38 


L (+10) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


AKRON 


W31-7 


L (-29/2) 


U(59) 


9/12 


\CUSE 


W28-7 


L (-29/2) 


U(5D 




TEMPLE 


W31-6 


L (-29/2) 


U(48) 




IOWA 


L 10-21 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 




10/3 


at Illinois 


w 35-17 


W(-8) 


0(48) 




E ILLINOIS 


W52-3 


W(-39 1 / 2 ) 




10/17 


ESOTA 


W20-0 


W(-17) 


U(44) 




higan 


W 35-10 


W (-3/2) 


U(48) 




at Northwestern 


W 34-13 


w (-17) 


P(47) 


11/7 


OHIO ST 


L7-24 


L(-5) 


U(41':) 




INDIANA 


w 31-20 


L (-24) 




11/21 


at Michigan St 


W 42-14 


W(-3) 




1/1 


vsLSU 


w 19-17 


W(+2) 


U(40) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


YOUNGSTOWN ST 


W 44-14 


L (-38%) 






ibama 


L3-24 


L(+14) 


U(43) 




KENT ST 


W24-O 


W (-21) 


U(45) 


9/25 


TEMPLE 


w 22-13 


L(-13/ 2 ) 




10/2 


at Iowa 


L3-24 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


U(40) 


10/9 


ILLINOIS 


L 13-33 


L(-9) 


0(42) 




nesota 


W 33-21 








HIGAN 


w 41-31 


W(+3) 


0(54) 


11/6 


NORTHWESTERN 


W 35-21 


W (-6/2) 


0(50) 


11/13 


lio St 


L 14-38 


L (+20) 






diana 


W 41-24 


W (-10) 


0(58) 


11/27 


MICHIGAN ST 


L 22-28 


L(+l) 


U(5D 


1/1 


orida 


L 24-37 


L(+7) 


(47%) 



90 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.4 (#91 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34-08 (66th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.67 (48th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -9.1 (#95 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 4-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


9/10 


at Rice 


9/17 


SE MISSOURI ST 


10/1 


NOTRE DAME 


10/8 


MINNESOTA 


10/15 


atPennSt 


10/22 


ILLINOIS 


10/29 


at Michigan 


11/5 


at Wisconsin 


11/12 


OHIO ST 


11/19 


IOWA 


11/26 


at Indiana 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/6 


N COLORADO 


W 42-10 






9/13 


OREGON 


L 26-32 


W(+7) 


U (58/2) 


9/20 


C MICHIGAN 


w 32-25 


L(-10/ 2 ) 


U (68/2) 


9/27 


at Notre Dame 


L 21-38 


L(+2) 


0(48) 


10/4 


PENNST 


L6-20 


P (+14) 


U(58) 


10/11 


at Ohio St 


L3-16 


W (+20/2) U (49/2) 


10/18 


at Northwestern 


L 26-48 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


0(50) 




ESOTA 


L6-17 


L(pk) 


u (52/2) 


11/1 


MICHIGAN 


W 48-42 


W(-3) 


(47/2) 


11/8 


at Michigan St 


L7-21 


L (+10) 


U(54) 


11/15 


at Iowa 


L 17-22 


w (+17) 


U(43) 




INDIANA 


W 62-10 


W (-11) 


(54/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


4-8 


5-7 


4-8 


21-28 


42.9% 


5-6 


5-5 


6-4 


4-7 


20-22 


47.6% 


3-3 


3-2 


3-2 


2-5 


11-12 


47-8% 


2-3 


2-3 


3-2 


2-2 


9-10 


474% 


3-4 


4-3 


3-3 


4-4 


14-14 


50.0% 


2-2 


1-2 


3-1 


0-3 


6-8 


42.9% 


4-4 


2-1 


2-2 


1-4 


9-11 


45-0% 


1-2 


3-4 


4-2 


3-3 


11-11 


50.0% 


5-7 


4-7 


5-5 


5-6 


19-25 


43-2% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 19.7 


105 




First Downs 15.8 


109 




Yards/Game 3H-6 


104 




RushYds/Gm 160.8 


49 




PassYds/Gm 150.75 


112 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 28.8 


74 




Yards/Game 369-0 


62 




RushYds/Gm 137-9 


43 




PassYds/Gm 231.1 


85 




Takeaways 21 


69 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


TOLEDO 


w 52-31 


W (-10) 


(47/2) 


9/12 


egon 


L 36-38 


w (+13) 


(57/2) 


9/19 


N ILLINOIS 


L 21-28 


L (-12) 


U (52/2) 


9/26 


NOTRE DAME 


L 21-24 


W(+6) 


U(59) 


10/3 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 21-27 


L(7) 


U (56/2) 




mesota 


L 20-35 


L(+3) 


(51/2) 


10/17 


OHIO ST 


W 26-18 


w (+13) 


P(44) 




ILLINOIS 


W 24-14 


P(-10) 


U(55) 


10/31 


.consin 


LO-37 


L(+7) 


U(53) 


11/7 


chigan 


W 38-36 


W(+7) 


(51/2) 


11/14 


MICHIGAN ST 


L 37-40 


P(+3) 


0(53) 


11/21 


diana 


W 38-21 


W(-3) 


P(59) 



9/4 


at Notre Dame 


L 12-23 


P(+ll) 


U(54) 


9/11 


W ILLINOIS 


w 31-21 


L (-28/2) 




9/18 


BALL ST 


w 24-13 


L (-16) 


U (47/2) 


9/25 


TOLEDO 


L 20-31 


L (-11) 


0(49) 


10/9 


at Northwestern 


W 20-17 


W(+8) 






ESOTA 


W 28-17 


W(-6) 


U(50) 


10/23 


at Ohio St 


L0-49 


L (+23) 


0(47) 




I inois 


L 10-44 


L (+16/2) 


0(42) 


11/6 


II .ONSIN 


L 13-34 


L (+20) 


U(49) 


11/13 


HIGAN 


L 16-27 


W (+12/2) 


U(60) 


11/20 


at Michigan St 


L 31-35 


W (+20/2) 


0(51) 




INDIANA 


L 31-34 


L(-4) 


0(54) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 57 (#9 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +22.7 (#7 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 33.38 (71st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.25 (52nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +20.9 (#7 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-2 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


UNLV 


9/10 


OREGON ST 


9/17 


atN Illinois 


9/24 


S DAKOTA 


10/1 


NEBRASKA 


10/15 


INDIANA 


10/22 


at Michigan St 


10/29 


at Ohio St 


11/5 


PURDUE 


11/12 


at Minnesota 


11/19 


at Illinois 


11/26 


PENN ST 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


7-6 


10-3 


11-2 


37-15 


71.2% 


4-8 


5-7 


7-6 


8-5 


24-26 


48.0% 


4-2 


2-4 


4-3 


4-3 


14-12 


53.8% 


0-6 


3-3 


3-3 


4-2 


10-14 


41-7% 


2-6 


3-5 


4-4 


6-2 


15-17 


46.9% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-2 


2-3 


9-9 


50.0% 


3-4 


3-3 


4-5 


5-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


1-4 


2-4 


2-1 


3-0 


8-9 


47-1% 


6-6 


8-3 


7-5 


8-4 


29-18 


61.7% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 41-5 5 




First Downs 23.9 13 




Yards/Game 445-2 21 




RushYds/Gm 245-7 12 




PassYds/Gm 199.46 75 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 20.5 25 




Yards/Game 321.8 20 




RushYds/Gm 127.9 26 




PassYds/Gm 193.9 26 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


AKRON 


W 38-17 


L (-26K) 


0(52) 


9/6 


SHALL 


w 51-14 


W(-20 1 / 2 ) 0(50/2) 


9/13 


sno St 


w 13-10 


W(-2) 


U(5l) 




:higan 


L 25-27 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


0(42) 


10/4 


OHIO ST 


L 17-20 


L(+l/ 2 ) 




10/11 


PENNST 


L7-48 


L(+5) 


0(47) 




at Iowa 


L 16-38 


L(+5) 


0(41) 




ILLINOIS 


w 27-17 


W(+2) 


U(52) 


11/1 


at Michic 


L 24-25 


W (+5/2) 


P(49) 


11/8 


diana 


w 41-20 


W (-10) 


0(51) 


11/15 


ESOTA 


w 35-32 


L (-13/2) 


(47/) 




CAL POLY SLO 


W 36-35 








irida St 


L 13-42 


L(+7) 


(50/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


N ILLINOIS 


W 28-20 


L(-l6/ 2 ) 


U (49/) 


9/12 


NO ST 


W 34-31 


L(-7 1 / 2 ) 


(51/2) 




FORD 


W 44-14 


W (-21/2) 






MICHIGAN ST 


w 38-30 


W (-1/2) 


(52/2) 


10/3 


nesota 


w 31-28 


W (+2/2) 






hioSt 


L 13-31 


L (+14) 


U(46) 


10/17 


IOWA 


L 10-20 


L(-l/ 2 ) 
W(-7) 






PURDUE 


W37-0 


U(53) 


11/7 


diana 


w 31-28 


L (-1334) 


0(54) 




HIGAN 


W 45-24 


W(-8) 




11/21 


at Northwestern 


L 31-33 


L(-7) 


0(49) 


12/5 


a wan 


w 51-10 


W (-12) 


0(59) 




vs Miami 


W 20-14 


W(+3 1 / 2 ) U (55/2) 



i 









2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 at UNLV W 41-21 Lj-20/2) 0(55) 

9/ii SAN "JOSE St W 27-14 L (-39) U (53%) 

9/18 ARIZONA ST W 20-19 L (-11) U (49) 

9/25 AUSTIN PEAY W70-3 W (-45) 

lb/9 MINNESOTA W 41-23 L (-21/2) 0(58) 

10/16 OHIO ST W 31-18 W (+4) (48/2) 

10/23 at Iowa W 31-30 W (+6) (46) 

11/6 at Purdue w"34 : l3 W]-20J U (49) ^ 

11/13 INDIANA W83 %) 0(57) 

11/20 at Michigan W4S-28 Wf-'^j 0(69) 

.1.7 :;> V /;V 

StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 91 



PREDICTED FINISH 


EAST DIVISION 


WEST DIVISION 


l. Central Florida 


l. Tulsa 


2. Southern Miss 


2. Houston 


3.UAB 


3.SMU 


4. East Carolina 


4. Tulane 


5. Marshall 


5. Rice 


6. Memphis 


6. UTEP 



ALABAMA EL:; 

Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Head coach Neil Callaway needs to improve his 15-33 record at UAB, and 
he has a good enough offense to be competitive in C-USA. QB Bryan Ellis 
(2,940 pass yds, 25 TD, 12 INT) and RB Pat Shed (1,318 yds from scrimmage, 
54 YPC, 7 total TD) are both coming off great seasons. The duo also has the 
benefit of a sound offensive line that returns four starters to a unit that 
allowed a mere 12 sacks last season (T-I2th in nation). The receivers are 
serviceable with junior Patrick Hearn (536 recyds, 4TD) the best of the lot. 
The defense had its deficiencies last year (31.6 PPG, 95th in nation), and 
the mediocre pass rush was weakened by the loss of DE Bryant Turner and 
his 6.5 sacks. But most of the unit is back, including run-stuffing DT Elliott 
Henigan (55 tackles, 15.5 TFL) and junior LBs Marvin Burdette (114 tackles) 
and Daniel White (55 tackles). Three starting senior DBs return to try to 
improve the team's l05th-ranked pass defense (248 YPG) - CB T.J. Ballou (3 
INT), S |amie Bender (94 tackles, 9 PD) and CB Marquis Coleman (7 PD). 

CEHTML FUMOM 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 4 

QB Jeff Godfrey looks to build on a solid freshman campaign (2,159 pass 
yds, 13 TD, 8 INT; 566 rush yds, 10 TD) for 11-3 UCF. The backfield is load- 
ed with RB Ronnie Weaver (890 rush yds, 11 TD) and Brynn Harvey (1,109 
rush yds, 14 TD in '09) returning from a knee injury. Head coach George 
O'Leary needs marked improvement from his receivers, especially speed 
burner Quincy McDuffie (13 rec, 144 yds, 2 TD; 32.2 kick return avg.) and A.|. 
Guyton (28-353-3)- UCF's defense lost a good chunk of players from a unit 
that was eighth in the nation in points (17.1 PPG) and 15th in yardage (315 
YPG). The school's all-time sack leader, Bruce Miller, is gone, but DE Darius 
Nail (8.5 sacks) is back, with fellow DE Troy Davis (5.5 sacks) poised for a 
monster season after five sacks in the spring game. The linebacker corps 
lacks experience with freshman Leilon Willingham, converted RB Jonathan 
Davis and basketball player Ray Shipman. CB josh Robinson (13 PD) and FS 
Kemal Ishmael (93 tackles, 5 PD) lead a quality secondary. 



EAST CI 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

After starting the year 5-2, ECU closed the season with just one win in the 
final six games, including a 51-20 Military Bowl loss to Maryland. Ruffin 
McNeill has an explosive offense led by QB Dominique Davis (316 total 
YPG, 7th in nation; 37 pass TD, 16 INT, 9 rush TD). His passing numbers in 
C-USA play were phenomenal: 302 YPG, 27 TD, 9 INT. Four of his top receiv- 



ers return, including senior Lance Lewis (89 rec, 1,116 yds, 14 TD). But who 
will carry the football, with top two rushers |on Williams and Giavanni 
Ruffin both graduated? No returning RB had even a dozen carries last year. 
The 0-Line is also undergoing a lot of turnover with four starters leaving, 
including stud OT Willie Smith. ECU ranked dead last among FBS schools in 
total defense (479 YPG) and only New Mexico allowed more points than the 
Pirates' 44-0 PPG. Justin Dixon and Matt Milner (3 sacks each) are adequate 
D-ends, but jamar McLendon (7 TFL) is the only starting LB coming back. 
Three starting DBs return, including senior CB Emanuel Davis (9 PD). 






Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 6 

Dynamic signal-caller Case Keenum returns and is determined to lead his 
Cougars to a C-USA title. Keenum (13,586 pass yds, 69% comp. rate, 107 TD, 
41 INT; 20 rush TD in career) has a great supporting cast of skill players. TB 
Bryce Beall (870 rush yds, 12 TD) and WR Patrick Edwards (71 rec, 1,100 yds, 
13 TD) were the team's top gainers last year, and TB Charles Sims (1,457 
yds from scrimmage, 10 TD in 2009) is back after being ineligible to play 
in 2010. The 0-Line could be an area of concern with three starters gone. 
The defense was porous last year, allowing 451 YPG (111th in nation) and 
30.1 PPG (ranked 95th). The front seven lost two productive players in DT 
Matangi Tonga and ILB Matt Nicholson, but DE Kelvin King (4 sacks) and 
LBs Marcus McGraw (110 tackles, 7 TFL) and Sammy Brown (7.5 sacks, 20 
TFL) all return. The secondary has to replace three starters, including both 
cornerbacks, but FS Nick Saenz (72 tackles, 6 PD) and SS Roisean Haynes 
(45 tackles) comprise a strong last line of defense. 



Kill 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

Second-year head coach Doc Holliday capped off his first season at Marshall 
with a 4-1 record. The offense was poor, ranking 103rd in yardage (314 YPG) 
and 101st in points (20.8 PPG). QB Brian Anderson graduated, leaving the 
starting to job to either sophomore Eddie Sullivan (6-of-24 passing 134 yds, 
1 TD), or freshmen A.|. Graham or Cornelius Jones. The tailback role is also 
unsettled, with unimpressive junior Martin Ward (345 rush yds, 3.6 YPC, 1 
TD) as the best option. Marshall's top offensive player is junior WR Aaron 
Dobson (44 rec, 689 yds, 5 TD) and the 0-Line is also strong, allowing just 13 
sacks last year (T-l7th in nation). The improving defense returns nine start- 
ers, most notably DE Vinny Curry (12 sacks, 18 TFL) up front, and LB Kellen 
Harris (68 tackles) who will be counted on to help offset the loss of stud 
LB Mario Harvey who had 143 tackles and 8.5 sacks. The entire secondary 
returns, featuring safeties Omar and Donald Brown (163 tackles and 6 INT 
combined). CB Rashad Jackson also has great ball skills (3 INT, 7 PD). 



92 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 






Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Larry Porter's first season in Memphis was abysmal, as his Tigers went l-ll 
with the second-fewest points scored (144 PPG) and fourth-most points 
allowed (39-8 PPG) in the nation. The ground game averaged 2.9 yards per 
carry and the 0-Line surrendered 37 sacks and 87 TFL. The one bright spot 
on offense is the productive duo of sophomore QB Ryan Williams (2,075 
pass yds, 13 TD, 10 INT) and junior WR Marcus Rucker (41 rec, 704 yds, 8 
TD). The defense only forced 13 turnovers (5 fumbles, 8 INT) with a paltry 14 
sacks. The D-Line did stop the run fairly well (4.4 YPC) as DE Frank Trotter (80 
tackles, 16.5 TFL) and 350-pound DT Dontari Poe (41 tackles, 6.5 TFL) were 
able to get penetration often. C-USA leading tackier |amon Hughes is gone, 
but LBs Terrence Thomas (8.5 TFL) and DeRon Furr (58 tackles) are back. The 
secondary returns improving CBsTaurean Nixon and Mohammed Seisay. 



RICE 



Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: 4-2-5 - Starters Returning: 7 

Despite last year's 4-8 record, there is still reason for optimism for the 2011 
Rice Owls. QB Taylor McHargue posted quality numbers in five games as 
a freshman (63% comp. rate, 11 TD, 9 INT), and will likely start instead of 
senior Nick Fanuzzi. The ground game averaged 50 more YPG than it did in 
2009, and should continue to improve with the entire O-Line returning to 
create holes for TB Sam McGuffie (883 rush yds, 384 rec yds, 9 total TD). TEs 
Vance McDonald (396 rec yds, 8 TD) and Luke Wilson (425 rec yds, 3 TD) are 
the team's top receivers. The defense is still a work in progress after rank- 
ing second-to-last in passing (304 YPG) and 114th in scoring (38.5 PPG). The 
Owls need to force the issue more, after a meager 14-sack, 6-1 NT season. 
Improved line play is vital to help the secondary, which returns four start- 
ers, including Travis Bradshaw (76 tackles) and CB Phillip Gaines (6 PD). 



SMU 



Offense: Run-and-Shoot - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 7 

June Jones' run-and-shoot continues to work at SMU, as the Mustangs went 
6-2 in C-USA play, junior QB Kyle Padron (3,828 pass yds, 31 TD, 14 INT) is a 
rising star, but needs to help his team correct its minus-12 turnover mar- 
gin. He'll miss his outside threat Aldrick Robinson who had 1,301 yards and 
14 TD in his final year, but two great inside receivers remain (Cole Beasley: 
1,060 rec yds and Darius Johnson: 845 rec yds). The ground game is also 
in good shape with TB Zach Line (1,494 rush yds, 6.1 YPC, 10 TD) running 
behind an all-senior 0-Line. Defensively, SMU was pretty sound. DEs Taylor 
Thompson (5.5 sacks) and Margus Hunt (45 tackles, 6.5 TFL) man the front 
line, while WLB ja'Gared Davis (90 tackles, 9 sacks, 16 TFL) and MLB Taylor 
Reed (145 tackles) make plays all over the field. CB Richard Crawford (4 INT, 
8 PD) is the best of the three returnees in the adequate secondary. 

SOUTfBI fiSSSSSSPPS 

Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Head coach Larry Fedora has all the pieces to earn a fourth bowl berth in 
his fourth season at Southern Miss. QB Austin Davis (3,103 pass yds, 20 TD, 6 
INT; 452 rush yds, 10 TD) ran the spread offense brilliantly last year, ranking 



15th in the county in scoring (36.9 PPG) and 18th in yardage (453 YPG). The 
Golden Eagles also return two top-notch TBs in Kendrick Hardy (903 rush 
yds, 6.5 YPC as freshman) and Desmond Johnson (611 rush yds, 5-3 YPC, 8 
TD), as well as their top two receivers - Kelvin Bolden (46 rec, 722 yds, 6 TD) 
and Quentin Pierce (38 rec, 454 yds, 4 TD). The defense did a great job stuff- 
ing the run (113 YPG, 13th in nation) behind DE Cordarro Law (6 sacks, 11.5 
TFL) and MLB Korey Williams (93 tackles, 14.5 TFL). Sophomore CB Deron 
Wilson (3 INT, 12 PD) leads a subpar secondary that allowed 243 passing 
YPG (99th in nation) and lost two starters from last year's team. 



pan. 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Bob Toledo has a woeful 13-35 record in four seasons at Tulane. The ability 
of the Green Wave to improve starts with junior QB Ryan Griffin (2,371 pass 
yds, 14 TD, 8 INT) who averaged a mere 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Griffin 
would also benefit greatly if Tulane had more than one reliable receiver to 
complement junior Ryan Grant (33 rec, 515 yds, 4 TD). Tulane had trouble 
running the football (128 YPG, 91st in nation), but TB Orleans Darkwa (925 
rush yds, 5.0 YPC, 11 TD) was not to blame. The 0-Line returns three starters 
and is improving. The defense allowed 37-2 PPG, including six games of 40+ 
points, and lost two key players in DT Justin Adams and CB Phillip Davis. DE 
Dezman Moses (6 sacks, 11.5 TFL) and MLB Trent Mackey (124 tackles, 7-5 
TFL) will need a lot of help up front, and the secondary is also subpar. 



TEH EL PASO 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 2 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

The Miners have a bunch of holes to fill on offense, including all five start- 
ing linemen and four-year starting QB Trevor Vittatoe. His replacement 
probably won't be named until late August, but it will likely be senior Tate 
Smith or |UCO transfer Nick Lamaison. The QB's progress will be hindered 
by the team's lack of wideouts with 1,070-yard, 14-TD Kris Adams graduat- 
ed. RB joe Banyard (623 rush yds, 8 TD) is the key to the offense. Although 
the defense remains virtually intact, this unit was terrible last year, rank- 
ing 91st in yardage (413 YPG) T-l05th in sacks (14) and 115th in TFL (50). DE 
Greg Watkins (3 sacks), LBs Isaiah Carter (75 tackles) and Jamie Irving (79 
tackles), and CBs Travaun Nixon (4 INT) and Antwon Blake (11 PD) are the 
best returning defenders, with leading tackier S Wiston jeune gone. 



TULSA 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Tulsa is out to prove it can beat anybody, scheduling road games at 
Oklahoma and Boise State, while hosting Oklahoma State. New head coach 
Bill Blankenship inherits a 10-3 team that averaged 45-9 PPG in winning 
its final seven games. Tulsa is led by two explosive seniors in QB G.J. Kinne 
(3,650 pass yds, 31 TD, 10 INT; 561 rush yds, 7 TD) and WR Damaris Johnson 
(872 rec yds, 560 rush yds, 13 total TD). The Golden Hurricane also return 
all five starting offensive linemen. Tulsa led the nation with 24 INT and its 
+17 turnover margin was second among FBS schools. But it was also the 
nation's worst pass defense (319 YPG) and ranked 85th in scoring (30.3 PPG). 
Many playmakers remain for new DC Brent Guy's 4-3 defense, including OLB 
Shawn Jackson (8.5 sacks), DE Tyrunn Walker (12 TFL), LB Curnelius Arnick (5 
sacks), FS Dexter McCoil (6 INT) and WS Marco Nelson (6 INT). 



« 



t 



- 



1 

■ 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 93 



CONFERENCE USA 



&L , iORI 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 27 (#88 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -8.0 (#96 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 30.58 (88th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.08 (77th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -5.3 (#85 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/10 


at Florida 


9/17 


TULANE 


9/24 


at E Carolina 


10/1 


at Troy 


10/8 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


10/15 


at Tulsa 


10/22 


UCF 


10/29 


at Marshall 


11/5 


HOUSTON 


11/12 


at Memphis 


11/17 


SOUTHERN MISS 


11/26 


at FLA Atlantic 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


4-8 


5-7 


4-8 


15-33 


31.3% 


6-5 


6-4 


5-7 


5-7 


22-23 


48.9% 


2-2 


2-1 


3-2 


2-4 


9-9 


50.0% 


4-3 


4-3 


2-5 


3-3 


13-14 


48.1% 


4-4 


4-3 


4-4 


2-6 


14-17 


45-2% 


2-1 


2-1 


1-3 


3-1 


8-6 


57-1% 


1-0 


0-0 


3-1 


1-5 


5-6 


45-5% 


5-5 


6-4 


2-6 


4-2 


17-17 


50.0% 


4-7 


4-6 


8-4 


6-6 


22-23 


48.9% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Scored 


26.3 66 




First Downs 


21.3 37 




Yards/Game 


422.8 30 




RushYds/Gm 


155.8 59 




PassYds/Gm 


267 24 




DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 31-6 95 




Yards/Game 


398.8 80 




RushYds/Gm 


150.6 59 




PassYds/Gm 


248.3 105 




Takeaways 


18 86 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


TULSA 


L 22-45 


L (+13) 


P(67) 


9/6 


at FLA Atlantic 


L 34-49 


L(+14) 


(56%) 


9/13 


at Tennessee 


L3-35 


W (+33) 


U(6l) 


9/20 


ALABAMA ST 


W 45-10 






9/27 


at S Carolina 


L 13-26 


W (+25/2) U (50/2) 


10/2 


/IPHIS 


L 30-33 


P(+3) 


0(58) 


10/9 


juston 


L 20-45 


L (+18/2) 


U (67/2) 




MARSHALL 


w 23-21 


W (+2/2) 


u (55/2) 


11/1 


at Southern Miss 


L 14-70 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


(62/2) 


11/15 


atTulane 


w 41-24 


W(+4) 


(54/2) 


11/22 


E CAROLINA 


L 13-17 


W (+6/2) 


u (50/2) 




at UCF 


W15-O 


W(+9) 


U(47) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


RICE 


W 44-24 


W(-6) 


0(60) 


9/12 


SMU 


L 33-35 


L (-11) 


(59/2) 


9/19 


at Troy 


L 14-27 


L (+6/2) 


u (59/2) 


9/26 


at Texas A&M 


L 19-56 


L(+15) 


(64/2) 


10/1 


SOUTHERN MISS 


w 30-17 


W (+10) 


U (58/2) 


10/17 


at Ole Miss 


L 13-48 


L (+23) 


0(55) 




irshall 


L7-27 


L(+7) 


u (51/2) 




at UTEP 


W 38-33 


W (+7/2) 


(63/2) 


11/7 


FLA ATLANTIC 


w 56-29 


W(-7) 


(63/2) 


11/14 


mphis 


w 31-21 


W(-l) 


U(64) 


11/21 


at E Carolina 


L 21-37 


L (+14/2) 0(56/2) 




UCF 


L 27-34 


L(+3) 


(52/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/2 


FLA ATLANTIC 


L 31-32 


L (-14) 


0(50) 


9/11 


at SMU 


L7-28 


L (+11) 


U(55) 


9/18 


TROY 


W 34-33 


W (+3/2) 


0(58) 


9/25 


at Tennessee 


L 29-32 


W (+14) 


(51/2) 


10/6 


at UCF 


L7-42 


L (+11/2) 


(47/2) 


10/16 


UTEP 


W21-6 


W(-3) 


u (59/2) 


10/23 


at Mississippi St 


L 24-29 


W (+19/2) u (53/2) 




at Southern Miss 


W 50-49 


W (+10) 


0(56) 


11/6 


SHALL 


L 17-31 


L(-10/ 2 ) 


U(53) 


11/11 


E CAROLINA 


L 42-54 


L(-l) 


(68/2) 


11/20 


IPHIS 


w 31-15 


L (-20) 


u (57/2) 




at Rice 


L 23-28 


L(-3) 


U (68) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (** 40 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +10.9 (#32 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 27.21 (108th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.08 (95th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +14.9 (#13 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-3 

2010 ATS Record: 11-3 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


CHARLESTON SOUT 


9/10 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


9/17 


at FLA International 


9/23 


atBYU 


10/8 


MARSHALL 


10/15 


at SMU 


10/22 


atUAB 


10/29 


MEMPHIS 


11/5 


TULSA 


11/12 


at Southern Miss 


11/19 


at E Carolina 


11/26 


UTEP 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-4 


4-8 


8-5 


11-3 


33-20 


62.3% 


8-6 


6-5 


9-3 


11-3 


34-17 


66.7% 


5-2 


3-2 


4-2 


5-2 


17-8 


68.0% 


3-4 


3-3 


5-1 


6-1 


17-9 


65.4% 


6-3 


4-4 


7-1 


7-2 


24-10 


70.6% 


2-3 


2-1 


2-2 


4-1 


10-7 


58.8% 


5-5 


1-2 


5-1 


8-3 


19-11 


63-3% 


3-1 


5-3 


4-2 


2-0 


14-6 


70.0% 


5-8 


5-5 


5-6 


6-7 


21-26 


44-7% 





2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.1 31 




First Downs 20.7 43 




Yards/Game 374-0 65 




RushYds/Gm 187.6 26 




PassYds/Gm 186.43 87 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 17.1 8 




Yards/Game 3154 15 




RushYds/Gm 108.4 8 




PassYds/Gm 207.0 41 




Takeaways 23 49 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


S CAROLINA ST 


W17-O 






9/6 

9720 


S FLORIDA 

at Boston College 


L 24-31 
L 7-34 


W (+14) 

n+ioF 


(47/2) 

(40) 


9/27.... 

10/4 


at UTEP 
SMU 


L 13-58 

w 31-17 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 

w (-13K) 


(50/2) 
U (55) 


10/11 

10/26 


at Miami 
at Tulsa 


L 14-20 
L 19-49 


w (+17) 
L (+23) 


U (46/2) 
P (68) 


11/2 
„.„.„.„..... 


E CAROLINA 
SOUTHERN MISS 


L 10-13 
L6-17 


W(+6) 
T(+2Jfcf 


U(47) 

u (49/2) 


11/15 
ll/22 


at Marshall 
at Memphis 


w 30-14 

W28-21 


W (+7/2) 
W (+6) 


(39/2) 

(4634) 


11/29 


UAB 


LO-15 


L(-9) 


U(47) 



9/5 


SAMFORD 


W 28-24 




9/12 


at Southern Miss 


L 19-26 


W (+15/2) U (50/2) 


9/19 


BUFFALO 


w 23-17 


W(-5) U (46/2) 


9/26 


at E Carolina 


L 14-19 


W(+9) U(43/ 2 ) 


10/3 


MEMPHIS 


w 32-14 


W (-7) P (46) 


10/17 


MIAMI 


L7-27 


L (+12/2) U (46/2) 


10/24 


at Rice 


W49-7 


w (-10) (51) 


11/1 


MARSHALL 


W 21-20 


L(-7) U(43) 


11/7 


at Texas 


L3-35 


W(+35/2) U(47) 


11/14 


HOUSTON 


w 37-32 


W(+3/ 2 ) 0(67/2) 


11/21 


TULANE 


W49-0 


W (-22/2) (47) 


11/28 


at UAB 


w 34-27 


W(-3) 0(52/2) 


12/19 


vs Rutgers 


L 24-45 


L(+2/ 2 ) 0(45) 



9/4 


S DAKOTA 


W38-7 


W (-26/2) 






NCSTATE 


L'21-28" 


LB) 


U(52) 


9/18 


at Buffalo 


w 24-10 


W(-7/2J 


U (47%) 


9/25 


at Kansas St 


L 13-17 


W (+6/2) 


U (46) 


10/6 


UAB 


W42-7 


SNi-iiVi) 0(47/2) 


10/13 


at Marshall 


W 35-14 


W (-6/2) 


0(4572) 


10/23 


RICE 


W 41-14 


W(-24) 


0(52) 


10/30 


E CAROLINA 


W 49-35 


W (-8/2) 


0(537)' 


11/5 


at Houston 


w 40-33 


W(-2) 


(63/2) 


11/13 


SOUTHERN MISS 


L 21-31 


T(-imj 


"U"(547) 


11/20 


atTulane 


W 61-14 


W (-18/2) 


0(54) 


11/27 


at Memphis 


w 37-17 


"IT2W 


U(56) 


12/4 


SMU 


W17-7 


W (-8) 


0(56) 


12/31 


vs Georgia 


WlO-6 


W (+7) 


u (53/2) 



94 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 27 (#88 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.1 (#89 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 35-92 (54th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 34.08 (68th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -7.2 (#91 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 10-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


S CAROLINA 


9/10 


VIRGINIA TECH 


9/24 


UAB 


10/1 


N CAROLINA 


10/8 


at Houston 


10/15 


at Memphis 


10/22 


at Navy 


10/29 


TULANE 


11/5 


SOUTHERN MISS 


11/12 


at UTEP 


11/19 


UCF 


11/26 


at Marshall 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT SCORE 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


9-5 


9-5 


6-7 


32-22 


59.3% 


8-5 


5-9 


7-6 


6-7 


26-27 


49-1% 


3-3 


3-2 


3-3 


4-2 


13-10 


56.5% 


5-2 


2-7 


4-3 


2-5 


13-17 


43-3% 


6-2 


3-6 


6-3 


5-3 


20-14 


58.8% 


2-3 


2-3 


1-3 


1-4 


6-13 


31-6% 


3-3 


2-8 


4-3 


2-2 


11-16 


40.7% 


5-2 


3-1 


3-3 


4-5 


15-11 


57-7% 


7-6 


7-7 


7-6 


10-3 


31-22 


58.5% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 36.8 16 




First Downs 23.6 18 




Yards/Game 437-6 25 




RushYds/Gm 118.9 99 




PassYds/Gm 318.69 8 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 44-0 119 




Yards/Game 478.8 120 




RushYds/Gm 226.7 117 




PassYds/Gm 252.1 107 




Takeaways 22 59 



ATS 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 

976 

9/13 

9/20 

9727"" 

10/11 

16/18 

ll7g 

11/15 

11/28 

12/6 
1/2 



vs Virginia Tech 

WVlRGWIA 

'at'TuTahe 

at NC State 

HOUSTON 

at Virginia 

MEMPHIS 

atUCF 

MARSHALL 

at Southern Miss 

atUAB 

UTEP 

at Tulsa 

vs Kentucky 



W 27-22 
- w _ 

W28-24 
L24-36 
L 24-41 
L 20-35 

W 30-10 
Wi3 : io 
Wi9 : i6 
[3 : 21 
W1743 
W 53-21 
W27 : 24 
LI9-25 



W (+8/2) 
■ wmr 

L(idK) 
W(-9) 

m 

L(-8) 

L{ + 3) 

"WJW2Y 
■-W"{+i2]"" 

L"( : 3) 



0(44) 

xnms 

0(45) 
0(4372) 

(61) 

0(44) 
U1537) 

U(47) 
U(47) 

U(50) 

U (50/2) 

0(55) 

U (66y 2 ) 

0141) 



9/5 

9/12 
9/19 
9/26 

10/3 

10/10 

10/17 
10/27 
11/5 

11/15 
11/28 

12/5 

1/2 



APPALACHIAN ST 

at W Virginia 

at N Carolina 

UCF 

at Marshall 

atSMU 

RICE 

at Memphis 

ViRGINIATECH 

"af Tulsa 

UAB 

SOUTHERNMISS 

HOUSTON 

vsArkansas 



W 29-24 
I20I5 
L17-31 

W 19-14 
W 2i:i7 

L21-28 

W49 : i3 

W38-19 

L3 : l6 

W44-17 
■ w — r 

W 25-20 
W38-32 
L17-2O 



LT+6J 

LT+8] 

n : 9) 

W(-i7 2 ]" 
LR) 

W{ : i8) 

W(-B) 

Tf+iW 

W(+4) 

W{-iW 

L I ■€)■ 

W'[+l) 

W"('+772)" 



0(43'.) 

U (43/2) 

U(48) 

U(53) 

(56) 

(49) 

U1517) 

0(51) 

(56/2) 

U (54/2) 

0(6872) 

U (66) 



9/5 


TULSA 


W 51-49 


W(+7) 0(56/2) 


9/11 


1PHIS 


w 49-27 


W(-l3 1 / 2 ) 0(56/2) 


9/18 


at Virginia Tech 


L 27-49 


L (+19K) 0(59/2) 


10/2 


at N Carolina 


L 17-42 


L (+14/2) U (61) 


10/9 


at Southern Miss 


W 44-43 


W(+8/ 2 ) 0(62/2) 


10/16 


NC STATE 


w 33-27 


W(+7Z) U (69/2) 


10/23 


MARSHALL 


W 37-10 


W (-13) U (61) 


IO/3O 


at UCF 


L 35-49 


L(+8Z) 0(53/) 


11/6 


NAVY 


L 35-76 


L(-2/ 2 ) 0(64) 


11/11 


at UAB 


W 54-42 


W (+1) (68/2) 


11/20 


at Rice 


L 38-62 


L(-8) 0(73/) 


11/26 


SMU 


L 38-45 


L (+1/2) (70) 




vs Maryland 


L 20-51 


L (+8) (70/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 36 (#63 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.7 (#51 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 29.17 (95th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 25.17 ("3th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +5.5 (#46 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


UCLA 


9/10 


at North Texas 


9/17 


at Louisiana Tech 


9/24 


GEORGIA ST 


10/1 


at UTEP 


10/8 


E CAROLINA 


10/22 


MARSHALL 


10/29 


RICE 


11/5 


at UAB 


11/10 


at Tu lane 


11/19 


SMU 


11/26 


at Tulsa 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


8-5 


10-4 


5-7 


31-21 


59-6% 


4-8 


5-7 


8-5 


5-7 


22-27 


44-9% 


1-4 


3-1 


5-0 


3-3 


12-8 


60.0% 


3-4 


2-6 


3-5 


2-4 


10-19 


34-5% 


2-6 


4-4 


5-4 


4-4 


15-18 


45.5% 


2-2 


1-3 


3-1 


0-3 


6-9 


40.0% 


3-6 


3-6 


5-5 


3-3 


14-20 


41.2% 


1-2 


2-1 


3-0 


1-4 


7-7 


50.0% 


4-8 


7-5 


8-5 


7-4 


26-22 


54-2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 37-7 13 




First Downs 25.6 6 




Yards/Game 480.5 11 




RushYds/Gm 153-3 61 




PassYds/Gm 327.25 5 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 32.2 96 




Yards/Game 432.8 103 




RushYds/Gm 208.8 114 




PassYds/Gm 224.1 68 




Takeaways 21 69 



2010 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



8/30 

9/6 

9/13 

9/2O 

9/27 

10/9 

10/18 

10/28 

11/8 

11 / 15 

11/22 
11 / 2g 

12 y 31 



SOUTHERN 

ho ma St 
vs Air Force 
at Colorado St 
at E Carolina 
UAB 

at Marshall 
TULANE 

TUlsa 

UTEP 
at Rice 
vs ATr Force 



W55-3 

L37 : 56 

L28-31 
■L25-28"' 

W41-24 
W45-26 
W44-38 
123:37 
W 42-14 
W70 : 30 
W42^37 
[42-56 
W34 : 28 



m 

L(-5K) 

W(+10)4) 
W(48K)' 

T&W 

L"(7j 

' W'(-l8j 

L"(-19) 

im 



0(51%) 
U (62/2) 

0(61) 
U(67%) 

(76) 

U(60':) 

U(57%) 

d (80/2'j 

0(73%) 
0(79) 
U (65) 



9/5 

9/26 
10/3 
10/10 

10/17 
10/24 
10/31 
11/7 

11/14 

11/21 
11/28 
12/5 

12 y^ 



NORTHWESTERN ST 
'at Oklahoma St 

TEXAS TECH 

atUTEP 

at Mississippi St 

at Tularie 

SMU 

SOUTHERNMISS 
"atTulsa 

atUCF 

MEMPHIS 

RICE 

at E Carolina 

vs Air Force 



W55-7 

W 29-28 
L41-58 

w 31-24 

W44 : l6 
W3845 
W 50-43 
W46-45 
L32-37 

w 55-14 
w 73-14 

L32-38 

L 20-47 



W (+2) 

L(-14) 

W(+3) 

WT-17) 

W(-l6) 

■W(W" 

L"(-2) 

LT3K) 

W"(-2'3] 

W(-3bK)'' 

L"(-i) 

LRK) 



(71) 

U (75/2) 

(69/2) 

U (68) 

U (68^) 

U(71) 
0(65) 
(70/2) 
OW/2)' 
U(74) 
0[71 1 72)- 
0(6872)' 



9/4 

9/10 
9/18 

9/251 
10/9 
10/16 
10/23 

10/30 

11/13 

11/20 
■ -—.- 



TEXAS ST UNIV 

UTEP 

atUCLA 

TULANE 

MISSISSIPPI ST 

af Rice 

at SMU 

at Memphis 

UCF 

TULSA 

at Southern Miss 

at Texas tech 



W.68-2.8 
W54-24 
Ll3 : 3l 

W 42-23 

L24-47 

...O 1 ;^.. 

W 45-20 
W56-17 
L33 : 40 
L25-28 
'['41-59" 
L 20-35 



W (-39/2) 

W j-26 1 /2) 

im 

WJ-18/2J 

n+i^r 

L(-9/ 2 ) 
W (+8) 

W"(44) 

L( + 2J 

L(3) 

L(+3/2) 
L (+10) 



0(75/2) 
U (66) 

0(57) 

0(57) 
U (66) 
0(61) 

(59/2) 

(63/2) 

U (76/2) 

(68) 
.„-_. 



■ 

« 
1 



■ 






■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 95 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (W93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -8.5 (#98 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 30.92 (87th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 34.75 (65th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -7-9 (#93 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at W Virginia 


9/10 


SOUTHERN MISS 


9/17 


at Ohio U 


9/24 


VIRGINIA TECH 


10/1 


at Louisville 


10/8 


atUCF 


10/15 


RICE 


10/22 


at Houston 


10/29 


UAB 


11/12 


at Tulsa 


11/19 


at Memphis 


11/26 


E CAROLINA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


ILLINOIS ST 


W 35-10 






9/6 


at Wisconsin 


L 14-51 


L (+20/2) 


(50/2) 


9/13 


MEMPHIS 


W 17-16 


L(-6) 


U(60) 


9/20 


at Southern Miss 


W 34-27 


W (+7/2) 


0(54) 


9/27 


at W Virginia 


L3-27 


L (+16) 


u (53/2) 


10/3 


CINCINNATI 


L 10-33 


L(+3) 


U (47/2) 


10/18 


at UAB 


L 21-23 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


u (55/2) 


10/28 


HOUSTON 


w 37-23 


W(+7) 


U (6O/2) 


11/8 


at E Carolina 


L 16-19 


W(+8) 


U(47) 


11/15 


UCF 


L 14-30 


M-7K) 


(39/2) 


11/22 


at Rice 


L 10-35 


L (+8/2) 


U (68) 


11/29 


TULSA 


L 35-38 


W (+16) 


0(66) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


4-8 


7-6 


5-7 


19-30 


38.8% 


5-6 


4-7 


7-5 


4-8 


20-26 


43-5% 


3-2 


2-3 


2-3 


3-3 


10-11 


47.6% 


2-4 


2-4 


5-2 


1-5 


10-15 


40.0% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-4 


3-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


1-2 


0-3 


3-1 


1-3 


5-9 


35-7% 


1-1 


0-3 


2-1 


2-3 


5-8 


38.5% 


4-5 


4-4 


5-4 


2-5 


15-18 


45-5% 


4-7 


4-7 


3-9 


5-6 


16-29 


35.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 20.8 101 




First Downs 16.5 106 




Yards/Game 314-3 103 




RushYds/Gm 97.2 114 




PassYds/Gm 217.08 63 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.8 74 




Yards/Game 386.0 71 




RushYds/Gm 145-3 55 




PassYds/Gm 240.8 94 




Takeaways 17 94 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


S ILLINOIS 


w 31-28 






9/12 


at Virginia Tech 


L 10-52 


L (+20) 


0(44) 


9/19 


BOWLING GREEN 


w 17-10 


W(+3) 


U(52) 


9/26 


at Memphis 


W 27-16 


W(+3) 


U(49) 


10/3 


E CAROLINA 


L 17-21 


L( + l/ 2 ) 


U(48) 


10/10 


atTulane 


w 31-10 


W(-3) 


U(48) 


10/17 


at W Virginia 


L7-24 


W (+20) 


u (51/2) 


10/24 


UAB 


W27-7 


W(-7) 


u (51/2) 


11/1 


at UCF 


L 20-21 


W(+7) 


U(43) 


11/14 


SOUTHERN MISS 


L 20-27 


L(+3) 


u (51/2) 


11/21 


SMU 


W 34-31 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


(48/2) 


11/28 


at UTEP 


L 21-52 


L(+2J 


0(60) 


12/26 


vsOhioU 


W 21-17 


W(+3) 


U(49) 



9/2 


at Ohio St 


L7-45 


L (+28) 


0(47) 


9/10 


W VIRGINIA 


L 21-24 


W (+12) 


U (46/2) 


9/18 


at Bowling Green 


L 28-44 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


0(50) 


9/25 


OHIOU 


w 24-23 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


P(47) 


10/2 


at Southern Miss 


L 16-41 


L(+9) 


0(54) 


10/13 


UCF 


L 14-35 


L (+6/2) 


(45/2) 


10/23 


at E Carolina 


L 10-37 


L (+13) 


U(6l) 


10/30 


UTEP 


W 16-12 


W (-2/2) 


U(54) 


11/6 


at UAB 


w 31-17 


W (+10/2) 


U(53) 


11/13 


MEMPHIS 


W 28-13 


L (-16) 


U(5D 


11/20 


at SMU 


L 17-31 


L (+13/2) 


U (48/2) 


11/27 


TULANE 


w 38-23 


W (-11) 


(52/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 12 (#117 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -22.9 (#118 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 35-92 (55th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 28.25 (99th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -25.4 (#119 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 1-11 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


9/10 


at Arkansas St 


9/17 


AUSTIN PEAY 


9/24 


SMU 


10/1 


at Middle Tenn st 


10/8 


at Rice 


10/15 


E CAROLINA 


10/22 


atTulane 


10/29 


at UCF 


11/12 


UAB 


11/19 


MARSHALL 


11/26 


at Southern Miss 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


6-7 


2-10 


1-11 


16-34 


32.0% 


7-5 


5-6 


3-9 


5-7 


20-27 


42.6% 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


2-4 


10-14 


41.7% 


4-2 


2-3 


1-5 


3-3 


10-13 


43-5% 


5-3 


4-3 


2-6 


4-4 


15-16 


48.4% 


2-2 


1-3 


1-3 


1-3 


5-11 


31-3% 


2-2 


1-2 


0-1 


0-0 


3-5 


37-5% 


5-3 


4-4 


2-8 


5-7 


16-22 


42.1% 


6-6 


6-6 


4-6 


6-6 


22-24 


47.8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 14.4 119 




First Downs 14.3 120 




Yards/Game 285.0 117 




RushYds/Gm 91.6 116 




PassYds/Gm 193-42 81 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 39-8 117 




Yards/Game 460.7 115 




RushYds/Gm 171.9 81 




PassYds/Gm 288.8 116 




Takeaways 13 115 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



8/30 

9/6 
._..„..... 

9/20 
9/27 
10/2 

ll7 8 
12/20 



at OLe Miss 

at Marshall 
NICHOLLSST 
ARKANSAS ST 
"at'UAB 



L 24-41 
L 35-42 
[ 16-17" 

w 31-10 

VV29-i7 
W^O 



LOUISVILLE 

irolina 
SOUTHERN MISS' 



L 28-35 
L 10-30 
W"36-3(F 



L(+9) 0(53) 
'L"(-2%j 0(67) 

"W(+l) 0(55) 

P(-3) 0(58) 
L"(+6) (5634) 



at SMU 

UCF 

TULANE "'2 
vs S Florida 



W 31-26 

L'2i-28" 

W'45-6" 

[1441"" 



L(+9) U (53/2) 

W(+334) 0(52) 

W"(p"k) U (6ij 



L (-6) (46/2) 

W"(-14) U (53) 

"L'C+10/2) U (5634) 



96 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/6 


OLE MISS 


L 14-45 


L (+17K) 


0(55) 


9/12 
9/19 

9/26 
1Q/ y 


at Middle Tenn st 
TENN-MARTIN 
MARSHALL 
at UCF 


L14-31 

W 41-14 
L16-27 
L14-32 


L(pk) 

W (-19) 

L(-3) 

L(+7) 


U(53) 

0(49) 
P (46) 


10/10 


UTEP 


W 35-20 


W(+l) 


U(58) 


10/17 


at Southern Miss 


L 16-36 


L (+14/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


10/27 


E CAROLINA 


L 19-38 


L(+6) 


0(49) 


11/7 


at Tennessee 


L 28-56 


L (+25%) 


0(53) 


11/14 


UAB 


L 21-31 


L(+D 


U(64) 


11/21 


Duston 


L 14-55 


L (+23) 


U(74) 




at Tulsa 


L 30-33 


W (+16) 


0(61) 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/4 

9/11 

9/18 

9/25I 

10/2 

IO/9] 

„.„.„.„..... 

11/13 

11/20 



at Mississippi St 

at E Carolina 

MIDDLETENNSf 

atUTEP 

TULSA 

at Louisville 



L7-49 
.. L.27-49 . 

W 24-17 

Tl3 : i6" 

L748 

LO-56 



L (+22) 
L (+1334) 

W (+5/2) 
W"(+'i234) 
L'( + 8) 

L (+16)4) 



0(47) 
(56)4) 
U (5534) 

u (59/2) 

U (62) 
0(51) 



SOUTHERN MISS 
HOUSTON 



L 19-41 
L 17-56 



TENNESSEE 
at Marshall 

at'UAB 

UCF 



L 14-50 
L 13-28 



L (+16/2) 

L"(>14)"" 

L (+20/2) 



0(53) 
0(52) 



L 15-31 
L 17-37 



W(+16) 
"W(+20J" 
"w"(+2634)' 



U(5D 
U (56) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 22 (#102 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -11.1 (#106 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.50 (83rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.67 (82nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -9.8 (#96 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Texas 


9/10 


PURDUE 


9/24 


at Baylor 


10/1 


at Southern Miss 


10/8 


MEMPHIS 


10/15 


at Marshall 


10/22 


TULSA 


10/29 


at Houston 


11/5 


UTEP 


11/12 


at Northwestern 


11/19 


TULANE 


11/26 


atSMU 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


10-3 


2-10 


4-8 


19-30 


38.8% 


5-6 


9-4 


4-7 


6-6 


24-23 


51.1% 


2-3 


5-1 


2-3 


5-2 


14-9 


60.9% 


3-3 


4-3 


2-4 


1-4 


10-14 


41-7% 


5-3 


7-1 


3-4 


4-4 


19-12 


61.3% 


0-3 


2-3 


1-3 


2-2 


5-11 


31-3% 


0-2 


6-1 


1-0 


0-0 


7-3 


70.0% 


5-4 


3-3 


3-7 


6-6 


17-20 


45.9% 


10-1 


9-4 


8-4 


7-5 


34-14 


70.8% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 28.7 


52 




First Downs 19.7 


61 




Yards/Game 375-3 


63 




RushYds/Gm 1594 


51 




PassYds/Gm 215.92 


64 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 38.5 


114 




Yards/Game 448.8 


107 




RushYds/Gm 145-2 


54 




PassYds/Gm 303-7 


119 




Takeaways 14 


112 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/29 


SMU 


W 56-27 


W(-4) 


0(70) 


9/6 


mphis 


w 42-35 


W (+2/2) 


0(67) 


9/13 


at Vanderbilt 


L 21-38 


L(+9 1 / 2 ) 


0(58) 


9/20 


at Texas 


L 10-52 


L( + 29) 


U (68) 


9/27 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 77-20 


W(-15/ 2 ) 0(67/2) 


10/4 


at Tulsa 


L 28-63 


L (+16/2) 


(79/2) 


10/18 


SOUTHERN MISS 


W 45-40 


W(-2) 


0(69) 


10/25 


at Tu lane 


w 42-17 


W (+1/2) 


U (66/2) 


11/1 


at UTEP 


W 49-44 


W (-2/2) 


(7VA) 


11/8 


ARMY 


w 38-31 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


(55/2) 


11/22 


MARSHALL 


W 35-10 


W (-8/2) 


U (68) 


11/29 


HOUSTON 


W 56-42 


W (+3/2) 


0(79) 


12/30 


vs W Michigan 


W 38-14 


W(-2) 


u (73/2) 



9/5 


atUAB 


L 24-44 


L(+6) 


0(60) 


9/4 


TEXAS 


L 17-34 


W (+31/2) 


u (55/2) 


9/12 


at Texas Tech 


L 10-55 


L (+28) 


0(64) 


9/11 


at North Texas 


w 32-31 


W (+3/2) 


0(57) 


9/19 


at Oklahoma St 


L 24-41 


W (+32/2) U (66/2) 


9/18 


NORTHWESTERN 


L 13-30 


L (+6/2) 


U (54/2) 


9/26 


VANDERBILT 


L 17-36 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


(49/2) 


9/25 


BAYLOR 


L 13-30 


L(+8) 


U(56) 


10/3 


TULSA 


L 10-27 


P(+17) 


U(63) 


10/2 


SMU 


L 31-42 


W (+11/2) 


0(57) 


10/10 


NAVY 


L 14-63 


L (+10) 


0(56) 


10/9 


at UTEP 


L 24-44 


L(+9) 


0(58) 


10/17 


at E Carolina 


L 13-49 


L (+18) 


0(56) 


10/16 


HOUSTON 


W 34-31 


W (+9/2) 


U (66) 


10/24 


UCF 


L7-49 


L (+10) 


0(51) 


10/23 


at UCF 


L 14-41 


L (+24) 


0(52) 


11/7 


at SMU 


L 28-31 


W (+18) 


0(57) 


11/6 


at Tulsa 


L 27-64 


L (+17) 


(62/2) 


11/14 


TULANE 


W 28-20 


W(-3) 


U(58) 


11/13 


at Tu lane 


L 49-54 


L(+4) 


(57/2) 


11/21 


UTEP 


w 30-29 


W (+6/2) 


u (70/2) 


11/20 


E CAROLINA 


W 62-38 


W(+8) 


(73/2) 


11/28 


at Houston 


L 14-73 


L (+30/ 2 ) 


(71/2) 


11/27 


UAB 


W 28-23 


W(+3) 


U (68) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 30 (#79 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +0.3 (#69 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.71 (74th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.25 (75th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +0.1 (#67 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/4 


at Texas A&M 


9/10 


UTEP 


9/17 


NORTHWESTERN ST 


9/24 


at Memphis 


10/1 


atTCU 


10/15 


UCF 


10/22 


at Southern Miss 


10/29 


at Tulsa 


11/5 


TULANE 


11/12 


NAVY 


11/19 


at Houston 


11/26 


RICE 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-11 


1-11 


8-5 


7-7 


17-34 


33-3% 


4-8 


3-7 


7-5 


6-8 


20-28 


41-7% 


0-6 


2-3 


2-3 


3-4 


7-16 


30.4% 


4-2 


1-4 


5-2 


3-4 


13-12 


52.0% 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


4-5 


14-19 


42.4% 


1-3 


0-2 


3-1 


2-3 


6-9 


40.0% 


0-4 


0-0 


0-4 


4-6 


4-14 


22.2% 


4-4 


3-7 


7-1 


2-2 


16-14 


53-3% 


6-6 


4-7 


5-6 


6-8 


21-27 


43-8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 25.7 74 




First Downs 20.7 43 




Yards/Game 414.6 33 




RushYds/Gm 138.8 81 




PassYds/Gm 275-79 21 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 25.6 59 




Yards/Game 352.9 40 




RushYds/Gm 144.8 53 




PassYds/Gm 208.1 43 




Takeaways 15 108 



8/29 


at Rice 


L 27-56 


L(+4) 


0(70) 


9/6 


TEXAS ST UN IV 


W 47-36 






9/13 


at Texas Tech 


L7-43 


P (+36) 


U (68/2) 


9/20 


TCU 


L7-48 


L (+24) 


(52/2) 


9/25 


at Tu lane 


L 27-34 


W (+17/2) (52/2) 


10/4 


at UCF 


L 17-31 


M+13K) 


U(55) 


10/11 


TULSA 


L 31-37 


w (+23) 


u (77/2) 


10/18 


HOUSTON 


L 38-44 


W (+14/2) 


0(70) 


10/25 


at Navy 


L7-34 


L (+14) 


U (61/2) 


11/8 


MEMPHIS 


L 26-31 


L(pk) 


U(6l) 


11/15 


at UTEP 


L 10-36 


L(+13fc) 


U (66) 


11/29 


SOUTHERN MISS 


L 12-28 


L (+14) 


U(59) 



9/5 


STEPHF AUSTIN 


w 31-23 






9/12 


at UAB 


W 35-33 


W (+11) 


(59/2) 


9/19 


at Washington St 


L 27-30 


L(-4) 


U(58) 


10/3 


atTCU 


L 14-39 


W (+28/2) 


P(53) 


10/10 


E CAROLINA 


W 28-21 


W(+4) 


U(53) 


10/17 


NAVY 


L 35-38 


W(+7) 


(53/2) 


10/24 


at Houston 


L 15-38 


L (+16) 


U(7D 


10/31 


at Tulsa 


w 27-13 


W (+14/2) 


U(53) 


11/7 


RICE 


w 31-28 


L (-18) 


0(57) 


11/14 


UTEP 


w 35-31 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(62) 


11/21 


at Marshall 


L 31-34 


W (+3/2) 


(48/2) 


11/28 


TULANE 


W 26-21 


L (-20) 


u (55/2) 


12/24 


vs Nevada 


W 45-10 


W (+11) 


U (69/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Texas Tech 


L 27-35 


W (+12/2) (57/2) 


9/11 


UAB 


W2B-7" 


-WT-iTT 


U (.5.5) 


9/18 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 35-21 


L ( 23K) 


0(53/2) 


9/24 


TCU 


L 24-41 


W (+18) 


(5472) 


10/2 


at Rice 


w 42-31 


L(-iiK) 


0(57) 


10/9 


TULSA 


W 21-18 


L(-6) 


U (64) 


10/16 


at Navy 


L 21-28 


n+i) 


U(52) 


10/23 


HOUSTON 


L 20-45 


L(-8) 


0(61) 


10/30 


at Tula he 


w 31-17 


W (-97 2 ) 


U(54) 


11/6 


at UTEP 


L 14-28 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (55/2) 


11/20 


MARSHALL 


w 31-17 


W (-13K) U (48K) 


11/26 


at E Carolina 


W 45-38 


-VV(:iy 2 y 


(70) 


12/4 


at UCF 


L7-17 


L(+8) 


U(56) 


12/30 


ARMY 


L 14-16 


L(-7) 


u (50/2) 



■ 



■ 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 97 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 40 (#54 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.2 (#42 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.54 (98th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 26.42 (109th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.3 (#36 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


LOUISIANA TECH 


9/10 


at Marshall 


9/17 


SE LOUISIANA 


9/24 


at Virginia 


10/1 


RICE 


10/8 


at Navy 


10/22 


SMU 


10/29 


atUTEP 


11/5 


at E Carolina 


11/12 


UCF 


11/17 


atUAB 


11/26 


MEMPHIS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Texas Tech 


L 27-35 


W (+12/2) (57/2) 




UAB 


W'28-7" 


•'WW' 


U(55) 


9/18 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 35-21 


L(23/ 2 ) 


(537) 


9/24 


TCU 


L 24-41 


W (+18) 


(547) 


10/2 


at Rice 


w 42-31 


L(n/ 2 ) 


0(57) 


10/9 


TULSA 


W 21-18 


L(-6) 


U (64) 


10/16 


at Navy 


L 21-28 


n+ij 


U(52) 


10/23 


HOUSTON 


L 20-45 


L(-8) 


0(61) 


10/30 


at Tula rie 


w 31-17 


W [-955] 


U(54) 


11/6 


at UTEP 


L 14-28 


LI-6K) 




11/20 


MARSHALL 


w 31-17 


W (-13/2) U (4872) 


11/26 


at E Carolina 


W 45-38 


w (-172) 


(70) 


12/4 


at UCF 


L7-17 


LF8) 


U(56) 


12/30 


ARMY 


L 14-16 


L(-7) 


U (507) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


7-6 


7-6 


8-5 


29-23 


55.8% 


6-6 


8-5 


6-6 


6-7 


26-24 


52.0% 


1-4 


3-3 


3-2 


3-3 


10-12 


45.5% 


5-2 


5-2 


3-4 


3-4 


16-12 


57-1% 


5-3 


4-4 


5-3 


5-3 


19-13 


594% 


1-3 


4-1 


1-3 


1-4 


7-11 


38.9% 


5-4 


5-3 


4-5 


5-4 


19-16 


54-3% 


1-2 


3-2 


2-1 


1-3 


7-8 


46.7% 


6-6 


7-6 


5-7 


9-3 


27-22 


55.1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 36.9 15 




First Downs 24.2 12 




Yards/Game 453-4 18 




RushYds/Gm 200.9 20 




PassYds/Gm 252.54 35 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 29.5 81 




Yards/Game 356.4 47 




RushYds/Gm 113.0 13 




PassYds/Gm 243-4 99 




Takeaways 26 30 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


ALCORN ST 


W52-O 






9/2 

9/11 


at S Carolina 
PRAIRiE VIEW 


L 13-41 
W347 ' 


L (+13/2) 0(46/2) 


9/12 


UCF 


W 26-19 


L(-l5 1 / 2 ) 


u (50/2) 


L(-32/ 2 ) 


9/19 


VIRGINIA 


W 37-34 


L (-13/2) 


0(46/2) 


9/17 


KANSAS 


w 31-16 


W (-5) U (52) 


9/26 


at Kansas 


L 28-35 


W (+11/2) 


0(58) 


9/25 


at Louisiana Tech 


w 13-12 


L (-3/2) U (55/2) 


10/1 


at UAB 


L 17-30 


LMO) 


U (58/2) 


10/2 
IO/9" 


MARSHALL 
"E CAROLINA 


W 41-16 
L'43-44"" 


W(-9) 0(54) 


10/10 


at Louisville 


L 23-25 


L(-2) 


U(50) 


L(-8/ 2 ) 0(62/2) 


10/17 


MEMPHIS 


W 36-16 


W (-14/2) 


U(54) 


10/16 


at Memphis 


w 41-19 


W(-l6/ 2 ) 0(53) 


10/24 


TULANE 


W43-6 


W (-21) 


U(52) 


10/30 


UAB 


L 49-50 


L(-10) 0(56) 


10/31 


at Houston 


L 43-50 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(65) 


11/6 


atTulane 


w 46-30 


w(-io) 0(55/2) 


11/14 


at Marshall 


w 27-20 


W(-3) 


u (51/2) 


11/13 


at UCF 


w 31-21 


W (+10/2) U (54/2) 


11/21 


TULSA 


W 44-34 


W(-9) 


0(55) 


11/20 


HOUSTON 


w 59-41 


W (-3/2) (68) 


11/28 


at E Carolina 


L 20-25 


W(+6) 


u (54/2) 


11/26 


at Tulsa 


L 50-56 


L(+3) 0(67) 


12/20 


vs Middle Tennst 


L 32-42 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


(61/2) 


12/21 


vs Louisville 


L 28-31 


L(+2) 0(58/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 14 (#113 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -11.3 (8107 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 30.00 (90th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.92 (101st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -12.3 (#104 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


SE LOUISIANA 


9/10 


TULSA 


9/17 


at UAB 


9/24 


at Duke 


10/1 


at Army 


10/8 


SYRACUSE 


10/15 


UTEP 


10/22 


MEMPHIS 


10/29 


at E Carolina 


11/5 


at SMU 


11/10 


HOUSTON 


11/19 


at Rice 


11/26 


at Hawaii 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


2-10 


3-9 


4-8 


13-35 


27.1% 


5-6 


5-7 


4-8 


4-8 


18-29 


38.3% 


2-4 


2-4 


2-4 


2-5 


8-17 


32.0% 


3-2 


3-3 


2-4 


2-3 


10-12 


45-5% 


3-5 


2-6 


2-6 


2-6 


9-23 


28.1% 


2-1 


3-1 


2-2 


2-2 


9-6 


60.0% 


0-1 


1-4 


0-0 


1-2 


2-7 


22.2% 


5-5 


4-3 


3-8 


3-6 


15-22 


40.5% 


4-7 


4-8 


3-8 


8-3 


19-26 


42.2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 24.9 80 




First Downs 21.3 37 




Yards/Game 373-3 66 




RushYds/Gm 127.5 91 




PassYds/Gm 245-75 38 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 37-2 113 




Yards/Game 390.1 74 




RushYds/Gm 195.5 101 




PassYds/Gm 194.6 28 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



9/6 

9/I3 

9/20 

9/251 
10/4 

10/11 

10/25 

ii/'i 

11/8 

11/15 
11//22 

11/29" 



at Alabama 
ECAROUNA 
LAMONROE 
SMU 



L6-20 

L 24-28 

W24-IO 

•W34 : 27" 



W (+29) 

wj+ii/j' 



u (45/2) 

0(45) 
U (46) 



ARMY 
atTJTEP" 
RICE 
atlSU 



i.l3 : 44... 
L 21-24 

"L17-42" 
L 10-35 



L(-l8/ 2 ) 
W (+6) 

LW" 

W (+36/2) 



0(43) 
U (56) 



at Houston 

'MIIII 
at Tulsa 
at Memphis 



L 24-41 



L7-56 
L6-45 



L (+18) 

L"i-4J 
L (+28 1 / 2 j 

L(+14)"" 



u (57/2) 

U (69) 
U (53) 



98 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


TULSA 


L 13-37 


L(+13fc) 


U(64) 


9/12 

9/26 

10 / 3 


BYU 

MCNEESEST ■""■■""■ 
at Army 


L3-54 
W 42-32 
W17-16 


L (+18/2) 0(52/2) 

W'(-3) 

W (+6) U (45) 


10/10 


SHALL 


L 10-31 


L(+3) 


U(48) 


10/17 


HOUSTON 


L 16-44 


L (+17) 






at Southern Miss 


L6-43 


L (+21) 


U(52) 


10/31 


at LSU 


L0-42 


L (+37) 


U (45/2) 


11/7 


UTEP 


W 45-38 


W (+6/2) 


(57/2) 


11/14 


at Rice 


L 20-28 


L(+3) 


U(58) 


11/21 


at UCF 


L0-49 


L (+22/2) 


0(47) 




at SMU 


L 21-26 


W (+20) 





2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/2 


SE LOUISIANA 


w 27-21 


LMO) 




9/11 
9/25' 
10/2 


OLE MISS 

at Houston 
jtgers 


L 13-27 

L23 : 42 

W 17-14 


W (+20/2) U (49/2) 
L(+l8/ 2 ) 0(57) 

w (+17) 0(41/2) 


10/9 


ARMY 


L 23-41 


L(-l) 


(43/) 




at Tulsa 


L 24-52 


L (+18) 


(57/) 


10/23 


at UTEP 


W 34-24 


W (+10) 


0(55) 




SMU 


L 17-31 


L(+9/) 


U(54) 


11/6 


SOUTHERN MISS 


L 30-46 


L (+10) 


(55/) 


11/13 


RICE 


W 54-49 


W(-4) 


(57/) 


11/20 


UCF 


L 14-61 


L (+18/2) 


0(54) 




rshall 


L 23-38 


L (+11) 





CONFERENCE USA 



LITEMS -EL PI 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 27 (#88 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -9-9 (#101 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 25.15 ("5th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.33 (104th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.5 (#73 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


STONY BROOK 


9/10 


atSMU 


9/17 


at New Mexico st 


9/24 


at S Florida 


10/1 


HOUSTON 


10/15 


at Tu lane 


10/22 


COLORADO ST 


10/29 


SOUTHERN MISS 


11/5 


at Rice 


11/12 


E CAROLINA 


11/19 


TULSA 


11/26 


atUCF 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


5-7 


4-8 


6-7 


19-30 


38.8% 


6-5 


5-7 


5-7 


5-8 


21-27 


43.8% 


3-2 


2-4 


3-3 


3-3 


11-12 


47-8% 


3-3 


3-3 


2-4 


2-5 


10-15 


40.0% 


4-4 


4-4 


4-4 


3-5 


15-17 


46.9% 


2-1 


1-3 


1-3 


2-3 


6-10 


37-5% 


0-3 


1-2 


2-5 


3-2 


6-12 


33-3% 


6-2 


4-5 


3-2 


2-5 


15-14 


51-7% 


6-5 


8-4 


7-5 


6-6 


27-20 


574% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.0 71 




First Downs 20.4 50 




Yards/Game 360.4 78 




RushYds/Gm 137.1 84 




PassYds/Gm 223.31 58 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 27.5 66 




Yards/Game 412.6 91 




RushYds/Gm 184.1 90 




PassYds/Gm 228.5 80 




Takeaways 16 102 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


at Buffalo 


L 17-42 


L(+3) 


(56/2) 


9/5 


BUFFALO 


L 17-23 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


U (61/2) 


9/6 


TEXAS 


L 13-42 


L (+26) 


U(6l) 


9/12 


KANSAS 


L7-34 


L(+13) 


U (62/2) 


9/20 


NEW MEXICO ST 


L 33-34 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


(62/2) 


9/19 


at New Mexico st 


W 38-12 


W(-14) 


0(48) 


9/27 


UCF 


w 58-13 


W (+3/2) 


(50/2) 


9/26 


at Texas 


L7-64 


L (+37) 


(64/2) 


10/4 


at Southern Miss 


w 40-37 


W(+8) 


0(62) 


10/3 


HOUSTON 


W 58-41 


W (+14) 


(69/2) 


10/11 


TULANE 


W 24-21 


L(-6) 


U(56) 


10/10 


at Memphis 


L 20-35 


L(-l) 


U(58) 


10/18 


at Tulsa 


L 35-77 


L (+20) 


(73/2) 


10/21 


TULSA 


W 28-24 


W (+8/2) 


U(60) 


11/1 


RICE 


L 44-49 


L(+2fc) 


(76/2) 


10/31 


UAB 


L 33-38 


L(7 1 /2) 


(63/2) 


11/8 


at LA Lafayette 


W 37-24 


W (+13/2) U (71/2) 


11/7 


at Tu lane 


L 38-45 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(57/2) 


11/15 


SMU 


W 36-10 


W (-13/2) 


U (66) 


11/14 


at SMU 


L 31-35 


W (+6/2) 


0(62) 


11/22 


at Houston 


L 37-42 


w (+19) 


(73/2) 


11/21 


at Rice 


L 29-30 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (70/2) 


11/28 


at E Carolina 


L 21-53 


L(+6fc) 


0(55) 


11/28 


MARSHALL 


w 52-21 


W(-2) 


0(60) 



9/4 


AK-PINE BLUFF 


w 31-10 


L (-38%) 






^uston 


L 24-54 


L (+20/2) 


(75/2) 


9/18 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 42-10 


w (-15) 


U(57) 


9/25 


MEMPHIS 


W 16-13 


L(l2/ 2 ) 


u (59/2) 


10/2 


at New Mexico 


W 38-20 


W(-15) 


(57/2) 


10/9 


RICE 


W 44-24 


W(-9) 


0(58) 


10/16 


at UAB 


L6-21 


L(+3) 


u (59/2) 


10/23 


TULANE 


L 24-34 


L(-10) 


0(55) 


10/30 


at Marshall 


L 12-16 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


11/6 


SMU 


W 28-14 


W (+6/2) 


u (55/2) 


11/13 


at Arkansas 


L 21-58 


L (+28/2) 


0(60) 


11/20 


at Tulsa 


L 28-31 


w (+17) 


U(6l) 


12/18 


vsBYU 


L 24-52 


L (+10/2) 


0(51) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.7 (#23 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.08 (103rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35-25 (61st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +11.1 (#25 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-3 

2010 ATS Record: 9-4 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Oklahoma 


9/10 


at Tu lane 


9/17 


OKLAHOMA ST 


9/24 


at Boise St 


10/1 


NORTH TEXAS 


10/15 


UAB 


10/22 


at Rice 


10/29 


SMU 


11/5 


at UCF 


11/12 


MARSHALL 


11/19 


at UTEP 


11/26 


HOUSTON 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-4 


11-3 


5-7 


10-3 


36-17 


67.9% 


5-9 


8-5 


5-6 


9-4 


27-24 


52.9% 


2-4 


5-1 


3-3 


5-2 


15-10 


60.0% 


3-5 


3-4 


2-3 


4-2 


12-14 


46.2% 


2-7 


5-4 


2-5 


6-2 


15-18 


45-5% 


3-2 


3-1 


3-1 


3-2 


12-6 


66.7% 


3-6 


8-5 


2-4 


5-3 


18-18 


50.0% 


2-3 


0-0 


2-2 


4-1 


8-6 


57-1% 


6-8 


6-5 


4-7 


6-6 


22-26 


45.8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 414 6 




First Downs 25.6 5 




Yards/Game 505.6 5 




RushYds/Gm 216.9 15 




PassYds/Gm 288.69 13 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.3 85 




Yards/Game 450.9 ill 




RushYds/Gm 131.9 34 




PassYds/Gm 319-0 120 




Takeaways 36 3 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 

976 

9/20 

9/27 

10/4 

10/11 

10/18 

10/26 

11/1 

11/22 
11/29 
12/6 

m 



at UAB 

at North' Texas'" 

NEW MEXICO 

C ARKANSAS 

RICE 

atSMU 

UTEP 
UCF 

at Arkansas 
at Houston 
TULANE 
at Marshall 
E CAROLINA 
vsBaUSt 



W 45-22 
"W5B-26T 

W 56-14 

W 62-34 

W63 : 28 

"W31 

imm 

w 49-19 
r'23-30' 

L 30-70 

W56-7 

■"W3S35 
L 24-27 
W45 : i3' 



W(-13) P(67) 

"W"(-2iK)' 0(70) 

'W(-ibK)''0'(6i 1 72) 



W"(-i6K)"' 
1(23) 

W(-20) 

W'(-2'3) 

LT7KJ 

T(3K)' 
W"(-2'8K)'" 

L(-i6) 

LT12) 

W(-2) 



0"(79'K) 
U(77K)' 
0(73^) 

P(68) 

U(75) 

OJW2) 

U(69) 

(66) 

U"('6'67 2 )' 

U(70K) 



9/4 


atTulane 


w 37-13 


W (-13/2) 


U(64) 


9/12 


at New Mexico 


W 44-10 


W(-17) 


U(57) 


9/19 


at Oklahoma 


LO-45 


L (+18) 


U(57) 


9/26 


SAM HOUSTON ST 


W56-3 


W (-38) 




10/3 


at Rice 


w 27-10 


P (-17) 


U(63) 


10/14 


BOISE ST 


L 21-28 


W(+9) 


U(56) 


10/21 


at UTEP 


L 24-28 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(60) 


10/31 


SMU 


L 13-27 


L(-14/ 2 ) 


U(53) 


11/7 


HOUSTON 


L 45-46 


W(+2) 


(70/2) 


11/15 


E CAROLINA 


L 17-44 


L(-4) 


0(51) 


11/21 


at Southern Miss 


L 34-44 


L(+9) 


0(55) 


11/27 


MEMPHIS 


w 33-30 


L (-16) 


0(61) 



9/5 


at E Carolina 


L 49-51 


L(-7) 


(56/2) 


9/11 


BOWLING GREEN 


W 33-20 


L (-16/2) 


U (62/2) 


9/18 


at Oklahoma St 


L 28-65 


L(+7) 


0(69) 


9/25 


C ARKANSAS 


W 41-14 


W (-24) 




10/2 


at Memphis 


W48-7 


W(-8) 


U(62) 


10/9 


at SMU 


L 18-21 


W(+6) 


U(64) 


10/16 


TULANE 


w 52-24 


W (-18) 


(57/2) 


10/30 


at Notre Dame 


W 28-27 


W (+9/2) 


U (62/2) 


11/6 


RICE 


W 64-27 


w (-17) 


(62/2) 


11/13 


at Houston 


W 28-25 


W(+3) 


U (76/2) 


11/20 


UTEP 


w 31-28 


L (-17) 


U(6l) 


11/26 


SOUTHERN MISS 


w 56-50 


W(-3) 


0(67) 


12/24 


at Hawaii 


W 62-35 


W (+10) 


(75/2) 



■ 



■ 

■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 99 



PREDICTED FINISH 



EAST DIVISION 


WEST DIVISION 


l. Temple 


l. Toledo 


2. Ohio 


2. No. Illinois 


3. Kent State 


3. W. Michigan 


4. Miami-Ohio 


4. Ball State 


5. Buffalo 


5. C. Michigan 


6. Bowling Green 


6. E. Michigan 


7. Akron 





AKR 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The l-ll Zips had the second-fewest FBS yards (269 YPG) and third-fewest 
points (15.6 PPG). QB Patrick Nicely wasn't good (49% comp. rate, 10 TD, 
13 INT), and |UC0 transfer Clayton Moore could possibly win the start- 
ing job. The other skill positions are also a big problem with the loss of 
1,301 rushing yards from RBs Alex Allen and Nate Burney, plus 772 receiv- 
ing yards from departed WRs |eremy LaFrance and jalil Carter. Broderick 
Alexander should return from an Achilles' tear to win the starting TB job, 
while WR Keith Sconiers (9 rec, 75 yds) could be the top passing target. 
Akron's defense will be terrible again, especially with the loss of DE Shawn 
Lemon. The best defenders remaining are DE Hasan Hazime (7.5 TFL), MLB 
Brian Wagner (130 tackles, 6 PD) and CB Manley Waller (6 TFL, 5 PD). 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Former Elon head coach Pete Lembo is the new sheriff in town, looking to 
turn around this program that suffered two long years under Stan Parrish 
(6-18) after a 12-2 season in 2008. Lembo brings a no-huddle, pass-happy 
offense to Muncie, which will probably be orchestrated by sophomore QB 
Keith Wenning (14 TD, 14 INT) who started the final 10 games over junior 
Kelly Page (38-71, 470 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT). Plenty of skill positions return, 
namely TB Eric Williams (613 rush yds, 4.8 YPC, 8 total TD) and top WR jack 
Tomlinson (29 rec, 484 yds, 6 TD). The D-Line is a major problem area, as 
no BSU returnee had more than one sack last year. But the back seven is 
decent, led by MLB Travis Freeman (109 tackles), OLB Tony Martin (76 tack- 
les), FS Sean Baker (88 tackles, 6 INT) and CB |ason Pinkston (4 INT, 7 PD). 



II! 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 42 - Starters Returning: 7 

After 21 wins in three seasons, the Falcons were a dismal 2-10 last year. 
Sophomore QB Matt Schilz was partly to blame (8 TD, 14 INT), but BGSU had 
the worst rushing offense among all FBS schools (63 YPG). Non-productive 
Jordan Hopgood (2.2 YPC, 167 rush yds, 6 TD) is the top RB remaining, but 
explosive WR Kamar jorden (96 rec, 1,109 yds, 4 TD) is also back. If the offen- 
sive line doesn't improve immensely (35 sacks allowed), it will be another 
long season. The defensive line was also horrible, with just 17 sacks, and 
was a big reason why BGSU ranked 102nd in yards (432 YPG) and 100th in 
scoring (33-6 PPG). The key players are LB Dwayne Woods (134 tackles) and 
an experienced secondary led by senior safeties jovan Leacock (91 tackles) 
and Keith Morgan (67 tackles), and sophomore CB Cameron Truss (7 PD). 



10 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 3 

First-year head coach Jeff Quinn saw his team score the fewest points in 
the land (14.2 PPG) including a dreadful 10.6 PPG during a season-ending, 
seven-game losing streak. The Bulls committed 33 turnovers (3rd-most in 
FBS) and didn't get good QB play from either jerry Davis (16 TD, 16 INT) or 
Alex Zordich (1 TD, 6 INT). The ground game was also brutal (3.0 YPC) with 
leading rusher Branden Oliver (298 yds, 2.9 YPC) needing to improve in a 
big way. The bright spot was the starting WRs who both return this year 
(Marcus Rivers: 690 yds, Alex Neutz: 414 yds). The defense played well with 
25 turnovers and 181 passing YPG (19th in nation). But eight starters are 
gone, including the entire secondary. DE Steven Means (4.5 sacks) and OLB 
Khalil Mack (68 tackles, 14.5 TFL, 10 PD) are two valuable returnees. 

eimii 1 nam 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The Chippewas lost eight of their final nine games last year, as QB Ryan 
Radcliff (3,358 yds, 17 TD, 17 INT) had his moments, but was no Dan 
LeFevour, the legendary QB he replaced. Radcliff now has to work with an 
0-Line that lost two ALL-MAC players, C Colin Miller and RG Jeff Maddux. The 
ground game is also suspect (106 YPG, 108th in nation), but Paris Cotton 
(651 rush yds, 4.6 YPC) showed flashes of potential, junior WR Cody Wilson 
(83 rec, 1,137 yds, 5 TD) is excellent, but the Chippewas need to find other 
reliable targets for Radcliff. On defense, no lineman had more than 2.5 
sacks, while the team only had a total of 4 INT. The best remaining defend- 
ers are LB Armond Staten (78 tackles, 5 FF) and DBs jahleel Addae (80 tack- 
les, 4 PD) and Avery Cunningham (51 tackles). 

E1STERK tmiMK 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The rough ride continues for EMU, whose 2-10 record last year gives it a 
10-50 record since 2006. The Eagles lost by an average score of 44-19 in 
2010, but QB Alex Gillett (1,633 pass yds, 13 TD, 13 INT; 766 rush yds, 5 TD) 
and RB javonti Greene (5.5 YPC) are back to help the team move forward 
behind a heavier offensive line. Returning junior WR Kinsman Thomas (26 
rec, 473 yds, 4 TD) remains the team's top receiver. The defense had a 
pathetic 10 sacks, and two total interceptions last year. Senior DE javon 
Reese (team-high 3.5 sacks, 4.5 TFL) has big-play ability, but the top two LBs 
are gone, leaving senior Marcus English (37 tackles) as the de-facto leader. 
CB Marcell Rose (56 tackles, 6 PD) and SS Martavius Cardwell (46 tackles, 
4 TFL) will try to lead the secondary back to respectability. 



100 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



I STATE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Former Ohio State receivers coach Darrell Hazell takes over as Kent State 
head man and will work with former Purdue receivers coach Brian Rock as 
his new OC. Both will try to rejuvenate QB Spencer Keith who had a rough 
sophomore year (2,212 pass yds, 8 TD, 11 INT), but his favorite WR returns 
in Tyshon Goode (743 rec yds, 5 TD). The maturing O-Line returns all five 
starters, which should help the subpar ground game. New DC |on Heacock, 
who was the head man at Youngstown State, will switch from a 3-4 to a 4-3 
this year. He may not want to change too much, considering KSU ranked 
in the nation's top 8 in rushing defense (97 YPG), TFL (100) and sacks per 
game (2.9). Of the returning defenders, the standouts are DT Roosevelt Nix 
(9 sacks, 20 TFL) and CBs Norman Wolfe (5 INT) and Josh Pleasant (8 PD). 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

After going 3-21 in 2008-09, the RedHawks stunned the MAC by winning the 
2010 conference title. They will try to repeat with 17 returning starters and 
a new head coach, Don Treadwell. The team has two capable junior QBs. 
Zac Dysert's (2,406 pass yds, 13 TD, 12 INT) spleen injury allowed backup 
Austin Boucher to shine in the two postseason games (622 pass yds, 3 TD). 
Two key performers are gone (RB Thomas Merriweather and WR Armand 
Robinson), but RB Tracy Woods (376 yds, 4.0 YPC) and WR Nick Harwell (64 
rec, 871 yds, 6 TD) are talented replacements. New DC Pete Rekstis inherits 
a unit that forced 35 turnovers and had 35 sacks. His returnees include DE 
jason Semmes (6 sacks), MLB jerrell Wedge (101 tackles), OLB Evan Harris 
(6 INT, 94 tackles), CB Dayonne Nunley (6 INT) and CB D.|. Brown (13 PD). 

northern ;:::kg:s 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 4 

The Huskies were a perfect 8-0 in the MAC before losing to Miami-Ohio 
in the title game. Head coach jerry Kill left for Minnesota, and NIL) hired 
Wisconsin DC Dave Doeren to replace him. He and new OC Matt Canada 
(Indiana OC) inherit a stacked offense only losing one key player in RB 
Chad Spann, who gained 1,388 yards with 22 TD. But three-year starting QB 
Chandler Harnish (21 TD, 5 INT) has plenty of weapons - RBs jasmin Hopkins 
(9.6 YPC) and Cameron Bell (5.8 YPC), and WRs Willie Clark (602 rec yds, 
7 TD) and Nathan Palmer (532 yds, 6 TD). The O-Line was tremendous (13 
sacks allowed) and returns all five starters. The defense lost a lot, but DE 
Sean Progar (4 sacks), MLB Devon Butler (80 tackles), WLB Tyrone Clark (77 
tackles, 4 INT) and CB Rashaan Melvin (2 INT) are a good foundation. 



OHIO 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 4 

Frank Solich's Ohio team is on the rise with 17 wins in the past two seasons. 
The offense could have a setback in 2011 with QB Boo Jackson graduating. 
He will likely be replaced by senior Phil Bates, who is a great ball carrier 
(519 yds, 6.7 YPC), but a poor passer (9-23, 178 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT). Leading 
rusher Vince Davidson also graduated, but whoever carries the football will 
do so behind a top-notch offensive line that returns all five starters, includ- 



ing ALL-MAC OTs joe Flading and A.j. Strum. The starting WR jobs are also up 
for grabs. Defensively, there aren't many returnees from last year's team 
that ranked 20th in the nation in rushing defense (123 YPG). All four start- 
ing DLs exit, leaving DT Carl Jones (5 TFL) as the only experienced lineman. 
All three linebackers return, but OLBs Alphonso Lewis (38 tackles) and Eric 
Benjamin (56 tackles) need to be more productive. CBs Travis Carrie (5 PD) 
and Omar Leftwich (7 PD) will be tasked with leading the secondary. 



PIE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Florida OC Steve Addazio replaces Al Golden as Temple's head coach. 
Addazio and new co-OC Scot Loeffler (Florida QB coach) will implement 
a multiple offensive system. Two QBs will vie for starting honors. Senior 
Chester Stewart (842 pass yds, 4 TD, 5 INT) started the first seven games 
last year while junior Mike Gerardi was a little better (1,290 pass yds, 10 
TD, 8 INT) in starting the final five. The running game is in good shape with 
Matt Brown (830 rush yds, 5.1 YPC, 7 TD) and Bernard Pierce (728 rush yds, 
4.7 YPC, 10 TD), while senior WR Rod Streater (481 yds, 16.0 avg, 4 TD) is a 
reliable target. The O-Line is pretty stable with three starters returning. The 
Owls will miss DT Muhammad Wilkerson and their top two tacklers at LB. 
But DE Adrian Robinson (3.5 sacks), OLB Tahir Whitehead (7-5 TFL), CB Kee- 
ayre Griffin (51 tackles) and Justin Gildea (58 tackles) can all make plays. 



','■'''■ '"'r-^ 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

A +11 turnover margin was a big reason Toledo was able to win eight games 
and go bowling last year. Head coach Tim Beckman has a fierce QB bat- 
tle raging between junior Austin Dantin (1,254 pass yds, 7 TD, 8 INT) and 
sophomore Terrance Owens (1,244 pass yds, 13 TD, 5 INT) who did an out- 
standing job replacing Dantin when he got injured. The stars of the show 
are senior TB Adonis Thomas (1,098 rush yds, 6.3 YPC, 372 rec yds, 10 total 
TD) and junior WR Eric Page is no slouch either (99 rec, 1,105 yds, 8 TD, 3 
kick ret. TD). In addition to the 34 forced turnovers, Toledo's defense only 
allowed 5-3 yards per play. The Rockets will miss leading tackier WLB Archie 
Donald and DE Douglas Westbrook, but they are strong throughout with DE 
T.J. Fatinikun (5 sacks, 13 TFL), DT Malcolm Riley (5-5 sacks, 10 TFL), MLB Dan 
Molls (143 tackles, 3 INT) and S Mark Singer (73 tackles, 2 INT). 

western mmm 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Broncos are riding a three-game winning streak from last season, out- 
scoring those opponents 124 to 40. QB Alex Carder, the MAC total offense 
leader (297 total YPG) returns for his junior season eager to pick up where 
he left off last year (20 TD, 3 INT in final six games). He'll get to do so with 
incredible WR Jordan White (94 rec, 1,378 yds, 10 TD) who was granted a 
sixth year of eligibility by the NCAA. RB Tevin Drake only played six games, 
but still led the team in rushing (405 yds, 10.1 YPC) while Brian Fields also 
came on strong (362 rush yds, 6.5 YPC). The defense returns eight starters, 
including the entire D-Line, led by DE Paul Hazel (8 sacks, 12 TFL). MLB Mitch 
Zajac (97 tackles) and WLB Dex Jones (5.5 sacks, 12.5 TFL) also return, while 
the secondary will be led by sophomore CB Lewis Toler who had a superb 
freshman campaign: 5 INT (1 TD), 9 PD, 2 FR and 59 tackles. 



« 



e 






StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 101 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 10 (#118 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -17.9 (#116 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 27.25 (107th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.50 (102nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -19.5 (#115 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 1-11 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-6-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Ohio St 


9/10 


TEMPLE 


9/17 


at Cincinnati 


9/24 


VMI 


10/1 


at E Michigan 


10/8 


FLA INTERNATIONAL 


10/22 


OHIOU 


10/29 


C MICHIGAN 


11/3 


at Miami Ohio 


11/12 


KENT ST 


11/19 


at Buffalo 


11/25 


at W Michigan 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


5-7 


3-9 


1-11 


13-35 


27.1% 


6-5 


6-5 


4-8 


5-7 


21-25 


45-7% 


3-1 


2-3 


2-4 


2-4 


9-12 


42.9% 


3-4 


4-2 


2-4 


3-3 


12-13 


48.0% 


4-3 


2-5 


2-6 


4-4 


12-18 


40.0% 


2-2 


4-0 


2-2 


1-3 


9-7 


56.3% 


1-1 


3-2 


1-2 


2-0 


7-5 


58.3% 


5-4 


3-3 


3-6 


4-6 


15-19 


44.1% 


7-5 


9-3 


5-6 


4-6 


25-20 


55.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 15.6 118 




First Downs 14.7 118 




Yards/Game 268.5 119 




RushYds/Gm 113.4 101 




PassYds/Gm 155-08 108 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 35-1 106 




Yards/Game 428.2 99 




RushYds/Gm 164.1 72 




PassYds/Gm 264.1 113 




Takeaways 16 102 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Wisconsin 


L 17-38 


W (+26/2) 


0(52) 


9/6 


"acuse 


W 42-28 


W (+4/2) 


(43/2) 


9/13 


BALL ST 


L 24-41 


L(+7) 


(60/2) 


9/20 


at Army 


W22-3 


W (-10) 


U(47) 


9/27 


CINCINNATI 


L 15-17 


W (+11/2) U (56/2) 


10/4 


at Kent St 


w 30-27 


P(-3) 


0(51) 


10/11 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 33-37 


L(+2) 


0(52) 




at E Michigan 


w 42-35 


W (-4/2) 


(53%) 


11/5 


TOLEDO 


W 47-30 


W(- 7 ) 


0(55) 


11/13 


BUFFALO 


L 40-43 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(61) 


11/22 


at Ohio U 


L 42-49 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


(54%) 


11/28 


mple 


L6-27 


L(+3) 


U(58) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Penn St 


L7-31 


W (+29/2) 


U(59) 


9/12 


MORGAN ST 


W41-0 


w (-27) 




9/19 


INDIANA 


L 21-38 


L(-3) 


0(45) 


9/26 


at C Michigan 


L 21-48 


L (+15) 


0(54) 


10/10 


OHIOU 


L7-19 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


U (52/2) 


10/17 


uffalo 


L 17-21 


W (+7/2) 


U (46/2) 




acuse 


L 14-28 


L (+11) 


U (47/2) 


10/31 


llinois 


L 10-27 


L (+12) 


U(41) 


11/7 


KENT ST 


W 28-20 


W (+3/2) 


(42/2) 


11/13 


TEMPLE 


L 17-56 


L(+6) 


0(46) 


11/20 


at Bowling Green 


L 20-36 


L (+12) 


0(55) 


11/27 


E MICHIGAN 


W 28-21 


L(-l4 1 / 2 ) 


u (51/2) 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/4 


SYRACUSE 


L3-29 


L(+9) 


U(42) 


9/11 


GARDNER WEBB 


L 37-38 


L (-16/2) 




9/18 


ntucky 


L 10-47 


L (+24K) 


0(52) 


9/25 


diana 


L 20-35 


W (+23/2) 


U(56) 


10/2 


N ILLINOIS 


L 14-50 


L (+13/2) 


0(47) 


10/9 


at Kent St 


L 17-28 


w (+17) 






at Ohio U 


L 10-38 


L (+17) 


P(48) 




W MICHIGAN 


L 10-56 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


0(52) 




mple 


L0-30 


L (+29/2) 


U(50) 


11/6 


at Ball St 


L 30-37 


W (+13/2) (48/2) 


11/17 


MIAMI OHIO 


L 14-19 


W(+8) 


U (46/2) 


11/26 


BUFFALO 


W 22-14 


W(-l) 


U(43) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#106 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -9-3 (** 100 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 22.08 (119th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 31.33 (80th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -8.4 (#94 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


INDIANA 


9/10 


at S Florida 


9/17 


BUFFALO 


9/24 


ARMY 


10/1 


at Oklahoma 


10/8 


TEMPLE 


10/15 


at Ohio U 


10/22 


C MICHIGAN 


10/29 


at W Michigan 


11/5 


at E Michigan 


11/15 


atN Illinois 


11/25 


TOLEDO 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


NORTHEASTERN 


W 48-14 






9/5 
9/13 


"NAVY 

at Akron 


W35-23" 

W 41-24 


WW' 


Up)' 

0(60':) 


9/20 
9/27 


at Indiana 
KENTST 


W 42-20 
W41-20" 


w (+r/ 2 ) 
P'TW 


0(61) 
0(60] 


10/4 
10/11 

10/25 
ii/5 


at Toledo 

at W Kentucky 
E MICHIGAN 
NILLlNOiS 


W31-0 

W247" 

W38-16 

W45 : 14 


w (-772) 

W(-i6)- 

L(2 7 y 2 ) 


u (6172) 

U(5D 

U(57) 

0(47) 


11/11 
11/19 
11/25 

12/5 


at Miami Ohio 
atC Michigan 
WMICHIGAN 
vs Buffalo 


w 31-16 

W"3i : 24" 

W"45 : 22 

L2442 


mm 

W(-6/ 2 ) 
L(-i5) 


U(54) 

Up] 

0(56) 

0(6272) 


l/b 


vs Tulsa 


L 13-45 


L( + 2) 


U (70/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


12-2 


2-10 


4-8 


25-26 


49-0% 


7-5 


8-4 


6-6 


4-8 


25-23 


52.1% 


2-2 


3-1 


1-5 


0-6 


6-14 


30.0% 


5-3 


5-3 


5-1 


4-2 


19-9 


67.9% 


4-3 


5-3 


4-4 


3-5 


16-15 


51.6% 


3-2 


3-1 


2-2 


1-3 


9-8 


52.9% 


3-3 


7-3 


0-2 


0-5 


10-13 


43-5% 


4-2 


1-1 


6-3 


4-3 


15-9 


62.5% 


6-6 


6-7 


3-7 


6-4 


21-24 


46.7% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 22.0 


94 




First Downs 16.3 


107 




Yards/Game 305-8 


106 




RushYds/Gm 152.3 


63 




PassYds/Gm 153-58 


109 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 30.4 


88 




Yards/Game 398-3 


79 




RushYds/Gm 178.3 


87 




PassYds/Gm 220.0 


59 




Takeaways 26 


30 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/3 


NORTH TEXAS 


L 10-20 


L (-15) 


U(54) 


9/2 


SE MISSOURI ST 


w 27-10 


L (-27) 




9/12 


NEW HAMPSHIRE 


L 16-23 


L(7) 




9/11 


LIBERTY 


L 23-27 


L (-10/2) 




9/19 


at Army 


L 17-24 


W(+9) 


U(42) 


9/18 


at Purdue 


L 13-24 


W (+16) 


U (47/2) 


9/26 


at Auburn 


L 30-54 


W (+30/2) (54/2) 


9/25 


at Iowa 


LO-45 


L (+28) 


u (45/2) 


10/3 


TOLEDO 


L 30-37 


L(+5 1 / 2 ) 


0(59) 


10/2 
IO/9 


at C Michigan 
WMICHIGAN 


w 31-17 

L16-45 


W (+19) 
L(-5/ 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


10/10 


at Temple 


L 19-24 


W (+14/2) U (45/2) 


0(48) 


10/17 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 17-31 


L(+3) 


u (55/2) 


10/16 


E MICHIGAN 


L 38-41 


L (-15) 


0(57) 


10/24 


at E Michigan 


w 29-27 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/23 


at Toledo 


L 24-31 


W (+11/2) 


0(50) 


10/31 


OHIOU 


L 17-20 


W (+5/2) 


U(44) 


10/30 


at Kent St 


L 14-33 


L (+10) 


(42/2) 


11/12 


at N Illinois 


L 20-26 


W (+16) 


P(46) 


11/6 


AKRON 


w 37-30 


LM3/2) 


(48/2) 


11/18 


C MICHIGAN 


L3-35 


L (+14/ 2 ) 


U(5l) 


11/12 


at Buffalo 


W20-3 


W(+3) 


U(47) 


11/24 


at W Michigan 


W 22-17 


W (+10) 


U(54) 


11/20 


N ILLINOIS 


L 21-59 


L(+15/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 



102 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 19 (#105 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -11.1 (#105 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 29.50 (91st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 28.58 (98th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -12.3 (#105 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


at Idaho 


9/10 


MORGAN ST 


9/17 


WYOMING 


9/24 


at Miami Ohio 


10/1 


at W Virginia 


10/8 


at W Michigan 


10/15 


TOLEDO 


10/22 


TEMPLE 


10/29 


at Kent St 


11/8 


N ILLINOIS 


11/16 


OHIOU 


11/25 


at Buffalo 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Pittsburgh 


w 27-17 


W (+14) 


U(54) 


9/6 


MINNESOTA 


L 17-42 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


u (59/2) 


9/13 


at Boise St 


L7-20 


W (+17/2) U (55/2) 


9/27 


at Wyoming 


W 45-16 


W(-3) 


(44/2) 


10/4 


E MICHIGAN 


L 21-24 


L (-18/2) 


U(55) 


10/11 


at Akron 


W 37-33 


W(-2) 


0(52) 


10/18 


MIAMI OHIO 


L 20-27 


L(-9/2) 


U(5D 


10/25 


at N Illinois 


L 13-16 


W (+6/2) 


U(48) 


11/1 


KENT ST 


w 45-30 


W(-6) 


0(53) 


11/8 


at Ohio U 


W28-3 


W (-2/2) 


u (49/2) 


11/21 


BUFFALO 


L 34-40 


L (-5/2) 


0(55) 


11/28 


at Toledo 


W 38-10 


W (-2/2) 


u (51/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


6-6 


7-6 


2-10 


23-27 


46.0% 


7-5 


8-4 


7-6 


5-7 


27-22 


55.1% 


2-2 


1-4 


3-3 


1-4 


7-13 


35.0% 


5-3 


7-0 


4-3 


4-3 


20-9 


69.0% 


5-3 


5-3 


5-3 


2-6 


17-15 


53.1% 


2-2 


3-1 


2-3 


3-1 


10-7 


58.8% 


3-3 


5-4 


4-3 


0-1 


12-11 


52.2% 


4-2 


3-0 


3-3 


5-6 


15-11 


57-7% 


7-5 


4-8 


6-7 


6-6 


23-26 


46.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 21.3 100 




First Downs 17.4 96 




Yards/Game 294.4 115 




RushYds/Gm 62.8 120 




PassYds/Gm 231.58 51 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 33-6 100 




Yards/Game 432.0 102 




RushYds/Gm 2074 112 




PassYds/Gm 224.6 69 




Takeaways 29 18 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/3 


TROY 


W 31-14 


W (+7/2) 


U(55) 


9/12 


ssoun 


L 20-27 


W (+20) 




9/19 


at Marshall 


L 10-17 


L(-3) 


U(52) 


9/26 


BOISE ST 


L 14-49 


L (+16/2) 


0(52) 


10/3 


OHIOU 


L 37-44 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(48/2) 


10/10 


at Kent St 


W 36-35 


L(-2) 


(53/2) 


10/17 


at Ball St 


w 31-17 


W(-3) 


u (55/2) 


10/24 


C MICHIGAN 


L 10-24 


L (+9/2) 


U (61/2) 


11/3 


at Buffalo 


w 30-29 


W(+3) 


(57/2) 


11/12 


at Miami Ohio 


w 35-14 


W(-4) 


U(59) 


11/20 


AKRON 


W 36-20 


W (-12) 


0(55) 


11/27 


TOLEDO 


W 38-24 


W(-7) 


U (66/2) 


12/30 


vs Idaho 


L 42-43 


L(pk) 


0(69) 



9/4 


at Troy 


L 27-30 


W (+14/2) 


0(54) 


9/11 


at Tulsa 


L 20-33 


W (+l6 1 / 2 ) U (62/2) 


9/18 


MARSHALL 


W 44-28 


W(+3K) 


0(50) 


9/25 


at Michigan 


L 21-65 


L (+25/2) 


0(56) 


10/2 


BUFFALO 


L 26-28 


L(-3) 


0(50) 


10/9 


at Ohio U 


L 25-49 


L(+8) 


(48/2) 


10/16 


at Temple 


L 27-28 


W (+20) 


(51/2) 


10/23 


KENT ST 


L6-30 


L(+3) 


U(49/2) 


10/30 


atC Michigan 


W 17-14 


w (+13) 


U (52/2) 


11/10 


MIAMI OHIO 


L 21-24 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


11/17 


at Toledo 


L 14-33 


L (+10) 


U (54/2) 


11/26 


W MICHIGAN 


L7-41 


L(+7) 


U (52/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 14 (#113 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -14.1 (#109 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 25.67 (113th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.25 (105th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -137 (#108 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 2-10 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7 



3> 

e 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Pittsburgh 


9/10 


STONY BROOK 


9/17 


at Ball St 


9/24 


CONNECTICUT 


10/1 


at Tennessee 


10/8 


OHIOU 


10/15 


at Temple 


10/22 


N ILLINOIS 


10/29 


at Miami Ohio 


11/12 


at E Michigan 


11/19 


AKRON 


11/25 


BOWLING GREEN 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


UTEP 

at PTttsBurgTi 


W 42-17 


W(-3) 


(56/2) 


9/6 


L'16-27" 


W"j+i3K) UftGKj 


9/13 


TEMPLE 


W 30-28 


1(7) •" 


0(45) 


9/20 


at Missouri 


L 21-42 


w [+31K) 


U (68) 


9/27 


at C Michigan 


L 25-27 


W (+7) 


U"(6i7 2 )" 


10/11 


W MICHIGAN 


L 28-34 


L(-l) 


0(54) 


10/18 


ARMY 


w 27-24 


L (-11) 


0(46) 


10/28 


at Ohio U 


w 32-19 


wt+iki 


0(49) 


11/4 


MIAMI OHIO 


w 37-17 


W(-8) 


(5072) 


11/13 


at Akron 


w 43-40 


W (+272) 


0(61) 


11/21 


at Bowling Green 


W 40-34 


W (+5/2) 


0(55) 


11/28 


KENT ST 


L 21-24 


L(-9) 


U (5872) 


12/5 


vs Ball St 


W 42-24 


w (+15) 


"0"[627 2 J 


1/3 


vs Connecticut 


L 20-38 


L( + 7) 


0(51) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


8-6 


5-7 


2-10 


20-30 


40.0% 


7-5 


9-5 


5-7 


2-10 


23-27 


46.0% 


3-2 


2-4 


2-4 


1-5 


8-15 


34.8% 


4-3 


7-1 


3-3 


1-5 


15-12 


55-6% 


6-2 


6-3 


3-5 


1-7 


16-17 


48.5% 


1-3 


3-2 


2-2 


1-3 


7-10 


41.2% 


1-1 


2-4 


1-4 


1-2 


5-11 


313% 


6-4 


7-1 


3-3 


1-8 


17-16 


51-5% 


7-5 


10-4 


6-5 


4-7 


27-21 


56.3% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 14.2 


120 




First Downs 17.2 


99 




Yards/Game 297.7 


111 




RushYds/Gm 113.4 


101 




PassYds/Gm 184.25 


89 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 27.8 


67 




Yards/Game 340.5 


32 




RushYds/Gm 159.1 


67 




PassYds/Gm 181.4 


18 




Takeaways 25 


36 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at UTEP 
PITTSBURGH 


w 23-17 

["27-54" 


W(+9 1 / 2 ) U(6l 1 / 2 ) 
Tl+1134) 6(42/2) 


9/2 


RHODE ISLAND 


W31-O 


W (-24) 




9/12 


9/11 


at Baylor 


L6-34 


L (+14/2) 


U (52/2) 


9/19 


atUCF 


L 17-23 


L(+5) 


U (46/2) 


9/18 


UCF 


L 10-24 


L (+7/2) 


U (47/) 


9/26 


at Temple 


L 13-37 


L(+3/) 


0(46) 


9/25 


at Connecticut 


L 21-45 


L (+20/) 


(48/2) 


10/3 


C MICHIGAN 


L 13-20 


W (+9/2) 


u (53/2) 


10/2 


at Bowling Green 


W 28-26 


W(+3) 


0(50) 


10/10 


GARDNER WEBB 


W40-0 


W (-17) 




10/16 


at N Illinois 


L 14-45 


L(+14) 


0(50) 


10/17 


AKRON 


W 21-17 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


U (46/2) 


10/23 


TEMPLE 


LO-42 


L (+8/2) 


U (46/2) 


10/24 


at W Michigan 


L 31-34 


W(+5) 


0(51/2) 


10/30 


MIAMI OHIO 


L 9-21 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


U(44) 


11/3 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 29-30 


L(-3) 


0(57/) 


11/4 


at Ohio U 


L 17-34 


L (+16) 


(47/) 


11/10 


OHIOU 


L 24-27 


L(-2) 


(46/2) 


11/12 


BALL ST 


L3-20 


L(-3) 


U(47) 


11/18 


at Miami Ohio 


w 42-17 


W (-4/2) 


(52/) 


11/20 


E MICHIGAN 


L 17-21 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(5D 


11/27 


at Kent St 


W9-6 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


U(49) 


11/26 


at Akron 


L 14-22 


L(+l) 


U(43) 






■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 103 



M CENTRAL MDCND61 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 30 (#79 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +1.0 (#66 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 27.92 (104th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.08 (106th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.6 (#74 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


S CAROLINA ST 


9/10 


at Kentucky 


9/17 


at W Michigan 


9/24 


at Michigan St 


10/1 


N ILLINOIS 


10/8 


at NC State 


10/15 


E MICHIGAN 


10/22 


at Ball St 


10/29 


at Akron 


11/4 


at Kent St 


11/10 


OHIOU 


11/18 


TOLEDO 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


E ILLINOIS 


w 31-12 






9/6 


orgia 


L 17-56 


L (+24/2) 


0(59) 


9/13 


at Ohio U 


w 31-28 


W (-2/2) 


(53/2) 


9/20 


at Purdue 


L 25-32 


W (+10/2) U (68/2) 


9/27 


BUFFALO 


w 27-25 


L(-7) 


U (61/2) 


10/11 


TEMPLE 


W 24-14 


W(-8) 


U(48) 


10/18 


W MICHIGAN 


W 38-28 


W (+1/2) 


(59%) 


10/25 


at Toledo 


w 24-23 


L(-4) 


U (56)4) 


11/1 


at Indiana 


W 37-34 


W (+1/2) 


0(60/2) 


11/12 


at N Illinois 


w 33-30 


W(+4) 


0(52) 


11/19 


BALL ST 


L 24-31 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


U(62) 


11/28 


at E Michigan 


L 52-56 


L (-11) 


(65/2) 


12/26 


vs FLA Atlantic 


L 21-24 


L(-7) 


U(70) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-6 


8-5 


12-2 


3-9 


31-22 


58.5% 


7-5 


6-6 


9-4 


6-6 


28-21 


57.1% 


3-1 


2-2 


4-0 


2-3 


11-6 


64.7% 


4-4 


4-4 


5-4 


4-3 


17-15 


53.1% 


5-2 


4-4 


6-2 


3-5 


18-13 


58.1% 


2-3 


2-2 


3-2 


3-1 


10-8 


55-6% 


5-2 


2-4 


6-3 


3-3 


16-12 


57-1% 


2-3 


4-2 


2-1 


3-3 


11-9 


55-0% 


10-3 


6-6 


6-7 


5-6 


27-22 


55.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Scored 


24.4 82 




First Downs 


22.0 29 




Yards/Game 


389.8 50 




RushYds/Gm 


105.8 108 




PassYds/Gm 


284 17 




DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 26.0 60 




Yards/Game 


377-0 66 




RushYds/Gm 


171.9 81 




PassYds/Gm 


205.1 39 




Takeaways 


18 86 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at Arizona 


L6-19 


W (+13/2) U (55/2) 


9/12 


at Michigan St 


w 29-27 


fl5T 


0(50) 


9/19 


ALCORN ST 


W48-O 


W (-43) 




9/26 


AKRON 


W 48-21 


W (-15) 


0(54) 


10/3 


at Buffalo' 


w 20-13 


L(9K) 


u (53/2) 


10/10 


E MICHIGAN 


W56-8 


W(-24) 


0(54) 


10/17 


at W Michigan 


W 34-23 


W (-7) 


U(59) 


10/24 


at Bowling Green 


W 24-10 


w (-972) 


UW/2) 


10/31 


at Boston College 


L 10-31 


TT+555) 


U(48) 


11/11 


TOLEDO 


W 56-28 


W (-17K) 


(64) 


11/18 


"a'tBa'lTSf 


W35-3 


WT-14K)" 




11/27 


N ILLINOIS 


W 45-31 


Pl-14) 


0(52/2) 


12/4 


vs Ohio U 


W 20-10 


r 


U(57) 


1/6 


vs Troy 


W 44-41 


Ll : 3Kf 


0(63) 



9/2 


HAMPTON 


W33-0 


W (-32) 




9/9 


at Temple 


L 10-13 


W (+7/2) 


U(47) 


9/18 


at E Michigan 


W 52-14 


W (-10) 


0(47) 


9/25 


at Northwestern 


L 25-30 


W (+6/2) 


0(51) 


10/2 


BALL ST 


L 17-31 


L (-19) 


u (51/2) 


10/9 


at Virginia Tech 


L 21-45 


L (+21/2) 


0(55) 


10/16 


MIAMI OHIO 


L 20-27 


L (-13) 


U(5l) 


10/23 


at N Illinois 


L7-33 


L (+10) 


u (51/2) 


10/30 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 14-17 


L (-13) 


u (52/2) 


11/5 


W MICHIGAN 


W 26-22 


W(-3) 


u (53/2) 


11/13 


at Navy 


L 37-38 


W (+14) 


0(55) 


11/26 


at Toledo 


L 31-42 


L(+4) 


0(52) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 5 (#120 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -22.6 (#117 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.25 (84th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.33 (118th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -24.9 (** 118 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


HOWARD 


9/10 


ALABAMA ST 


9/17 


at Michigan 


9/24 


at Pen n St 


10/1 


AKRON 


10/8 


at Toledo 


10/15 


atC Michigan 


10/22 


W MICHIGAN 


11/5 


BALL ST 


11/12 


BUFFALO 


11/19 


at Kent St 


11/25 


atN Illinois 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


INDIANA ST 


W52-0 






9/6 


at Michigan St 


L 10-42 


L (+21) 


U(56) 


9/13 


TOLEDO 


L 17-41 


L(-2) 


0(54) 




ryland 


L 24-51 


L (+21/2) 


0(52) 


9/27 


N ILLINOIS 


LO-37 


L(+5fc) 


U(5D 


10/4 


at Bowling Green 


W 24-21 


W (+18/2) 


U(55) 




at Army 


L 13-17 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 






AKRON 


L 35-42 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 






at Ball St 


L 16-38 


W (+27/2) 


U(57) 


11/1 


at W Michigan 


L 10-31 


L (+19) 


U(59) 


11/22 


mple 


L 52-55 


W (+11/2) 


0(48) 




C MICHIGAN 


w 56-52 


W (+11) 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


3-9 


0-12 


2-10 


9-39 


18.8% 


4-7 


4-7 


4-8 


5-7 


17-29 


37.0% 


1-2 


1-3 


1-4 


1-4 


4-13 


23-5% 


3-5 


3-4 


3-4 


4-3 


13-16 


44-8% 


3-4 


4-4 


2-6 


4-4 


13-18 


41.9% 


1-3 


0-3 


2-2 


1-3 


4-11 


26.7% 


0-0 


0-1 


0-1 


0-0 


0-2 


0.0% 


4-7 


4-6 


4-7 


5-7 


17-27 


38.6% 


6-5 


5-6 


6-6 


8-4 


25-21 


54-3% 













2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 


19.0 


108 




First Downs 


17.0 


100 




Yards/Game 


3334 


91 




RushYds/Gm 


1733 


37 




PassYds/Gm 


160.08 


104 




DEFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 43-9 


118 




Yards/Game 


454-1 


113 




RushYds/Gm 


230.6 


118 




PassYds/Gm 


223.5 


66 




Takeaways 


13 


115 



9/5 


ARMY 


L 14-27 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 


9/12 


at Northwestern 


L 24-27 


W (+22) 


u (51/2) 


9/19 


;higan 


L 17-45 


L (+24) 




10/3 


TEMPLE 


L 12-24 


L(+6 1 / 2 ) 






atC Michigan 


L8-56 


L (+24) 


0(54) 


10/17 


KENT ST 


L6-28 


L(+6 1 / 2 ) 


U(49) 




BALL ST 


L 27-29 


W (+2/2) 


0(44) 




ansas 


L 27-63 


W (+37) 


0(60) 


11/5 


Illinois 


L6-50 


L (+21/2) 


0(48) 




W MICHIGAN 


L 14-35 


L (+13) 


U(59) 




at Toledo 


L 21-47 


L (+16) 


0(62) 




at Akron 


L 21-28 


W (+14/2) U (51/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


ARMY 


L 27-31 


W (+9/2) 


0(42) 




at Miami Ohio 


L 21-28 


W (+13/2) U (51/2) 




HIGAN 


L 14-52 


L (+10) 


0(47) 


9/25 


hioSt 


L 20-73 


L(+43 1 / 2 ) 


0(58) 


10/2 


OHIOU 


L 17-30 


L (+10) 


U(49) 


10/9 


derbilt 


L6-52 


L (+25) 


0(54) 




at Ball St 


W 41-38 


W(+15) 


0(57) 




rginia 


L 21-48 


L (+24) 


0(56) 




TOLEDO 


L7-42 


L(+ll 1 / 2 ) 


U(56) 


11/13 




L 30-45 


W (+20) 






uffalo 


W 21-17 


W (+6/2) 


U(5D 




INOIS 


L3-71 


L (+24/2) 


0(62) 



104 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 25 (899 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.9 (H8i of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 25.58 (114th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.08 (106th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: 4.6 (#75 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Alabama 


9/10 


LA LAFAYETTE 


9/17 


at Kansas St 


9/24 


S ALABAMA 


10/1 


at Ohio U 


10/8 


atN Illinois 


10/15 


MIAMI OHIO 


10/29 


BOWLING GREEN 


11/4 


C MICHIGAN 


11/12 


at Akron 


11/19 


E MICHIGAN 


11/25 


at Temple 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


4-8 


5-7 


5-7 


17-31 


354% 


2-9 


3-6 


7-4 


5-7 


17-26 


39.5% 


0-4 


1-3 


4-1 


3-3 


8-11 


42.1% 


2-5 


2-3 


3-3 


2-4 


9-15 


37-5% 


1-7 


3-3 


6-2 


3-5 


13-17 


433% 


1-2 


0-3 


1-2 


2-2 


4-9 


30.8% 


1-5 


0-1 


3-1 


3-3 


7-10 


41.2% 


1-4 


3-5 


4-3 


2-4 


10-16 


38.5% 


6-5 


8-3 


5-6 


4-7 


23-21 


52.3% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 21.3 


99 




First Downs 16.8 


103 




Yards/Game 314-3 


102 




RushYds/Gm 113.6 


100 




PassYds/Gm 200.75 


74 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 22.9 


42 




Yards/Game 306.7 


10 




RushYds/Gm 97.2 


4 




PassYds/Gm 209.5 


47 




Takeaways 27 


26 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


BOSTON COLLEGE 

wa St 


L0-21 
'["28-48"" 


L (+11) 
L (+10) 


U (47/2) 
07457 


9/3 


COASTAL CAROLINA 


W18-0 






9/2 


MURRAY ST 


w 41-10 


W (-28) 




9/6 


9/12 


at Boston College 


L7-34 


L (+21) 


0(45) 


9/11 


at Boston College 


L 13-26 


W (+17) 


U(47) 


9/13 


DELAWARE ST 


W24-3 






9/19 


IOWA ST 


L 14-34 


L(+3) 


0(47) 


9/18 


at Penn St 


LO-24 


L (+21) 


U(45) 


9/20 


at LA Lafayette 


L 27-44 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


0(51) 


9/26 


MIAMI OHIO 


w 29-19 


W(-7) 


0(47) 


10/2 


at Miami Ohio 


L 21-27 


L(3) 


(44/2) 


9/27 


at Ball St 
AKRON 


L 20-41 
L'27-30 


P (+21) 
P"(+3)" 


0(60) 
0(51) 


10/3 


at Baylor 


L 15-31 


W (+22/2) U (48/2) 


10/9 

10/16 


AKRON 
atToledo 


W 28-17 
"["21-34" 


L (-17) 

L(+4) 


U (46/2) 


10/4 


10/10 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 35-36 


W(+2) 


(53/2) 


(46/2) 


10/11 


OHIOU 


L 19-26 


LM) 


u (51/2) 


10/17 


at E Michigan 


W28-6 


W (-6/2) 


U(49) 


10/23 


at Bowling Green 


W30-6 


W(-3) 


u (49/2) 


10/25 


at Miami Ohio 


W 54-21 


W (+3/2) 


(46/2) 


10/24 


at Ohio U 


W 20-11 


W (+10) 


U (46/2) 


10/30 


BALL ST 


W 33-14 


W (-10) 


(42/2) 


11/1 


at Bowling Green 


L 30-45 


L( + 6) 


0(53) 


10/31 


W MICHIGAN 


W 26-14 


W (-2/2) 


U (50)4) 


11/6 


TEMPLE 


L 10-28 


L(+3) 


U(43) 


11/12 


TEMPLE 


W 41-38 


W(pk) 


0(46) 


11/7 


at Akron 


L 20-28 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


(42/2) 


11/13 


ARMY 


L 28-45 


LM/2) 


0(44) 


11/18 


N ILLINOIS 


L 14-42 


L(+27) 


0(51) 


11/21 


at Temple 


L 13-47 


L (+10) 


0(46) 


11/20 


at W Michigan 


L3-38 


L(+27) 


u (50/2) 




at Buffalo 


W 24-21 


W(+9) 


U (58/2) 


11/27 


BUFFALO 


L6-9 


W (+3/2) 


U(49) 


11/26 


OHIOU 


W28-6 


W (+4/2) 


U (46/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 (#70 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.9 (#79 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 27.57 (106th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 28.08 (100th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.6 (#77 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-4 

2010 ATS Record: 9-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 3-11 



3> 

e 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Missouri 


9/17 


at Minnesota 


9/24 


BOWLING GREEN 


10/1 


CINCINNATI 


10/8 


ARMY 


10/15 


at Kent St 


10/22 


atToledo 


10/29 


BUFFALO 


11/3 


AKRON 


11/9 


at Temple 


11/16 


W MICHIGAN 


11/22 


at Ohio U 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-7 


2-10 


1-11 


10-4 


19-32 


373% 


6-6 


4-7 


5-7 


9-5 


24-25 


49-0% 


2-2 


1-4 


3-2 


3-2 


9-10 


474% 


4-4 


3-3 


2-5 


6-3 


15-15 


50.0% 


3-4 


3-5 


3-5 


6-3 


15-17 


46.9% 


3-2 


1-2 


2-2 


3-2 


9-8 


52.9% 


1-2 


0-3 


0-0 


3-2 


4-7 


36.4% 


5-4 


4-4 


5-7 


6-3 


20-18 


52.6% 


5-8 


6-5 


5-7 


3-11 


19-31 


38.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 21.6 98 




First Downs 19.0 69 




Yards/Game 352.0 81 




RushYds/Gm 98.3 113 




PassYds/Gm 253-71 32 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.2 44 




Yards/Game 338.2 28 




RushYds/Gm 127.6 25 




PassYds/Gm 210.6 49 




Takeaways 35 4 



8/28 


VANDERBILT 


L 13-34 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


(38/2) 


9/5 


vs Kentucky 


L0-42 


L (+15) 


U(49) 


9/6 


at Michigan 


L6-16 


W (+14/2) 


U(40) 


9/12 


at Boise St 


LO-48 


L (+38) 


U (52/2) 


9/13 


CHARLESTON SOUT W 38-27 






9/19 


at W Michigan 


L 26-48 


L (+16) 


(48/2) 


9/20 


at Cincinnati 


L 20-45 


L (+12/2) 


(48/2) 


9/26 


at Kent St 


L 19-29 


L(+7) 


0(47) 


10/4 


TEMPLE 


L 10-28 


L(7) 


U(41) 


10/3 


CINCINNATI 


L 13-37 


W (+29/2) 


U(59) 


10/11 


at N Illinois 


L 13-17 


W (+10) 


U(43) 


10/10 


at Northwestern 


L6-16 


w (+17) 


u (55/2) 


10/18 


at Bowling Green 


w 27-20 


W (+9/2) 


U(5D 


10/17 


at Ohio U 


L7-28 


L (+14) 


U (47/2) 


10/25 


KENT ST 


L 21-54 


L(-3 1 /2) 


(467) 


10/24 


N ILLINOIS 


L 22-27 


W (+10) 


0(45) 


11/4 


at Buffalo 


L 17-37 


L(+8) 


(50/2) 


10/31 


TOLEDO 


w 31-24 


W(+5) 


u (57/2) 


11/11 


BALL ST 


L 16-31 


W (+17/2) 


U(54) 


11/5 


at Temple 


L 32-34 


w (+17) 


(44/2) 


11/21 


atToledo 


L 14-42 


L (+334) 


(48/2) 


11/12 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 14-35 


L(+4) 


U(59) 


11/28 


OHIOU 


L 26-41 


L(+3) 


(48/2) 


11/18 


BUFFALO 


L 17-42 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


(52/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Florida 


L 12-34 


W (+38) 


U (547 2 ) 


9/11 


E MICHIGAN 


"W28-2T 


0(517) 


9/18 


COLORADO ST 


w 31-10 


W(- 7 ) 


U (46) 


9/25 


at Missouri 


L 13-51 


L [+20) 


[507) 


10/2 


KENT ST 


w 27-21 


W (+3) 


0(447) 


10/9 


at Cincinnati 


L3-45 


U+17/2) u (53/2) 


10/16 


at C Michigan 


w 27-20 


w (+13) 


U(5D 


10/23 


OHIOU 


L 13-34 


n+3) 


U (497) 


10/30 


at Buffalo 


W21-9 


w (-272) 


U (44) 


11/10 


at Bowling Green 


W 24-21 


w (-272) 


u (51/2) 


11/17 


at Akron 


W 19-14 


L(-8) 


U [467) 


11/23 


TEMPLE 


W23-3 


W (+8/2) 


U (447) 


12/3 


vs N Illinois 


W 26-21 


W [+197) 


U(55) 


1/6 


vs Middle Teh h st 


W 35-21 


W (+17) 


(49) 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 105 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +19.4 (#9 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 24.57 (116th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.50 (116th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +19.1 (#9 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-3 

2010 ATS Record: 10-3-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


ARMY 


9/10 


at Kansas 


9/17 


WISCONSIN 


9/24 


CALPOLYSLO 


10/1 


atC Michigan 


10/8 


KENT ST 


10/15 


W MICHIGAN 


10/22 


at Buffalo 


11/1 


at Toledo 


11/8 


at Bowling Green 


11/15 


BALL ST 


11/25 


E MICHIGAN 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


6-7 


7-6 


11-3 


26-26 


50.0% 


5-6 


6-6 


6-6 


10-3 


27-21 


56.3% 


3-1 


1-4 


4-2 


4-1 


12-8 


60.0% 


2-5 


5-2 


2-4 


6-2 


15-13 


53-6% 


3-4 


4-4 


3-4 


7-1 


17-13 


56.7% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-2 


3-2 


10-8 


55-6% 


0-2 


3-4 


3-4 


8-2 


14-12 


53.8% 


5-4 


3-2 


2-2 


2-1 


12-9 


57.1% 


2-9 


5-7 


5-6 


8-5 


20-27 


42.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 38.0 12 




First Downs 21.6 36 




Yards/Game 450.0 19 




RushYds/Gm 260.4 7 




PassYds/Gm 189.64 85 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 18.9 14 




Yards/Game 334-7 26 




RushYds/Gm 126.5 24 




PassYds/Gm 208.2 44 




Takeaways 25 36 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Minnesota 


L 27-31 


W (+9/2) 


(56/2) 


9/5 


at Wisconsin 


L 20-28 


W (+16/2) U (49/2) 


9/6 


at W Michigan 


L 26-29 


W(+6) 


0(52) 


9/12 


W ILLINOIS 


W41-7 


W (-13/2) 




9/20 


INDIANA ST 


W48-3 






9/19 


at Purdue 


W 28-21 


W (+12) 


U (52/2) 


9/27 


at E Michigan 


W37-0 


W (-5/2) 


U(5l) 


9/26 


IDAHO 


L 31-34 


L (-14) 


(54/2) 


10/4 


at Tennessee 


L9-13 


W (+16/2) U (44/2) 


10/3 


W MICHIGAN 


W38-3 


W(-6) 


U(49) 


10/11 


MIAMI OHIO 


w 17-13 


LMO) 


U(43) 


10/17 


at Toledo 


L 19-20 


Lf-7) 


U(60':) 


10/18 


TOLEDO 


W38-7 


W (-8/2) 


U (46/2) 


10/24 


at Miami Ohio 


w 27-22 


L(-IO) 


0(45) 


10/25 


BOWLING GREEN 


W 16-13 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(48) 


10/31 


AKRON 


w 27-10 


W (-12) 


U(41) 


11/5 


at Ball St 


L 14-45 


L(+7/ 2 ) 


0(47) 


11/5 


E MICHIGAN 


W5O-6 


W (-21/2) 


0(48) 


11/12 


C MICHIGAN 


L 30-33 


L(-4) 


0(52) 


11/12 


BALL ST 


W 26-20 


L (-16) 


P(46) 


11/18 


at Kent St 


W 42-14 


W (-2/2) 


0(51) 


11/21 


at Ohio U 


L 31-38 


L(+l) 


(44/2) 


11/25 


NAVY 


LO-16 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


11/27 


atC Michigan 


L 31-45 


P (+14) 


(52/2) 


12/28 


vs Louisiana Tech 


L 10-17 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U(46) 


1/2 


vsS Florida 


L3-27 


L (+6/2) 


U(50) 



9/2 


at Iowa St 


L 10-27 


L(+4) 


U(51) 




N DAKOTA 


W23-17" 


rmw 




9/18 


at Illinois 


L 22-28 


W'{+7)"" 


0(45)' 


9/25 


at Minnesota 


w 34-23 


W(+4) 


(49/2) 


10/2 


at Akron 


w 50-14 


W (-13K) 


0(47) 


10/9 


TEMPLE 


w 31-17 


W(-3) 


U (49 1 / 2 ) 


10/16 


BUFFALO 


w 45-14 


W(-14) 


0(50) 


10/23 


C MICHIGAN 


W33-7 


W (-10) 


u (51/2) 


10/30 


at W Michigan 


W 28-21 


P(7) 


U (52K) 


11/9 


TOLEDO 


W 65-30 


W(-iiK) 0(5172] 


11/20 


"atBall'S't 


W 59-21 


W(-i5K)Ol52^' 


11/26 


at E Michigan 


W71-3 


W (-24V2) 


0(62) 


12/3 


vs Miami Ohio 


L 21-26 


L(-i9K) 


U (55) 


12/18 


vs Fresno St 


w 40-17 


W (-1K) 


0(5672) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (#93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -2.3 (#80 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 22.77 (118th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 21.00 (120th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +3.7 (#54 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-4-2 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at New Mexico st 


9/10 


GARDNER WEBB 


9/17 


MARSHALL 


9/24 


at Rutgers 


10/1 


KENT ST 


10/8 


at Buffalo 


10/15 


BALL ST 


10/22 


at Akron 


11/2 


TEMPLE 


11/10 


atC Michigan 


11/16 


at Bowling Green 


11/22 


MIAMI OHIO 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


4-8 


9-5 


8-5 


27-24 


52.9% 


7-4 


6-4 


9-5 


8-5 


30-18 


62.5% 


4-1 


1-3 


4-2 


4-2 


13-8 


61.9% 


3-3 


5-1 


5-3 


4-3 


17-10 


63.0% 


4-4 


3-4 


7-2 


6-2 


20-12 


62.5% 


3-0 


3-0 


2-3 


2-3 


10-6 


62.5% 


2-2 


1-1 


3-4 


5-3 


11-10 


52.4% 


5-2 


5-3 


5-1 


2-2 


17-8 


68.0% 


8-3 


5-6 


6-7 


6-4 


25-20 


55.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 27.5 55 




First Downs 17.0 100 




Yards/Game 326.1 95 




RushYds/Gm 163.8 47 




PassYds/Gm 162.31 102 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.8 51 




Yards/Game 353-4 41 




RushYds/Gm 123.1 20 




PassYds/Gm 230.3 83 




Takeaways 25 36 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Wyoming 


L 20-21 


W (+14) 


U(47) 


9/6 


at Ohio St 


L 14-26 


W(+34 1 / 2 ) 


U(47) 


9/13 


C MICHIGAN 


L 28-31 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


(53/2) 


9/20 


at Northwestern 


L8-16 


W (+10/2) U (52/2) 


9/27 


VMI 


w 51-31 






10/4 


at W Michigan 


L 20-41 


L(+8) 


(48/2) 


10/11 


at Kent St 


W 26-19 


W(+l) 


u (51/2) 


10/21 


at Temple 


L 10-14 


P(+4) 


U(40) 


10/28 


BUFFALO 


L 19-32 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


0(49) 


11/8 


BOWLING GREEN 


L3-28 


L (+234) 


u (49/2) 


11/22 


AKRON 


w 49-42 


W (+2/2) 


(54/2) 


11/28 


at Miami Ohio 


W 41-26 


W(-3) 


(48/2) 



9/5 CONNECTICUT 



L 16-23 





at North Texas' 


9/19 


CALPOLYSLO 


9/26 


at Tennessee 


10/3 


at Bowling Green 


10/10 


at Akron 


10/17 


MIAMI OHIO 


10/24 


KENT ST 


10/31 


atBalTSt 


11/10 


at Buffalo 


11/21 


N ILLINOIS 


11/27 


TEMPLE 


12/4 


vsC Michigan 


12/26 


vs Marshall 



W28-IO 
L23-34 
W 44-37 

WW 
W287 
Lii-2b 
VV2b-i7 
W27-24 

w 38-31 
W3547 

L 10-20 
Ll7 : 21 



L(+3 1 / 2 ) 

w'(W 

"Wt+22)'' 
W"(+2 1 72)'' 

"WWAY 
WT-14) 

1(10) 

U-5K) 

W"(+2)' 

w(-i) 

■WF13T2T 

n-3) 



U (44/2) 
■0(52) 

0(44)' 

0(4872) 
U (52/2) 

UU7/2) 

U(467) 

U(44) 

0(447)' 

0(437)' 

U(57) 

0(49) 



9/4 


WOFFORD 


W 33-10 


W (-14) 




9/11 


TOLEDO 


L 13-20 


LMO) 


U(52) 


9/18 


at Ohio St 


L7-43 


L (+29/2) 


0(45) 


9/25 


at Marshall 


L 23-24 


W (+6/2) 


P(47) 


10/2 


at E Michigan 


w 30-17 


W (-10) 


U(49) 


10/9 


BOWLING GREEN 


w 49-25 


W(-8) 


(48/2) 


10/16 


AKRON 


W 38-10 


W(-17) 


P(48) 


10/23 


at Miami Ohio 


W 34-13 


W(-3) 


u (49/2) 


10/30 


LA LAFAYETTE 


w 38-31 


L (-17) 


0(51) 


11/4 


BUFFALO 


W 34-17 


W (-16) 


(47/2) 


11/16 


at Temple 


w 31-23 


W (+10) 


(45/2) 


11/26 


at Kent St 


L6-28 


L(-4 1 7) 


U (46/2) 


12/18 


vs Troy 


L 21-48 


L(+2) 


(57/2) 



106 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 (#70 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +5.2 (#50 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 26.08 (112th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.42 (117th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +5.9 (843 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-4 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


VILLANOVA 


9/10 


at Akron 


9/17 


PENN ST 


9/24 


at Maryland 


10/1 


TOLEDO 


10/8 


at Ball St 


10/15 


BUFFALO 


10/22 


at Bowling Green 


11/2 


at Ohio U 


11/9 


MIAMI OHIO 


11/19 


ARMY 


11/25 


KENT ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/29 


at Army 


W35-7 


W(-7) 


0(40) 


9/6 


CONNECTICUT 


L9-12 


W (+6/2) 


u (39/2) 


9/13 


at Buffalo 


L 28-30 


W(+7) 


0(45) 


9/20 


at Penn St 


L3-45 


L (+28/2) 


U(54) 


9/27 


W MICHIGAN 


L3-7 


W (+4/2) 


U (47/2) 


10/4 


at Miami Ohio 


W 28-10 


W(+7) 


U(4D 


10/11 


atC Michigan 


L 14-24 


L(+8) 


U(48) 


10/21 


OHIOU 


W 14-10 


P(-4) 


U(40) 


11/1 


at Navy 


L 27-33 


W(+8) 


(44/2) 


11/12 


at Kent St 


L 38-41 


L(pk) 


0(46) 


11/22 


E MICHIGAN 


w 55-52 


L(-llfc) 


0(48) 


11/28 


AKRON 


W27-6 


W(-3) 


U(58) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


5-7 


9-4 


8-4 


26-23 


53.1% 


8-4 


7-4 


8-4 


7-5 


30-17 


63.8% 


4-2 


3-1 


3-2 


3-3 


13-8 


61.9% 


4-2 


4-3 


5-2 


4-2 


17-9 


65.4% 


6-2 


4-3 


5-3 


3-5 


18-13 


58.1% 


2-2 


3-1 


3-1 


4-0 


12-4 


75-0% 


0-1 


2-1 


5-3 


4-4 


11-9 


55.0% 


8-3 


5-3 


3-1 


2-1 


18-8 


69.2% 


3-9 


5-7 


9-3 


4-8 


21-27 


43-8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 25.0 79 




First Downs 16.8 103 




Yards/Game 334-1 89 




RushYds/Gm 150.3 67 




PassYds/Gm 183.83 90 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.1 16 




Yards/Game 317-7 16 




RushYds/Gm 139-5 47 




PassYds/Gm 178.2 15 




Takeaways 20 72 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/3 


VILLANOVA 


w 24-27 








at Penn St 


L6-31 


W (+29/2) 


U(48) 


9/26 


BUFFALO 


w 37-13 


W(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(46) 


10/3 


at E Michigan 


W 24-12 


W (-6/2) 


U (44/2) 


10/10 


BALL ST 


w 24-19 


LM4/2) 


u (45/2) 


10/17 


ARMY 


w 27-13 


W(-10/ 2 ) 0(36/2) 


10/24 


at Toledo 


w 40-24 


W(pk) 


(53/2) 


10/31 


at Navy 


w 27-24 


W (+6/2) 


0(41) 


11/5 


MIAMI OHIO 


W 34-32 


L (-17) 


0(44/2) 


11/13 


at Akron 


w 56-17 


W(-6) 


0(46) 


11/21 


KENT ST 


w 47-13 


W (-10) 


0(46) 


11/27 


at Ohio U 


L 17-35 


L(-l/ 2 j 


(43/2) 


12/29 


vs UCLA 


L 21-30 


L(+4fc) 


0(44) 



9/3 


VILLANOVA 


W 31-24 


W (-4/2) 


0(48) 


9/9 


C MICHIGAN 


w 13-10 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


9/18 


CONNECTICUT 


W 30-16 


W(+5/2) 


u (47/2) 


9/25 


at Penn St 


L 13-22 


W (+13/2) U (43/2) 


10/2 


at Army 


w 42-35 


W(-6) 


(40/2) 


10/9 


at N Illinois 


L 17-31 


L(+3) 


u (49/2) 


10/16 


BOWLING GREEN 


W 28-27 


L (-20) 


(51/2) 


10/23 


at Buffalo 


W42-O 


W (-8/2) 


U (46/2) 


IO/30 


AKRON 


W30-O 


W (-29/2) 


U(50) 


11/6 


at Kent St 


W 28-10 


W(-3) 


U(43) 


11/16 


OHIOU 


L 23-31 


LMO) 


(45/) 


11/23 


at Miami Ohio 


L3-23 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U (44/) 




A ' LEDO 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 28 (#87 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +3.2 (#56 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 30.23 (89th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 31.75 (79th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -0.6 (#68 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-5 



e 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


NEW HAMPSHIRE 


9/10 


at Ohio St 


9/17 


BOISE ST 


9/24 


at Syracuse 


10/1 


at Temple 


10/8 


E MICHIGAN 


10/15 


at Bowling Green 


10/22 


MIAMI OHIO 


11/1 


N ILLINOIS 


11/8 


W MICHIGAN 


11/18 


atC Michigan 


11/25 


at Ball St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


3-9 


5-7 


8-5 


21-28 


42.9% 


4-7 


6-6 


5-7 


7-5 


22-25 


46.8% 


4-2 


3-3 


3-2 


3-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


0-5 


3-3 


2-5 


4-2 


9-15 


37-5% 


3-5 


4-4 


3-5 


6-2 


16-16 


50.0% 


1-2 


2-2 


2-2 


1-3 


6-9 


40.0% 


3-0 


1-1 


2-2 


4-2 


10-5 


66.7% 


1-7 


5-5 


3-5 


3-3 


12-20 


37-5% 


8-3 


4-8 


8-4 


8-5 


28-20 


58.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 27.9 54 




First Downs 17.9 90 




Yards/Game 365.4 74 




RushYds/Gm 167.4 43 




PassYds/Gm 198 77 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.5 73 




Yards/Game 364.8 56 




RushYds/Gm 133-5 36 




PassYds/Gm 231.3 86 




Takeaways 34 5 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/6 


at Arizona 


L 16-41 


L (+24/2) 


U(6l) 


9/5 


at Purdue 


L 31-52 


L (+10) 


(47/2) 


9/13 


at E Michigan 


w 41-17 


W(+2) 


0(54) 


9/11 


COLORADO 


W 54-38 


W(+4) 


0(55) 


9/20 


FRESNO ST 


L 54-55 


W(+6) 


(52/2) 


9/19 


vs Ohio St 


LO-38 


L (+22/2) U(58 1 / 2 ) 


9/27 


FLA INTERNATIONAL L 16-35 


L (-18) 


U(53) 


9/26 


at FLA International 41-31 


W(+l) 


(58/2) 


10/4 


BALL ST 


LO-31 


M+7K) 


U (61/2) 


10/3 


at Ball St 


w 37-30 


W (-5/2) 


0(59) 


10/11 


at Michigan 


w 13-10 


w (+15) 


U(49) 


10/10 


W MICHIGAN 


L 26-58 


L(-7/ 2 ) 


0(63) 


10/18 


at N Illinois 


L7-38 


L (+8/2) 


U (46/2) 


10/17 


N ILLINOIS 


w 20-19 


W(+7) 


U (6O/2) 


10/25 


C MICHIGAN 


L 23-24 


W(+4) 


U (56/2) 


10/24 


TEMPLE 


L 24-40 


L(pk) 


0(53/2) 


11/5 


at Akron 


L 30-47 


L(+7) 


0(55) 


10/31 


at Miami Ohio 


L 24-31 


L(-5) 


u (57/2) 


11/15 


at W Michigan 


L 17-27 


W (+14/2) U (53/2) 


11/11 


atC Michigan 


L 28-56 


L (+17/2) 


0(64) 


11/21 


MIAMI OHIO 


W 42-14 


W (-3/2) 


(48/2) 


11/20 


E MICHIGAN 


W 47-21 


W (-16) 


0(62) 


11/28 


BOWLING GREEN 


L 10-38 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


11/27 


at Bowling Green 


L 24-38 


L(+7) 


U (66/2) 



9/3 


ARIZONA 


L2-41 


L (+15) 


U(58) 


9/11 


at Ohio U 


w 20-13 


W (+10) 


U(52) 


9/18 


at W Michigan 


w 37-24 


W(+3/) 


(52/2) 


9/25 


at Purdue 


w 31-20 


W (+11) 


0(49) 


10/2 


WYOMING 


L 15-20 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


u (49/2) 


10/9 


at Boise St 


L 14-57 


L (+38) 


(59/2) 


10/16 


KENT ST 


W 34-21 


W(-4) 


0(46/2) 


10/23 


BALL ST 


w 31-24 


L(-ll/ 2 ) 


0(50) 


10/30 


at E Michigan 


W42-7 


W (-11/2) 


U(56) 


11/9 


at N Illinois 


L 30-65 


L (+11/2) 0(51/2) 


11/17 


BOWLING GREEN 


W 33-14 


W (-10) 


U (54/) 


11/26 


C MICHIGAN 


w 42-31 


W(-4) 


0(52) 


12/26 


vs FLA International L 32-34 


P(+2) 


(58/) 






■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 107 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 36 (#63 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +6.2 (#46 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 24.00 (117th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 26.08 (111th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +8.5 (#34 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-6 

2010 ATS Record: 5-5-2 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 



9/3 

9/10 

9/17 

9/24 

10/1 

10/8 

10/15 

10/22 

10/29 

11/8 

11/16 

11/25 



at Michigan 
NICHOLLSST 
C MICHIGAN 
at Illinois 
at Connecticut 
BOWLING GREEN 
atN Illinois 
at E Michigan 
BALL ST 
at Toledo 
at Miami Ohio 
AKRON 



SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 2008 2009 

5-7 9-4 5-7 

2-8 5-7 3-9 

0-4 2-2 1-4 

2-4 3-5 2-5 

1-5 3-5 3-5 

1-3 2-2 0-4 

0-6 3-4 2-2 

2-2 2-3 1-6 

7-4 7-5 4-7 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



2010 4-YRTOT 4-YEAR % 

6-6 25-24 51.0% 

5-5 15-29 34.1% 

2-3 5-13 27.8% 

3-2 10-16 38.5% 

4-3 11-18 37-9% 

1-2 4-11 26.7% 

4-2 9-14 39.1% 

1-3 6-14 30.0% 

6-5 24-21 533% 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.3 27 




First Downs 20.8 42 




Yards/Game 411.7 34 




RushYds/Gm 125.9 93 




PassYds/Gm 285.75 16 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.8 52 




Yards/Game 387.8 73 




RushYds/Gm 166.6 76 




PassYds/Gm 221.3 62 




Takeaways 30 12 



8/30 

9/6 

9/13 

9/20 
9727 
10/4 
10/11 

10/ IS 

11/1 

11/8 
11 / 15 

11 y 25 
12/30 



at Nebraska 

N'iLLINOiS 

at Idaho 

TENNESSEETECH 
at Tern p(e 
OHIO U 

at Buffalo 

atC Michigan 

E MICHIGAN 

vs Illinois 
TOLEDO 

at Bali St 

vs Rice 



L 24-47 
W 29-26 
W'51-2'8 

"W'41-7" 

W7-3 

W 41-26 

•■W34 : 28" 
L 28-38 
W3i-io 

W23-17 
W2747 
L22-45 
L 14-38 



L (+13K) 0(55) 

L(-6) 0(52) 

"WW 0(57) 



' W(-8) 

"TfiW 

"'WW 



U (4734) 

0(48/2) 
0(54) 

0(59/2) 
U(59) 

0(64) 



L (-14/2) U (53/2) 

LT+ib] 0(56) 

L"(+2J UT73/2) 



9/5 
9/12 
9/19 
9/26 

10/3"' 

10/10 

10/17 

10/24 
10/31 

11/14 
11/24" 



at Michigan 

liana 
MIAMiOHIO 
HOFSTRA 
at N Illinois 
at Toledo 
C MICHIGAN 
BUFFALO 
at Kent St 
at Michigan St 
at E Michigan 
BALLSf 



L7-31 

L 19-23 
WJ&26 
VV24-10 

L'3-3'8 
W 58-26 

L23-34 

...W..343 1 ... 
L 14-26 

L 14-49 

...W.35;14.. 

L 17-22 



L(+13) 

lM 

W (-16) 
L'(-22) 

L(+6) 
W (+7/2) 

L(+7) 

L(-5) 
L(+2/ 2 ) 
L(+20/2J 
"W(-13J 

L (-10) 



u (53/2) 

U (54) 

PiM 

0(49) 
0(63) 
0(59) 

(51/) 

U (50/) 

(55/) 

0(59) 

0(54) 



9/4 
9/11 

9/18 

10 y 2 

10/9" 

10/16 
10/23 
10/30 
11/5" 
11/13 
11/20 
11/26 



at Michigan St 

NICHOLLSST 

TOLEDO 

IDAHO 

at Ball St 

at Notre Dame 

at Akron 

N ILLINOIS 

atC Michigan 

E MICHIGAN 

KENTSf]" 

at Bowling Green 



i.1438 

W 49-14 
L24-37 
L 13-33 
W45 : l6 
'"['20-44 
W5640" 
L21-28 
L22-26 
■'W45-30" 
W38-3 
"W'417 



L (+22/2) 
.._.„„.... 

L(+4) 

W (+5/2) 

P(+24) 

WJ-7/2) 

P(+7) 

L(+3) 

L (-20) 

W (-234) 

"W(-7J 



0(51) 



(52/) 
(61) 
(48) 
0(53) 
0(52) 

U (52/2) 

u (53/) 
(57/) 

u (50/2) 
u (52/2) 




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108 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




-;■:? » ; ^ 



Offense: Multiple Set Triple Option - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Falcons continued their ascent under Troy Calhoun, going 9-4 to run his 
four-year win total to 34- QB Tim Jefferson has developed into a legitimate 
dual-threat QB (1,459 pass yds, 10 TD, 6 INT; 794 rush yds, 15 TD) and his 
0-Line allowed an FBS-low five sacks. TB Asher Clark (1,031 rush yds) helped 
AFA rank second in rushing offense (307 YPG). The Falcons also ranked sec- 
ond in FBS in pass defense (148 YPG) led by CB Anthony Wright (6 PD) and 
S |on Davis (93 tackles, 3 INT). The front seven lost some key players. 



BOOSE STATE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Broncos move from the WAC to the MWC, but their dominance should 
continue. Despite losing OC Bryan Harsin, the offense is in good hands with 
QB Kellen Moore (3,845 pass yds, 35 TD, 6 INT) and TB Doug Martin (1,260 
rush yds, 12 TD). BSU needs to replace WRs Titus Young and Austin Pettis, 
who combined for 2,166 rec yds and 19 TD. The defense is also primed for a 
big year with DEs Shea McClellin (9.5 sacks) and Tyrone Crawford (7 sacks, 
13.5 TFL), MLB Byron Hout (4 TFL in 9 games) and FS George lloka (5 PD). 

COLORADO STATE 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The Rams had a rough season, going 3-9 and getting outscored by an aver- 
age of 35 to 17. They had a minus-ll TO margin and allowed 44 sacks (4th- 
most in FBS). QB Pete Thomas (2,662 pass yds, 11 TD, 13 INT) and leading 
WR Lou Greenwood (474 rec yds) are back, but the l03rd-ranked ground 
game (113 YPG) lost its top rusher. On defense, LB Mychal Sisson (7 FF, 15 
TFL) is tremendous, but the D-Line lost its only good player and the awful 
secondary has no playmakers (4 INT, zero players with more than 2 PD). 



NEI 



Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

The Lobos were arguably the nation's worst team at 1-11 and last among 
FBS schools in offense (266 YPG) and scoring defense (44-3 PPG). The only 
quality offensive player is All-MWC TE Lucas Reed (33 rec, 459 yds, 5 TD) as 
RB Kasey Carrier (373 rush yds, 3.6 YPC) and the QB position as a whole (5.2 
YPA, 11 TD, 15 INT) are subpar. The defense was also atrocious (469 YPG) 
aside from playmaking LB Carmen Messina (115 tackles, 6 TFL, 4 PD), but 
UNM only loses two starting defenders as the back seven all return. 



STATE 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: 3-3-5 - Starters Returning: 5 

DC Rocky Long replaces Brady Hoke as SDSU's head coach. Long knows what 
to do, as he was New Mexico's head man for 11 years. It also helps that 
the Aztecs bring back stars QB Ryan Lindley (3,830 pass yds, 28 TD, 14 INT) 
and RB Ronnie Hillman (1,532 rush yds, 5.8 YPC, 17 TD). The defense lost six 
starters, but still has great experience with Long's deep rotation in 2010. 
OLB Miles Burris (20 TFL, 9-5 sacks, 4 FF) is the best of the returnees, but NT 
|erome Long (6 TFL) and CB Leon McFadden (12 PD) are also top-notch. 



IN 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: 4-2-5 - Starters Returning: 6 

Many starters left the 2011 Rose Bowl Champions, but Gary Patterson (36-3 
in the past three years) still has great talent. QB Andy Dalton has departed, 
but junior Casey Pachall has loads of potential. RB Ed Wesley (1,078 rush 
yds, 11 TD) and WR Josh Boyce (646 rec yds, 6 TD) are already great. The 
defense can't possibly get better after an FBS-best 228 YPG and 12.0 PPG 
allowed. LBs Tank Carder (9.5 TFL) and Tanner Brock (106 tackles) return to 
lead a TCU team with a deep defensive line and an improving secondary. 



L; 



Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Rebels went 2-11 and lost by an average of 21.3 PPG (39-7 to 18.4) in 
Bobby Hauck's first season. They will look to improve with a new QB (likely 
sophomore Caleb Herring) and a young O-Line that lost three starters. The 
top offensive players are RB Tim Cornett (546 rush yds, 6 TD) and WR Phillip 
Payne (19 career rec TD). The defense allowed 450 YPG with only 12 sacks, 
but DE B.|. Bell has breakout potential (51 tackles), and CBs Will Chandler 
(5 INT) and CB Quinton Pointer (72 tackles in '09) are great cover men. 



K 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

The Cowboys return most of their starters from last year's dismal 3-9 cam- 
paign. QB Austyn Carta-Samuels transferred, leaving the ll6th-ranked 
offense (286 total YPG) to one of three freshmen. But TB Alvester Alexander 
(792 rush yds, 14 TD) is ready to run behind an experienced 0-Line. The 
92nd-ranked defense (414 YPG) should improve with a returning front seven 
featuring DE Josh Biezuns (61 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and LB Brian Hendricks (80 
tackles). Senior CB Tashaun Gipson (9 PD, 3 INT) leads the group of DBs. 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 109 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#4° of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.6 (#40 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 33-23 (72nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30-17 (87th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +9.8 (829 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 3-9 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


S DAKOTA 


9/10 


TCU 


9/24 


TENNESSEE ST 


10/1 


at Navy 


10/8 


at Notre Dame 


10/13 


SAN DIEGO ST 


10/22 


at Boise St 


10/29 


at New Mexico 


11/5 


ARMY 


11/12 


WYOMING 


11/19 


UNLV 


11/26 


at Colorado St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


8-5 


8-5 


9-4 


34-18 


65.4% 


9-3 


7-5 


7-4 


5-7 


28-19 


59-6% 


5-0 


3-2 


3-2 


2-3 


13-7 


65.0% 


4-3 


4-3 


4-2 


3-4 


15-12 


55-6% 


7-1 


5-3 


5-3 


2-6 


19-13 


594% 


2-2 


2-2 


2-1 


3-1 


9-6 


60.0% 


5-0 


4-2 


4-2 


3-6 


16-10 


61.5% 


4-3 


3-3 


3-2 


2-1 


12-9 


57-1% 


6-6 


7-5 


6-6 


3-9 


22-26 


45-8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 30.9 40 




First Downs 21.9 31 




Yards/Game 425-9 28 




RushYds/Gm 306.5 2 




PassYds/Gm 119.31 118 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.1 28 




Yards/Game 349-3 37 




RushYds/Gm 201.5 103 




PassYds/Gm 147.8 2 




Takeaways 22 59 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


SUTAH 


W41-7 






9/5 


NICHOLLSST 


W72-O 






9/4 


NORTHWESTERN ST W 65-21 


P (-44) 




9/6 


ommg 


W23-3 


W(+3) 


U (42/2) 


9/12 


at Minnesota 


L 13-20 


L(+3) 


u (49/2) 


9/11 


BYU 


W 35-14 


W(-2) 


U(50) 


9/13 


vs Houston 


w 31-28 


W(+2) 


(51/2) 


9/19 


at New Mexico 


w 37-13 


W(-l6/z) 0(45/2) 


9/18 


at Oklahoma 


L 24-27 


W (+16/2) U (53/) 


9/20 


UTAH 


L 23-30 


W (+9/2) 


0(50':) 


9/26 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 26-14 


L (-17) 


u (52/) 


9/25 


at Wyoming 


W 20-14 


L(-13/) 


U (48/2) 


10/4 


NAVY 


L 27-33 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


(51/2) 


10/3 


at Navy 


L 13-16 


P(+3) 


U (48/2) 


10/2 


NAVY 


W14-6 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


U(50) 


10/11 


at San Diego st 


W 35-10 


W (-10/2) 


U(48) 


10/10 


TCU 


L 17-20 


W (+10) 


U(43) 


10/9 


COLORADO ST 


w 49-27 


L (-24) 


0(47) 


10/18 


at UNLV 


W 29-28 


L (-334) 


0(52) 


10/17 


WYOMING 


WlO-0 


L(-llZ) 


U(45) 


10/16 


at San Diego st 


L 25-27 


LM) 


U (55/) 


10/23 


NEW MEXICO 


w 23-10 


W(-4) 


U (44/2) 


10/24 


at Utah 


L 16-23 


W(+9) 


U(43) 


10/23 


at TCU 


L7-38 


L (+18/2) 


U(5D 


11/1 


at Army 


W16-7 


W (-7/2) 


U (41) 


10/31 


at Colorado St 


W 34-16 


W(-7) 


0(45) 


10/30 


UTAH 


L 23-28 


W (+6/2) 


u (55/2) 


11/8 


COLORADO ST 


W 38-17 


W(-10/2) 0(51/2) 


11/7 


ARMY 


W35-7 


w (-17) 


(37/) 


11/6 


at Army 


W 42-22 


W(-6) 


0(48/2) 


11/15 


BYU 


L 24-38 


L (+3/2) 


0(52) 


11/14 


UNLV 


W 45-17 


w (-17) 


0(47) 


11/13 


NEW MEXICO 


W 48-23 


L (-35) 


(56/2) 


11/22 


at TCU 


L 10-44 


L (+20/2) 


0(42) 


11/21 


at BYU 


L 21-38 


L(+9J 


(47/) 


11/18 


at UNLV 


W 35-20 


L (-19) 


U (56/) 


12/31 


vs Houston 


L 28-34 


L(+5K) 


U(65) 


12/31 


vs Houston 


W 47-20 


W (+4/2) 


(65/2) 


12/27 


vs Georgia Tech 


W14-7 


W(-3) 


U(55) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 62 (#3 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +32.2 (#1 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.15 (78th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 34.67 (66th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +32.3 (W 1 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 12-1 

2010 ATS Record: 9-4 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Georgia 


9/17 


at Toledo 


9/24 


TULSA 


10/1 


NEVADA 


10/7 


at Fresno St 


10/15 


at Colorado St 


10/22 


AIR FORCE 


11/5 


at UNLV 


11/12 


TCU 


11/19 


at San Diego st 


11/26 


WYOMING 


12/3 


NEW MEXICO 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


IDAHO ST 


W49-7 






9/13 


BOWLING GREEN 


W20-7 


L (-17/2) 


u (55/2) 


9/20 


at Oregon 


w 37-32 


W (+10/2) 


0(52) 


10/1 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W38-3 


W (-24) 


U(57) 


10/11 


at Southern Miss 


W24-7 


W (-9/2) 


U(58) 


10/17 


HAWAII 


W27-7 


L (-23) 


u (51/2) 


10/24 


at San Jose st 


W 33-16 


W(-7) 


0(40)4) 


11/1 


at New Mexico st 


W49-0 


W (-21) 


U(56) 


11/8 


UTAH ST 


W 49-14 


P (-35) 


0(52) 


11/15 


at Idaho 


W 45-10 


P (-35) 


U(60) 


11/22 


at Nevada 


W 41-34 


W (-6/2) 


(62/2) 


11/28 


FRESNO ST 


W 61-10 


W (-21) 


0(57) 


12/23 


vsTCU 


L 16-17 


W(+3) 


U(46) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-3 


12-1 


14-0 


12-1 


48-5 


90.6% 


6-6 


8-2 


9-5 


9-4 


32-17 


65-3% 


4-2 


2-2 


4-3 


3-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


2-4 


6-0 


5-2 


6-1 


19-7 


73-1% 


5-3 


5-1 


5-3 


5-3 


20-10 


66.7% 


1-3 


3-1 


4-2 


4-1 


12-7 


63.2% 


6-5 


6-2 


8-4 


8-4 


28-15 


65.1% 


0-1 


2-0 


1-0 


1-0 


4-1 


80.0% 


5-7 


5-7 


7-6 


5-7 


22-27 


44.9% 



2010 STATS/RANK 


OFFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Scored 


45-1 


2 


First Downs 


25-1 


8 


Yards/Game 


5213 


2 


RushYds/Gm 


200.2 


21 


PassYds/Gm 


321.08 


6 


DEFENSE 


NO. 


RANK 


Points Allowed 12.8 


2 


Yards/Game 


254.7 


2 


RushYds/Gm 


103.8 


7 


PassYds/Gm 


150.9 


4 


Takeaways 


27 


26 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/3 


OREGON 
MiAMIOHIO 


W19-8 

WW" 


W(-3) 

■wmi" 


U(64) 




U (52fc) 


9/18 


at Fresno St 


W 5134 


W (-7/2) 


(52%] 


9/2b 


at Bowling Green 


w 49-14 


W (-16K) 


0(52) 


10/3 


CAL DAVIS 


W 34-16 


TWA)' 




10/14 


at Tulsa 


W 28-21 


n : 9) 


U(5b) 


10/24 


at Hawaii 


W54-9 


W(-25) 


0(59) 


10/31 


SAN |OSE ST 


W45-7 


W(-36) 


U(54) 


11/6 


at Louisiana Tech 


W 4535 


L(-2b) 


0(53) 


11/14 


IDAHO 


w 63-25 


W(-32) 


(6372] 


11/20 


at Utah St 


w 52-21 


W (-22) 


(627 2 ) 


11/27 


NEVADA 


W 4433 


L'(-12]- 


0(71) 


12/5 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W42-7 


TRW 


U (58/2) 


1/4 


vsTCU 


w 17-10 


W (+772) 


u (54%) 



9/6 


vs Virginia Tech 


W 3330 


W (+1/2) 


0(53) 


9/18 


ommg 


W51-6 


w (-23) 


(51%) 


9/25 


OREGON ST 


W 37-24 


L (-18) 


0(56) 


10/2 


at New Mexico st 


W59-0 


W (-43/2) 


U(6l) 


10/9 


TOLEDO 


w 57-14 


W(-38) 


(59/2) 


10/16 


at San Jose st 


W48-O 


W (-40) 


U(58) 


10/26 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W 49-20 


L (-36) 


(65/2) 


11/6 


HAWAII 


W42-7 


W (-22) 


U(65) 


11/12 


at Idaho 


w 52-14 


W (-34/2) 


U(67) 


11/19 


FRESNO ST 


W51-O 


w (-29) 


U (66) 


11/26 


at Nevada 


L 31-34 


L (-14) 


U (68) 


12/4 


UTAH ST 


w 50-14 


L (-40/2) 


P(64) 


12/22 


vs Utah 


W26-3 


W (-16) 


U(58) 



110 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 17 (#109 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -16.9 (#115 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.25 (51st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.67 (82nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -18.2 (#113 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at New Mexico 


9/10 


N COLORADO 


9/17 


at Colorado 


9/24 


at Utah St 


10/1 


SAN JOSE ST 


10/15 


BOISE ST 


10/22 


at UTEP 


10/29 


atUNLV 


11/12 


SAN DIEGO ST 


11/19 


atTCU 


11/26 


AIR FORCE 


12/3 


WYOMING 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/31 


vs Colorado 


L 17-38 


L (+1334) 


U(56) 


9/6 


SACRAMENTO ST 


w 23-20 






9/20 


HOUSTON 


W 28-25 


W (+5/2) 


U (62/2) 


9/27 


at California 


L7-42 


L (+28) 


U(59) 


10/4 


UNLV 


W 41-28 


W (-1/2) 


(51/2) 


10/11 


TCU 


L7-13 


w (+17) 


u (45/2) 


10/18 


at Utah 


L 16-49 


L (+21) 


(49/2) 


10/25 


at San Diego st 


W 38-34 


L(-7 1 /2) 


(53/2) 


11/1 


BYU 


L 42-45 


W (+16) 


(59/2) 


11/8 


at Air Force 


L 17-38 


L (+10/2) 0(51/2) 


11/15 


NEW MEXICO 


W20-6 


W (+3/2) 


U(5D 


11/22 


at Wyoming 


w 31-20 


W(+2) 


0(47) 


12/20 


vs Fresno St 


w 40-35 


W (+1/2) 


0(61) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


7-6 


3-9 


3-9 


16-33 


32.7% 


5-6 


7-5 


4-8 


6-6 


22-25 


46.8% 


2-3 


5-0 


2-4 


4-1 


13-8 


61.9% 


3-3 


2-5 


2-4 


2-5 


9-17 


34.6% 


4-4 


5-3 


2-6 


5-3 


16-16 


50.0% 


1-2 


2-2 


2-2 


1-3 


6-9 


40.0% 


1-2 


1-1 


0-4 


2-0 


4-7 


36.4% 


4-4 


6-4 


4-3 


4-6 


18-17 


514% 


5-5 


7-5 


5-6 


6-6 


23-22 


51.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 16.5 


114 




First Downs 18.1 


87 




Yards/Game 334-8 


87 




RushYds/Gm 113.0 


103 




PassYds/Gm 221.83 


60 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 347 


104 




Yards/Game 423.8 


96 




RushYds/Gm 197-9 


102 




PassYds/Gm 225.9 


74 




Takeaways 14 


112 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/6 


at Colorado 


w 23-17 


w (+13) 


u (50/2) 


9/4 


vs Colorado 


L3-24 


L(+ll 1 / 2 ) 


U (46/2) 


9/12 


WEBER ST 


w 24-23 


L (-1334) 




9/11 


evada 


L6-51 


L (+24/2) 


U(58) 


9/19 


NEVADA 


W 35-20 


W(+5) 


U(57) 


9/18 


at Miami Ohio 


L 10-31 


L(+7) 


U(46) 


9/26 


at BYU 


L 23-42 


W (+19/2) 


0(56) 


9/25 


IDAHO 


W 36-34 


W(+8) 


(50/2) 


10/3 


at Idaho 


L 29-31 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


0(57) 


10/2 


TCU 


LO-27 


W(+33/) 


U(54) 


10/10 


UTAH 


L 17-24 


W(+9) 


u (50/2) 


10/9 


at Air Force 


L 27-49 


W (+24) 


0(47) 


10/17 


atTCU 


L6-44 


L(+22J4) 


u (50/2) 


10/16 


UNLV 


W 43-10 


W (-3/2) 


0(51) 


10/24 


SAN DIEGO ST 


L 28-42 


L(-8) 


(50/2) 


10/23 


at Utah 


L6-59 


L (+31) 


0(56) 


10/31 


AIR FORCE 


L 16-34 


L(+7) 


0(45) 


IO/3O 


NEW MEXICO 


W 38-14 


W(-14/ 2 ) 0(51/2) 


11/7 


at UNLV 


L 16-35 


L(+2) 


U(62) 


11/6 


at San Diego st 


L 19-24 


W (+18) 


U(58) 


11/21 


at New Mexico 


L 27-29 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(54) 


11/13 


BYU 


L 10-49 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(50) 


11/27 


WYOMING 


L 16-17 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U (48/2) 


11/20 


at Wyoming 


LO-44 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U(50) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 13 (#116 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -27.1 (#120 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.33 (48th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 35.50 (57th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -28.5 (#120 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 1-11 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


COLORADO ST 


9/10 


ARKANSAS 


9/17 


TEXAS TECH 


9/24 


SAM HOUSTON ST 


10/1 


NEW MEXICO ST 


10/15 


at Nevada 


10/22 


atTCU 


10/29 


AIR FORCE 


11/5 


at San Diego st 


11/12 


UNLV 


11/19 


at Wyoming 


12/3 


at Boise St 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


4-8 


1-11 


1-11 


15-34 


30.6% 


5-7 


6-6 


5-7 


4-8 


20-28 


41-7% 


3-3 


4-2 


2-4 


2-4 


11-13 


45.8% 


2-4 


2-4 


3-3 


2-4 


9-15 


37-5% 


2-6 


4-4 


4-4 


3-5 


13-19 


40.6% 


3-1 


2-2 


1-3 


1-3 


7-9 


43-8% 


3-4 


3-2 


0-1 


0-0 


6-7 


46.2% 


2-3 


3-4 


5-6 


4-8 


14-21 


40.0% 


4-8 


5-7 


6-6 


9-3 


24-24 


50.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 15.8 116 




First Downs 15.7 113 




Yards/Game 265.7 120 




RushYds/Gm 108.O 106 




PassYds/Gm 157.67 106 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 44-3 120 




Yards/Game 469.0 119 




RushYds/Gm 250.2 120 




PassYds/Gm 218.8 57 




Takeaways 19 77 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


TCU 


L3-26 


L(+6) 


U (41/2) 


9/6 


.A&M 


L 22-28 


L(+l/ 2 ) 




9/13 


ARIZONA 


W 36-28 


W (+10) 






at Tulsa 


L 14-56 


L (+IO/2) 




9/27 


at New Mexico st 


W 35-24 


W(-3) 


0(54) 


10/4 


MING 


W24-0 


W (-10) 


U(41) 




at BYU 


L3-21 


W (+22) 


U(48) 




SAN DIEGO ST 


W70-7 


w (-17) 


0(44) 




Force 


L 10-23 


L(+4) 




11/1 


UTAH 


L 10-13 


W (+7/2) 




11/8 


at UNLV 


L 20-27 


L(-6) 






at Colorado St 


L6-20 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


U(5D 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Texas A&M 


L6-41 


L(+14/ 2 ) 


U(55) 


9/12 


TULSA 


L 10-44 


Lt+17) 


U(57) 




ORCE 


L 13-37 


L (+16/2) 






NEW MEXICO ST 


L 17-20 


U-11BJ 


U(44) 


10/3 


as Tech 


L 28-48 


W(+34/) 


0(56) 




ommg 


L 13-37 


L (+10) 


0(45) 




UNLV 


L 17-34 


L(+l) 


U(60) 




at San Diego st 


L 20-23 


W (+16/2) 


U(54) 


11/7 


at Utah 


L 14-45 


L (+27) 






BYU 


L 19-24 


w (+27) 


U |57%) 




COLORADO ST 


w 29-27 


W (+3/2) 


0(54) 




atTCU 


L 10-51 


W (+44) 





I 









2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 at Oregon Lo-72 L (+3634) 0(54/2) = 

9/11 TEXAS TECH L 17-52 L (+24/2) 6" (55/2) * 

9/18 UTAH L 14-56 L (+21/2) (54) 2. 

9/25 at UNLV L 10-45 L(+10%] 0(50) 

ib72 UTEP L 20-38 L(+15) 0(57/2) 

10/9 at vlVi) U (49) 

10/23 SAN DIEGO ST L 20-30 W (+23/2) U (55) 

16/36 at ) (51/]' 

11/6 Wyoming w 34-31 w(+g) 0(48) n. 

11/13 at Air Force L 23-48 W'j+35) 0(56/2)' 

ii/26 at BYU L7-40 L (+30) U (52) 

11/27 TCU Ll7 : 66 n+44JSj 0(57/)' 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 111 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +7.0 (#43 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 29.31 (92nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.33 (86th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +12.9 (#19 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 8-4-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


CALPOLYSLO 


9/10 


at Army 


9/17 


WASHINGTON ST 


9/24 


at Michigan 


10/8 


TCU 


10/13 


at Air Force 


10/29 


WYOMING 


11/5 


NEW MEXICO 


11/12 


at Colorado St 


11/19 


BOISE ST 


11/26 


atUNLV 


12/3 


FRESNO ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


2-10 


4-8 


9-4 


19-30 


38.8% 


6-5 


5-6 


4-8 


8-4 


23-23 


50.0% 


3-2 


3-2 


1-5 


5-2 


12-11 


52.2% 


3-3 


2-4 


3-3 


3-2 


11-12 


47-8% 


5-3 


3-5 


4-4 


3-4 


15-16 


48.4% 


1-2 


2-1 


0-4 


5-0 


8-7 


53-3% 


0-0 


1-0 


0-4 


4-3 


5-7 


41.7% 


6-5 


4-6 


4-3 


3-1 


17-15 


53-1% 


7-4 


6-5 


5-6 


5-7 


23-22 


51.1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 35.0 19 




First Downs 20.3 52 




Yards/Game 456.7 16 




RushYds/Gm 161.3 48 




PassYds/Gm 295-38 12 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.1 36 




Yards/Game 353-8 43 




RushYds/Gm 148.8 57 




PassYds/Gm 205.0 38 




Takeaways 16 102 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


CAL POLY SLO 


w 27-29 






9/5 


at UCLA 


L 14-33 


L (+18/2) 


U (47/2) 


9/6 


at Notre Dame 


L 13-21 


W (+21/2) 


U(46) 


9/12 


SUTAH 


w 35-19 


L (-19) 




9/13 


at San Jose st 


L 10-35 


L(+7) 


(43/2) 


9/19 


at Idaho 


L 20-34 


L (-3/2) 


U(58) 


9/27 


IDAHO 


W 45-17 


W (-12) 


(54/2) 


9/26 


at Air Force 


L 14-26 


w (+17) 


u (52/2) 


10/4 


at TCU 


L7-41 


L(+25) 


U(49) 


10/3 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 34-17 


LM7/2) 


0(46/2) 


10/11 


AIR FORCE 


L 10-35 


L (+10/2) 


U(48) 


10/17 


BYU 


L 28-38 


w (+17) 


0(54) 


10/18 


at New Mexico 


L7-70 


L(+17) 


0(44) 


10/24 


at Colorado St 


W 42-28 


W(+8) 


(50/2) 


10/25 


COLORADO ST 


L 34-38 


W (+7/2) 


(53/2) 


10/31 


NEW MEXICO 


w 23-20 


LM6/2) 


U(54) 


11/1 


at Wyoming 


L 10-35 


L(+6) 


U(47) 


11/7 


TCU 


L 12-55 


L (+24/2) 


0(48) 


11/8 


atBYU 


L 12-41 


W (+36) 


U (65/2) 


11/14 


WYOMING 


L 27-30 


L(7) 


0(49) 


11/15 


UTAH 


L 14-63 


L (+28) 


0(53) 


11/21 


at Utah 


L7-38 


L (+21) 


U (54/2) 


11/22 


UNLV 


W 42-21 


W (+10) 


0(60) 


11/28 


at UNLV 


L 24-28 


W (+6/2) 


U(60':) 



9/4 


NICHOLLSST 


W47-0 


W (-32) 




9/11 


at New Mexico st 


w 41-21 


W (-14) 


(50/2) 


9/18 


at Missouri 


L 24-27 


W (+14) 


U(59) 


9/25 


UTAH ST 


W41-7 


W (-9/2) 


U(62) 


10/9 


atBYU 


L 21-24 


L (-4/2) 


u (53/2) 


10/16 


AIR FORCE 


w 27-25 


W(+l) 


U (55%) 


10/23 


at New Mexico 


w 30-20 


L (-23/2) 


U(55) 


10/30 


at Wyoming 


W 48-38 


P (-10) 


0(49) 


11/6 


COLORADO ST 


w 24-19 


L (-18) 


U(58) 


11/13 


at TCU 


L 35-40 


W (+27/2) 


0(54) 


11/20 


UTAH 


L 34-38 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


0(55) 


11/27 


UNLV 


W 48-14 


W (-24) 


0(61/) 


12/23 


NAVY 


W 35-14 


W(-3) 


u (57/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 61 (#5 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +29.5 (#2 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.00 (79th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.67 (9ist toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +29.6 (82 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 13-0 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/2 


at Baylor 


9/10 


at Air Force 


9/17 


LA MONROE 


9/24 


PORTLAND ST 


10/1 


SMU 


10/8 


at San Diego st 


10/22 


NEW MEXICO 


10/28 


BYU 


11/5 


at Wyoming 


11/12 


at Boise St 


11/19 


COLORADO ST 


12/3 


UNLV 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


11-2 


12-1 


13-0 


44-8 


84.6% 


6-6 


8-4 


8-5 


7-6 


29-21 


58.0% 


4-2 


5-0 


3-3 


4-2 


16-7 


69.6% 


2-4 


3-4 


5-2 


3-4 


13-14 


48.1% 


4-3 


6-2 


6-2 


5-3 


21-10 


67-7% 


2-3 


2-2 


2-2 


2-3 


8-10 


444% 


5-5 


8-3 


7-4 


7-6 


27-18 


60.0% 


1-1 


0-1 


1-0 


0-0 


2-2 


50.0% 


5-8 


5-7 


5-6 


5-7 


20-28 


41.7% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 41.6 4 




First Downs 25.2 7 




Yards/Game 476.9 12 




RushYds/Gm 2474 10 




PassYds/Gm 229.46 53 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 12.0 1 




Yards/Game 228.5 1 




RushYds/Gm 99.7 5 




PassYds/Gm 128.8 1 




Takeaways 22 59 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at New Mexico 


W26-3 


W(-6) 


U (41/2) 


9/6 


JSTIN 


W67-7 






9/13 


FORD 


w 31-14 


W(-l5 1 / 2 ) 0(39/2) 




at SMU 


W48-7 


W (-24) 




9/27 


ahoma 


L 10-35 


L (+18) 




10/4 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W41-7 


w (-25) 


U(49) 




at Colorado St 


W13-7 


L M7) 






BYU 


W32-7 


W (-1/2) 


U(44) 




MING 


W54-7 


W (-32) 




11/1 


at UNLV 


W 44-14 


W (-16/2) 


0(51) 


11/6 


at Utah 


L 10-13 


L(-lfc) 


U(42) 


11/22 


ORCE 


W 44-10 


W (-20/2) 


0(42) 




ise St 


W 17-16 


L(-3) 


U(46) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/12 


at Virginia 


w 30-14 


W (-11) 


0(42) 




TEXAS ST UNIV 


W 56-21 


L (-40) 






^mson 


W 14-10 


W(+2) 


U(41) 


10/3 


SMU 


w 39-14 


L (-28/2) 


P(53) 




Force 


w 20-17 


LMO) 


U(43) 


10/17 


COLORADO ST 


W44-6 


W(-22 1 / 2 ) U(50 1 / 2 ) 




atBYU 


W38-7 


W (-2/2) 


U(5D 




UNLV 


W41-0 


W (-35) 




11/7 


at San Diego st 


W 55-12 


W (-24/2) 


0(48) 




UTAH 


W 55-28 


W (-19/2) 


0(49) 




ommg 


W 45-10 


W (-30/2) 


0(50) 




NEW MEXICO 


w 51-10 


L (-44) 


(57/2) 


1/4 


jise St 


L 10-17 


L(-7 1 / 2 ) 





2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS TOTAL 


9/4 


vs Oregon St 


w 30-21 


L (-13/2) 0(49) 




TENNESSEE TECH 


W62-7 


W (-50/2) 




BAYLOR 


W 45-10 


W (-21/2) u (55/2) 


9/24 


at SMU 


w 41-24 


L (-18) 0(54/2) 


10/2 


at Colorado St 


W27-0 


L (-33%) U(54) 


10/9 


MING 


W45-0 


W(-35/) U(48/ 2 ) 




BYU 


W31-3 


L (-30) U(51) 




ORCE 


W38-7 


W (-18/2) U (51) 




at UNLV 


W48-6 


W (-34/2) U (56/2) 


11/6 


at Utah 


W47-7 


W(-4) 0(50/) 


11/13 


SAN DIEGO ST 


w 40-35 


L (-27/2) 0(54) 




at New Mexico 


W 66-17 


W(-44%) 0(57/) 


1/1 


consin 


w 21-19 


L(-3%) U(54/ 2 ) 



112 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#106 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -16.8 (#114 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 39-23 (24th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 36.58 (49th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -21.3 (#116 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-11 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


at Wisconsin 


9/10 


at Washington St 


9/17 


HAWAII 


9/24 


SUTAH 


10/8 


at Nevada 


10/15 


at Wyoming 


10/29 


COLORADO ST 


11/5 


BOISE ST 


11/12 


at New Mexico 


11/19 


at Air Force 


11/26 


SAN DIEGO ST 


12/3 


atTCU 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


5-7 


5-7 


2-11 


14-35 


28.6% 


5-7 


7-5 


3-8 


5-8 


20-28 


41.7% 


3-3 


4-3 


2-4 


5-1 


14-11 


56.0% 


2-4 


3-2 


1-4 


0-7 


6-17 


26.1% 


3-5 


5-3 


2-6 


3-5 


13-19 


40.6% 


2-2 


2-2 


1-2 


2-3 


7-9 


43.8% 


1-2 


2-3 


2-3 


1-0 


6-8 


42.9% 


4-5 


5-2 


1-5 


4-8 


14-20 


41.2% 


4-8 


8-4 


5-6 


9-4 


26-22 


54.2% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 18.4 


110 




First Downs 15.7 


112 




Yards/Game 274.2 


118 




RushYds/Gm 1033 


109 




PassYds/Gm 170.92 


98 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 39.7 


116 




Yards/Game 450.5 


109 




RushYds/Gm 222.7 


116 




PassYds/Gm 227.8 


77 




Takeaways 18 


86 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


UTAH ST 


w 27-17 


L (-11) 


U (46/2) 


9/5 


SACRAMENTO ST 


W38-3 






9/6 


at Utah 


L 21-42 


W (+21/2) 


0(44) 


9/12 


OREGON ST 


L 21-23 


W (+6/2) 


U(53) 


9/13 


at Arizona St 


w 23-20 


W (+25/2) u (53/2) 


9/19 


HAWAII 


W 34-33 


L(7) 


0(56) 


9/20 


IOWA ST 


W 34-31 


W(-2) 


0(50) 


9/26 


at Wyoming 


L 27-30 


L(-3) 


0(46) 


9/27 


NEVADA 


L 27-49 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(57) 


10/3 


at Nevada 


L 28-63 


L (+6/2) 


(58/2) 


10/4 


at Colorado St 


L 28-41 


L (+134) 


(51/2) 


10/10 


BYU 


L 21-59 


L(+17) 


(64/2) 


10/18 


AIR FORCE 


L 28-29 


W (+3/2) 


0(52) 


10/17 


UTAH 


L 15-35 


L (+14/2) 


U(60) 


10/25 


atBYU 


L 35-42 


w (+23) 


(62/2) 


10/24 


at New Mexico 


W 34-17 


W(-l) 


U(60) 


11/1 


TCU 


L 14-44 


L (+16/2) 


0(51) 


10/31 


atTCU 


LO-41 


L (+35) 


u (57/2) 


11/8 


NEW MEXICO 


w 27-20 


W(+6) 


U (48/2) 


11/7 


COLORADO ST 


W 35-16 


W(-2) 


U(62) 


11/13 


WYOMING 


W 22-14 


W(-6) 


U(48) 


11/14 


at Air Force 


L 17-45 


L (+17) 


0(47) 


11/22 


at San Diego st 


L 21-42 


L(-10) 


0(60) 


11/28 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 28-24 


L (-634) 


U (60/2) 



9/4 


WISCONSIN 


L 21-41 


W (+20/2) 


0(55) 


9/11 


at Utah 


L 10-38 


L (+20/2) 


U(54) 


9/18 


at Idaho 


L7-30 


L(+7) 


U(59) 


9/25 


NEW MEXICO 


W 45-10 


W (-10/2) 


0(50) 


10/2 


NEVADA 


L 26-44 


W (+20/2) 


0(61) 


10/9 


at W Virginia 


L 10-49 


L (+26/2) 


(47/2) 


10/16 


at Colorado St 


L 10-43 


L(+3fc) 


0(51) 


10/30 


TCU 


L6-48 


L (+34/2) 


U (56/2) 


11/6 


atBYU 


L7-55 


L(+19) 


0(49/2) 


11/13 


WYOMING 


W 42-16 


W(+4) 


0(52) 


11/18 


AIR FORCE 


L 20-35 


W (+19) 


U (56)4) 


11/27 


at San Diego st 


L 14-48 


L (+24) 


(61/2) 


12/4 


at Hawaii 


L 21-59 


L (+3234) 0(65/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 25 (#99 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -7.5 (#95 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34.67 (63rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.67 (9ist toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -11.2 (#101 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 5-6-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


WEBER ST 


9/10 


TEXAS ST UNIV 


9/17 


at Bowling Green 


9/24 


NEBRASKA 


10/8 


at Utah St 


10/15 


UNLV 


10/29 


at San Diego st 


11/5 


TCU 


11/12 


at Air Force 


11/19 


NEW MEXICO 


11/26 


at Boise St 


12/3 


at Colorado St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


4-8 


7-6 


3-9 


19-30 


38.8% 


2-9 


2-9 


9-3 


5-6 


18-27 


40.0% 


1-4 


1-5 


3-2 


2-3 


7-14 


33-3% 


1-5 


1-4 


6-1 


3-3 


11-13 


45-8% 


0-7 


1-7 


6-2 


3-4 


10-20 


33-3% 


2-2 


1-2 


3-1 


2-2 


8-7 


53-3% 


0-5 


1-3 


1-0 


1-2 


3-10 


23.1% 


2-4 


1-6 


8-3 


4-3 


15-16 


48.4% 


7-5 


4-7 


7-5 


5-6 


23-23 


50.0% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Scored 


19.2 107 




First Downs 


14.4 119 




Yards/Game 


285.5 116 




RushYds/Gm 


119.5 98 




PassYds/Gm 


166 100 




DEFENSE 


NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.3 86 




Yards/Game 


413.7 92 




RushYds/Gm 


205.8 109 




PassYds/Gm 


207.9 42 




Takeaways 


15 108 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 

9/6 

9/13^1 

9/2O 

9/27 

10/4 
._„.... 

10/25 
11/1 

11/8 

il/13" 
„.„.„.„.„.... 



OHIOU 

AJR FORCE 

NDAKOTAST 

atBYU 

BOWLING GREEN 

at New Mexico 

UTAH 

atTCU 

SAN DIEGO ST 

at Tennessee 

atUNLV 

COLORADOSf 



W 21-20 

L3-23 

W 16-13 
L'b-44 

.. L . l6 :45... 

[ 0-24 
L7-40 

L7-54 

W 35-10 

IW'137^ 
L 14-22 
L 20-31 



L (-14) U(47) 
L"(-3) U (4234) 



L (+28) 
L(+3) 
L (+10) 

L (+21/2) 



U(52) 

(44/2) 
u (41) 
0(41) 



L (+32) 0(42/2) 

W (-6) U (47) 

W (+25/2) U j'41/2) 

M+6) U (48) 

L"(-2) 6(47) 



9/5 

9/12 

9/19 

9/26 

10/3 

10/10 

10/17 
10/31 
11/7 

11/14 

11 /2 7 

„_... 



WEBER ST 

at Colorado 

UNLV 

at FLA Atlantic 

new Mexico 

at Air Force 

at Utah 

BYU 

at San Diego st 

MIIIIIII 
at Colorado St 

vs Fresno St 



W 29-22 

L 16-41 

L6 : 24 

W 30-27 

■•■W'30-28' 

W37-13 

L 0-10 

L io-22 

L6 : 52 

W30-27 

Lio-415 
W 17-16 
W35 : 28 



W (+32) 

L"i+7i 

W(+3) 

W'(+5%)' 

''w"(-io) 

w'f+ii/)' 

"W(+17)" 
L(+13%) 

W(+7) 

L(+3034) 

•W]+2>2)" 

wj+ioj" 



U(56) 
U(52) 

0(46) 
0(54%)' 

0(45) 

U(45) 

U(44':) 

0(49) 
0(49) 

0(50) 
U (48%) 

0(54%) 



9/4 


SUTAH 


W 28-20 


L(-2l/ 2 ) 


9/11 


at Texas 


L7-34 


W(+27 1 / 2 ) U(51) 


9/18 


BOISE ST 


L6-51 


L (+23) 0(51/2) 


9/25 


AIR FORCE 


L 14-20 


W (+13/2) U (48/2) 


10/2 


at Toledo 


W 20-15 


W(+4/ 2 ) U(49fc) 


10/9 


atTCU 


LO-45 


L (+3534) U(48/ 2 ) 


10/16 


UTAH 


L6-30 


L (+22) U(53) 


10/23 


atBYU 


L 20-25 


W(+ll) 0(44/2) 


10/30 


SAN DIEGO ST 


L 38-48 


P (+10) (49) 


11/6 


at New Mexico 


L 31-34 


L(-9) 0(48) 


11/13 


at UNLV 


L 16-42 


L(-4) 0(52) 


11/20 


COLORADO ST 


W44-O 


W (-2/2) U (50) 



3> 

■ 






■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 113 



PREDICTED FINISH 






Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Wildcats are eager to erase the memory of five straight losses to end 
the 2010 season. QB Nick Foles (3,191 pass yds, 20 TD, 10 INT) is back to lead 
what was the nation's gth-best passing offense (308 YPG), and the Wildcats 
are deep at receiver, with Texas transfer Dan Buckner, David Douglas and 
David Roberts. There were reports when we went to press, however, that 
star WR juron Criner could end up missing the 2011 season. The ground 
game will miss TB Nic Grigsby, but senior Keola Antolin (team-high 668 rush 
yds, 47 YPC, 9 total TD) can handle more carries. Protecting Foles could be a 
problem, as Arizona lost its entire offensive line. On the defensive front, UA 
lost three DEs to the NFL Draft. But DT Justin Washington (6 sacks, 11.5 TFL) 
is back, as are all three starting linebackers, although the extent of LB |ake 
Fischer's (7.5 TFL) knee injury in the spring game remains unknown. Two 
reliable safeties, Joseph Perkins and Anthony Wilcox are gone, but sopho- 
more CB Shaquille Richardson (7 PD) has the tools to be outstanding. 






Offense: Single Back - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The excitement level is high in Tempe as ASU returns 17 starters from last 
year's club. One position with a new face is QB, after Steven Threet retired 
due to multiple concussions. That leaves junior QB Brock Osweiler (62-109, 
797 yds, 5 TD, INT) in charge of the passing offense that ranked 15th in 
the nation (286 YPG). Osweiler should benefit from an O-Line returning 
all its starters, hopeful to improve on 31 sacks allowed last year. He also 
has talented skill players in RBs Cameron Marshall (783 rush yds, 9 TD) 
and Deantre Lewis (539 rush yds, 5-9 YPC), as well as spring-ball standout 
WR Gerell Robinson (387 rec yds, 5 TD) and four other receivers who had 
between 25 and 36 receptions. The defense held six opponents to 20 points 
or less last year, and returns nearly everybody. The best front-seven play- 
ers include DT Lawrence Guy (6 TFL), DE junior Onyeali (6.5 sacks) and MLB 
Vontaze Burfict (90 tackles, 8.5 TFL). The secondary is a weak spot now that 
All-Pac 10 cornerback Omar Bolden (3 INT, 7 PD) tore his ACL in April. 



CAL 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 5 

Cal was a mystery last year with three 50-point games, but failing to sur- 
pass 14 points six times. Much of the drop-off was due to QB Kevin Riley 
tearing his MCL, but with Riley graduated, head coach Jeff Tedford has to 
find a replacement fast. Senior Brock Mansion (67-137, 646 yds, 2 TD, 5 INT) 
was terrible as Riley's backup, leaving Buffalo transfer Zach Maynard as 



NORTH DIVISION 


SOUTH DIVISION 




1. Oregon 


1. Arizona State 


2. Stanford 


2. use 


3. Oregon State 


3. Utah 


4. Washington 


4. UCLA 


5. California 


5. Arizona 


6. Washington St. 


6. Colorado 











Cal's top QB when spring practice ended. Two quality WRs return, in senior 
Marvin Jones (765 rec yds, 4 TD) and sophomore Keenan Allen (406 rec yds, 
5 TD). RB Shane Vereen, who totaled 1,376 yards and 16 TD is also gone, 
leaving 5-foot-7 Isi Sofele (338 rush yds, 4-9 YPC) as the featured back. It's 
doubtful that the 185-pound junior can handle the pounding from a full 
workload. The defense, which allowed 35+ points four times, but no more 
than 17 in the other eight games, lost ILB Mike Mohamed and DE Cameron 
Jordan. Some top-notch defenders return in DE Trevor Guyton (4.5 sacks, 8.5 
TFL), OLB Mychal Kendricks (7 sacks, 14.5 TFL) and LB D.j. Holt (86 tackles). 
Cal only allowed 187 pass YPG (21st in nation) but had a paltry 9 INT. 






Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

There is excitement in Boulder with a new conference and new coaching 
staff filled with both NFL and college experience. The new head man is 
former Redskins TE coach |on Embree. New OC Eric Bieniemy (Vikings RB 
coach) starred for CU during its national title in 1990, and has some tal- 
ent to mentor with QB Tyler Hansen (68.3% comp. rate, 6 TD, 6 INT) and 
RB Rodney Stewart (1,608 total yards, 4-5 YPC, 10 TD). Hansen had a tre- 
mendous spring, looking quite comfortable in the pro-style offense, while 
Stewart ranked 12th in the nation in rushing (110 YPG). WR Paul Richardson 
(514 rec yds, 6 TD) and TE Ryan Deehan (25 rec, 249 yds) are both reliable 
targets. New DC Greg Brown begins his third stint with the Buffs, serving 
as Arizona's co-DC last year. The strength of Colorado's D is the front line 
with DEs josh Hartigan (7 sacks) and Forrest West (5.5 sacks, 8.5 TFL) and DT 
Conrad Obi. Two starting LBs departed, but jon Major (31 solo tackles in 7 
games) is a solid returnee. The noth-ranked pass defense (260 YPG), could 
be worse this year without NFL-bound CBs jimmy Smith and jalil Brown. 






Offense: Spread Option - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Although Oregon lost a bunch of starters from last year's 12-1 team, nobody 
in the country has a better QB-RB duo than Darron Thomas (2,881 pass 
yds, 30 TD, 9 INT; 486 rush yds, 5 TD) and LaMichael James, the FBS leader 
in both rush yds (l,73l) and total TD (24). Both are Heisman contenders 
and were the main reason Oregon led the nation in points (47-0 PPG) and 
yards (531 YPG). WR is a trouble spot without Jeff Maehl and so is the 0-Line 
replacing three starters. The D-Line only returns one starter, Terrell Turner 
(5.5 TFL), but the Ducks have great front-four depth and won't be affected 
much by the losses. LB is thinner with Casey Matthews gone to the NFL and 
Kiko Alonso possibly suspended after an off-season arrest. SLB josh Kaddu 
(6.5 TFL) remains. Oregon is loaded in the secondary, led by CB Cliff Harris 
(6 INT, 17 PD, 4 punt ret. TD) and FS John Boyett (5 INT, 9 PD, 78 tackles). 



114 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



1TATE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Oregon State had a very disappointing 57 season, as the offense ranked 
94th in yardage (327 YPG) and averaged 16.8 PPG in the final five games. 
QB Ryan Katz (2,401 pass yds, 18 TD, 11 INT) returns as the starter, and will 
likely have the services of WR |ames Rodgers (91 rec, 1,034 yds, 13 TD in 
'09), who suffered a severe knee injury last October. His brother RB Jacquizz 
Rodgers and his 17 TD are now in the NFL, and several candidates are vying 
for his vacant starting job. The O-Line returns four starters, but it wasn't a 
strong unit last year (35 sacks allowed). The defense, which ranked 86th in 
yards (408 YPG) has some holes to fill with the top two DLs and best two LBs 
all gone. But the OLBs left are speed burners - Michael Doctor and Cameron 
Collins (39 tackles). And even without top CB James Dockery, the secondary 
is still a top-notch unit led by S Lance Mitchell (74 tackles, 2 INT). 

SOUTHERN CALSFORNIA 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Trojans had another subpar year by their own standards, going 8-5 over- 
all and 5-4 in the Pac-10. QB Matt Barkley's final numbers were excellent 
(2,791 pass yds, 26 TD, 12 INT), but he fizzled in his final five games (6 TD, 8 
INT). The O-Line is major source of concern with just two starters remaining. 
Despite the potential blocking troubles, the strength of the Trojans lies with 
RBs Marc Tyler (913 rush yds, 5-3 YPC, 9 TD) and Dillon Baxter (252 rush yds, 
4.3 YPC). WR Robert Woods is a productive wideout (65 rec, 792 yds, 6 TD), 
but USC is looking for a receiver to complement him. The Trojans' defen- 
sive slide continued last year, as they allowed 400 YPG (84th in nation) and 
gave up 32+ points in six games. But eight starters are back, including four 
really good ones - DE Nick Perry (4 sacks), LB Devon Kennard (72 tackles), S 
T.|. McDonald (89 tackles, 3 INT) and CB Nickell Robey (4 INT). 



STf 



Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 6 

Much has changed for the Orange Bowl champs, especially last year's OC 
David Shaw replacing head coach |im Harbaugh. But the QB remains the 
same, as Andrew Luck (3,338 pass yds, 32 TD, 8 INT; 453 rush yds, 8.2 YPC), 
returns to school to play for a national championship. He doesn't have his 
top receivers anymore, Doug Baldwin and Robert Whalen, but WR Chris 
Owusu (1,158 rec yds, 11 total TD in career) is a playmaker when healthy. RB 
Stepfan Taylor (1,137 rush yds, 15 TD, 5.1 YPC) returns to anchor the strong 
rushing attack, which was l7th-best among FBS schools (214 YPG). The 
defense only allowed 9-3 PPG in the final six games. Three starting DLs have 
to be replaced, but two LBs return with All-American candidate ILB Shayne 
Skov (84 tackles, 6.5 sacks) and OLB Chase Thomas (70 tackles). SS Delano 
Howell (60 tackles, 5 PD) is one of three returnees in the secondary. 



'■:}■: 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Bruins had a miserable 4-8 season, losing seven Pac-10 games by an 
average of 24.3 PPG. New OC Mike Johnson will try to solve the QB posi- 
tion (5.3 YPA, 9 TD, 14 INT). The starter will be Richard Brehaut (6 TD, 7 



INT), Kevin Prince (3 TD, 5 INT), or true freshman Brett Hundley. The rushing 
offense was pretty good (176 YPG, 32nd in the nation) and RB johnathan 
Franklin (1,127 rush yds, 5-3 YPC, 8 TD) is back. So are all the top receivers, 
namely Taylor Embree (409 rec yds) and Nelson Rosario (309 rec yds). The 
defense, which only forced 18 turnovers and ranked 108th against the run 
(206 YPG), gets a big boost from DE Datone Jones (4 sacks, 11 TFL in '09) who 
missed 2010 with a broken foot. The team's best LB, Akeem Ayers, bolted for 
the NFL, but WLB Sean Westgate (90 tackles, 11 TFL, 4 sacks) returns. Three 
starting DBs remain, including talented SS Tony Dye (96 tackles, 9 PD). 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

After starting last season 8-0, the Utes finished 2-3, scoring a laughable 13 
total points in the three defeats. Now Utah enters the Pac-12, but with a 
lot of question marks. Highly-regarded OC Norm Chow joins the staff, but 
he doesn't have great weapons with the loss of Utah's two best RBs and 
two best WRs. QB Jordan Wynn (2,334 pass yds, 17 TD, 10 INT) is coming off 
shoulder surgery, but he does have WR DeVonte Christopher (39 rec, 660 
yds, 6 TD) as a reliable target. There is no telling who will carry the football, 
though. There are many defensive holes to fill with six starters gone. No 
returning player in the front seven had more than two sacks last year, but 
two strong LBs return in Chaz Walker (113 tackles) and Matt Martinez (91 
tackles). The secondary wasn't great in 2010 (225 YPG, 73rd in nation), and 
four of its top five players are gone. Not good for a passing-rich Pac-12. 



m 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Huskies won the final four games of 2010 including crushing Nebraska 
in the Holiday Bowl, but QB Jake Locker has graduated. The QB battle is 
between sophomore Keith Price (19-37, 164 yds, 2 TD, INT) and redshirt 
freshman Nick Montana. There are two bona-fide stars in the supporting 
cast in RB Chris Polk (1,415 rush yds, 54 YPC, 9 TD) and WR jermaine 
Kearse (63 rec, 1,005 yds, 12 TD). The O-Line should remain above-average. 
Defensively, DT Alameda Ta'amu (39 tackles, 5 TFL) anchors a deep front 
line, but the linebacker corps must replace its two best players in SLB 
Mason Foster, who had 163 tackles, and WLB Victor Aiyewa, who had 21 TFL. 
MLB Cort Dennison (92 tackles, 8.5 TFL) is the remaining starter. UW only 
allowed 194 passing YPG (27th in nation), and its secondary remains strong 
with CB Desmond Trufant (48 tackles, 4 PD) and FS Nate Fellner (5 INT). 

WASHNGTON STATE 

Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

WSU has a dreadful 5-32 record in the past three seasons, but things are 
looking up. QB Jeff Tuel (2,780 pass yds, 18 TD, 12 INT) enters his third year 
as the starter and has a bevy of talented receivers, most notably Marquess 
Wilson (55 rec, 1,006 yds, 6 TD). The passing game should improve fur- 
ther in coach Paul Wulff's no-huddle offense. Freshman RB Rickey Galvin is 
expected to boost the ground game which averaged 2.6 YPC last year. The 
O-Line was also to blame, allowing 51 sacks and 108 TFL. The defense gave 
up the nation's third-most yards (467 YPG), but quality players remain in DE 
Travis Long (4 sacks), MLB C.|. Mizell (57 tackles) and WLB Alex Hoffman-Ellis 
(5 TFL). The secondary returns all four starters, so they should improve. 



« 



n 

■ 



i 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 115 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 43 (#4° of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +6.5 (#45 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 41.08 (12th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.50 (8th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +5.5 (#45 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


N ARIZONA 


9/10 


at Oklahoma St 


9/17 


STANFORD 


9/24 


OREGON 


10/1 


at USC 


10/8 


at Oregon St 


10/20 


UCLA 


10/29 


at Washington 


11/5 


UTAH 


11/12 


at Colorado 


11/19 


at Arizona St 


11/26 


LA LAFAYETTE 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


8-5 


8-5 


7-6 


28-23 


54.9% 


6-5 


8-5 


6-7 


5-7 


25-24 


51.0% 


3-2 


6-1 


4-2 


3-4 


16-9 


64.0% 


3-3 


2-4 


2-5 


2-3 


9-15 


37-5% 


6-3 


5-4 


6-3 


2-6 


19-16 


543% 


0-2 


3-1 


0-4 


3-1 


6-8 


42.9% 


1-2 


6-4 


3-3 


4-5 


14-14 


50.0% 


5-3 


2-1 


3-3 


1-2 


11-9 


55-0% 


5-6 


6-7 


5-7 


7-5 


23-25 


47-9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 28.2 53 




First Downs 23.7 17 




Yards/Game 4394 24 




RushYds/Gm 131.7 88 




PassYds/Gm 307.69 9 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.7 41 




Yards/Game 340.9 33 




RushYds/Gm 131.7 33 




PassYds/Gm 209.2 46 




Takeaways 18 86 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


IDAHO 


W70-O 


W (-26/2) 


0(60) 


9/5 


C MICHIGAN 


W19-6 


L (-1334) 


u (55/2) 


9/3 


at Toledo 


W41-2 


W (-15) 


U(58) 


9/6 


TOLEDO 

at New Mexico 


W 41-16 
L'28-36 


W (-24/2) 
L'f-10) 


U(6l) 

0(50%) 


9/12 


ZONA 


W 34-17 


L (-30) 




9/11 

9/18 


THE CITADEL 
IOWA 


W52-6 
W34-27 


W (-42/2) 
W(-2 1 / 2 )' 




9/13 


9/19 


at Iowa 


L 17-27 


L(+4fc) 


0(41) 


0(45) 


9/20 


at UCLA 


w 31-10 


W(-4) 


u (50/2) 


9/26 


at Oregon St 


w 37-32 


W (+2/2) 


0(46) 


9/25 


CALIFORNIA 


WlO-9 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


u (57/2) 


10/4 


WASHINGTON 


W 48-14 


w (-23) 


0(61) 


10/10 


at Washington 


L 33-36 


L(-4) 


0(54) 


10/9 


OREGON ST 


L 27-29 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 


10/11 


at Stanford 


L 23-24 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (52/2) 


10/17 


STANFORD 


W 43-38 


W(-4) 


(53%) 


10/16 


at Washington St 


W24-7 


L (-23) 


U(6l) 


10/18 


CALIFORNIA 


w 42-27 


W (+2/2) 


0(53) 


10/24 


UCLA 


w 27-13 


W (-7/2) 


u (49/2) 


10/23 


WASHINGTON 


W 44-14 


W(-6) 


0(53) 


10/25 


USC 


L 10-17 


W (+14/2) U (52/2) 


11/7 


WASHINGTON ST 


W48-7 


W(-32/ 2 ) U (56/2) 


10/30 


at UCLA 


w 29-21 


P(-8) 


0(47) 


11/8 


at Washington St 


W 59-28 


L (-39) 


0(56) 


11/14 


at California 


L 16-24 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


u (55/2) 


11/6 


at Stanford 


L 17-42 


Ll+7/2) 


(57/2) 


11/15 


at Oregon 


L 45-55 


L(+6J 


0(62) 


11/21 


OREGON 


L 41-44 


W(+5) 


0(60) 


11/13 


USC 


L 21-24 


L(-4) 


U(6l) 


11/22 


OREGON ST 


L 17-19 


L(-3) 


0(57) 


11/28 


at Arizona St 


W 20-17 


L(-3/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


11/26 


at Oregon 


L 29-48 


W (+20) 


(64/2) 


12/6 


ARIZONA ST 


w 31-10 


w (-13) 


U(5l) 


12/5 


at USC 


W 21-17 


W(+7) 


U(50) 


12/2 


ARIZONA ST 


L 29-30 


L(-4) 


0(57) 


12/20 


vsBYU 


w 31-21 


W(-3) 


U(62) 


12/30 


vs Nebraska 


LO-33 


L(+2) 


U(42) 


12/29 


vs Oklahoma St 


L 10-36 


L (+434) 


U (68/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 45 (#32 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.6 (H26 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37.83 (39th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 39.67 (28th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.3 (#38 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-6 

2010 ATS Record: 9-3 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


CAL DAVIS 


9/9 


MISSOURI 


9/17 


at Illinois 


9/24 


USC 


10/1 


OREGON ST 


10/8 


at Utah 


10/15 


at Oregon 


10/29 


COLORADO 


11/5 


at UCLA 


11/12 


at Washington St 


11/19 


ARIZONA 


11/25 


CALIFORNIA 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-3 


5-7 


4-8 


6-6 


25-24 


51.0% 


6-7 


4-7 


6-5 


9-3 


25-22 


53-2% 


5-3 


2-4 


5-1 


5-1 


17-9 


65.4% 


1-4 


2-3 


1-4 


4-2 


8-13 


38.1% 


4-5 


4-5 


4-5 


7-2 


19-17 


52.8% 


2-2 


0-2 


2-0 


2-1 


6-5 


54-5% 


6-4 


3-2 


2-2 


3-1 


14-9 


60.9% 


0-3 


1-5 


4-3 


5-2 


10-13 


43-5% 


4-9 


4-7 


2-9 


6-4 


16-29 


35.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.3 28 




First Downs 21.3 39 




Yards/Game 425.7 29 




RushYds/Gm 139-3 78 




PassYds/Gm 286.42 15 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 25.0 55 




Yards/Game 364.9 57 




RushYds/Gm 119.7 16 




PassYds/Gm 245-3 101 




Takeaways 17 94 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


N ARIZONA 


w 30-13 






9/6 


FORD 


w 41-17 


W(-l4 1 / 2 ) 0(51/2) 


9/13 


UNLV 


L 20-23 


L(-25 1 / 2 ) 






GEORGIA 


L 10-27 


L(+7) 


U(52) 


10/4 


ifornia 


L 14-24 


L(+9 1 / 2 ) 


U(53) 


10/11 


at USC 


L0-28 


L (+2734) 






OREGON 


L 20-54 


L(+3) 




11/1 


gon St 


L 25-27 


W (+14/2) 


0(51) 


11/8 


at Washington 


w 39-19 


w (-13) 




11/15 


WASHINGTON ST 


W31-0 


L (-35) 






UCLA 


W34-9 


W (-10) 


U(45) 


12/6 


izona 


L 10-31 


L(+13) 


U(51) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


IDAHO ST 


W50-3 








LA MONROE 


W 38-14 


W (-21) 


0(50) 




orgia 


L 17-20 


W (+13/2) U (48/2) 


10/3 


ON ST 


L 17-28 


L(-5) 






at Washington St 


W 27-14 


L (-20/2) 


U(47) 


10/17 


WASHINGTON 


w 24-17 


W (-6/2) 


U(47':) 




inford 


L 14-33 


L(+7) 


U(49) 




3RNIA 


L 21-23 


W(+6) 




11/7 


USC 


L9-14 


W (+12) 






egon 


L 21-44 


L (+21) 


0(51) 


11/21 


at UCLA 


L 13-23 


L(+5 1 / 2 ) 


U(4D 




ARIZONA 


L 17-20 


W (+3/2) 





2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


PORTLAND ST 


W54-9 


W (-39) 






ZONA 


w 41-20 


L (-24) 






consm 


L 19-20 


W (+11) 


U(49) 


9/25 


OREGON 


L 31-42 


W (+12/2) (56/2) 


10/2 


gon St 


L 28-31 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


0(53) 


10/9 


at Washington 


W 24-14 


W(-l) 


U(59) 




ifornia 


L 17-50 


L(+3) 






WASHINGTON ST 


W42-O 


W (-22) 


U(57) 


11/6 


at USC 


L 33-34 


W(+6) 


0(61) 




FORD 


L 13-17 


W (+4/2) 


U(59) 




UCLA 


W 55-34 


w (-13) 




12/2 


izona 


w 30-29 


W(+4) 


0(57) 



116 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +6.0 (#47 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.67 (16th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.17 (21st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +3.3 (#55 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


FRESNO ST 


9/10 


at Colorado 


9/17 


PRESBYTERIAN 


9/24 


at Washington 


10/6 


at Oregon 


10/13 


use 


10/22 


UTAH 


10/29 


at UCLA 


11/5 


WASHINGTON ST 


11/12 


OREGON ST 


11/19 


at Stanford 


11/25 


at Arizona St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


9-4 


8-5 


5-7 


29-22 


56.9% 


4-9 


9-4 


6-7 


6-6 


25-26 


49-0% 


2-4 


7-0 


3-3 


5-2 


17-9 


65.4% 


2-5 


2-4 


3-4 


1-4 


8-17 


32.0% 


2-7 


7-2 


3-6 


4-5 


16-20 


444% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


2-1 


9-6 


60.0% 


3-7 


8-3 


4-6 


3-3 


18-19 


48.6% 


1-2 


1-1 


1-1 


2-3 


5-7 


41-7% 


5-7 


8-5 


6-6 


5-6 


24-24 


50.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 25.8 73 




First Downs 17.8 91 




Yards/Game 334-0 90 




RushYds/Gm 158.9 52 




PassYds/Gm 175-08 94 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.6 40 




Yards/Game 319-1 18 




RushYds/Gm 132.1 35 




PassYds/Gm 187.0 21 




Takeaways 19 77 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


MICHIGAN ST 


W 38-31 


W(-6) 


0(54) 


9/5 


MARYLAND 


w 52-13 


W (-21) 


(50/2) 


9/6 


at Washington St 


W66-3 


W (-13/2) 


0(52) 


9/12 
9/19 


EVyASHINGTON 

at Minnesota 


W59-7 
W35 : 2l 


W (-34) 
W'(-13K) 




9/13 


at Maryland 


L 27-35 


U-133&1 


0(54) 


(52/2) 


9/27 


COLORADO ST 


W42-7 


W (-28) 


U(59) 


9/26 


at Oregon 


L3-42 


L (-5/2) 


U(55) 


10/4 


ARIZONA ST 


W 24-14 


W (-9/2) 


U(53) 


10/3 


USC 


L3-30 


L(+4fc) 


U(45) 


10/18 


at Arizona 


L 27-42 


Lf-2/2) 


0(53) 


10/17 


at UCLA 


W 45-26 


W (-3/2) 


0(44) 


10/25 


UCLA 


w 41-20 


W (-19/2) 


0(51) 


10/24 


WASHINGTON ST 


w 49-17 


L(-36 1 / 2 ) 


0(60) 


11/1 


OREGON 


W 26-16 


W (-2/2) 


u (55/2) 


10/31 


at Arizona St 


w 23-21 


L(-6) 


u (51/2) 


11/8 


at USC 


L3-17 


W (+22) 


U(48) 


11/7 


OREGON ST 


L 14-31 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(6l) 


11/15 


at Oregon St 


L 21-34 


L(+3) 


(50/2) 


11/14 


ARIZONA 


W 24-16 


W (-2/2) 


u (55/2) 


11/22 


STANFORD 


w 37-16 


W (-9/2) 


0(50/2) 


11/21 


at Stanford 


W 34-28 


W(+7) 


0(60) 


12/6 


WASHINGTON 


W48-7 


W (-34/2) 


0(54) 


12/5 


at Washington 


L 10-42 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(57) 


12/27 


vs Miami 


w 24-17 


L(-10) 


U(5D 


12/23 


vs Utah 


L 27-37 


L(-2 1 / 2 ) 


(52/2) 



9/4 


CAL DAVIS 


W52-3 


W (-37) 




9/11 


COLORADO 


W52-7 


w(-io/ 2 ) 0(49/2) 


9/17 


at Nevada 


L 31-52 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


(66/2) 


9/25 


at Arizona 


L9-10 


W(+5/ 2 ) 


u (57/2) 


10/9 


UCLA 


W35-7 


W(-8) 


U(49) 


10/16 


at USC 


L 14-48 


L(+2) 


0(54) 


10/23 


ARIZONA ST 


w 50-17 


W(-3) 


(50/2) 


10/30 


at Oregon St 


L7-35 


L(+3) 


U(54) 


11/6 


at Washington St 


w 20-13 


L (-14) 


u (53/2) 


11/13 


OREGON 


L 13-15 


W (+19) 


U (62/2) 


11/20 


STANFORD 


L 14-48 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(49) 


11/27 


WASHINGTON 


L 13-16 


L(7) 


U(50) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 35 (#67 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -4.8 (#86 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.25 (19th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 4331 (3rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -6.6 (#88 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-6-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Hawaii 


9/10 


CALIFORNIA 


9/17 


COLORADO ST 


9/24 


at Ohio St 


10/1 


WASHINGTON ST 


10/8 


at Stanford 


10/15 


at Washington 


10/22 


OREGON 


10/29 


at Arizona St 


11/4 


USC 


11/12 


ARIZONA 


11/19 


at UCLA 


11/25 


at Utah 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-7 


5-7 


3-9 


5-7 


19-30 


38.8% 


6-7 


4-7 


7-5 


5-6 


22-25 


46.8% 


3-3 


2-3 


4-2 


4-1 


13-9 


59.1% 


3-4 


2-4 


3-3 


1-5 


9-16 


36.0% 


4-4 


2-6 


5-3 


2-5 


13-18 


41.9% 


2-3 


2-1 


2-2 


3-1 


9-7 


56.3% 


4-1 


1-2 


1-2 


2-1 


8-6 


57-1% 


2-6 


3-5 


6-3 


3-5 


14-19 


42.4% 


7-6 


4-7 


7-5 


6-6 


24-24 


50.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 24.2 84 




First Downs 19.8 60 




Yards/Game 359-7 79 




RushYds/Gm 137-0 85 




PassYds/Gm 222.67 59 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.8 91 




Yards/Game 400.0 83 




RushYds/Gm 140.3 48 




PassYds/Gm 259-8 110 




Takeaways 19 77 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/31 


vs Colorado St 


w 38-17 


W (-13/2) 


U(56) 


9/6 


E WASHINGTON 


w 31-24 








IGINIA 


W 17-14 


W(+3) 


U(57) 


9/27 


rida St 


L 21-39 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(42) 


10/4 


TEXAS 


L 14-38 


L(+U) 




10/11 


ansas 


L 14-30 


L (+13/2) 


U(5D 




AS ST 


W 14-13 


L(-3) 


U (57%) 




ssouri 


LO-58 


L (+24) 




11/1 


at Texas A&M 


L 17-24 


L(+4) 


U(5D 


11/8 


IOWA ST 


W 28-24 


L (-10/2) 




11/15 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 17-30 


w (+17) 


u (55/2) 




■ jska 


L 31-40 


W (+18/2) (56/2) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/6 


COLORADO ST 


L 17-23 


L (-13) 


u (50/2) 


9/11 


at Toledo 


L 38-54 


L(-4) 


0(55) 


9/19 


MING 


W24-O 


W(-7) 


U(52) 


10/1 


'irgmia 


L 24-35 


W (+17) 






at Texas 


L 14-38 


W(+33/) 


U(59) 


10/17 


KANSAS 


W 34-30 


W (+7/2) 






isas St 


L6-20 


L(+4/) 






.OURI 


L 17-36 


L{+3) 


0(46) 


11/7 


TEXAS A&M 


W 35-34 


W(+3) 


0(56) 




wa St 


L 10-17 


L(+4fc) 




11/19 


noma St 


L 28-31 


W (+17) 


0(47) 




;ASKA 


L 20-28 


W (+10) 


0(41) 



3> 

■ 



i 



2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 vs Colorado St W24-3 W (-11/2) U (46/2) = 

9/11 at California L7-52 L(+io/ 2 ) 0(49%) » 

9/18 HAWAII W 31-13 W (-13/2) U (56) 2. 

10/2 GEORGIA W 29-27 W (+5) (50/2) 

10/9 at Missouri L0-26 L (+12) U (53) 

i'o/16 BAYLOR L25-31 L'i+lj 0(53/2]' 

10723 TEXAS TECH L 24-27 P (+3) U (57) 

10730 af Oklahoma L 16-43 L (+25) U (56) 

ii/6 at Kansas L "45-52 L"(-8/J 0(47)' ^ 

ii7l3 IOWA ST W"34 : 14 W"(+i) U (55) 

11/20 KANSAS ST W 44-36 W"(+2J 0(54/2) 
11/26 at Nebraska L1745 L (+18) Op'/j' 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 117 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 62 (#3 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +26.8 (#3 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.38 (32nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.25 (12th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +28.3 (#3 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 12-1 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


vs. LSU 


9/10 


NEVADA 


9/17 


MISSOURI ST 


9/24 


at Arizona 


10/6 


CALIFORNIA 


10/15 


ARIZONA ST 


10/22 


at Colorado 


10/29 


WASHINGTON ST 


11/5 


at Washington 


11/12 


at Stanford 


11/19 


use 


11/26 


OREGON ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


10-3 


10-3 


12-1 


41-11 


78.8% 


9-4 


7-6 


7-6 


7-6 


30-22 


57-7% 


5-2 


3-3 


5-2 


4-2 


17-9 


65.4% 


4-2 


4-3 


2-4 


3-4 


13-13 


50.0% 


5-4 


5-4 


6-3 


4-5 


20-16 


55.6% 


4-0 


2-2 


1-3 


3-1 


10-6 


62.5% 


7-4 


6-4 


5-5 


7-6 


25-19 


56.8% 


2-0 


1-2 


2-1 


0-0 


5-3 


62.5% 


6-7 


7-5 


9-4 


8-4 


30-20 


60.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 47-0 1 




First Downs 26.5 1 




Yards/Game 530.7 1 




RushYds/Gm 286.2 4 




PassYds/Gm 244.46 39 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 18.7 12 




Yards/Game 346.0 34 




RushYds/Gm 128.1 27 




PassYds/Gm 217.9 56 




Takeaways 37 2 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


WASHINGTON 


W 44-10 


W(-l4 1 / 2 ) U(6l 1 / 2 ) 


9/3 


at Boise St 


L8-19 


L(+3) 


U(64) 


9/4 


NEW MEXICO 


W72-O 


W(-36 1 / 2 ) 0(54/2) 


9/6 


UTAHST 
at Purdue 


W 66-24 
W 32-26 


W (-36) 
L(7) 


(51/2) 

U(58J4) 


9/12 
9/19 


PURDUE 
UTAH 


W 38-36 
W31 : 24 


L (-13) 

WW" 


(57%) 
0(53>2) 


9/11 


at Tennessee 


W 48-13 


W (-10/2) (52) 


9/13 


9/18 


PORTLAND ST 


W69-O 


W (-55) 


9/20 


BOISE ST 


L 32-37 


L (-10/2) 


0(52) 


9/26 


CALIFORNIA 


W42-3 


W (+5/2) 


U(55) 


9/25 


at Arizona St 


w 42-31 


L(-12/ 2 ) 0(56/2) 


9/27 


at Washington St 


W 63-14 


W (-21) 


(56/2) 


10/3 


WASHINGTON ST 


W52-6 


W(-35) 


(55%) 


10/2 


STANFORD 


w 52-31 


W (-6/2) (64) 


10/4 


at USC 


L 10-44 


L (+16) 


U (56/2) 


10/10 


at UCLA 


W 24-10 


W(-3) 


U(44) 


10/9 


at Washington St 


w 43-23 


L (-37) U (70) 


10/11 


UCLA 


w 31-24 


L (-20/2) 


P(55) 


10/24 


at Washington 


W 43-19 


W (-9/2) 


(55/2) 


10/21 


UCLA 


W 60-13 


W(-26/ 2 ) 0(60/2) 


10/25 


at Arizona St 


W 54-20 


W(-3) 


(54/2) 


10/31 


USC 


W 47-20 


W(+3) 


0(48/2) 


10/30 


at USC 


w 53-32 


W (-6) (72) 


11/1 


at California 


L 16-26 


L(+2K) 


U (55%) 


11/7 


at Stanford 


L 42-51 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(57/2) 


11/6 


WASHINGTON 


w 53-16 


L (-38) 0(68) 


11/8 


STANFORD 


W 35-28 


L (13/2) 


0(56) 


11/14 


ARIZONA ST 


W 44-21 


W (-21) 


0(51) 


11/13 


at California 


w 15-13 


L (-19) U (62/2) 


11/15 


ARIZONA 


W 55-45 


W(-6) 


0(62) 


11/21 


at Arizona 


W 44-41 


L(-5) 


0(60) 


11/26 


ARIZONA 


W 48-29 


L (-20) (64/2) 


11/29 


at Oregon St 


W 65-38 


W(+2) 


0(58) 


12/3 


OREGON ST 


W 37-33 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


0(63) 


12/4 


at Oregon St 


W 37-20 


W(-l6/ 2 ) 11(62/2) 


12/30 


vs Oklahoma St 


w 42-31 


W(-l) 


U (75%) 


1/1 


vs Ohio St 


L 17-26 


L (-4/2) 


U(5l) 


1/10 


vs Auburn 


L 19-22 


L(-l) U(73/ 2 ) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +5.7 (#49 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 47-33 (1st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 42.67 (4th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -2.4 (#79 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


SACRAMENTO ST 


9/10 


at Wisconsin 


9/24 


UCLA 


10/1 


at Arizona St 


10/8 


ARIZONA 


10/15 


BYU 


10/22 


at Washington St 


10/29 


at Utah 


11/5 


STANFORD 


11/12 


at California 


11/19 


WASHINGTON 


11/26 


at Oregon 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


9-4 


8-5 


5-7 


31-20 


60.8% 


8-4 


9-4 


7-5 


7-5 


31-18 


63-3% 


4-1 


4-2 


2-3 


3-3 


13-9 


59.1% 


4-3 


5-2 


5-2 


4-2 


18-9 


66.7% 


6-3 


6-3 


7-2 


5-4 


24-12 


66.7% 


2-1 


3-1 


0-3 


2-1 


7-6 


53-8% 


5-2 


6-3 


2-4 


2-3 


15-12 


55-6% 


3-2 


3-1 


5-1 


5-2 


16-6 


72.7% 


6-6 


7-6 


6-6 


6-6 


25-24 


51.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 24.4 82 




First Downs 18.5 79 




Yards/Game 326.5 94 




RushYds/Gm 119.6 97 




PassYds/Gm 206.92 71 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 26.8 64 




Yards/Game 407-9 86 




RushYds/Gm 179-5 89 




PassYds/Gm 228.4 79 




Takeaways 20 72 



8/28 


at Stanford 


L 28-36 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(45) 


9/5 


PORTLAND ST 


W34-7 






9/6 


at Penn St 


L 14-45 


L(+15) 


0(49) 


9/12 


atUNLV 


W 23-21 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(53) 


9/13 


HAWAII 


W45-7 


W (-14) 


U (56)4) 


9/19 


CINCINNATI 


L 18-28 


L(+l) 


u (57/2) 


9/25 


USC 


w 27-21 


W (+24) 


U (55%) 


9/26 
10 y 3 


ARIZONA 

at Arizona St 


L 32-37 
W28-17 


L(2/ 2 ) 
W"(+5)"" 


0(46) 


10/2 


at Utah 


L 28-31 


W (+11/2) 


0(53) 


u (45/2) 


10/11 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 66-13 


W(-28 1 / 2 ) 0(54/2) 


10/10 


STANFORD 


W 38-28 


W(+2) 


(52/2) 


10/18 


at Washington 


W 34-13 


W (-16/2) 


U(59) 


10/24 


at USC 


L 36-42 


W (+21) 


0(52) 


11/1 


ARIZONA ST 


w 27-25 


L (-14/2) 


0(51) 


10/31 


UCLA 


W 26-19 


LMO) 


U(48) 


11/8 


at UCLA 


W34-6 


W (-7/2) 


U (48/2) 


11/7 


at California 


w 31-14 


W (+6/2) 


U(6l) 


11/15 


CALIFORNIA 


W 34-21 


W(-3) 


(50)4) 


11/14 

X1 y 21 


WASHINGTON 

at Washington St 


W 48-21 
W42-16 


W (-13/2) 

"wW" 


0(58) 


11/22 


at Arizona 


w 19-17 


W(+3) 


U(57) 


U(56) 


11/29 


OREGON 


L 38-65 


L(-2) 


0(58) 


12/3 


at Oregon 


L 33-37 


W (+9/2) 


0(63) 


12/31 


vs Pittsburgh 


W3-0 


W (-1/2) 


U(5D 


12/22 


vsBYU 


L 20-44 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


0(58) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


vsTCU 


L 21-30 


W (+13/2) 


0(49) 


9/18 


LOUISVILLE 


W 35-28 


L (-20/2) 


0(55) 


9/25 


at Boise St 


L 24-37 


W (+18) 


0(56) 


10/2 


ARIZONA ST 


w 31-28 


W (-2/2) 


0(53) 


10/9 


at Arizona 


w 29-27 


W (+8/2) 


(52/2) 


10/16 


at Washington 


L 34-35 


W(+2) 


(60/2) 


10/30 


CALIFORNIA 


W35-7 


W(-3) 


U(54) 


11/6 


at UCLA 


L 14-17 


L(-4) 


U(53) 


11/13 


WASHINGTON ST 


L 14-31 


L (-23/2) 


U(56) 



118 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



PAC-12 



$l; 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 45 (#32 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.6 (#52 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 42.38 (5th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 43.83 (2nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +4.3 (#51 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MINNESOTA 


9/10 


UTAH 


9/17 


SYRACUSE 


9/24 


at Arizona St 


10/1 


ARIZONA 


10/13 


at California 


10/22 


at Notre Dame 


10/29 


STANFORD 


11/4 


at Colorado 


11/12 


WASHINGTON 


11/19 


at Oregon 


11/26 


UCLA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-2 


12-1 


9-4 


8-5 


40-12 


76.9% 


7-6 


8-5 


4-9 


5-7 


24-27 


47.1% 


2-4 


5-1 


2-4 


1-5 


10-14 


41.7% 


5-2 


3-4 


2-5 


4-2 


14-13 


51-9% 


4-5 


4-5 


2-7 


5-4 


15-21 


41.7% 


3-1 


4-0 


2-2 


0-3 


9-6 


60.0% 


7-5 


8-5 


4-9 


3-6 


22-25 


46.8% 


0-1 


0-0 


0-0 


2-1 


2-2 


50.0% 


3-10 


4-8 


5-8 


7-6 


19-32 


37.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 31-0 37 




First Downs 23.3 19 




Yards/Game 431-5 26 




RushYds/Gm 189.3 25 




PassYds/Gm 242.15 41 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 26.7 63 




Yards/Game 400.1 84 




RushYds/Gm 140.5 49 




PassYds/Gm 259-5 109 




Takeaways 26 30 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Virginia 


W52-7 


W (-20/2) (43) 


9/5 


SAN JOSE ST 


W56-3 


W (-34) 


0(47) 


9/2 


at Hawaii 


W 49-36 


L (-21) 0(53) 


9/13 OHIOST 


W35T 


W(-ll 1 / 2 ) U(44 1 / 2 ) 


9/12 
9/19 


hioSt ■"■"" 
at Washington 


W18-15 
L13-16 


L'( : 7) 

L"(-20)"' 


U(53) 


9/11 
9/18 


at Minnesota 


W 17-14 

W32 : 21 


T'(-2'6Xi U"(53) 


9/25 at Oregon St 


L 21-27 


L (-24) U (55/2) 


'P(-H) 0(55) 


10/4 OREGON 


■■"W44-10" 


W (-16) U (56/2) 


9/26 


washingtonst;;; 


W'27-6" 


1(45)4) 


U(57/) 


9/25 


at Washington St 


W5O-I6 


W(-22) 0(54/2) 


10/11 ARIZONA ST 


W28-O 


WJ-27KJ U(49/) 


10 y 3 


at California 


W30-3 


*w'W 


U (45) 


10/2 


"Khington''"'' 


L31-32 


L(-9/) 0(5934) 


10/18 at Washington St 


W69-0 


W(-4l/ 2 ) 0(56/2) 


10/17 


at Notre Dame 


W34 : 27 


LW 


0(51] 


10/9"" 


at Stanford 


L 35-37 


W(+ibj 0(60) 


10/25 at Arizona 


W17-16 


L( : 14>2) U (5234) 


10/24 


OREGON ST 


W42-36 


L(-21j 


0(52) 


10/16 


CALIFORNIA 


W 48-14 


''W'l-2) 0(54)' 


11/1 WASHINGTON 


W56-O 


W(-44/j P(56j 


10/31 


at Oregon 


L 20-47 


L(-3) 


0(48/2) 


10/30 


OREGON 


L32-53 


L( + 6) 0(72) 


11/8 CALIFORNIA 


W17-3" 


L (-22) U(48) 


11/7 


at Arizona St 


W 14-9 


LJ-12)- 


U (4534) 


„.„.„.„..... 


ARIZONA ST 


W 34-33 


L"(-'6'j 0(61) 


11/15 at Stanford 


w 45-23 


'"L(-23 1 /2) 0(48 1 /2) 


11/14 


STANFORD 


L2i-55"' 


L(ll i/ 2 ) 


0(58) 


„.„.„.„.„.. 


at Arizona 


W 24-21 


"W"(+4) U (61) 


11/29 NOTRE DAME 


W"38-3 
W28-7 


w (-33/2) U (51) 

L"(-32) U (4634) 


11/28 
12/5 


UCLA 

ARIZONA 


W 28-7 
L 17-21 


W(-13) 
L(7) 


U (47) 
U (50) 


11/20 


at Oregon St 


L736 


L"( : 3) U(58/) 


12/6 atUCLA 


11 /2 7 


"N'OTRE'DAME 


L 16-20 


L(-5) U(53) 


1/1 vsPennSt 


■•••W38-24" 


wjio) 0(44/2) 


12726 


vs Boston College 


W24-13 


■w"f^5y 


U(45) 


12/4 


''M5^AlIIIIIIIW28jl4;' 
StatFox.com Power Rating: 66 


WiMIJIM. 


N 


> PAC-12 


(Hi Of 120) 


> 


StatFox.com Outplay Factor: + 
2010 Schedule Strength: 39-OC 


23.1 (#5 Of 120) 


/^~ fc /v?\ *^P 


SF- ir\8! 


\ fiBb ffifo 














1 (25th toughest) 


&*$T 


IP 


h «/ 














2011 Schedule Strength: 38.75 (34th toughest) 


n - 


rui 














2010 Scoring Differential: +22 


9 (#5 of 120) 


















2010 Straight-Up Record: 12-1 
2010 ATS Record: 8-5 


























^^^^_ 




^^^_ 




^^^^_ 


^^^^ 


^^^^_ 


_ 


2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 





2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


SAN JOSE ST 


9/10 


at Duke 


9/17 


at Arizona 


10/1 


UCLA 


10/8 


COLORADO 


10/15 


at Washington St 


10/22 


WASHINGTON 


10/29 


at USC 


11/5 


at Oregon St 


11/12 


OREGON 


11/19 


CALIFORNIA 


11/26 


NOTRE DAME 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS TOTAL 


8/28 


OREGON ST 


W 36-28 


W (+2/2) (45) 


9/6 


at Arizona St 


L 17-41 


L (+1434) 0(51/2) 


9/13 


atTCU 


L 14-31 


L (+15/2) 0(39/) 


9/20 


SAN JOSE ST 


w 23-10 


W(-6/ 2 ) U(44/) 


9/27 


at Washington 


W 35-28 


W(+3Z) 0(54/) 


10/4 


at Notre Dame 


L 21-28 


L(+6) 0(48) 


10/11 


ARIZONA 


w 24-23 


W(+6/ 2 ) 11(52/2) 


10/18 


at UCLA 


L 20-23 


L(-2) U(46) 


11/1 


WASHINGTON ST 


W58-O 


W (-28) (51) 


11/8 


at Oregon 


L 28-35 


W (+13/2) (56) 


11/15 


USC 


L 23-45 


W (+23/2) (48/2) 


11/22 


at California 


L 16-37 


L (+9/2) 0(50/) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-8 


5-7 


8-5 


12-1 


29-21 


58.0% 


5-7 


7-5 


8-5 


8-5 


28-22 


56.0% 


3-5 


5-0 


5-2 


3-3 


16-10 


61.5% 


2-2 


2-5 


3-3 


5-2 


12-12 


50.0% 


3-6 


6-3 


6-3 


5-4 


20-16 


55-6% 


2-1 


1-2 


2-2 


3-0 


8-5 


61.5% 


1-1 


2-1 


5-3 


8-3 


16-8 


66.7% 


4-6 


5-4 


3-2 


0-1 


12-13 


48.0% 


3-9 


9-3 


8-5 


6-6 


26-23 


53.1% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 40.3 


9 




First Downs 24.3 


11 




Yards/Game 472.5 


14 




RushYds/Gm 213.8 


17 




PassYds/Gm 258.69 


29 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 17.4 


10 




Yards/Game 322.9 


21 




RushYds/Gm 120.9 


19 




PassYds/Gm 202.0 


35 




Takeaways 30 


12 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at Washington St 


w 39-13 


W (-17) 


u (52/2) 


9/4 


SACRAMENTO ST 


w 52-17 


L (-42) 




9/12 


at Wake Forest 


L 17-24 


L{+3) 


U(46/) 


9/11 


at UCLA 


W35-0 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


U(52) 


9/19 


SAN JOSE ST 


w 42-17 


W (-18) 


(47/) 


9/18 


WAKE FOREST 


W 68-24 


W (-17/2) 


0(56) 


9/26 


WASHINGTON 


W 34-14 


W(-9) 


U(54) 


9/25 


at Notre Dame 


w 37-14 


W (-4/2) 


U (59)4) 


10/3 


UCLA 


W 24-16 


W (-4/2) 


U(45) 


10/2 


at Oregon 


L 31-52 


L (+6/2) 


0(64) 


10/10 


at Oregon St 


L 28-38 


L(-2) 


(52/2) 


10/9 


USC 


W 37-35 


L(-10) 


0(60) 


10/17 


at Arizona 
"ARIZONAST 


L 38-43 

w 33-14 


L(+4) 
W'i-7)"' 


(53/2) 

0(49) 


10/23 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 38-28 


L (-37) 


(65/2) 


10/24 


10/30 


at Washington 


W41-O 


W(-7) 


U(64) 


11/7 


OREGON 


w 51-42 


W (+6/2) 


(57/) 


11/6 


ARIZONA 


w 42-17 


W (-7/2) 


(57/) 


11/14 


at USC 


W 55-21 


W (+11/2) 


0(58) 


11/13 


at Arizona St 


w 17-13 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


U(59) 


11/21 


CALIFORNIA 


L 28-34 


L(7) 


0(60) 


11/20 


at California 


W 48-14 


W (-6/2) 


0(49) 


11/28 


NOTRE DAME 


W 45-38 


L(-10) 


0(64) 


11/27 


OREGON ST 


W38-O 


W (-14) 


U(57) 


12/31 


vs Oklahoma 


L 27-31 


W (+10/2) (54/) 


1/3 


vs Virginia Tech 


W 40-12 


W (-3/2) 


U (58/2) 






i 



■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 119 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 33 (#69 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.5 (#92 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 44.50 (3rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.83 (15th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -10.2 (#98 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 3-8-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Houston 


9/10 


SAN JOSE ST 


9/17 


TEXAS 


9/24 


at Oregon St 


10/1 


at Stanford 


10/8 


WASHINGTON ST 


10/20 


at Arizona 


10/29 


CALIFORNIA 


11/5 


ARIZONA ST 


11/12 


at Utah 


11/19 


COLORADO 


11/26 


at USC 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/1 


TENNESSEE 


w 27-24 


W(+7) 


(45/2) 


9/13 


atBYU 


L0-59 


L (+8/2) 


0(51) 


9/20 


ARIZONA 


L 10-31 


L(+4) 


u (50/2) 


9/27 


FRESNO ST 


L 31-36 


W(+7) 


0(48) 


10/4 


WASHINGTON ST 


W28-3 


W (-15/2) 


U(54) 


10/11 


at Oregon 


L 24-31 


W (+20/2) 


P(55) 


10/18 


STANFORD 


w 23-20 


W(+2) 


U(46) 


10/25 


at California 


L 20-41 


L (+19K) 


0(51) 


11/8 


OREGON ST 


L6-34 


L(+7fc) 


U (48/2) 


11/15 


at Washington 


W27-7 


W (-6/2) 


U(47) 


11/28 


at Arizona St 


L9-34 


L (+10) 


U(45) 


12/6 


USC 


L7-28 


w (+32) 


U (46/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-7 


4-8 


7-6 


4-8 


21-29 


42.0% 


9-4 


7-5 


7-6 


3-8 


26-23 


53-1% 


5-1 


5-2 


3-3 


2-3 


15-9 


62.5% 


4-3 


2-3 


4-3 


1-5 


11-14 


44-0% 


7-2 


5-4 


3-6 


1-7 


16-19 


45.7% 


2-2 


2-1 


4-0 


2-1 


10-4 


714% 


3-3 


2-0 


5-1 


0-1 


10-5 


66.7% 


6-1 


5-5 


2-5 


3-7 


16-18 


47.1% 


5-8 


4-7 


3-10 


6-6 


18-31 


36.7% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 20.2 


104 




First Downs 18.4 


81 




Yards/Game 316.7 


100 




RushYds/Gm 175-6 


32 




PassYds/Gm 141.08 


116 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 30.3 


86 




Yards/Game 420.1 


94 




RushYds/Gm 205-5 


108 




PassYds/Gm 214.6 


53 




Takeaways 18 


86 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


SAN DIEGO ST 


w 33-14 


W(-l8 1 / 2 ) U(47 1 / 2 ) 


9/12 


at Tennessee 


W 19-15 


W (+10/2) 


U(46) 


9/19 


KANSAS ST 


W23-9 


W (-11) 


U(44/2) 


10/3 


at Stanford 


L 16-24 


L(+4fc) 


U(45) 


10/10 


OREGON 


L 10-24 


L(+3) 


U(44) 


10/17 


CALIFORNIA 


L 26-45 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/24 


at Arizona 


L 13-27 


L(+7fc) 


u (49/2) 


10/31 


at Oregon St 


L 19-26 


W (+10) 


U(48) 


11/7 


WASHINGTON 


w 24-23 


L(-4'/ 2 ) 


U(52) 


11/14 


at Washington St 


W43-7 


W (-18) 


0(48) 


11/21 


ARIZONA ST 


w 23-13 


W (-5/2) 


U(41) 


11/28 


at USC 


L7-28 


L(+13) 


U(47) 


12/29 


vs Temple 


w 30-21 


W (-4/2) 


0(44) 



9/4 


at Kansas St 


L 22-31 


L(+D 


(44/2) 


9/11 


STANFORD 


LO-35 


L(+5fc) 


U(52) 


9/18 


HOUSTON 


w 31-13 


W (+3/2) 


U (66) 


9/25 


at Texas 


W 34-12 


W (+15/2) (43/2) 


10/2 


WASHINGTON ST 


W 42-28 


L(-23/ 2 ) 


0(48) 


10/9 


at California 


L7-35 


L(+8) 


U(49) 


10/21 


at Oregon 


L 13-60 


L (+26/2) 


(6O/2) 


10/30 


ARIZONA 


L 21-29 


P(+8) 


0(47) 


11/6 


OREGON ST 


W 17-14 


W(+4) 


U(53) 


11/18 


at Washington 


L7-24 


L(+2) 


U (51/2) 


11/26 


at Arizona St 


L 34-55 


L(+13) 


(48/2) 


12/4 


USC 


L 14-28 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


U(52) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +13.0 (#19 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.15 (53rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 37.75 (41st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +12.8 (820 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-3 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


MONTANA ST 


9/10 


at USC 


9/17 


atBYU 


10/1 


WASHINGTON 


10/8 


ARIZONA ST 


10/15 


at Pittsburgh 


10/22 


at California 


10/29 


OREGON ST 


11/5 


at Arizona 


11/12 


UCLA 


11/19 


at Washington St 


11/25 


COLORADO 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


13-0 


10-3 


10-3 


42-10 


80.8% 


7-6 


8-4 


6-7 


7-5 


28-22 


56.0% 


4-2 


3-2 


3-3 


3-2 


13-9 


59.1% 


3-4 


5-2 


3-4 


4-3 


15-13 


53-6% 


5-3 


5-3 


4-4 


5-3 


19-13 


59.4% 


2-3 


3-1 


2-3 


2-2 


9-9 


50.0% 


4-4 


5-4 


4-5 


7-3 


20-16 


55-6% 


3-2 


3-0 


2-2 


0-2 


8-6 


57.1% 


5-8 


10-2 


5-8 


7-6 


27-24 


52.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 33-1 23 




First Downs 18.7 74 




Yards/Game 389.0 52 




RushYds/Gm 152.9 62 




PassYds/Gm 236.08 47 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 20.3 24 




Yards/Game 336.9 27 




RushYds/Gm 111.7 11 




PassYds/Gm 225.2 73 




Takeaways 25 36 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Michigan 


w 25-23 


W(+3) 


0(43) 


9/6 


UNLV 


W 42-21 


L(-2l/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


9/13 


at Utah St 


W 58-10 


W(-24 1 / 2 ) 0(50/2) 




Force 


w 30-23 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


(50/2) 


9/27 


ERST 


W 37-21 






10/2 


ON ST 


w 31-28 


L (-H/2) 


0(53) 


10/11 


ommg 


W40-7 


W (-21/2) 


0(41) 




COLORADO ST 


W 49-16 


W (-21) 




11/1 


at New M 


w 13-10 


L(7 1 / 2 ) 




11/6 


TCU 


w 13-10 


W (+1/2) 


U(42) 


11/15 


at San Dk 


W 63-14 


W (-28) 


0(53) 




BYU 


W 48-24 


W (-6/2) 


0(56) 


1/2 


ibama 


w 31-17 


W (+9/2) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/3 


UTAH ST 


w 35-17 


L (-20/2) 


0(50) 


9/12 


at San )ose st 


W 24-14 


L(-l3 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 




egon 


L 24-31 


L{+4) 






SVILLE 


w 30-14 


W (-14) 






at Colorado St 


w 24-17 


L(-9) 




10/17 


at UNLV 


w 35-15 


W (-14/2) 


U(60) 




ORCE 


W 23-16 


L(-9) 


U(43) 




MING 


W 22-10 


L(17) 




11/7 


MEXICO 


w 45-14 


w (-27) 






at TCU 


L 28-55 


L (+19/2) 


0(49) 


11/21 


EGO ST 


W38-7 


W (-21) 






atBYU 


L 23-26 


W(+8) 


U (55/) 




fornia 


w 37-27 


W (+2/2) 





2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/2 


PITTSBURGH 


W 27-24 


P(-3) 


(48/2) 




UNLV 


W 38-10 


W (-20/2) 


U(54) 




at New Mi 


W 56-14 


W (-21/2) 


0(54) 


9/25 


3SE ST 


W56-3 


W (-30) 


0(52) 




wa St 


W 68-27 


W(-5/ 2 ) 


0(54) 




ommg 


W30-6 


W (-22) 


U(53) 




COLORADO ST 


W59-6 


w (-31) 


0(56) 




Force 


W 28-23 


L(-6/ 2 ) 




11/6 


TCU 


L7-47 


L{+4) 




11/13 


at Notre Dame 


L3-28 


L(-5Z) 


U(53) 




at San Dk 


W 38-34 


W (-2/2) 


0(55) 


11/27 


BYU 


W 17-16 


L(-7Z) 






Dise St 


L3-26 


L (+16) 


U(58) 



120 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 41 (#47 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -33 (#84 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 4531 (2nd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 42.08 (5th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -7.5 (#92 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


E WASHINGTON 


9/10 


HAWAII 


9/17 


at Nebraska 


9/24 


CALIFORNIA 


10/1 


at Utah 


10/15 


COLORADO 


10/22 


at Stanford 


10/29 


ARIZONA 


11/5 


OREGON 


11/12 


at USC 


11/19 


at Oregon St 


11/26 


WASHINGTON ST 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-9 


0-12 


5-7 


7-6 


16-34 


32.0% 


6-7 


1-11 


7-5 


7-6 


21-29 


42.0% 


3-4 


1-6 


5-2 


2-4 


11-16 


40.7% 


3-3 


0-5 


2-3 


5-2 


10-13 


43-5% 


3-6 


0-9 


5-4 


5-4 


13-23 


36.1% 


3-1 


1-2 


2-1 


2-2 


8-6 


57-1% 


2-2 


0-2 


1-1 


3-2 


6-7 


46.2% 


4-5 


1-9 


6-4 


4-4 


15-22 


40.5% 


9-4 


6-5 


6-6 


7-6 


28-21 


57-1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 21.9 96 




First Downs 18.5 80 




Yards/Game 362.5 76 




RushYds/Gm 172.2 38 




PassYds/Gm 190.38 84 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 29.3 80 




Yards/Game 384.9 70 




RushYds/Gm 190.5 97 




PassYds/Gm 194.4 27 




Takeaways 19 77 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Oregon 


L 10-44 


L (+14/2) 


U (61/2) 


9/5 


LSU 


L 23-31 


W (+17/2) 


(52/2) 


9/6 


BYU 


L 27-28 


W (+7/2) 


(54/2) 


9/12 


IDAHO 


w 42-23 


L (-20/2) 


0(55) 


9/13 


OKLAHOMA 


L 14-55 


L (+20/2) 


(61/2) 


9/19 


USC 


W 16-13 


W (+20) 


U(53) 


9/27 


STANFORD 


L 28-35 


L(-3 1 /2) 


(54/2) 


9/26 


at Stanford 


L 14-34 


L(+9) 


U(54) 


10/4 


at Arizona 


L 14-48 


L (+23) 


0(61) 


10/3 


at Notre Dame 


L 30-37 


W (+12) 


0(55) 


10/18 


OREGON ST 


L 13-34 


L (+16/2) 


U(59) 


10/10 


ARIZONA 


W 36-33 


W(+4) 


0(54) 


10/25 


NOTRE DAME 


L7-33 


L(+9) 


U(55) 


10/17 


at Arizona St 


L 17-24 


L(+634) 


u (47/2) 


11/1 


at USC 


LO-56 


L(+4434) 


P(56) 


10/24 


OREGON 


L 19-43 


L (+9/2) 


(55/2) 


11/8 


ARIZONA ST 


L 19-39 


L(+13) 


(49/2) 


11/7 


at UCLA 


L 23-24 


W (+4/2) 


U(52) 


11/15 


UCLA 


L7-27 


L (+6/2) 


U(47) 


11/14 


at Oregon St 


L 21-48 


L (+13/2) 


0(58) 


11/22 


at Washington St 


L 13-16 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


11/28 


WASHINGTON ST 


W30-O 


W(-2534) U(60 1 / 2 ) 


12/6 


at California 


L7-48 


L(+3434) 


0(54) 


12/5 


CALIFORNIA 


W 42-10 


W (+6/2) 


U(57) 



9/4 


at BYU 


L 17-23 


LM/ 2 ) 


U (56/2) 


9/11 


iCUSE 


w 41-20 


w (-13) 


(51/2) 


9/18 


NEBRASKA 


L 21-56 


L(+234) 


0(51) 


10/2 


at USC 


w 32-31 


W (+9/2) 


(59/2) 


10/9 


ARIZONA ST 


L 14-24 


L(+l) 


U(59) 


10/16 


OREGON ST 


W 35-34 


L(-2) 


0(60/2) 


10/23 


at Arizona 


L 14-44 


L(+6) 


0(53) 


10/30 


STANFORD 


LO-41 


L(+7J 


U(64) 


11/6 


at Oregon 


L 16-53 


W (+38) 


(68) 


11/18 


UCLA 


W24-7 


W(-2) 


U (51/2) 


11/27 


at California 


W 16-13 


W(+7) 


U(50) 


12/4 


at Washington St 


W 35-28 


W (-5/2) 


0(54) 


12/30 


vs Nebraska 


W19-7 


W (+12) 


U(55) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (#93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -11.0 (#104 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 42.08 (8th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.00 (24th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -16.3 (#111 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


IDAHO ST 


9/10 


UNLV 


9/17 


at San Diego st 


10/1 


at Colorado 


10/8 


at UCLA 


10/15 


STANFORD 


10/22 


OREGON ST 


10/29 


at Oregon 


11/5 


at California 


11/12 


ARIZONA ST 


11/19 


UTAH 


11/26 


at Washington 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 13-39 


L(+8) 


U(64) 


9/6 

g / 12 


CALIFORNIA 
at Baylor 


L3-66 
Ll7 : 45 


L (+13/2) 

LT+W" 


0(52) 

0(51%) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


2-11 


1-11 


2-10 


10-39 


20.4% 


6-6 


4-8 


5-7 


7-5 


22-26 


45.8% 


3-2 


2-4 


2-3 


3-3 


10-12 


45-5% 


3-4 


2-4 


3-4 


4-2 


12-14 


46.2% 


5-4 


3-6 


3-6 


6-3 


17-19 


47-2% 


1-2 


1-2 


2-1 


1-2 


5-7 


41-7% 


2-2 


0-0 


0-0 


0-1 


2-3 


40.0% 


4-4 


4-8 


5-7 


7-4 


20-23 


46.5% 


6-6 


7-5 


4-8 


6-5 


23-24 


48.9% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 19.6 


106 




First Downs 17.7 


93 




Yards/Game 330.2 


92 




RushYds/Gm 91.0 


117 




PassYds/Gm 239-17 


42 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 35-8 


110 




Yards/Game 467-0 


118 




RushYds/Gm 220.3 


115 




PassYds/Gm 246.8 


104 




Takeaways 22 


59 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/20 

9/27 

id/4 
10 y 11 

10/18 
11/1 

11/8 

■-]■■-■■■ 
._„.„.„.... 

ii/29 



PORTLAND ST 
OREGON 
atUCLA ^ 

at Oregon St 

USCIIIIII 
at Stanford 
ARIZONA 
at Arizona St 
WASHINGTON 
at Hawaii 



W48-9 
L 14-63 
L'3-28 
Ll3 : 66 
Ld-69 
LO-58 
L28-59 
L 6-31 
W16-13 
["16-24" 



L (+21) 

L(+15K) 

■■••[■■(+2834)"' 

L(+4lK) 
L (+28) 

wj+W 

•W'(+35)"" 

W(+634)'' 



0(5634) 

U(54) 
0(54%) 
0(56%) 
' (51) 

0(56) 
U (5634) 

U(47) 
0(5134) 



9/5 


STANFORD 


L 13-39 


L (+17) U(52 1 / 2 ) 


9/4 


at Oklahoma St 


L 17-65 


L (+16/2) 


0(51) 


9/12 


vs Hawaii 


L 20-38 


L(+234) 0(55) 


9/11 


MONTANA ST 


w 23-22 


L(-7 1 / 2 ) 




9/19 


SMU 


w 30-27 


W (+4) U (58) 


9/18 


at SMU 


L 21-35 


W (+23/2) (53%) 


9/26 


at USC 


L6-27 


W(+4534) U (57%) 


9/25 


USC 


L 16-50 


L (+22) 


(54%) 


10/3 


at Oregon 


L6-52 


L (+35) 0(55/2) 


10/2 


at UCLA 


L 28-42 


W (+23/2) 


0(48) 


10/10 


ARIZONA ST 


L 14-27 


W (+20/2) U (47) 


10/9 


OREGON 


L 23-43 


W (+37) 


U(70) 


10/24 


at California 


L 17-49 


W (+36/2) (60) 


10/16 


ARIZONA 


L7-24 


w (+23) 


U(6l) 


10/31 


vs Notre Dame 


L 14-40 


W (+28) U (62) 


10/23 


at Stanford 


L 28-38 


W (+37) 


(65%) 


11/7 


at Arizona 


L7-48 


L(+3234) U (56%) 


10/30 


at Arizona St 


L0-42 


L (+22) 


U(57) 


11/14 


UCLA 


L7-43 


L (+18) (48) 


11/6 


CALIFORNIA 


L 13-20 


W (+14) 


U (53%) 


11/21 


OREGON ST 


L 10-42 


L (+31) U(56) 


11/13 


at Oregon St 


w 31-14 


W (+23/2) 


U(56) 


11/28 


at Washington 


L0-30 


L (+25/2) U(6034) 


12/4 


WASHINGTON 


L 28-35 


U+534) 


0(54) 



3> 



i 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 121 



PREDICTED FINISH 






Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

Last year was a letdown for Alabama, which was the favorite to repeat 
as BCS Champions. The Tide lost three games, allowing 29.0 PPG in the 
defeats. But SEC/BCS title aspirations remain in Tuscaloosa despite the loss 
of QB Greg McElroy, RB Mark Ingram and WR Julio |ones. This year's offense 
clearly revolves around RB Trent Richardson (700 rush yds, 6.3 YPC, 11 total 
TD) who is the strongest and fastest player on the team. The new QB will 
be either sophomore A.|. McCarron (389 pass yds, 3 TD, INT) or freshman 
Phillip Sims, and will have senior receivers to throw to in Marquis Maze 
(557 rec yds, 3 TD) and Darius Hanks (456 rec yds, 3 TD). The O-Line returns 
four starters and should improve its 2.5 sacks per game allowed (88th in 
nation). The nation's fifth-ranked defense (286 YPG), which was also third 
in scoring (13.5 PPG), remains stacked. The D-Line is the weak spot minus 
Marcell Dareus, but Courtney Upshaw (7 sacks, 14.5 TFL, 4 FF) leads a strong 
LB group and FS Robert Lester (8 INT) stars in an outstanding secondary. 






Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

If the Razorbacks are going to win the SEC like folks in Fayetteville believe 
they will, the title run makes regular-season stops at Alabama and at LSU. 
Many pieces remain for Arkansas to be very good, but QB Ryan Mallett is 
now in the NFL, leaving signal-calling duties to junior Tyler Wilson (34-51, 
453 yds, 4 TD, 3 INT). Wilson's best option is to hand off to RB Knile Davis 
who was the top RB in the SEC with 1,322 rushing yards (6.5 YPC, 13 TD). 
Three solid receivers also return in |oe Adams (813 rec yds, 6 TD), Jarius 
Wright (788 rec yds, 5 TD) and Greg Childs (659 rec yds, 6 TD). But TE D.|. 
Williams is gone and so are three O-Line starters. Bobby Petrino expects 
a big improvement out of his defense, which ranked 47th in scoring (23.4 
PPG) and 71st against the run (162 YPG). Most of the starters return, includ- 
ing DEs |ake Bequette (7 sacks, 8.5 TFL) and Tenarius Wright (6 sacks, 8 TFL), 
LBs Jerry Franklin (100 tackles, 13 TFL, 6.5 sacks) and Jerico Nelson (87 tack- 
les, 11 TFL), and safety Tramain Thomas (83 tackles, 4 INT, 4 FF). 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 3 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 3 

The cupboard isn't entirely bare for the defending BCS Champions, but a 
whole gaggle of unknown players will have to step up for Auburn to be 
competitive in the stacked SEC West. The departure of Heisman Trophy 
winner Cam Newton, and his 51 TD, leaves the QB position to one of three 
players - junior Barrett Trotter (6-of-9, 64 yds), sophomore Clint Moseley 



EASTERN DIVISION 


WESTERN DIVISION 




1. Georgia 


1. Alabama 


2. South Carolina 


2. LSU 


3. Florida 


3. Arkansas 


4. Tennessee 


4. Mississippi St. 


5. Kentucky 


5. Auburn 


6.Vanderbilt 


6. Mississippi 











(2 rush, 8 yds) or freshman Kiehl Frazier. The strength of these Tigers is the 
ground game with the duo of Michael Dyer (1,093 rush yds, 5 TD, 6.0 YPC) 
and Onterio McCalebb (810 rush yds, 9 TD, 8.5 YPC), but they'll be running 
behind a young 0-Line with just one returning starter. Emory Blake (526 
rec yds, team-best 8 TD) leads a quality group of receivers. On defense, 
only three players return to a unit that was inconsistent last year - DE Nosa 
Eguae (3.5 sacks, 7-5 TFL), OLB Daren Bates (48 tackles, 7 QB hurries) and 
CB Neiko Thorpe (64 tackles, 9 PD). The secondary was the weak link of the 
2010 season, ranking 108th in pass defense (259 YPG allowed). 



FLORIDA 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 4 

Will Muschamp left his DC/coach-in-waiting position at Texas to try to get 
this Florida program back to respectability. The Gators lost five of their final 
nine games last year and ranked 82nd in total offense (351 YPG). To fur- 
ther help matters, Muschamp hired former Patriots OC Charlie Weis who 
has three Super Bowl rings. Weis' pro-style elements should help QB John 
Brantley (2,061 pass yds, 9 TD, 10 INT) improve. There are plenty of weap- 
ons in the supporting cast with RB |eff Demps (551 rush yds, 6.0 YPC), WR 
Deonte Thompson (570 rec yds) and TE Jordan Reed (6 total TD). The 0-Line 
lost four players from last year, but should still be adequate. Muschamp 
and new DC Dan Quinn (Seahawks D-Line coach) will implement both 3-4 
and 4-3 schemes. DTs |aye Howard (10 TFL) and Sharrif Floyd (6.5 TFL) are 
good run stuffers, but the pass rush is weak and the LBs didn't do much 
aside from JeLani Jenkins (76 tackles). The secondary is in disarray with two 
starting safeties gone and ALL-SEC CB Janoris Jenkins kicked off the team. 



■■'u 



Offense: Multiple Pro - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 7 

Despite its 6-7 season, Georgia has the tools to win the SEC East. Aaron 
Murray (3,049 pass yds, 24 TD, 8 INT) could be the conference's best QB, 
and he'll have WR Tavarres King (504 rec yds) replacing A.|. Green at flanker 
and a top-notch TE in Orson Charles (422 rec yds). Washaun Ealey's transfer 
hurts the running game, but senior Caleb King (430 rush yds, 5.4 YPC) and 
stud freshman Isaiah Crowell should handle the workload. A big concern is 
replacing LT Trinton Sturdivant who will miss the season with a knee injury. 
The defense was solid last year (329 YPG, 23rd in nation), but the Bulldogs 
only had 24 sacks. OLB Justin Houston had 10 of those sacks, but he's gone. 
The remaining LBs are highly athletic with USC transfer Jarvis Jones on the 
strong side and converted safety Alec Ogletree (26 solo tackles) in the mid- 
dle. Christian Robinson (46 tackles, 6 TFL) mans the middle and is the leader 
of this group. The secondary will be superb with all four starters returning, 
including CB Brandon Boykin (3 INT) and S Bacarri Rambo (3 INT). 



122 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



m:M 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

Kentucky was only 6-7 in Joker Phillips' first season, but was among the 
top 35 in the country in offense (428 YPG) and scoring (31.2 PPG). However, 
the Wildcats lost QB Mike Hartline, and 32 of their 53 scores in the depart- 
ed trio of Randall Cobb (13 TD), Derrick Locke (10 TD) and Chris Matthews 
(9 TD). QB Morgan Newton (971 pass yds, 6 TD, 3 INT in career) replaces 
Hartline, but could struggle without a lack of proven skill players other 
than RB Raymond Sanders (466 all-purpose yds, 4 TD). Newton will be pro- 
tected by a strong O-Line returning four starters. The lack of a pass rush 
(no player eclipsed three sacks for the season) is the biggest weakness on 
defense. All-American WLB Danny Trevathan (144 tackles, 16 TFL, 4 FF) leads 
a decent LB corps, while the l4th-ranked pass defense (177 YPG) brings back 
the entire secondary, including SS Winston Guy (106 tackles, 3 INT). 



LSU 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

If the Tigers are to fulfill their 2011 SEC and BCS title aspirations, they 
have to get better QB play from Jordan Jefferson (7 TD, 10 INT). The senior 
looked great in the spring, and will benefit from the ultra-talented WR duo 
of Reuben Randle (544 rec yds) and Russell Shepard (254 yds). LSU also 
brought in former Louisville head coach Steve Kragthorpe as the new OC 
to boost the team's I07th-ranked passing attack (156 YPG). With Stevan 
Ridley gone, sophomore TB Spencer Ware (10 rush, 102 yds in Cotton Bowl) 
will be the top RB, and get plenty of holes from a great offensive line. The 
Tigers lost three excellent defenders (DT Drake Nevis, MLB Kelvin Sheppard 
and CB Patrick Peterson), but still have a strong front seven led by DE Sam 
Montgomery (6 TFL in 5 games), WLB Ryan Baker (7 sacks), and two top- 
notch corners in Morris Claiborne (5 INT) and Tyrann Mathieu (7 PD). 



m 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 9 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Rebels were just 1-7 in SEC play last year and may struggle just as much 
in 2011. The good news for Ole Miss is that senior RB Brandon Bolden (976 
rush yds, 6.0 YPC, 14 TD) has never looked better and will have an excellent 
0-Line blocking for him. The bad news is that opponents might stuff the box 
with 8 and 9-man fronts if the 82nd-ranked passing game (192 YPG) stays 
inept. Dual-threat junior Randall Mackey will likely win the starting QB job, 
but his WRs are pretty thin after Melvin Harris (408 rec yds). The defense 
gets a nice boost with DE Kentrell Lockett (5 sacks, 10 TFL in '09) back after 
missing 2010 with a knee injury. This will help offset the spring losses of 
LBs D.T. Shackelford (knee) and Clarence Jackson (dismissal after arrest). The 
pass defense (246 YPG, 103rd in nation) also needs serious work, as only 
one returnee had an interception last year (Charles Sawyer, 2 INT). 

MDSSOSSOPPQ III! 1 

Offense: Multiple Spread Option - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

After an 8-2 finish last season, the Bulldogs hope to make some noise in 
the powerful SEC West. QB Chris Relf (1,789 pass yds, 13 TD, 6 INT; 713 rush 
yds, 5 TD) has always been a great rusher, but his passing ability improved 



greatly last year (569 pass yds, 6 TD in final two games). Relf has a strong 
supporting cast with TB Vick Ballard (968 rush yds, 5-3 YPC, 19 TD) and WR 
Chad Bumphis (634 rec yds, 5 TD), and a quality offensive line returning 
three starters. The defense hung tough last year, racking up 90 TFL and hold- 
ing opponents under 20 PPG. But MSU loses its three best front-seven play- 
ers who combined for 33-5 TFL (DE Pernell McPhee, LB Chris White, LB K.J. 
Wright). The secondary should improve though, with a trio of 3-INT return- 
ees (CBs Johnthan Banks and Corey Broomfield, and FS Nickoe Whitley). 

SOUTH CAR0LSNJ6 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

The Gamecocks are loaded for a return trip to the SEC title game. The 
school's top three offensive players all return in RB Marcus Lattimore (4.8 
YPC, 1,609 total yards, 19 TD), WR Alshon Jeffery (88 rec, 1,517 yds, 9 TD) and 
QB Stephen Garcia (3,059 pass yds, 20 TD, 14 INT). Garcia had two spring 
suspensions, which could help sophomore Connor Shaw take his job. Plenty 
of stars return to the defense, including DE Melvin Ingram (9 sacks, 11 TFL), 
DE Devin Taylor (7.5 sacks, 13 TFL) and DT Travian Robertson (4 sacks, 10 TFL) 
up front. Highly-touted DE jadeveon Clowney is also expected to boost the 
pass rush. The biggest weakness on defense was defending the pass (242 
YPG, 97th in nation), but the coaches point out the secondary wasn't all at 
fault. Four DBs who started last season return hungry, led by CB Stephon 
Gilmore (3 INT, 79 tackles) and SS D.j. Swearinger (5 PD, 66 tackles). 



€ 



SEE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Tennessee played a killer schedule last year, starting off 2-6. But the Vols 
then won four straight before losing in double-OT to UNC in the Music 
City Bowl. This young team has loads of potential, especially QB Tyler Bray 
(1,849 pass yds, 18 TD, 10 INT). He really matured throughout his freshman 
year and should work well with athletic sophomore WRs Justin Hunter (415 
rec yds, 25.9 avg, 7 TD) and spring star Da'Rick Rogers. The ground game 
should also take a step forward as the sophomore-laden offensive line con- 
tinues to improve its blocking for RB Tauren Poole (1,034 rush yds, 11 TD, 
5.1 YPC). Defensively, only two starters return to the front seven - DT Malik 
Jackson (5 sacks, 11 TFL) and WLB Herman Lathers (75 tackles, 2.5 sacks). 
But the secondary has very good ball skills in FS janzen Jackson (5 INT) and 
CBs Prentiss Waggner (5 INT, 3 for TD) and Marsalis Teague (8 PD). 



ESI 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 11 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Commodores were 2-10, losing their final seven games by 26.6 PPG. The 
offense ranked 112th in scoring (16.9 PPG) and 110th in yardage (298 YPG). 
New head coach James Franklin tries to right the ship with nearly all the 
starters from last year. The offense is paced by QB Larry Smith (11 TD, 13 INT 
career), RB Warren Norman (459 rush yds, 6.0 YPC) and TE Brandon Barden 
(425 rec yds). If Smith is to make the necessary improvements for Vandy to 
be competitive, he'll need more playmakers like WR Jordan Matthews (4 TD 
on 15 rec). The defense needs major help with its weak pass rush (20 sacks 
in '10). DE Tim Fugger (4 FF), DT Rob Lohr (3.5 sacks) and MLB Chris Marve 
(80 tackles) key the front lines. The secondary is quite strong, led by CB 
Casey Hayward (6 INT) and SS Sean Richardson (99 tackles, 5 PD). 



« 



2 







■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 123 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 63 (#2 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +23.9 (#4 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 39-92 (21st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.58 (36th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +22.2 (#6 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-3 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-7-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


KENT ST 


9/10 


atPennSt 


9/17 


NORTH TEXAS 


9/24 


ARKANSAS 


10/1 


at Florida 


10/8 


VANDERBILT 


10/15 


atOle Miss 


10/22 


TENNESSEE 


11/5 


LSU 


11/12 


at Mississippi St 


11/19 


GA SOUTHERN 


11/26 


at Auburn 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


7-6 


12-2 


14-0 


10-3 


43-H 


79.6% 


3-8 


9-5 


9-4 


8-5 


29-22 


56.9% 


1-4 


4-3 


3-3 


5-2 


13-12 


52.0% 


2-4 


5-2 


6-1 


3-3 


16-10 


61.5% 


2-5 


6-3 


6-3 


3-5 


17-16 


51.5% 


1-3 


3-2 


3-1 


5-0 


12-6 


66.7% 


2-6 


7-4 


8-4 


8-5 


25-19 


56.8% 


1-2 


2-1 


1-0 


0-0 


4-3 


57-1% 


6-6 


5-9 


7-5 


4-7 


22-27 


44-9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 35-7 18 




First Downs 22.1 27 




Yards/Game 444-1 22 




RushYds/Gm 182.9 29 




PassYds/Gm 261.15 27 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 13.5 3 




Yards/Game 286.4 5 




RushYds/Gm 110.2 10 




PassYds/Gm 176.2 13 




Takeaways 26 30 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


vs Clemson 


W 34-10 


W (+4/2) 


U(46) 


9/5 


vs Virginia Tech 


W 34-24 


W (-6/2) 


(37) 


9/6 


E 


W20-6 


L (29) 


•■F(457 2 y 


9/12 




L ( 33K) 


(507 2 ) 


9/13 


W KENTUCKY 


W41-7 


W (-26) 


(477) 


9/19 


NORTH TEXAS 


W53-7 


W (-37) 


0(51) 


9/20 


at Arkansas 


W 49-14 


W(-9) 


(47 1 /2) 


9/26 


ARKANSAS 


W35-7 


W(-177) 0(548] 


9/27 


at Georgia 


w 41-30 


W (+6) 


0(46) 


10/3 


at Kentucky 


W 38-20 


W (-16) 


0(47) 


10/4 


KENTUCKY 


W 17-14 


L(15) 


U (44/2) 


10/10 


at Ole Miss 


W22-3 


W (-4) 


U (46) 


10/ IS 


OLE MISS 
atTehnessee 


W 24-20 
W'29 : 9 


WW' 


U (47) 
U'(41) 


10/17 


S CAROLINA 


W20-6 


L(1772) 


u (43/2) 


10/25 


10/24 


TENNESSEE 


W 12-10 


L(-14) 


U(42) 


11/1 


ARKANSAS ST 


W35-O 


W(-24) 


U (49) 


11/7 


LSU 


w 24-15 


W(-7) 


(38) 


11/8 


at LSU 


W 27-21 


W (-3/2) 


[46] 


11/14 


at Mississippi St 


W31-3 


W [-11] 


U (447 2 ) 


11/15 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W32-7 


W (-21) 


U (42/ 2 ) 


11/21 


CHATTANOOGA 


W45-0 






11/29 


AUBURN 


W36-O 


W[-15) 


u ('4072) 


11/27 


at Auburn 


W 26-21 


L(-10) 


P(47) 


12/6 


vs Florida 


L 20-31 


L (+10) 


0(54] 


12/5 


vs Florida 


w 32-13 


W (+5) 


0(41) 


1/2 


vs Utah 


L 17-31 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


(46/2) 


1/7 


vs Texas 


W 37-21 


w (-38) 


(447 2 ) 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/4 


SAN JOSE ST 


W48-3 


W (-40) 


U(52) 


9/11 


PENN ST 


W24-3 


W (-14) 


U(43) 


9/18 


at Duke 


W 62-13 


W (-2372) 


0(57) 


9/25 


at Arkansas 


W 24-20 


L(-67) 


U(56) 


10/2 


FLORIDA 


W31-6 


W(-8) 


U(48) 


10/9 


at S Carolina 


L 21-35 


L(-67) 


0(47) 


10/16 


OLE MISS 


w 23-10 


L (-20) 


U (537 2 ) 


10/23 


at Tennessee 


w 41-10 


w (-17) 


(477 2 ) 


11/6 


at LSU 


L 21-24 


L(-7) 


P(45) 


11/13 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


w 30-10 


w (-13) 


U (4572) 


11/18 


GEORGIA ST 


W63-7 


W (-44) 




11/26 


AUBURN 


L 27-28 


L(-4) 


U(59) 


l/l 


vs Michigan St 


W49-7 


W (-772) 


(507 2 ) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 54 (#11 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +15.2 (#14 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 41.08 (12th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 39-92 (26th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +13.1 (#18 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-3 

2010 ATS Record: 9-4 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MISSOURI ST 


9/10 


at New Mexico 


9/17 


TROY 


9/24 


at Alabama 


10/1 


at Texas A&M 


10/8 


AUBURN 


10/22 


at Ole Miss 


10/29 


atVanderbilt 


11/5 


S CAROLINA 


11/12 


TENNESSEE 


11/19 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


11/25 


at LSU 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


W ILLINOIS 


W 28-24 






9/6 


vs LA Monroe 


W 28-27 


L (-14/2) 


(497) 


9/20 


ALABAMA 


L 14-49 


L(+9) 


(477) 


9/27 


at Texas 


L 10-52 


L (+27) 


(60/2) 


10/4 


FLORIDA 


L7-38 


L (+26/2) 


U(57) 


10/11 


at Auburn 


w 25-22 


W (+16) 


(417) 


10/18 


at Kentucky 


L 20-21 


W(+7) 


U (467) 


10/25 


OLE MISS 


L 21-23 


W (+6/2) 


U (557) 


11/1 


TULSA 


w 30-23 


W (+77) 


U(75) 


11/8 


at S Carolina 


L 21-34 


L (+12/2) 0(437) 


11/22 


at Mississippi St 


L 28-31 


L(-27) 


0(43) 


11/28 


LSU 


w 31-30 


W(+7) 


(537) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


5-7 


8-5 


10-3 


31-20 


60.8% 


7-5 


5-6 


7-5 


9-4 


28-20 


58.3% 


4-3 


3-2 


4-2 


5-2 


16-9 


64.0% 


3-2 


2-4 


3-3 


4-2 


12-11 


52.2% 


5-3 


4-4 


5-3 


7-1 


21-11 


65.6% 


2-2 


1-2 


2-2 


2-3 


7-9 


43.8% 


5-4 


0-2 


4-3 


6-1 


15-10 


60.0% 


2-1 


5-4 


3-2 


3-2 


13-9 


59-1% 


8-4 


7-4 


6-6 


7-5 


28-19 


59.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 36.5 17 




First Downs 22.4 23 




Yards/Game 482.5 9 




RushYds/Gm 148.9 69 




PassYds/Gm 333-69 4 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.4 47 




Yards/Game 347-9 36 




RushYds/Gm 162.6 71 




PassYds/Gm 185.3 20 




Takeaways 25 36 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


MISSOURI ST 


W 48-10 






9/4 


TENNESSEE TECH 


W44-3 


L (-49) 




9/19 


GEORGIA 


L 41-52 


LM7) 


(547) 


9/11 


LA MONROE 


W31-7 


L(-337) 


U(60) 


9/26 


at Alabama 


L7-35 


L(+177) 


U (547) 


9/18 


at Georgia 


w 31-24 


W (+1/2) 


0(53) 


10/3 


vs Texas A&M 


W 47-19 


W(-2) 


U(67) 


9/25 


ALABAMA 


L 20-24 


W (+6/2) 


U(56) 


10/10 


AUBURN 


W 44-23 


W(+2) 


0(63) 


10/9 


vs Texas A&M 


w 24-17 


W(-57) 


U(62) 


10/17 


at Florida 


L 20-23 


W (+24) 


U(57) 


10/16 


at Auburn 


L 43-65 


L (+3/2) 


0(60) 


10/24 


at Ole Miss 


L 17-30 


L (+67) 


U (537) 


10/23 


OLE MISS 


W 38-24 


W (-10) 


0(57) 


10/31 


E MICHIGAN 


w 63-27 


L (-37) 


0(60) 


10/30 


VANDERBILT 


W 49-14 


W (-20) 


(547) 


11/7 


S CAROLINA 


w 33-16 


W (-77) 


U (557) 


11/6 


at S Carolina 


w 41-20 


W(+4) 


0(60/2) 


11/14 


TROY 


W 56-20 


W (-14) 


0(64) 


11/13 


UTEP 


W 58-21 


W (-287) 


0(60) 


11/21 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W 42-21 


W (-12) 


(577) 


11/20 


at Mississippi St 


w 38-31 


W(-3) 


(547) 


11/28 


at LSU 


L 30-33 


W (+37) 


0(54) 


11/27 


LSU 


w 31-23 


W (-37) 


U(57) 


1/2 


vs E Carolina 


W 20-17 


L(-77) 


U(60) 


1/4 


vs Ohio St 


L 26-31 


L(+3) 


U (577) 



124 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




&L& 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 59 (#7 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +23.1 (#6 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 42.21 (6th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.67 (17th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +17.1 (#11 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 14-0 

2010 ATS Record: 10-4 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



9/3 


UTAH ST 


9/10 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


9/17 


atClemson 


9/24 


FLA ATLANTIC 


10/1 


at S Carolina 


10/8 


at Arkansas 


10/15 


FLORIDA 


10/22 


atLSU 


10/29 


OLE MISS 


11/12 


at Georgia 


11/19 


SAMFORD 


11/26 


ALABAMA 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


5-7 


8-5 


14-0 


36-16 


69.2% 


7-5 


2-9 


6-6 


10-4 


25-24 


51.0% 


3-4 


2-4 


5-2 


5-3 


15-13 


53.6% 


4-1 


0-5 


1-4 


5-1 


10-11 


47.6% 


5-3 


1-7 


4-4 


8-1 


18-15 


54.5% 


2-2 


1-2 


2-2 


2-2 


7-8 


46.7% 


3-4 


1-5 


3-4 


8-4 


15-17 


46.9% 


4-1 


1-4 


3-2 


2-0 


10-7 


58.8% 


4-8 


3-8 


7-3 


7-6 


21-25 


45-7% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 41.2 7 




First Downs 24.6 10 




Yards/Game 499-2 7 




RushYds/Gm 284.8 5 




PassYds/Gm 21443 66 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 24.1 53 




Yards/Game 368.4 60 




RushYds/Gm 109.1 9 




PassYds/Gm 259-3 108 




Takeaways 22 59 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


LA MONROE 


W34-O 


W (-25/2) 


U(49) 


9/5 


LOUISIANA TECH 


w 37-13 


W (-13/2) 


0(46) 


9/6 


SOUTHERN MISS 


w 27-13 


L(-19/ 2 ) 


U (48/2) 


9/12 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W 49-24 


W (-15/2) 


0(47) 


9/13 


at Mississippi St 


W3-2 


L(-10) 


U (38/2) 


9/19 


W VIRGINIA 


w 41-30 


W(-7) 


(54/2) 


9/20 


LSU 


L21-26 


L(+2J 


b (37/2) 


9/26 


BALL ST 


W 54-30 


L (-30/2) 


(54/2) 


9/27 '' 

10/4 


IennesSe™"™""™"" 

at Vanderbilt 


W14-12 


L(-6) 

L(-3/ 2 j 


U (40/2) 
U (38/2) 


10/3 


at Tennessee 


W 26-22 


W (+2/2) 


U(49) 


10/10 

10/17 


at Arkansas 
KENTUCKY 


L 23-44 
L 14-21 


L(-2) 

"H-iW 


0(63) 
U (56/2) 


10/11 


ARKANSAS 


L 22-25 


[(-16) 


(4134) 


10/24 


atLSU 


L 10-31 


L(+7V2J 


U (49) 


10/23 


at W Virginia 


L 17-34 


[(+3/2) 


6(40) 


10731 


OLE MISS 


W"33-20 


"W"'(+6/2J" 


0(51) 


11/1 


at 6(e Miss 


L7-17 


L (+6/2) 


U (42/2) 


11/7 


FURMAN 


W 63-31 


L (-37/2) 




11/8 


TENN-MARTIN 


W 37-20 






11/14 


at Georgia 


L 24-31 


L(+4) 


P(55) 


11/15 


GEORGIA 


L 13-17 


W (+8/2) 


U(45) 


11/27 


ALABAMA 


L 21-26 


W (+10) 


P(47) 


11/29 


at Alabama 


L0-36 


L(+15) 


U (40/2) 


1/1 


vs Northwestern 


W 38-35 


L(-9) 


(54/2) 



9/4 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 52-26 


L (-31/2) 


(52/2) 


9/9 


at Mississippi St 


W 17-14 


"WfiKy 


U(56) 


9/18 


CLEMSON 


w 27-24 


L(-8) 


U (54^) 


9/25 


S CAROLINA 


w 35-27 


W (-3) 


(49) 


10/2 


LA MONROE 


W52-3 


W(-35) 


u (55/2) 


10/9 


at Kentucky 


W 37-34 


L(6) 


0(59) 


10/16 


ARKANSAS 


W 65-43 


W (-37 2 ) 


(66) 


10/23 


LSU 


w 24-17 


W (-5) 


u (51/2) 


10/30 


at Die Miss 


w 51-31 


W [-6K] 


0(61) 


11/6 


UT-CHATTANOOGA 


W 62-24 


TRW 




11/13 


GEORGIA 


W 49-31 


wmy 


0(65) 


11/26 


at Alabama 


W 28-27 


W(+4) 


U(59) 


12/4 


vs S Carolina 


W 56-17 


W (-4) 


(6l 1 /2) 


1/10 


vs Oregon 


w 22-19 


W(+l) 


u (73/2) 




2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


FLA ATLANTIC 


9/10 


UAB 


9/17 


TENNESSEE 


9/24 


at Kentucky 


10/1 


ALABAMA 


10/8 


atLSU 


10/15 


at Auburn 


10/29 


at Georgia 


11/5 


VANDERBILT 


11/12 


at S Carolina 


11/19 


FURMAN 


11/26 


FLORIDA ST 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 50 (#15 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.0 (#30 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 41.38 (9th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.08 (22nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +8.5 (#33 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


13-1 


13-1 


8-5 


43-H 


79-6% 


8-4 


11-2 


7-6 


7-6 


33-18 


64.7% 


5-1 


4-2 


3-3 


3-4 


15-10 


60.0% 


3-3 


7-0 


4-3 


4-2 


18-8 


69.2% 


5-3 


8-1 


3-6 


4-4 


20-14 


58.8% 


3-1 


3-1 


4-0 


3-2 


13-4 


76.5% 


7-4 


11-2 


7-6 


7-4 


32-16 


66.7% 


1-0 


0-0 


0-0 


0-2 


1-2 


33-3% 


9-3 


8-5 


5-8 


7-5 


29-21 


58.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.9 43 




First Downs 19.0 69 




Yards/Game 350.9 82 




RushYds/Gm 166.5 44 




PassYds/Gm 184.31 88 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.3 29 




Yards/Game 306.5 9 




RushYds/Gm 130.6 31 




PassYds/Gm 175-9 12 




Takeaways 29 18 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 

976 

9/20 

9/27 

10/4 

10/11 

10/25 

ii/i 

11/8 

11/22 

11/29 

12/6 

1/8 



HAWAII 

at Tennessee 
OLEMiSS 
at Arkansas 
LSU 

KENTUCKY 
vs Georgia 
at Vanderbilt 
S CAROLINA 
THE CITADEL 
at Florida St 
vs Alabama 
vs Oklahoma 



W 56-10 



■W26-3 
WW 
L30-31 

W'38-7" 

W"6'3-5" 

W 49-10 

""W"42 : 14 

w 

W70-19 
w 45-15 
W 31-20 
W24 : i4 



W (-36/2) 
L (24) 

w(W 
L(2 2 y 2 ) 

•'W"(-2'6K)" 
W(-7) 

W"('-8) 

"W(:23Kj 
-W'^iK)" 



0(64) 

■l)"(53]- 

U(5iy 2 ) 

0{49'K) 
U(57) 
(48) 

0'(48] 

0(56) 

0(49) 
0(49) 



W(-l6J4) 0153)' 

W(-IO) 0(54) 

W(-4) U(69) 



9/5 CHARLESTON SOUT 

9/19 

9/26 
10/10 

10/17 
10/24 
10/31 

11/7 

11/14 
■^21" 

11/28 

12/5 

i'/i 



TROY 

TENNESSEE 

at Kentucky 

atLSU 

ARKANSAS 

at Mississippi St 

vs Georgia 

VANDERBILT 

at S Carolina 

FLA INTERNATIONAL 

FLORIDA ST 

vs Alabama 

vs Cincinnati 



W62-3 

W56-6 

W23-13 
W41-7 
W13-3 
W23 : 20 
W 29-19 

W 41-17 

W27 : 3 
W 24-14 
W62-3 
^•3740 
L 13-32 
W 51-24 



"WH7) 

L(-30) 
W(: 2 o) 

W(-9K)- 
L(-24) 

T[227 2 ) 

W(-I6K) 
["(-35) 

L(-17)- 
W(-47K) 

W"(-26) 

LB) 

"Wl-12) 



0(61) 
U(52) 

U (53K) 
U(46) 
U(57] 
U(50) 

(48/2) 
U(47) 

U(44) 

0(60] 
U(57) 
0(41) 

0159)' 



9/4 


MIAMI OHIO 


W 34-12 


L (-38) 


U (54/2) 


9/11 


S FLORIDA 


W 38-14 


W (-14/2) 


0(50) 


9/18 


at Tennessee 


w 31-17 


W(-13) 


(44/2) 


9/25 


KENTUCKY 


W 48-14 


W (-14) 


(49/2) 


10/2 


at Alabama 


L6-31 


L(+8) 


U(48) 


10/9 


LSU 


L 29-33 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(44) 


10/16 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


L7-10 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


10/30 


vs Georgia 


W 34-31 


W(-l) 


(49/2) 


11/6 


at Vanderbilt 


W 55-14 


W (-14) 


(45/2) 


11/13 


S CAROLINA 


L 14-36 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


11/20 


APPALACHIAN ST 


W 48-IO 


W (-24) 




11/27 


at Florida St 


L7-31 


L(+2J4) 


U(5D 


1/1 


vs Penn St 


W 37-24 


W(- 7 ) 


(47/2) 










■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 125 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 49 (#19 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +10.5 (#35 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 38.77 (28th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 3933 (29th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +10.0 (#28 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


BOISE ST 


9/10 


S CAROLINA 


9/17 


COASTAL CAROLINA 


9/24 


atOle Miss 


10/1 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


10/8 


at Tennessee 


10/15 


atVanderbilt 


10/29 


FLORIDA 


11/5 


NEW MEXICO ST 


11/12 


AUBURN 


11/19 


KENTUCKY 


11/26 


at Georgia Tech 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-2 


10-3 


8-5 


6-7 


35-17 


673% 


8-4 


4-6 


5-7 


5-8 


22-25 


46.8% 


4-2 


1-3 


1-4 


4-2 


10-11 


47.6% 


4-2 


3-3 


4-3 


1-6 


12-14 


46.2% 


5-3 


1-5 


3-5 


3-5 


12-18 


40.0% 


3-1 


3-1 


2-2 


2-3 


10-7 


58.8% 


6-4 


4-5 


3-4 


5-4 


18-17 


514% 


2-0 


0-1 


2-3 


0-4 


4-8 


33-3% 


5-6 


6-6 


5-6 


8-4 


24-22 


52.2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 32.1 30 




First Downs 18.9 72 




Yards/Game 385.0 56 




RushYds/Gm 142.6 73 




PassYds/Gm 242.38 40 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 22.1 36 




Yards/Game 328.5 23 




RushYds/Gm 147.2 56 




PassYds/Gm 181.3 17 




Takeaways 26 30 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


GA SOUTHERN 


W 45-21 






9/5 
9/12 


at Oklahoma St 
IOLINA 


L 10-24 
W'41-37' 


L(+5) 

L(7) 


U (6O/2) 
0(40) 


9/4 
9/11 


...LA LAFAYETTE 

at S Carolina 


W55-7 
L 6-17 


W (-29/2) 
L(+3i 


0(53) 


9/6 


C MICHIGAN 


W 56-17 


W (-24/2) 


0(59) 




9/13 


at S Carolina 


W14-7 


P(-7) 


U(45) 


9/19 


at Arkansas 


w 52-41 


W (+1/2) 


(54/2) 


9/18 


ARKANSAS 


L 24-31 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


0(53) 


9/20 


at Arizona St 


w 27-10 


W(-7) 


U(52) 


9/26 


ARIZONA ST 


w 20-17 


L (13/2) 


U (48/2) 


9/25 


at Mississippi St 


L 12-24 


L(+l) 


U(46) 


9/27 


ALABAMA 
TENNESSEE 


L 30-41 
W26-14 


L(-6) 
P(-12) 


0(46) 

"U"(43%y 


10/3 


LSU 


L 13-20 


L (-3/2) 


u (50/2) 


10/2 
IO/9" 


at Colorado 
TENNESSEE 


L 27-29 
W 41-14 


L(-5) 
W'(-iiK) 


(50/2) 


10/11 


10/10 


at Tennessee 


L 19-45 


L(pk) 


0(46) 


0(48) 


10/18 


VANDERBILT 


W 24-14 


L (-16/2) 


u (43/2) 


10/17 


atVanderbilt 


W 34-10 


W (-7/2) 


u (47/2) 


10/16 


VANDERBILT 


W43-0 


W (-14) 


u (49/2) 


10/25 


atLSU 


w 52-38 


W(-2) 


0(49) 


10/31 


vs Florida 


L 17-41 


L (+16/2) 


(48/2) 


10/23 


at Kentucky 


W 44-31 


W(-6) 


0(58) 


11/1 


vs Florida 


L 10-49 


L(+8) 


0(56) 


11/7 


TENNESSEE TECH 


W38-O 


L (-42) 




10/30 


vs Florida 


L 31-34 


L(+lJ 


(49/2) 


11/8 


at Kentucky 


W 42-38 


LM3/2) 


0(47) 


11/14 


AUBURN 


w 31-24 


W(-4) 


P(55) 


11/6 


IDAHO ST 


W55-7 


W (-45) 




11/15 


at Auburn 


w 17-13 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


11/21 


KENTUCKY 


L 27-34 


L(-10) 


0(50) 


11/13 


at An bum 


L 31-49 


L (+7/2) 


0(65) 


11/29 


GEORGIA TECH 


L 42-45 


L(-8) 


0(50) 


11/28 


at Georgia Tech 


w 30-24 


W (+9/2) 


U(57) 


11/27 


GEORGIA TECH 


W 42-34 


L (-14) 


0(58) 


1/1 


vs Michigan St 


W 24-12 


W (-8/2) 


u (57/2) 


12/28 


vs Texas A&M 


W 44-20 


W(-6) 


U (65/2) 


12/31 


vsUCF 


L6-10 


L(-7) 


u (53/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 39 (#55 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +2.0 (#62 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 36.62 (47th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 37.67 (42nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +2.8 (#56 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


at W Kentucky 


9/10 


C MICHIGAN 


9/17 


LOUISVILLE 


9/24 


FLORIDA 


10/1 


atLSU 


10/8 


at S Carolina 


10/22 


JACKSONVILLE ST 


10/29 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


11/5 


OLE MISS 


11/12 


atVanderbilt 


11/19 


at Georgia 


11/26 


TENNESSEE 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/31 


at Louisville 


W27-2 


W(+3 1 / 2 ) 


u (55/2) 


9/6 


OLKST 


W38-3 






9/13 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


W 20-14 


L(-l9 1 / 2 ) 


U (46/2) 




W KENTUCKY 


W41-3 


w (-19) 




10/4 


jbama 


L 14-17 


W (+15) 




10/11 


iOLINA 


L 17-24 


L( + l/ 2 ) 






iNSAS 


W 21-20 


L(-7) 






orida 


L5-63 


L (+25/2) 


0(48) 


11/1 


at Mississippi St 


w 14-13 


W (+1/2) 




11/8 


GEORGIA 


L 38-42 


W (+13/2) 


0(47) 


11/15 


VANDERBILT 


L 24-31 


L'f-3) 


0(38) 




at Tennessee 


L 10-28 


L{+4) 




1/2 


vs E Carolina 


w 25-19 


W(+3) 


0(41) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


7-6 


7-6 


6-7 


28-24 


53-8% 


6-5 


6-6 


6-6 


6-7 


24-24 


50.0% 


4-3 


2-4 


1-5 


5-2 


12-14 


46.2% 


2-2 


4-2 


5-1 


1-5 


12-10 


54-5% 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


3-5 


13-19 


40.6% 


3-0 


3-1 


2-2 


3-2 


11-5 


68.8% 


3-2 


1-3 


3-2 


4-1 


11-8 


57-9% 


3-3 


5-3 


3-4 


2-6 


13-16 


44.8% 


7-5 


5-7 


7-5 


8-4 


27-21 


56.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 31.2 34 




First Downs 22.2 24 




Yards/Game 427-9 27 




RushYds/Gm 158.5 53 




PassYds/Gm 269.31 23 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.4 72 




Yards/Game 354-2 45 




RushYds/Gm 177-1 85 




PassYds/Gm 177.1 14 




Takeaways 16 102 



9/5 vs Miami Ohio W42-O W (-15) U (49) 



9/19 

10 y 3 
lb/17 

li/7" 
„.„.„.„.„.. 



LOUISVILLE 



FLORIDA 

ALABAMA 

at S Carolina 



0(49). 



L7-41 

L 26-38 

"L'26-28" 



T( + 16)' 
W'(+9>2J" 



0(47) 



at Auburn 

)NROE 

Mississippi sf 



W 21-14 

W36-13 

L24 : 31 



W (+13/2) 
"W"( : 14) 

im 



'CKY 
orgia 
vs Clemson 



W 37-12 
W 24-13 
W"34 : 27 
L 24-30 
L 13-21 



L(-31) 

"WJ+ioY 

LT+3) 

■-['(+6)4)"' 



0(47) 



U(45) 
0(50) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Louisville 


W 23-16 


W(-3) 


u (47/2) 




ITUCKY 


W 63-28 


W (-24/2) (53/2) 




AKRON 


W 47-10 


W (-24/2) 


0(52) 


9/25 


orida 


L 14-48 


L (+14) 




10/2 


at Ole Miss 


L 35-42 


L(+2/ 2 ) 




10/9 


AUBURN 


L 34-37 


W(+6) 


0(59) 




OLINA 


W 31-28 


W (+5/2) 






GEORGIA 


L 31-44 


L(+6) 


0(58) 




at Mississippi St 


L 17-24 


L(+6) 


u (55/2) 


11/6 




L (-47) 




11/13 


ERBILT 


W 38-20 


W (-16/2) 


0(54) 




at Tennessee 


L 14-24 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


U(59) 


1/8 


sburgh 


L 10-27 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


U(52) 



126 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




MU 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 52 (#14 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +15.1 (#15 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 41.23 (11th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 43-92 (1st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +11.5 (#24 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 11-2 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6-1 



9/3 


vs. Oregon 


9/10 


NORTHWESTERN ST 


9/15 


at Mississippi St 


9/24 


at W Virginia 


10/1 


KENTUCKY 


10/8 


FLORIDA 


10/15 


at Tennessee 


10/22 


AUBURN 


11/5 


at Alabama 


11/12 


W KENTUCKY 


11/19 


atOle Miss 


11/25 


ARKANSAS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


12-2 


8-5 


9-4 


11-2 


40-13 


75-5% 


5-7 


3-9 


5-7 


6-6 


19-29 


39-6% 


3-4 


0-7 


3-3 


3-3 


9-17 


34.6% 


2-3 


3-2 


2-4 


3-3 


10-12 


45-5% 


1-6 


2-6 


3-4 


4-4 


10-20 


333% 


4-1 


1-3 


2-3 


2-2 


9-9 


50.0% 


5-7 


2-6 


3-5 


4-4 


14-22 


38.9% 


0-0 


1-3 


2-2 


2-2 


5-7 


41-7% 


10-4 


7-5 


5-8 


5-6 


27-23 


54-0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.7 45 




First Downs 17.5 94 




Yards/Game 341-3 86 




RushYds/Gm 185.7 28 




PassYds/Gm 155.62 107 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 18.2 11 




Yards/Game 307.2 12 




RushYds/Gm 137-3 42 




PassYds/Gm 169.9 10 




Takeaways 32 8 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


APPALACHIAN ST 


w 41-13 






9/5 
9/12 


at Washington 
EMIT 


w 31-23 

W'2'3-9 


L (-17/2) 
P (-14) 


(52/2) 


9/4 
9/11 


vs N Carolina 
atVanderbiit 


W 30-24 
W27T" 


L (-7/2) 

W (-10/2) 


0(43) 


9/13 


NORTH TEXAS 


W41-3 


L (-44/ 2 ) 


0(61) 


U(46) 


9/20 


at An bum 


W 26-21 


W(-2) 


(37/2) 


9/19 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W31-3 


W(-27) 


u (52/2) 


9/18 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W29-7 


W(-7) 


U(45) 


9/27 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W 34-24 


L (-23/2) 


(42/2) 


9/26 


at Mississippi St 


W 30-26 


L (-12) 


0(45) 


9/25 


W VIRGINIA 


W 20-14 


L (-9/2) 


U (44/2) 


10/11 


at Florida 


L 21-51 


L(+7) 


0(48) 


10/3 


at Georgia 


w 20-13 


W (+3/2) 


u (50/2) 


10/2 


TENNESSEE 


W 16-14 


L(-l6/ 2 ) 


U(43) 


10/18 


at S Carolina 


w 24-17 


W(-l) 


U(43) 


10/10 


FLORIDA 


L3-13 


L (+9/2) 


U(46) 


10/9 


at Florida 


w 33-29 


W (+6/2) 


0(44) 


10/25 


GEORGIA 


L 38-52 


L(+2) 


0(49) 


10/24 


AUBURN 


w 31-10 


W (-7/2) 


U(49) 


10/16 


MCNEESEST 


w 32-10 


L (-43/2) 




11/1 


TULANE 


W 35-10 


L(-30 1 / 2 ) 


u (53/2) 


10/31 


TULANE 


W42-O 


W (-37) 


u (45/2) 


10/23 


at Auburn 


L 17-24 


L{+5) 


u (51/2) 


11/8 


ALABAMA 


L 21-27 


L(+3K) 


0(46) 


11/7 


at Alabama 


L 15-24 


L(+7J 


0(38) 


11/6 


ALABAMA 


W 24-21 


W(+7) 


P(45) 


11/15 


TROY 


w 40-31 


L (-15/2) 


0(55) 


11/14 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W 24-16 


L(-22/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


11/13 


LA MONROE 


W51-O 


W (-32/2) 


0(47) 


11/22 


OLE MISS 


L 13-31 


L(-3) 


u (54/2) 


11/21 


at Ole Miss 


L 23-25 


W(+6) 


0(45) 


11/20 


OLE MISS 


W 43-36 


L (-14) 


0(52) 


11/28 


at Arkansas 


L 30-31 


L(-7) 


(53/2) 


11/28 


ARKANSAS 


w 33-30 


L (-3/2) 


0(54) 


11/27 


at Arkansas 


L 23-31 


L (+3/2) 


U(57) 


12/31 


vs Georgia Tech 


W38-3 


W(+4) 


U(53) 


1/1 


vs Penn St 


L 17-19 


L(-2) 


U(40) 


1/7 


vs Texas A&M 


W 41-24 


W (-1/2) 


0(48/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -4.1 (#85 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 37.08 (43rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.92 (6th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -4.6 (#84 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 4-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


BYU 


9/10 


S ILLINOIS 


9/17 


atVanderbiit 


9/24 


GEORGIA 


10/1 


at Fresno St 


10/15 


ALABAMA 


10/22 


ARKANSAS 


10/29 


at Auburn 


11/5 


at Kentucky 


11/12 


LOUISIANA TECH 


11/19 


LSU 


11/26 


at Mississippi St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


9-4 


9-4 


4-8 


25-25 


50.0% 


6-5 


9-3 


7-5 


4-7 


26-20 


56.5% 


4-2 


4-2 


4-2 


2-4 


14-10 


58.3% 


2-3 


5-1 


3-3 


2-3 


12-10 


54-5% 


5-3 


5-3 


3-5 


3-5 


16-16 


50.0% 


1-2 


4-0 


4-0 


1-2 


10-4 


714% 


1-1 


4-3 


6-4 


2-3 


13-11 


54-2% 


5-4 


5-0 


0-1 


2-4 


12-9 


57-1% 


4-7 


6-6 


6-5 


7-4 


23-22 


51.1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 30.6 41 




First Downs 18.7 75 




Yards/Game 399-8 43 




RushYds/Gm 207.6 18 




PassYds/Gm 192.25 82 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 35-2 107 




Yards/Game 399-2 81 




RushYds/Gm 152.8 61 




PassYds/Gm 246.3 103 




Takeaways 18 86 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


MEMPHIS 


W 41-24 


W(-9) 


0(53) 


9/6 
9/19 


at Memphis 
'SELOUTSIANA 


w 45-14 

W52-6"" 


W (-17/2) 

■■■ W fii)'' 


0(55) 


9/6 


at Wake Forest 


L 28-30 


W(+7) 


0(45) 




9/13 


SAMFORD 


W 34-10 






9/24 


at S Carolina 


L 10-16 


L(-4) 


u (51/2) 


9/20 


VANDERBILT 


L 17-23 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U(49) 


10/3 


atVanderbiit 


W23-7 


W (-10) 


u (43/2) 


9/27 


at Florida 


w 31-30 


W (+22/2) (49/2) 


10/10 


ALABAMA 


L3-22 


Lf+4) 


U(46) 


10/4 


S CAROLINA 


L 24-31 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


0(42) 


10/17 


UAB 


w 48-13 


w (-23) 


0(55) 


10/18 


at Alabama 


L 20-24 


W (+12/2) 


U(47) 


10/24 


ARKANSAS 


w 30-17 


W (-6/2) 


u (53/2) 


10/25 


at Arkansas 


w 23-21 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


U (55%) 


10/31 


at Auburn 


L 20-33 


L(6/ 2 ) 


0(51) 


11/1 


AUBURN 


W17-7 


W (-6/2) 


U (42/2) 


11/7 


N ARIZONA 


W 38-14 


L (-35) 




11/15 


LA MONROE 


W59-0 


W (-24) 


0(57) 


11/14 


TENNESSEE 


w 42-17 


W (-5/2) 


(47/2) 


11/22 


at LSU 


w 31-13 


W(+3) 


u (54/2) 


11/21 


LSU 


w 25-23 


L(-6) 


0(45) 


11/28 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W45-0 


W (-18) 


u (47/2) 


11/28 


at Mississippi St 


L 27-41 


L (-7/2) 


0(48) 


1/2 


vs Texas Tech 


W 47-34 


W(+4) 


0(66) 


1/2 


vs Oklahoma St 


W21-7 


W (-3/2) 


U(5D 



9/4 


JACKSONVILLE ST 


W 48-49 






9/11 


atTulane 


w 27-13 


L (-20/2) 


U (49/2) 


9/18 


VANDERBILT 


L 14-28 


L(-ll/ 2 ) 


U(43) 


9/25 


FRESNO ST 


W 55-38 


W(-2) 


(50/2) 


10/2 


KENTUCKY 


w 42-35 


W (-2/2) 


(56/2) 


10/16 


at Alabama 


L 10-23 


W (+20) 


u (53/2) 


10/23 


at Arkansas 


L 24-38 


L (+10) 


0(57) 


10/30 


AUBURN 


L 31-51 


L( + 6 1 / 2 ) 


0(61) 


11/6 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W 43-21 


L (-29/2) 


0(62) 


11/13 


at Tennessee 


L 14-52 


L(+2) 


0(55) 


11/20 


at LSU 


L 36-43 


W (+14) 


0(52) 


11/27 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


L 23-31 


L(+3) 


u (54/2) 



3> 

■ 



2! 







■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 127 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 50 (#15 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +12.0 (#21 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 39.00 (25th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 39-75 (27th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +9.2 (#31 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


at Memphis 


9/10 


at Auburn 


9/15 


LSU 


9/24 


LOUISIANA TECH 


10/1 


at Georgia 


10/8 


atUAB 


10/15 


S CAROLINA 


10/29 


at Kentucky 


11/5 


TENN-MARTIN 


11/12 


ALABAMA 


11/19 


at Arkansas 


11/26 


OLE MISS 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


4-8 


5-7 


9-4 


26-24 


52.0% 


6-6 


4-7 


6-5 


7-5 


23-23 


50.0% 


1-4 


3-2 


3-3 


3-3 


10-12 


45.5% 


5-2 


1-5 


3-2 


4-2 


13-11 


54-2% 


3-5 


4-4 


5-3 


4-4 


16-16 


50.0% 


3-1 


0-3 


1-2 


3-1 


7-7 


50.0% 


1-2 


0-3 


1-1 


6-1 


8-7 


53-3% 


5-4 


4-4 


5-4 


1-4 


15-16 


48.4% 


5-7 


4-7 


6-5 


4-8 


19-27 


41-3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.0 48 




First Downs 20.6 46 




Yards/Game 401.3 42 




RushYds/Gm 214.9 16 




PassYds/Gm 186.46 86 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 19.9 21 




Yards/Game 356.9 49 




RushYds/Gm 119.1 15 




PassYds/Gm 237.8 91 




Takeaways 28 23 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 14-22 


L(-7) 


U(44) 


9/5 


IACKSON ST 


W45-7 






9/6 


SE LOUISIANA 


W 34-10 






9/12 


j burn 


L 24-49 


L (+15/2) 


0(47) 


9/13 


AUBURN 


L2-3 


W (+10) 


U (38/2) 


9/19 


at Vanderbilt 


W15-3 


W (+8/2) 


U(45) 


9/20 


at Georgia Tech 


L7-38 


L(+7) 


0(38) 


9/26 


LSU 


L 26-30 


W (+12) 


0(45) 


9/27 


at LSU 


L 24-34 


W (+23/2) (42/2) 


10/3 


GEORGIA TECH 


L 31-42 


L (+534) 


0(48) 


10/11 


VANDERBILT 


W 17-14 


W(+l) 


U(38) 


10/10 


HOUSTON 


L 24-31 


L(-3) 


U (68) 


10/18 


at Tennessee 


L3-34 


L(+9 1 /2) 


U(38) 


10/17 


at Middle Tenn st 


W27-6 


W(-5) 


U (52/2) 


10/25 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


w 31-22 


L (-H/2) 


0(43) 


10/24 


FLORIDA 


L 19-29 


W (+22/2) 


U(50) 


11/1 


KENTUCKY 


L 13-14 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


U (38/2) 


10/31 


at Kentucky 


w 31-24 


W (+3/2) 


(47/2) 


11/15 


at Alabama 


L7-32 


L (+21) 


U (42/2) 


11/14 


ALABAMA 


L3-31 


L (+11) 


U (44/2) 


11/22 


ARKANSAS 


w 31-28 


W (+2/2) 


0(43) 


11/21 


at Arkansas 


L 21-42 


L (+12) 


(57/2) 


11/28 


at Ole Miss 


L0-45 


L (+18) 


U (47/2) 


11/28 


OLE MISS 


w 41-27 


W (+7/2) 


0(48) 



9/4 


MEMPHIS 


W49-7 


W (-22) 


0(47) 


9/9 


AUBURN 


L 14-17 


L (+1/2) 


U(56) 


9/18 


at LSU 


L7-29 


L(+7) 


U(45) 


9/25 


GEORGIA 


W 24-12 


W(-l) 


U(46) 


10/2 


ALCORN ST 


W 49-16 


L (-44) 




10/9 


at Houston 


W 47-24 


W (-4/2) 


0(57) 


10/16 


at Florida 


W10-7 


W (+9/2) 


U(47) 


10/23 


UAB 


w 29-24 


LI-19J4) 


u (53/2) 


10/30 


KENTUCKY 


w 24-17 


W(-6) 


u (55%) 


11/13 


at Alabama 


L 10-30 


L (+13) 


u (45/2) 


11/20 


ARKANSAS 


L 31-38 


L(+3) 


(54/2) 


11/27 


at Ole Miss 


w 31-23 


W(-3) 


u (54/2) 


1/1 


vs Michigan 


w 52-14 


W(-3) 


(61/2) 




2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at E Carolina 


9/10 


at Georgia 


9/17 


NAVY 


9/24 


VANDERBILT 


10/1 


AUBURN 


10/8 


KENTUCKY 


10/15 


at Mississippi St 


10/29 


at Tennessee 


11/5 


at Arkansas 


11/12 


FLORIDA 


11/19 


THE CITADEL 


11/26 


CLEMSON 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 50 (#15 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +12.5 (#20 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 43-36 (4th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.25 (20th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +7.8 (#35 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-5 

2010 ATS Record: 7-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-5 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


7-6 


7-6 


9-5 


29-23 


55-8% 


5-5 


5-6 


7-6 


7-7 


24-24 


50.0% 


3-3 


3-2 


4-3 


4-3 


14-11 


56.0% 


2-2 


2-4 


3-3 


3-4 


10-13 


43-5% 


4-3 


4-3 


4-4 


4-5 


16-15 


51.6% 


1-2 


1-3 


3-2 


3-2 


8-9 


47-1% 


2-3 


4-2 


1-3 


5-5 


12-13 


48.0% 


3-2 


1-4 


6-2 


2-2 


12-10 


54-5% 


4-7 


5-7 


5-7 


8-5 


22-26 


45.8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 30.9 38 




First Downs 20.6 48 




Yards/Game 392.8 47 




RushYds/Gm 1544 60 




PassYds/Gm 238.43 44 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.1 43 




Yards/Game 3544 46 




RushYds/Gm 1124 12 




PassYds/Gm 241.9 97 




Takeaways 26 30 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


NC STATE 


W34-O 


W(-14) 


u (43/2) 


9/3 


at NC State 


W7-3 


W (+5/2) 


U(48) 


9/4 


at Vanderbilt 


L 17-24 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


U (42/2) 


9/12 


:orgia 


L 37-41 


W(+7) 


0(40) 


9/13 


GEORGIA 


L7-14 


P(+7) 


U(45) 


9/19 

9/24 


FLA ATLANTIC 
OLE MISS 


W 38-16 
W'16-16" 


W (-20/2) 
W(+4) 


0(52) 


9/20 


WOFFORD 


w 23-13 






u (51/2) 


9/27 


UAB 


W 26-13 


M-25K) 


U (50/2) 


10/3 


S CAROLINA ST 


W 38-14 


L (-3534) 




10/4 


at Ole Miss 


w 31-24 


W (+1/2) 


0(42) 


10/10 


KENTUCKY 


W 28-26 


L(-9/ 2 ) 


(45/) 


10/11 


at Kentucky 


w 24-17 


W (-1/2) 


(37/2) 


10/17 

10/24 


at Alabama 
VANDERBILT 


L6-20 
W14-16" 


W (+17/2) 
LOT" 


u (43/2) 


10/18 


LSU 


L 17-24 


L(+D 


U(43) 


U(4D 


11/1 


TENNESSEE 


W27-6 


W(-6) 


u (37/2) 


10/31 


at Tennessee 


L 13-31 


L(+6) 


(42/2) 


11/8 


ARKANSAS 


W 34-21 


W(-12/ 2 ) 0(43/2) 


11/7 


at Arkansas 


L 16-33 


M+7K) 


u (55/2) 


11/15 


at Florida 


L6-56 


L (+21/2) 


0(49) 


11/14 


FLORIDA 


L 14-24 


w (+17) 


U(44) 


11/29 


at Clemson 


L 14-31 


Lfpkj 


0(40) 


11/28 


CLEMSON 


W 34-17 


W(+3) 


0(44) 


1/1 


vs Iowa 


L 10-31 


L(+3 1 7) 


U(42) 


1/2 


vs Connecticut 


L7-20 


L(-4) 


u (50/2) 



9/2 


SOUTHERN MISS 


9/11 


GEORGIA 


9/18 


FORM AN 


9/25 


at Auburn 


10/9 


ALABAMA 


10/16 


at Kentucky 


10/23 


at Vanderbilt 


10/30 


TENNESSEE 


11/6 


ARKANSAS 


11/13 


at Florida 


11/20 


TROY 


11/27 


at Clemson 


12/4 


vs Auburn 


12/31 


vs Florida St 



w 41-13 

WW 

W3849 
£27:35 

W 35-2 1 
I28-31 
W'21-7" 
••W'38-24 
L20-41 
W3644 
W69 : 24 
W29-7 
L17-56 
I17-26 



W (-13/2) 

WT3T 
IT33J 

n+3)- 

W1+6K) 
T{5F 2 j 

W(-iiK) 

"If 177 

L(-4) 

"W"(+6£J" 

W(;20K)' 

■■■•wp^y" 
n+4) 

L( : 2) 



(46/2) 
U(447 2 ] 

0(49) 

0(47) 

0(54/2) 
U(46) 
(49) 

0(6072) 

01517)' 
0(59) 
U (45) 

0(6i7) 



128 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 44 (#35 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +0.0 (#70 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 39.00 (25th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 38.75 (34th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +1.9 (#61 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 9-3 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


MONTANA 


9/10 


CINCINNATI 


9/17 


at Florida 


10/1 


BUFFALO 


10/8 


GEORGIA 


10/15 


LSU 


10/22 


at Alabama 


10/29 


S CAROLINA 


11/5 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


11/12 


at Arkansas 


11/19 


VANDERBILT 


11/26 


at Kentucky 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/1 


at UCLA 


L 24-27 


L(-7) 


(45/2) 


9/13 


UAB 


W35-3 


L (-33) 


U(6l) 


9/20 


FLORIDA 


L6-30 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


U (51/2) 


9/27 


at Auburn 


L 12-14 


W(+6) 


U (40/2) 


10/4 


N ILLINOIS 


W13-9 


L (-16/2) 


U (44/2) 


10/11 


at Georgia 


L 14-26 


P(+12) 


u (43/2) 


10/18 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W34-3 


W (-9/2) 


U(38) 


10/25 


ALABAMA 


L9-29 


L(+6) 


U(4D 


11/1 


at S Carolina 


L6-27 


L(+6) 


u (37/2) 


11/8 


WYOMING 


L7-13 


L (-25/2) 


U (41/2) 


11/22 


at Vanderbilt 


W 20-10 


W(+3) 


U(36) 


11/29 


KENTUCKY 


W 28-10 


W(-4) 


U (38/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


10-4 


5-7 


7-6 


6-7 


28-24 


53.8% 


8-4 


4-7 


7-6 


7-6 


26-23 


53-1% 


5-1 


2-5 


4-4 


3-4 


14-14 


50.0% 


3-3 


2-2 


3-2 


4-2 


12-9 


57-1% 


4-3 


4-3 


5-3 


5-3 


18-12 


60.0% 


4-1 


0-4 


2-3 


2-3 


8-11 


42.1% 


5-2 


2-4 


4-4 


4-2 


15-12 


55-6% 


3-2 


2-3 


3-2 


2-4 


10-11 


47.6% 


8-6 


1-11 


8-5 


9-3 


26-25 


51.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 27.0 58 




First Downs 17.8 92 




Yards/Game 363-8 75 




RushYds/Gm 109.2 105 




PassYds/Gm 254-54 30 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 25.1 56 




Yards/Game 382.2 69 




RushYds/Gm 152.5 60 




PassYds/Gm 229.6 81 




Takeaways 28 23 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


W KENTUCKY 
UCLA 


W63-7 
L15-19"" 


W(-29 1 / 2 ) 0(44/2) 

'T'(-io'j£j U (46) 


9/4 


TENN-MARTIN 


W50-O 


W (-38/2) 




9/12 


9/11 


OREGON 


L 13-48 


L (+10/) 


0(52) 


9/19 


at Florida 


L 13-23 


w (+30) 


U(52) 


9/18 


FLORIDA 


L 17-31 


L (+13) 


(44/) 


9/26 


OHIOU 


W 34-23 


L (-22) 


0(44) 


9/25 


UAB 


w 32-29 


L (-14) 


(51/) 


10/3 


AUBURN 


L 22-26 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U(49) 


10/2 


at LSU 


L 14-16 


W (+16/2) 


U(43) 


10/10 


GEORGIA 


w 45-19 


W(pk) 


0(46) 


10/9 


at Georgia 


L 14-41 


L (+11/2) 


0(48) 


10/24 


at Alabama 


L 10-12 


W (+14) 


U(42) 


10/23 


ALABAMA 


L 10-41 


L (+17) 


(47/) 


10/31 


S CAROLINA 


w 31-13 


W(-6) 


(42/2) 


10/30 


at S Carolina 


L 24-38 


w (+17) 


0(49) 


11/7 


MEMPHIS 


W 56-28 


W (-25/2) 


0(53) 


11/6 


at Memphis 


w 50-14 


W (-20/) 


0(52) 


11/14 


atOleMiss 


L 17-42 


L(+5fc) 


(47/2) 


11/13 


OLE MISS 


w 52-14 


W(-2) 


0(55) 


11/21 


VANDERBILT 


w 31-16 


L (-17) 


u (47/2) 


11/20 


at Vanderbilt 


W 24-10 


W (-7/2) 


U(49) 


11/28 


at Kentucky 


w 30-24 


W(-3) 


0(49/2) 


11/27 


KENTUCKY 


W 24-14 


W (-2/2) 


U(59) 


12/31 


vs Virginia Tech 


L 14-37 


L(+5) 


0(48) 


12/30 


vs N Carolina 


L 27-30 


L(-l) 


0(50) 



&. 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 25 (#99 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -14.8 (#111 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.33 (17th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 41.17 (13th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -14.3 (#109 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 3-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


ELON 


9/10 


CONNECTICUT 


9/17 


OLE MISS 


9/24 


at S Carolina 


10/8 


at Alabama 


10/15 


GEORGIA 


10/22 


ARMY 


10/29 


ARKANSAS 


11/5 


at Florida 


11/12 


KENTUCKY 


11/19 


at Tennessee 


11/26 


at Wake Forest 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


7-6 


2-10 


2-10 


16-33 


32.7% 


5-6 


8-5 


4-6 


3-9 


20-26 


43-5% 


3-4 


3-3 


0-5 


2-5 


8-17 


32.0% 


2-2 


5-2 


4-1 


1-4 


12-9 


57-1% 


4-4 


5-3 


3-4 


1-7 


13-18 


41.9% 


1-2 


3-2 


1-2 


2-2 


7-8 


46.7% 


2-2 


1-3 


1-2 


1-1 


5-8 


38.5% 


3-4 


7-2 


3-4 


2-8 


15-18 


45-5% 


2-9 


4-9 


2-9 


6-6 


14-33 


29.8% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 16.9 112 




First Downs 15.0 116 




Yards/Game 298.3 110 




RushYds/Gm 138.8 80 




PassYds/Gm 15942 105 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 31.2 94 




Yards/Game 419-3 93 




RushYds/Gm 193. 100 




PassYds/Gm 226.3 75 




Takeaways 15 108 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


at Miami Ohio 


W 34-13 


W (+3/2) 


(38/2) 


9/4 


OLINA 


W 24-17 


W (+9/2) 


U (42/2) 


9/13 


RICE 


W 38-21 


W (-9/2) 


0(58) 


9/20 


atOleMiss 


w 23-17 


W (+6/2) 


U(49) 


10/4 


AUBURN 


W 14-13 


W (+3/2) 


U (38/2) 


10/11 


at Mississippi St 


L 14-17 


L(-l) 


U(38) 


10/18 


at Georgia 


L 14-24 


W (+16/2) U (43/2) 


10/25 


DUKE 


L7-10 


L (-9/2) 


U(42) 


11/8 


FLORIDA 


L 14-42 


L (+23/ 2 ) 


0(49) 


11/15 


at Kentucky 


w 31-24 


W(+3) 


0(38) 


11/22 


TENNESSEE 


L 10-20 


L(-3) 


U(36) 


11/29 


at Wake Forest 


L 10-23 


L(+4) 


u (37/2) 


12/31 


vs Boston College 


W 16-14 


W(+5) 


U(40) 



9/5 


W CAROLINA 


W45-O 






9/4 
9/11 


NORTHWESTERN 
"LSU 


L 21-23 
LF27 


W(+3) 
L (+1034) 


0(41) 


9/12 


at LSU 


L9-23 


P (+14) 


U (46/2) 


U(46) 


9/19 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


L3-15 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


U(45) 


9/18 


at Ole Miss 


W 28-14 W(+ll 1 / 2 ) 


U(43) 


9/26 


at Rice 


w 36-17 


W (-7/2) 


(49/2) 


10/2 


at Connecticut 


L 21-40 


L(+9) 


0(45) 


10/3 


OLE MISS 


L7-23 


L (+10) 


u (43/2) 


10/9 


E MICHIGAN 


W52-6 


w (-25) 


0(54) 


10/10 


at Army 


L 13-16 


LMO) 


u (37/2) 


10/16 


at Georgia 


LO-43 


L(+14) 


u (49/2) 


10/17 


GEORGIA 


L 10-34 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


U (47/2) 


10/23 


S CAROLINA 


L7-21 


L (+11/2) 


U(46) 


10/24 


at S Carolina 


L 10-14 


W (+14) 


U(4D 


10/30 


at Arkansas 


L 14-49 


L (+20) 


(54/2) 


10/31 


GEORGIA TECH 


L 31-56 


L (+13K) 


0(48) 


11/6 


FLORIDA 


L 14-55 


L (+14) 


(45/2) 


11/7 


at Florida 


L3-27 


W (+35) 


U(47) 


11/13 


at Kentucky 


L 20-38 


L (+16/2) 


0(54) 


11/14 


KENTUCKY 


L 13-24 


L (+3/2) 


U(45) 


11/20 


TENNESSEE 


L 10-24 


L (+7/2) 


U(49) 


11/21 


at Tennessee 


L 16-31 


w (+17) 


u (47/2) 


11/27 


WAKE FOREST 


L 13-34 


L (-4/2) 


U(48) 










■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 129 



ARKANSAS S 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Red Wolves will continue to rely on their offense as Hugh Freeze moves 
from OC to head coach. QB Ryan Aplin (21 pass TD, 11 rush TD) is a dual- 
threat option, and he'll lean on WRs Allen Muse (635 rec yds) and Taylor 
Stockemer (560 rec yds). But ASU lost all its O-Line starters, and the defense 
has to limit big plays (437 YPG). DT Bryan Hall is a key loss, but DE Brandon 
Joiner (4.5 sacks) and LB Demario Davis (63 tackles) are ready to shine. 

FLORIDA ATLANTIC 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

FAU opens its 2011 season with three brutal road games at Florida, 
Michigan St. and Auburn. And with the departure of Jeff Van Camp, the 
Owls will have a new starter at QB. Graham Wilbert hurt his hand in the 
spring and might miss time in August camp, allowing David Kooi to get the 
job. WR Lester Jean and TE Rob Housler are gone, so the Owls need some 
playmakers to emerge. The running game was subpar in 2010, but it will 
return RB Alfred Morris (928 rush yds, 7 TD) and all five O-Line starters. 

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 

Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

FIU enjoyed its first Sun Belt title and bowl win in 2010. The offense is 
strong with all-everything performer T.Y. Hilton (59 rec, 848 yds) back. The 
WR ranked eighth in the nation with 160.7 YPG. QB Wes Carroll (2,623 yds, 
16 TD) and RB Darriet Perry (839 rush yds, 16 TD) also return, but the Golden 
Panthers will need to replace DE jarvis Wilson and his team-best 9-5 sacks. 
Look for Tourek Williams (6 sacks, 13.5 TFL) to anchor the defensive line. 

OUDSIANA-LAFAVETTE 

Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

Mark Hudspeth takes over as head coach as the Ragin' Cajuns try to put 
last season's 3-9 mark behind them. Chris Masson (1,842 pass yds, 11 TD) 
has the edge over Blaine Gauthier (561 pass yds, 3 TD) at QB, but both could 
see action during the fall and TE Ladarius Green (794 rec yds, 7 TD) is a great 
target. The defense allowed 37 PPG last year (112th in FBS), with only 17 
sacks. DE Emeka Onyenekwu (4.5 sacks) is a key defender to watch. 






Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 10 
Defense: Base 3-3-5 - Starters Returning: 8 

The Warhawks return the majority of their offensive playmakers, led by QB 
Kolton Browning (2,552 pass yds, 18 TD) and WR Luther Ambrose (752 rec 

130 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



yds, 6 TD). ULM has to find a consistent running game to complement the 
passing game, as it averaged only 3.1 YPC and loses leading rusher Frank 
Goodin. jyruss Edwards (375 rush yds, 4-5 YPC, 4TD) should get most of the 
carries. DE Ken Dorsey (5 sacks, 12 TFL) and LB Cameron Blakes (6 sacks, 11 
TFL) are the key players on a defense that returns most of its starters. 

MIDDLE TENNESSEE 

Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 3 

The Blue Raiders had a nation's worst -19 turnover margin, as their QBs 
had 24 INT and 9 TD. Starter Dwight Dasher is gone, and Logan Kilgore and 
Jeff Murphy are battling for the No. 1 QB job. Four starters return on an 
O-Line that allowed 23 sacks. RB Phillip Tanner and his 13 rush TD need to 
be replaced, but Benjamin Cunningham (355 rush yds, 4 TD) and D.D. Kyles 
(414 rush yds, 5-4 YPC) should improve this season. LB Darin Davis (81 tack- 
les) will be the leader of a rebuilding defense that loses eight starters. 



HI! 1 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Dan McCarney takes over, and he'll be happy to lean on dominant RB Lance 
Dunbar (1,553 rush yds, 5-7 YPC, 13 TD). But Dunbar will run behind an 
O-Line that lost three starters. QB Derek Thompson is the leading contender 
to replace Riley Dodge, who transferred. WR Darius Carey should surpass his 
numbers from 2010 (524 rec yds, 6 total TD). The defense, which totaled 19 
sacks and gave up nearly 30 PPG in 2010, must replace LB Craig Robertson, 
whose 133 tackles were tied for seventh best in the country. 






Offense: Multiple Spread - Starters Returning: 4 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Troy should once again play the role of favorites in the Sun Belt. The Trojans 
return talented sophomore QB Corey Robinson (3,726 pass yds, 28 TD), but 
they will need a replacement WR jerrel jurnigan's numbers. Chip Reeves 
(515 rec yds, 5 TD) could have been that guy, but he, along with WR jamel 
Johnson (258 rec yds), are academically ineligible for the fall. Defensively, 
Troy has plenty of room to improve (30.2 PPG, 410 YPG). DL Jonathan 
Massaquoi should dominate again (13.5 sacks, 20.5 TFL and 76 tackles). 

WESTERN KENTUCKY 

Offense: Pro Style - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

QB Kawaun Jakes (1,680 pass yds, 10 TD) returns, but he'll need to improve 
his woeful 51.2% completion rate. TB Bobby Rainey (1,649 rush yds, 15 
TD) ranked third in the nation in rushing (137 YPG) and should continue to 
help take some pressure off Jakes. The defense allowed 33-2 PPG, and must 
increase its pathetic sack total from last year (11) to help the secondary. 



SUN BELT 



M 




2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 

9/10 

9/17 

9/24 

10/1 

10/8 

10/18 

10/29 

11/5 

11/12 

11/19 

12/3 



at Illinois 
MEMPHIS 
at Virginia Tech 
C ARKANSAS 
at W Kentucky 
at LA Monroe 
FLA INTERNATIONAL 
NORTH TEXAS 
at FLA Atlantic 
LA LAFAYETTE 
at Middle Tenn st 
TROY 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 2007 20< 

STRAIGHT UP 5-7 6- 

OVERALLATS 5-7 3- 

HOMEATS 2-4 2- 

ROADATS 3-3 1- 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 2-5 2- 

NON-CONFERENCEATS 3-2 1- 

AS FAVORITE ATS 2-4 2- 

AS UNDERDOG ATS 3-3 1- 

OVER-UNDER 6-6 2- 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 27 (#88 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -1.9 (H76 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.17 (101st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.00 (119th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -0.8 (#69 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2010 STATS/RANK 


OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 


Points Scored 30.0 


42 


First Downs 21.8 


33 


Yards/Game 4034 


40 


RushYds/Gm 149.1 


68 


PassYds/Gm 254-33 


31 


DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 


Points Allowed 30.8 


91 


Yards/Game 437-1 


105 


RushYds/Gm 206.9 


110 


PassYds/Gm 230.2 


82 


Takeaways 25 


36 



SCORE 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



SCORE 



TOTAL 



8/30 at Texas A&M W 18-14 

9/6 Ti 

9/i3 SOUTHERN MISS [24-27 

9/20 MIDDLE TENN ST 

9/27 at Memphis 

10/11 LA MONROE 

10/18 at LA Lafayette 

11/1 at Alabama 

11/8 at "FLA International L 21-22 

11/22 FLA ATLANTIC W 28-14 

11/29 at North Texas W 33-28 

12/6 at Troy L9-35 



W (+18/2) U (50/2) 



W3i-i4 
L'17-29" 
W 37-29 
L23-28 
T6-35 



L(-l) 

W(-6%) "" 
T(i) 



U(55) 
U (51) 
U(55) 



L(-l3/j 0(53%) 

"['(+2)4) U(6l) 



L (+24) 
L"'f3] 

"wW" 
TI-2W 

L(+i3) 



U(49) 
U(44'K)' 
0(51) 

0(58) 
U'(53) 



9/5 

9/26 
„.„....„..... 

10/13 
10/24 
10/31 
il/7" 
11/14 

11/28 
12/3"" 



MISS VALLEY ST W 6l-0 
br'aska L9-38 

TROY 1 2.7-30 " 

at Iowa L 21-24 

at LAMonroe L 16-16 

FlIiNTERNAfiONALW27 : 10 



at Louisville 
LA LAFAYETTE 

at FLA Atlantic 

at Middle Tenn st 
NORTHTEXAS 
atWKentucky 



L 13-21 
[18-21 
£18-35 
L 14-38 
W 30-26 
W24-20' 



L (+21/2) 
L(-3) 

LI+2J4) 

W'fiiK)' 

L( : 13K) 

L(-3) 

"L"(+i034|" 

l(-6K) 



U(52) 
0(50)4) 
U"(4534)' 

U(5D 

U(58) 

U(50) 

U(48/ 2 ) 
U(5534) 

0(5i) 

0(55/2) 



9/4 

9/11 
9/18 

9/25" 

10/2 

10/9 "" 

10/16 

10/23 
„.„.„.„..... 

„.„.„.„.„.. 

11/20 



at Auburn 

at LA Lafayette 

LAMONROE 
at Troy 
LOUISVILLE 
at North Texas 
at Indiana 
FLA ATLANTIC 
MiDDLETENNST 
WKENTUCKY 
at Navy 



L 26-52 
L24-31 
W 34-20 
"L28-35 
L 24-34 

W 24-19 

L34 : 36 

W 37-16 

W'51-24 
L35-36 
L 19-35 



at FLA International L24 : 31 



W (+31/2) 
L( + l/ 2 ) 

•"W"fi/2)"" 

L(+6J4) 

WBE)" 

W'(+9)4)" 

W(-7) 

W'(+2>2)" 

L"(-12) 

L(+12Ej 

■-j.-j--.jg-- 



(52/2) 

0(50/2) 

U (66) 

U (6b) 

0(55) 

0(64) 
0(52) 

(57/) 
0(56) 

U (64/0 

U"(62) 



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StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 131 



SUN BELT 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 14 (#113 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -14.4 (#110 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.17 (101st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.00 (88th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -12.4 (#106 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 3-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Florida 


9/10 


at Michigan St 


9/24 


at Auburn 


10/1 


at LA Lafayette 


10/8 


at North Texas 


10/15 


W KENTUCKY 


10/22 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


11/5 


ARKANSAS ST 


11/12 


at FLA International 


11/19 


at Troy 


11/26 


UAB 


12/3 


LA MONROE 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


7-6 


5-7 


4-8 


24-26 


48.0% 


8-5 


8-5 


4-8 


3-9 


23-27 


46.0% 


3-2 


3-1 


1-4 


1-3 


8-10 


444% 


5-3 


5-4 


3-4 


2-6 


15-17 


46.9% 


5-2 


5-3 


4-4 


1-7 


15-16 


48.4% 


3-3 


3-2 


0-4 


2-2 


8-11 


42.1% 


5-2 


5-1 


1-4 


0-3 


11-10 


52.4% 


3-3 


3-4 


3-4 


3-6 


12-17 


41.4% 


9-4 


4-9 


6-6 


4-8 


23-27 


46.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 16.8 113 




First Downs 15.8 ill 




Yards/Game 302.6 107 




RushYds/Gm 94-3 115 




PassYds/Gm 208.33 69 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 29.3 79 




Yards/Game 401.3 85 




RushYds/Gm 203.6 105 




PassYds/Gm 197.8 29 




Takeaways 17 94 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Texas 


L 10-52 


L (+23/2) 


U (62/2) 


9/6 


UAB 


W 49-34 


W (-14) 




9/13 


at Michigan St 


LO-17 


W (+18/2) 


U(6l) 


9/20 


at Minnesota 


L3-37 


L(+5fc) 


U(62) 


9/30 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 13-14 


W (+2/2) 


u (51/2) 


10/7 


TROY 


L 17-30 


L(+4) 


U(54) 


10/18 


at W Kentucky 


W 24-20 


W(-3) 


U(47) 


10/25 


at LA Monroe 


W 29-28 


L(-3) 


0(54) 


11/8 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 46-13 


W (-22/2) 


U(64) 


11/15 


LA LAFAYETTE 


w 40-29 


W (-1/2) 


0(62/2) 


11/22 


at Arkansas St 


L 14-28 


L(+3J 


U(5l) 


11/29 


vs FLA InternationalW 57-50 


W (-5/2) 


(50/2) 


12/26 


vsC Michigan 


W 24-21 


W(+7) 


U(70) 



9/5 


at Nebraska 


L3-49 


L (+23) 


U (6O/2) 


9/2 


at UAB 


w 32-31 


W (+14) 


0(50) 


9/19 


atS Carolina 


L 16-38 


L (+20/2) 


0(52) 


9/11 


vs Michigan St 


L 17-30 


W (+26/2) 


U(56) 


9/26 


LA MONROE 


L 25-27 


L(-3K) 


U (56/2) 


9/25 


NORTH TEXAS 


L 17-21 


L(-10) 


u (51/2) 


10/3 


WYOMING 


L 28-30 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


(54/2) 


10/2 


at S Florida 


L3-31 


L (+21/2) 


u (51/2) 


10/17 


at North Texas 


W 44-40 


W(-l) 


(61/2) 


10/9 


at LA Monroe 


L 17-20 


L(+2/ 2 ) 


U (46/2) 


10/24 


at LA Lafayette 


w 51-29 


W(+3) 


0(60) 


10/23 


at Arkansas St 


L 16-37 


L(+7) 


0(52) 


10/31 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 20-27 


L(-3) 


U (61/2) 


10/30 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W21-9 


W (+4/2) 


U(47) 


11/7 


at UAB 


L 29-56 


L(+7) 


(63/2) 


11/6 


at W Kentucky 


W 17-16 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U(48) 


11/14 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 35-18 


W(+3) 


u (55/2) 


11/13 


LA LAFAYETTE 


w 24-23 


L (-IO/2) 


U(50) 


11/21 


at Troy 


L 21-47 


L(+17) 


(64/2) 


11/20 


at Texas 


L 17-51 


L (+22) 


0(44) 


11/28 


W KENTUCKY 


w 29-23 


L(-12/ 2 ) 


U (66) 


11/27 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 14-38 


L(+5fc) 


0(49) 


12/5 


at FLA InternationalW 28-21 


W (+1/2) 


U(64) 


12/4 


TROY 


L7-44 


L(+4) 


u (55/2) 



SUN BELT 



A 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +1.2 (#64 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.31 (100th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.75 (115th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +1.5 (#62 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


NORTH TEXAS 


9/9 


at Louisville 


9/17 


UCF 


9/24 


LA LAFAYETTE 


10/1 


DUKE 


10/8 


at Akron 


10/18 


at Arkansas St 


10/25 


TROY 


11/5 


at W Kentucky 


11/12 


FLA ATLANTIC 


11/19 


at LA Monroe 


11/26 


at Middle Tenn st 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-11 


5-7 


3-9 


7-6 


16-33 


32.7% 


5-7 


8-4 


4-8 


6-6 


23-25 


47-9% 


3-1 


4-1 


1-4 


2-3 


10-9 


52.6% 


2-6 


4-3 


3-4 


4-3 


13-16 


44-8% 


3-4 


5-3 


2-6 


4-4 


14-17 


45-2% 


2-3 


3-1 


2-2 


2-2 


9-8 


52.9% 


0-0 


3-1 


2-3 


3-4 


8-8 


50.0% 


5-7 


5-3 


2-5 


3-2 


15-17 


46.9% 


7-5 


6-6 


7-5 


5-8 


25-24 


51.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 28.8 51 




First Downs 19.2 65 




Yards/Game 395-1 46 




RushYds/Gm 187.5 27 




PassYds/Gm 207-54 70 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 27.3 65 




Yards/Game 368.9 61 




RushYds/Gm 168.7 77 




PassYds/Gm 200.2 32 




Takeaways 25 36 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Kansas 
at Iowa 


L 10-40 
L6-42 


W(+36) U (56/2) 
L"(+27) U (44) 


9/12 


at Alabama 


L 14-40 


w (+33/) (50/2) 


9/6 


9/19 


at Rutgers 


L 15-23 


W (+16) 


u (51/) 


9/20 


S FLORIDA 


L9-17 


W (+29/2) u (55/2) 


9/26 


TOLEDO 


L 31-41 


LM) 


(58/2) 


9/27 


at Toledo 


w 35-16 


W (+18) U (53) 


10/3 


at LA Monroe 


L 35-48 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(55) 


10/4 


at North Texas 
MIDDLEfENNSf 


W 42-10 
W31-2T 


W (-5/2) (48) 
W (-1) 6 (4234) 


10/10 


at W Kentucky 


W 37-20 


W(-6) 


(56/2) 


10/11 


10/17 


TROY 


L 33-42 


L(+8) 


(58/2) 


10/18 


at Troy 


L 23-33 


W (+11/2) (46/2) 


10/24 


at Arkansas St 


L 10-27 


L (+11/2) 


U(58) 


11/1 


at LA Lafayette 


L 20-49 


L (+12) 0(57) 


10/31 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W 20-17 


L(-5) 


U (56/2) 


11/8 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 22-21 


W(+3) U(44/ 2 ) 


11/7 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 21-48 


L (+12/2) 


(55/2) 


11/22 


LA MONROE 


L 27-31 


L(-8) 0(51/2) 


11/14 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 35-28 


W(-3) 


U(67) 


11/29 


vs FLA Atlantic 


L 50-57 


L (+534) 0(50/2) 


11/21 


at Florida 


L3-62 


L (+4734) 


0(60) 


12/6 


W KENTUCKY 


W27-3 


W(-7) U(49/ 2 ) 


12/5 


FLA ATLANTIC 


L 21-28 


L(-l/ 2 ) 


U(64) 



9/11 


RUTGERS 


L 14-19 


W (+14/2) U (47/2) 


9/18 


at Texas A&M 


L 20-27 


w (+29) 


U (61/2) 


9/25 


at Mai viand 


L 28-42 


L (+10) 


0(44) 


10/2 


at Pittsburgh 


L 17-44 


L (+17) 


0(51) 


10/9 


W KENTUCKY 


W 28-21 


L(-9) 


u (54/2) 


10/16 


at North Texas 


W 34-10 


W (-4/2) 


U(48) 


10/30 


at FLA Atlantic 


L9-21 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


U(47) 


11/6 


LA MONROE 


w 42-35 


L (-10/2) 


(49/2) 


11/13 


at Troy 


w 52-35 


W(+8) 


0(58) 


11/20 


at LA Lafayette 


W 38-17 


W (-9/2) 


U (58/2) 


11/27 


ARKANSAS ST 


w 31-24 


W (-5/2) 


U(62) 


12/4 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 27-28 


L(-5) 


U(56) 


12/26 


vs Toledo 


W 34-32 


P(-2) 


(58/2) 



132 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



SUN BELT 



Alt 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 17 (#109 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -15.1 (8112 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 29.25 (93rd toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 26.08 (111th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -14.7 (#110 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Oklahoma St 


9/10 


at Kent St 


9/17 


NICHOLLSST 


9/24 


at FLA International 


10/1 


FLA ATLANTIC 


10/8 


TROY 


10/15 


NORTH TEXAS 


10/22 


at W Kentucky 


10/29 


at Middle Tenn st 


11/5 


LA MONROE 


11/12 


at Arkansas St 


11/26 


at Arizona 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


6-6 


6-6 


3-9 


18-30 


37-5% 


4-7 


8-4 


5-6 


7-5 


24-22 


52.2% 


0-5 


4-1 


2-3 


1-4 


7-13 


35.0% 


4-2 


4-3 


3-3 


6-1 


17-9 


65.4% 


2-5 


5-2 


4-4 


5-3 


16-14 


533% 


2-2 


3-2 


1-2 


2-2 


8-8 


50.0% 


1-2 


6-1 


1-2 


1-1 


9-6 


60.0% 


3-5 


2-3 


4-4 


6-4 


15-16 


48.4% 


7-4 


8-4 


5-6 


7-5 


27-19 


58.7% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 22.3 92 




First Downs 17.5 95 




Yards/Game 350.6 83 




RushYds/Gm 100.6 ill 




PassYds/Gm 250 37 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 37-0 112 




Yards/Game 399-4 82 




RushYds/Gm 162.6 70 




PassYds/Gm 236.8 90 




Takeaways 22 59 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Southern Miss 
iinois 

"kenTst 


L 21-51 

[17-20 

''"W44-27" 


L(+9) 
W'(+25Ej 


(52/2) 

U (62) 

0(51) 


9/5 


SOUTHERN 


w 42-19 






9/4 
9/11 


at Georgia 
ARKANSAS ST 


L7-55 

w 31-24 


L (+29/2) 

■■"wfiyj" 


0(53) 


9/13 


9/12 
9/19 


>AS ST 
"a't'l'SU 


w 17-15 

L3 : 3i 


W (+6/2) 
LT+27)"" 


U (54) 

U(52J4) 




9/20 


9/25 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 14-34 


L( + 2) 


u (sm 


9/27 


at Kansas St 


L 37-45 


W (+21/2) (63/2) 


9/26 


at Nebraska 


LO-55 


L (+30/2) 


0(54) 


10/2 


at North Texas 


W 28-27 


W (+5/2) 


0(48) 


10/4 


at LA Monroe 


W 44-35 


W (-1/2) 


(55/2) 


10/10 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 38-34 


L(-4/ 2 ) 


(52/ 2 ) 


10/8 


OKLAHOMA ST 


L 28-54 


L (+24) 


0(61) 


10/11 


at North Texas 


w 59-30 


w (-17) 


0(68) 


10/17 


at W Kentucky 


w 30-22 


W (-6/2) 


0(51) 


10/16 


at Troy 


L 24-31 


W (+20/2) 


U(59) 


10/18 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 28-23 


W (-2/2) 


U(6l) 


10/24 


FLA ATLANTIC 


L 29-51 


L(-3) 


0(60) 


10/23 


W KENTUCKY 


L 21-54 


L(-6) 


(53%) 


11/1 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 49-20 


W (-12) 


0(57) 


10/31 

11/7 


at FLA International L 17-20 
at Arkansas St W2i : i8 


W(+5) U(56/ 2 ) 
"W (+13V2) "U '"(48/2)' 


10/30 


at Ohio U 
at Ole Miss 


L 31-38 
L 21-43 


w (+17) 
W"{+29J£)' 


0(51) 


11/8 


UTEP 


L 24-37 


L (-13/2) 


U (71/2) 


0(62) 


11/15 


at FLA Atlantic 


L 29-40 


L (+134) 


(62/2) 


11/14 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 17-34 


L (+13/2) 


U(54) 


11/13 


at FLA Atlantic 


L 23-24 


W (+10/2) 


U(50) 


11/22 


at Troy 


L3-48 


L (+11) 


U(64) 


11/21 


LA MONROE 


W 21-17 


W(+5) 


u (51/2) 


11/20 


FLA INTERNATIONAL L 17-38 


L (+9K) 


U (58/2) 


12/3 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


W 42-28 


W(-6) 


0(58) 




TROY 


L 31-48 


L (+10/2) 


0(58) 


11/27 


at LA Monroe 


w 23-22 


W(+7) 


U(56) 



SUN BELT 




2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Florida St 


9/10 


GRAMBUNG 


9/17 


atTCU 


9/24 


at Iowa 


10/8 


ARKANSAS ST 


10/15 


at Troy 


10/22 


at North Texas 


10/29 


W KENTUCKY 


11/5 


at LA Lafayette 


11/12 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


11/19 


FLA INTERNATIONAL 


12/3 


at FLA Atlantic 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 18 (#106 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -10.1 (#102 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.67 (97th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.17 (94th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: 41.6 (#102 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-6 


4-8 


6-6 


5-7 


21-27 


43.8% 


6-5 


6-5 


6-6 


6-6 


24-22 


52.2% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-2 


3-2 


10-8 


55-6% 


4-3 


4-3 


3-4 


3-4 


14-14 


50.0% 


4-3 


5-2 


4-4 


5-3 


18-12 


60.0% 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


1-3 


6-10 


37-5% 


2-1 


0-1 


3-2 


1-2 


6-6 


50.0% 


4-4 


6-4 


2-4 


5-4 


17-16 


51-5% 


4-7 


7-4 


6-5 


5-6 


22-22 


50.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 20.8 101 




First Downs 18.6 78 




Yards/Game 347-0 85 




RushYds/Gm 120.3 96 




PassYds/Gm 226.67 56 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 32.4 97 




Yards/Game 378.3 67 




RushYds/Gm 159.1 67 




PassYds/Gm 219.3 58 




Takeaways 19 77 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Auburn 


L0-34 


L(+25 1 / 2 ) 


U(49) 


9/6 


cansas 


L 27-28 


W (+14/2) (49/2) 


9/12 


ALABAMA A&M 


w 37-15 








atTulane 


L 10-24 


LN/2) 


U(46) 


10/4 


LA LAFAYETTE 


L 35-44 


L(+lfc) 


(55/2) 


10/11 


at Arkansas St 


L 29-37 


W (+13/2) (53/2) 




NORTH TEXAS 


w 35-23 


L (-16/2) 


U(6l) 




FLA ATLANTIC 


L 28-29 


W(+3) 


0(54) 


11/1 


TROY 


w 31-30 


W (+10/2) 


0(56) 


11/8 


at Middle Tenn st 


L 21-24 


W (+5/2) 


U(5D 


11/15 


a I Ole Miss 


LO-59 


L( + 24) 


0(57) 




at FLA Ir W 31-27 


W(+8) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Texas 


L 20-59 


W (+42/2) 


0(61) 


9/12 


TEXAS SOUTHERN 


W58-O 


W(-43) 






ona St 


L 14-38 


L (+21) 


0(50) 




at FLA Atlantic 


w 27-25 


W (+3/2) 




10/3 




W (-6/2) 


0(55) 




ARKANSAS ST 


W 16-10 


W (-2/2) 


U(5D 




ltucky 


L 13-36 


L (+14) 


0(47) 




at Troy 


L 21-42 


L (+1334) 


0(58) 


11/7 


at North Texas 


W33-6 


W(-3) 


U(64) 




W KENTUCKY 


W 21-18 


L(-2l/ 2 ) 


U(6l) 


11/21 


at LA Lafayette 


L 17-21 


L(-5) 


u (51/2) 




MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 19-38 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 





3> 






2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/11 at Arkansas L 7-31 W (+33/2) U (60) Efl 

9/18 at Arkansas St L 20-34 L(+4':) (50/2) Bj 

9/25 S 20 L]-i'6J£j PI 

lb/2 at Auburn L3 : 52 L (+35) U (55%) 

10/9 FLA ATLANTIC W 20-17 W(-2!4) 1/(46/2) ^^P 

10/16 at ) W(+3) 0(52/2) 

10723 at" J"(54/2J' 

IO/30 TROY W 28-14 W (+17) U (55) 

11/13 at'LSU Lo-51 L(+32/ 2 ) (47) 

11/20 NC pk) 6(49/2) 
11/27 LA LAFAYETTE L 22-23 L (-7) U (56) 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 133 



SUN BELT 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 27 (#88 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -6.2 (#90 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 22.08 (120th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 24.92 (114th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.6 (#76 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 4-9 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 3-8-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Purdue 


9/10 


GEORGIA TECH 


9/24 


at Troy 


10/1 


MEMPHIS 


10/6 


W KENTUCKY 


10/22 


at FLA Atlantic 


10/29 


LA LAFAYETTE 


11/5 


at Tennessee 


11/12 


at LA Monroe 


11/19 


ARKANSAS ST 


11/26 


FLA INTERNATIONAL 


12/3 


at North Texas 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/28 


TROY 


L 17-31 


L(+6) 


u (49/2) 


9/6 


MARYLAND 


W 24-14 


W (+12/2) U (44/2) 


9/13 


at Kentucky 


L 14-20 


W (+19/2) U (46/2) 


9/20 


at Arkansas St 


L 14-31 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


U(5l) 


9/30 


FLA ATLANTIC 


W 14-13 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U (51/2) 


10/11 


at FLA International L 21-31 


L(+D 


(42/2) 


10/18 


at Louisville 


L 23-42 


L(+14/ 2 ) 


(48/2) 


10/25 


at Mississippi St 


L 22-31 


W (+11/2) 


0(43) 


11/8 


LA MONROE 


W 24-21 


L(-5/ 2 ) 


U(5l) 


11/15 


at W Kentucky 


W 21-10 


W(pk) 


U (43/2) 


11/22 


NORTH TEXAS 


w 52-13 


W (-18) 


0(60) 


12/ .3... 


at LA Lafayette 


L 28-42 


L(+6) 


0(58) 


> SUN BELT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


5-7 


10-3 


6-7 


26-24 


52.0% 


7-4 


5-7 


10-3 


4-9 


26-23 


53-1% 


3-1 


2-3 


5-1 


2-4 


12-9 


57.1% 


4-3 


3-4 


5-2 


2-5 


14-14 


50.0% 


4-3 


2-6 


7-1 


4-4 


17-14 


54-8% 


3-1 


3-1 


3-2 


0-5 


9-9 


50.0% 


4-1 


1-2 


6-0 


3-7 


14-10 


58.3% 


3-3 


4-5 


4-3 


1-2 


12-13 


48.0% 


4-6 


5-7 


8-5 


3-8 


20-26 


43-5% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.5 62 




First Downs 18.6 77 




Yards/Game 371-9 69 




RushYds/Gm 180.8 31 




PassYds/Gm 191.15 83 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.1 69 




Yards/Game 386.9 72 




RushYds/Gm 187.9 94 




PassYds/Gm 199-0 30 




Takeaways 19 77 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at Clemson 


L 14-37 


L (+18/2) 0(47/2) 


9/2 


MINNESOTA 


L 17-24 


L(+D 


U(49) 


9/12 


1PHIS 


w 31-14 


W (pk) U (53) 


9/11 


AUSTIN PEAY 


W 56-33 


L (-29) 




9/19 


at Maryland 


w 32-31 


W(+7/ 2 ) 0(52/2) 


9/18 


at Memphis 


L 17-24 


L(-5Z) 


U (55/) 


9/26 


at North Texas 


W 37-21 


W(-5) 0(56) 


9/25 


at LA Lafayette 


W 34-14 


W(-2) 


u (51/) 


10/6 


at Troy 


L7-31 


L(+6/ 2 ) U(56) 


10/5 


TROY 


L 13-42 


L(-4) 


U (63/2) 


10/17 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


L6-27 


L(+5) U(52/ 2 j 


10/16 


at Georgia Tech 


L 14-42 


L (+18/2) 


U (58/2) 


10/24 


W KENTUCKY 


W 62-24 


W(-17) 0(53/2) 


10/23 


LA MONROE 


W 38-10 


W(-12/ 2 ) UfcOT 


10/31 


at FLA Atlantic 


w 27-20 


W(+3) 11(61/2) 


11/2 


at Arkansas St 


L 24-51 


L(-2Z) 


(57/) 


11/7 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 48-21 


W(-12/ 2 ) 0(55/) 


11/13 


NORTH TEXAS 


L 17-23 


L(-10Z) 


U(54) 


11/14 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W 34-17 


W (-13/2) U (54) 


11/20 


at W Kentucky 


W 27-26 


L(-5) 


P(53) 


11/21 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 38-14 


W (-10/) (51) 


11/27 


FLA ATLANTIC 


W 38-14 


W (-5/2) 


0(49) 


11/28 


at LA Monroe 


w 38-19 


W(-2Z) 0(54/) 


12/4 


at FLA International 28-27 


W(+5) 


U(56) 


12/20 


vs Southern Miss 


w 42-32 


W(+3/2) 0(61/) 


1/6 


vs Miami Ohio 


L 21-35 


L(-lZ) 


0(49) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 20 (#103 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -9.1 (#99 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 26.17 (111th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 28.83 (96th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -5.8 (#87 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 3-9 

2010 ATS Record: 6-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


at FLA International 


9/10 


HOUSTON 


9/17 


at Alabama 


9/24 


INDIANA 


10/1 


at Tulsa 


10/8 


FLA ATLANTIC 


10/15 


at LA Lafayette 


10/22 


LA MONROE 


10/29 


at Arkansas St 


11/12 


at Troy 


11/19 


W KENTUCKY 


12/3 


MIDDLE TENN ST 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


1-11 


2-10 


3-9 


8-40 


16.7% 


5-6 


4-8 


5-7 


6-6 


20-27 


42.6% 


2-2 


1-4 


2-4 


2-4 


7-14 


33-3% 


3-4 


3-4 


3-3 


4-2 


13-13 


50.0% 


3-4 


3-5 


3-5 


4-4 


13-18 


41.9% 


2-2 


1-3 


2-2 


2-2 


7-9 


43.8% 


0-1 


0-0 


1-1 


0-2 


1-4 


20.0% 


5-5 


4-8 


4-6 


6-4 


19-23 


45-2% 


6-5 


7-5 


8-4 


5-7 


26-21 


55-3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 23.9 87 




First Downs 18.7 75 




Yards/Game 375-3 64 




RushYds/Gm 202.2 19 




PassYds/Gm 173-08 96 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 29.7 82 




Yards/Game 394-4 77 




RushYds/Gm 184.9 91 




PassYds/Gm 209.5 47 




Takeaways 15 108 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Kansas St 


L6-45 


L (+29) 


U(65) 


9/6 


TULSA 


L 26-56 


L (+21/2) 


0(70) 


9/13 


atLSU 


L3-41 


W (+44/2) 


U(6l) 




at Rice 


L 20-77 


L(+15/ 2 j 




10/4 




L(+5fc) 




10/11 


LA LAFAYETTE 


L 30-59 


L (+17) 






at LA Monroe 


L 23-35 


W (+16/2) 


U(6l) 




TROY 


L 17-45 


L {+23/2) 


U(63) 


11/1 


at W Kentucky 


w 51-40 


W (+18) 


0(55) 


11/8 


at FLA Atlantic 


L 13-46 


L (+22/2) 






at Middle Tenn st 


L 13-52 


L (+18) 






JSASST 


L 28-33 


W (+20/2) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/3 


at Ball St 


W 20-10 


w (+15) 


U(54) 


9/12 


OHIOU 


L 30-31 


W (+2/2) 


0(52) 




bama 


L7-53 


L (+37) 


0(51) 




MIDDLE TENN ST 


L 21-37 


L(+5) 


0(56) 




at LA Lafayette 


L 34-38 


W (+4/2) 




10/17 


FLA ATLANTIC 


L 40-44 


L(+l] 


(61/2) 




at Troy 


L 26-50 


2) 0(60/2) 




JTUCKY 


W 68-49 


W (-14) 


(64/2) 


11/7 


3NR0E 


L6-33 


L(+3) 


U(64) 




at FLA In IL 28-35 


L(+3) 


U(67) 


11/21 


ARMY 


L 13-17 


L(-D 


U(53) 




nsas St 


L 26-30 


W (+7/2) 





2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Clemson 


L 10-35 


W (+28) 


U (54/2) 




RICE 


L 31-32 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(57) 




at Army 


LO-24 


LN/2) 


u (51/2) 


9/25 


at FLA Atlantic 


W 21-17 


W (+10) 


u (51/2) 


10/2 


LA LAFAYETTE 


L 27-28 


L(-5 1 / 2 ) 


0(48) 


10/9 


ARKANSAS ST 


L 19-24 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


U(55) 






L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


U(48) 




at W Kentucky 


W33-6 


W(+6) 




11/6 


TROY 


L 35-41 


W(+9) 


0(56) 


11/13 


at Middle Tenn st 


w 23-17 


W (+10/2) 


U(54) 




at LA Monroe 


L 37-49 


L(pk) 






? AS ST 


L 41-49 


W (+14) 


0(59) 



134 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



SUN BELT 



JURO 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 32 (#70 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +2.2 (#61 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 26.62 (110th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 27.42 (103rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +3.8 (#53 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


atClemson 


9/17 


at Arkansas 


9/24 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


10/1 


UAB 


10/8 


at LA Lafayette 


10/15 


LA MONROE 


10/25 


at FLA International 


11/5 


at Navy 


11/12 


NORTH TEXAS 


11/19 


FLA ATLANTIC 


11/26 


at W Kentucky 


12/3 


at Arkansas St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-4 


8-5 


9-4 


8-5 


33-18 


64.7% 


8-3 


7-5 


9-4 


5-8 


29-20 


59.2% 


4-1 


2-2 


5-0 


1-4 


12-7 


63.2% 


4-2 


5-3 


4-4 


4-4 


17-13 


56.7% 


5-2 


5-3 


7-1 


3-5 


20-11 


64.5% 


3-1 


2-2 


2-3 


2-3 


9-9 


50.0% 


5-2 


5-4 


7-2 


3-7 


20-15 


57-1% 


3-1 


2-1 


2-2 


2-1 


9-5 


64.3% 


6-5 


5-7 


9-4 


7-6 


27-22 


55-1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 34.1 20 




First Downs 23.3 19 




Yards/Game 453-5 17 




RushYds/Gm 156.6 56 




PassYds/Gm 296.85 11 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.2 84 




Yards/Game 409-9 89 




RushYds/Gm 165.2 73 




PassYds/Gm 244.6 100 




Takeaways 30 12 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/28 


at Middle Tenn st 


w 31-17 


W(-6) 


u (49/2) 


9/3 


at Bowling Green 


L 14-31 


L(7/2) 


U(55) 


9/4 


BOWLING GREEN 


w 30-27 


L (-14/2) 


0(54) 


9/13 


RNST 


W65-O 






9/12 


orida 


L6-56 


L (+37) 


0(61) 


9/11 


at Oklahoma St 


L 38-41 


W (+13/2) (63/2) 


9/20 


at Ohio St 


L 10-28 


W (+20/2) U (47/2) 


9/19 


UAB 


W 27-14 


W (-6/2) 


U (59/) 


9/18 


at UAB 


L 33-34 


L (-3/2) 


0(58) 


9/27 


at Oklahoma St 


L 24-55 


L (+17/2) 0(61/2) 


9/26 


at Arkansas St 


w 30-27 


W(+3) 


(50/) 


9/25 


ARKANSAS ST 


W 35-28 


LMO) 


U (66) 


10/7 


at FLA Atlantic 


w 30-17 


W(-4) 


U(54) 


10/6 


MIDDLE TENN ST 


W31-7 


W (-6/2) 


U(56) 


10/5 


at Middle Tenn st 


w 42-13 


W(+4) 


U (63/2) 


10/18 


FLA INTERNATIONAL W 33-23 


L(-ll/ 2 ) 


0(46/2) 


10/17 


at FLA International 42-33 


W(-8) 


(58/) 


10/16 


LA LAFAYETTE 


w 31-24 


L(-20/ 2 ) 


U(59) 


10/25 


at North Texas 


w 45-17 


W (-23/2) 


U(63) 


10/24 


NORTH TEXAS 


W 50-26 


W(-20/2) 0(60/) 


10/30 


at LA Monroe 


L 14-28 


LM7) 


U(55) 


11/1 


at LA Monroe 


L 30-31 


L (-10/2) 


0(56) 


10/31 


LA MONROE 


W 42-21 


W (-13/2) 


0(58) 


11/6 


at North Texas 


W 41-35 


L(-9) 


0(56) 


11/8 


W KENTUCKY 


W17-7 


L (-18) 


U(54) 


11/7 


at W Kentucky 


W 40-20 


L (-24) 


U(63) 


11/13 


FLA INTERNATIONAL L 35S2 


L(-8) 


0(58) 


11/15 


atLSU 


L 31-40 


W (+15/2) 


0(55) 


11/14 


at Arkansas 


L 20-56 


L(+14) 


0(64) 


11/20 


at S Carolina 


L 24-69 


L (+20/) 


0(59) 


11/22 


LA LAFAYETTE 


W48-3 


W (-11) 


U(64) 


11/21 


FLA ATLANTIC 


W 47-21 


w (-17) 


0(64/) 


11/27 


W KENTUCKY 


W 28-14 


W(-12Z) U(60/ 2 ) 


12/6 


ARKANSAS ST 


W35-9 


w (-13) 


U(53) 


11/28 


at LA Lafayette 


w 48-31 


W (-10/2) 


0(58) 


12/4 


at FLA Atlantic 


W44-7 


W(-4) 


u (55/) 


12/21 


vs Southern Miss 


L 27-30 


L(-4H) 


0(55) 


1/6 


vsC Michigan 


L 41-44 


W (+3/2) 


0(63) 


12/18 


vsOhioU 


W 48-21 


W(-2) 


(57/) 



SUN BELT 



Gk 




IU0HV 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 16 (#112 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: 42.2 (#108 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.50 (99th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 26.50 (108th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -10.3 (#100 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 7-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6-1 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/1 


KENTUCKY 


9/10 


NAVY 


9/17 


INDIANA ST 


10/1 


ARKANSAS ST 


10/6 


at Middle Tenn st 


10/15 


at FLA Atlantic 


10/22 


LA LAFAYETTE 


10/29 


at LA Monroe 


11/5 


FLA INTERNATIONAL 


11/12 


atLSU 


11/19 


at North Texas 


11/26 


TROY 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-5 


2-10 


0-12 


2-10 


5-37 


11.9% 


0-0 


2-8 


6-6 


7-5 


15-19 


44-1% 


0-0 


0-4 


3-3 


2-3 


5-10 


33.3% 


0-0 


2-4 


3-3 


5-2 


10-9 


52.6% 


0-0 


1-4 


4-4 


5-3 


10-11 


47.6% 


0-0 


1-4 


2-2 


2-2 


5-8 


38.5% 


0-0 


0-1 


0-0 


0-2 


0-3 


0.0% 


0-0 


2-7 


6-5 


7-3 


15-15 


50.0% 


0-0 


2-8 


6-5 


5-6 


13-19 


40.6% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 22.8 90 




First Downs 17.9 89 




Yards/Game 319-0 98 




RushYds/Gm 175-5 33 




PassYds/Gm 143-5 115 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 33-2 99 




Yards/Game 380.2 68 




RushYds/Gm 177-3 86 




PassYds/Gm 202.9 36 




Takeaways 17 94 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



8/30 


at Indiana 


L 13-31 


L (+17) 


U(53) 


9/6 


at E Kentucky 


w 37-13 






9/13 


ibama 


L7-41 


L (+26) 


(47/2) 




W ST 


W50-9 






9/27 


ntucky 


L3-41 


L(+19) 


U (44/2) 


10/4 


at Virginia Tech 


L 13-27 


W (+26/2) 


U(47) 




BALL ST 


L7-24 


L (+16) 


U(5D 




FLA ATLANTIC 


L 20-24 


L(+3) 


U(47) 


11/1 


NORTH TEXAS 


L 40-51 


L (-18) 


0(55) 


11/8 


at Troy 


L7-17 


W (+18) 


U(54) 






L 10-21 


L(pk) 






. ■; \> 


L(+7) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Tennessee 


L7-63 


L (+29%) 


(44/2) 


9/12 


)RIDA 


L 13-35 


W (+26) 


U(52) 




C ARKANSAS 


L7-28 


L(+2) 






at Navy 


L 22-38 


W(+3l) 


0(51) 






L{+6) 




10/17 


LA LAFAYETTE 


L 22-30 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(51) 




at Middle Tenn st 


L 24-62 


L (+17) 






at North Texas 


L 49-68 


L (+14) 




11/7 


TROY 


L 20-40 


W (+24) 


U(63) 




at LA Monroe 


L 18-21 


W (+21/2) 


U(6l) 




at FLA Atlantic 


L 23-29 


W (+12/2) 


U (66) 


12/3 


ISAS ST 


L 20-24 


W (+6/2) 


u (51/2) 









2010 OPPONENT SCORE ATS TOTAL 

9/4 at Nebraska L 10-49 W (+39/2) 0(52) Efl 

9/11 at Kentucky L 28-63 L (+2434) 0(53%) KM 

9/18 INDIANA L 21-38 L (+13/2) U (60/2) PM 

9/25 at S Florida L 12-24 W (+27/2) U (56) 

10/9 at W(+9) U(54 1 /2) V 

10/16 LA MONROE L 30-35 L (-3) (52/2) 

10723 at" L W"(+6) 0(53/2]' 

10/30 NORTH TEXAS L 6-33 L(-6) U'"(52J4) 

11/6 FLA ATLANTIC L 16-17 W (+2/2) U (48) S 

11/13 at ) W(+12) 0(56) 

11/20 Ml W(+5) P (53) 

11/27 at Troy L 14-28 ['(+12/) U(6o%)' 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 135 






PREDICTED FINISH 



l. Nevada 


5. Louisiana Tech 


2. Fresno State 


6. Utah State 


3. Hawaii 


7. San Jose State 


4. Idaho 


8. New Mexico State 



. ., INO STATE 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

A tough non-conference schedule awaits, including trips to Cal and 
Nebraska to open the season and a date with Boise State in October. Derek 
Carr, David's younger brother, shined in the spring, and will take over at QB 
for Ryan Colburn. RB Robbie Rouse (1,129 yds, 5-5 YPC) should provide plen- 
ty on the ground, but losing four offensive linemen will hurt. Leading WR 
jamel Hamler is gone, but jalen Saunders (154 YPC) has big-play potential. 
The defense will need to improve after allowing 46.0 PPG in its five losses in 
2010, and forcing just 13 turnovers all season (T3rd-fewest in nation). 






Offense: Run-and-Shoot - Starters Returning: 3 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 6 

Hawaii returns the nation's total offense leader in QB Bryant Moniz (5,040 
pass yds, 39 TD), but not much else. Two of Moniz's favorite targets, Greg 
Salas and Kealoha Pilares, are gone, as is TB Alex Green. WR Royce Pollard 
(64 rec, 901 yds) will likely be Moniz's go-to guy. The Warriors also need to 
replace four offensive linemen. DE Kamalu Umu and S Mana Silva will be 
missed, but Hawaii returns its starting linebackers, including Aaron Brown 
(5 sacks, 9.5 TFL) and star Corey Paredes (team-best 151 tackles). 



ISO 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 5 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 8 

Brian Reader (5 TD, 1 INT) takes over for Nathan Enderle as the Vandals' QB, 
but the real question is who will run the football (88 YPG, third-worst in 
FBS)? The offensive line returns three starters, but also needs to improve its 
pass protection after surrendering 45 sacks (third-most in FBS). Run defense 
is also a concern, as the Vandals allowed 189 YPG and 5-0 YPC last season. 
They'll also need to fill the void left by DE Aaron Lavarias and his 9-5 sacks. 
The LBs should be a strong unit with three senior starters, while the second- 
ary also returns three starters including FS Gary Walker (58 tackles). 



LOUil 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

Colby Cameron looks to have the inside track as the Bulldogs' starting QB, 
and they will need him to perform well after the team's mediocre offen- 
sive showing in 2010 (26.8 PPG, 59th in nation). RB Lennon Creer (1,181 
rush yds, 5-6 YPC, 10 TD) returns and should be able to take some heat off 
the passing game, and Tech also brings back four of its top five WRs. But 
the Bulldogs lost three starters on the offensive line. The defense, which 
allowed at least 35 points in eight games in 2010, brings back playmaking 
DE Matt Broha (9 sacks). The back seven has to get better (290 pass YPG). 



„,.,,. ;:K 



Offense: Pistol - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

QB Colin Kaepernick and TB Vai Taua leave 426 YPG of offense to be replaced. 
Tyler Lantrip is the front-runner to start at QB, and he'll be throwing the ball 
to Rishard Matthews (879 yds) quite a bit. Lampford Mark (7.5 YPC) Mike 
Ball (6.8 YPC), Stefphon Jefferson and Nick Hale will share rushing duties. 
The defense surrendered only 21.4 PPG, but could be better with leading 
tackier |ames-Michael |ohnson (88 tackles, 8 TFL) and DT Brett Roy (eight 
sacks) back. The defense forced 24 turnovers and had 35 sacks (T-I3th in 
nation), but will need to pick up the offense early on. 

ma khsco STATE 

Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 7 

It was an ugly season for the Aggies, who scored 16 points or fewer in seven 
games and allowed at least 40 points in seven contests. New Mexico State 
returns QB Matt Christian (8 TD, 2 INT), leading rusher Kenny Turner (461 
yds) and its offensive line, which allowed only 20 sacks. The Aggies will 
need playmakers in the passing game after losing top receivers WR Marcus 
Allen and TE Kyle Nelson. The defense could also use some big plays after 
collecting only nine sacks and 42 TFL (both second-worst in nation). 



1TATE 



Offense: Pistol - Starters Returning: 7 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 9 

The Spartans were 1-12 overall, and 0-8 in the WAC. QB |ordan La Secla 
is gone, and the QB race is wide open amongst Matt Faulkner, Dasmen 
Stewart and Blake Jurich. TB Brandon Rutley (461 rush yds, 3.6 YPC) is back 
for the nation's second-worst rushing attack (79 YPG). Although leading WR 
|alal Beauchman has moved on, the position is in good hands with Noel 
Grigsby (822 yds, 14.7 avg) and Chandler Jones (54 rec, 474 yds). The D will 
get much-needed help from LB Keith Smith (116 tackles, 14 TFL) and DE 
Travis Johnson (7.5 sacks). SJSU allowed 464 YPG (fourth-worst in nation). 



mz 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 43 - Starters Returning: 5 

The Aggies open the season at national champion Auburn, and they'll do so 
without three-year starting QB Diondre Borel. Jeremy Higgins transferred 
to Hawaii, which makes it a QB race between Adam Kennedy and Alex 
Hart. The OL returns four starters, but Utah State loses its top rusher in 
Derrvin Speight. TB Kerwynn Williams (451 rush yds, 5-6 YPC) has the abil- 
ity to enjoy a breakout season. The defense allowed 33-8 PPG and 429 YPG, 
and the defensive front seven had only 13 sacks in 2010. However, DE Levi 
Koskan (4.5 sacks) and LB Bobby Wagner (team-best 133 tackles) remain. 



136 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 31 (#76 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +1.1 (#65 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.62 (81st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.77 (74th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: 4.0 (#71 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7-1 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-5 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at California 


9/10 


at Nebraska 


9/17 


N DAKOTA 


9/24 


at Idaho 


10/1 


OLE MISS 


10/7 


BOISE ST 


10/15 


UTAH ST 


10/22 


at Nevada 


11/5 


LOUISIANA TECH 


11/12 


at New Mexico st 


11/19 


at Hawaii 


11/26 


SAN JOSE ST 


12/3 


at San Diego st 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


9-4 


7-6 


8-5 


8-5 


32-20 


61.5% 


7-5 


2-11 


7-5 


5-7 


21-28 


42.9% 


2-3 


0-5 


1-3 


3-3 


6-14 


30.0% 


5-2 


2-6 


6-2 


2-4 


15-14 


51-7% 


4-4 


1-7 


4-4 


3-5 


12-20 


37.5% 


3-1 


1-4 


3-1 


2-2 


9-8 


52.9% 


2-3 


1-8 


4-3 


2-4 


9-18 


33-3% 


5-2 


1-3 


3-2 


3-3 


12-10 


54-5% 


7-5 


7-6 


6-6 


7-5 


27-22 


55-1% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.0 48 




First Downs 19.3 64 




Yards/Game 370.6 70 




RushYds/Gm 150.6 65 




PassYds/Gm 220 61 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.0 83 




Yards/Game 367.2 59 




RushYds/Gm 158.5 66 




PassYds/Gm 208.8 45 




Takeaways 13 115 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/1 


at Rutgers 
ONSi'N 


W24-7 
L 10-13 


W (+3/2) 
L"f+2] 


U(57) 
U'('5"l)" 


9/5 


CAL DAVIS 


W51-O 






9/4 


CINCINNATI 
at Utah St 


W 28-14 
W41-24" 


W (-2/2) 

•w(W 


U(57) 


9/13 


9/12 


consm 


L 31-34 


W (+7/2) 


(51/2) 


0(58) 


9/20 


at Toledo 


W 55-54 


L(-6) 


(52/2) 


9/18 


BOISE ST 


L 34-51 


L (+7/2) 


(52/2) 


9/25 


at Ole Miss 


L 38-55 


L( + 2) 


(50/2) 


9/27 


at UCLA 


w 36-31 


L(-7) 


0(48) 


9/26 


at Cincinnati 


L 20-28 


W (+17) 


U (63/2) 


10/2 


CAL POLY SLO 


W 38-17 


P(-21) 




10/4 


HAWAII 


L 29-32 


L (-21/2) 


(56/2) 


10/10 


at Hawaii 


w 42-17 


W (-11) 


u (59/2) 


10/9 


HAWAII 


L 27-49 


L (-11) 


(65/2) 


10/11 


IDAHO 


W 45-32 


L (-34) 


0(65) 


10/17 


SAN JOSE ST 


w 41-21 


W (-19/2) 


0(58) 


10/16 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 33-10 


L (-30) 


U(56) 


10/25 


at Utah St 


W 30-28 


L (-16) 


U (58/2) 


10/24 


at New Mexico st 


W34-3 


W (-24) 


U(5D 


10/23 


at San Jose st 


W 33-18 


mm 


0(49) 


11/1 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 35-38 


L(-4) 


0(57) 


10/31 


UTAH ST 


w 31-27 


L (-17) 


U (62/2) 


11/6 


at Louisiana Tech 


W 40-34 


W(+3) 


0(59) 


11/7 


NEVADA 


L 28-41 


L( + 2J 


U(71) 


11/7 


at Idaho 


w 31-21 


W (-9/2) 


U(67) 


11/13 


NEVADA 


L 34-35 


W(+8) 


0(68/2) 


11/15 


NEW MEXICO ST 


w 24-17 


L (-17) 


U (63/2) 


11/14 


at Nevada 


L 14-52 


L(+7fc) 


U (68/2) 


11/19 


at Boise St 


LO-51 


L( + 29) 


U (66) 


11/21 


at San )ose st 


W 24-10 


W(-3) 


u (47/2) 


11/21 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W 30-28 


L (-9/2) 


(54/2) 


11/27 


IDAHO 


w 23-20 


L (-10/2) 


U(59) 


11/28 


at Boise St 


L 10-61 


L (+21) 


0(57) 


12/5 


at Illinois 


w 53-52 


W(+2) 


(58/2) 


12/3 


ILLINOIS 


w 25-23 


W (+6/2) 


U(60) 


12/20 


vs Colorado St 


L 35-40 


LM/2) 


0(61) 


12/19 


vs Wyoming 


L 28-35 


L(-10) 


(54/2) 


12/18 


vs N Illinois 


L 17-40 


L(+l 1 /2) 


(56/2) 




M fl 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


COLORADO 


9/10 


at Washington 


9/17 


atUNLV 


9/24 


CAL DAVIS 


10/1 


at Louisiana Tech 


10/15 


at San Jose st 


10/22 


NEW MEXICO ST 


10/29 


at Idaho 


11/5 


UTAH ST 


11/12 


at Nevada 


11/19 


FRESNO ST 


11/26 


TULANE 


12/3 


BYU 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 39 (#55 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +15.0 (#16 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 29.21 (94th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 26.23 (110th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +14.1 (#14 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 10-4 

2010 ATS Record: 11-3 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-7 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


12-1 


7-7 


6-7 


10-4 


35-19 


64.8% 


4-7 


6-6 


6-6 


11-3 


27-22 


55.1% 


2-3 


3-3 


2-4 


7-0 


14-10 


58.3% 


2-4 


3-3 


4-2 


4-3 


13-12 


52.0% 


3-5 


5-2 


3-5 


7-1 


18-13 


58.1% 


1-2 


1-4 


3-1 


4-2 


9-9 


50.0% 


4-6 


2-3 


2-1 


7-1 


15-11 


57-7% 


0-1 


4-3 


4-5 


4-2 


12-11 


52.2% 


3-8 


7-6 


5-7 


6-7 


21-28 


42.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 39-6 10 




First Downs 23.9 14 




Yards/Game 500.6 6 




RushYds/Gm 106.4 107 




PassYds/Gm 394-29 1 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 25.5 58 




Yards/Game 357-6 51 




RushYds/Gm 135-9 40 




PassYds/Gm 221.7 63 




Takeaways 38 1 



2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 

9/6 

9/13 

9/27 

10/4 

10/11 

10/17 

10/25 

n7 g... 

11/22 
11/29 
12/6 
12/24 



at Florida 

WEBER'ST 

at Oregon St 

SAN JOSE ST 

at Fresno St 
TOO IS i ANATECH 

at Boise St 

NEVADA 

at Utah St 

at "New Mexico st 

IDAHO 

WASHINGTON'ST 

CINCINNATI 
NOTREDAME 



L IO-56 

•W'36-i7 

L745 

L 17-20 

w 32-29 

■W24-14" 
L7-27 

W38-3T 
L 14-30 

W 42-30 

W 49-17 
W24 : i6 
L24:29 
L2T49 



L(+36/ 2 ) 0(64) 



L +14 


U (56y 2 ) 


L(-3) 


U (48) 


W (+21F2) ('5672) 


P(-10) 


U (497) 


W(+23) 


u (51/2) 


W(+3 1 /2J 


(66) 


L(-5) 


U (49) 


W (-3/2) 


(53/2) 


w (-25) 


(57/2) 


L(2 7 K) 


u (51/2) 


W(+9) 


(4872) 


L(+2J4) 


(48/2) 



9/5 
'9/12 
9/19 
9/30 

10/10 

10/17 

10/24 
10/31 
11/7 

11/14 
■-■/■-■■■ 

11/28 
12/5 



C ARKANSAS 
vs Washington St 
afUNlV'';'' 
at Louisiana tech 

at Idaho 
BOISE ST 
at Nevada 
UTAHST 

new Mexico sT" 

at San jose st 

NAVY 

WISCONSIN 



W 25-20 

W'38-2'0'' 
"L'33 : 34 
L6-27 
Ll7 : 42 
L 23-35 
L 9-54 
L 21-31 
W49 : 36 
W24-6 
W 17-10 
W2447 
LlO : 51 



W (-272) 


0(55) 


W(+7) 


0(56) 


LW) 


u (55/2) 


L (+11) 


u (59/2) 


L (+7/2) 


U (62/2) 


L(+25) 


0(59) 


W (+29) 


U(69) 


W(+2) 


0(61) 


L (-19/2) 


u (53/2) 


W(-2) 


U(54) 


W(+9) 


U(56) 


L (+12) 


0(59) 



9/2 


use 


9/11 


at Army 


9/18 


at Colorado 


9/2S 


CHARLESTON SOUT 


10/2 


LOUISIANA TECH 


10/9 


at Fresno St 


10/16 


NEVADA 


10/23 


at Utah St 


10/30 


IDAHO 


11/6 


at Boise St 


11/20 


SANjOSEST 


11/27 


at New Mexico st 


12/4 


UNLV 


12/24 


TULSA 



L 36-49 W(+21) 0(53) 



W31-28 
113:31 

W66-7 
W41-21 

W"49-27 
W27 : 21 
• W 45-7 
W 45-10 

L"7 : 4'2"" 
W41-7 
W 59-24 
•W'59-21 

L35 : 62 



■■Wf+3)"' 
Tl+137)- 

W'(-32)" 

•W(-872)" 

W(-3) 

W'(-I5l' 

T{ + 22) 

W(-30)" 

W(-27'/) 
W(-32K)- 

LT16J 



U(56) 

U(63) 

0(65/2) 

U(75) 

U(587 2 ) 

U(66K) 

U(65) 

U(59) 

0{577)' 

(65/2) 






. 



1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 137 




M 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 26 (W93 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -5.8 (#88 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 28.77 (96th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 28.67 (97th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -1.7 (#78 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 6-7 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-8 



9/1 


BOWLING GREEN 


9/10 


N DAKOTA 


9/17 


at Texas A&M 


9/24 


FRESNO ST 


10/1 


at Virginia 


10/8 


LOUISIANA TECH 


10/15 


at New Mexico st 


10/29 


HAWAII 


11/5 


at San |ose st 


11/12 


atBYU 


11/19 


UTAH ST 


12/3 


at Nevada 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


at Arizona 


L0-70 


L (+26/2) 


0(60) 


9/6 


IDAHO ST 


W 42-27 






9/13 


W MICHIGAN 


L 28-51 


L(+9/) 


0(57) 


9/20 


at Utah St 


L 17-42 


L(+4) 


(57/2) 


9/27 


at San Diego st 


L 17-45 


L (+12) 


(54/2) 


10/4 


NEVADA 


L 14-49 


L (+23) 


U (68) 


10/11 


at Fresno St 


L 32-45 


W (+34) 


0(65) 


10/18 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 14-46 


L (+20/2) 


(58/2) 


10/25 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 20-14 


W (+11/2) 


U(64) 


11/1 


SAN JOSE ST 


L 24-30 


W (+14/2) (47/2) 


11/15 


BOISE ST 


L 10-45 


P (+35) 


U(60) 


11/22 


at Hawaii 


L 17-49 


L (+25) 


(57/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


1-11 


2-10 


8-5 


6-7 


17-33 


34-0% 


3-8 


3-7 


8-5 


6-7 


20-27 


42.6% 


0-5 


2-2 


3-3 


2-4 


7-14 


333% 


3-3 


1-5 


5-2 


4-3 


13-13 


50.0% 


1-7 


3-4 


3-5 


2-6 


9-22 


29.0% 


2-1 


0-3 


5-0 


4-1 


11-5 


68.8% 


0-2 


0-0 


1-2 


3-4 


4-8 


33-3% 


3-6 


3-7 


7-3 


3-3 


16-19 


457% 


5-6 


8-3 


9-4 


4-8 


26-21 


55.3% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.6 60 




First Downs 20.0 56 




Yards/Game 386.8 55 




RushYds/Gm 88.2 118 




PassYds/Gm 298.62 10 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 28.3 71 




Yards/Game 420.3 95 




RushYds/Gm 188.9 95 




PassYds/Gm 231.4 87 




Takeaways 30 12 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at New Mexico st 
at Washington 


W21-6 
'["23-42" 


W (+2/2) 
W'I+20^)' 


u (52/2) 

0(55) 


9/2 


N DAKOTA 


W45-0 


W (-20) 




9/12 


9/11 


bra ska 


L 17-38 


W (+27/2) (53/2) 


9/19 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 34-20 


W (+3/2) 


U(58) 


9/18 


UNLV 


W30-7 


Wf-7) 


U(59) 


9/26 


at N Illinois 


W 34-31 


W (+14) 


(54%) 


9/25 


at Colorado St 


L 34-36 


L(-8) 


(50/2) 


10/3 


COLORADO ST 


w 31-29 


W (+4/2) 


0(57) 


10/2 


at W Michigan 


w 33-13 


W(-4) 


U(6l) 


10/10 


at San )ose st 


w 29-25 


W (+6/2) 


(53/2) 


10/16 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 35-48 


L(-D 


(53/2) 


10/17 


HAWAII 


w 35-23 


W (-7/2) 


U (62/2) 


10/23 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W 37-14 


L (-25/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


10/24 


at Nevada 


L 45-70 


L (+16/2) 


(67/2) 


10/30 


at Hawaii 


L 10-45 


L (+15) 


U (66/2) 


10/31 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W 35-34 


L(-2/ 2 j 


0(56) 


11/6 


NEVADA 


L 17-63 


L (+12) 


(68/2) 


11/7 


FRESNO ST 


L 21-31 


L (+9/2) 


U(67) 


11/12 


BOISE ST 


L 14-52 


L (+34K) 


U(67) 


11/14 


at Boise St 


L 25-63 


L (+32) 


(63/2) 


11/20 


at Utah St 
at Fresno St 


W28-6 
[20-23 


W (+2/2) 

w'l+'ioK) 


U(57) 


11/28 


UTAH ST 


L 49-52 


L(-3) 


0(70) 


U(59) 


12/30 


vs Bowling Green 


w 43-42 


W(pk) 


0(69) 


12/4 


SAN JOSE ST 


W 26-23 


L (-14) 


U (56/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -0.6 (#72 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.25 (84th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.00 (88th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -3-9 (#83 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 5-7 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 7-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Southern Miss 


9/10 


C ARKANSAS 


9/17 


HOUSTON 


9/24 


at Mississippi St 


10/1 


HAWAII 


10/8 


at Idaho 


10/22 


at Utah St 


10/29 


SAN JOSE ST 


11/5 


at Fresno St 


11/12 


atOle Miss 


11/19 


at Nevada 


11/26 


NEW MEXICO ST 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


8-5 


4-8 


5-7 


22-27 


44-9% 


6-5 


6-5 


8-4 


5-7 


25-21 


54-3% 


2-2 


4-1 


5-0 


3-3 


14-6 


70.0% 


4-3 


2-4 


3-4 


2-4 


11-15 


42.3% 


5-3 


4-3 


6-2 


4-4 


19-12 


61.3% 


1-2 


2-2 


2-2 


1-3 


6-9 


40.0% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-0 


2-2 


9-6 


60.0% 


4-3 


4-3 


4-4 


3-4 


15-14 


51.7% 


4-7 


5-7 


6-5 


7-4 


22-23 


48.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.8 59 




First Downs 20.9 41 




Yards/Game 389.8 49 




RushYds/Gm 170.9 40 




PassYds/Gm 218.92 62 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 30.7 90 




Yards/Game 462.1 116 




RushYds/Gm 171.9 81 




PassYds/Gm 290.2 117 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


MISSISSIPPI ST 


W 22-14 


W(+7) 


U(44) 


9/6 

9/20 

"io7"i""" 


at Kansas 
SE LOUiSIANA 
at Boise St 


LO-29 

W41-26 
L'3-38 


L( + 22) 

LT+24J" 


... U ..(52J4) 
U(57) 


10/11 


waii 


L 14-24 


P (+10) 


U (49/2) 




IDAHO 


W 46-14 


W(-20/ 2 ) 0(58/2) 




at Army 


L7-14 


L(pk) 




11/1 


NO ST 


W 38-35 


W(+4) 


0(57) 


11/8 


at San Jose st 


W21-0 


W(+7) 




11/15 


UTAH ST 


W 45-38 


L (-15) 


0(48) 




at New Mexico st 


w 35-31 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


0(54) 




NEVADA 


L 31-35 


W (+4/2) 






llinois 


w 17-10 


W (-2/2) 


U(46) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


at Auburn 


L 13-37 


L (+13/2) 


0(46) 


9/12 
9/I9 

9/30 


at Navy 

NICHOLLSST 

HAWAII 


L 14-32 

W 48-13 

W'27-6" 


L(+7) 

W (-27/2) 


.U..(50/2) 
U (5534) 


10/9 


3 vada 


L 14-37 


L (+10/2) 


U(58) 


10/17 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W45-7 


W(-20 1 / 2 ) 0(41/2) 




at Utah St 


L 21-23 


L(+l/ 2 ) 


u (52/2) 




at Idaho 


L 34-35 


W (+2/2) 


0(56) 


11/6 


BOISE ST 


L 35-45 


W (+20) 


0(53) 


11/14 


at LSU 


L 16-24 


W (+22/) 


U(47) 


11/21 


snoSt 


L 28-30 


W (+9/2) 




12/5 


OSEST 


W 55-20 


W (-24) 


0(49) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Grambling 


W20-6 


L (-24/2) 




9/11 
9/18 
9/25 


at Texas A&M 
NAVY 
SOUTHERN MISS 


L 16-48 

IIIBl" 

L 12-13 


L (+17/2) 

L(+3) 
W (+3/2) 


0(59) 

0(51) 

U (5534) 


10/2 


awaii 


L 21-41 


L(+8/ 2 ) 


U(63) 


10/9 


UTAH ST 


W24-6 


W (-2/2) 


U (56/2) 




IDAHO 


W 48-35 


W(+l) 


(53/) 




at Boise St 


L 20-49 


W (+36) 


(65/2) 


11/6 


FRESNO ST 


L 34-40 


L(-3) 


0(59) 


11/13 


at New Mexico st 


w 41-20 


W (-16/2) 


0(55) 


11/27 


at San ]ose st 


W 45-38 


L(-13/ 2 ) 


0(54) 


12/4 


NEVADA 


L 17-35 


L(+7/ 2 ) 


U(72) 



138 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 49 (#19 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +14.9 (#17 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 27.86 (105th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.58 (85th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +19.6 (#8 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 13-1 

2010 ATS Record: 7-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-8 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/10 


at Oregon 


9/17 


at San )ose st 


9/24 


at Texas Tech 


10/1 


at Boise St 


10/8 


UNLV 


10/15 


NEW MEXICO 


10/22 


FRESNO ST 


10/29 


at New Mexico st 


11/12 


HAWAII 


11/19 


LOUISIANA TECH 


11/26 


at Utah St 


12/3 


IDAHO 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


6-7 


7-6 


8-5 


13-1 


34-19 


64.2% 


5-7 


5-7 


7-6 


7-7 


24-27 


47-1% 


3-2 


2-3 


4-2 


4-3 


13-10 


56.5% 


2-5 


3-4 


3-4 


3-4 


11-17 


39.3% 


3-5 


4-4 


6-2 


4-4 


17-15 


53.1% 


2-2 


1-3 


1-4 


3-3 


7-12 


36.8% 


2-5 


4-4 


6-4 


5-7 


17-20 


45.9% 


3-2 


1-3 


1-2 


2-0 


7-7 


50.0% 


5-7 


8-4 


6-7 


5-8 


24-26 


48.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 41.0 8 




First Downs 26.4 3 




Yards/Game 519.1 4 




RushYds/Gm 292.2 3 




PassYds/Gm 226.93 55 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.4 31 




Yards/Game 363.6 54 




RushYds/Gm 120.3 18 




PassYds/Gm 243-3 98 




Takeaways 24 45 



8/30 


GRAMBUNG 


W 49-13 






9/5 
9/19 


at Notre Dame 
at Colorado St 


L0-35 
L 20-35 


L (+14/2) U(62 1 / 2 ) 


9/6 


TEXAS TECH 


L 19-35 


L (+10/2) 


0(71) 


L(-5) U(57) 


9/13 


at Missouri 


L 17-69 


L (+26) 


0(69) 


9/25 


MISSOURI 


L 21-31 


L(+7) U(6l) 


9/27 


at UNLV 


w 49-27 


W (+3/2) 


0(57) 


10/3 


UNLV 


W 63-28 


W(-6/ 2 ) 0(58/2) 


10/4 


at Idaho 


W 49-14 


w (-23) 


U (68) 


10/9 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W 37-14 


W (-10/2) U (58) 


10/11 


NEW MEXICO ST 


L 45-48 


i\-m 


(65/2) 


10/17 


at Utah St 


w 35-32 


L(-8) 0(65/2) 


10/18 


UTAH ST 


W 44-17 


W(-23/ 2 ) U(62/ 2 ) 


10/24 


IDAHO 


W 70-45 


W(-l6/ 2 ) 0(67/2) 


10/25 


at Hawaii 


L 31-38 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 


0(60) 


10/31 


HAWAII 


w 31-21 


L (-29) U(69) 


11/7 


at Fresno St 


W 41-28 


W(-2) 


u (71) 


11/8 


at San Jose st 


W62-7 


W (-14) (60) 


11/15 


SAN JOSE ST 


w 41-17 


W (-16) 


0(51) 


11/14 


FRESNO ST 


w 52-14 


W(-7/ 2 ) U (68/2) 


11/22 


BOISE ST 


L 34-41 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


0(62/2) 


11/21 


at New Mexico st 


W 63-20 


W(-31) 0(59/2) 


11/29 


at Louisiana Tech 


w 35-31 


Li-4/2) 


(62/2) 


11/27 


at Boise St 


L 33-44 


W (+12) (71) 


12/30 


vs Maryland 


L 35-42 


L(-2) 


0(61) 


12/24 


vsSMU 


L 10-45 


L (-11) U (69/2) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/2 


E WASHINGTON 


W 49-24 


L (-28) 




9/11 


COlORADOST 


W'51-6"" 


m 


crw 


9/17 


CALIFORNIA 


w 52-31 


W(+2/ 2 ) 0(66/2) 


9/25 


atBYU 


w 27-13 


W(-47 2 ] 


U(63) 


10/2 


at UNLV 


W 44-26 


TfaoEr 


0(61) 


10/9 


SAN JOSE ST 


W 35-13 


L (37) 


U (64) 


10/16 


at Hawaii 


L 21-27 




U(75) 


10/30 


UTAH ST 


W 56-42 


["(2772) 


0(65) 


11/6 


at Idaho 


w 63-17 


W (-12) 


pK) 


11/13 


at Fresno St 


W 35-34 


L(-B) 


(68/2) 


11/20 


NEW MEXICO ST 


W52-6 


W (-37/2) 


U (62) 


11/26 


BOISE ST 


W 34-31 


W (+14) 


U '('68] 


12/4 


at Louisiana Tech 


w 35-17 


W [-755] 


U(72) 


1/9 


vs Boston College 


w 20-13 


nw 


U(54) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 9 (#119 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -24.7 (#119 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.67 (80th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 31.08 (81st toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -23.8 (#117 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 2-10 

2010 ATS Record: 4-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-7 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


OHIOU 


9/10 


at Minnesota 


9/17 


UTEP 


9/24 


at San Jose st 


10/1 


at New Mexico 


10/15 


IDAHO 


10/22 


at Hawaii 


10/29 


NEVADA 


11/5 


at Georgia 


11/12 


FRESNO ST 


11/19 


atBYU 


11/26 


at Louisiana Tech 


12/3 


UTAH ST 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


4-9 


3-9 


3-10 


2-10 


12-38 


24.0% 


5-6 


4-7 


6-7 


4-8 


19-28 


40.4% 


4-1 


1-4 


1-5 


1-5 


7-15 


31.8% 


1-5 


3-3 


5-2 


3-3 


12-13 


48.0% 


4-4 


3-5 


4-4 


4-4 


15-17 


46.9% 


1-2 


1-2 


2-3 


0-4 


4-11 


26.7% 


2-1 


0-1 


0-1 


0-1 


2-4 


33-3% 


3-5 


4-6 


6-5 


4-7 


17-23 


42.5% 


5-6 


5-6 


4-8 


5-7 


19-27 


41.3% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 15.7 


117 




First Downs 17.0 


100 




Yards/Game 296.5 


112 




RushYds/Gm 129.1 


89 




PassYds/Gm 167.42 


99 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 39-5 


115 




Yards/Game 453-3 


112 




RushYds/Gm 207.1 


111 




PassYds/Gm 246.3 


102 




Takeaways 12 


119 



2010 OPPONENT 



9/13 


at Nebraska 


L7-38 


L (+26/2) 


U (66) 


9/5 


IDAHO 


L6-21 


L(-2/ 2 ) U(52H) 


9/20 


at UTEP 


W 34-33 


W (+7/2) 


(62/2) 


9/12 


PRAIRIE VIEW 


W 21-18 


L (-17) 


9/27 


NEW MEXICO 


L 24-35 


L(+3) 


0(54) 


9/19 


UTEP 


L 12-38 


L (+14) 0(48) 


10/4 


ALCORNST 
at Nevada 

Mi?iICII 

at Idaho 


W45-IO 
W48-45 

L 14-20 


W(+i9^rO(65/2J 

M+ij 0(52) 

L (-1134) U (64) 


9/26 


at New Mexico 


W 20-17 


W (+11/2) U (44) 


10/11 

10/18 
10/25 


10/3 

10/10 

10/17 

10/24 


at San Diego st 
UTAH ST 

at Louisiana Tech 
"FRESNO'ST 


L 17-34 

w 20-17 

L7 : 45 
L 3-34 


W (+17/2) (46/2) 

W (+10/2) U (49/2) 

L (+20/2) 0(41/2) 

L (+24) U (51) 


11/1 


BOISE ST 


L 0-49 


[(+21) 


U(56) 


10/31 


at Ohio St 


LO-45 


L (+44) 0(48/2) 


11/8 


HAWAII 


L 30-42 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


(53)4) 


11/14 


at Hawaii 


L6-24 


W (+19/2) U (53/) 


11/15 


at Fresno St 


L 17-24 


W (+17) 


U (63/2) 


11/21 


NEVADA 


L 20-63 


L (+31) 0(59/) 


11/22 


LOUISIANA TECH 


L 31-35 


W (+6/2) 


0(54) 


11/28 


at San Jose st 


L 10-13 


W (+11/2) U (42) 


11/29 


at Utah St 


L2-47 


L(+6) 


u (57/2) 


12/5 


at Boise St 


L7-42 


W (+46/2) U (58/2) 



9/11 


SAN DIEGO ST 


L 21-41 


L (+14) 


(50/2) 


9/18 


at UTEP 


L 10-42 


L (+15) 


U(57) 


9/25 


at Kansas 


L 16-42 


L (+2334) 


(50/2) 


10/2 


BOISE ST 


LO-59 


L (+43/2) 


U(6l) 


10/9 


NEW MEXICO 


W 16-14 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U(49) 


10/16 


at Fresno St 


L 10-33 


W (+30) 


U(56) 


10/23 


at Idaho 


L 14-37 


W (+25/2) 


U(54) 


10/30 


SAN JOSE ST 


w 29-27 


W(+3) 


(46/2) 


11/6 


at Utah St 


L 22-27 


W (+18/2) 


U(54) 


11/13 


LOUISIANA TECH 


L 20-41 


L (+16/2) 


0(55) 


11/20 


at Nevada 


L6-52 


L (+37/2) 


U(62) 


11/27 


HAWAII 


L 24-59 


L (+27/2) 0(57/2) 









1 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 139 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 17 (#109 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -10.6 (#103 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 32.69 (75th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 33-50 (70th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -18.6 (#114 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 1-12 

2010 ATS Record: 5-8 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 5-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


at Stanford 


9/10 


at UCLA 


9/17 


NEVADA 


9/24 


NEW MEXICO ST 


10/1 


at Colorado St 


10/8 


atBYU 


10/15 


HAWAII 


10/29 


at Louisiana Tech 


11/5 


IDAHO 


11/12 


at Utah St 


11/19 


NAVY 


11/26 


at Fresno St 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


5-7 


6-6 


2-10 


1-12 


14-35 


28.6% 


7-4 


5-6 


2-10 


5-7 


19-27 


41-3% 


4-0 


2-3 


2-4 


2-3 


10-10 


50.0% 


3-4 


3-3 


0-6 


3-4 


9-17 


34.6% 


6-2 


3-5 


0-8 


4-4 


13-19 


40.6% 


1-2 


2-1 


2-2 


1-3 


6-8 


42.9% 


2-0 


3-2 


0-2 


0-2 


5-6 


45-5% 


5-4 


2-4 


1-8 


5-5 


13-21 


38.2% 


3-8 


4-7 


6-5 


5-6 


18-26 


40.9% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 16.1 115 




First Downs 15.6 114 




Yards/Game 315-1 101 




RushYds/Gm 78.5 119 




PassYds/Gm 236.54 45 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 34-7 105 




Yards/Game 463.7 117 




RushYds/Gm 203-2 104 




PassYds/Gm 260.5 ill 




Takeaways 18 86 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/30 


CAL DAVIS 


w 13-10 






9/5 


at USC 


L3-56 


L (+34) 


0(47) 


9/6 


)raska 


L 12-35 


W (+26/2) U (55/2) 


9/12 


UTAH 


L 14-24 


W (+13/2) 


U(48) 


9/13 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 35-10 


W(-7) 


(43/2) 


9/19 


at Stanford 


L 17-42 


L (+18) 


(47/2) 


9/20 


at Stanford 


L 10-23 


L(+6/ 2 ) 


U (44/2) 


9/26 


CAL POLY SLO 


Wig-9 


W (-6/2) 




9/27 


at Hawaii 


W 20-17 


W(+3) 


U(48) 


10/10 


IDAHO 


L 25-29 


L(-6/ 2 ) 


(53/2) 


10/11 


UTAH ST 


W30-7 


W (-11/2) 


U(46) 


10/17 


at Fresno St 


L 21-41 


L (+19/2) 


0(58) 


10/18 


at New Mexico st 


w 31-14 


W(-l) 


U(52) 


10/31 


at Boise St 


L7-45 


L (+36) 


U(54) 


10/24 


BOISE ST 


L 16-33 


L(+7) 


(40/2) 


11/8 


NEVADA 


L7-62 


L (+14) 


0(60) 


11/1 


at Idaho 


w 30-24 


L (-14/2) 


(47/2) 


11/14 


at Utah St 


L9-24 


L (+12/2) 


U(57) 


11/8 


LOUISIANA TECH 


L0-21 


L(-7) 


U (40/2) 


11/21 


HAWAII 


L 10-17 


L(+2) 


U(54) 


11/15 


at Nevada 


L 17-41 


L (+16) 


0(51) 


11/28 


NEW MEXICO ST 


w 13-10 


LM1/2) 


U(42) 


11/21 


FRESNO ST 


L 10-24 


L(+3) 


u (47/2) 


12/5 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 20-55 


L(+24) 


0(49) 



9/4 


at Alabama 


L3-48 


L(+40) 


U(52) 


9/11 


consm 


L 14-27 


W (+39) 


u (53/2) 


9/18 


SUTAH 


W 16-11 


LM0/2) 




9/25 


at Utah 


L3-56 


L (+30) 


0(52) 


10/2 


CAL DAVIS 


L 13-14 


L (1034) 




10/9 


at Nevada 


L 13-35 


W (+37) 


U(64) 


10/16 


BOISE ST 


LO-48 


L (+40) 


U(58) 


10/23 


FRESNO ST 


L 18-33 


W (+17/2) 


0(49) 


10/30 


at New Mexico st 


L 27-29 


L(-3) 


0(46/2) 


11/13 


UTAH ST 


L 34-38 


L(+3/ 2 ) 


(52/2) 


11/20 


at Hawaii 


L7-41 


L(+30) 


U(59) 


11/27 


LOUISIANA TECH 


L 38-45 


W (+13/2) 


0(54) 


12/4 


at Idaho 


L 23-26 


W (+14) 


U (56/2) 




J&UTA 



2011 SCHEDULE 



StatFox.com Power Rating: 20 (#103 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: -7-3 (** 94 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 33.83 (70th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.42 (93rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: -11.8 (#103 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 4-8 

2010 ATS Record: 5-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 3-7-1 



9/3 


at Auburn 


9/10 


WEBER ST 


9/24 


COLORADO ST 


9/30 


atBYU 


10/8 


WYOMING 


10/15 


at Fresno St 


10/22 


LOUISIANA TECH 


11/5 


at Hawaii 


11/12 


SAN JOSE ST 


11/19 


at Idaho 


11/26 


NEVADA 


12/3 


at New Mexico st 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


2-10 


3-9 


4-8 


4-8 


13-35 


27.1% 


7-5 


7-4 


8-4 


5-7 


27-20 


574% 


1-4 


5-1 


3-2 


1-5 


10-12 


45-5% 


6-1 


2-3 


5-2 


4-2 


17-8 


68.0% 


5-3 


5-2 


5-3 


3-5 


18-13 


58.1% 


2-2 


2-2 


3-1 


2-2 


9-7 


56.3% 


0-1 


2-0 


2-2 


1-3 


5-6 


45-5% 


7-4 


5-4 


6-1 


4-4 


22-13 


62.9% 


5-7 


5-7 


6-5 


3-7 


19-26 


42.2% 











2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Scored 22.0 


94 




First Downs 19.2 


68 




Yards/Game 347-3 


84 




RushYds/Gm 168.7 


41 




PassYds/Gm 178.67 


93 




DEFENSE NO. 


RANK 




Points Allowed 33-8 


101 




Yards/Game 428.8 


100 




RushYds/Gm 179-3 


88 




PassYds/Gm 249.6 


106 




Takeaways 16 


102 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


atUNLV 


L 17-27 


W (+11) 


U (46/2) 


9/6 


egon 


L 24-66 


L (+36) 




9/13 


UTAH 


L IO-58 


L (+24/2) 






IDAHO 


w 42-17 


W(-4) 




10/3 


BYU 


L 14-34 


W (+28/2) 


U(60) 




at San Josest 


L7-30 


L(+ll 1 / 2 ) 


U(46) 




vada 


L 17-44 


L MVA) U (62/2) 




NO ST 


L 28-30 


W (+16) 


U (58/2) 


11/1 


HAWAII 


w 30-14 


W(+5) 


U(49) 


11/8 


rise St 


L 14-49 


P (+35) 


0(52) 


11/15 


at Louisiana Tech 


L 38-45 


w (+15) 


0(48) 




NEW MEXICO ST 


W47-2 


W(-6) 





2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/3 


at Utah 


L 17-35 


W (+20/2) 


0(50) 




at Texas A&M 


L 30-38 


W (+21) 


(58/2) 




SUTAH 


W 53-34 


L (-19/2) 




10/2 


atBYU 


L 17-35 


W (+24) 


U (62/2) 




at New Mexico st 


L 17-20 


L (-10/2) 




10/17 


NEVADA 


L 32-35 


W(+8) 






LOUISIANA TECH 


w 23-21 


W (-1/2) 






snoSt 


L 27-31 


W(+17) 




11/7 


a wan 


L 36-49 


L(-2) 


0(61) 




OSEST 


W24-9 


W (-12/2) 


U(57) 




BOISE ST 


L 21-52 


L (+22) 






at Idaho 


W 52-49 


W(+3) 


0(70) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


at Oklahoma 


L 24-31 


W (+35) 


U(57) 




10 ST 


W 38-17 


L (-31) 






NO ST 


L 24-41 


L(+3 1 / 2 ) 


0(58) 


9/25 


at San Diego st 


L7-41 


L(+9 1 / 2 ) 


U(62) 


10/1 


BYU 


w 31-16 


W (+4/2) 


U(5D 


10/9 


at Louisiana Tech 


L6-24 


L(+2/ 2 ) 






HAWAII 


L7-45 


L(+3) 






vada 


L 42-56 


W (+27/2) 


0(65) 


11/6 


NEW MEXICO ST 


w 27-22 


L(-l8/ 2 ) 


U(54) 


11/13 


at San Jose st 


W 38-34 


W (-3/2) 






IDAHO 


L6-28 


L(-2/ 2 ) 


U(57) 


12/4 


rise St 


L 14-50 


W (+40/2) 


P(64) 



140 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



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Offense: Spread Triple Option - Starters Returning: 6 
Defense: Double-Eagle Flex - Starters Returning: 5 

The Black Knights played in their first bowl since 1996 last year, winning 
16-14 over SMU. They could enjoy more success in 2011 with junior QB Trent 
Steelman (7 pass TD, 3 INT; 721 rush yds, 3-7 YPC, 11 TD) and junior FB |ared 
Hassin (1,013 rush yds, 5-3 YPC, 9 TD) both returning to an offense ranking 
third in the nation in sacks allowed (8) and TO margin (+16). The defense 
lost arguably its five best players. The top returnees are DT jarett Mackey (4 
sacks), LB Steve Erzinger (76 tackles) and CB Richard King (4 INT). 



levy 



Offense: Multiple - Starters Returning: 10 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 7 

The Cougars left the Mountain West, but with 10 offensive starters to help 
win five tough road contests (Ole Miss, Texas, Oregon St., TCU, Hawaii). QB 
Jake Heaps (2,316 pass yds, 15, TD, 9 INT), RB || Di Luigi (1,397 total yds, 5.2 
YPC, 9 TD) and WR Cody Hoffman (42 rec, 527 yds, 7 TD) comprise a great 
offensive trio. The defense is solid, but BYU still needs an adept pass rusher 
and three new starters in the secondary. LB Brandon Ogletree (76 tackles) 
leads a quality linebacker corps, and DB Travis Uale can hit (42 tackles). 



;i : ; 



Offense: Triple Option -Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 3 

Ricky Dobbs used up his eligibility, leaving the starting QB job to Kriss 
Proctor (304 rush yds, 9-5 YPC, 9 career pass attempts). Navy's triple option 
led to 285 rush YPG (6th in nation), and could be better this year with a 
loaded backfield led by FB Alexander Teich (863 rush yds, 5-9 YPC, 7 total TD) 
and SB Gee Gee Greene (492 rush yds, 6.8 YPC). The defense lost nearly all of 
its starters, so the unit will have to build around monster DE jabaree Tuani 
(72 tackles, 15.5 TFL, 5-5 sacks) and CB Kwesi Mitchell (48 tackles, 3 FF). 



m&x ■-'■;■. 



Offense: Spread - Starters Returning: 8 
Defense: Base 34 - Starters Returning: 8 

A 7-2 finish to 2010 gives the Irish momentum for 2011. QB Dayne Crist 
(2,033 pass yds, 15 TD, 7 INT) should be fully healed from his ruptured patel- 
la tendon, and it appears suspended WR Michael Floyd (79 rec, 1,025 yds, 
12 TD) will be re-instated in August. TB Cierre Wood (603 rush yds) should 
flourish behind a solid O-Line. The D-Line needs work, but the LBs are excel- 
lent, especially ILB Manti Te'o (133 tackles, 9-5 TFL) and OLB Darius Fleming 
(5.5 sacks). The secondary loses ball-hawking S Harrison Smith (7 INT). 




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StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 141 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 30 (#79 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +2.8 (#59 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 26.85 (109th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 29.75 (90th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +2.3 (#58 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 6-7 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 8-4 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


atN Illinois 


9/10 


SAN DIEGO ST 


9/17 


NORTHWESTERN 


9/24 


at Ball St 


10/1 


TULANE 


10/8 


at Miami Ohio 


10/22 


atVanderbilt 


10/29 


FORDHAM 


11/5 


at Air Force 


11/12 


RUTGERS 


11/19 


at Temple 


12/10 


NAVY 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


3-9 


5-7 


7-6 


18-31 


36.7% 


4-6 


6-5 


4-7 


6-6 


20-24 


45-5% 


2-2 


2-3 


1-4 


1-3 


6-12 


33.3% 


2-4 


4-2 


3-3 


5-3 


14-12 


53.8% 


0-1 


0-1 


1-0 


0-2 


1-4 


20.0% 


4-5 


6-4 


3-7 


6-4 


19-20 


48.7% 


1-1 


1-0 


0-2 


1-2 


3-5 


37.5% 


3-5 


5-5 


4-5 


5-4 


17-19 


47.2% 


4-7 


4-7 


3-8 


8-4 


19-26 


42.2% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.6 60 




First Downs 18.4 82 




Yards/Game 329-7 93 




RushYds/Gm 251.6 8 




PassYds/Gm 78.08 120 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 24.3 54 




Yards/Game 338.2 29 




RushYds/Gm 139-2 46 




PassYds/Gm 199-1 31 




Takeaways 30 12 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



8/29 


TEMPLE 


L7-35 


L(+7) 


0(40) 


9/5 


at E Michigan 


W 27-14 


W (+3/2) 


U(48) 


9/4 


at E Michigan 


w 31-27 


L(-9 1 / 2 ) 


0(42) 


9/6 


NEW HAMPSHIRE 
AKRON 


W 10-28 
L3 : 22 


L(+ib)'" 


U (47) 


9/12 
9/19 


DUKE 
BALLST 


L.19-35... 

w 24-17 


L(+2) 
L(-9) 


0(44) 
(42) 


9/11 


HAWAII 


L 28-31 


L(-3) 


(52%) 


9/20 


9/18 


NORTH TEXAS 


W24-O 


W (-4/2) 


U (51%) 


9/27 


at Texas A&M 


L 17-21 


W (+27) 


U (44/2) 


9/26 


at Iowa St 


L 10-31 


L (+10/2) 


U (46/2) 


9/25 


at Duke 


W 35-21 


W(+6) 


(54/2) 


10/4 
10/11 

10/18 


atTulane 
E MICHIGAN 

' at Buffalo 


w 44-13 

__. 
["24-27"' 


W (+18/2) 

__ 

••• vv - (+11 y 


0(43) 

u (45/2) 

"(46) 


10/3 
10/10 

10/17 


TULANE 
V^NDERBIIT 

at Temple 


L 16-17 
W1643 
Ll3 : 27 


L(-6) 
W'(+10) 

Tl+ibK)" 


U(45) 

(37/2) 

(3634) 


10/2 
lO'/g"" 
10/16 
10/30 


TEMPLE 
atTulane 
vs Rutgers 

vivii 


L35-42 
W 41-23 
L20-23 
W29-7 


L (+6j 

W'(+l)" 

W"(+6)" 

T(-3W 
L'('+'6j 


(4034) 
0(4334) 
0]42Ej; 


10/25 


LOUISIANA TECH 


W14-7 


W(pk) 


U (41/2) 


10/23 


RUTGERS 


L 10-27 


L (+10/2) 


U (38/2) 


^yg 


AIR FORCE 


['22-42 


0(48/2) 


11/1 


AIR FORCE 


L7-16 


L(+7 1 / 2 ) 


U(41) 


11/7 


at Air Force 


L7-35 


L(+17) 


(37/2) 


11 / 13 


at KentSt 


W'45-28" 


W\+iy 2 j 


0(44)' 


11/8 


at Rice 

at Rutgers 


L 31-38 
L3-30 


W (+8/2) 
"n+17^) 


(55/2) 
(43/2) 


11/14 


yiyii 

at North Texas 


W 22-17 
Wl7 : 13 


L (-25) 

W (+1) 


U(53) 


11/20 


vs Notre Dame 


L3-27 


L( + 8/ 2 ) 


U(49) 


11/22 


12/11 


vs Navy 


L 17-31 


L (+7/2) 


U(53) 


12/6 


vs Navy 


L0-34 


L (+10) 


U(43) 


12/12 


vs Navy 


L3-17 


W (+14/2) U (41/2) 


I2/3O 


atSMU 


W 16-14 


W(+7) 


U (50/2) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +4.5 (#53 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 34-92 (61st toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 32.83 (73rd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +4.5 (#48 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 7-6 

2010 ATS Record: 8-5 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-9 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


atOLe Miss 


9/10 


at Texas 


9/17 


UTAH 


9/23 


UCF 


9/30 


UTAH ST 


10/8 


SAN JOSE ST 


10/15 


at Oregon St 


10/22 


IDAHO ST 


10/28 


atTCU 


11/12 


IDAHO 


11/19 


NEW MEXICO ST 


12/3 


at Hawaii 





SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


11-2 


10-3 


11-2 


7-6 


39-13 


75-0% 


6-6 


3-9 


6-7 


8-5 


23-27 


46.0% 


3-2 


2-3 


1-5 


4-2 


10-12 


45-5% 


3-4 


1-6 


5-2 


4-3 


13-15 


46.4% 


5-3 


2-6 


3-5 


6-2 


16-16 


50.0% 


1-3 


1-3 


3-2 


2-3 


7-11 


38.9% 


6-5 


3-6 


4-6 


4-2 


17-19 


47-2% 


0-1 


0-3 


2-1 


4-3 


6-8 


42.9% 


4-8 


6-6 


8-5 


4-9 


22-28 


44-0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.2 70 




First Downs 21.8 34 




Yards/Game 366.5 73 




RushYds/Gm 168.1 42 




PassYds/Gm 198.38 76 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 21.6 32 




Yards/Game 330.9 24 




RushYds/Gm 138.6 45 




PassYds/Gm 192.2 23 




Takeaways 23 49 



2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



8/30 


NIOWA 


w 41-17 






9/6 




W 28-27 


L(7 1 / 2 ) 


(54/2) 


9/13 


UCLA 


W59-O 


W (-8/2) 


0(51) 




MING 


W44-O 


W (-28) 


U(52) 


10/3 


tahSt 


W 34-14 


L (-28/2) 


U(60) 




MEXICO 


W21-3 


L (-22) 


U(48) 




atTCU 


L7-32 


L(+lfc) 


U(44) 




UNLV 


w 42-35 


L (-23) 




11/1 


at Colorado St 


w 45-42 


L (-16) 




11/8 


SAN DIEGO ST 


w 41-12 


L (-36) 




11/15 


Force 


W 38-24 


W (-3/2) 


0(52) 




at Utah 


L 24-48 


L( + 6/ 2 ) 


0(56) 




izona 


L 21-31 


L(+3) 


U(62) 



2009 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/5 


vs Oklahoma 


w 14-13 


W (+22) 


U(65) 


9/12 


atTulane 


W54-3 


W(-l8 1 / 2 ) 0(52/2) 




DA ST 


L 28-54 


L(-8/ 2 ) 


0(54) 




COLORADO ST 


w 42-23 


L (-19K) 


0(56) 


10/2 


UTAH ST 


w 35-17 


L (-24) 






at UNLV 


W 59-21 


W(-17) 




10/17 


at San Die 


W 38-28 


L (-17) 


0(54) 




TCU 


L7-38 


L( + 2/ 2 ) 


U(5D 


11/7 


ommg 


W52-O 


W (-13/2) 


0(49) 




at New M 


w 24-19 


L (-27) 






ORCE 


W 38-21 


W(-9) 






UTAH 


W 26-23 


L(-8) 


u (55/2) 




gon St 


W 44-20 


W (+2/2) 


0(58) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


WASHINGTON 


w 23-17 


W (+1/2) 


U (56/2) 




Force 


L 14-35 


L(+2) 


U(50) 




rida St 


L 10-34 


L (+10/2) 




9/25 


NEVADA 


L 13-27 


LN/2) 


U(63) 


10/1 


[ah St 


L 16-31 


L(-4 1 / 2 ) 


U(5D 


10/9 


SAN DIEGO ST 


W 24-21 


W (+4/2) 






atTCU 


L3-31 


W (+30) 


U(5D 




MING 


w 25-20 


L (-11) 




11/6 


UNLV 


W55-7 


w (-19) 




11/13 


do St 


W 49-10 


W (-6/2) 


0(50) 




MEXICO 


W40-7 


w (-30) 


U(52) 


11/27 


at Utah 


L 16-17 


W (+7/2) 






vs UTEP 


w 52-24 


W (-10/2) 


0(51) 



142 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +6.6 (#44 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 31.00 (86th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 30.67 (82nd toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +6.4 (#41 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 9-4 

2010 ATS Record: 7-6 

2010 Totals (Over-Under): 6-6 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


DELAWARE 


9/10 


at W Kentucky 


9/17 


at S Carolina 


10/1 


AIR FORCE 


10/8 


SOUTHERN MISS 


10/15 


at Rutgers 


10/22 


E CAROLINA 


10/29 


at Notre Dame 


11/5 


TROY 


11/12 


atSMU 


11/19 


at San )ose st 


12/10 


at Army 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


8/30 


TOWSON 


W 41-13 






9/5 


at Ball St 


L 23-35 


L (+6/2) 


U(64) 


9/13 


at Duke 


L 31-41 


L(+2fc) 


(57/2) 


9/20 


RUTGERS 


W 23-21 


W (+5/2) 


U(59) 


9/27 


at Wake Forest 


W 24-17 


W (+17) 


U(53) 


10/4 


at Air Force 


w 33-27 


W (+4/2) 


(51%) 


10/18 


PITTSBURGH 


L 21-42 


L(+3) 


0(51) 


10/25 


SMU 


W34-7 


W (-14) 


U (61/2) 


11/1 


TEMPLE 


w 33-27 


Lf-8) 


(44/2) 


11/15 


vs Notre Dame 


L 21-27 


L(+4 1 / 2 ) 


u (51/2) 


11/25 


at N Illinois 


W16-0 


W (+2/2) 


u (51/2) 


12/6 


vs Army 


W34-0 


W (-10) 


U(43) 


12/20 


vs Wake Forest 


L 19-29 


L(+3) 


(44/2) 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


8-5 


8-5 


10-4 


9-4 


35-18 


66.0% 


5-7 


6-6 


6-6 


7-6 


24-25 


49.0% 


1-4 


2-2 


2-2 


2-3 


7-11 


38.9% 


4-3 


4-4 


4-4 


5-3 


17-14 


54-8% 


2-0 


1-1 


1-1 


2-0 


6-2 


75.0% 


3-7 


5-5 


5-5 


5-6 


18-23 


43.9% 


2-5 


2-1 


2-5 


4-5 


10-16 


38.5% 


3-2 


4-5 


4-1 


3-1 


14-9 


60.9% 


8-4 


5-7 


5-8 


6-6 


24-25 


49-0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 29.7 45 




First Downs 20.5 49 




Yards/Game 404.8 38 




RushYds/Gm 284.8 6 




PassYds/Gm 120 117 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 23.3 46 




Yards/Game 390.5 75 




RushYds/Gm 165.9 75 




PassYds/Gm 224.7 70 




Takeaways 23 49 



TOTAL 2010 OPPONENT 



9/5 


at Ohio St 


L 27-31 


W (+22) 


(46/2) 


9/12 


ANATECH'- 


w 32-14 


W(- 7 ) 




9/19 


at Pittsburgh 


L 14-27 


L( + 8) 


U-(49K)' 


9/2b 


W KENTUCKY 


w 38-22 


LW" 


0(51) 


10/3 


AIR FORCE 


W 16-13 


P(-3) 


U (4872) 


10/10 


at Rice 


W 63-14 


W (-10) 


0(56) 


10/17 


at SMU 


W 38-35 


L(7) 


0(5372) 


10/24 


WAKE FOREST 


w 13-10 


W (+272) 


U (4772) 


10/31 


TEMPLE 


L 24-27 


L(-6 1 / 2 ) 


0(41) 


11/7 


at Notre Dame 


w 23-21 


w (+13) 


U(56) 


11/14 


DELAWARE 


w 35-18 


L (-21) 




11/28 


at Hawaii 


L 17-24 


L(-9) 


U (56) 


12/12 


vs Army 


W17-3 


Tl-iW 


U (4172) 


12/31 


vs Missouri 


w 35-13 


W(+6E] U(5472) 



9/6 


vs Maryland 


L 14-17 


L(-6) 


U(49) 


9/11 


GA SOUTHERN 


W13-7 


L (-29) 




9/18 


at Louisiana Tech 


w 37-23 


W(-3) 


0(51) 


10/2 


at Air Force 


L6-14 


W (+97 2 ) 


U(50) 


10/9 


at Wake Forest 


W 28-27 


L(-3) 


(477) 


10/16 


SMU 


W 28-21 


W(-l) 


U(52) 


10/23 


vs Notre Dame 


w 35-17 


W (+6/2) 


0(49) 


10/30 


DUKE 


L 31-34 


L(-127 2 ) 


(567) 


11/6 


at E Carolina 


W 76-35 


W (+27 2 ) 


0(64) 


11/13 


C MICHIGAN 


W 38-37 


L (-14) 


0(55) 


11/20 


ARKANSAS ST 


w 35-19 


W(-l2/ 2 ) U(647 2 ) 


12/11 


vs Army 


w 31-17 


W (-77) 


U(53) 


12/23 


at San Diego st 


L 14-35 


L(+3) 


U (577) 




StatFox.com Power Rating: 46 (#26 of 120) 
StatFox.com Outplay Factor: +11.2 (#28 of 120) 

2010 Schedule Strength: 40.69 (15th toughest) 

2011 Schedule Strength: 40.83 (15th toughest) 
2010 Scoring Differential: +6.1 (#42 of 120) 
2010 Straight-Up Record: 8-5 

2010 ATS Record: 6-4-3 
2010 Totals (Over-Under): 4-9 



2011 SCHEDULE 



9/3 


S FLORIDA 


9/10 


at Michigan 


9/17 


MICHIGAN ST 


9/24 


at Pittsburgh 


10/1 


at Purdue 


10/8 


AIR FORCE 


10/22 


use 


10/29 


NAVY 


11/5 


at Wake Forest 


11/12 


MARYLAND 


11/19 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


11/26 


at Stanford 





2008-2010 GAME LOGS 



2008 OPPONENT 



SITUATIONAL RECORDS 

SCENARIO 

STRAIGHT UP 
OVERALL ATS 
HOME ATS 
ROAD ATS 

VS CONFERENCE ATS 
NON-CONFERENCE ATS 
AS FAVORITE ATS 
AS UNDERDOG ATS 
OVER-UNDER 

TOTAL 2009 OPPONENT 



2007 


2008 


2009 


2010 


4-YRTOT 


4-YEAR % 


3-9 


7-6 


6-6 


8-5 


24-26 


48.0% 


5-7 


7-6 


3-8 


6-4 


21-25 


45-7% 


2-5 


3-3 


2-5 


1-3 


8-16 


33-3% 


3-2 


4-3 


1-3 


5-1 


13-9 


59-1% 


0-1 


1-0 


0-1 


1-1 


2-3 


40.0% 


5-6 


6-6 


3-7 


5-3 


19-22 


46.3% 


1-1 


5-3 


1-8 


2-3 


9-15 


37-5% 


4-6 


2-3 


2-0 


4-1 


12-10 


54-5% 


3-9 


6-7 


6-6 


4-9 


19-31 


38.0% 









2010 STATS/RANK 




OFFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Scored 26.3 67 




First Downs 20.1 54 




Yards/Game 379-7 61 




RushYds/Gm 126.6 92 




PassYds/Gm 253-08 34 




DEFENSE NO. RANK 




Points Allowed 20.2 23 




Yards/Game 357-2 50 




RushYds/Gm 142.2 50 




PassYds/Gm 215.1 54 




Takeaways 25 36 



9/6 


SAN DIEGO ST 


w 21-13 


L(-2l/ 2 ) 


U(46) 


9/13 


MICHIGAN 


w 35-17 


W (+1/2) 


0(37) 


9/20 


at Michigan St 


L7-23 


L(+9) 


U(48) 


9/27 


PURDUE 


W 38-21 


W(-2) 


0(48) 


10/4 


STANFORD 


W 28-21 


W(-6) 


0(48) 


10/11 


at N Carolina 


L 24-29 


W (+7/2) 


0(47) 


10/25 


at Washington 


W33-7 


W(-9) 


U(55) 


11/1 


PITTSBURGH 


L 33-36 


L(-4) 


0(48) 


11/8 


at Boston College 


LO-17 


L(+3) 


U(46) 


11/15 


vs Navy 


W 27-21 


W (-4/2) 


u (51/2) 


11/22 


SYRACUSE 


L 23-24 


L (-20) 


u (47/2) 


11/29 


at USC 


L3-38 


L (+3334) 


U(5D 


12/24 


at Hawaii 


W 49-21 


W (-2/2) 


0(48/2) 



9/5 


NEVADA 


W35-0 


W(-l4 1 / 2 ) U(62 1 / 2 ) 


9/12 


chigan 


L 34-38 


L(-3) 


(46/2) 


9/19 


MICHIGAN ST 


w 33-30 


L (-10/2) 


0(54) 


9/26 


at Purdue 


W 24-21 


L(-6) 


U(59) 


10/3 


WASHINGTON 


w 37-30 


L (-12) 


0(55) 


10/17 


USC 


L 27-34 


W (+9/2) 


0(51) 


10/24 


BOSTON COLLEGE 


W 20-16 


L(-8) 


u (53/2) 


10/31 


vs Washington St 


W 40-14 


L (-28) 


U(62) 


11/7 


NAVY 


L 21-23 


L (-13) 


U(56) 


11/14 


at Pittsburgh 


L 22-27 


P(+5) 


U(59) 


11/21 


CONNECTICUT 


L 30-33 


L(-6) 


0(58) 


11/28 


at Stanford 


L 38-45 


W (+10) 


0(64) 



2010 


OPPONENT 


SCORE 


ATS 


TOTAL 


9/4 


PURDUE 


w 23-12 


P(-ll) 


U(54) 


9/11 

9/18 

9/25 


MICHIGAN 
at Michigan St 
STANFORD 


L 24-28 
L31 : 34 
L 14-37 


L(-3 1 / 2 ) 
L (+4/0 


U (53%) 
'0(53%) 
"U"'(59%y 


10/2 
IO/9 

10/16 


at Boston College 

PITTSBURGH 

WMiCHIGAN 


w 31-13 

W23-17 
W44-20 


W(-3) 

P(-6) 

P (-24) 


U (46/2) 

u'BoT 

0(53) 


10/23 

10/30 
11/13 


vs Navy 

TULSA 

UTAH 


L 17-35 
L27-28 
W28-3 


L(-6/ 2 ) 
L (-9/2) 

W(+5i4)' 


0(49) 

U(62J4) 
0(53) 


11/20 
1;L / 27 

12/31 


vs Army 
vs Miami 


W27-3 
"W 26-16 
W3347 


W (-8/2) 

W"(+5)"" 

W(+3)'" 


U(49) 

U(53) 

0(48) 









■ 



StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 143 



TOP WEEKLY HEAD-TO-HEAD HFL TREHDS 



We scoured the StatFox.com database that 
goes back nearly 20 years. The fruit of our 
labor is the following week-by-week break- 
down of potent head-to-head patterns that 
have developed between opponents. 



WEEK 1 



OAKLAND is 5-0 ATS at DENVER since '06 

Last five games are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-IND series 

NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU vs. WASHINGTON since '06 

PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS vs. ST. LOUIS since '92 

Last eight games are 7-1 UNDER the total in ATL-CHI series since '92 



WEEK 2 



NY GIANTS are 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU vs. ST. LOUIS since '01 
IACKSONVILLE is 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU vs. NY |ETS since '01 
PHILADELPHIA is 7-1 ATS and SU vs. ATLANTA since '01 
UNDERDOG is 5-0 ATS in HOU-MIA series since '02 
FAVORITE is 5-0 ATS and 6-0 SU in CHI-NO series since '01 



WEEK 3 



NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS and 7-0 SU at BUFFALO since '04 
Last six games are 6-0 UNDER the total in DET-MIN series since '08 
UNDERDOG is 10-2 ATS and 9-3 SU in NYG-PHI series since '06 
FAVORITE is 6-1 ATS and 7-0 SU at TAMPA BAY in ATL-TB series since '04 
GREEN BAY is 14-6 ATS and 15-5 SU at CHICAGO since '92 



WEEK 4 



BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS and 8-0 SU vs. CINCINNATI since '92 

Last 11 games are 10-1 UNDER the total in MIA-SD series since '92 

PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 ATS and SU vs. SAN FRANCISCO since '04 

BALTIMORE is 6-1 ATS and SU vs. NY JETS since '92 

FAVORITE is 7-1 ATS and SU at CLEVELAND in CLE-TEN series since '92 



WEEK 5 



SAN DIEGO is 8-2 ATS and SU vs. DENVER since '06 

ROAD TEAM is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU in ATL-GB series since '01 

ROAD TEAM is 16-3 ATS in CAR-NO series since '01 

INDIANAPOLIS is 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU vs. KANSAS CITY since '92 

Last 13 games at PITTSBURGH are 10-3 OVER the total in PIT-TEN series 



WEEK 6 



ROAD TEAM is 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU in BAL-HOU series since '01 
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU at home vs. MINNESOTA since '01 
CLEVELAND is 7-1 ATS and 6-2 SU vs. OAKLAND since '92 
HOME TEAM is 15-6 ATS in jAC-PIT series since '95 
UNDERDOG is 16-7 ATS and 13-11 SU in NO-TB series since '92 



WEEK 7 



MIAMI is 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU vs. DENVER since '01 

Last five games at TENNESSEE are 5-0 OVER the total in HOU-TEN series 

KANSAS CITY is 8-2 ATS and 7-3 SU at OAKLAND since '01 

UNDERDOG is 9-0 ATS in CAR-WAS series since '95 

UNDERDOG is 14-5 ATS and 10-9 SU at MINNESOTA in GB-MIN series 



WEEK 8 



TENNESSEE is 4-1 ATS at home vs. INDIANAPOLIS since '06 

Last six games are 5-1 UNDER the total in CAR-MIN series since '01 

NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 ATS and SU at PITTSBURGH since '01 

BUFFALO is 5-0 ATS and SU vs. WASHINGTON since '92 

Last 13 games at ST. LOUIS are 10-3 OVER the total in NO-STL series 



WEEK 9 



TAMPA BAY is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU at NEW ORLEANS since '04 

Last seven games at ARIZONA are 6-1 UNDER the total in ARI-STL series 

UNDERDOG is 11-3 ATS and 9-5 SU in BUF-NY) series since '04 

Last seven games in PITTSBURGH are 5-1-1 OVER the total in BAL-PIT series 

FAVORITE is 6-1 ATS and SU in CIN-TEN series since '01 



WEEK 10 



NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS and SU at NY |ETS since '01 

Last six games are 5-1 OVER the total in IND-jAC series since '08 

NY GIANTS are 5-0 ATS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since '01 

Last 10 games at KANSAS CITY are 8-2 OVER the total in DEN-KC series 

PITTSBURGH is 15-5 ATS and 16-4 SU at CINCINNATI since '92 



WEEK 11 



PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 ATS and SU at NY GIANTS since '08 
SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS and SU vs. ST. LOUIS since '07 
BUFFALO is 10-4 ATS vs. MIAMI since '04 
CINCINNATI is 10-4 ATS vs. BALTIMORE since '04 
UNDERDOG is 10-4 ATS in DAL-WAS series since '04 



WEEK 12 



UNDERDOG is 7-1 ATS in CIN-CLE series since '07 
UNDERDOG is 6-1 ATS when BUFFALO plays at NY JETS since '04 
Last four games are 4-0 OVER the total in KC-PIT series since '01 
HOME TEAM is 6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU in HOU-JAC series since '07 
HOME TEAM is 25-13 ATS and 30-10 SU in DET-GB series since '92 



WEEK 13 



Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CAR-TB series since '04 
UNDERDOG is 5-1 ATS in IND-NE series since '06 
HOME TEAM is 6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU in the ARI-DAL series since '01 
Last six games in MIAMI are 5-1 UNDER the total in MIA-OAK series 
ROAD TEAM is 6-2 ATS and 7-1 SU in PHI-SEA series since '92 



WEEK 14 



SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS in games at ARIZONA since '04 

SEATTLE is 4-0 ATS and SU at home vs. ST. LOUIS since '07 

FAVORITE is 8-3 ATS and 10-1 SU in BAL-IND series since '92 

NY GIANTS are 9-4 ATS vs. DALLAS since '04 

Last 16 games are 13-3 UNDER the total in ATL-CAR series at CAROLINA 



WEEK 15 



Last nine games at INDIANAPOLIS are 8-1 UNDER the total in IND-TEN series 
BUFFALO is 5-1 ATS and SU at home vs. MIAMI since '04 
Last seven games are 6-1 OVER the total in CHI-SEA series since '01 
Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 UNDER the total in NYG-WAS series 
DENVER is 6-2 ATS and SU vs. NEW ENGLAND since '01 



WEEK 16 



HOME TEAM is 4-0 ATS and SU in SF-SEA series since '09 
ROAD TEAM is 12-2 ATS and 10-4 SU in KC-OAK series since '04 
Last nine games are 7-2 UNDER the total in CHI-GB series since '07 
UNDERDOG is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU at TENNESSEE in JAC-TEN series 
Last nine games at CAROLINA are 7-2 UNDER the total in CAR-TB series 



WEEK 17 



CAROLINA is 9-0 ATS on the road vs. NEW ORLEANS since '01 
Last seven games at ARIZONA are 7-0 OVER the total in ARI-SEA series 
Last 10 games at NY GIANTS are 8-2 OVER the total in DAL-NYG series 
ROAD TEAM is 7-1 ATS and 6-2 SU in PHI-WAS series since '07 
NY JETS are 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU at MIAMI since '04 



144 StatFox.com Edge Football Preview Guide 2011 



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